Stockmarkets
A Positive News about SBIN to recover Kinfisher Airlines Loan A Positive news for ( SBIN ) State Bank of India stocks. State Bank of India to recover Vijay Mallya's Kinfisher Airlines loan recovery from Property Sale. This would eventually bring a Green Signal for the Stock. Watch accordingly with the Lead Indicators and take your Position.!!
Ideal for Swing Trade !!
S&P 500 / SPY Breaks Down to Support, Bounce or Larger Crash?The S&P 500 has broken down to trendline support after a failed breakout at 4240. The SPY index formed a high at 4238 and tried to break it at 4255, but failed to hold above that alltimehigh. It is now testing trendline support, and the question is whether price will bounce here at support or will support fail to hold and thus lead to a much larger correction.
Part of the reason that I'm looking at the S&P500 even though I mostly focus on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies is that the correlation between the two has recently been quite high, and they have both been retracing in the past few days, so a recovery in the S&P500 could also bode well for a recovery in Bitcoin and the wider cryptoassets.
The key level to watch is 4175. If this level holds, then we remain above the trendline and can expect another leg up. If we close below 4175, then be prepared for some volatility upon trendline break as we might have formed a double top, which will likely also trickle over to Bitcoin and other risk-on assets as well. Of course, it's possible that what we are seeing is similar to what we saw back in March, when price failed to hold a higher high, broke down a bit, and then rallied higher.
If price does break down, then the 200 day moving average at 3900 should serve as ultimate support, though I'd think that the Biden administration and the Federal Reserve would have stepped in before that happens.
Symmetrical Triangle for Bursa KLCI! Bull or Bear?14th June 2021
The FBM KLCI finished 0.46% or 7.3 points higher at 1,582.46 in line with gains in regional markets. It a good start to the week but also a challenging week. The local political front, uncertain over the outcome from the Agong's meeting with the council of rulers this Wednesday, expect investors to stay sideline waiting for the final outcome.
The KLCI weekly chart, it showing a Symmetrical Triangle . Pray hard to coming Wednesday something positive after the Agong's meeting, most likely the KLCI index would challenge Resistance 1,600 point. But if negative, Index could break Symmetrical Triangle support and go hovering at 1,540-1,550 points.
S&P500 still looking bullishIn terms of the global economy the flood of liquidity and government aid has been papering over the cracks which I don't know when or whether they are going to break. The situation isn't pretty, yet the markets don't really seem to be worried about anything long term. Inflation doesn't seem to be that much of an issue yet and markets just keep going higher thanks to the liquidity injections, people having more access and overall the bubble doesn't seem to over.
For the SPX500 a dip to 3990 would be very healthy and a great buying the dip opportunity, although it might come after we touch the top diagonal first and currently SPX is bullish across all timeframes and still sitting above support very nicely. I'll create some ideas pretty soon supporting this one regarding other asset classes that people might find interesting so stay tuned!
The bull market in stocks is getting stretched and there are some signs of weakness in some, but there aren't signs of extreme froth either. I've been very big on the idea that the bull isn't over and won't be over any time soon, although a 15-20% correction probably isn't far away. So far corrections have been very shallow and in my opinion we'll get a big drop at some point. For now though everything looks pretty bullish. Chinese stocks have shown significant strength and they have held their bullish structure. A little dip from here would be ideal for going long. Russell 2000 and Nikkei have been extremely weak, but I am still not sold on the idea that they will go into a large dip soon. The Nasdaq 100 is looking weak, yet I see nothing worrying. The DAX has been one of the most bullish ones along with other European indices, however it is one of those that worry me a little bit more in the short term as every time it broke above ATHs it then collapsed and currently it has a bit of
PVR SHORT SELLING OPPORTUNITYHello Traders I found PVR for short selling opportunity as we see on 1 hrs Time frame it came to its resistance level and it did not break it level and also we can see there it made a Ascending Channnel which is the clear notification of selling. If You find my Analysis is helpful for you Please Lke and Follow me. THANKYOU
AMC Stock up 3,000%!What is going on with AMC Entertainment?
I'm sure you've heard the news:
Defying all forms of fundamental analysis and business logic, AMC Entertainment AMC once again finds itself climbing higher.
AMC is up 200% advance since last week and almost 3,000% since the beginning of the year.
