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Tesla - It was a clear fakeout!NASDAQ:TSLA just confirmed a false breakout and is now reversing towards the downside. Being able to only read price action properly can already make you a profitable trader. Tesla was attempting a triangle breakout last month but closed with a significant bearish wick. Therefore this is considered a false breakout and Tesla will head lower over the next couple of weeks since it is still trading below the resistance trendline. This was just pure price action. Levels to watch: $160, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
2
Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick Pattern. Series IIWere you ready or not with recent sell off on financial markets, - this one should be not a surprise. It's been already discussed in publication " 👀 Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick " , that in unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, the Three Black Crows pattern is generally quite common pattern. Three Black Crows. Bear Market Candlestick Pattern Three Black Crows is a continuation pattern, being a term used to describe a bearish candlestick pattern that can predict a reversal in an uptrend. Classic candlestick charts show "Open", "High", "Low" and "Close" prices of a bar for a particular security. For markets moving up, the candlestick is usually white, green or blue. When moving lower they are black or red. The Three Black Crows pattern consists of three consecutive long-body candles that opened with a gap above or inside the real body of the previous candle, but ultimately closed lower than the previous candle. Often traders use this indicator in combination with other technical indicators or chart patterns to confirm a reversal. Restrictions on the use of three black crows If the "Three Black Crows" pattern has already shown significant downward movement, it makes sense to be wary of oversold conditions that could lead to consolidation or a pullback before further downward movement. The best way to assess whether a stock or other asset is oversold is to look at other technical indicators, such as relative strength index (RSI), moving averages, trend lines, or horizontal support and resistance levels. Many traders typically look to other independent chart patterns or technical indicators to confirm a breakout rather than relying solely on the Three Black Crows pattern. Overall, it is open to some free interpretation by traders. For example, when assessing the prospects of building a pattern into a longer continuous series consisting of “black crows” or the prospects of a possible rollback. In addition, other indicators reflect the true pattern of the three black crows. For example, a Three Black Crows pattern may involve a breakout of key support levels, which can independently predict the start of a medium-term downtrend. Using additional patterns and indicators increases the likelihood of a successful trading or exit strategy. Real example of Three black crows Since there are a little more than one day left before the closing of the third candle in the combination, the candlestick combination (given in the idea) is a still forming pattern, where (i) each of the three black candles opened above the closing price of the previous one, that is, with a small upward gap, (ii ) further - by the end of the time frame the price decreases below the price at close of the previous time frame, (iii) volumes are increased relative to the last bullish time frame that preceded the appearance of the first of the “three crows”, (iv) the upper and lower wicks of all “black crows” are relatively short and comparable with the main body of the candle. Historical examples of the Three Black Crows pattern Here's an example what's happened early in April, 2024 And here's an example what's going on right now in August, 2024 Potentially it may appear again and again. Don't miss it out! As history has repeated itself already, technical graph for S&P500 indicates on potential recovery, up to 5800 points, until November, 2024 (U.S. presidential elections).
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Money Market says that rate cut will be an urgent one (again)Just take a look on a rate cut expectations. In a short, the main technical graph is a difference (spread) between the nearest futures contract on FOMC interest rate (in this time Sept'24 ZQU2024) and the next one futures contract (in this time Oct'24 ZQV2024). It's clear that spread turned to negative in 2024, and heavily negative over the past several weeks. Historical back test analysis says that in all of such cases, FOMC is to cut interest rates immediately. The next scheduled FOMC meeting is September17-18. Will the market wait 6 more weeks? The right answer: NO. Rate cut will be an urgent one (unscheduled again).
CBOT:ZQ1!
