Thanks to BTC, a couple of Cathie Wood funds are about to flash A month ago Morningstar identified the ARK Innovation Fund (ARKK) as one of the largest wealth destroyers in the fund industry, with the ETF losing $7.1 billion in investors' wealth over the past decade due to its strategy of using leverage to bet against the Nasdaq-100 (NDX).
Additionally, the ARK Genomic Revolution ETF (ARKG) has shredded $4.2 billion in wealth over the same period, making it another significant underperformer within the ARK family of funds. Despite the poor performance, ARK Innovation has continued to attract investors, who pay a 0.75% annual fee, illustrating that even during favorable market conditions, there is no any guarantee of success in investing.
Ark Invest as well as lady Wood was all the rage in 2020 and 2021, when its concentrated bets on highly speculative, mostly unprofitable technology companies paid off in a big way thanks to low interest rates, monetary stimulus and a boom in risk appetite among retail investors.
The ARKK ETF destroyed $7.1 billion in wealth, while its healthcare-focused ARK Genomic ETF destroyed $4.2 billion in wealth, according to Morningstar.
Across all fund families that have destroyed wealth over the past decade, Ark Invest topped the list — and its losses with ARKK and ARKG were more than double the next firm on the list.
Despite the massive wealth destruction, ARK Invest as a business is doing just fine. The investment company still has more than $13 billion in assets across its suite of all ETFs, signaling that not all investors have abandoned Wood's investment strategy.
While the biggest value destroyers in the fund industry provide a valuable case study in how not to invest, and illustrate that there's no guarantee of success, even during a generally favorable market environment, let's take a look will recent spot BTC ETFs launch change the game or not.
Cathie Wood’s Ark Investment Management LLC is snapping up shares of the firm’s just-launched spot-Bitcoin ETF as competition among the inaugural issuers escalates.
A consistent bid from its sister fund could help give ARKB a leg-up in a highly competitive environment for spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. The Securities and Exchange Commission allowed 10 such ETFs to launch on January 11, 2024, preventing any one of them from gaining first-mover advantage.
That has set up an unusually high-stakes horse race, given that all the funds hold the same underlying asset.
Funneling the firm’s own money into an ETF is one way to gain scale quickly — an important criteria for financial advisers and platforms, many of which have minimum-asset thresholds, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
Who knows what is next.
But still it works so far, as ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) with solid 13.84% stake on Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN , as well as ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) with its massive 20% Double Powered 'Coinbase+BTC' cannon, both are on positive path in 2024.
Technical graphs for ARK Fintech Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKF (upper chart) and ARK Next Generation Internet ETF AMEX:ARKW (lower chart), thanks to recent gains in BTCUSD and Coinbase (COIN), indicates on potential Reversed Head-and-Shoulders price pattern development, being topped off with huge weekly EMA(200) breakthrough in both cases.
Stockmarketanalysis
AIQ ETF: Artificial Intelligence - Is The New One Bitcoin!?Everyone was talking about ChatGPT in the last quarter.
Investors were trading on a rush. Thanks to launch of the bot, well-known stocks, such as NVIDIA shares, have shown the highest profitability among all stocks - components of the S&P500 and Nasdaq-100 indices since the beginning of the year.
Previously low-profile AI stocks like MobilEyE Global , Ambarella , C3.ai have become more popular.
OpenAI introduced ChatGPT on November 30th, and since then it has demonstrated the ability to perform a number of tasks such as writing stock articles, firing emails, and even messaging on dating apps.
ChatGPT is a conversational AI chatbot developed by OpenAI that supports natural language queries.
The buzz exploded and blew the roof off when it was reported OpenAI is to receive a $10 billion investment from Microsoft .
Undoubtedly, the launch of ChatGPT has become one of the most disruptive topics in the financial markets in Q1 2023.
And now, at the beginning of a new quarter, here is a publication that was fully created by ChatGPT Artificial Intelligence, under request to tell a 1200-word Fantastic story Artificial intelligence Becomes The Next Bitcoin.
Good or bad, y'all be the judge. But here's what ChatGPT said...
n the year 2040, the world had seen incredible advancements in technology. The most talked-about topic was artificial intelligence (AI). AI had become a ubiquitous part of daily life; from self-driving cars to chatbots, AI was everywhere.
But there was something different about this AI. It was not just a tool to make our lives easier; it was a valuable asset that people could invest in. The AI market had become the next big thing, and some even compared it to the early days of Bitcoin.
