EventBrite is ready for that $11 ShortFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, I think the wave for people to ride for EventBrite is still continuing and it is about to hit the $11 price mark real soon. Indicators are pointing towards a buy, and the supply & demand curve will start being readjusted as places open back up. It is in the digital category as well, and the CEO/management team both seems to know what they are doing from an executive level and operational standpoint.
Stockanalysis
GUESS: Look at the Big Picture of Wave HistoryFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, here are a few insights into what I think about Guess. I'm not a big fan of the whole fashion retail business, especially given how businesses like JC Penny can easily go from corporate giants to being crushed into the ground. Growth for them has alot of variables, and many businesses in this market segmentation fails to innovate, diversify, or push further. Guess though is one of those brands that does still have somewhat of a following. While not a fan of it, given I like different stock categories that breakout and promote different sets of products, I look at it from an investment perspective. They have lots of potential in terms of the price they are now, and the price they could be. For a long position, I am saying it should at the very least reasonably pass $14 if it keeps the historic trends it had in the past. This is even given the Covid19 hit, many market variable unknowns and how shoppers react.
SPTN is really underrated right now, still a gem!First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. That being said, SPTN should really start to rise. The market's reaction to their outstanding earnings call was mainly due to a bunch of people shortening out too early rather than hopping to ride a wave. I still wanna get out a surf board and continue the ride. I think it may be bumpy, but I'm definitely hopeful. This is about to hit $25 soon in my opinion. Reason I'm marking this as short is because once it hits $25, I will mitigate some risk and move to a higher growth stock and as the day trading wannabe, try finding another wave to ride over and over.
PluralSight: $30 Long Hold Potential --> Strong BuyFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis.That being said, PluralSight definitely looks like a strong buy and many analyst are saying so. It is currently having a positive chart retracement pattern and its market segmentation i.e. e-learning (specifically related to IT or MOOCs), category is expected to grow. A $30 long target for PluralSight especially given their expected EPS growth and metrics, is quite reasonable.
GE STOC, BUY WHEN THERE IS BLOOD ON THE STREETS!Hello traders and investors,
Baron Rothschild, an 18th-century British nobleman and member of the Rothschild banking family, is credited with saying that "the time to buy is when there's blood in the streets."
The question here is who is actually have the mentality and the strength to go against the majority.
Why am i saying all these?
Ok let's see the GE stock.
Fundamental analysis:
On key earnings and sales metrics, GE stock earns a solid EPS.
General Electric EPS for the quarter ending March 31, 2020 was $0.70, a 75% increase year-over-year.
General Electric EPS for the twelve months ending March 31, 2020 was $-0.32, a 84.62% decline year-over-year.
The EPS Rating shows a company's health on fundamental earnings, and its SMR Rating reflects sales growth.
Revenue is seen shrinking 24% to $20.8 billion. Analysts on average expect GE earnings per share to decline 34% to 43 cents in 2020, then to rebound 52% to 65 cents in 2021.
GE posted total revenue of $20.524 billion, which represents a year-over-year decline of 8%.
On an adjusted per-share basis, the company earned 5 cents.
“The second quarter will be the first full quarter with pressure from COVID-19, and GE expects that its financial results will decline sequentially,” GE said.
As global travel screeched to a halt, General Electric’s aviation business saw revenue fall by 13% to $6.892 billion on a year-over-year basis in the quarter, with profit in the division tumbling 39% to $1.005 billion from $1.66 billion. Orders declined by 14%. The company’s power and renewable energy businesses also saw revenues decline in the quarter.
The company announced earlier this month that it was withdrawing its 2020 forecast. The company also said its cash and cash-equivalent holdings topped more than $47 billion along with a revolving debt facility of $15 billion to ride out the virus-induced downturn.
Technical analysis:
1.We have 5 Elliott waves completed on the weekly chart to the downside.
2.BIG Bullish divergence on the daily chart.
3.Descending triangle on the monthly chart plus DOUBLE BOTTOM WITH BULLISH DIVERGENCE on the monthly!
Possible long trade:
ENTRY AT 6-6.5$ AREA
STOP LOSS BELOW THE LOWS AT 4.5 AREA
FIRST TARGET AT 9.5$ AREA
SECOND TARGET AT 18-20$ AREA
RISK/REWARD RATIO AT 5,44 AT LEAST!
THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME
HAPPY TO HELP
THE GREEK TRADER
JNCE: My Next ONTX-like Pick: $6.50 Price TargetFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, here are my insights. JNCE is expected to go up quite soon and is on breakout watch. My recommendation based off of current charting patterns and past wave correlations is to buy now and set a sell order at a $6.50 price target for a similar correlation to ONTX at its bullish runs. I feel like I am actually quite conservative, and am hoping for it to reach around the $7.17 range for its price wall.
Société BIC a 'forgotten' value stock!There is a famous saying among portfolio managers ''The best stocks to invest in while the economy is plunged in a recession tend to be boring, get-the-job-done companies.''
Anyone knows that when the economy declines, many investors begin to load their portfolios with defensive stocks or stock funds from defensive sectors.
These funds are referred to as "defensive" because they tend to maintain their earnings and revenues during market downturns, allowing them to perform better than the broader market during a market correction or a bear market accompanied by a recession. Understanding defensive stock funds and knowing how to add them to your portfolio can help preserve your returns in hard times.
Unlike cyclical sectors like financial services, which are highly dependent on the economic cycle, defensive or non-cyclical sectors like health care tend to generate stable profits throughout all phases of the economic cycle.However, you can find defensive stocks in any sector as far as the firm has strong earnings, innovation, pricing power, and a track record of disrupting the status quo.
The basic idea of investing in defensive stock funds is to protect (defend) against significant decreases in share prices that are happening during either corrections of the market, meaning market declines of between 10% and 20%, or bear markets,such as declines of 20% or more, and potentially, an upcoming recession.
During hard times, consumers typically reduce spending on luxury items and buy only essentials, including food, health care, and basic utilities. If you buy defensive stocks in industries like these, your holdings should, in theory, decline less dramatically since these stocks should be less volatile in price during a decline.
One of the misconceptions that you get teached in almost any Master in economics, is that investors or traders act rationally.One huge proof of denying this is the stock of Société BIC.
Société BIC SA manufactures and sells stationery, lighter, shaver, and other products in Europe, Cello®, Conté®, BIC FlexTM, Lucky Stationery, Made For YOUTM, Soleil®, Tipp-Ex®, Wite-Out® and more, and internationally.
Sales Breakdown by product:
- Stationery (39.7%): ballpoint pens, pencils, mechanical pencils, felt-tip pens, correction pens, erasers, permanent markers, glues, adhesive notepads, etc.;
- Lighters (34.8%)
- Razors (23.7%)
- Other (1.7%): mainly sport articles (windsurfing boards, surf boards, etc.), batteries, magnets, adhesives, etc.
Geographical Allocation: Europe (28.7%), North America (39.2%) and other (32.1%).
Fundamental analysis: According to DCF valuation model Société BIC stock is currently undervalued by 37%.BIC's dividend yield is 5,6% at these price levels with a payout ratio of 68%.This ratio is more than enough to guarantee the continuation of the dividends,at the same time huge companies have already reduced or suspended their dividends.Overall BIC has flawless balance sheet,it's undervalued and pays a dividend.
Technical Analysis: We are currently at the bottom of a weekly downward channel with a double bottom pattern and an bullish RSI divergence.
Selling volume also significantly reduced and possible doji candlestick formation at the monthly chart!
Possible Long Trade :
Entry at 40-43 area.
Stop Loss under 40-39.50 area.
TP at 55-57 area.Risk/Reward: 4.5
Weekly double bottom with bullish Divergence
RISK DISCLAIMER:
My Recommendations/suggestion/advice for stocks/commodities are based on the theory of technical/fundamental analysis and personal observations. This does not claim for sure/ certain profit or any fix returns. I am not responsible for any losses made by traders. It is only the general view of the market with reference to its previous/prior performance. You are advised to take your position with your sense, discretion and judgment.
I try mymaximum to consider the fundamental validity of stocks or commodities as far as possible, but demand and supply affect the market with vision variations. If any other company also giving same script/stock and advice/suggestion then i am not responsible/liable for that.I have not any position in our given scripts or stocks.
