Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY!I believe Markets have Bottomed - Here's WHY! NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM CBOE:MAGS TVC:VIX
In this video, I will go over what I believe is going on in the markets and where we will go next from here.
Doing all this while looking at all the probabilities and what they are telling us.
Not financial advice
Stockmarketanalysis
ASI Update - 17/02/2025🔹 The ASI Index remains in a strong uptrend, with bullish momentum pushing prices towards major resistance zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance:
17,837 → 1.618 Fibonacci Extension and a critical resistance level.
17,093 - 17,092 → Short-term resistance before Fib extension.
🔻 Support:
16,728 → Key support if ASI pulls back.
16,242 - 15,523 → Major demand zones.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If 17,837 is broken with volume, ASI could continue its rally towards new highs.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break resistance may lead to a pullback towards 16,728 or lower support levels.
📝 Conclusion:
ASI remains bullish, but traders should watch for reactions at resistance levels.
A breakout above 17,837 would confirm further upside, while a pullback would provide potential re-entry zones.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 👇
#CSE #ASI #SriLankaStocks #StockMarket #TradingView
Ethereum — 2025. The Lord Giveth and Taketh Away (Caution! 18+)Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors.
Historical Context of Trump's Views on Cryptocurrency
Trump has a mixed history with cryptocurrencies, as we mentioned in earlier published ideas. Initially, he labeled them a "scam", "based on thin air" as well as "threat to the U.S. dollar" and expressed skepticism about their value, stating that they are not real money and are highly volatile. However, in recent months, he has shifted his stance somewhat, reportedly owning between $1 million and $5 million in Ethereum as of August 2024. Despite this personal investment, his public comments continue to reflect a critical view of the crypto market.
Impact of Recent Tariffs on Ethereum
The most immediate cause of concern for Ethereum investors has been Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. This decision triggered a significant sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum experiencing a drastic price drop of over 26% in just one day. The overall cryptocurrency market lost nearly half a trillion dollars in value following these announcements, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trade policies and digital asset valuations.
The tariffs have led to increased uncertainty among investors, prompting many to liquidate their positions in riskier assets like Ethereum. This reaction is indicative of a broader trend where geopolitical tensions and economic policies directly influence cryptocurrency prices. Analysts noted that such trade policies could lead to inflationary pressures and a stronger dollar, making cryptocurrencies less attractive to international buyers.
Future Outlook for Ethereum Under Trump's Administration
Looking ahead, Trump's administration is likely to focus on stricter regulations for cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in enhanced oversight that may slow down the adoption of Ethereum by businesses and individuals. However, there is also potential for increased legitimacy if clear regulations are established.
Moreover, Trump's interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further complicate the landscape for Ethereum. As the U.S. explores its digital dollar initiative, Ethereum's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem could face stiff competition from state-backed digital currencies.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on Bearish trend in development, since mid-December 2024, with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House.
Key support considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 in this time) and $2200 flat multi bottom, that helps so far; otherwise (in case of breakthrough) we believe it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart.
Conclusion
In summary, while Trump’s personal investment in Ethereum marks a notable shift from his previous criticisms, his administration's policies—especially regarding tariffs—have created a challenging environment for Ethereum investors. The combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic factors will likely continue to influence Ethereum's market performance in the near future.
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline:
High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks.
Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility.
Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices.
Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market.
Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance.
Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains.
Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize.
// While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again.
Best wishes,
PandorraResearch Team 😎
What's happening in Indian Stock Market-Nifty Update 21 Feb 2025Hello Members,
Checkout the latest update on what's is happening in India Stock Market and when will the correction in market gets over. Checkout the levels and also do not forget to watch watch our previous videos for better understanding the levels
Robinhood (HOOD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD is a pioneer in commission-free trading, catering to younger investors with its intuitive, mobile-first platform. The company’s ecosystem includes 25.1 million investment accounts and $152 billion in assets under custody, creating opportunities for recurring revenue streams and cross-selling financial products.
Key Catalysts:
CME Futures Integration 📊
The recent integration of CME Group futures trading allows users access to commodities and index futures, expanding Robinhood’s offerings for more advanced traders. This could add over $200 million in annual revenue, enhancing platform monetization.
Crypto Market Expansion ₿
With a strong presence in bitcoin and ether trading, Robinhood is well-positioned to capitalize on growth in crypto adoption, particularly as regulatory clarity improves in the U.S.
Recurring Revenue Streams 💵
Robinhood’s diversified revenue base includes interest income, premium subscriptions (Robinhood Gold), and securities lending, all of which provide consistent income and bolster financial stability.