This is another coordinated short squeeze event by retail investors - especially the users of the Reddit Forum /WallStreetBets or "Apes" - as they call themselves.
Back in January, AMC Entertainment and fellow Meme Stock, GameStop GME , were the focus of an attack on institutions and hedge funds that held substantial short positions in the stocks.
"Being short" means that the investor believes that the price of the stock will fall and that the underlying business does not deserve its current valuation.
A short squeeze occurs when the price of a stock climbs and goes against the short position, forcing the short sellers to buy existing shares to "cover" their positions.
When a stock has an unusually high short percentage, like AMC and GameStop, investors can actually force the price to go higher by buying up shares at the current price.
From there, it is simple economics: the supply of shares falls as the demand increases, driving the price of the equity higher.
Just exactly how much have short-sellers lost on AMC?
On Wednesday, June 1st, short-sellers betting against AMC lost $2.8 billion, bringing their year-to-date losses to more than $5 billion, according to S3 Partners.
The idea of short squeezing these stocks was fueled on social media, Reddit to be exact.
The subreddit r/WallStreetBets made AMC and GameStop its darlings, and along the way has amassed an army of Apes numbering over 10 million.
Since then, the hashtag #SqueezeAMC has trended all over the internet.
Daily trading volume for AMC has topped a staggering 650 million shares over the past few trading sessions, indicating that retail investors are all in!
Why Is AMC Stock So High?
Mark Twain once said, "history does not repeat itself, but it often rhymes" .
AMC and GameStop are once again being squeeze by r/WallStreetBets and other traders that are growing tired of the market manipulation by institutions like hedge funds.
There are other catalysts as well though, including the great re-opening following the COVID-19 pandemic.
AMC operates nearly 1,000 movie theaters around the world and announced that all of its U.S. locations are back open following an aggressive vaccination rollout.
Early indications from both the Easter and Memorial Day long weekends are that movie fans are ready to return to theaters.
We are also nearing the summer blockbuster season that will see the return of big-name movies like Space Jam 2, F9 the latest Fast and the Furious movie, and the Suicide Squad sequel.
Who is buying AMC stock?
AMC CEO Adam Aron is a genius: He has also been hitting all the right notes with investors.
Here are just 2 examples:
1.) Aron famously announced that AMC Entertainment was “under attack” by short-sellers, which served as a rallying cry for WallStreetBets.
2.) He additionally revealed that retail investors "own more than 80%" of the company at the last count, meaning a non-institutional base now owns a super-majority of AMC shares.
At the last earnings call. he said: "We work for them. I work for them... and their ambitions and passions are important to me."
3.) And yesterday, he was announcing plans that AMC investors will be rewarded with special screenings and free popcorn.
Contrast that with ex-GameStop CEO George Sherman, who stayed largely quiet while his company's stock price soared in late January.
Did AMC Sell More Shares?
Recently, AMC Entertainment sold 8.5 million shares to an investment firm called Mudrick Capital, which helped the company raise about $230 million.
Shares surged 20% after this news. Interestingly enough, on the next trading day, shareholder Mudrick Capital turned around and sold all those shares for a quick profit.
Mudrick stated that the stock was now overvalued, and given the recent volatility, it's hard to fault them. Had Mudrick held onto the shares, they would now be worth well over $500 million.
This morning, June 3rd, AMC announced that it filed for additional share offerings with the SEC. They said it may sell some of the 11 million shares “from time to time.”
Apparently, that time was now as it completed the offering in about three hours.
AMC said it sold 11.55 million shares at an average price of approximately $50.85 per share - bringing in an additional $587.4 million.
This is on top of the $658.5 million already raised this quarter, resulting in a total equity raise in the second quarter of $1.246 billion.
What's The Highest AMC Stock Has Been?
Yesterday, on June 2nd, AMC rallied an unimaginable 95% to close the trading session at over $72.62 per share, which is the higher it has ever been.
AMC has now gained 3000% year to date, which is a clear illustration of the current hysteria surrounding the stock.
AMC has now surpassed GameStop's market cap, and is clearly the new favorite stock of WallStreetBets.
How High Will It Go? Can AMC really hit 100,000?
Nobody actually knows! Any guess is pure speculation right now, so please do not take anyone's word for an actual price target.