by PandorraResearch
Bitcoin is losing its control. Don't lose your own!Bitcoin continues to retreat from the historical highs reached in the March quarter of 2024, as discussed in many previous posts, minds and publications. In nowadays BTC is declining to new local lows as the macroeconomic situation in the global economy worsens and volatility (uncertainty) in the market as a whole increases. The technical picture indicates a breakout below the growth channel, within the boundaries of which BTC has rallied for the past year and a half. A further break below the 52-week SMA will highly likely intensify the sell-off.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by PandorraResearch
Seadrill (SDRL) AnalysisCompany Overview: Seadrill provides offshore contract drilling services for the oil and natural gas industry. The company achieved a record day rate of $545,000 for a one-well contract in Q1 2024, the highest in the current cycle, significantly boosting its Q2 earnings outlook. Key Highlights: CEO Simon Johnson: Emphasized a strong start to the year with safe, efficient operations, high day rates, and capital returns to shareholders. Competitive Fleet: Seadrill's fleet and strong balance sheet are expected to sustain durable earnings and capital returns as the cycle progresses. Order Backlog: Approximately $2.8 billion, including $108 million in new contracts since February. New Contracts: $32 million contract in South Korea for the drillship West Capella and an $86 million six-month extension in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico for the drillship West Neptune. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SDRL above the $47.00-$48.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $78.00-$80.00, investors should consider Seadrill's strong performance, high day rates, and substantial order backlog as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🌊 Monitor Seadrill for promising investment opportunities! #SDRL #OffshoreDrilling 🛢️🚀
NYSE:SDRLLong
by Richtv_official
Hermes Intl. Lets Try The Screwdriver NowHermès International S.A. is a French luxury design house established on 15 June 1837. It specializes in leather goods, lifestyle accessories, home furnishings, perfumery, jewelry, watches and ready-to-wear. Since the 1950s, its logo has been a depiction of a ducal horse-drawn carriage. Technical graph for Hermes stocks (US Dollars - denominated) indicates they turned to extra hot levels earlier this year, somewhere in mid-February 2024. Due to common uncertainty the bubble is going to be finally screwed.
EURONEXT:RMSShort
by PandorraResearch
1
🔜 20+ Year Treasury Bond Market. Perhaps This Is The End US stocks surprised much of Wall Street this year with a strong run that defied decades-high interest rates and recession calls. The rally was fueled by slower inflation and hype over artificial intelligence. But more recently, the Federal Reserve's unwavering higher-for-longer rate stance and a deepening bond-market rout have had a sobering effect on equities sentiment, with the S&P 500 index halving its year-to-date gains. Indeed stock valuations are looking increasingly stretched, raising the risk of a correction. One such indicator in particular is flashing RED - the relative valuation of stocks versus the debt market. SPX / ICE BofA Corporate Total Return Index In August this year, the S&P 500 CBOE:SPX climbed to levels last seen during the peak of dot-com boom, relative to an index that tracks the US corporate bond market. The gauge is still holding near those highs, despite the recent pullback in equities. The metric last surged this high in the spring of 2000 — and that was followed by a multi-year meltdown in stocks that saw the S&P 500 crash 50% between March 2000 and October 2002. SPX 50% Decline During 2000-2002 Another indicator that shows the richness of stocks relative to debt is the so-called equity risk premium — or the extra return on shares over government debt, which is considered a safer form of investment. The metric has plunged this year lows unseen in decades, indicating elevated stock valuations. "Equity risk premium is near its worst ever level going back to 1927. In the 6 instances this has occurred, the markets saw a major correction & recession/depression - 1929, 1969, 99/00, 07, 18/19, present," research firm MacroEdge said in a recent post on X (ex-Twitter). The so-called equity risk premium (earnings yield minus bond yield) recently fell to a new cycle low and remains well below historical averages. In other words, the stock market has become more expensive relative to the bond market despite the recent pullback. Meanwhile the main graph (quarterly Div-adjusted chart for NASDAQ:TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) illustrates perhaps right there could the end for U.S. Govt Bond Market decline, with Double top as a further projected/ targeted upside price action. Will all of that bring U.S. stock market to 50% decline like in early 2000s!? Time will show!
NASDAQ:TLT
by PandorraResearch
40
Full Send Incoming - Through The Van Allen Radiation Belt We Go!Put on your oxygen masks ladies and gentlemen. The U.S. stock market is about to go ballistic. You all know from my daily chart, we nearly hit the target of my inverse head and shoulders pattern to the dollar. Target was 570. One of my recent posts indicated that I was selling half at 560, taking my profit, and parking it in cash. But now, I will take that cash and pack my bags again as the market is getting ready to blow minds. Literally, everyone is predicting a market crash soon. And that may happen. But not before a rocket launch to the moon that will rip faces off. Pack your bags and BTFD folks. Ticket sales will be on fire for this rocket ride.
