Stock market correction in 2025??I personally believe we'll see a stock market correction in 2025.
1. 30yr treasury yield going higher while FED cut interest rates. Similar situation in 1970s and 1980s where we say a 50% correction in just 2 years in the 1970s (can't remember exact dates)
2. US 10yr/3m yield curve has turned positive. Last times it's done this has been 2000, 2008 and 2020. I'm guessing you know what happened each of those times.
3. Institutional investors increasing long contracts in the yen. The Japanese Yen is a 'risk-off' investment and investors tend to favour it when they don't have much faith in the stock market.
4. US have a volatile president in Trump. The power also seems to be getting to his head a bit - he disagrees with Fed Chair Powell over interest rates, despite not being as educated in economics. He has a lot of power right now and I don't think he will be able to stop a potential market crash for the first year or 2 of his presidency.
5. Back-to-back 20%+ years from the S&P500, could be due a pullback.
These are some reasons, I have some more but I don't want to be sat here writing all day.
Important to note that if you're a long term investor it's best to just ignore this. "Time in the markets beats timing the markets" as they say.
But if you're a day trader I wouldn't be taking many long positions on stocks this year. Could be better to start looking at opportunities in the currency markets.
Then again - you don't have to trust me. This isn't financial advice, just my opinion.
Stockmarketanalysis
My Current Market Sentiment Through March 2025 Hello Trader Fam,
In this video I am covering my current market sentiment through March or even April of this year. Along with this, we'll take a closer look at the dollar, the vix, the spy, NVIDIA, U.S. Oil, and Crypto - (Bitcoin, Dominance, Solana, Solana memecoins, AI genned memecoins, etc.). We'll talk a bit about my indicator and what it is showing us and why it has me leaning bullish but why I am cautious with Bitcoin in the lead.
✌️Stew
Where is the Stock Market Heading? Forecast & Analysis thread!Where is the Stock Market Heading? 📈📉
Stock Market Forecast & Analysis🧵
In this thread, we’re breaking it down for you:
-TA on TVC:VIX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM TVC:VIX
-Economic Data
-Insights & Predictions
Let's dive in friends!
Not financial advice
NASDAQ:QQQ
Monthly Chart analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-We are above 9ema and smoothing avg.
Most importantly we are still within our Williams Consolidation Box which is my personal strategy I use with the Wr%. As long as we stay within the confines of this Box we will continue to climb higher on the Q's outside of pullbacks.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Held volume shelf
-Wicked back above 9ema (BULLISH)
-Ascending triangle patterns Measured Move has not been realized yet. $580
-Created a Hammer Candle which is a reversal candle found at the bottom of downtrends, pullback, or corrections.
Had a Normal 6% Pullback and bounced hard around the S/R Zone. Everything I'm seeing is BULLISH going into CES2025 week and I believe we continue back to ATH's!
TVC:VIX
First up we have the Volatility AMEX:SPY Index which spiked up due to the FED dropping a FUD Nuke on the markets heading and causing the largest one day volatility spike in 2024.
But, as you see below we have fallen in line since that day. We have created a bearish flag pattern and broken down through the base and should continue to flush lower.
Keep in mind 60-70% of breakouts (either direction) come back to retest the point of the breakout area. Could see this happen with FOMC minutes being released this Wednesday.
AMEX:SPY
Monthly Chart analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-We are above 9ema and smoothing avg.
-Wicked off previous resistance flipped into support
Most importantly we are still within our Williams Consolidation Box and thriving! $650 2025 PT!
Weekly Chart Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Wicked back above smoothing line
-Created a Hammer Candle right above 9ema
Had a Normal 4.35% Pullback and bounced hard around the S/R Zone. Everything I'm seeing is BULLISH going into CES2025 week and I believe we continue back to ATH's on the SPY!
