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LIOC.N0000LIOC Update on 01/11/2023 LIOC trying to break 50 Daily MA line. If LIOC can close few more daily candle 50 DMA line, then LIOC might run till 200 Daily MA level. So short term target will be 150. Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CSELK:LIOC.N0000Long
by rukshan2102
$SPY Bullish Breakout: Cup & Handle Formation on Weekly Chart The AMEX:SPY is exhibiting a compelling technical formation on its weekly chart. A classic cup and handle pattern has emerged, signalling a potential bullish breakout. The cup and handle pattern observed over the past several months on the AMEX:SPY not only signals a bullish continuation following a period of consolidation but also aligns with the current Stochastic Oscillator readings below 70, emphasizing the potential for upward movement without immediate overextension. This formation, marked by a stabilizing rounding bottom and a subsequent minor pullback, reflects a growing bullish momentum, further reinforced by the Stochastic Oscillator's position, which adds confidence in the face of the ongoing market volatility. Based on this analysis, a tactical trade can be structured as follows: Entry Point: Consider entering the trade at the current level, as the price breaks out of the handle. Stop Loss: To manage risk effectively, set a stop loss at the low of the handle. This placement protects against unforeseen reversals in the pattern. Take Profit: The take profit target is set at the high of the cup. This offers an attractive near 2:1 profit-to-loss ratio, aligning with sound risk-reward principles. Risk Management: As always, traders should align this trade with their individual risk tolerance and portfolio strategy. This analysis presents a bullish case for AMEX:SPY , supported by both pattern recognition and oscillator readings. While the setup is promising, traders are reminded to conduct their analysis and consider market dynamics. Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it is crucial to do your due diligence before making any investment decisions.
AMEX:SPYLong
by Scatman_Jeff
2
🍂Fall – Fell – Fallen. S&P500 Technical Perspectives over Q3'23The US government is well on its way to going into lockdown and shutting down the economy as policymakers are deadlocked over the national budget for the next fiscal year. While leading stock market strategists are not yet terribly concerned about such perspectives, and entertain hopes that investors have a high probability of "getting away with it" with strong performance, in reality the facts tell a different story. S&P500 SP:SPX is suffering losses, and has already lost about half of its annual growth since the beginning of 2023, and the Nasdaq-100 index NASDAQ:NDX reduced 2023 growth approximately by 30 percent. To avoid a shutdown, Congress needs to pass all 12 spending bills for the next fiscal year by Sept. 30, something it has historically done rather poorly. This could create problems for the market, which could immediately, that is, on the same day, be seriously affected by a US Government shutdown, considering SPX seasonality where September is one of the worst calendar month for investments into S&P500. S&P500 Seasonality Chart Meanwhile historical back test analysis says, in the past 20 government shutdowns, the S&P 500 stayed relatively flat, with the benchmark index losing an average 0.4% the week before a shutdown and gaining .1% by the end of a shutdown, according to a Reuters analysis of CFRA Research data. And in some cases, stocks actually ended the shutdown period higher, with the market gaining a net 10% following the 2018-19 shutdown, according to Renaissance Macro. Shutdowns lasting five days or more have also been known to see a quick market rebound, according to a 2021 Dow Jones analysis. On average, the S&P 500 had already moved into positive territory within one month of the shutdown. Shutdowns themselves are also relatively short. The last government shutdown, which was the longest-ever, lasted for 35 days. Anyway everything could happened. To stay away, or look beyond the market's twists and turns in the weeks before, during, and immediately following a potential shutdown - this is could be very, very individual investment decision. Technical pictures illustrates that weekly SMA(52) - 12 months simple moving average near 4150/4200 pp in SP:SPX or Dec'23 Futures CME_MINI:ESZ2023 (depends what are you looking for) could be quite strong support in any cases.