A short squeeze like this is a ticking timebomb, and as we saw in January, the downside comes harder and faster than the ride up.
If you do a quick scan of social media, you will find price targets of anywhere from $100 to $100,000 per share.
Remember, it is all speculation, and there are many people who will take advantage of investors feeling FOMO, by pumping out inaccurate information.
Let's take the popular figure of $100,000 per share as an example.
There are 498 million shares outstanding for AMC.
Simple market cap calculation would place the value of AMC at about $50 trillion, or more than the entire S&P 500 index, which is valued at about $35 trillion right now.
Before we talk about whether you should be investing in AMC or not, let's talk about the fundamentals:
Is AMC losing money?
Yes. 2020 was tough for AMC: The company lost 4.5 Billion Dollars.
AMC is in a tough position:
During the pandemic in 2020, streaming services like Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime, Hulu and others gained a lot of momentum.
And many people upgraded their home theaters.
But with the cash infusion of more than $1.2 Billon, AMC can buy up their competitors, upgrade their theaters and invest in their growth.
And as COVID restrictions are being lifted in the US, people are ready to get "back to normal" , and this includes visiting theaters.
So AMC could be in a good position to stay in business.
Will AMC go up tomorrow?
Who knows?
In their SEC filings, the company said:
"We believe that the recent volatility and our current market prices reflect market and trading dynamics unrelated to our underlying business, and we do not know how long these dynamics will last."
And AMC CEO Adam Aron warns:
"Under the circumstances, we caution you against investing in our Class A common stock, unless you are prepared to incur the risk of losing all or a substantial portion of your investment."
"Should I Buy AMC Shares?"
This is the real question: should you buy AMC?
Is AMC a good buy?
If any other stock gained over 1,100% in less than six months, would that seem like a good time to buy in?
Warren Buffett famously said, "be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy".
And even the CEO himself thinks that the company is overvalued, stay away from the stock!
I can guarantee that much of the FOMO investors buying in now are doing so out of greed.
Now, I'm not saying the stock won't continue to rise.
WallStreetBets has certainly rallied a large enough army to keep the momentum going for now. But realistically how much higher can we expect the stock to rise?
But after last week's gains, most of the move might already be over, and trust me when I say, this is not a bag you want to be left holding.
So you might be asking what about me?
Would I buy this stock?
Heck no!
I tend to steer clear from volatility and this level of risk.
My focus is always on SRC Profits: Systematic, Repeatable, and Consistent .
If you are investing your hard-earned money, there are certainly safer investments to make than a highly speculative social media short squeeze attempt.
How to buy AMC shares?
At the end of the day, if you still want to buy AMC shares, all you need to do is log on to your brokerage and decide how many shares you would like.
With a stock that exhibits as much volatility as AMC does, you may want to consider entering a stop/loss to protect yourself from the downside, which almost always comes faster than you think.
Bitcoin Crash 2021 Bitcoin has been on a rollercoaster ride in the past week. It crashed more than 50%!
So what’s next?
What is causing the Bitcoin crash?
Is Bitcoin still a good investment?
Cryptocurrency Markets Crashed By 50 Percent. What’s Next?
So what happened?
Bitcoin gained a lot of popularity in late 2020:
It went from $10,000 to $42,000 in 4 months before crashing 30% to $28,000 in late January 2021.
And then, in February 2021, Elon Musk added fuel to the fire by saying that Tesla TSLA bought $1.5B in Bitcoin and plans to accept it as payment for its cars.
As a result, Bitcoin rallied above $60,000.
At that time, it seemed that more and more companies are jumping on the cryptocurrency bandwagon.
In late March, Paypal announced that it will allow cryptocurrencies as payment, mainly Bitcoin , Ethereum and Litecoin :
Bitcoin is reaching new highs of more than $64,000 when some investors are taking profits, which is absolutely normal.
Bitcoin drops to $48,000 but quickly bounced back to $60,000.
Why is Bitcoin crashing?
Bitcoin Crash 2021: What You Need To Know:
On May 12, 2021, Elon Musk Tweeted:
Tesla has suspended vehicle purchases using Bitcoin. We are concerned about rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for Bitcoin mining and transactions, especially coal, which has the worst emissions of any fuel.
Cryptocurrency is a good idea on many levels and we believe it has a promising future, but this cannot come at great cost to the enviornment.