AMEX:IWM
As I've stated in other posts the CAPITALCOM:RTY typically runs and plays catchup to the SPY and QQQ towards the end of bull runs and before the big corrections or crash comes.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
-At the bottom of an uptrend channel
-Sitting on a massive volume shelf
-At a massive S/R area
-At the retest point for the Multi-Year CupnHandle breakout! With a Measured Move up to $306. Thats the same measurement of the CAPITALCOM:RTY catching back up to the $SPY.
ECONOMICS:USCIR - Core Inflation Rate YoY
Inflation is dead and falling like a rock! I don't hold any weight into what the FED was saying about inflation when he was the Grinch and spreading FUD.
The FED is always to slow to do what is needed to be done and right now that is to continue to cut before things in the economy start to break due to higher rates. They raised rates to SLOW and they are choosing to cut rates to SLOW!
What I'm seeing is we will continue to fall with small pockets of bounce backs in inflation on the overall down trend to sub 3 then sub 2 as you can see on the chart with the yellow levels.
Overall Economic numbers are very positive and have been beating what the experts have been forecasting in December.
We have some more data coming out this week and we will see if that trend continues.
Like I said in a separate post, the FED has been talking about a boogeyman and spreading FUD but the DATA and NUMBERS show the BOOGEYMAN isn't REAL!
Thanks for reading friend! If you enjoyed this analysis and forecast of the markets please like/ follow/ share if you feel I deserved it!
ALL SOCIALS/ LINKS IN SIGNATURE BELOW AND PROFILE.
🦘🦘 Aussie Kangaroo Returns Home In The OutbackThe Australian dollar has been taking a bath. It’s gone from buying 71 US cents at the beginning of the year to netting you just 63.3 US cents against the benchmark greenback.
The dollar is down over the last year against most currencies, and down over the past few weeks against almost every currency.
The humble Aussie dollar is suffering in particular against European currencies: Pound Sterling, the Swiss Franc and the Euro.
However, even in Japan where the AUD is up over the year so far, it is down in recent weeks.
What’s going on? The answer is two-fold.
👉 America’s economy is stronger than expected. And China is weaker, so Chinese yuan has little to no chance of dethroning the US dollar, even as global de-dollarization happens.
👉 Australia gets hit on both of those trades.
Difference between 10-Year United States and Australian Govt Debt becomes lower
Technical graph for FX:AUDUSD indicates that Aussie has a lot down to deliver.
Suntek realtyFrom the Covid low of 145 zone prices have given a rally for two years and made a high of 590 in Jan'22. From there prices have retraced 50% and made a low of 272 and recovered back to hit new all time high.
Prices have made a continuation Head & shoulders pattern whose neckline is 500 zone. Prices have given the breakout the neckline and currently retesting the same. The measured target of the pattern is 950 zone.
Prices are likely to continue the uptrend towards 950-1000 zone in the coming months. The key level for the same is 380.
2025 STOCK MARKET PREVIEW – It's a BEAST!2025 Stock Market Preview – It's a BEAST!
You are going to want to watch this video as it's JAM packed with great information for the new year! It may be long but aren't you trying to learn and become a better investor or trader?!
Get ready for 1 HOUR of action-packed, game-changing insights:
-Economic data
-Technical analysis on NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
-My 2025 predictions
-How to prep for the next stock market crash
-How I'll be monitoring the markets
What do you think will happen in 2025? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
You won't find this much FREE CONTENT anywhere else! Let's dive in!
We already bottomed, you just don't know it yet! NASDAQ:QQQ
We already bottomed, you just don't know it yet!
Daily Chart analysis:
A look back at 2024 shows us that every time we have come down to the Green support line on the Wr% we've bounced hard all the way back up to the red barrier.
It coincides with every time we've went below the 9ema that this occurs then we rocket back up. This time could be different but what I'm seeing on the weekly chart as well it doesn't look like it to me as we've already rebound back above the 9ema to this point.