The guidelines given here will have to be handled as simplest/ easy to understand / straightforward factor, whereas making a funding decision. This article does no longer present personally tailor-made investment recommendation/suggestion/advice.I recommend that investors should independently review particular investments/trades and techniques.I shall not be accountable/liable or responsible for any transaction performed in response to the guidelines given in this report, which is in violation of rules and regulations.
Note:-
I really Respect/value Your Hard Earned wealth/asset/money etc it’s very important for the human being, losing the same creates a lot of pain or feeling regret. Hence you are strongly advised to Always trade safely, follow guidelines and trading rules without missing a single time.
Thank you for your time and support,Happy to help anytime
The Greek Trader
TRIP's a dip because of Covid19, $25 LongFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, I think the whole reason for TripAdvisor's recent bearish run is quite obvious, and the reason why it broke resistance recently is also quite obvious. This is why, I am saying the current price is likely low to mid risk at most, and probably a dip. I expect it to be at least around the $25 range going into 2021, and that the steep downward trend is due to lack of demand in the curve because of Covid19, not poor managerial or operational performance.
Kroger still has that $35 Threshold to PassFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on an opinion based basis. Last time I was WRONG. I was predicting Kroger was going to peak at $35, and it peaked at $34.50. Sorry, if you made $0.50 less as a turnover :). I became way better recently getting closer to these targets with confidence intervals, sine waves, resistance lines, and even looking at bollinger bands and/or moving averages. That being said, the real point of this post is that it looks like Kroger still has that $35 price point threshold it needs to pass. I am bullish on it for a low risk strategy.
Two Week Simulated Paper Trading PositivesFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said let me get into a few of my insights. I have decided to close paper trading positions today on Tesla, NVDA, and JD on a positive note given that paper trading sometimes helps with my analysis as a conservative strategy for some benchmark stocks. That being said, I like the higher growth stocks more than these picks from time to time. Tesla, I have an expectancy it should pass $830 quite soon, NVDA could rally towards $375, and JD is definitely going to pass $50, then the $55 threshold. JD as I said before, follows as a strong Alibaba competitor.
PFE: $40 Threshold Crossing Potential + >$45 Price & lrg SpreadFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, the market today and tomorrow doesn't look so bright given the DOW drop and the expected negative Federal Reserve announcement coming tomorrow. That being said, it is best likely to trade late Thursday or early Friday in my opinion. I expect realistically that Pfizer will soon pass the $40 threshold, and it it does, it may even rally to the $45+ price point as a short.
SLNO: $3.81 Threshold, $4 Short; $10 Long TargetFirst off, please don't take anything I say as financial advice or seriously. As always, this is on opinion based basis. Investors have recently been quite bullish on SLNO despite not that impressive finances given its phase in clinical trials, and its retracement of the previous price correlation prior to its crash. I for once actually agree and am bullish as well for a buy target setting a short at $4 considering it quickly passes that $3.81 price point which I think it might very soon. Overall for a short it has a +21% potential, and for long you have an over 200%+ potential. It is up to Soleno to see how it performs. The analyst + me could still just all be dreamers given this is at least a medium to high risk stock.
2020: Covid19 Leads to the Internet Retail BoomFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, let me get into a few of my insights. This isn't a prediction post. This is a generic post to talk about a very noticeable trend. During the Covid19 period, you seen a result of the digitization economy. Lots of the traditional industrialized corporations were negatively impacted while many of the internet retail businesses received major booms. This isn't just indicative of the whole Covid19 reaction and price corrections, but also indicative of where the future seems to be heading in terms of consumer activity.
Fiverr Crushing Call TargetsI recently was bullish on Fiverr, even implementing it in my own personal test strategies. While, it is too early to say I was right, my bullish call seems to be quite accurate. As always, this is on opinion basis and don't take anything I say seriously, as I'm not trying to solicit any financial advice. That being said, the revenues per share and losses per share were BETTER than expected. I had a bullish call prior, and don't be surprised if the stock continues to rise as with most of my predictions. Not claiming to be Nostradamus here, but look there are patterns and real math. I am wrong sometimes, but the calls been on a high streak recently. It is interesting to see how other online and e-commerce like sites such as Shopify, Etsy, may perform. (Though I consider Fiverr some weird cross between freelance, pro and amateur services and the e-commerce market). I think it is closer to an internet retail metric than a data processing category, however.