Expanding User Base 📈
Continued growth in Robinhood’s user base and account activity drives the platform’s potential for monetization, supported by new product launches and user engagement strategies.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on HOOD above the $46.00-$47.00 range, supported by product expansion, crypto growth, and increasing user engagement.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $80.00-$82.00, reflecting confidence in Robinhood’s ability to diversify revenue streams and capitalize on new financial products.
📢 Robinhood—Redefining Retail Trading with Innovation and Expansion. #CommissionFreeTrading #HOOD #Crypto
Is Calvin Klein BRAT?I am going to embarrass myself here and tell you that I did not know that PVH was a listed company, and it owns Calvin Klein! D’oh!
They also own Tommy Hilfiger. You may think of CK as mostly a marketer of bras, underwear and so on. But for a while they were a force in American fashion — a kind of utilitarian, Carolyn Bassette-Kennedy vision of sporty chic. They just had their first fashion show in 7 years, and they hired ex-Celine assistant designer Veronica Leoni. The show felt like a retrospective in a sense, and it mostly drew from Raf Simon’s era there — critically praised but didn’t sell. I guess the question though, is, how do the new clothes translate into product? After all, CK has great marketing — and a great brand — but the product, other than bras and undies — is not there.
Remains to be seen. Right now PVH is a bit of a shitshow — I mean, there are fires everywhere:
Not only has China just blacklisted it, they also have their manufacturing agreement with G-III ending in 2027. They’ve said they’d like to onshore, but that’s easier said than done — people forget how integrated China is in the manufacturing process. You can’t just magic up that scale overnight!
In other words, there’s a reason it trades at 6x earnings. Is CK brat? No.
Reminds me of a few other US retail stocks — VF Corp, for one, which makes Vans and The North Face. Fine product, but cyclical as anything — too much of a hostage to retail stores. No margin. Not brat either.
This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
Nvidia - This Will Change Everything!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is creating a massive breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past decade, Nvidia has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly following major rally and retracement cycles. But now we are starting to see some weakness on Nvidia and a break below the smaller timeframe support trendline will lead to a massive move lower.
Levels to watch: $110, $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$SPY: Three timeframe analysis, One Chart Pattern, Sentiment📢!Hey there!
#Tariffs negative news drives bearish sentiment. Is it just mass media noise? And Mr. Market will continue up?
WHY?
Let's have a look at the charts:
1. 📈We are in a bullish trend on a weekly and monthly basis, meaning long-term and mid-term, yet in a bearish on a daily one, a ka short-term
2. 🤓The bullish Flag pattern has formed. Yeah, I know; how do you qualify it? For this theoretical exercise only visually, but for anything more serious, Bukowski starts, or you may want to run your own tests.
3. 🍒And the cherry on top: Bearish sentiment is significantly higher than the historical average, standing at 42.9% (2/5/2025) compared to 31.0%. On my side, it means that we might be in for a heavy short squeeze for a couple of days.👋Just observations, not advice
For now, enjoy Super Bowl Sunday! 🏈
S ource of the screenshot: AAII Investor Sentiment Survey, www.aaii.com
ARK Innovation. Granny Wood is Back — What She's Brewing..?!Hooray! Granny Wood 👵 is roaring back!
Well, here we are, The @PandorraResearch Team, to discuss what Ma'am Wood is brewing, since the epic things are almost there!
In a nutshell, Cathie Wood is an American investor and founder, chief executive officer (CEO), and chief investment officer (CIO) of Ark Invest, an investment management firm.
Her flagship ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund - AMEX:ARKK ETF has received accolades for its performance in 2017, 2020 and 2023, but is also considered by Morningstar to be the third highest "wealth destroyer" investment fund from 2014–2023, losing US$7.1 billion of shareholder value in ten years.
Overview of the ARK Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKK
The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), managed by ARK Investment Management and led by Cathie Wood, focuses on investing in companies that are at the forefront of "disruptive innovation." This term encompasses technologies that have the potential to significantly alter industries and consumer behaviors. The fund primarily targets sectors such as genomics, automation, AI, and energy, aiming for long-term capital appreciation.
Current Performance Metrics
As of January 31, 2025, ARKK is priced at approximately $64.50, reflecting a 1.53% increase on that day.
Over January 2025 ARKK has demonstrated a bold return of about 13.60%, following a volatile period marked by significant fluctuations in value. Notably, that ARKK's performance over January 2025 shows a stark contrast with U.S. stock market benchmarks (just compare - S&P500 Index SP:SPX demonstrates nearly +4% return so far in 2025 while Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC has added just around 3% in first month of 2025).