Tesla will not be selling any Bitcoin and we intend to usi it for transactions as soon as mining transitions to more sustainable energy. We are also looking at other cyptocurrencies that use <1% of Bitcoin's energy/transaction.
In a matter of minutes, Bitcoin plummets 5%.
Over the next few days, the bad news keeps piling on.
JP Morgan (JPM) reported that institutional investors are dumping bitcoin and going back into gold, and 2 days later, China calls for crackdown on bitcoin mining and trading.
And if that’s not enough, now the US Treasury is cracking down on Cryptocurrencies too, saying that they will require any transfer worth $10,000 or more to be reported to the IRS.
So Bitcoin has been crashing more than 50% in just over a month:
From $64,000 on April 14th, 2021 to ~ $30,000 on May 19th, 2021.
As a result, companies that are tied to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are tumbling, too:
Tesla TSLA , Square SQ , Coinbase COIN , and Cathy Wood’s Ark Innovation Fund ARKK .
Is bitcoin still a good investment? (How does it affect YOU?)
Will bitcoin prices recover?
Is the Bitcoin crash in May 2021 just temporary, or is this the end of Bitcoin?
Well I like to trade what I see and not what I think.
Bitcoin has broken the 200-Day Moving Average, which is a bearish sign.
We’re also past any “normal” Fibonacci Retracements and are still in a downturn.
After all the negative press, especially regarding its energy consumption, it might be tough for Bitcoin to recover.
Alternatives To Bitcoin
There are other interesting alternatives.
Ethereum:
All of the cryptocurrencies are going down. Looking at a chart for Ethereum, ETH, it has not crossed the 200-day moving average yet. It has found support and is now bouncing back.
Ethereum uses less than 1% of Bitcoin’s energy consumption per transaction.
Here is why I’m getting excited for Ethereum:
Think about it from a trading perspective. If I could pick up ETH for a price of around $2,000, what is the upside? It could double and go up to around $4,000 which is very possible.
Or, it could go down to $1,000. This gives me a 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Litecoin:
Litecoin has also recently dropped quite a lot trading at around $173. Let’s say that we can pick this up for a longer-term investment for around $150. What would be the downside?
The downside is maybe it drops to $75, but could the price go as high as $300 or $400? Absolutely!
So you could 2x or 3x your money.
So this is why, right now, I’m not too interested in Bitcoin.
I think Bitcoin was a little bit overhyped, and people are now dumping it, but I am interested in these other cryptocurrencies.
Libra/Diem
So Facebook is back, and they announced a cryptocurrency called Libra. They want to work with regulators and will rebrand the coin Diem.
I will be keeping a close eye on this one and here’s why:
Think about it. Facebook with their vast network with Facebook, Instagram, & Whatsapp. If they want to push a cryptocurrency, they definitely have the power.
What Will I Do?
Right now, I will be keeping a very close eye on what is happening in the cryptocurrency markets, and I’m looking to buy some cryptocurrencies at these levels when they are available at a discount.
Full disclosure, I currently have not bought any cryptocurrencies, but I’m currently doing research and looking into a few wallets. If I can get them at a discount, I’m currently very interested in this.
Sell In May and Go Away?You might have heard the saying “Sell in May and go away.”
It is an old investing adage that has been around for decades, but does it actually work?
In this blog post, we are going to find out what’s best to do.
We will discuss:
1. What is the meaning behind “Sell in May and go away?”
2. Does sell in May and go away work?
3. Should you sell in May and go away?
4. Two reasons not to sell in May and what to do instead.
Let’s get started:
1. What Is The Meaning Behind “Sell In May And Go Away?”
The saying “Sell in May and go away” has been around for a long time.
It was first recorded in 1937 by John Hill via The Financial Times of London.
The original saying was “Sell in May and come on back on St. Leger’s Day.”
This phrase refers to a custom of aristocrats, merchants, and bankers who would leave the city of London and escape to the country during the hot summer months.
St. Leger’s Day refers to the St. Leger’s Stakes, a thoroughbred horse race held in mid-September and the last leg of the British Triple Crown.
And it seems that American traders have adopted the saying. Americans are more likely to spend more time on vacation between Memorial Day and Labor Day.
2. Does “Sell in May And Go Away” Work?
And indeed, for over 50 years, the stock market performance supported the theory behind the strategy.
