$AAPL - Apple is starting to weaken in this correction!Apple gapped below the 200 day moving average today, and we even saw some baerish follow up during the day. Apple below the 200 day moving average is very significant, happens rarely and if it happens, usually we see a bigger correction then.
We are in a pretty solid channel atm, with decent reactions at the supply and demand side. Should we break that channel though, first watch for the grey box to find support in there, as it is the golden zone (.382 - .618) from Covid low to ATH Fibonacci.
IF that box should be broken as well, we are poised for that huge gap close at around 100$, Apple has ALOT of gaps in it's chart, but i think that gap is so big, and marks the break of 100$ and got never backtestet, since we broke out back then, wouldn't be weird at all, if the market should decide to backtest that. .786 retrace, which would be considered deep value would correlate to pre covid ATH.
Watch this chart guys, this is probably the indicator, of what we can expect from the broad market, we need Apple above 200 day EMA, or things might get really dicey.
Stay safe !!
Stockmarketcrash
Gold Boom!Retest has been done. You know what happens when commodity prices start outperforming stock market? Its the start of the journey down. any dip in precious metals is to be bought. Crypto dips are to be bought. Run away from stocks and stock market unless you know what you're doing. Even then, there's a lot of pain coming. Inflation coming. Then will come Price controls and govt intervention etc. Mining Stocks will be the top pick.
Bitcoin targeting $15,000 after peaking in the next few months?I am about 90% convinced that the stock market will peak and so will bitcoin between now and APRIL/MAY then we see alt coins go crazy and then we will more than likely see the bear market confirm around AUG of this year in both stocks and crypto.
Lots of confluence and technical analysis pointing to this happening using the dot com bubble bursting fractal and also a previous fractal from bitcoins 2018 bear market. I believe SPY will be targeting 250 into the first quarter of 2023. I believe Bitcoin will be testing the 15K area by that time as well. We should have some time to prepare our portfolios over the next couple of months. I will be planning to add to my longer term SPY short once we get closer to 450s. I am being extremely selective with my long positions these days and I am also 110% hedging those positions. Now is the time to start making a plan if you do not already have one:
March 2020 bubble and bull cycle going to resemble dot com BUST?If the dot com boom and bust monthly downtrend has any resemblance to this past bull run from march 2020 this is what we could expect in terms of a monthly downtrend and 5 wave structure keep in mind we havent been in a monthly downtrend on SPY since 2008. Again this is not to be taken as investment advice this is just past data that we can use as a blue print on what to watch for and timelines etc. it may only be 80 or 60% correct but anything over 50% is good odds to be looking out for:
Rebound from support for Nifty but we are not out of danger yetNifty after opening gap down got a good support around 16843 and ended around 0.67% in negative at 17092. Resistances on upper side are at 17124, 17353 before it reaches major resistance of 50 days EMA at 17445. On the lower side today’s low 16843 is a great support. Below 16843 the major supports will be near 16721 which is 200 days EMA and 16419. If Nifty goes below 16419 which is less likely but there can be major selling in case of further escalation of tensions between Russia, Ukraine and other EU nations in addition to US. In worst case scenario Nifty can test a major support near 15437. This will be only in worst case scenario. As of now Nifty closing above 17050 is a good sign.
I know the start of a Bearish market when I see oneI know the start of a Bearish market when I see one. The SPX500 represents the top 500 American companies and is a representation of America's stock market health. Since the Covid crash and rebound that happened back in March of 2020, the SPX500 has been extremely bullish and Investors have enjoyed record gains.
For the first time since the Covid crash, SPX500 has recently shown serious signs of Bearishness.
Technically: Two major lows on the daily time frame have been broken. Although support was found today at a low created back in October of 2021, for 4 consecutive days price has closed below the 200 Exponential Moving Average (Red Line). If price closes below that line today, SPX500 will more than likely start next week bearish and continue to drop.