Tesla Short to $875 ~ $950 Continuation? Long PotentialFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, let me get into a few of my insights. Tesla looks like it is to be opening its factories quite soon, Mr. Musk reached his $700 million dollar bonus , and things look quite positive as many analyst are giving it a buy rating. This is why, even with today's heartbreak and Elon Musk's social media being occasionally on fire, I would say a long hold for Tesla and a short hold for Tesla both have positive gains potential. This + trading it back and forth given its spreads.
Appfolio Short Target of $145 (20% Growth Potential)First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion based basis. That being said, let me get into a few of my key points. Appfolio is at a huge surge and bullish correlation to what looks like a correction towards the February price point they reached. This is a same trend many stable stocks such as Tesla have also been rallying at. I believe Appfolio realistically can pass a $145 threshold quite soon.
MYT: Has Long Potential Post Covid19First off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always this is on opinion basis. That being said, let me get into a few of my insights. Urban Tea recently surged on a small bullish correlation after having one of the biggest underperforming and bearish trends the world have seen. Currently, for a company located in the Hunan Province in China, they have had a hit during the Covid19 period, but not as bad of a hit as other companies in the era. Regardless, I rate this stock still high risk due to its low market cap and the need to garnish VC interest Post-IPO.
In Regards to trading Tesla StockFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion basis. That being said, let me collectively analyze my thoughts. Tesla's stock fluctuations are partly due to spread as well as analyst activity. However, over time, price correlations are stable. It obviously performed quite well as a long term hold stock. That being said, currently the most profitable way to make money with Tesla stock is likely day trading. The long term strategies barely have any growth potential in comparison to active day trading and buy and sell targets. This just proves it.
$BABA: $200 Short Target + Long PotentialFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion basis. That being said, let me get into a few key points. Doing head and shoulders for recent correlation waves, I think a reasonable short target given the current $194.19 price for Alibaba -2.94% down, (mostly bearish quarter), it is still quite conservative to do a sell off target for $200 for a quick turn over profit. Alibaba is expected to go back up given the time period we are in and it didn't have too bad of hit given the Covid19 period, showing as a Chinese company it is a stable growth stock.
$MAC: $9.50 Short Target -> On Watch ListFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion basis. That being said, let me get into some of my insights. Macerich is currently bearish, and many analyst are bidding against it. However, what is surprising is that even with bearish rating, analyst are seeing upside potential . Also, it had one of the longest bearish periods ever, which leads me to believe that this is likely to go on a potential bull run quite soon. The curve could be about to change direction.
GoPro: $4.50 Short Target + Long PotentialFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always, this is on opinion basis. That being said, let us get into some of my insights. GoPro once was more than $98 per share. It has been an under-performing and underwhelming stock since its entry to the stock market. The recent earnings call wasn't so great and now they are trying to refocus their strategy. They also have an earnings call on May 07th. Can there be light at the end of the tunnel? I think so. GoPro still has hundreds if employees, it still has the same Nick Woodman who lead them to the market, and it still has growth potential. The main thing is the demand curve went down as a result of seemingly increasing competition. That being said, at the price they are now, they have a chance to regrow, and many people are giving it buy ratings even with its thus underwhelming performance this year. This makes me expect it to pass the $4 threshold in a matter of weeks, and likely pass $4.50 quite soon as well. It is too early to call a long potential, but I think they may have a shot.
VMWARE: $135 Short + $165 Long RetracementFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. That being said, let me get into my key points. I believe, realistically that VMWARE is at a bullish correlation for its current wave, and should quite soon within weeks pass the $135 threshold. Within a quarter or so, it also has the potential to pass the $165 price point before the resistance curve or some bearish patterns start.
$CRWD: $75 Short Target ExpectedFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or at face value. As always this is on opinion basis. Also, as of the time I am making this analysis, there may be a conflict of interest in the fact that I don't hold any CrowdStrike stock and may or may not be tied to software competing against them in their market segmentation. That being said, let me get into my key points in the most unbiased way I can. I believe realistically, even though CrowdStrike is below its peak point, the stock is very early into the market and already performing quite well in general. I do believe, it is about to pass the $75 price point given its large market spread and more people giving it buy ratings over sell ratings. It also seems to have some potential for a long hold position, but I am yet to say for certain.