Post $1.25 Entry ~ $5 Short Term Target for SPCBFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, kind of wish I was into this stock. These are still a dime in a dozen that the market is so bullish these days. That being said, watch out if this explodes to the moon!
Stockanalysis
Can a Penny Stock like this ever Recover?First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, thanks to @adamans for bringing this stock to my attention. $IDEX seems to at this point be trending towards a decent $1.05 target. Currently after the $0.47 close, it went already up by $0.09. However, I'm not sure if I would shorten it at $1.05 or keep a long. I'm not even sure I would get it, as I have other things I'm analyzing as well portfolio-wise. That being said, likely it is more of a long given the company has somewhat decent of a portfolio . The thing that surprises me however, is that they are still around. The fact is, the all time high of this stock was $338.35. That was literally in 2007. Now from an operational standpoint, and financial standpoint, this company looks like it ran into the ground the past decade. It looks like the bullish aspect of holding it, is on the technological potential. This is why I am confined to say if one was to get it, it would take some decision making at the $1.05 mark to see if it is worth a sale or hold. This is because of opportunity cost on time, and the past financial and operational history. Now looking at the founder's story here , it says this company was founded in 2017. This leads me to believe this was an older ticker for a previous stock that was desisted, or a previous digital company was asset stripped. However, if that is true, they still managed to go down from I believe is nearly $3.10 to $0.41, prior to retracing to its $0.56 price now. That is still a really downward pattern. (BTW, I gave them $3.10 as the entry, the all time high for 2017 was $5.92). The average stock price in 2017 was $2.2008, the average in 2018 was $2.7846, and the average in 2019 was $1.5313. Growth haven't been good to them. That being said, yes, the $1.05 target I'm predicting will have to be set soon if I am correct (and I am being generous). Then it is up to you if you want to take that speculative bet. The executive team has the ability likely to make this retrace to its 2017 price, and maybe garnish growth of the current companies under their portfolio. However, it will take alot of work in an uncertain market. It is up to them to leverage an effective growth strategy. If they want help, I don't mind playing a Marcus Lemonis. That being said, good luck guys!
People have valid reasons to be harsh on SlackFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, Slack recently had a positive earnings report, which shown higher year of year growth. This didn't stop the stock from dropping over 10%+ afterwards. There are valid reasons though why investors should be or are shortening it. The risk is high when comparing the enterprise value of Slack to the current market cap it has. 2019's revenue was $401 million. Even if they are on track to do $1 billion dollars a year, this gives a fair market value likely around $3.3 billion dollars. The 28.171B market cap and even 14.209B Enterprise Value, both put the stock at a premium. Earlier I talked about how companies like Tesla or even Ferrari could be looked at as overvalued. However, this isn't that bad when you notice their brand value comes with a large IP portfolio, manufacturing facilities, and actually reasonable expectancies for product quotas. Remove that, and you have a stock that is just in the digital transformation category that people are betting long because it was a unicorn. Slack does have really amazing potential when comparing it to competition in this space. However, at this price and the current financials, people seem to be overbetting long. It would be interesting to see if this stock dips, and then an entry buy may be better. Currently, you can try doing a buy entry now and sell at $41, but that would be a high risk trade given this stock has a high confidence interval of also dropping down to at least $29. I would say, keep this in the watchlist, but also keep in mind the financials. You have a stock at the very least overvalued 2x, but most likely overvalued closer to 10x. Some stocks are always speculative though, but still something to be weary about.
Tesla vs. FordFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, Tesla is growing substantially when you compare market cap and share price. However, what most people don't seem to understand is that Ford has higher A) Production output B) Revenue and C) Likely higher enterprise value. Also the invested capital in Ford is 322.61 B. The Enterprise value of Ford is realistically higher . Tesla's realistically closer to a valuation of $125 billion when you look at the 2019 revenue, growth percentage, and expectancy. However this doesn't change the fact that A) The market cap for Tesla is way higher than Ford B) Tesla can now buy Ford if they wanted to C) Ford would have done better as a privately held company. When looking at the log curves for comparing Tesla and Ford, you can see who is obviously growing. At this point, it looks like Tesla annihilated Ford. Obviously alot of this comes down to speculation. Traditional Wall Street that hated Elon Musk is now overvaluing Tesla by at least 25% while dramatically shortening its competitions. Elon is expected to meet production quotas, and they are becoming a trophy in the automotive industry. I'm also bullish for sure.
MAC, Next Target is $15First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, the next target for MAC as a real estate trust seems to be at the $15 price point long. Last time I predicted it, it seems like my positive outlooks came true. Now, I am even more bullish given a potential support increase and the possibility that demand should go up given easing of social restrictions (MAC has a portfolio of real estate development related to malls and shopping outlet facilities).