Sentimentally: Investors overall mood right now is fear and uncertainty. As investors take profits, cut losses, and dump stocks, price will continue to push down. More shorters will enter the market and that’s when we’ll see wild swings and liquidity sweeps start to happen on the way down.
Despite the negative news surrounding the financial markets, now more than ever is a great time to be educated on the Foreign Exchange Market. Buying stocks and Cryptocurrency is the most basic level of investing and will never provide the freedom and flexibility the Foreign Exchange Market provides. It never matters what a market is doing when you profit from not only markets that go up but markets that are going down as well.
To learn how to analyze and trade the financial markets like a professional, visit www.snip3rsanonymous.com
FOREXCOM:SPXUSD
Could be a slippery slide lower on the ASXThe ASX200 is under pressure as price falls into the weekend on stock market meltdown fears. US rate rises and inflation, along with other concerns, are weighing on bullish sentiment and testing the patients of buyers. Is this the calm before the inevitable storm?
To me, the 7175 level is the line in the sand after the recent RTF (Double Top) at 7625, and buyers will need to hold the line if we are to see higher prices. Price has extended into the level so may see a bounce on some bargain hunting in coming sessions although this will largely depend on how the US performs tonight.
US bonds are pointing to four rate rises this year which is more than expected and pressuring markets. There are some saying that the US Fed has made a mess of easing and have left it too late to contain inflation so will be chasing with faster tightening. If this is the case, I do not see traders wanting to add risk to portfolios or Funds willing to support price...so now is the time I am happy to be cautious hence the recent short on the ASX200 CFD.
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Stock Index selloff and key levels to watch on major marketsA rally in crude oil triggered more concern into inflation and interest rate rises which saw a stock market selloff. In the video I look through the key levels I am watching on major Indexes, US bonds and the USD.
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$VIX Volatility Indicator Can Rise Again #VIXTraders, VIX (The Volatility Indicator) Has reached an important level and has started to show signs of little reversal. This is not much as of now but because an M FCP Pattern is completed at this level and this cam also lead to the start of formation of bigger W pattern, the volatility can rise again. This is something to watch out for.
Markets can be very fragile in these last days of the year so be careful.
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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Only the beginning Hi during my analysis of DJI I have seen multiple indicators to lead me to my conclusion that the market will continue in a downward direction. First off is there was a trading gap at the 15k level that has never been addressed and will eventually be filled. There is never a time frame but taking into consideration that the market is making bearish moves downward this would make most sense to happen in the near future. Also there was significant bearish divergence leading up to the crash which in turn means that it had a long period of time to build up and now we are going to experience the aftermath. Currently we have bounced right on the .5 Fibonacci line but I believe this to be temporary because no market can reverse vertically, and has never in history. Even in the 08 market crash there was a reversal pattern known as a inverse H&S which played out amazingly but in our current situation I can see no reversal patterns present. I believe that the market will continue to go down to the 15340 level and maybe form sometime of reversal there, but if not then 12035 level is more like the outlook. This is the .382 Fib and .236 Fib respectively. The longest running bull-market in history looks to have ended and the corresponding bear-market looks to have entered.
Thank you all for your time and good luck on your trades!!!!
-Robbby
Market Crash?║Weekly Watchlist 03 October [Stock]In this video I break down my stock watchlist for the week and give you guys a technical analysis of the current market conditions. If you enjoyed the. video, please remember to like and follow :) Please note that this is not financial advice. Good Luck!
My Watchlist:
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Weekly Watchlist 26 September [Stock]In this video I break down my technical analysis and forecast on the stock market as well as share with you guys my watchlist of potential swings for this week. If you found this helpful, please be sure to leave a like and follow :) also please note that this is not financial advice. Good Luck!