CME_MINI:ESZ2023
by Pandorra
3
🚨♾Meta Platforms(META)♾ will Go Down at least ➖20%🚨🏃‍♂️♾ Meta Platforms(META) ♾ is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($332-$315) 🔴. 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence (RD-) between two consecutive peaks . In terms of Elliott wave theory , the Meta Platforms(META) seem to have completed the main wave 3 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($332-$315) 🔴 with the help of the Expanding Ending Diagonal Pattern . 🌊It is interesting to note that in the middle of main wave 3 , the main Bullish Long Island Pattern can be seen, which confirms our wave count. 🔔I expect the Meta Platforms(META) to lose at least ➖20% of its value after breaking the lower line of the Expanding Ending Diagonal and reaching the 🟡 Price Reversal Zones(PRZ) 🟡, Support line(1) and 🔵 200_SMA(Weekly) 🔵. 📚If you want to know about the types of Gaps , you can read the following article.👇 Meta Platforms( METAUSD) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NASDAQ:METAShort
by pejman_zwin
20
LOLC.N0000Death cross is now appearing daily chart. Closely monitor the GAP indicated in chart and fib levels as well. Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CSELK:LOLC.N0000Long
by rukshan2102
$MATIC Price Action strategy.CRYPTOCAP:MATIC Polygon on the 1-hour timeframe faced rejection near the 50 EMA line (colored red), favoring the bears as the price broke through the previous support and is now approaching the Optimal Trading Zone (OTZ). It is crucial to remain vigilant, set alerts, and be prepared for the price to descend into this zone. As part of my strategy, a confirmation for a double bottom pattern will be considered if the price closes inside or above the OTZ. This confirmation will serve as the trigger for initiating a CRYPTOCAP:MATIC trade.
MLong
by LimitlessRx8
WAPO.N0000Closely monitor mentioned buy zone and strong support zone. Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CSELK:WAPO.N0000Long
by rukshan2102
Cardano bullish idea.After taking a swing at the elusive $0.40 target last Wednesday (11/15/2023), ADA got a taste of rejection. But, true to form, the next day, Cardano dusted itself off, shrugged off the setback, and made a bloody good comeback. Now, pay attention. Picture Cardano strutting back into the ring, ready to take on a new, formidable resistance level. The bulls are eyeing triumph, and breaking through? Well, that's the key to unlocking a potential surge in Cardano's overall value. I'm eyeing the $0.50 - $0.60 territory.
by LimitlessRx8
1
HAYL.N0000Entry Point: 76-80 Profit Target: 96-100 Stop-Loss: 72 Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
CSELK:HAYL.N0000Long
by rukshan2102
DOW JONES - Commentary On The Markets In the near future, I plan to refresh my analyses, spanning from gold and interest rates to cryptocurrencies and currencies. However, at this moment, my primary focus is on expressing my thoughts in a straightforward and unfiltered manner. I sense a compelling urge to impart my knowledge on the fundamentals. The wave concept provides a visual avenue for precision in comprehending price action. While price action conveys significant information, it can be challenging to fully grasp its message. My goal is to present you with an exceptionally visual interpretation of price action through the lens of the AriasWave methodology.
TVC:DJI
by AriasWave
🧽 Mister Poper. Meet The Cleaner Of Your DreamsCopper price continued to provide negative trades affected by the frequent stability below the additional barrier at 3.7280, to manage to reach some negative stations by touching 3.6100. Also, RSI stochastic continues to provide the negative momentum to allow us to suggest forming new negative waves to attack the additional support near 3.5000 followed by monitoring its behavior to manage to confirm the upcoming trend. The expected trend: Bearish
COMEX:HG1!Short
by Pandorra
SPX: the big red candle. Is it the BEARs' turn?Thursday wasn't a good day for bulls who have been enjoying a rocket ride for almost 2 weeks. Bears finally put in a big red to stop the stampede. So, what jumps out off the bat? 1. Price is outside the smaller downtrend channel and inside the bigger uptrend channel. 2. Price nearly made a 100% retrace of the previous break down. NDX made a new higher high. SPX has created somewhat of negative divergence in RSI, but NDX does not have that. 3. SPX did not quite fill the gap at 4400 and left a lot of gaps below. What to look for now? For Bull 1. Daily RSI needs to hold above 45. 2. Price should hold .5 retrace or even higher. 3. Should form some sort of inverse head and shoulder pattern. 4. At or near 4500 by end of November and not getting over 50% retrace on any legs. For Bear 1. To get the bear narrative back, daily RSI should break below 45. 2. The entire rally should evaporate by next week or so. 3. The bounces should be short lived. 4. Should be at or below 4000 before November end and then a Santa rally.