From 1950 to around 2013, the DOW has had an average return of only 0.3% during the six-month period from May to October period.
In comparison, the Dow had an average gain of 7.5% during the November to April period.
So it seems that “Sell in May and Go away” is a strategy that may have worked for many years.
But In recent times, it seems like the strategy has fallen out of favor.
Technical analysts at Merrill Lynch looked at historical data and found THIS out:
Looking at 3-month seasonal data going back to 1928, the June-August period typically is the second-best of the year, with gains 63% of the time, and an average return of 2.97%!
3. Should You Sell In May And Go Away?
With all this conflicting data, does it make sense to sell in May and go away?
Is this a good investment strategy?
You know me — I always say “Trade What You See And Not What You Think!”
Always look at the market data!
As an example, last year, between May 4th and August 31st, 2020, the Nasdaq rose 28% (refer to chart).
If you would have sold in May and "gone away," you would have missed out on these gains.
4. Two Reasons Not To Sell In May And What To Do Instead
Maybe it makes sense to sell in May and go away when you’re an investor.
MAYBE...
But as a short-term trader like me, May is a GREAT month to trade, and here’s why:
I like to trade The Wheel Strategy . With this trading strategy, you are selling option premiums.
And there are 2 factors that influence options premiums:
- Volatility
When volatility is high, option premiums are higher.
The Volatility Index VIX for the past few month, has been pretty low in March and April.
But now, in May 2021, it's spiking up again.
This means that options premiums are higher, which is perfect for a seller like me:
I can get more premium!
- Down Days
Step 1 of The Wheel Strategy is selling puts, and you get more premium for puts on “Down Days” for such strategies.
According to the NASDAQ , thus far, in May 2021, we had 7 “down days” and only 4 “up days."
On “down days," there are many more trading opportunities.
Last week, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average had its worst week since February, I made $3,722 in profits.
Here Are Some Of My Trades In May:
Let’s take a look at these trades in more detail:
- Trade #1: Snapchat SNAP
Snapchat recently had some rough weeks.
In less than 2 months, it traded from a high of 72.50 to around $50 where it found some support.
Most retail investors would stay away from a stock like this but I saw an opportunity to “buy it at a discount” :
I sold Puts with a strike price of 47 and an expiration of 4 days.
If SNAP closed below $47 on May 14 (the expiration date), I would have gotten assigned and bought SNAP for $47. I would consider that a bargain.
If SNAP closed above $47, I would have just kept the premium that I received for selling calls. In this case, that’s $525.
SNAP did close above $47 on May 14, and I collected $525 for 4 days of exposure in the stock market.
- Trade #2: Square SQ
Square looked very similar:
Mid-February, the stock made a high of $280, but then it retreated to $200.
Most market participants would not trade a stock like this, but looking back over a six-month period, I saw some good
support around the $200 — $203 level.
I sold 5 Puts with a strike price of 202.50 and an expiration date of May 14th.
I received $100 in premium for each put, so I collected $500 in premium.
On May 14, SQ closed above $202.50, and I made $500 in only 4 days. That’s a very nice return.
- Other Trades I Took
I sold 119 Puts on Apple , sold 212.50 Puts on Boeing ,
And I sold 39.50 Puts on Dave & Busters .
All of these stocks have lost in value over the past few months.
Investors who follow a ‘buy-and-hold approach” would lose money in this scenario, but as an active investor, I can apply
trading strategies that make money even if the stock is going sideways or even moving lower.
Summary
“Sell in May and go away” is an old Wall Street adage that might be useful for buy-and-hold investors.
But active investors like me are always on the lookout for trading opportunities.
And with the right trading strategy, the increased volatility combined with markets that are moving lower is a dream come true.
You need to have the right trading strategy.
I personally like to use the PowerX Strategy for markets that are trending, and I trade The Wheel Strategy in
choppy market conditions as we experience right now.
With such a strategy, I am able to make money even if the stock is going sideways or lower.
I for one will NOT sell in May and go away!
NASDAQ - Elliott Wave Correction Nasdaq looks strong.
Key points -
Biggest reason is volatility index for Nasdaq is showing weakness, when Nasdaq was going down, there was not enough strength in VOLQ, that means buyers were buying every dip today.
NASDAQ:VOLQ
PS: Corrections are hard to analyze as they can take any turn, I'm bullish but still conservative.