A young man named Jack had always been fascinated by AI. He had studied computer science in college and had been working at a tech company for a few years. Jack was always looking for the next big thing, and when he heard about the AI market, he knew he had to get involved.
At first, Jack was hesitant to invest his money in something that seemed so new and untested. But as he researched more and more, he became convinced that AI was the future. He decided to take the plunge and invested all of his savings into an AI startup called Mindworks.
The startup had a revolutionary new product that used AI to predict market trends. It was unlike anything else on the market, and investors were taking notice. The company's stock began to rise, and soon Jack's investment was worth ten times what he had put in.
Jack was thrilled with his investment, but he knew that the market was volatile. He had seen what had happened with Bitcoin; it had soared to incredible heights before crashing down. He didn't want to make the same mistake.
As he watched the market closely, he noticed that there were other startups popping up all over the place. Some were using AI to create better healthcare solutions, while others were developing AI-powered robots that could do jobs humans couldn't.
Jack realized that the AI market was growing fast, and he needed to stay on top of things if he wanted to continue to make money. He decided to start a blog where he could share his insights into the AI market and offer advice to other investors.
The blog quickly became popular, and Jack was soon seen as an expert in the field. He was invited to speak at conferences and was even featured on news programs. He was living the dream, making money from something he loved and helping others do the same.
But as the AI market continued to grow, so did the competition. The startups that had once been small and unknown were now getting funding from big-name investors. The market was becoming saturated, and it was becoming harder and harder to stand out.
Jack knew that he needed to do something to differentiate himself from the competition. He decided to create an AI-powered platform that could analyze the market data in real-time and make investment recommendations.
It took months of hard work, but Jack finally launched his platform. It was an instant success, and investors were lining up to use it. Jack's platform was unlike anything else on the market, and it quickly became the go-to tool for AI investors.
As the market continued to grow, so did Jack's wealth. He had become a millionaire, thanks to his investments in the AI market. But he never forgot his roots and continued to offer advice to other investors through his blog.
The AI market had become the next big thing, and Jack had been there from the beginning. He had seen the potential of AI and had taken a chance on something new and untested. And now, he was reaping the rewards.
As he looked back on his journey, he realized that he had become a part of something much bigger than himself. The AI market was changing the world, and he had played a small part in making that happen.
Jack knew that there would be ups and downs in the market, but he was confident that AI was here to stay. It was the future, and he was excited to see where it would take us.
The end.
The main chart illustrates that the Bearish Trend in AIQ ETF - Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF is also - the end 😊
EXPO.N0000 - How to buy and sellBuy and Sell zones mentioned in the chart.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BIL.N0000 - Strong Support, Buy and Sell ZonesIf you missed the chance to buy BIL less than 5, you can wait for a pullback to buy zone in the chart.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
WATA.N0000Buy Zone - 70 to 75
Target - 85+
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
ELPL.N0000Entry Point: 85 - 90
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
SLT.N0000Forming a triangle pattern in daily chart. SLT is also protecting in 200EMA line.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Tempur Sealy (TPX) Acquisition and Product Launch Trade Setup! 📊 Analysis:
Acquisition of Mattress Firm: NYSE:TPX has acquired Mattress Firm in a strategic move valued at approximately $4 billion.
Vertical Integration: The acquisition complements product development and manufacturing capabilities with vertically integrated retail.
New Flagship Products: Launch of new flagship products addresses consumer pain points and contributes to potential explosive revenue growth.
Entry Point: Consider entry above the $47.00-$48.00 range.
Upside Target: Bullish sentiment suggests an upside target in the $75.00-$77.00 range.
🌐 Note: Stay updated on the integration progress, market reception of new products, and industry trends.
🍽️ Nomad Foods (NOMD) Strategic Initiatives Trade Setup! 🚀🍽️📊 Analysis:
Strategic Initiatives: NYSE:NOMD is making strategic moves, including increased marketing spend and innovation focus.
Playing Offense: Described as "playing offense" in 2024, emphasizing core business and innovation.
Marketing Boost: Increased marketing spend is expected to contribute to impressive top-line growth.
Entry Point: Consider entry above the $17.00-$17.50 range.
Upside Target: Bullish sentiment suggests an upside target in the $27.00-$28.00 range.
🌐 Note: Stay informed about NOMD's ongoing strategic developments and monitor market trends for additional insights.
DOW JONES - We Could See A Major Collapse Within 12 Months...I've compiled my latest comprehensive analysis of the stock market, as I strongly believe it offers crucial insights into market psychology, spanning across Cryptos, Stocks, and various assets.
