YENOCALYPSE. TO BE CONTINUE...The yen has posted several outsized moves in recent days, appreciating sharply on Thursday and Friday from 38-year lows of 161.96 per dollar, sudden rallies that market participants said had the signs of currency intervention.
Bank of Japan data released on Tuesday suggested Tokyo may have spent 2.14 trillion yen ($13.5 billion) intervening on Friday. Combined with the estimated amount spent on Thursday, Japan is suspected to have bought nearly 6 trillion yen via intervention last week.
In technical terms, USDJPY Fx pair has broken its major Bullish 7-months trend.
What is next? I think retrace is possible.. But just to deliver much more to 152nd ground.
// Mega stocks are in ruins..
Stockmarketanalysis
Planet Fitness (PLNT) AnalysisCompany Overview: Planet Fitness operates a unique franchise-based model, which reduces capital expenditure and enhances free cash flow. The company owns just 256 of its 2,575 locations, leveraging its franchisees to drive expansion and growth. With its affordable $10 monthly fee, Planet Fitness has successfully attracted a broad demographic of casual gym-goers, keeping membership churn low and ensuring steady revenue streams.
Key Catalysts:
Franchise Model Efficiency: The franchise-based model allows Planet Fitness to expand rapidly while keeping capital expenditures low, resulting in strong free cash flow. This model also minimizes risk and enables the company to focus on brand development and member experience.
Strong Membership Base: Planet Fitness currently serves 18.7 million members, capitalizing on its low-cost membership structure to maintain a steady flow of new members while minimizing attrition. This large and stable customer base is a key driver of its long-term growth.
Sales Momentum: Recent financial performance has been strong, with same-store sales up 8% and total revenue increasing by 14% to $278 million. This indicates continued growth momentum, suggesting that Planet Fitness is successfully navigating the competitive gym industry.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:PLNT if it holds above the $72.00-$73.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Planet Fitness is set at $98.00-$100.00, supported by its efficient franchise model, strong membership growth, and positive sales trends.
🏋️ Planet Fitness—building strength in numbers and cash flow! #PLNT #FitnessGrowth 🚀💰
Nvidia - The -60% correction is starting!NASDAQ:NVDA is showing us multiple confluences which will lead to a massive move lower.
Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy. But on Nvidia we cannot be fearful yet - so far, the smaller timeframes are still bullish. Everything makes me believe though that we will see a significant move lower soon: Nvidia is retesting massive channel resistance, repeated the previous bullish cycles and is preparing for the next correction cycle!
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
PLASTIBLENDS - ROUND BOTTOM BREAKOUT8 Months of Round Bottom breakout
BUY PRICE : 353
SL : 304 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 480 (36%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
SEQUENT SCIENTIFIC - Multi Year Breakout StockINVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT STOCK FOR SWING TRADING
> 2 Years of Inverse head & shoulder breakout
BUY PRICE : 155
SL : 125 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 202, 250, 305 (100%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
SYNCOM FORMU STOCK FOR SWING TRADING8 MONTHS OF SUPPLY ZONE BREAKOUT
BUY PRICE : 19
SL : 14 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 26 (40%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
MOREPEN LAB - 3 YEARS OF ROUND BOTTOM BREAKOUT3 YEARS OF ROUND BOTTOM BREAKOUT FOR SWING TRADING
NEW BUY PRICE : 75
SL : 50 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 95, 125 (65%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
TSLA : Initial Reversal or Continued Bullish Trend? (READ)By reviewing the #Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that the price is moving towards the supply zone that we've marked on the chart. I expect that once the price enters the $233.5 to $274 range, we will see an initial negative reaction. However, keep in mind that with the potential for interest rate cuts in the coming months, the stock market might experience a revival, pulling out of the recent downturn we've been witnessing. Therefore, while we may see an initial negative reaction from the marked zone, I predict the overall trend will continue to be bullish.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
BAL PHARMA - 3 YEARS OF SUPPLY ZONE BREAKOUT3 YEARS OF SUPPLY ZONE BREAKOUT STOCK FOR SWING TRADING
BUY PRICE : 140
SL : 107 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 215 (52%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
AEROFLEX IND - INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT INVERSE HEAD & SHOULDER PATTERN BREAKOUT STOCK FOR SWING TRADING
BUY PRICE : 174
SL : 158 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 196, 230 (32%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
EVEREST KANTO CYLINDER - SWING TRADING STOCK 25/08/2024BREAKOUT STOCK FOR SWING TRADING
BUY PRICE : 183
SL : 150 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 280 (50%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
AAPLE VS NASDAQ. THE FRUITY COMPANY AHEAD OF EARNINGS CALLConsumer tech manufacturer Apple (AAPL) is due to report earnings next Thursday, February 1. Notably, waning iPhone demand out of China has worried investors as Apple had a rocky 2024 start, dealing with several stock downgrades.
