MRF Ltd. (NSE: MRF) – Technical Analysis UpdatePattern Formation: MRF Ltd. has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern over the past several months, indicating a bullish continuation. The stock has successfully tested the key Fibonacci retracement levels and is now moving towards potential breakout zones.
Cup-and-Handle Formation:
The rounded cup formed after the stock declined from its peak around ₹150,995 and found support near ₹115,601. The handle has now completed, as the stock consolidated within a falling wedge pattern, building strength for the next leg upwards.
Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: ₹144,045 (4.26% upside) – This level aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. A breakout above this level would signal strength, confirming the end of the handle phase.
Major Target: ₹161,250 (16.54% upside) – This represents the projected target based on the full breakout of the cup-and-handle pattern, leading towards a possible rally to the previous all-time highs.
Support Levels:
Strong Support: ₹133,298 – This aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, where the stock has shown significant buying interest during previous dips.
Key Fibonacci Levels: 61.8% (₹133,475) and 38.2% (₹129,121) act as pivotal zones for any pullback in case of renewed selling pressure.
Volume Profile & RSI:
Volume Analysis: The recent volume spikes, especially during the approach to the wedge breakout, show accumulation, confirming investor confidence.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index is approaching the 60-70 range, suggesting a healthy bullish trend without overbought conditions.
Outlook: If MRF Ltd. breaks out of the ₹144,045 resistance level, it could see a swift move towards ₹161,250, a potential gain of 16.5% from current levels. Traders should look for strong volume confirmation during the breakout for additional momentum.
Risk Factors: If the stock fails to sustain above ₹133,298, there could be a deeper retracement to test lower Fibonacci levels, with downside risks towards ₹129,000-125,000.
