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El Dorado Gold (EGO) AnalysisCompany Overview: El Dorado Gold, a significant player in the gold mining sector, has shown strong performance in Q1 2023. The company's operations span various regions, with a strategic focus on optimizing production and controlling costs, which has led to impressive financial results and a rising stock price. Key Highlights: Production Surge: EGO reported a 21% increase in gold production during Q1 2023, a significant boost that reflects the company's operational efficiency and resource management. Cost Management: The company successfully lowered its all-in sustaining costs (AISC) to $1,184 per ounce, enhancing profitability and providing a stronger buffer against potential market volatility in gold prices. Strategic Deal: El Dorado Gold struck a deal with TRU Precious Metals, acquiring an 80% stake in the Golden Rose gold-copper project in Newfoundland, Canada. This acquisition positions EGO to further increase production and diversify its asset base, potentially driving long-term growth. Stock Performance: The company's strong operational performance and strategic acquisitions have positively impacted its stock price, signaling investor confidence and optimism about its future prospects. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:EGO above the $14.50-$15.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target of $21.00-$22.00, El Dorado Gold presents a solid investment opportunity, underpinned by strong production growth, effective cost management, and strategic expansion. 🏅 El Dorado Gold—striking gold and delivering value! #EGO #GoldMining 💰✨
NYSE:EGOLong
by Richtv_official
Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Awaiting the Final Leg DownWe are considering a bullish scenario for SMCI, but it's not time to act just yet. We continue to believe that we are still in Wave (2) and that one more leg down is needed before we can see a surge higher, potentially breaching the all-time high at $1,229. Although the stock has already retraced more than 60% since reaching this ATH, we think there's still room for a bit more downside. We believe we are in Wave C of the ABC corrective movement, and typically, this Wave C contains a five-wave structure (in this case, moving downward). This five-wave structure hasn't fully played out yet, as you can clearly see. Even though a lot of longs have been opened at $512, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, we believe this is just Wave ((iii)). We're not looking to short this stock but are instead waiting to see if our analysis holds true so we can go long once we have more clarity on the ending of Wave ((iv)). This will help us better determine the end of the overarching Wave (2).
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Take Two | TTWO & GTA VIIs TakeTwo Interactive Software Fairly Valued? We use what is known as a 2 stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To begin with, we have to get estimates of the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US $9.1b The second stage is also known as Terminal Value, this is the business's cash flow after the first stage. For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a country's GDP growth. In this case we have used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (2.2%) to estimate future growth. In the same way as with the 10-year 'growth' period, we discount future cash flows to today's value, using a cost of equity of 8.5%. The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is US$27b. The last step is to then divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding. Compared to the current share price of US$139, the company appears about fair value at a 14% discount to where the stock price trades currently. Valuations are imprecise instruments though, rather like a telescope - move a few degrees and end up in a different galaxy. Do keep this in mind. We would point out that the most important inputs to a discounted cash flow are the discount rate and of course the actual cash flows. You don't have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Take-Two Interactive Software as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 8.5%, which is based on a levered beta of 1.071. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. Valuation is only one side of the coin in terms of building your investment thesis, and it shouldn't be the only metric you look at when researching a company. DCF models are not the be-all and end-all of investment valuation. Instead the best use for a DCF model is to test certain assumptions and theories to see if they would lead to the company being undervalued or overvalued. For example, changes in the company's cost of equity or the risk free rate can significantly impact the valuation. For Take-Two Interactive Software, we've put together three pertinent items you should explore: Risks: To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Take-Two Interactive Software Future Earnings: How does TTWO's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart. Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing! long story short Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Take-Two Interactive Software fair value estimate is US$162 and with US$138 share price, Take-Two Interactive Software appears to be trading close to its estimated fair value
NASDAQ:TTWOLong
by moonypto
14
UBS (UBSG): Too Big to Fail?Remember this analysis from over four months ago? We didn't place a limit order at that time (which is why it's greyed out), but if you followed our setup during the livestream back then, congratulations! The chart reacted beautifully at the desired level, just as we anticipated. In my opinion, this is a great-looking chart, showing a strong reaction at a key level. I'm now looking for some long plays on UBS to gain some exposure to the Swiss market. UBS is a relatively safe stock, which is a good thing to have during phases of uncertainty. The worst-case scenario would be a banking crash, but we believe UBS is still too big to fail. As long as it maintains this status, we like it. I'll send out a limit order once I find a good setup. For now, I wouldn't recommend any FOMO into this stock, as it could be a dead cat bounce, but we'll closely monitor it for you.