ARKK Fundamental Analysis
Investment Strategy. ARKK employs an actively managed approach, focusing on companies that are leaders or enablers of innovation. The fund's strategy combines both top-down and bottom-up research to identify high-potential stocks across various sectors.
Sector Exposure. The ETF is heavily weighted towards technology and healthcare sectors, with significant investments in companies involved in AI and biotechnology. For instance, Tesla is often highlighted as a major holding due to its advancements in autonomous driving technology.
Technical Outlook
The technical outlook for ARKK shows signs of recovery and epic 200-week SMA Bullish breakthrough after a challenging period from late 2021 through much of 2023. The ETF has rebounded from lows around $36.85 in August 2024 to recent highs near $64.50 in January 2025, indicating a potential bullish trend if momentum continues.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level. Approximately $60.00 (recent low that corresponds to current 200-week SMA value)
Resistance Level. Approximately $71.50 (3-years high)
These levels will be critical for traders watching for potential supports or reversals.
Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment surrounding ARKK remains mixed due to its historical volatility and speculative nature. While some investors view it as an opportunity to capitalize on innovation-driven growth, others express caution due to its past performance dips and high-risk profile associated with its concentrated holdings.
Conclusion
The ARK Innovation ETF presents a compelling case for investors interested in disruptive technologies and long-term growth potential. However, its inherent volatility and the concentrated nature of its holdings necessitate careful consideration before investing. As the market continues to evolve with advancements in AI and other technologies, ARKK may offer significant upside momentum now, but also comes with considerable potential risk.
MicroStrategy’s Make or Break MomentThe chart shows a breakdown from a descending wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support turned resistance. A short position has been placed, anticipating further downside. The price is currently testing the retest zone, and rejection from this level could confirm continuation to the downside.
The stop-loss is strategically placed above 455.10, beyond a key resistance level, to minimize risk in case of a failed breakdown. The take-profit target is set near 224.56, aligning with a significant demand zone. The current price of 335.94 indicates minor volatility, but the structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone.
If the breakdown holds, the next move could accelerate towards lower levels, making this a crucial moment for price confirmation. A reclaim of the resistance zone could invalidate the setup and trigger a short squeeze. The market’s reaction at this level will determine the next directional move.
Bank Nifty Analysis:- Sell-on-Rise Opportunity Near 49,900 ZoneHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought an analysis on Banknifty for short term view for few days. First of all let me tell you Banknifty chart is painting a clear picture of a sell-on-rise market . The 49,800-50,000 zone stands out as a strong resistance area, making it an ideal level for initiating short trades. This zone aligns with the broader bearish sentiment, especially after the breakdown of the key 49,000 support, which now acts as resistance. On the downside, 48,215 is the immediate support where a pullback could pause, followed by stronger levels at 47,283 and 46,696 .
Looking at the RSI, it’s nearing oversold territory , which hints at a possible short-term bounce. However, the larger trend still favors sellers. To act on this, short positions can be built near 49,800-50,000 , but make sure to confirm with bearish candlestick patterns like a bearish engulfing or shooting star . For targets, aim for 48,215, 47,283 , and potentially 46,696, while keeping your stop-loss above 50,325 to protect against sudden reversals.
The market’s message is clear that this is a sell-on-rise setup, and patience combined with discipline can lead to high-probability opportunities in this bearish trend.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share your thoughts in the comments below! Your support keeps me motivated to share more insights. Let’s grow and learn together—happy trading! 🚀 Also, check my profile for other trading-related ideas @TraderRahulPal .🚀
Nifty 50: Bearish Trend with Key Support LevelsOverview of the Chart:
The chart represents the daily candlestick pattern for the Nifty 50 index, combined with the following indicators and tools:
ZLMA (Zero Lag Moving Average) for 50 and 100 periods.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels drawn from the most recent high to low.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) to measure momentum and overbought/oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to analyze momentum and trend direction.
ZLMA (Zero Lag Moving Averages):
50 ZLMA (Black Line): This represents the short-term trend. The index is currently trading below this moving average, indicating bearish momentum in the short term.
100 ZLMA (Blue Line): This acts as a long-term trend indicator. The index is also below this level, signaling a weakening trend in the medium to long term.
The convergence of these two ZLMAs suggests a key resistance zone around the 24,000–24,150 range. Until the price breaks above these levels, the overall bias remains bearish.
Fibonacci Retracement Analysis:
The Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn between the recent swing high of 26,282.35 and swing low of 21,296.50. Key levels:
23.6% Retracement (25,105.70): This acted as resistance during earlier retracements and failed to hold.
