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Meta Platforms (META) -> Mega MegaphoneMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Meta. You can see that since the beginning of 2017 Meta stock - also known as Facebook - has been trading in a quite nice and obvious reverse triangle or "megaphone" pattern. Overall I do expect another retest of the upper resistance trendline roughly at $600 but we could certainly see some correction before the next impulse higher. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
NASDAQ:METALong
by basictradingtv
37
Tesla -> Wait For The 3rd Timeframe!Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla 💪 After Tesla stock broke out of the parallel channel all the way back in 2019 there was a super solid rally of more than 1500% towards the upside on this stock. You can also see that Tesla just retested and started to reject previous weekly structure and in confluence with bullish moving averages we could see more continuation towards the upside. Finally I am waiting for a daily shift back to a bullish market which will happen if Tesla breaks the current daily resistance level and then all 3 timeframes are pointing towards a move higher. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
37
EURUSD(liquidity proxy)if BO parity, $ falls, gold,equity rallyEURUSD may be used as a liquidity proxy. It has been falling for a long time in a big down channel & Is now bouncing right at the dotted median line. (4Q is historically bullish going into new year specially on midterm election years, where markets bottom in late October) Watch closely if EURUSD will break above parity 1:1 again in a big move. Then most probably that is where the 4Q rally shall start extending to 1Q2023. I still believe there is still a wave 5 down for the C wave of the big ABC correction from ATH. In 2Q2023, ABC may end in a double bottom near the dotted median or even much lower to the lower channel in case of a recession, which is more probable in Europe than in the US. After ABC completes sometime before end of recession. Equities will rally to the start of a new EW cycle. Not trading advice
Long
by xtremerider8
Do You Believe in Santa Clause and... his rally?We're in the week that traditionally Santa's rally begins. Sales of tax losses usually end after the 15th of this month, so the coast is clear. At the same time, no one has forgotten the slaughter in the stock markets, which began at the same time last year. Well, do you believe in Santa and his rally in 2019? Yes, I was an obedient child during the year and I believe Santa will give another gift to my wallet… The second half of December is usually associated with stable seasonal demand for risky assets, especially given that the market cleared three significant overhanging clouds (UK elections, USMCA, US-China tariffs). China and the US have reached a first-phase deal in which the US will suspend tariffs in December and cut tariffs from 15% to 7.5% of the September list. Looking at the rest of the world, we see that the OECD's leading indicator confirms current stabilization. After 21 months of delay, the composite leading indicator returned to recovery, which has been historically positive for risky assets. The bearish scenarios and fears of recession were a large part of the investment markets throughout the year, and yet the global rally lifted almost all asset classes in 2019, except industrial metals, EUR and CHF. Looking at all mentioned above, the optimist in me suggests that the risk appetite among investors is likely to remain high despite the expected deviation in the trade talk story. The pessimist in me says that there is no way after a whole year of growth that we will not see a retreat and Santa will not help us… However, in a realistic view, a restricted deal means limited risk as investors become cautious, ultimately viewing Friday's partial deal as a short-term installment rather than a clear path to lasting and complete resolution of the trade tensions. In addition, the victory of Boris Johnson only brought more hope, but it did not draw the clear path of Brexit and the light in the tunnel is far away… At the same time, US stock market is overbought, which means it is vulnerable to a fall if bad news hits us this week. If the momentum of the stock market turns, smart money with big profits, especially hedge funds, may want to sell to lock in the profits. And such sales can accelerate the downward momentum. Looking ahead, this is a scenario that requires cautious attention and investors should be vigilant. Traders will now be forced to consider the prospect of the second phase of the trade deal and what will happen next. But for now, they might be just as happy to put the trade in the rearview mirror for a few weeks and to focus on economic data. The structure of the calendar this year leaves this week as de facto the last week of the year. And this is what makes it harder to explain intraday movements. We are about to see… In conclusion, I'll just say - don't be fooled, these stock markets are mostly controlled by the momentum crowd. Buying is not because of better earnings, better economy or better geopolitics, but because of the upside momentum. Keep in mind that sometimes the crowd is unshakable and can turn up for a penny. Technically, the S&P 500 starts the week by jumping to the $ 3,200 level. This level is, of course, a psychologically important figure, so that in itself was a sensible event. In addition, we also had an ascending triangle on daily chart that was broken up and in fact the price hit our longer-term goal. Now when that it has been reached, nothing is clear except that there is an obvious bullish pressure underneath. We prefer to Buy on the falls at this point, and I would not be surprised to see the S&P 500 drop to 3,100 before I weigh up. Many experts call that the next bullish target is $ 3,250, and another 50 points from now until the end of the year would certainly not be a big challenge. We believe that short-term pullback should be seen as potential buying opportunities. Especially given that so many money managers outside have to pad their results for the year. After all, this is a market that has a direction and of course it is an upside trend. But remember that there is quite a bit of market noise. What is your opinion? Do you already close your positions before the holidays or are you looking to capture the last moment?
TVC:SPXLong
by ForexTrendline
2
Nasdaq, what the FAQ?When is this rally short covering rally going to end? It already has. It's just bounced off monthly resistance. But besides this, how do you know it's the end of the rally? Surely the there must be more than one technical indicator? Well you're right. A crossover of the MACD and a break below the upward trending support would confirm this rally is over plus a dip below important MAs such as the 200 period. What about the fundamentals? Isn't China and Euro free money investors buying up US stocks? Well, this has probably contributed to the recent rally. Though if you're reading about it in the papers, the spending spree is most likely over. They aren't about to advertise their intentions and then act on it at a premium. I'd say Euro investors are going to be looking at Euro stocks as a priority. The US produced an excellent job report IMO but PE ratios but other economic data is poor meaning PE ratios are probably too high. I'd say Yellen will raise rates this Summer unless her mandate has shifted to propping up stocks instead of reducing unemployment. Is the market in a bubble? Yes, absolutely. Cheap money, QE has created excessive risk taking and ridiculous valuations. Id say we should be looking at a minimum 25% drop until the end of the 2017. Once the oil companies begin to close, that's when the poo will really hit the fan. I recommend reducing exposure to stocks. China is still very problematic and so is the Euro zone Yellen even is worried. One way or another, something's gotta give and the equity rally doing so well in a period of concern is suspicious. Either rates rise and the market falls, or PE ratios fall, or growth falls, or earnings drop off. Either way, it can't continue much longer.
FX:NAS100Short
by maccabean