SP:SPXShort
by mukit1
S&P500 Total Return Index: Reading Market Between the LinesThe 1st half-year of 2023 is near the end, so the June Triple Witch quarterly expiration on the financial markets just took place the business day before. The S&P500 index ( SP:SPX ) has added 14.44% in net prices since the beginning of 2023 and 15.36% in its total returns ( SP:SPXTR ), back to levels above 4,400 that were not seen in the past 12 months since the second quarter of 2022. Historical backtest analysis indicates that the result achieved by SP:SPX Index year-to-date is the second largest in the last 25 years, second only to the pre-Covid 2019, where the return of the S&P500 index was 19.12% by mid-June (net prices) and 20.30% (total return). This publication proposes to dwell in more detail on the definition and formula for calculating so-called market "Total Return", when measuring the performance of financial markets. As no single idea has been published for the S&P 500 Total Return Index ( SP:SPXTR ) neither on any local version, nor on the International version of the TradingView , to the author's surprise.. So.. Let's be the first 😀 What is Total Return, or "Total Return"? In general, the Total Return is the actual value (or rate) of profit from investments for a certain evaluation period. Total return in certain markets includes various categories: accrued interest (accrued interest in bond markets), capital gains (paper P/L based on the change in the market price of an asset), dividends, as well as other mandatory distributions due to regulation, for a certain period of time. Main conclusions 👉 Total return is the actual return on an investment or basket of investments over a given period of time. 👉 Total return includes interest, capital gains, dividends and distributions, calculated as a percentage of the amount invested. 👉 Total return has a stronger performance vs. Net prices performance, when the amounts that an investor earns on a security over a certain period (in the form of interest, dividends and distributions) are reinvested back into the purchase of additional securities, making higher investment returns over time, according to the principle of compound interest. 👉 Total return are more important when investing in dividend stocks/value investment assets, which have generally low capital appreciation potential relative to Growth assets. But still often outperform them, following a long-term capital reinvestment strategy. 👉 The total return can be formed by the investor both individually, that is through the purchase of additional securities (for the amounts of received interest, dividends and distributions), as well as through mutual and exchange trade funds (ETFs). Of course, bearing in mind and taking into account significant risks, common to all collective investment schemes. Average annual total return It is important to analyze the average annual total return for different periods. Comparison of returns against a benchmark of the risk-free rate and inflation shows how efficient or inefficient the issuer of the security has been vs risk-free investments (for example, banking deposits). When analyzing the average annual total return, it is also important to remember: 👉 Even small discrepancies in the average annual returns on Net prices and Total return prices over time will significantly affect the overall result. 👉 The influence of commissions and exchange fees is also large, despite the fact that they often look like a small amount of a few tenths or hundredths of a percent. Examples and General Meaning of Net Price Returns and "Total Returns" 👉 At 2.08 percent of the average annual dividend yield of the S&P500 Index over the past 35 years, the return of the corresponding "full return" index SP:SPXTR amounted to 35.98x during this time, while the net price index SP:SPX added only 17.11x, more than 2x down vs yielding of the reinvestment strategy. 👉 Full return reinvestment strategies are important in conditions where financial markets and securities are long-term settling in in wide price (zone) ranges, due to unfavorable or modest general market (macroeconomic) conditions that pushing down stock market and capital growth - for example like in the past 12 - 24 months in SPX as a result of upgoing inflation and Fed interest rates.