Some of analysts slowed down its expectations for Apple and the biggest tailwinds and risks for its various devices.
"As far as those businesses are concerned, the only one that will probably show growth is Mac because some of the new products that they rolled out and easy comps from a year ago, you will probably see some sharp declines specifically on the iPad side of things...," they note.
The main graph is a ratio, between Apple stocks price NASDAQ:AAPL and overall NASDAQ:NDX Nasdaq-100 Big Tech index.
It's been a while since Buffett put the money into Fruity Company in Q2'16, and since that Apple stock outperformed the whole index, appr. by 150 percent over the next 6 years.
By the way, Apple stocks as well as Nasdaq-100 index hit the bottom, in early Q4'22 and since that, Apple underperforms the whole Big Tech Index, totally.
Basically NASDAQ:AAPL losses against NASDAQ:NDX further, over the past 12-15 months later they both hit the bottom. In this time the major break down happens in massive reversed Head-and-Shoulders ctructure, just ahead of Q4'23 Earnings call.
This is the bottom line, I'm avoid the Fruity Company ahead of Earnings Call.
Happy trading to everyone. See y'all later.
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES - Ready for a reversal?NASDAQ:AMD is retesting a significant horizontal structure and we might see a bullish reversal soon, considering that AMD already created a correction of -45% over the past couple of months.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis
AMD is clearly one of these "AI" hype stocks which is now coming back to normal levels after also NVIDIA and other tech stocks are correcting a bit. AMD has been trading in a rising channel formation since the "Covid" crash back in 2020. With the recent break and retest, we could definitely see a bullish reversal soon.
Levels to watch: $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
AAPL / APPLE🔍 AAPL Analysis: Key Dates for Market Movements 📈
The AAPL chart highlights two critical dates that could shape your trading strategy:
October 7, 2024 - Red Line: This date marks a potential local peak. It might be an opportune moment to take profits as the stock could face resistance or enter a short-term correction.
August 25, 2025 - Green Line: A significant local low is expected around this time. This could present an ideal opportunity to accumulate AAPL shares, positioning yourself for the next major upward move.
By strategically planning around these dates, you can optimize your trading decisions and maximize returns.
#AAPL #StockMarket #MarketTiming #InvestmentStrategy #AppleStock
UWM Holdings (UWMC) Investment Insight Company Overview:
UWM Holdings is a prominent residential mortgage loan originator. With the Federal Reserve approaching the end of its tightening cycle, lower mortgage rates could stimulate refinancing and home purchases, presenting growth opportunities for UWMC.
Key Highlights:
Market Position: UWM's unique model focuses on mortgage brokers, providing them with real-time loan status visibility and better deals.
Order Backlog: The company boasts a $2.8 billion order backlog and recent contract wins, underscoring its strong market position.
Potential Catalyst: Anticipated lower mortgage rates could drive increased mortgage activity, benefiting UWMC's business.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:UWMC above the $7.25-$7.50 range.
Upside Potential: The stock has an upside target of $11.00-$12.00, reflecting strong growth potential as market conditions become more favorable for residential mortgages.
🏡📊 Consider UWM Holdings for investment opportunities in the mortgage sector! #UWMC #MortgageLoans 💼📈
Intel - Is this for real?NASDAQ:INTC created a top formation and is dropping hashly ever since - be careful!
Click image above to see detailed analysis
Catching falling knifes will go wrong 9 out of 10 times and you will cut yourself very badly. Just in a couple of months, Intel is down about -65% and is not slowing down at all. This honestly seems like the possibility of bankruptcy is not that far away and investors and trader should be extra careful. We have support coming soon, but the question is: will it stabilize price?
Levels to watch: $18
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
S&P 500 LongUS 500 CFD
The target projection for the S&P results in a target of 5428, which is in the area of the 70% Fibonci retracement.