To dispel any notions of spreading fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), I meticulously outline the pattern and highlight key levels to monitor. Should this analysis hold true, it would elucidate why Cryptos might experience further decline, particularly considering many were introduced at the market's peak, potentially reflecting the rampant speculation prevailing in all sectors.
While I evaluate each chart independently, the broader implications on market psychology could catalyze a widespread sell-off across all markets.
Please keep in mind: This methodology isn't based on Elliott Wave theory, so any assumptions suggesting otherwise would reflect a misunderstanding on your part. AriasWave is a unique approach I've developed over almost a decade.
Major Indices: Macro SR Fibonacci SchematicsHere we have every major American indices in the world including the S&P-500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and the Russell 2000. This list excludes major foreign indices. For this idea, we have 2 boxes per indices. This is so we have room to include all schematics in the blueprint (chart). Let us define each indices and then we can talk about what makes each individual box up.
1. S&P-500 = (Standard and Poor's 500) Largest publicly traded companies in the US. (Benchmark for the overall US stock market and economy)
2. DJIA = (The Dow Jones Industrial Average) Tracks 30 large, publicly owned blue chip companies. Indicator of the health of the US economy, especially in the Industrial sector.
3. NASDAQ Composite = Heavily weighted towards the tech sector. Includes 3,000 stocks/all stocks listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange.
4. RUSSELL 2000 = Measures performance of 2,000 smaller-cap American companies. There's a distinct difference from the small cap measurement of the Russell and big caps like the S&P.
Now, each set of boxes are entirely different. There are no schematics in more than one box AT ALL. EVERY SINGLE BOX is 100% unique. Now that we know this lets examine...
1. Both S&P boxes include the following. 2 sets of schematics, a set of fib circle pairs, and a set of Fib Forks for EACH BOX.
2. Both DOW JONES chart have a schematic each. The 1st box has a set of fib circles but not the 2nd. The 2nd has a set of Fib Forks and so does the 1st.
3. Both NASDAQ boxes have a schematic each. Also, each has a set of Fib Spikes AND Fib Forks.
4. Both RUSSELL boxes have a schematic each. Each has sets of Fib Forks with the important ones highlighted in either black, yellow, or white to show the variety and how each different set reacts differently.
One must see that the different thickness and colors of separate sets of schematics are to distinguish them from its surroundings. My own forged Market Theory is that there is a BASE SET of Fib Extensions in the background which makes up our structure. Then, in the foreground, we have our Fib Spikes and then we lay over our Fib Forks. Finally, we have a totally finished, CLUSTERED, Schematic. SO, every single schematic that I make is all just individual schematics clustered together.
ASI Weekly Chart Update - 07/03/2024ASI touched 11000 level after few weeks. This is a critical level and it needs to close upper trend line in this triangle pattern.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Why I technically feel, Tesla is ready to build 30X againKeep It Simple and Trade With the Trend.
As a trader, you have probably heard the old adage that it is best to "trade with the trend." The trend, say all the pundits, is your friend. This is sage advice as long as you know and can accept that the trend can end. And then the trend is not your friend. There are multiple ways to spot trends, direction, and momentum.
So how can we determine the direction of the trend?
Let's take a look on the KISS rule, which says, "Keep it (as much as possible) simple, stupid!" Here is a method of determining the trend, and a simple method of anticipating the end of the trend.
Before we've started, it should be mentioned the importance of time frames in determining the trend. Usually, when we are analyzing long-term investments, the long-term time frame (one-week or larger) dominates the shorter time frames. However, for intraday purposes, the shorter time frame could be of greater value. Trades can be divided into three classes of trading styles or segments: the intra-day, the swing, and the position trade.
Large commercial traders, such as those companies setting up production in a foreign country, might be interested in the fate of the currency over a long period of such as months or years. But for speculators, a weekly chart can be accepted as the "long-term".
Averages Moving in Pairs
With a weekly chart as the initial reference, we can then go about determining the long-term trend for a speculative trader. To do this, we will resort to two very useful tools that will help us determine the stage of the trend. These two tools are the simple moving average and the exponential moving average.
Going further and keeping in mind all the mentioned above rules, lets build the trend.
Darlings, well graphed Tesla stocks trend is still the same as in 2019, where it started 30x gain.
Anybody tried to get all the path at those times? There's a chance you'll miss it again!
💊 Blueprint Medicines: Positive Momentum and Growth Prospects! 📊 Analysis NASDAQ:BPMC :
Financial Performance: 90% YoY growth in net-product revenues from U.S. sales of Ayvakit, a drug for certain cancers.