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
Alphabet & Tesla push All The Bigtech into Bearish MarchIndexes end lower as investors brace for major earnings results After the closing bell, Tesla and Alphabet released their second-quarter performance. Investors were especially attentive to the carmaker, looking to see if its performance has improved since the start of the year. Tesla was battered by a slew of headwinds in the first quarter, but investors have since grown bullish on the flagship EV manufacturer. The two firms are the first of the Magnificent Seven tech stocks to release their earnings. Unfortunately they both did not deliver strength, so it breaks the momentum to the tech rally. Tesla shares fall nearly 9% in premarket trading after earnings miss Tesla shares dropped in premarket trading in the U.S. after the electric car maker reported second-quarter earnings that missed expectations, as its auto business continued to face pressure. Elon Musk’s electric vehicle company reported that automotive revenue declined 7% year on year in the June quarter to $19.9 billion, while its adjusted earnings margin also fell. Bulls and bears have been in a grapple over the stock, with some believing the company’s core car business is under pressure, while others held hope about a future Musk has promised around autonomous driving. Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) shares fall nearly 4.5% in premarket trading after earnings report Alphabet earnings top estimates as cloud business gains steam, AI losses grow. Google parent Alphabet reported its fiscal second quarter earnings after the bell on Tuesday, beating analysts' estimates on the top and bottom lines as its cloud businesses continue to pick up steam, topping the $1 billion mark for operating profit for the first time. For the quarter, the company saw earnings per share of $1.89 on revenue of $84.7 billion. Analysts were anticipating earnings per share of $1.85 on revenue of $84.3 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's a jump from the same period last year of 31% and 14%, respectively, when the company reported earnings per share of $1.44 on revenue of $74.6 billion. Advertising revenue topped $64.6 billion versus analysts' expectations of $64.5 billion, and up from $58.1 billion last year. YouTube ad revenue, however, fell short, with the segment bringing in $8.66 billion versus expectations of $8.95 billion. Technical thoughts What is next? Hmm.. I think more Bulls & Bears are to run. The main graph Nasdaq-100 Sept'24 Futures contract (NQU2024) indicates on strong Bearish Momentum. This is all because of 50-Day SMA breakthrough, as well as breakthrough of major 3Mo old upside channel.
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by PandorraResearch
4
Microsoft - We still have to be patient...NASDAQ:MSFT dropped after reporting earnings and can now create a short term correction! Simplicity is key, also when it comes to trading the higher timeframes on stocks. All you need are three lines in order to fully understand the trading history and also future of Microsoft. If we get a retest of the triangle breakout level, which is perfectly lining up with the rising trendline, a bullish continuation will be quite expected. Just wait for confirmation first though! Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
Apple - Back to no.1 in the world!NASDAQ:AAPL is back to being no.1 in the world after rallying 11% in two days. After moving higher +25% over the past two months, Apple is now back to being the most valuable company in the world with a market cap of 3.4 trillion dollars. This means that Apple is now back to leading the indices but Apple is also retesting resistance. A pullback is definitely likely considering that trees do not grow to the sky, but the overall trend is simply clearly bullish! Levels to watch: $170, $215 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
12
SWING IDEA - AAVAS FINANCIERSConsider a compelling swing trade opportunity in Aavas Financiers , a leading housing finance company in India. Reasons are listed below : Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : Aavas Financiers shows a strong bullish candlestick pattern, indicating robust buying pressure and potential upward momentum. Engulfing 22 Weekly Candles : The stock's bullish momentum is evident by engulfing 22 previous weekly candles, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. Breakout from 5-Month Consolidation : Aavas Financiers breaks out from a 5-month consolidation phase, suggesting a breakout from range-bound trading and potential sustained upward movement. Formation of Double Bottom Pattern : The absence of new lower lows and the formation of a double bottom pattern suggest a trend reversal and bullish sentiment. Sudden Surge in Volumes : A notable surge in trading volumes indicates increased market interest and potential accumulation by investors, supporting the bullish outlook. Target - 1815 // 2400 Stoploss - weekly close below 1300 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:AAVASLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Micron Technology - Patience and price action!NASDAQ:MU is literally creating so clear and repetitive market structure, this is textbook. Bullish break and retest, cycle and correction. Micron Technology has been repeating this price action for over a decade and is about to enter another correction phase. If you don't want to trade this anticipated correction, you can instead wait for another retest of previous resistance, bullish confirmation and a rejection. Following the cycles, a bullish move there is quite likely. Levels to watch: $140, $95 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:MUShort
