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Stockmarketcrash

S&P and world markets signs of a short term bottomThe world is going crazy, countries in lockdown, flights being stopped, but at least we have people buying toilet paper from retailers to give this quarter a boost in profit numbers hey? But really this is a short term bottom, Looking at the chart here it is very hard to see further falls right now. The candle has over extended the LinReg and the Stochastic RSI has turned around, while the bottom finder has pointed out a possible bottom. I am looking for a 25% recovery to give us time to exit our stocks and crypto etc. Selling now is not a good time. Than in May and June is when we will see the real crisis. From it's peak I am looking for at least a 50% - 60% correction So I am long for about 4-6 weeks here. taking it day by day.
ULong
by GlobalTrader_
3
The Great Depression (1M) v. Current Market (3M)If you've been following me here, on YouTube, on Facebook, or on Twitter, then you know that, for the past 1.5 years, I have been warning that the 2018-2020 trading range is likely distribution, using point and figure charts as well as volume and price action as evidence. I have also continually pointed out the fundamental similarities to 1987, 1999, and 2007. Over a year ago I stated that we could see price targeting $14,000-$15,000. At this time, it's looking much closer to $10,000-$12,000 at least. For those who say that can't happen, I wanted to show you a comparison between the Great Depression (1 month chart) on the left and the current market (3 month chart) on the right. Notice any similarities? Notice a LOT of similarities? None of this guarantees that the same, or even a similar, path will taken by the market, but it does provide information for you to consider. Anything can still happen. The government could come up with some new, exotic way to prop up the market. But, just in case...
DJ:DJI
by Chris_Inks
10
Gold-Gold Miners-DXY-Fed Funds-Monetary Base All CorrelatingThis is the Gold Miners Index to DXY ratio. This feels likes 2001 or 2009. Gold is correlating with Fed Funds, the monetary base, and the DXY like its 2009 and 2001. Gold stocks are priced like its 2009. Since 2019 we have seen the Fed Funds Rate free fall, since September 2019 we have seen the monetary base expand past the low set in December 2016, same with the Fed's balance sheet. We have seen the Fed Rate continue to fall now down to 1.00-1.25. And since September we've seen gold continue to make new highs, the US dollar / DXY break through critical support. We've also seen gold and gold stocks breakout against US indices. Could this be the beginning of the next bull run? Could this be the run we started in 2009 and prematurely ended in 2011? If so, hold on to your seat because we're just getting started here. Look for Gold Miners (XAU) to DXY ratio to start surging as the mining sector plays catch up to gold and as the Fed Funds rate continues to plummet and the balance sheet / monetary base continue to grow. What's interesting is the gold tends to fall when the monetary base falls. But gold has tended to rise when the monetary base moves sideways. It seems like without Fed intervention the monetary base is shrinking and the only way to keep asset prices propped up is to keep expanding the base. This means gold could be on the cusp of an incredible move without much downside even with the prospects of a broad market crash remaining fairly high.
TVC:XAULong
by Ludwig_Von_Mises
SPY / SPX short. Are we in corrective C wave? Or larger A wave?Some possibilities I'm preparing for: We finish wave 5 in the wave C down. Then we bounce from there into a wave 1 up. Or this whole down move is part of a larger A wave down, which means there's a lot more left to fall. I'm kind of thinking the latter, but time will tell. Either way, I'm expecting lots of volatile moves up and down, so I'm managing my positions very closely. Lots of risk but lots opportunity! Good luck everyone.
AMEX:SPYShort
by kidsupervillain
The Great Depression Fractal Part V - The Crash In my last fractal update, I talked about how we could see continued upside for stocks, but that the top was likely close. I also called the blow-off top well in advance, showing that 30,000 would provide the most likely area for the rally to stop. Guess where we topped out? Very close to that number. Often, we find that true tops are reached in anticipation of psychological barriers. You can see this at the end of 2017, when Bitcoin reached just shy of $20,000 before dropping. Here's the DJI analysis where I speculated on a potential blow-off top around 30,000. This was an entire year ago: More recently, I discussed why I was skeptical of the recent rally. Hint: It had nothing to do with coronavirus at the time. The virus is merely a catalyst that can expose underlying economic problems. It really could have been anything. Anyway, I don't have time to write an extensive post on this now, but you can clearly see that the fractal has so far played out, and you can read my other write-ups on the stock market to see my full opinion. Those are linked at bottom. Fractals often don't work out, but I'm just curious to see if this really has any merit. Economically and psychologically, I think we're in a very similar place to where we were in 1929, just not that many people are aware of it yet. In hindsight, I think it may become obvious. It's very possible that we're about to see a further decline, although from technical standpoint, we might see some sort of bounce. Today, we experienced a bit of a failed low. A relief rally may happen if we don't get any bad news this weekend. Either way, the point of "no return" is really the lows from 2018. If we break through that AND the upper trendline in the orange triangle from the lefthand chart, I believe we will see an extended drop, perhaps akin to what happened after 1929. What would invalidate this picture would be a strong push well above the 27000 level again, and if the Dow takes out the 30,000 level while also invalidating the bearish divergence on the monthly chart. That's a tall order. I did show 40-50K as a possibility, but as I noted above, 30K seemed more reasonable as the long term top. That's it from me! This is not financial advice. I am not a professional - just someone who enjoys watching the market. I happen to have a strong visual/intuitive sense, which is why I keep doing it. -Victor Cobra
DJ:DJIShort