My Watchlist
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Watch SnP500 (SPX) Closely For WeaknessTraders & Investors, SnP500 is standing at a critical level and is hanging by a thread. If this trend line is broken, there will be a danger of overall longer term wedge pattern to be broken too. 200 SMA is well below nearly 8% below the current levels. So watch out for stocks such as Google, Netflix, Facebook, Apple and Amazon for weakness in individual stocks. Or monitor FAANG stocks index. Any trigger can cause a minor correction (relatively bigger to the recent previous ones) here.
Also remember that all major legs either up or down start with a smaller leg first. So do not think that it can not go down lower than 8%. There are no high enough and low enough in markets. Remember if SnP500 has reached here, it can go down too. Remember USOIL not so long ago as an example ? :)
Rules:
1. Never trade too much
2. Never trade without a confirmation
3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums.
✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis
✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions.
Take care and trade well
-Vik
____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
____________________________________________________
Next Pullback to 50 EMA could be a potential stock market crashSeeing the Daily Timeframe on NAS100 (and the same on US30), because of the steep angle of this COVID recovery in the market from 03/20/20 til now, the 60° trend seems very steep and unsustainable long-term.
I think that the next pullback of NAS100 (and US30/SPX500) to their respective 50 EMA's on the Daily Timeframe could signal a steep market reversal and sell-off just based on the angle of the trend that we've been seeing.
I could be wrong but something tells me that 60°+ is too steep and at some point, something's gotta give when fundamental factors and technical analysis align next.
Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. The Banksters.Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021.
There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last.
Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again.
Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks.
In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look
at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook, Amazon, Google, Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits.
Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move
to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows.
Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking
at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination
and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside.
(To be clear, recession has not begun. -35.87% drop is not a recession.
its above 50% to be a recession counted as one. we did a too rapid drop and too rapid recover for sustainability.
Index have done around 1450-1500 point move every sustainable move.
now we have done 2280 points in a year in one go. We had Disjunction Pattern in 2017-2021.
We are about the get the worst crash in history. Biggest companies in the world are selling of massive share.
So many things proves this is one of the biggest bubble every created.
Printing money cant sustain. It devalues the dollar. Dollar is on is recover.)
NASDAQ 100 SHORT Way overbought. approach with caution. use stop loss. should test . 100 ma and 200 ma september and october. swing trader material. could get a BIG CORRECTION. like love and comment. if you dont agree thats fine leave your bullish stance. thanks and enjoy this is not financial advise but educational.
Nasdaq Composite on CRASH watch!The chart shows the number of stocks above their 200 dma versus the Nasdaq Composite index and you could see the very negative divergence growing wider and wider. Big tech is hiding the extreme bearish market underneath the surface. This is coming to a point of a very fast sharp crash. If you look at the QQQ ETF you will notice that AAPL is over 11% of the QQQ ETF in terms of holdings. Once big tech starts to fall it's all going to come crashing down.
STOCK MARKET CRASH COMING!!!The biggest market crash in history is coming very soon! If you cant see this and see that the market is in a massive bubble propped up by stimulus money that will soon be stopped then you shouldn't be trading. I can see new lockdowns coming this winter which will see businesses close down again, many of them wont re open and will go bust which will mean thousands of people losing jobs therefore having no extra money to spend or invest and a housing market crash is just round the corner.
The market has been very easy to trade lately, every time it makes a new high it has a sharp drop which means investors are scared and so they should be! If you factor into this a possible massive cyber attack that could send the market to hell then you really would be stupid to buy into the market.
These are scary times in the market... only if you don't know what you are doing! If you have your eyes open then this could be a very good time to make yourself rich.
On the chart i have key levels marked out that have been used as strong support and resistance, 34859 was broke last week which was a strong level so my next target is 34164.