38.2% Retracement (24,377.75): Another resistance level where the price struggled and has recently broken down.
50% Retracement (23,789.40): The index is now below this level, which may act as immediate resistance.
61.8% Retracement (23,201.10): The current level is hovering close to this support. If breached, the next target would be the 78.6% retracement (22,363.45).
The inability to reclaim higher Fibonacci levels reinforces the bearish trend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current RSI: 35.05, below the neutral level of 50.
The RSI is nearing the oversold region (below 30), which might indicate a potential bounce. However, this is not confirmed yet, as momentum remains weak.
Previous RSI divergence patterns do not suggest immediate reversal signals.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD Line (-173.87) is well below the signal line (-235.40), confirming the bearish momentum.
The histogram bars remain negative, showing no signs of reversal yet.
The MACD's placement suggests that the bearish phase is intact and any uptrend might be corrective.
Volume Analysis:
The volume appears consistent but does not show any significant spikes. This suggests a lack of strong buyer interest at the current levels.
Declining volume during pullbacks indicates weak bullish attempts.
Current Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: 23,201.10 (61.8% Fibonacci) and 22,363.45 (78.6% Fibonacci).
Resistance Levels: 23,789.40 (50% Fibonacci), followed by 24,150 (near the ZLMA 50 and 100).
Conclusion:
The Nifty 50 index is in a bearish phase, trading below its key moving averages and important Fibonacci levels. The RSI and MACD confirm the negative sentiment. However, the proximity to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and oversold RSI suggests that there might be a short-term bounce, especially if 23,201.10 holds as support. A failure to hold this level would open the doors for a deeper correction towards 22,363.45.
Traders should closely watch volume and price action near these support and resistance levels to further confirmation of trend direction.
Note:
Studies are for educational purposes only.
We will not be responsible for any of your Profits & Losses.
Please trade with a proper risk management strategy to avoid huge capital loss.
Nasdaq 100 Index in a Descending Channel – What’s Next?The Nasdaq 100 Index is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a downtrend. The current price is around $20,784.72, near the lower boundary of the channel. For the market to reverse, the price needs to break above the upper boundary of the channel, signaling a potential shift to an uptrend.
🚩 What Needs to Happen for the Market to Go Up?
1️⃣ Break Above the Upper Boundary : A breakout above the upper boundary would suggest a bullish reversal. The first resistance level above the upper boundary is around $21,629. If the price clears this level, the next major resistance could be at $22,000.
2️⃣ Volume Confirmation : A strong buying volume should support any move above resistance to confirm the breakout.
3️⃣ Positive Catalysts : Favorable news or economic data could provide the needed push to break through the upper boundary.
⚠️ I f the Lower Boundary Breaks …
If the price falls below the lower boundary, the next support level is near $20,383. If the price breaks through this, the next potential support is around $19,630.
📊 Key Takeaway :
Watch for a breakout above the upper boundary, with $21,629 and $22,000 as potential resistance levels, or a breakdown below the lower boundary, with $20,383 and $19,630 as key support levels. Where do you think the market is headed? Share your thoughts!
Stock market correction in 2025??I personally believe we'll see a stock market correction in 2025.
1. 30yr treasury yield going higher while FED cut interest rates. Similar situation in 1970s and 1980s where we say a 50% correction in just 2 years in the 1970s (can't remember exact dates)
2. US 10yr/3m yield curve has turned positive. Last times it's done this has been 2000, 2008 and 2020. I'm guessing you know what happened each of those times.
3. Institutional investors increasing long contracts in the yen. The Japanese Yen is a 'risk-off' investment and investors tend to favour it when they don't have much faith in the stock market.
4. US have a volatile president in Trump. The power also seems to be getting to his head a bit - he disagrees with Fed Chair Powell over interest rates, despite not being as educated in economics. He has a lot of power right now and I don't think he will be able to stop a potential market crash for the first year or 2 of his presidency.
5. Back-to-back 20%+ years from the S&P500, could be due a pullback.
These are some reasons, I have some more but I don't want to be sat here writing all day.
Important to note that if you're a long term investor it's best to just ignore this. "Time in the markets beats timing the markets" as they say.
But if you're a day trader I wouldn't be taking many long positions on stocks this year. Could be better to start looking at opportunities in the currency markets.
Then again - you don't have to trust me. This isn't financial advice, just my opinion.
My Current Market Sentiment Through March 2025 Hello Trader Fam,
In this video I am covering my current market sentiment through March or even April of this year. Along with this, we'll take a closer look at the dollar, the vix, the spy, NVIDIA, U.S. Oil, and Crypto - (Bitcoin, Dominance, Solana, Solana memecoins, AI genned memecoins, etc.). We'll talk a bit about my indicator and what it is showing us and why it has me leaning bullish but why I am cautious with Bitcoin in the lead.