by VictorCobra
1
The Next Great Depression - A Massive Shift Soon I've written at length about how I feel about the stock market. I've talked about how price action closely resembles the years leading up to the Great Depression, and I've also discussed why I think a large crash needs to happen in order for some structural changes to be made. Here are a few of those posts: Where I called a potential blow-off top: Where I talk about why I think a crash is necessary: A crash can happen for any number of reasons. Humanity has grown exponentially in the last 200 years. This causes stresses on our economy, environment, and our species as a whole. When any number of things happen (war, environmental change, viral epidemics, even greed itself), our society's fragility becomes exposed. Right now, it happens to be COVID-19 (the new coronavirus), but it could be anything. Any external variable that puts stress on our infrastructure has the potential to expose the flaws in our hyper-connected, top-heavy world. What do I mean by top-heavy? I mean it in terms of wealth concentration. In the event of disaster, the bottom 90% of the world has very little resources to protect themselves. When you have a top-heavy system built on a shaky foundation...you can guess what would happen. From a technical standpoint, yes, stocks can continue to go up until at least the U.S. Presidential election. Perhaps the DJI can surpass 30K or even 40K, but ultimately I think we'll visit some lows not seen in many years. This can easily be the top here as well, with major indexes unable to invalidate the major bearish divergence on the monthly chart (drawn above). No one can time it perfectly, but I do continue to believe that this current rally is a "seller's rally" or an opportunity for people to take their money and run. I think today's selloff resulted not only from fears of the virus disrupting major supply chains and global economic efficiency, but from the rise of Bernie Sanders. A Bernie presidency would likely send markets reeling, in a period of major economic uncertainty. Regardless of whether or not his policies are a good idea in the long run, I think it could cause some serious upheaval in the short term. I think some stock traders are anticipating a rise in democratic socialism, and trying to front run a deeper market selloff. Once we get a drop (and I do think we're in for a MAJOR stock market selloff), how low we go will really depend on how our governments react to it. It can go far lower than probably most people are expecting, simply from a technical standpoint. The technicals just show the parabolic growth. As I mentioned above, parabolic growth cannot be sustained because of how stress on the system impacts the fragile underlying nature of such growth. What we've seen over the last several decades is not slow, sustained growth. It's not healthy. And I think this will be exposed soon. Looking at the linear chart for the S&P 500, it can drop 50% and still be at the 200 Month Moving Average. That's how overextended this rally is. In conclusion, I think there will be a massive shift in financial markets, the ripple effects of which can last decades. I think it will take this much time for things to get sorted out. Of course, I may be wrong. All I'm doing is speculating, observing, and offering my opinion. This is not financial advice. -Victor Cobra
TVC:SPXShort
by VictorCobra
10
S&P 500 and Recession?Though it seems like we're currently in correction wave A and would like to stay neutral short to mid-term until confirmed wave 1 appears, the gap and bearish engulfing candle make it seem like the slide will continue earlier than expected within Q1 -- or maybe it will suddenly "recover" fast by next week, depends on the whales tbh, but lemme know your thoughts down the comments below. Anyway just sharing an interesting pattern in S&P 500 coinciding with the major downturns in the market and recessions in the past, and might interest those who want to "time" the markets. As mentioned in my trading blog, ceteris paribus, overall I'm bearish in the markets in the next decade or so considering the stagnant growth of world economies. The only thing that can push that up is if we're finally able to start mining in space and utilize AI technology while "smoothly" transitioning displaced human workers into more relevant roles. Guideline: SELL - divergence in RSI and chart on -61.8 fib or higher (-61.8 becomes new 0 fib) and RSI above 70 for sell - sell up to around 0 fib of prior period and RSI below 30 (then soft buy-soft sell) OR - sell up to near -61.8 of current period (if there is prior bearish period & fib) or -100 of current period (if bearish reversal) SOFT BUY - RSI below 30 - price below -38.2 fib of prior period - buy up to near -61.8 of current period SOFT SELL - 2nd RSI above 70 - price above -38.2 fib of current period (if prior fib is also bullish) or near -100 fib - sell up to near 0 fib of current period BUY - divergence in RSI and chart on 0 (-61.8 fib or higher of prior bullish period) and RSI below 30 for buy - buy up to around -100 fib of prior period and RSI above 70 (then soft sell-soft buyl) OR - buy up to near -61.8 of current period (if there is prior bullish period & fib) or -100 of current period (if bullish reversal) SOFT SELL - RSI above 70 - price below -38.2 fib of current period - sell up to near -61.8 of prior period SOFT BUY - 2nd RSI below 30 - price at 0 fib of current period - sell above -38.2 fib of current period Rules: 1. For reversals, plot fibonacci either from prior period -100 or -61.8 fib level (depending on where price is nearest) down to prior period 0 fibonacci level 2. If price continues to trend up or down, way past the -100 fibonacci level, plot that as new 0 fibonacci level and add a hype icon (champagne glass or caution) 3. RSI is set at 10-70-30 on the weekly chart only
SP:SPX
by aiza_belle
What we're looking for to suggest a bottom is in!Crashes occur when markets are already oversold so there could be more downside from here. One of the indicators we look at is the percentage of stocks above their 200 day moving average to determine if we've hit a short term bottom. As you can see in the chart we entered 2 lines where stocks could be considered extremely oversold. There isn't one indicator that can tell us when the market bottoms exactly but we can look at the overall number of stocks above their 200 dma as a good tell that a rally could be imminent. Let us know what you think.