I'm just a nerd who loves all things stock market, I'm no oracle but from my TA and my GUT we should bounce hard heading into the new year and back up to ATH's in January friends!
Not financial advice.
THIS will take place before the end of this BULL RUNAMEX:IWM CAPITALCOM:RTY AMEX:TNA
HERE ME NOW!
This CupnHandle Retest then move Higher will be the final DRIVE of this Bull Market before we get that 20% or more crash!
This will send us to a measured move of $306 and play the catchup to the AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ to conclude the bull run. Timeframe is before Nov2027 so it could be awhile but I'm making my call!
Not financial advice
ASI - Bull cycle for stock market in Sri lankaLong term targets for ASI indicated in above chart.
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
PLC.N0000 - Long term viewWait for pullback to 7 to 9
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
LIOC.N00001. Key Technical Observations:
Price Breakout:
The stock has broken above a critical resistance level at 122 LKR (DR). This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum in the short term.
Trendline Resistance:
The stock is currently testing the descending trendline resistance (black diagonal line). A clear breakout above this trendline with volume confirmation could trigger a move toward higher levels.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 124.50 LKR (current level) – needs a daily close above this zone to confirm a continuation of the uptrend.
Support Levels:
117.75 LKR (DM): Acts as immediate support.
115.75 LKR (DS): A fallback support zone.
111 LKR (WM): A key weekly support zone.
2. Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is at 74.14, indicating that the stock is overbought. This suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or consolidation.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line has crossed above the signal line with increasing green histogram bars, signaling a bullish crossover and momentum.
3. Volume and Sentiment:
The breakout above 122 LKR occurred with significant volume, signaling strong buyer interest and bullish sentiment.
Volume confirmation is crucial for validating further upward moves.
4. Potential Targets:
If the stock breaks above the current 124.50 resistance and the descending trendline, the next potential targets are:
130 - 135 LKR Zone (based on previous highs).
Followed by higher levels depending on momentum.
Failure to sustain above 124.50 could see the price retesting supports at 117.75 LKR or 111 LKR.
AMZN: Are We Heading to $247 or Taking a Quick Dip First? Hey Mindbloome Family, here’s my take on Amazon (AMZN) right now:
1️⃣ If we break above $233, I think we’ll see a strong move up to $246–$247.
2️⃣ If we don’t break just yet, we could see a pullback to one of these levels first:
$225
$221
$215
From there, I’m still looking for a bounce back up to $246.
3️⃣ If we break below $215, that’s when we’ll need to pause and reassess the plan.
Wellness Tip: Don’t underestimate a good night’s sleep. Trading with a clear, rested mind makes all the difference—you’ll see the charts more clearly and make better decisions.
What’s your take—do we break through to $247, or are we dipping first? Let me know! If you want to chat more or dive deeper into this setup, check out my profile or send me a DM.
KRIS/MINDBLOOME EXCHANGE
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE
Get Ready for a MASSIVE Week Ahead! Watch now! 🚨 Get Ready for a MASSIVE Week Ahead! 🚨
Don't miss out on preparing for the upcoming week and the year-end Santa Claus Rally! Make sure to watch this entire video to stay ahead of the game.
📊 In this video, we'll cover:
-Major economic news and events
-Market trends for NASDAQ:QQQ , AMEX:SPY , and AMEX:IWM
-Latest updates on all current H5 Trades such as NYSE:HIMS NASDAQ:MBLY NYSE:SQ NASDAQ:MARA NYSE:FUBO & more!
This video is JAM-PACKED with insights and valuable gems you don't want to miss! 💎
Buckle up and check it out now! 👇
Nifty Intraday/ monthly view - CPR Fibonacci After a big move on Friday today market has created a wide CPR so don't expect big move today market may remain in the range, Market will try to trap buyer as well as seller
Intraday levels - nifty can go max down till 24557, can face a resistance at 24858
Monthly view
Keep bullish view - if market closes above 24858 keeping a target of 25120
Market is in clear up trend keep by on dips strategy don't keep too much bearish view until an unless it closes below 23873 that is 61.8 %
views are personal. Not investment advice
Green Panel Soars Past ₹397! Bigger Targets Ahead!Green Panel on the 4-hour timeframe has entered a long trade setup, with TP1 successfully achieved at ₹397.35. The trade setup is based on the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , providing precise entry and target levels for a confident trade.
Green Panel Key Levels:
TP1: ₹397.35 ✅
TP2: ₹441.75
TP3: ₹486.15
TP4: ₹513.60
Technical Analysis:
The entry price at ₹369.90 has shown a strong breakout, quickly hitting the first profit target. The stop-loss is set at ₹347.70, ensuring disciplined risk management.
The price is moving above the Risological trend line, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. As the setup remains intact, traders can aim for higher targets with a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Namaste!
Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 9th📊Stock Market Weekly Preview: NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
In this video, we’re diving into:
🔹Stock Market & Economic News
🔹Market Direction
🔹My H5 Tools & Strategies
🔹New & Current Trades
Let’s dive in and uncover the insights you need to stay informed and strategic! 👇
Waiting and Waiting For The Generational Top Man, SPX has really doubled since I first wrote about the possibility of a generational top in markets, back in 2018. In that time, have there been material improvements to our quality of life? Have economic conditions for the average person actually gotten better? Instead, it seems, market orchestrators are finding new ways to profit in the digital age - digital currencies, leverage on digital currencies, leverage on companies who buy digital currencies with leverage...more and more leverage. Extract more and more profit from people's attention. Gamify trading and our lived experiences.
Looking at the long term monthly chart for SPX, historical crashes have had price drop below the 200 month Moving Average (teal). Price has also tended to gravitate towards that purple trendline eventually. It has not touched since 2009. Before 2009, it had not touched since 1982. That's 27 years. If we see a similar gap, we wouldn't see a generational bottom until 2036, or over a decade from now.
Perhaps some caution should be exercised. Price has ventured to the top purple trendline. When price gets up there, it tends to appear overvalued, which may indicate that a mean reversion must occur. Here it is zoomed in, showing a weekly bearish divergence.
There's also the Great Depression Fractal. This could easily (in hindsight) be a blowoff phase. Previous ideas about this are linked below.
I was obviously off the mark when I first posted about this in 2018, but I still think it's work looking at, as a point of interest. Not as a prediction, per se, but as an example of how bad a crash could get at these levels. Once the Dow broke above the orange megaphone, price more than doubled before crashing. At current levels, price has now more than doubled from the breakout point.
A number of external factors are at play - rising populism/authoritarianism, rising global conflict...all symptoms of challenges with resources. Things are shaky up here. Time will tell. Great resets offer great opportunities.
This is meant for speculation only!
-Victor Cobra
Nasdaq100 ETF - $QQQ - LET ME TALK TO YA!Nasdaq100 ETF - NASDAQ:QQQ - LET ME TALK TO YA! 🗣️
The charts know better than any FUD FURU just using whatever data to get their point across (metrics, valuation data, economic data, and valuation formulas). Unless you can get everyone on this planet to align to include the charts you or me don't know what this market will do at the end of the day/week/month/year!
Now that we got that out of the way as a follow up to all the fear spreading top callers, lets talk about the charts!
Just like with NASDAQ:AMZN we need to give room for retests, we had an ascending triangle, our H5 Indicator stayed green and so we gave the candlestick and ascending triangle pattern retest some wiggle room! Thus allowing for the bounce off the H5/ 9Ema and breaking back out over top of the pattern which is HIGHLY BULLISH as we have a successful retest now. I expect to claw back to ATH's now very soon!
Williams R% is also respecting the consolidation box and uptrend at the same time as seen on the chart. No bullet points just a lot of words and thoughts! Here's a chart too:
🎯$560
🎯$580
NFA