TSLA Target: Easily $1k+ by SeptemberFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, Tesla has strong support, and Elon Musk looks to continue going out of his way beating production quotas. Yes many people think it is overrated, but operationally Tesla has one of the toughest management teams out there. You have constant targets being crushed, a large IP portfolio, and an innovation-centric company that is adored by analyst at Zacks or Motley Fool . Say what you want to say about it, but for years analyst were highly against Tesla. Many analyst are still trying to go out of the way to shorten it. Chart enthusiasts who just keep saying Tesla will go down 70% or reach $200 almost every other day in my opinion seem to not know what they are talking about at all. At least until the $1k price, so far I'm continuing being bullish on Tesla.
BBBY: $10 Target Reached in 1 Day, High today of $10.18First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said the $10 target I predicted yesterday at the $8.37 price was met, making a 19.4% gain over a day in a decent stock. If I predicted the $10.18 high, the gain would be about 21.6%. It is traditionally a rule of thumb sometimes to be a bit off (though not intentional), because you don't want people to accidentally miss a small time frame and see that $10 price go down to $9.32 (which is what happened). That being said, this is a decent lesson on A) Charting patterns B) The importance of automatic sells. | Overall, I still have bullish hopes long term for anybody interested in this. However, I personally would just say put it on the watch list.
I Called this Stock on May 21st --> $307+ TargetFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. Many analyst were against Align and warning people not to buy the stock. They said to shorten this or even cut losses when it was $235-$238 range. I went against what many people were saying looking at the overall charting patterns and potential for the stock. Coincidentally, around the same time, I was also into MBIO which I said would surpass $4.02. Align went up 10.82% today, while MBIO went up 10.41% today. Align went up 21.66% since I last called it, and MBIO went up 62.9% since I last called it (which I wish I kept a hold on instead of strategically trading, though the percentage growth would have been only slightly higher). This proves, that chart pattern trading and thorough analysis can be quite effective looking at positive correlations from time to time. These two calls are even less impressive when looking at other stocks I called prior, but I wanted to use them as an example. Align is still trending towards pattern expectancy. If it hits the crash at the $307 price, that would even be quite more impressive and would be interesting to see how it can wall out or potential upcoming resistance.
LK is High Risk, Went up 56.98%+ Today >$5 Target PriceFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. I have been following LK for a while, and haven't got it due to the risk factor and how it looked like a huge dump to many people in the market. I wish I bought it however at the $2.76 price point, but opportunities are missed. A reasonable short target is $5, and it may even surge and surpass $7. This is one of these stocks that you have to be careful in regards to stability and risk. Greed can make you lose everything, regulation can make you lose, and the "market noise" is problematic. LK is a dime in a dozen and when stocks go down like this, a breakout call is imminent lots of times. The really good entry seems to be missed, but its on the list. Definitely seems like with mid to high risk it can be a long position, and it looks like some opportunity is there for a short profit turn over.
Hoping for Higher Growth, Just Sold $SLRX for $MARKFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, given that I am still bullish on SLRX, I think MARK (though the riskier bet in my opinion) is more the likely to have a much bigger surge next week in price. Zacks is also giving $MARK a buy rating by two different analyst. For my sanity's sake, I think a high confidence interval I will still be right, and it looks like we have been close in terms of approaching the dip prior to retracement. Excited to see what happens for next week!
$SAVE growth since Last Prediction, Log Curve Should StablizeFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, I think Spirit Airlines is a long hold in general but looks like it is soon about to dip given how long its bullish run was. I would take the nice profit and likely reinvest in the dip if that was the case, as the bubble can start getting broken. It peaked at 12% growth today before going down 7%, and resistance seems to be tightening up. If you want a higher profit turnover, I suggest not waiting until all your profits go down.
LTM: $2.25 Price Target: High Risks = High ReturnsFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, here are a few of my insights. Currently, LTM has reached a spike after its bankruptcy protection filing. For people to say that LTM (which is at a dire financial position), will receive another spike is like listening to Johnny Cash's Ring of Fire , while on fire. It is a high risk pick, but I still think it is worth it. Realistically, I think a price target of $2.25 is imminent for a quick profit turnover. This is especially true if support continues.
EventBrite is ready for that $11 ShortFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, I think the wave for people to ride for EventBrite is still continuing and it is about to hit the $11 price mark real soon. Indicators are pointing towards a buy, and the supply & demand curve will start being readjusted as places open back up. It is in the digital category as well, and the CEO/management team both seems to know what they are doing from an executive level and operational standpoint.
GUESS: Look at the Big Picture of Wave HistoryFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, here are a few insights into what I think about Guess. I'm not a big fan of the whole fashion retail business, especially given how businesses like JC Penny can easily go from corporate giants to being crushed into the ground. Growth for them has alot of variables, and many businesses in this market segmentation fails to innovate, diversify, or push further. Guess though is one of those brands that does still have somewhat of a following. While not a fan of it, given I like different stock categories that breakout and promote different sets of products, I look at it from an investment perspective. They have lots of potential in terms of the price they are now, and the price they could be. For a long position, I am saying it should at the very least reasonably pass $14 if it keeps the historic trends it had in the past. This is even given the Covid19 hit, many market variable unknowns and how shoppers react.