It would be quite possible for the price to test the low again in the 5090 area. But for this trade I assume that a good premium area will be reached first.
I open a long trade with 2 entry points.
A market order and a second limit order. The risk is distributed across both positions.
Target 1 = 61.8 Retracement
Target 2 = 70.0 Retracement
Risk Reward Trade 1 = 1/1
Risk Reward Trade 2 = 1/2.07
Tesla - It was a clear fakeout!NASDAQ:TSLA just confirmed a false breakout and is now reversing towards the downside.
Being able to only read price action properly can already make you a profitable trader. Tesla was attempting a triangle breakout last month but closed with a significant bearish wick. Therefore this is considered a false breakout and Tesla will head lower over the next couple of weeks since it is still trading below the resistance trendline. This was just pure price action.
Levels to watch: $160, $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick Pattern. Series IIWere you ready or not with recent sell off on financial markets, - this one should be not a surprise.
It's been already discussed in publication " 👀 Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick " , that in unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, the Three Black Crows pattern is generally quite common pattern. Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick Pattern
Three Black Crows is a continuation pattern, being a term used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that can predict a reversal in an uptrend.
Classic candlestick charts show "Open", "High", "Low" and "Close" prices of a bar for a particular security. For markets moving up, the candlestick is usually white, green or blue. When moving lower they are black or red.
The Three Black Crows pattern consists of three consecutive long-body candles that opened with a gap above or inside the real body of the previous candle, but ultimately closed lower than the previous candle. Often traders use this indicator in combination with other technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm a reversal.
Restrictions on the use of three black crows
If the "Three Black Crows" pattern has already shown significant downward movement, it makes sense to be wary of oversold conditions that could lead to consolidation or a pullback before further downward movement. The best way to assess whether a stock or other asset is oversold is to look at other technical indicators, such as relative strength index (RSI), moving averages, trend lines, or horizontal support and resistance levels.
Many traders typically look to other independent chart patterns or technical indicators to confirm a breakout rather than relying solely on the Three Black Crows pattern.
Overall, it is open to some free interpretation by traders. For example, when assessing the prospects of building a pattern into a longer continuous series consisting of “black crows” or the prospects of a possible rollback.
In addition, other indicators reflect the true pattern of the three black crows. For example, a Three Black Crows pattern may involve a breakout of key support levels, which can independently predict the start of a medium-term downtrend. Using additional patterns and indicators increases the likelihood of a successful trading or exit strategy.
Real example of Three black crows
Since there are a little more than one day left before the closing of the third candle in the combination, the candlestick combination (given in the idea) is a still forming pattern, where (i) each of the three black candles opened above the closing price of the previous one, that is, with a small upward gap, (ii ) further - by the end of the time frame the price decreases below the price at close of the previous time frame, (iii) volumes are increased relative to the last bullish time frame that preceded the appearance of the first of the “three crows”, (iv) the upper and lower wicks of all “black crows” are relatively short and comparable with the main body of the candle.
Historical examples of the Three Black Crows pattern
Here's an example what's happened early in April, 2024
And here's an example what's going on right now in August, 2024
Potentially it may appear again and again. Don't miss it out!
As history has repeated itself already, technical graph for S&P500 indicates on potential recovery, up to 5800 points, until November, 2024 (U.S. presidential elections).
Money Market says that rate cut will be an urgent one (again)Just take a look on a rate cut expectations.
In a short, the main technical graph is a difference (spread) between the nearest futures contract on FOMC interest rate (in this time Sept'24 ZQU2024) and the next one futures contract (in this time Oct'24 ZQV2024).
It's clear that spread turned to negative in 2024, and heavily negative over the past several weeks. Historical back test analysis says that in all of such cases, FOMC is to cut interest rates immediately.
The next scheduled FOMC meeting is September17-18. Will the market wait 6 more weeks?
The right answer: NO.
Rate cut will be an urgent one (unscheduled again).
Bitcoin is losing its control. Don't lose your own!Bitcoin continues to retreat from the historical highs reached in the March quarter of 2024, as discussed in many previous posts, minds and publications.
In nowadays BTC is declining to new local lows as the macroeconomic situation in the global economy worsens and volatility (uncertainty) in the market as a whole increases.
The technical picture indicates a breakout below the growth channel, within the boundaries of which BTC has rallied for the past year and a half.
A further break below the 52-week SMA will highly likely intensify the sell-off.