Hope this information has helped you :)
Gold + RSI Divergence (Click to find which one)Good day guys! My team and I have been milking Gold all week with 200+ pips trading live Tuesday, Wednesday & Thursday. However, I am simply updating you all on the overall move and that is downward. As price action demonstrates to break the previous high this week, you notice there is bearish divergence present within the RSI. With the relative strength index indicator providing us a strong confirmation of a market reversal, we are now waiting to check off all the confirmations within our checklist. In other words, just because the RSI indicator is showing signs of a reversal, it is not something we trade alone. If you notice our previous analysis around June 8-10th, we were able to send a last warning before profiting over 1200+ pips. However, that was a opportunity we were watching for almost 2 months. When it comes to trading as a professional, you have to digest that you will probably spend 5% of your time actual trading and 95% waiting. Due to the fact that the markets tend to range more than they trend, you have to be patient. We could see our move occur next week or it could be drawn out until the end of the month, until the next Fed meeting. In conclusion, instead of trying to predict, we simply just react. Well, we do appreciate you for checking out our post and remember, we will see you on the other side.
Rodrick Goss (CEO)
Third Eye Traders
A Troublesome Outlook for Stocks SPY on 1 Month. In the last 12 Years we have seen 8+ Corrections Occur after a Doji Candle has formed on the One Month Chart. According to Investopedia "A doji candlestick forms when a security's open and close are virtually equal for the given time period and generally signals a reversal pattern for technical analysts." I have pin pointed 12 moments in the past 12 years where these candle formations have lead to a correction. (Not all Doji candles are perfect, the main detail I am looking for is an Open and Close that are virtually equal) All percentages were tallied at close of each month not wick.
October, 2007
% Lost: 53%
On October, 2007 a Green Doji Candle Formed, after that candle formed a green candle didn't form for the next 5 months, and the market fell over 50% for the next year and a 1/2.
April, 2010
% Lost: 16%
On April, 2010 a Green Doji Candle Formed, over the next 2 months the market saw a major correction of 16%. Now what is different about this correction compared to the 2008 crash is that volume was below the average at least 3 months prior. AVG 5.7B, ACT 3.9B. Now this is a trend we will see prior to the corrections in the future.
April, 2011
% Lost: 18%
On April, 2011 a Red Doji Candle formed, over the next 4 months the market fell 18%. The Volume 3 months prior was below the average, AVG 4B, ACT 2B. A new trend that we will see from here on out is that the bottom occurs around the 55 EMA line.
April, 2012
% Lost: 9%
April 20, 2012 a Red Doji Candle formed, over the next month the market fell 9% right around to the 55 EMA. The Volume 3 months prior was AVG 4.2, ACT 3B. Below Average.
April, May, July, 2015
%Lost: 10%
These 3 months each had a Green Doji candle leading up to a market correction of 10%. Which Lasted 7 Months, and two wicks ended around the 55 EMA. The volume was below the average at AVG 2.3B, ACT 1.9B.
September, 2018
% Lost 15%
On September, 2018 a Green Doji formed, for the next 4 months after the market fell 15%, and a wick landed right around the 55 EMA. The Volume 3 Months before was AVG 1.6B, ACT 1.3B.
January, 2020
% Lost 23%
On January 2020 a Red Doji formed, over the next 3 months the market fell 23%, and closed on the 55 EMA. At its peak the market fell 33%. 3 Months prior the Volume was below average Rectangle
Future Outlook:
The Last Two Months have been shaping up like the 7 corrections previously stated. 4 out of the last 5 months have been below average AVG 1.8B, ACT 1B. with TWO GREEN DOJI CANDLES FORMING. Not to mention the Market going up 40% in the last 15 month, Rates Expected to raise soon, Inflation expectations increased drastically, the Fed Artificially Stimulating the market (possibly easing up soon), 6 Trillion+ being printed in one year (possible 3 trillion more soon) Things are not looking good for the stock market. We all need to face the fact that a stock market crash/correction is coming.
The average of the last 7 Doji Corrections is 14%. If The SPY drops 14% it will go to $360.
The Last 6 Corrections have ended on or near the 55 EMA. if the SPY falls that far, it will fall around 28% to $303.
Only time will be able to tell what happens next, but things are not looking good. What do you think.