✌️Stew
Where is the Stock Market Heading? Forecast & Analysis thread!Where is the Stock Market Heading? 📈📉
Stock Market Forecast & Analysis🧵
In this thread, we’re breaking it down for you:
-TA on TVC:VIX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM TVC:VIX
-Economic Data
-Insights & Predictions
Let's dive in friends!
Not financial advice
NASDAQ:QQQ
Monthly Chart analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-We are above 9ema and smoothing avg.
Most importantly we are still within our Williams Consolidation Box which is my personal strategy I use with the Wr%. As long as we stay within the confines of this Box we will continue to climb higher on the Q's outside of pullbacks.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Held volume shelf
-Wicked back above 9ema (BULLISH)
-Ascending triangle patterns Measured Move has not been realized yet. $580
-Created a Hammer Candle which is a reversal candle found at the bottom of downtrends, pullback, or corrections.
Had a Normal 6% Pullback and bounced hard around the S/R Zone. Everything I'm seeing is BULLISH going into CES2025 week and I believe we continue back to ATH's!
TVC:VIX
First up we have the Volatility AMEX:SPY Index which spiked up due to the FED dropping a FUD Nuke on the markets heading and causing the largest one day volatility spike in 2024.
But, as you see below we have fallen in line since that day. We have created a bearish flag pattern and broken down through the base and should continue to flush lower.
Keep in mind 60-70% of breakouts (either direction) come back to retest the point of the breakout area. Could see this happen with FOMC minutes being released this Wednesday.
AMEX:SPY
Monthly Chart analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-We are above 9ema and smoothing avg.
-Wicked off previous resistance flipped into support
Most importantly we are still within our Williams Consolidation Box and thriving! $650 2025 PT!
Weekly Chart Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Wicked back above smoothing line
-Created a Hammer Candle right above 9ema
Had a Normal 4.35% Pullback and bounced hard around the S/R Zone. Everything I'm seeing is BULLISH going into CES2025 week and I believe we continue back to ATH's on the SPY!
AMEX:IWM
As I've stated in other posts the CAPITALCOM:RTY typically runs and plays catchup to the SPY and QQQ towards the end of bull runs and before the big corrections or crash comes.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
-At the bottom of an uptrend channel
-Sitting on a massive volume shelf
-At a massive S/R area
-At the retest point for the Multi-Year CupnHandle breakout! With a Measured Move up to $306. Thats the same measurement of the CAPITALCOM:RTY catching back up to the $SPY.
ECONOMICS:USCIR - Core Inflation Rate YoY
Inflation is dead and falling like a rock! I don't hold any weight into what the FED was saying about inflation when he was the Grinch and spreading FUD.
The FED is always to slow to do what is needed to be done and right now that is to continue to cut before things in the economy start to break due to higher rates. They raised rates to SLOW and they are choosing to cut rates to SLOW!
What I'm seeing is we will continue to fall with small pockets of bounce backs in inflation on the overall down trend to sub 3 then sub 2 as you can see on the chart with the yellow levels.
Overall Economic numbers are very positive and have been beating what the experts have been forecasting in December.
We have some more data coming out this week and we will see if that trend continues.
Like I said in a separate post, the FED has been talking about a boogeyman and spreading FUD but the DATA and NUMBERS show the BOOGEYMAN isn't REAL!
Thanks for reading friend! If you enjoyed this analysis and forecast of the markets please like/ follow/ share if you feel I deserved it!
ALL SOCIALS/ LINKS IN SIGNATURE BELOW AND PROFILE.
🦘🦘 Aussie Kangaroo Returns Home In The OutbackThe Australian dollar has been taking a bath. It’s gone from buying 71 US cents at the beginning of the year to netting you just 63.3 US cents against the benchmark greenback.
The dollar is down over the last year against most currencies, and down over the past few weeks against almost every currency.
The humble Aussie dollar is suffering in particular against European currencies: Pound Sterling, the Swiss Franc and the Euro.
However, even in Japan where the AUD is up over the year so far, it is down in recent weeks.
What’s going on? The answer is two-fold.
👉 America’s economy is stronger than expected. And China is weaker, so Chinese yuan has little to no chance of dethroning the US dollar, even as global de-dollarization happens.
👉 Australia gets hit on both of those trades.
Difference between 10-Year United States and Australian Govt Debt becomes lower
Technical graph for FX:AUDUSD indicates that Aussie has a lot down to deliver.