Happy Trading.
Options vs Stocks: Which Is Better?If you are wondering whether to trade options vs stocks, then this article is for you. There’s no simple answer to that question because it depends on how much money you have and your risk tolerance level.
This blog post will cover the 7 topics that you need to know to answer the question “Is Options Trading Better Than Stocks?”
1. What Is The Difference Between Buying Stocks and Buying Options?
Let’s keep it simple:
When you buy a stock, then you own a share of the company and get paid dividends.
Buying options, on the other hand, means that you only have the right to buy or sell a stock at a specific price before the option expires. But you don’t own the stock (yet).
As you will see in a few moments, options trading requires much less capital than buying a stock, and therefore it’s very attractive.
But it can also very confusing. My goal is to make it simple for you.
Let’s start with an example:
2. Which Is Better: To Buy A Call Option On A Stock Or To Buy A Stock?
Let’s use Apple (AAPL) as an example. Right now, the market price (at the time of this writing on May 6th, 2021) of AAPL is 128.70.
Let’s assume, you are bullish on Apple and expect AAPL to go higher.
So you could buy 100 shares of AAPL, but this would come with a high price:
100 shares * 128.70 per share = $12,870
If you have a small account, this might be too high of an investment.
The good news: You can trade options instead.
When you buy a CALL option, you have the right to buy 100 shares of AAPL at a set price (the strike price) on or before the expiration date of the option.
You could buy a call option that expires on June 18th. Today is May 6th, so you have 43 days before this option expires worthless
The price of the option is $3.75.
Options come in “100 packs”, so your investment to buy this call option is only $3.75 * 100 = $375
Why Buy Options Instead Of Stocks?
First of all, it’s much cheaper:
Compared to the investment of 12,807 to buy 100 shares, that’s only 3% of the money that’s required.
And because of that, options more profitable than stocks.
Let me explain:
3. Are Options More Profitable Than Stocks?
Since you are bullish on AAPL, you expect the stock to go up.
Let’s say that over the next few weeks, the stock goes to 140:
Let’s take a look at the profits from your stocks first:
You bought 100 shares of AAPL at a price of $128.70 per share.
Now each share is worth $140.
So your profit is 140–128.70 = 11.30 per share * 100 shares = 1,130.
Based on your investment of $12,870, that’s 8.8% Return on Investment (ROI).
That’s not bad, but let’s take a look at the call option:
How Are Options More Profitable Than Stocks?
The call option that you bought gives you the right to BUY 100 shares of AAPL for $130 before June 18th.
So if AAPL shares move up to $140, you can buy 100 shares of AAPL at $130 and sell them immediately at $140.
This means that your profit per share is 140–130 = 10.
And since you are trading 100 shares, your profit would be $1,000.
But keep in mind: You paid $375 for the right to do this, so you need to subtract this from your profits:
1000–375 = 625.
Your total profit is $625. Doesn’t sound much, but based on your $375 investment, that’s 167% return on investment (ROI).
In summary:
You made more money in terms of absolute dollars on the stock ($1,130 vs. $625), but the money you needed to make this profit was much less: $375 vs. $12,870.
And that’s why your ROI is 167% when trading the option vs 8.8% when trading the stock — even though the stock price is exactly the same.
Pretty cool, huh?
4. How Much Money Do You Need For Options Trading?
As you can see from the previous example, you need MUCH less money when trading options vs trading stocks.
When trading options, you can get started with as little as $2,000.
Check with your broker about the minimum requirements to open an options trading account.
So if you have a smaller account, trading options might be much better for you than stock trading.
5. Can You Lose Money Trading Options?
Let’s talk about the risks of options trading, specifically the question “Can you lose money trading options?”
The answer: YES, of course!
In the example above, you could lose the premium you paid for the option, i.e. $375, if the stock price does not move above the strike price of $130.
If AAPL remains below $130 until the expiration date of June 18th, your option expires worthless.
And here’s why:
With a call option, you have the right to BUY 100 shares of AAPL for $130.
If AAPL is trading below $130, let’s say at $128, you don’t want to exercise your right to buy AAPL at $130. Because then you would pay MORE for the stock than you would if you bought it right away.
Making sense?
So if AAPL stays below $130 until expiration, your option expires worthless and you lose the premium you paid for the right to buy the stock.