Market Prospects: Positive market response to Ayvakit's unique clinical profile.
CEO's Confidence: CEO's confidence in the company's future contributes to its momentum.
📈 Bullish Sentiment:
Entry Range: Suggested entry above the $83.00-$84.00 range.
Upside Target: Aiming for an upside in the $120.00-$125.00 range.
🌐 Note: Monitor BPMC's ongoing developments and market performance! 📊💹 #BPMC #Biotech #BullishSentiment 💊📈
⚕️ Tenet Healthcare (THC): Positive Outlook in 2024! 🏥📈📊 Analysis:
Positive Outlook: NYSE:THC anticipates continued organic volume growth, strong patient acuity, and effective cost management in 2024.
Strategic Move: Alleviated long-term debt by selling three hospitals in South Carolina for $2.4 billion in cash.
Financial Performance: Strong finish to the year with an attractive adjusted EBITDA margin.
📈 Bullish Sentiment:
Entry Range: Suggested entry above the $77.00-$78.00 range.
Upside Target: Aiming for an upside in the $145.00-$147.00 range.
🌐 Note: Monitor THC's performance in line with its outlined strategies and financial results! 📊💹 #THC #HealthcareOutlook #BullishSentiment 🏥📈
GME's Swing to $290? Falling Wedge Breakout Alert! 📊✨
GameStop's Falling Wedge Formation: A Swing Trade Analysis
Introduction:
In the ever-volatile realm of the stock market, GameStop (Ticker: GME) has caught the eye of traders once again with its intriguing chart pattern formation. A closer look reveals a falling wedge setup, a classic bullish pattern that suggests a potential reversal from the downtrend.
Analysis:
The falling wedge pattern in GME's chart is characterized by converging trend lines that have been forming over the past months. This pattern typically indicates that the selling pressure is starting to wane, and a bullish reversal might be on the horizon.
As we dissect the chart, the immediate target for this swing trade appears to be the top of the wedge. This level, acting as a significant resistance in the past, could be the first milestone GME might hit as it attempts to reverse its downtrend.
Long-Term Swing Target:
Looking beyond the immediate resistance, the longer-term target for GME could be in the vicinity of the ~$290 region. This ambitious target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upwards from the breakout point, a common practice among traders to determine potential swing targets in wedge patterns.
Strategic Considerations:
For traders considering this setup, it's crucial to wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge pattern. Volume should accompany this breakout to validate the move, providing a stronger conviction for the long position.
Risk Management:
As with any trade, risk management is paramount. Setting a stop-loss below the lower trend line of the wedge or at a recent swing low inside the wedge can help mitigate potential losses should the pattern fail to materialize as expected.
Conclusion:
The falling wedge formation on GameStop's chart presents an intriguing opportunity for swing traders. With a careful approach, focusing on confirmation and risk management, this setup could offer a favorable risk-reward ratio, aiming first for the top of the wedge and then potentially for the longer-term target in the ~$290 region.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
MOEX Russia Index. The epic 52-weeks breakthrough expectedRussia’s trapped domestic investors push stock market to 2-years high.
Russia’s stock market (so-called, Moscow Exchange Index MOEX:IMOEX ) has climbed recently to its highest level in 2 years as domestic retail investors with nowhere else to go snap up the dividend-paying stocks that sold off heavily following the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
A rise of more than 100 per cent since March, 2022 low has pushed the MOEX index to levels last hit in early February 2022, before Russian President Vladimir Putin announces so-called "special military operation" that sent Russia’s equity market into freefall.
The market’s partial rebound over the two years has come despite the imposition of countless western sanctions designed to cripple Russia’s financial system.
The Kremlin responded to the measures by blocking most foreign traders from exiting their investments and capping the amount of money Russians can stash in foreign bank accounts.
Due to U.S. Department of Treasury and Euroclear sanctions, money is trapped.
Where do you put it but on the exchange?
Deprived of investment opportunities abroad (because of stupid, a nazi-like sanctions), Russians have piled their savings into the likes of Lukoil, Gazprom and Sberbank, which combined account for about 40 per cent of the stock market’s total value.
“Russian retail investors have always been about dividends,” said Sofya Donets, chief Russia economist at Renaissance Capital, a Moscow investment bank.
The Russian stock market’s recent rally bears some resemblance to the surprisingly strong performance of the Borsa Istanbul 100 last year.
Russia’s economy has also held up better than expected.
For many domestic Russian retail investors, nothing has changed compared to before the conflicted started, as the economy is doing OK.