INDEX:MMTH
by TradingETFscom
DOW -WaveTalks - Cracks 1900 points / Nifty - Ab tera kya hoga ?WaveTalks - DOW -Cracks 1900 points in 2 days / Nifty - Ab tera kya hoga ? Welcome you all in the exciting update on WaveTalks !!! As per the idea published on 12th Jan 2020 - Nifty : Stellium Effect (Stellium - Astro term) Have Suggested Dow close to a primary top on 17th Jan 2020 & India Nifty made a top next week on 20th Jan 2020 - Looking for a fall close from 29500 which is psychological level update in later videos - just broke the channel convinced all bulls nothing is wrong & revisited - made new high above 29500 - Here's a catch ! Penultimate waves always have painful end. Time & again it has proved correctly - This time wasn't any surprise ! As usual Bulls convince themselves nothing is wrong & bears get excited but unfortunately market never listens anyone be it a bull or a bear - it just does what it likes the best!!! - Don't trade with emotions else you are calling for trouble. Most Important clue suggested for proposed India Nifty Fall from channel top at 12350-12450 are mentioned below DJIA - Dow Jones Industrial Average Dollar Rupee - Expected move above 70.50 for 72.25 & above 72.50 for 74.50+ Nifty - Ab tera kya hoga ??? ( I still suggest don't be a bull neither a bear -never get excited in trades - control your emotions & trade what market tells you ) 13th Jan 2020 - Dow Jones 25th Feb 2020 - Dow at 27081 10th Jan 2020 - Dollar Rupee Expected to fall on smooth talks post Geo-political tension between U.S. & Iran - meanwhile -both Global Markets & Indian markets rallied for new highs. India Nifty rallied from 11930 to 12375-12430- where caution was already suggested as channel top. Nifty - Ab Tera Kya Hoga ??? Check the TradingView profile page for previous ideas at in.tradingview.com Thanks for reading the update, your precious time & be careful in trading - don't listen anyone -neither bulls nor bears only practice hearing what price talks.
DJ:DJIShort
by WaveTalks
26
TRASH TO SPACE? | Waste ManagementWaste Management is one of the few stocks I've traded over the years. Waste Management is a beautiful opportunity for investors with 30%+ gains avg. a year, for the last 5 year years. When it comes to stocks, I often ask myself "do we NEED this company/service"... When it comes to trash, we do. I think it's going to be interesting what's to come for WM, will it strive through this next crash? Pattern Recognition: - As we validate this rising wedge, we look for a few more waves before it's descend (if rising wedge is successful). We look for a retest near $115 most definitely, if the bears can push we will see farther retest toward the $108 level. Trash In Space? " The development will occur in two phases. In Phase A, selected companies will create a concept trash compaction and processing system, conduct design reviews with NASA, and validate concepts through prototype ground demonstrations. Throughout this phase, the companies may request use of NASA facilities to conduct subsystem tests. In Phase B, a flight unit will be developed to demonstrate a system aboard the space station as early as 2022. Inherent with the NextSTEP partnership model, private companies must contribute their own corporate resources toward the development of their trash compaction and processing systems. In this case, responders are required to show a minimum of 20 percent contribution toward the overall development cost, or 10 percent for small businesses. Proposals are due August 22, 2018. NASA plans to host a " The future is closer than many think.... As always, I'm not a financial adviser nor am I providing financial advice. DotcomJack
NYSE:WMLong
by DotcomJack
6
S&P 500: The Financial Paradigm Shift is HereThe longest bull run in history seems to be coming to an end. -Fed injecting billions into the overnight repo market -Almost every large bank is scrambling for new payment rails -CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currencies) on the rise heavily thanks to Project Libra -The most liquid stock market now as illiquid as the 2008 crisis -50+ banks are Quantitative Easing -Gold Futures out the roof -Stock Market ATH -Trump Partial Impeachment (distraction) -Ripple ODL (On-Demand Liquidity)- Hitting ATH volume- Country corridors being opened week by week -Bitcoin Halving in May of 2020- Remember Bitcoin was created after the last crisis of 2008. It has yet to show its power in a financial meltdown- Coincidence? No. The shift is HERE. Comment Thoughts Below.
TVC:SPX
by traderview2
6