Can You Lose More Than You Invest In Options?
When you are BUYING options, you can not lose more than the premium that you pay when buying options. So that’s good.
However, when you are SELLING options, that’s a different story, and we will cover that later.
So in summary: When BUYING options, the maximum amount that you could lose is the premium you pay when buying the option.
6. What Are The Risks Of Options Trading?
YES, there are risks when trading options:
a) Selling Options Can Be Dangerous.
As you have seen, when BUYING options your risk is limited to the premium you pay when buying the option.
However, as a seller, there’s a lot more risk. In some cases, you can have UNLIMITED risk.
We will cover this in detail in a later article.
b) Buying Out Of The Money Options.
Risky before the probabilities are low.
c) Know What You’re Doing
When trading options, there are a few more things to consider:
Call options vs put options
Strike Prices
Expiration Dates
… and then there are also these pesky “Greeks” like delta, gamma, theta, rho, etc.
And when you have more things to consider, there are more possibilities to make mistakes.
So make sure that you understand all these factors before you start trading options. We will talk about “The Greeks” later.
Are Options Riskier Than Stocks?
YES.
Because it’s easier to lose ALL of your investment.
Let’s continue our example from above:
Trading Stocks
You bought AAPL at $128.70 per share.
If AAPL drops to $125, then you would lose $3.70 per share, or $370 for 100 shares. Based on your initial investment, that’s only 2.9%
Trading Options
You bought the 130 Call Option for $3.75.
If AAPL doesn’t move above 130, you lose ALL of your investment, i.e. 100%.
Yes, the investment is much lower, but instead of losing 2.9% as you would when trading stocks, you would lose 100%.
Selling Options
And when selling options, you can lose A LOT of money.
Selling options can be very profitable. In fact, I made more than $75,000 in less than 5 months selling options…
… BUT it’s also very risky.
Compare options vs stocks like riding a bicycle and riding a motorcycle:
Riding a motorcycle gets you to your destination quicker. And it can be more fun. But it’s also much riskier than riding a bicycle.
7. Can You Really Make Money Trading Options?
Absolutely!
There are many advantages to trading options, and it is possible to make money with options.
Is there a safe way to trade options?
You need to know what you are doing, and you need to have a solid trading strategy.
Find a strategy that you understand and then practice it on a simulator. And when you are ready, start making money with it.
Can Option Trading make you rich?
When trading options, you will often see returns of 167%, 200% or even 300%.
Therefore, it’s easy to believe that options trading can make you rich.
But keep in mind: With these high returns, comes high risk.
Yes, you can make 200% or 300% when trading options.
And you can lose ALL your investment, as you have seen above.
Don’t think of options trading as a “get-rich-quick-scheme”.
But when used correctly, options trading is perfect to grow a small account into a bigger one.
Summary: Should I Trade Options
YES!
Should I trade stocks or options?
Why not do both? Best of both worlds!
Is options trading worth it?
YES! It can be very rewarding! As we just covered with trading options, there are many, many advantages. If you are not trading options yet, I highly recommend that you start looking into them.
FSR - What Happens Next? Hi, this is my new update for Fisker. From 2.Mars until now, FSR has fallen over 60% and I think we have reached the bottom. We have now tested the support level around $10.30-10.50, the RSI is under 30 and that means FSR is oversold and that is a good sign and now the RSI is getting ready to test the support 24, once we test it then we are going to make a double bottom in RSI chart and it is time to takeoff and I expect we are going to make a bottom head and shoulders and that indicates we have reached the bottom. The first resistance we have to test is between $11.85-12.20, once we break it, the next one is around $15. So be patient ;)
When To Sit On Your Hands When TradingNow, as you know, I like to use the PowerX Optimizer to find the best trades according to the PowerX strategy, along with The Wheel Strategy.
So here’s my morning routine. Usually, I’m in front of the computer at 8 a.m. Central Time. That is 30 minutes before the US markets open. I run the scanner on PowerX Optimizer, and it finds possible trades based on my criteria.
My Criteria For Finding Stocks
My criteria, for starters, is I like to look for long and short signals because I like to play the markets both ways. I want to see at least a 60% return on my investment. I also want to see stocks that have a closing price between $5 and $250, because I don’t like to trade stocks that are below $5.