SP:SPXTR
by Pandorra
6
The Expected Bounce was on Queue. Tomorrow We Drop.Traders, We have been batting 1000 lately when it comes to the SPY. Might as well make another bold prediction. It would seem that the greatest probability of price action is outlined in the chart. An inverse H&S is forming and the right shoulder has yet to start. I predicted the target down from the last H&S pattern to be 410. That was hit, almost to the dollar. I then predicted a huge bounce. We have that now. In fact, 7 days of green candles! Amazing. I even predicted the timing of the bounce. The charts gave me all of this data. I just had to read it correctly. Now, the chart is telling me that it's time for a bit of a pause. If correct, we should see the right shoulder from that inverse H&S drawn now begin to form. If we're lucky we stay in my outlined green channel by using that 200 day ma near the bottom of the channel as support. Blowoff top underway! LFG! Stew
AMEX:SPYShort
by stewdamus
Go Down, Moses.. To Let My Shekel Go... 😕Shekel drops to 4 against the dollar, in first since 2015. Currency’s weakness comes as conflict rages, even after Bank of Israel announced plan to intervene in the foreign exchange market to try and contain sharp shekel FOREXCOM:USDILS moves. The exchange rate of the New Israeli Shekel on Monday crossed the threshold of NIS 4 per dollar, the local currency’s weakest level since 2015, with Israel in its 10th day of conflict with the Hamas terror group. Since the devastating massacre launched by Hamas on October 7 in Israel’s southern communities, in which more than 1,300 were killed, more than 4,000 injured, and some 200 kidnapped by terrorists, the shekel has dropped by about four percent against the US dollar. Investor uncertainty over the duration and scope of the conflict has been growing in recent days, with the Israel Defense Forces gearing up for a ground operation to smash the terrorist organization in the Gaza Strip. The currency’s weakness comes even as the Bank of Israel last week announced a plan to intervene in the foreign exchange market to try and moderate shekel volatility after the country formally declared a state of war. As part of the program, the central bank can sell up to $30 billion in foreign exchange to protect the shekel from collapse. It was also introduced to “provide necessary liquidity for the continued proper functioning of the markets,” the Bank of Israel said. Israel’s consumer price index (CPI), a measure of inflation that tracks the average cost of household goods, unexpectedly decelerated 0.1% in September, before Hamas’s unprecedented attack, figures by the statistics bureau. Following the lower-than-expected September print, economists and market participants have started to price in an interest rate cut by the Bank of Israel as early as at its next monetary policy meeting on October 23, or even earlier, should it be necessary. The September CPI index points to the fact that the economy was slowing even before the conflict broke out. Meanwhile technical graph for FOREXCOM:USDILS says, U.S. dollar is about to break out major multi year resistance against shekel, where 4 shekels is a key to watch at the end of Q4'23.
by Pandorra
1
🎯 Palladium to Platinum Metal Spread vs. American BigTech IndexThe breathtaking rally in palladium appears to be coming to the end. Rising supply and slowing demand are undermining the price of a metal used to neutralize car exhaust emissions. Palladium, once the cheapest of the major precious metals, soared from under $500 an ounce in 2016 to over $3,400 last March, leaving platinum and gold far behind. The reason for the rally was growing demand from automakers who needed more palladium per vehicle to meet tightening emission standards. However, supply could not keep up, resulting in huge shortages for some. And no less huge profits for others. Now this is changing. Electric vehicles (EVs) that don't need palladium are gaining more market share, and automakers are replacing some of the palladium with cheaper platinum in ICE vehicles. Meanwhile, the supply of recycled cars is growing as those with more palladium are being scrapped more and more. Palladium has fallen to around $1,600 an ounce, shedding more than 50 percent from its 2022 highs, and analysts are predicting an average price of just $1,150 an ounce in 2027. Analysts at Morgan Stanley predict that demand from automakers will fall by about 400,000 ounces between 2022 and 2027, while supply from car recycling will increase by 1.2 million ounces, with demand for palladium almost 90% dependent on automotive industry. This will push the market at around 11 million ounces per year to a near-million ounce surplus in 2027, they said. Russia's Norilsk Nickel, which accounts for appr. 38-40% of the world's palladium supplies, said its palladium production will fall by 8-14% this year. Techical picture indicates Palladium to Platinum metal spread erases as much as 50 percent vs. its peaked near 3.0 in 2022, whereas the Bearish market in Palladium has fully launched. The similar case has happened in early 00s when Palladium to Platinum ratio lost more than 90 percent over decade, as well as Nasdaq - major american BigTech index. Will the history fully repeat itself. Or will be written in a rhyme. Lets see.