SPTN is really underrated right now, still a gem!First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, SPTN should really start to rise. The market's reaction to their outstanding earnings call was mainly due to a bunch of people shortening out too early rather than hopping to ride a wave. I still wanna get out a surf board and continue the ride. I think it may be bumpy, but I'm definitely hopeful. This is about to hit $25 soon in my opinion. Reason I'm marking this as short is because once it hits $25, I will mitigate some risk and move to a higher growth stock and as the day trading wannabe, try finding another wave to ride over and over.
PluralSight: $30 Long Hold Potential --> Strong BuyFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis.That being said, PluralSight definitely looks like a strong buy and many analyst are saying so. It is currently having a positive chart retracement pattern and its market segmentation i.e. e-learning (specifically related to IT or MOOCs), category is expected to grow. A $30 long target for PluralSight especially given their expected EPS growth and metrics, is quite reasonable.
GE STOC, BUY WHEN THERE IS BLOOD ON THE STREETS!Hello traders and investors,
Baron Rothschild, an 18th-century British nobleman and member of the Rothschild banking family, is credited with saying that "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets."
The question here is who is actually have the mentality and the strength to go against the majority.
Why am i saying all these?
Ok let's see the GE stock.
Fundamental analysis:
On key earnings and sales metrics, GE stock earns a solid EPS.
General Electric EPS for the quarter ending March 31, 2020 was $0.70, a 75% increase year-over-year.
General Electric EPS for the twelve months ending March 31, 2020 was $-0.32, a 84.62% decline year-over-year.
The EPS Rating shows a company's health on fundamental earnings, and its SMR Rating reflects sales growth.
Revenue is seen shrinking 24% to $20.8 billion. Analysts on average expect GE earnings per share to decline 34% to 43 cents in 2020, then to rebound 52% to 65 cents in 2021.
GE posted total revenue of $20.524 billion, which represents a year-over-year decline of 8%.
On an adjusted per-share basis, the company earned 5 cents.
“The second quarter will be the first full quarter with pressure from COVID-19, and GE expects that its financial results will decline sequentially,” GE said.
As global travel screeched to a halt, General Electric’s aviation business saw revenue fall by 13% to $6.892 billion on a year-over-year basis in the quarter, with profit in the division tumbling 39% to $1.005 billion from $1.66 billion. Orders declined by 14%. The company’s power and renewable energy businesses also saw revenues decline in the quarter.
The company announced earlier this month that it was withdrawing its 2020 forecast. The company also said its cash and cash-equivalent holdings topped more than $47 billion along with a revolving debt facility of $15 billion to ride out the virus-induced downturn.
Technical analysis:
1.We have 5 Elliott waves completed on the weekly chart to the downside.
2.BIG Bullish divergence on the daily chart.
3.Descending triangle on the monthly chart plus DOUBLE BOTTOM WITH BULLISH DIVERGENCE on the monthly!
Possible long trade:
ENTRY AT 6-6.5$ AREA
STOP LOSS BELOW THE LOWS AT 4.5 AREA
FIRST TARGET AT 9.5$ AREA
SECOND TARGET AT 18-20$ AREA
RISK/REWARD RATIO AT 5,44 AT LEAST!
THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME
HAPPY TO HELP
THE GREEK TRADER
JNCE: My Next ONTX-like Pick: $6.50 Price TargetFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, here are my insights. JNCE is expected to go up quite soon and is on breakout watch. My recommendation based off of current charting patterns and past wave correlations is to buy now and set a sell order at a $6.50 price target for a similar correlation to ONTX at its bullish runs. I feel like I am actually quite conservative, and am hoping for it to reach around the $7.17 range for its price wall.
Société BIC a 'forgotten' value stock!There is a famous saying among portfolio managers ''The best stocks to invest in while the economy is plunged in a recession tend to be boring, get-the-job-done companies.''
Anyone knows that when the economy declines, many investors begin to load their portfolios with defensive stocks or stock funds from defensive sectors.
These funds are referred to as "defensive" because they tend to maintain their earnings and revenues during market downturns, allowing them to perform better than the broader market during a market correction or a bear market accompanied by a recession. Understanding defensive stock funds and knowing how to add them to your portfolio can help preserve your returns in hard times.
Unlike cyclical sectors like financial services, which are highly dependent on the economic cycle, defensive or non-cyclical sectors like health care tend to generate stable profits throughout all phases of the economic cycle.However, you can find defensive stocks in any sector as far as the firm has strong earnings, innovation, pricing power, and a track record of disrupting the status quo.
