Attention! Signs That Our Pullback Is Over.Traders,
Previously, you know that I had anticipated that our pullback might last a bit longer through May. However, today the charts are showing me that this might not be the case.
Let's start with the SPY. Originally, I had predicted a touch of the bottom of the RED channel. Then, based upon my analysis of the dollar, VIX, precious metals, and mega-corp stocks, I thought that it might be possible for SPY to even enter into the orangish-yellow area.
Today, the SPY has popped back above the RED channel and is now doing battle with our 50 Day SMA. This is a bullish indicator for sure. If we can beat the 50 day by CoB today, we'll have a fairly good indicator that our pullback may be over. We'll need more indicators to agree of course, but this is a good start.
The VIX agrees rn, as it has broken below support and fear continues to drop.
The dollar also agrees. Previously, I had anticipated a touch of that 107 level. Nope. The dollar has decided to break down and out of our bearish megaphone pattern early. We knew it was going to happen soon and so we were prepared. I am happy to report the news because with the dollar down and the VIX down you all know what this usually indicates for stocks right? UP.
...And our blow-off top continues into the election months as expected. Then a crash.
Of course, we'll need a confirmation candle on the daily for all of the above. If we get that, on we go. Watch all of these today and on Monday into next week. Monday (and next week) will be key as those days will give us the confirmation candle that we need, especially for the VIX and DXY. If they don't continue to break down, that will be our first warning that this was all a big head fake and we'll still have further pullback to weather out.
This all influences crypto. That is why it is necessary to track.
As always, I'll keep you up to date on these developments.