by basictradingtv
11
Tesla - Fakeout leading to a -50% drop?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading at a key inflection level, forming a trend for the next years. Within a couple of hours, an entire stock can reverse and fundamentally change its trend. Tesla is still retesting a multi-year resistance trendline and is down about -8% today. If this selloff continues and Tesla rejects the resistance trendline with a massive bearish wick, then we will most likely see a correction back to the lower support of the descending triangle pattern. Levels to watch: $240, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
15
S&P500 - Was this already the all time high?SP:SPX is still massively bullish on the smaller timeframes despite retesting strong resistance. Sometimes trading can be soo simple but yet rewarding. You simply have to buy the S&P500 at support and sell your position at resistance. At the moment, the S&P500 is once again retesting a resistance trendline, which has been pushing price lower for more than 14 years and there is just an extraordinary high chance that we will again see a rejection. Don't say I did't warn you! Levels to watch: $5.600, $4.800 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
TVC:SPXShort
by basictradingtv
9
AMD - Correction of -40% over?NASDAQ:AMD just created a new all time high, however we have to be quite careful now. Volatility is the basis of every major trading position and trading profit. Advanced Micro Devices is just such a stock which offers volatile swings every now and then. Currently Advanced Micro Devices is retesting the previous all time high which is now acting as support. I do expect a move higher but there is simply no good risk to reward setup at the current levels. Levels to watch: $155, $110 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
11
NSE:CERA India toilet boom 🚽 get set go..Half of India couldn't access a toilet 5 years ago. Modi built 110M latrines Incorporated in July 1998, Cera Sanitaryware Ltd is headed by Mr Vikram Somany; the company manufactures sanitaryware and faucets and outsources wellness products and tiles. The sanitaryware and faucet plants are in Kadi, Gujarat, with capacity of 36 lakh and 18.5 lakh pieces per annum, respectively. # The Company has been constantly launching new designs in Sanitaryware, Faucets and Tiles. The new designs are indigenously developed by in-house teams, after feedback from the market. This helps the Company to be seen a leader in product offerings. # NSE:CERA
NSE:CERALong
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
Microstrategy Inc. The Money SongMicroStrategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, announced a 10-for-1 stock split on Thursday. The company said the shares will be split into class A common stock and class B common stock “to make MicroStrategy’s stock more accessible to investors and employees.” The move comes amid a lull for the price of bitcoin, which has been stuck in a tight range since about March, but which many investors expect to rebound in the second half of the year. The shares rose about 6% but are currently about 34% off an all-time high of $1,999.99, reached in March of this year. In technical terms Microstrategy tripled in price over the past 12 months and doubled in price in 2024, outperforming the major crypto assets like BTC, ETH, and Total crypto market cap as well. The main technical graph indicates perhaps it has much more to deliver. // Money talks Money shouts Don't take much to hear Like it or not You need a lot If you're gonna make a life down here
NASDAQ:MSTR
by PandorraResearch
SPX: The corrective scenarioLast week's selloff if making everyone nervous. Even though we are seeing a bearish engulfing candle, a weekly RSI negative divergence and severe weakness in tech sector, the selloff is not looking like a panic deal. This could be a calculated, well-planned correction just like Summer of last year that lasted from July through October. The severity might increase in the coming weeks and until we see another higher high, this could be the temporary end of the roaring bull market. I am not expecting a crash scenario as of yet and there is no sign of any major negative market condition as many are predicting. If this correction is a higher degree wave 4, then it could last for longer than 3 months. And, if it is, in fact an ending diagonal formation then price can drop below 4800 to wave 1 territory. As long as price is not below 3500 (which is a very long way down), we will still see a wave 5 incoming. There is a much stronger alternate bullish scenario in the play. But, at the moment we will need to get through the corrective cycle. If, in the next 2 to 3 weeks, bulls just ignore the bearish symptoms and plow through the last ATH, then the ultra bull scenario might come into picture. At the moment, I am being cautious and going in 50% cash with stop loss set for everything....