SIX:UBSGLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Carvana (CVNA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Carvana, a leader in the online used car market, is transforming its business model following its acquisition of ADESA's U.S. physical auction business in 2022. This acquisition has positioned Carvana as the second-largest used car company in the U.S. and is driving a shift towards a more profitable marketplace model. Key Highlights: Strategic Acquisition: The acquisition of ADESA's auction business is expected to enhance Carvana's profitability by transitioning towards a marketplace model, which offers higher margins compared to its traditional retail operations. Competitive Advantage: Carvana outperforms competitors like CarMax and AutoNation in terms of gross margin and profit per unit, bolstered by its strong online platform. Cost Efficiency: The company has successfully reduced over $1.1 billion in annual selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses, demonstrating a commitment to improving operational efficiency. Financial Flexibility: Carvana secured a deal with creditors to extend loan maturities, providing the company with greater financial flexibility to navigate future challenges. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:CVNA above the $116.00-$118.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target of $230.00-$240.00, investors should consider Carvana's strategic shift, competitive advantages, and improved financial flexibility as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🚗 Carvana is driving towards profitability—consider it for a potentially lucrative investment opportunity! #CVNA #UsedCars 🚗🚀
NYSE:CVNALong
by Richtv_official
Life Time Group (LTH) AnalysisCompany Overview: Life Time Group operates health and wellness clubs across the U.S. and Canada. Recently, the company completed a $40 million sale-leaseback transaction, which CEO Bahram Akradi views as a strategic move to strengthen the balance sheet and drive future growth. Key Highlights: Strategic Financial Moves: The $40 million sale-leaseback transaction aims to improve financial flexibility and support expansion efforts. Positive Cash Flow: Akradi projects that Life Time will achieve positive cash flow by Q2, even after accounting for capital expenditures. Debt Reduction: The company plans to reduce its net debt leverage ratio to 2.0 by year-end, which could positively impact its stock price. Insider Confidence: CEO Bahram Akradi purchased $654,000 worth of stock at $16.76, contributing to a total of $3.2 million in insider purchases over the past year, signaling strong confidence in the company's future. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:LTH above the $20.00-$21.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target of $35.00-$36.00, investors should consider Life Time Group's strategic financial moves, expected positive cash flow, and insider confidence as key factors for potential stock appreciation. 📈💪 Keep an eye on Life Time Group for a healthy investment opportunity! #LTH #WellnessClubs 🏋️‍♂️🚀
NYSE:LTHLong
by Richtv_official
TKO is poised for a major multi-year breakthrough!Weekly Chart The 100 level has shown to be a significant resistance point for the stock, as it faced multiple rejections at this level. Following these rejections, the stock entered a significant consolidation phase, which led to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern. After breaking out of this formation, the stock price soared, reaching a peak around the 117 level before experiencing a decline. However, the stock found support at the 200 WEMA and rebounded from that level.. At present, the stock is lingering near the resistance zone, and with an increase in trading volume, there is a strong expectation that it will achieve a breakout this time around. The appearance of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart indicates a bullish sentiment. Daily Chart The daily chart shows that after being rejected near the 117 level, the stock fell but then reversed by breaking above the double bottom pattern. Since then, the stock has maintained its upward trend and is now close to a major breakout. The rising volume indicates that the price is preparing for an upward move.
NYSE:TKOLong
by NaranjCapital
2
ALNY, LTH & ZETA - The momentum may drive prices to new heights!Alnylam Pharmaceuticals The stock price has encountered several rejections around the 212 level, leading to subsequent corrections. After establishing a Double Bottom pattern, the price attempted to reverse the downward trend but was unable to do so, facing rejection at the 200 level. Consequently, the stock underwent another correction. Following this, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming a Box pattern for a while. In a surprising turn, the price gapped up significantly and broke through its former strong resistance area, remaining above it. Following a brief pullback, the price resumed its upward trajectory, supported by solid trading volume. Life Time Group Holdings Following a rejection around the 22.5 level in November 2021, the stock experienced a significant decline, dropping to just 8.75. Subsequently, the price began to rise again, eventually returning to its previous strong resistance level after a lengthy climb. However, it struggled to break through that barrier and faced another substantial drop. During this downturn, the stock hit a low around 11.3 and then navigated through numerous fluctuations, leading to the formation of a Symmetrical Triangle pattern on the chart. After successfully breaking out of this pattern to the upside, the price surged and managed to overcome the resistance level. If the stock can hold onto this level, we might see even more upward momentum in the days ahead. Zeta Global Holdings The stock price had been consolidating within a Box Pattern before breaking free. Since that breakout, the stock has experienced a steady uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Amid this upward movement, a Cup & Handle pattern formed, signaling that the trend is likely to persist. Following the breakout, the price is now climbing higher, supported by a significant increase in trading volume.
NASDAQ:ALNYLong
by NaranjCapital
Coca-Cola (KO): Strength in Uncertain TimesAfter not taking a look at Coca-Cola for quite a while, it's definitely worth analyzing. As one of the biggest assets in the stock market, Coca-Cola seems to have the most resistance with a relatively low risk/return profile, making it very interesting in times of uncertainty. A shift from risk-on assets to risk-off assets could happen easily. Just by looking at the latest rise, we can see that while there was a big sell-off in all stocks, NYSE:KO only fell by about 1.2%. This showcases the strength I am talking about. After finishing Waves 1 and 2, we got the structure shift for a possible bullish rise. Because the intra-waves aren't very clear on NYSE:KO , we are looking at it from mostly the market structure perspective. Two points are highly interesting: the 3D POC just above the 3D Demand at around $60 and the Weekly Demand at $54. We are looking for a possible long bid on Coca-Cola but will wait for the opportunity to come. When it does, we will share it with you, of course. 🤝
NYSE:KOLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Vericel (VCEL) AnalysisCompany Overview: Vericel is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in cellular treatments for severe burn care and sports medicine. The company's flagship product, MACI, is used for knee cartilage replacement and has been a significant growth driver, achieving a 22% revenue increase along with record numbers of implants, biopsies, and surgeon usage. Product Pipeline: Vericel is poised to launch two potential blockbuster drugs: Epicel: A skin graft for severe burns, which also experienced a 22% revenue growth. Nexobrid: An ointment for removing dead burned skin to improve healing, became available in Q4. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:VCEL above the $43.00-$44.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $64.00-$65.00, investors should consider Vericel's strong product performance and promising pipeline as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🔍 Monitor Vericel for promising investment opportunities! #VCEL #Biopharmaceuticals 💉🏥
NASDAQ:VCELLong
by Richtv_official
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances. MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand. MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization. MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away. MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year). The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well. Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites. MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings. Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
2
Cellebrite (CLBT) AnalysisCompany Overview: Cellebrite develops digital intelligence solutions for government investigative branches globally. Recently, the company launched its Endpoint Inspector SaaS on AWS Marketplace, which expands its market reach and enhances its role in the Amazon Partner Network. This strategic move is expected to improve net margins by reducing customer system maintenance costs. Institutional Interest: Institutional investors are bullish on NASDAQ:CLBT , with SG Americas Securities LLC increasing its stake by 34.8% in Q1. Analyst Ratings: Major investment banks are also optimistic about Cellebrite's prospects: Bank of America: Raised its price target to $13.00. JP Morgan Chase: Increased its price target to $14.00, both giving an "overweight" rating. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on CLBT above the $11.50-$12.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $20.00-$21.00, investors should consider Cellebrite's strategic expansions and strong institutional support as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🔍 Monitor Cellebrite for promising investment opportunities! #CLBT #DigitalSolutions 💼💻
NASDAQ:CLBTLong
by Richtv_official
Rocket Companies (RKT) AnalysisCompany Overview: Rocket Companies, a fintech mortgage loan originator, entered 2024 with strong momentum. CEO Varun Krishna highlighted top-line growth acceleration for the third straight quarter and the highest profitability in two years, along with expanded market share in both purchase and refinance sectors. The company is leveraging its proprietary AI tech stack for future growth, aiming to modernize the fragmented homeownership space. Institutional Interest: Investor confidence is evident, with the Swiss National Bank increasing its stake by 4.1% in Q1, now holding 237,000 shares. Financial Performance: Rocket Companies reported an adjusted revenue of $1.2 billion in its latest quarterly report, exceeding guidance and marking year-over-year growth acceleration for the third consecutive quarter. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:RKT above the $13.00-$14.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $20.00-$21.00, investors should consider Rocket Companies' impressive financial performance and strong institutional interest as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊🏡 Monitor Rocket Companies for promising investment opportunities! #RKT #FintechStocks 📈🔍
NYSE:RKTLong
by Richtv_official
Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) AnalysisCompany Overview: Magnolia Oil & Gas, an independent U.S. oil and gas company, has demonstrated significant growth, with a 151% increase in returns on capital employed over the past five years. This achievement, combined with a reduced capital base, positions MGY for substantial stock price appreciation as investors take notice. Institutional Interest: Hedge funds and institutional investors have been accumulating MGY shares. Lindbrook Capital LLC increased its stake by 61.5% in Q1, and Commerce Bank boosted its stake by 4% in Q4. Investment banks like Mizuho have raised their target price from $26.00 to $28.00, and Capital One Financial has given the stock an "overweight" rating with a $28.00 target price. Financial Performance: NYSE:MGY boasts a return on equity of 20.41% and a net margin of 30.46%, reflecting its strong market position and pricing power. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MGY above the $23.00-$24.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $35.00-$36.00, investors should consider Magnolia's impressive financial performance and increasing institutional interest as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊💼 Monitor Magnolia Oil & Gas for promising investment opportunities! #MGY #OilAndGasStocks 📈🔍
NYSE:MGYLong
by Richtv_official
Nasdaq & RTX Charts Suggest Promising Growth AheadNASDAQ After a powerful uptrend, the stock encountered a significant resistance around the 72 level and plummeted sharply thereafter. Finding stability near the 47 level, the price surged within a Rising Wedge formation. Typically, following the appearance of this pattern, a decline occurs post-breakout. This scenario unfolded exactly as expected. Subsequently, the stock price consolidated and established an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential reversal in trend. With two successive breakouts, the stock is currently advancing with strong volume backing. RTX We have observed a period of price consolidation within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern in the past. After the breakout, there was a noticeable price surge, propelling the stock to reach its previous all-time high. However, the stock faced a significant rejection at that level, leading to another consolidation phase and the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern. Once the pattern broke down, the price dropped back to its previous support zone. Since then, the stock has been steadily moving upwards and recently experienced a strong breakout, surpassing its previous resistance level. At present, the stock is trading at a new all-time high and is anticipated to continue moving even higher.
NASDAQ:NDAQLong
by NaranjCapital
Qorvo (QRVO) AnalysisMarket Position and Growth Drivers: Qorvo NASDAQ:QRVO is experiencing robust growth, driven by significant gains with key mobile customers and strong performance in the defense and aerospace sectors. The company supplies RF chips to major Android OEMs like Samsung, showing expansion in the South Korean market. In China, top OEMs are adopting more of Qorvo's chips, with volume shipments expected this year. Financial Outlook: Qorvo anticipates fiscal 2025 Q1 revenue of $850 million, a 30% increase from last year. Analysts forecast a 3% increase in full-year revenue to $3.9 billion and an 8.3% increase in fiscal 2026. With Apple and Samsung as major customers, Qorvo is well-positioned for growth in AI-driven smartphone technologies. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on QRVO above the $114.00-$115.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $160.00-$165.00, investors should consider Qorvo's strong customer base and growing market presence as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊🔬 Monitor Qorvo for promising investment opportunities! #QRVO #TechStocks 📈🔍
NASDAQ:QRVOLong
by Richtv_official
Protagonist Therapeutics (PTGX) AnalysisMarket Position and Growth Drivers: Protagonist Therapeutics NASDAQ:PTGX is poised for substantial growth, with its recent inclusion in the S&P Small Cap 600 likely attracting significant institutional buying and boosting its stock price. Strategic Partnership: The company's partnership with Takeda to develop and market Rusfertide has already resulted in a $300 million upfront payment. Promising Phase II trial results for Rusfertide could lead to substantial profits through opt-out payments, milestone payments, and royalties. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on PTGX above the $31.50-$32.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $48.00-$50.00, investors should consider Protagonist Therapeutics' strategic partnership and promising clinical results as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊🔬 Monitor Protagonist Therapeutics for promising investment opportunities! #PTGX #Biotech 📈🔍
NASDAQ:PTGXLong
by Richtv_official
Marvell Technology (MRVL) Analysis Market Position and Growth Drivers: Marvell Technology, a leader in semiconductor infrastructure solutions, is set for substantial growth due to increasing demand across sectors such as game consoles, printers, enterprise workstations, and AI servers. AI and Data Center Expansion: A key driver for NASDAQ:MRVL is the rising adoption of AI technology, fueling demand for data centers—Marvell's largest business segment, which accounted for 40% of its revenue last year. As AI infrastructure spending increases, Marvell is well-positioned to benefit, enhancing its revenue growth and stock performance. Technological Edge: Marvell's products are critical for AI-optimized data centers, offering interconnects and data transfer solutions necessary for high-performance computing systems. The company's custom AI component business is expected to ramp up significantly in the latter half of this year, with high-volume production anticipated in fiscal 2026. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MRVL above the $65.00-$66.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $103.00-$105.00, investors should consider Marvell's strategic position in AI and data centers as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊🔧 Monitor Marvell Technology for promising investment opportunities! #MRVL #Semiconductors 📈🔍
NASDAQ:MRVLLong
by Richtv_official