NYMEX:PA1!
by Pandorra
Spx sp500 Before we get carried away with correction over and back to up only ideas and extreme bullishness. Let's remember to take it one step at a time. We have a few levels of R to get through 1st before we are back on to trend and back to thinking this correction is over. I Also would not ignore the fact that Risk assets are moving up while this has been going down. Possibly losing some of the capitol that has been helping to make these moves. As Risk assets go up and their tvl gains it becomes harder to move them and requires more liquidity from other places. mkt. caps are a thing, lol #spx #spy CBOE:SPX AMEX:SPY
SP:SPX
by rarebreed29
Boeing Company: The Underpressured PathBoeing results topped analyst expectations Wednesday thanks to a pickup in commercial aircraft deliveries as the manufacturer increases production, but losses in its defense and space businesses drove the manufacturer into the red for the quarter. The company generated $2.6 billion of free cash flow in the second quarter, ahead of analyst forecasts, and reiterated its full-year guidance of between $3 billion and $5 billion of free cash flow. Boeing shares surged 12.70% just in a week, and closed on Friday at $238.69, the stock’s highest closing price since November 2021. Here’s how the company performed during the period ended June 30, compared with Refinitiv consensus estimates: 👉 Adjusted loss per share: 82 cents vs. 88 cents. 👉 Revenue: $19.75 billion vs. $18.45 billion 👉 Boeing and main rival Airbus have both struggled to increase aircraft production in the wake of the Covid pandemic as some airlines face longer waits for new jets, just as travel demand rebounds. The company delivered 136 planes in the second quarter, up from 121 aircraft during the same period last year. Meanwhile just a take a look what historically happened with Boeing stocks, almost every time after 10+ percent weekly advance. In simple words - that's been a flat, or even more than 10 percent decline. Technical picture indicates that Bearish trend still is in power in NYSE:BA stocks, and 5yrs SMA is still a huge resistance.
NYSE:BA
by Pandorra
8
Nasdaq Bank Index: Putting A Bad Hair Day Into PerspectiveElon Musk still sees danger ahead for the US economy if the Fed does not contain the regional banking crisis. Financial blog Zero Hedge previously tweeted about the critical role of small and medium-sized banks in the US financial system — a hot topic following the sharp collapse this month of Silicon Valley Bank, a technology startup lender and the first bank to be taken over by regulators since the 2008 financial crisis. Small and medium banks account for 50% of commercial and industrial lending and 60% of residential real estate lending, among other loans, notes Zero Hedge with accompanying charts. “If the Fed does not contain the collapse of regional banks, there will be another Great Depression,” it wrote, referring to the economic crisis that lasted from 1929 to 1939. "This is a serious risk," Musk replied to Zero Hedge. According to the US Department of Labor, in 1933, at the height of the Great Depression, approximately 25% of the 12.8 million people in the US labor force were unemployed. This wasn't the first time Musk had intervened on his social media about the collapse of the SVB. Last week, he compared the bank failure to the Wall Street crash of the 1920s that preceded the Great Depression. "There are a lot of similarities this year with 1929," Tesla CEO said in response to a post from Ark Invest' Cathy Wood. Nasdaq Bank Index BSE:BANK includes securities of companies listed on the NASDAQ that are classified under the industry classification benchmark as banks. These include banks that provide a wide range of financial services, including retail banking, loans and money transfers. On February 5, 1971, the underlying NASDAQ Bank Index was 100 points.
NASDAQ:BANK
by Pandorra
5
Can start a trendThere are good chances from current level multiply can start a new trend to the upside, if geopolitical scenarios are settled this stock can rally very quickly specially after disclosing there positive financial results this stock didn't perform due to the same reason but with todays closing we are getting some sort of indication that buyers are again getting activated. Although this can be a short recovery, i am expecting it to go a bit higher from current level and then come down from a small correction to start a fresh trend to the upside. Hit like & follow guys ;)
ADX:MULTIPLYLong
by stalkstock