Big dividend payers like state-owned Sberbank, whose shares are up 71 per cent trailing 12 months, are attractive to most Russians and now they’re some of the few investment options available.
Even so, foreign investors not banned by sanctions have kept well clear of the Moex since an exodus last February, when central bank figures show non-residents shed about Rbs170bn ($2.2bn) worth of Russian stocks. Trading volumes on the Moex slumped 41 per cent year on year in 2022.
There is a “close-to-zero chance” that foreigners whose Russian holdings have in effect been frozen will be allowed to sell out of their positions.
Perhaps there could be an artificial settlement, some kind of exchange for holdings frozen for Russian investors outside of Russia.
In technical terms, IMOEX graph is near to break 52-weeks highs, following 26-weeks SMA, with further upside opportunities to reach 4000 points and new historical highs.
DIAL.N0000Wait for a pullback
Buy Zone - 8.7 to 8.9
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
ASI Update on 26022024Support Zone - 10150 to 10350
Resistance Zone - 10800 to 11000
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
♨ Nvidia stocks are heading Up to recover, after September meltNvidia stocks moved higher in early Monday trading after analysts at Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS added the chipmaker, along with three other stocks, to its flagship list of stock recommendations.
Goldman Sachs analysts added Nvidia to the bank's "Americas Conviction List", a step up from the 'buy' rating it assigned to the stock in late August, while holding its price target in place at $605 per share.
"Look for Nvidia to maintain its statues as the accelerated computing industry standard for the foreseeable futures given its competitive moat and the urgency with which customers are developing and deploying increasingly complex AI models," Goldman argued.
The bank also added cybersecurity group Okta NASDAQ:OKTA , industrial supply group Cintas NASDAQ:CTAS and biotech Quanterix NASDAQ:QTRX to the "conviction buy" list while removing Salesforce NYSE:CRM and Johnson Controls NYSE:JCI .
Nvidia, the world's biggest AI chipmaker, forecast current quarter revenues of around $16 billion in August when it published stronger-than-expected second quarter earnings and later unveiled an make it easier for clients to run AI applications on Google Cloud NASDAQ:GOOGL using Nvidia-made chips with deeper integration between hardware and software offerings.
"We’re at an inflection point where accelerated computing and generative AI have come together to speed innovation at an unprecedented pace," said CEO Jensen Huang of the Google agreement. "Our expanded collaboration with Google Cloud will help developers accelerate their work with infrastructure, software and services that supercharge energy efficiency and reduce costs."
Nvidia shares were marked 3% higher in early Monday trading to change hands at $ 448 /share. The stock is up more than 200% for this year, and reached an all-time high of $487.84 on Aug 29, 2023.
Technical picture says, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA stocks are still on its positive path, and trading above 6- and 12-months simple moving averages.
Moreover the key breakout of technical indicator known as "a Triangle" is happening right here as stocks are recovering form the bearish hug.
🔁 Are Trimble Stocks Ready For Rebound To Pre-Inflation Highs Trimble is a company that specializes in software for navigation, guidance, and control of equipment for various industries, including construction and agriculture, trades at $54 per share, about 37% below the level seen two years ago in December 2021.
Looking at a slightly longer term, NASDAQ:TRMB stock has faced a notable decline of 25% from levels of $65 in early January 2021 to around $50 now, vs. an increase of about 25% for the S&P 500 over this roughly 3-year period. However, the decrease in NASDAQ:TRMB stock has been far from consistent. Returns for the stock were 31% in 2021, -42% in 2022, and about 5% in 2023.
In comparison, returns for the SP:SPX have been 27% in 2021, -19% in 2022, and 25% in 2023 - indicating that NASDAQ:TRMB underperformed the S&P in 2022 and 2023.
In fact, consistently beating the S&P 500 - equally in good times and in bad - has been quite difficult over recent years for individual stocks.
Given the current uncertain macroeconomic environment with high oil prices that still above its 5 years SMA, and elevated interest rates, lets take a look could NASDAQ:TRMB face a similar situation as it did in 2022 and 2023 and underperform the S&P over the next 12 months - or will it see a recovery?
Returning to almost pre-inflation shock high of around $80 means that NASDAQ:TRMB stock will have to gain about 50% from here, so potentially that will not materialize anytime in extremely fast mode.
Meanwhile the main technical graph says NASDAQ:TRMB stock getting a support around $40 level and breaks out its major 52-weeks SMA resistance first time over the past 5 years. Following this, it can takes the time while potentially NASDAQ:TRMB stock is ok to recover the next one pre-inflation $80-85 level.