I want to see a profit factor that is higher than 3. This means that for every dollar that I would have lost trading the strategy, I would have made $3. I also want a risk-reward ratio of at least 2%. Usually, there are anywhere between 4 & 8 stocks that come up on my scanner every day.
I use three criteria to find A-plus trades. So here’s what I’m looking for.
Number one, I’m looking for gappiness. I look back to see if the stock had a lot of gaps over the past year. I look back over the past 13 months.
Number two, I’m looking for is trendability. What does trendability mean? It means that I want to see nice trends to the upside and the downside.
And the last thing, number three, is I’m looking at the P&L chart. What does the P&L chart mean? Now, this is one of the strengths of the PowerX Optimizer software, and this is why I use it every single day.
The P&L chart basically shows you what would have happened if I had traded this stock according to the rules of the PowerX strategy over the past year.
So I can take a look at the trading report where I see for the past few trades, what I would have made in profits & losses.
When To Sit On Your Hands
Anyhow, this morning (at the time of this writing) I just saw EVRI on my scanner and it passed MOST of my criteria. First of all, it did pass all my scanner criteria, otherwise, it wouldn’t have come up here. Also, it did pass 2 out of my 3 criteria in terms of gappiness and trendability.
But when it came to the P&L chart, it didn’t meet my criteria. So this is where this morning I did the most difficult thing for a trader. I was sitting on my hands. You see, at the beginning of my trading career, I had this little voice in my head and this little voice in my head said, “If you don’t trade, you don’t make any money.”
Well after I forced some trades, I realized, well, if you don’t trade, you also don’t lose any money. This is why it’s so important. In the beginning when I got a new tool, or when I had a new trading strategy, I wanted to trade it. All I wanted to do was trade. However, when there’s nothing to trade, DON’T TRADE.
This is why I use the PowerX Optimizer. It a fantastic job of keeping you out of trouble.
So now, as you know, I am trading two strategies. In addition to trading the PowerX strategy, I’m also trading the Wheel. So also for the Wheel, I started looking for trades.
Let me show you what I was looking for this morning. One of the trades that I thought, ahh you know what, this might actually be a decent trade was Marriott, (MAR), but when I looked, however, there wasn’t enough premium in there to sell according to the Wheel.
I looked at another stock that came up on my radar this morning, which was (PENN). There was some great premium in there but PENN sounded rather risky. You see, for me, it is very, very important that I have a great track record.
Now at the beginning of my trading career, I would have forced these trades. I would have said, “Oh my gosh, I cannot be done working after one hour,” because this is what happens sometimes in the morning.
I sit down in front of the computer at 8 o’clock, which is half an hour before the open, and I run through the PowerX Optimizer, and don’t find anything.
Now, one of the things that of course, I do every single day, is that I check my open positions, and in the PowerX Optimizer, I have my watch list.
So first I look for new trades, and secondly, manage my existing trades. I don’t, however, need to overmanage my account when there are days where there is nothing to trade. What I used to do way back when I was still new to trading, and nothing would come up, I would adjust my criteria.
I said, yeah, you know what? Instead of getting a 60% return on my investment, why don’t I lower it to 50%, or why don’t I lower the winning percentage to 35%. Maybe lower the volume to 200,000. I had to learn the hard way early in my career not to do this.
Summary
So anyhow, in summary, there will be days when you’re all excited, but you see, in order to make money with trading, two conditions have to be met.
Number one, you have to be ready, and number two, the markets have to be ready. You may be ready but if the markets are not ready, you got to sit on your hands. The beautiful thing as traders, it’s not that today is the trading opportunity of a century. No, tomorrow there will be more trades, on Wednesday will be more trades, on Thursday.
Every single day I’m running the scanner according to PowerX Optimizer and I will find more opportunities to trade.
So today, one of the hardest lessons, and this is why I wanted to share it with you, sit on your hands. Anyhow, if you enjoyed this video, do me a favor and click on like so that more people will see it.
UBER - Buy The Dip Hi, this is my update for UBER. In the last 3 days UBER has fallen more than 20%, we have lost the SMA50 and SMA100, but I think we have now reached the bottom, since we have support level around $45.90, SMA200 (46.74) and RSI is now under 30 so that means that UBER is oversold and it is time for shorts to cover in. So be prepared and don't PANIC ;)