The basic idea of investing in defensive stock funds is to protect (defend) against significant decreases in share prices that are happening during either corrections of the market, meaning market declines of between 10% and 20%, or bear markets,such as declines of 20% or more, and potentially, an upcoming recession.
During hard times, consumers typically reduce spending on luxury items and buy only essentials, including food, health care, and basic utilities. If you buy defensive stocks in industries like these, your holdings should, in theory, decline less dramatically since these stocks should be less volatile in price during a decline.
One of the misconceptions that you get teached in almost any Master in economics, is that investors or traders act rationally.One huge proof of denying this is the stock of Société BIC.
Société BIC SA manufactures and sells stationery, lighter, shaver, and other products in Europe, Cello®, Conté®, BIC FlexTM, Lucky Stationery, Made For YOUTM, Soleil®, Tipp-Ex®, Wite-Out® and more, and internationally.
Sales Breakdown by product:
- Stationery (39.7%): ballpoint pens, pencils, mechanical pencils, felt-tip pens, correction pens, erasers, permanent markers, glues, adhesive notepads, etc.;
- Lighters (34.8%)
- Razors (23.7%)
- Other (1.7%): mainly sport articles (windsurfing boards, surf boards, etc.), batteries, magnets, adhesives, etc.
Geographical Allocation: Europe (28.7%), North America (39.2%) and other (32.1%).
Fundamental analysis: According to DCF valuation model Société BIC stock is currently undervalued by 37%.BIC's dividend yield is 5,6% at these price levels with a payout ratio of 68%.This ratio is more than enough to guarantee the continuation of the dividends,at the same time huge companies have already reduced or suspended their dividends.Overall BIC has flawless balance sheet,it's undervalued and pays a dividend.
Technical Analysis: We are currently at the bottom of a weekly downward channel with a double bottom pattern and an bullish RSI divergence.
Selling volume also significantly reduced and possible doji candlestick formation at the monthly chart!
Possible Long Trade :
Entry at 40-43 area.
Stop Loss under 40-39.50 area.
TP at 55-57 area.Risk/Reward: 4.5
Weekly double bottom with bullish Divergence
RISK DISCLAIMER:
My Recommendations/suggestion/advice for stocks/commodities are based on the theory of technical/fundamental analysis and personal observations. This does not claim for sure/ certain profit or any fix returns. I am not responsible for any losses made by traders. It is only the general view of the market with reference to its previous/prior performance. You are advised to take your position with your sense, discretion and judgment.
I try mymaximum to consider the fundamental validity of stocks or commodities as far as possible, but demand and supply affect the market with vision variations. If any other company also giving same script/stock and advice/suggestion then i am not responsible/liable for that.I have not any position in our given scripts or stocks.
The guidelines given here will have to be handled as simplest/ easy to understand / straightforward factor, whereas making a funding decision. This article does no longer present personally tailor-made investment recommendation/suggestion/advice.I recommend that investors should independently review particular investments/trades and techniques.I shall not be accountable/liable or responsible for any transaction performed in response to the guidelines given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations.
Note:-
I really Respect/value Your Hard Earned wealth/asset/money etc it’s very important for the human being, losing the same creates a lot of pain or feeling regret. Hence you are strongly advised to Always trade safely, follow guidelines and trading rules without missing a single time.
Thank you for your time and support,Happy to help anytime
The Greek Trader
TRIP's a dip because of Covid19, $25 LongFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, I think the whole reason for TripAdvisor's recent bearish run is quite obvious, and the reason why it broke resistance recently is also quite obvious. This is why, I am saying the current price is likely low to mid risk at most, and probably a dip. I expect it to be at least around the $25 range going into 2021, and that the steep downward trend is due to lack of demand in the curve because of Covid19, not poor managerial or operational performance.
Kroger still has that $35 Threshold to PassFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. Last time I was WRONG. I was predicting Kroger was going to peak at $35, and it peaked at $34.50. Sorry, if you made $0.50 less as a turnover :). I became way better recently getting closer to these targets with confidence intervals, sine waves, resistance lines, and even looking at bollinger bands and/or moving averages. That being said, the real point of this post is that it looks like Kroger still has that $35 price point threshold it needs to pass. I am bullish on it for a low risk strategy.
Two Week Simulated Paper Trading PositivesFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said let me get into a few of my insights. I have decided to close paper trading positions today on Tesla, NVDA, and JD on a positive note given that paper trading sometimes helps with my analysis as a conservative strategy for some benchmark stocks. That being said, I like the higher growth stocks more than these picks from time to time. Tesla, I have an expectancy it should pass $830 quite soon, NVDA could rally towards $375, and JD is definitely going to pass $50, then the $55 threshold. JD as I said before, follows as a strong Alibaba competitor.