SP:SPXShort
by mukit1
Nvidia - Still waiting for a correction!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended but still not bearish at all on the smaller timeframes. If you watched my previous analysis on Nvidia, you know that I have been bearish for quite some time and totally wrong so far. But there was never ever any single sign of weakness so I did not take any trade betting on price to go down. Nvidia is still retesting resistance, it is still somewhat overextended and I still do expect a visible rejection away towards the downside. Levels to watch: $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
6
Apple - Caution at the all time high!NASDAQ:AAPL just created a new all time high, however we have to be quite careful now. Trading cycles in an overall uptrend is one of the most profitable trading approaches. You are trying to capitalize on the major upswings and missing out on the major downswings. Apple is currently retesting resistance and probably creating the top of the previous cycle. I am waiting for a move back to support before we will then see the next major bullish cycle on Apple. Levels to watch: $240, $170 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
10
Shelter Inflation. The Tail That Wags The DogInflation is finally cooling off as inflation gradually loosened its grip on Wall Street and the economy in 2023, raising hopes for a gentler Federal Reserve and further gains for the market in 2024. Stocks rallied to their best 9-weeks stripe over the past 20 years in November and December, 2023 (so-called 'Santa Rally') as investors raised their bets that the Fed is done hiking interest rates to fight inflation. 6Mo USCPI Inflation was at its lowest levels since Covid-19 pandemic in early 2023 Top 4 U.S. stock market Indices were in rally in 2023 The economy has cooled under the weight of rising interest rates, as the central bank intended, but remains surprisingly resilient. Energy prices are down. Food prices are mellowing out. But the cost of having a place to live is still rising much faster than just about every other essential. U.S. Consumer Price Index inflation Headline inflation was up 3.1% from a year ago, and so-called "core" inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 4%. But the cost of shelter, which is the biggest component of the basket of goods the BLS uses to measure the cost of living, was up 6.5%. "The shelter index was the largest factor in the monthly increase in the index for all items less food and energy," read the Bureau of Labor Statistics report accompanying the latest data on consumer prices. "The shelter index increased 6.5 percent over the last year, accounting for nearly 70 percent of the total increase." When the covid-19 pandemic hit, the cost of housing surged as those who could afford it sought out bigger homes and many city-dwellers transitioned to the suburbs. What goes into Consumer Price Index That and a glut of savings unhindered by low interest rates combined to exacerbate what had been a long-simmering Housing crisis the U.S. But now that baked-in price hikes and rising mortgage rates spurred by tightened Federal Reserve monetary policy have put a bit of a damper on things, the housing market is also starting to cool. U.S. Single Family Home Prices in "Bubble Mode" 30Yrs Fixed Mortgage Rate is at 20Yrs Highs. 30Yrs Mortgage Annual Payment U.S. Single Family Home, only Interest. Housing prices tend to be “much stickier” than most costs, which means that when they rise we feel it more - and for longer (read - "for ever"). Housing prices do not compressed like just baked iPhone or iMac later in few years of its release. - Does all af that mean that pre-covid levels of relative housing affordability are coming back? - Sure "No". But at least American wages, which are still rising faster than before the pandemic thanks to increased worker power, will have a little chance to make up some lost ground. The issue is still Federal Reserve' lagged tightening policy, that is "The Tail That Wags The Dog".
FRED:CUSR0000SAH1
by PandorraResearch
SWING IDEA - SAFARI IND (INDIA)Consider a compelling swing trade opportunity in Safari Industries , a renowned luggage and travel accessories manufacturer in India. Reasons are listed below : Flag and Pole Pattern : Safari Industries displays a flag and pole pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the prior uptrend. Bullish Marubozu Candle in Weekly Timeframe : The presence of a bullish Marubozu candlestick pattern on the weekly timeframe suggests strong buying momentum and potential upward movement. 50 EMA Support : The stock finds support at the 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), reinforcing the bullish bias and indicating potential for upward momentum. 0.382 Fibonacci Support : Safari Industries receives support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement. Support at 1700 Level : The stock finds support at the 1700 level, indicating a strong buying interest and potential for a bullish reversal. Higher Highs : Safari Industries consistently forms higher highs, reflecting a trend of increasing bullish momentum and reinforcing the potential for further gains. Target - 2320 // 2730 Stoploss - weekly close below 1700 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:SAFARILong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights