Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Stocks
SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market.
It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below):
Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again.
Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018.
As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical.
Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle.
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High-risk, extreme reward event-driven contrarian/squeeze setupBeyond Meat soared in 2019–2021 on blockbuster growth hopes, only to see its stock crater nearly 99% as reality fell short of hype. Sluggish consumer adoption, steep promotional discounts, and margin pressure dragged revenues from a 2020 peak of $419 M into multi-quarter declines. Recently, management has right-sized operations: Q4 2024 net revenues rose 4% YoY, cost-cutting measures are underway, and new product and foodservice partnerships are rolling out—even as the China business is suspended. Trading below 1× forward sales with ~25% short interest, BYND offers one of the most insane high-risk, event-driven contrarian setups I've ever seen ahead of the May 7 Q1 2025 report.
1. Implosion: What Happened?
Peak Hype & Insane Expectations
Investors crowned BYND “the Tesla of food,” pricing in 100%+ growth on only ~$200 M in trailing revenues at IPO.
Missed Growth Targets
2021 sales climbed just 37% to $464 M—well below the ~50% growth forecast—when heavy grocery promotions eroded prices.
Margin Squeeze
Gross margins plunged from ~28% to ~10% as Beyond funded discounts in retail and co-promotions with foodservice chains.
2. Recent Fundamentals & Stabilization
Q4 2024 Turnaround Signs
Net revenues of $83.1 M, up 4% YoY—the second straight quarterly increase after nine declines.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives
U.S. plant scale-ups and supply-chain optimization trimmed per-unit costs; SG&A fell ~8% YoY.
2025 Guidance
Revenues guided to $320–335 M (flat vs. $326.5 M in 2024); management targets adjusted-EBITDA breakeven by Q4 2025.
3. Recent Initiatives & Partnerships
Product Innovation : Fourth-gen Beyond Sausage (avocado oil formulation), “Beyond Sun” links, new pre-seasoned Beyond Steak flavors (chimichurri, Korean BBQ), and Crispy Nuggets for operators.
Foodservice Expansion : Beyond Burger® and Nuggets added to cafeterias and chains; Veggie McPlant Nuggets at McDonald’s France; smash-burger trials at Tesco UK; Wendy’s Georgia plant-based burger in 19 locations.
International Roll-outs : Retail launch of Beyond Steak in France and UK (Tortilla), expanded Europe/Middle East footprint.
Operational Restructuring : Exiting China by mid-2025, laying off ~6–9% of workforce, consolidating co-packers, automating U.S. plants to chase a ~20% gross margin.
4. Valuation & Sentiment
Trading at ~0.9× forward sales vs. peers at 1.5–5×.
Short interest ~25% of float—one of small-cap’s highest.
China exit & layoffs a margin catalyst; gross margin goal ~20% in 2025.
New products and foodservice deals reinforce R&D and growth narrative.
Q1 2025 earnings (May 7) could ignite a squeeze.
Catalysts
Q1 2025 earnings (May 7) beat/guide-up.
Roll-out of new sausage, steak & nugget products at major retailers.
Further high-profile partnerships (Starbucks, Yum! Brands).
Final words
Beyond Meat’s meteoric rise and fall reflect expectations that outpaced execution. Today, early signs of revenue stabilization, aggressive cost cuts, product innovation, and a clear path to break-even—combined with a sub-1× sales valuation and sky-high short interest—create a classic event-driven contrarian opportunity. The May 7 Q1 2025 report is the next major inflection point.
GBP/USD - Watch out for a possible rejection!The British pound is currently moving towards the upside, showing a gradual but steady climb. However, it is approaching a significant resistance area that could pose a challenge to further gains.
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Double top
This resistance zone was previously a strong support level before the market formed a double top pattern and subsequently broke below it. As is often the case in technical analysis, this former support has now flipped into resistance, making it a key area where price could face strong selling pressure and potential rejection.
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1h FVG
Adding to the confluence, this resistance zone aligns closely with a 1h Fair Value Gap (FVG). FVGs often attract price back into them before a reaction occurs, making this area even more significant for a potential reversal.
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Golden Pocket
Just below the FVG lies the "Golden Pocket", the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the most recent drawdown. The Golden Pocket is one of the most closely watched Fibonacci levels by traders and is known for its strong influence on price action. Its proximity to the current structure increases the likelihood of a notable reaction, as many market participants will be watching this area closely for signs of rejection.
-------------------------------
Conclusion
Overall, the combination of previous support-turned-resistance, the 1-hour FVG, and the Golden Pocket retracement forms a high-probability zone where the British pound could encounter heavy resistance and a potential downside move.
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Tesla Bullish, Let Me ExplainYesterday's high was the highest price since 4-March 2025, almost two months ago. The fact that TSLA moved out of bottom prices and strong long-term support zone while challenging resistance is a bullish signal.
The prices that were activated in Mach and April as support is the same range that TSLA used back in 2024 to launch the previous bullish wave. The same prices as in October and September 2024. The same levels were activated but as a higher low. Clearly a bullish dynamic.
For this setup to be bearish, the action would have to go lower and print a lower low compared to August 2024, this isn't the case. We have a strong higher low which means that buyers were eager to enter the market and waiting for this long-term support zone to be activated. As soon as it was activated buyers showed up and this is confirmed by current price action. Short-term, Tesla is moving up.
This is short-term because a new bullish wave is just now getting started but the fact is pointing towards additional growth.
Yesterday TSLA closed above EMA55 daily for the first after hitting support since October 2024. Once EMA55 gets challenged and conquered, we are looking at the least 2-3 months of bullish action. Don't get me wrong, there can be swings short-term, shakeouts and such but no new lows. The low has been set 7-April 2025, from this point on, we will see growth.
Once a strong resistance level is challenged, we can look at the chart and see if there will be a major correction or just a retrace before additional growth. The truth is that the stock market is set to go higher, TSLA is just one stock. The SPX, NVDA, Bitcoin and many other instruments will grow. Everything will grow.
Namaste.
NVIDIA: Don't turn your back on the A.I. darling yet.NVIDIA has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.902, MACD = -2.040, ADX = 28.815) as it has recovered a portion of the 2 month correction. April's low was exactly on the 1W MA100 just like the Low of the 2024 consolidation phase has been near the 1W MA50. The pattern is recurring and the rallies naturally get weaker each time as we approach the end of the Cycle this year. The 1st rally was +358%, the 2nd +257% so the 3rd one now is expected to be +157%. That gives a $225 target. The next Top will most likely start a new correction (Bear Cycle) for a 3rd Bottom on the 1W MA200.
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META Share Price Rises Cautiously Ahead of Earnings ReportMETA Share Price Rises Cautiously Ahead of Earnings Report
As shown on the Meta Platforms (META) chart, the share price rose by approximately 1% yesterday. This movement was supported by the announcement of the launch of the Meta AI app—an artificial intelligence-based application that will function as a personal assistant on mobile phones (similar to Google Gemini).
In a different market environment, the news might have prompted a more positive reaction. However, traders currently appear to be exercising caution, as Meta Platforms (META) is due to report its quarterly results after the close of the main trading session today. According to media reports, expectations include:
→ Revenue in the range of $41.35–$41.5 billion, which implies a year-on-year increase of roughly 13–14%.
→ Earnings per share (EPS) between $5.22 and $5.29, indicating a 11–12% rise compared to the same period last year.
Key Factors in Meta’s Quarterly Report
The following areas are likely to have a significant impact on META's share price in the wake of the report:
→ Advertising business , Meta’s primary revenue stream (around 96%). There is a possibility that US tariff policies could prompt major Chinese advertisers—such as Temu—to reduce their advertising spend in the United States.
→ Investment in Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Augmented Reality . Market participants may revise their valuation of the stock downwards if there are lingering concerns over the long-term return on these investments.
→ Forward guidance on revenue and earnings for the next quarter and full year 2025. These forecasts will carry particular weight in an environment of elevated uncertainty linked to US trade policy.
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a “Buy” rating on Meta shares. However, some have lowered their price targets in April, noting that the stock has lost roughly a third of its value since its all-time high in February.
Technical Analysis of Meta Platforms (META)
Price movements earlier in 2025 continued to trace a rising trend channel (shown in blue), with a run of 19 consecutive days of gains in February following upbeat news. However, this trend channel appears to have lost relevance at this stage.
The psychological level of $500 now offers strong support, while the $585 level has turned into resistance. It is reasonable to expect that the earnings report could trigger heightened volatility and a test of one of these key price levels.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
btc . month . outlookLONG worked out nicely, BUT there was no SFP liguidity grab at cw/cmHigh
- finished LONG trade with 10pm (+2h tz)
- price dropped below entry . out of LONG . looking for lower new entry
As we're just before a new monthly open, possibility for retrace during Month May enhances
- This would give a nice new SWING LONG entry
- As well as a nice SHORT entry to ride the rotation downwards
Tuesday gave up a couple of SUPPORT levels . got me to shift SHORT for wednesday
- scaling SHORT at fib + cw0.75
Invalidation:
Running stops at 92.750 and recovering above cw0.5
REJECTION OF $292Tesla's stock ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has faced multiple rejections at key resistance levels. To establish a strong upward trend, it may require forming a triple bottom pattern. This would indicate a solid foundation for potential growth. It is anticipated that the stock will retest the $270 and $250 levels before making a decisive move.
SAME - VCP (10W 25/5 3T)IDX:SAME - VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (80)
9. 9. EPS Growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: +852.30%
b. Quarterly YoY: +570.99%
b. TTM YoY: -3.34%
c. Annual YoY: -3.36%
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but long wick
Note: I will sell half if hit first Stop Loss, and sell remaining on the last stop loss on first cheat buy
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 1, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 1, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 Q1 GDP Contraction Raises Recession Fears
The U.S. economy shrank for the first time in three years, down 0.3% in Q1. Weaker government spending and a rise in imports ahead of Trump’s tariff policies are weighing on growth outlook.
📈 Big Tech Lifts the Market
Strong earnings from Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) and Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) have boosted sentiment. Meta’s revenue guidance and capex surge point to aggressive growth positioning in AI and infrastructure.
🏛️ Treasury Refunding Outlook in Focus
Markets are watching the quarterly refunding announcement for clues on upcoming bond issuance. This could influence rate volatility as the Treasury balances deficits and market demand.
🌐 Risk-On Mood Despite Macro Headwinds
Global stocks notched a 4-week high as traders bet on resilient earnings and central bank policy steadiness, even as U.S. macro data softens.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 1:
📈 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET)
Tracks new unemployment filings – a key gauge of near-term labor market stress.
📈 Continuing Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET)
Measures ongoing unemployment benefit recipients, reflecting persistent joblessness.
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET)
Reports monthly change in total construction outlays — a direct measure of real economy investment.
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET)
Provides a snapshot of U.S. factory activity. Readings below 50 suggest contraction.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
April 29, 2025 - Waiting for the Crash or the Miracle?Hello everyone, it’s April 29, 2025. Yesterday’s market session was about as exciting as watching paint dry. After months of Trump-fueled chaos, investors seem almost relieved that… nothing happened. Indices barely moved: TVC:DJI up 0.28%, SP:SPX up a pathetic 0.06%, CME_MINI:NQ1! down 0.10%. In short: we’re falling from a 150-story building, and so far, so good — but we know the real pain comes when we hit the ground.
Markets are clinging to hopes that Trump’s trade war with China might get a Hollywood-style happy ending. He’s calmed down a bit. Stopped slamming Powell, flirted with diplomacy, and softened up on auto tariffs. But with an avalanche of critical economic data coming (Consumer Confidence, GDP, PCE, Jobs) and Magnificent Seven earnings, no one’s taking big bets right now. Everyone’s waiting to see if the economic parachute opens, or if we get pancaked on impact.
Meanwhile, US macro isn’t looking great. Confidence is sinking — 53% of Americans say their finances are worsening, a record since COVID. Consumer spending is stalling, companies like NASDAQ:AAL and NASDAQ:DPZ are canceling forecasts, and the real estate market is coughing. Even hardcore Trump supporters are starting to sweat. The US might still technically be growing, but psychologically, the recession has already started.
OANDA:XAUUSD is holding strong at $3,321, BLACKBULL:WTI is around $61.57, and BINANCE:BTCUSDT is cruising near $94,400. Futures this morning are flailing between -0.6% and +0.2%, dancing to the tune of whatever headline drops next.
On the political front, Trump pulled a classic backpedal on auto tariffs: no double penalties for carmakers, partial refunds on tariffs already paid, and promises of time for US production reshoring. Nice words but rebuilding car factories will take years.
As for NASDAQ:NVDA , it’s under pressure after China banned sales of its H20 chips. Huawei’s Ascend 910D chip is stepping in — good for China, but too slow and too pricey for the rest of the world. Nvidia stays king globally for now, but the tech war is heating up.
Today, eyes are on key numbers: US Consumer Confidence (expected 87.7) and JOLTS job openings (expected 7.49M). Also, a heavy lineup of earnings: NYSE:V , NASDAQ:SBUX , NASDAQ:COKE , NYSE:PFE , NYSE:SNAP , and more.
For now, we’re still in free fall, hoping there’s a giant crash pad waiting at the bottom. Hang tight — it’s going to be another wild one.
Google Ruling Could Be Very Bullish for TTDA U.S. judge has found Google guilty of illegally monopolizing the digital advertising technology markets. The monopolization of both the demand and supply sides has been a long-standing concern for the rest of the digital advertising sector.
This ruling may significantly benefit The Trade Desk (TTD), as it operates as an independent demand-side platform. The digital advertising market is projected to exceed $600 billion in 2025, and Google currently believed to be controls nearly 30% of that. Even a 5% slip in Google’s market share, with TTD capturing just 10% of that shift, could nearly double TTD's revenue. As a result, this ruling is can be considered very bullish for TTD, both in the medium and long term.
Technically, TTD recently tested the $40 level, a key support that has held since Q4 of 2020, indicating the stock is currently in a strong demand zone. With this news, the likelihood of that support holding and a bullish reversal increases.
Analyst consensus reflects an 85.8% upside potential. If the bullish scenario plays out, the horizontal level at $60 and the 200-day moving average could serve as key medium-term targets. From current levels to the 200-day SMA, the potential return is close to 50%.
What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) in Investing and Trading?What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) in Investing and Trading?
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a popular strategy used by investors and traders to manage market fluctuations and build positions over time. Instead of trying to time the market, DCA focuses on consistent, regular investments regardless of price movements. This article answers “What is DCA?”, its advantages and limitations, and how it can be applied in both investing and trading.
What Is Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)?
So what is DCA investing? Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is a strategy that involves consistently investing a fixed sum at regular intervals, regardless of the asset’s current price. This approach helps distribute the cost of purchases over time, potentially reducing the impact of short-term price fluctuations. Instead of trying to time the market perfectly—a challenging task even for experienced traders—a dollar-cost averaging strategy focuses on regular contributions to average the cost of assets.
This method offers a straightforward, disciplined strategy for both long-term investors and traders who wish to build or adjust positions gradually. By spreading out purchases, a DCA strategy may help mitigate the effects of market volatility. For example, during a period of market decline, the fixed investment buys more units at a lower cost, which could result in higher returns when prices recover. Conversely, during a sustained rise, the investor buys fewer units, which helps avoid overexposure. For example, if you invest $50 every week and the market is rising, you will buy fewer stocks, but when the market is moving down, you will buy more with the same amount.
What does DCA mean for market participants? DCA is particularly useful in uncertain economic environments where price swings are common. It provides a systematic approach to entering the market, removing the need to make snap decisions based on short-term market movements, and fostering a steady accumulation of assets over time.
How Does DCA Work?
DCA investing operates by establishing a regular schedule for investing a set amount of money into a chosen asset, regardless of its current market price. Instead of waiting for a particular price or market condition, funds are allocated at consistent intervals—be it weekly, monthly, or quarterly. Over time, this means buying more units when prices are lower and fewer units when prices are higher, resulting in an average purchase price that can be lower than if the investment was made in one lump sum.
Consider an investor using DCA. They commit £100 every month to buy company shares. In the first month, the share price is £20, so they purchase 5 shares. The next month, the price drops to £10, allowing them to buy 10 shares with the same £100. In the third month, the price rises to £25, and they purchase 4 shares.
Over three months, the investor has spent £300 and acquired 19 shares in total. To calculate the average cost per share, divide £300 by 19, which equals approximately £15.79 per share. This average is lower than the highest price paid and reflects the effect of buying more shares when prices are low and fewer when prices are high.
DCA also simplifies the process of entering the market. By adhering to a set timetable, investors bypass the need for constant market analysis, making it particularly appealing for those who prefer a more hands-off strategy. This systematic approach can be applied not only to traditional investments like shares and funds but also to other assets that traders and investors engage with.
DCA in Trading
DCA isn't just for long-term investors; traders can also employ it to navigate the ups and downs of fast-moving markets. By spreading out their entries or exits, traders may potentially lower the average cost of a position or build on a winning trend, all while managing their exposure to volatile moves.
Lowering the Average Price
For traders facing a position that's moving against them, DCA offers a way to adjust the average entry cost. By allocating additional funds, the average price of the position may be reduced. This approach can create a potential opportunity to exit with better returns if the market reverses. However, it is important to note that this method also increases exposure, and additional entities might compound losses if the trend continues.
Adding to a Winner
Conversely, traders may apply DCA to increase their positions when an asset shows strength. By gradually adding to an effective trade, the overall exposure is built in a controlled manner, potentially capturing further movement without committing all capital at once. This method is particularly popular in markets where momentum builds slowly, allowing traders to gradually take advantage of the sustained trend.
Applications Across Markets
Using DCA in stocks can help manage entries during periods of volatility, especially when market sentiment shifts rapidly. Forex traders often use similar techniques to adjust positions in response to fluctuating currency pairs, while the high volatility seen in crypto* markets makes DCA an appealing strategy for building positions gradually.
When using DCA in trading, a disciplined approach is essential. Whether lowering the average cost in a losing position or building on an effective trade, traders should carefully consider the additional risk that comes with increased exposure.
Advantages of Dollar-Cost Averaging
Dollar-cost averaging offers a range of advantages that make it an attractive strategy for both investors and traders, especially when navigating uncertain markets.
Mitigating Market Volatility
By investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, DCA spreads out exposure over time. This approach can reduce the impact of sudden market swings. Instead of being affected by a one-off high price, the average cost is spread across different market conditions. This may help stabilise entry points and smooth out short-term volatility.
Disciplined Investment Approach
DCA promotes a structured investment routine. With regular contributions, there is less temptation to try timing the market. This disciplined approach might be particularly useful when markets are highly volatile or ahead of news and economic events. It encourages systematic investing, reducing the likelihood of making impulsive decisions driven by market noise.
Accessibility for All Traders
DCA does not require intricate market analysis or deep expertise in market timing. Its straightforward nature makes it appealing to both newcomers and seasoned traders looking for a simpler method to build positions over time. By providing a clear framework, DCA allows traders to focus on long-term goals without the pressure of constant market monitoring.
Limitations of Dollar-Cost Averaging
While dollar-cost averaging offers a structured approach to investing and trading, there are some limitations to consider.
Potential Opportunity Cost
Spreading out investments means funds are gradually deployed over time. In a market that is consistent, waiting to invest might lead to missed returns compared to committing all funds upfront. This method can reduce the impact of volatility but might underperform during extended trends.
Continued Exposure to Market Trends
Investors remain exposed to the market throughout the investment period. If the market experiences a prolonged trend, regular investments will accumulate at better prices, but overall returns may still suffer. This approach does not eliminate market risk and requires a long-term perspective to potentially see a turnaround.
Dependence on Consistency
The effectiveness of dollar-cost averaging relies heavily on maintaining a consistent investment schedule. Any interruption or inconsistency can dilute the intended advantages of the strategy. It also assumes that investors are able to commit regular funds, which may not be feasible in all financial situations.
Comparing DCA to Lump-Sum Investing
Comparing DCA to lump-sum investing offers insights into different approaches to managing market exposure and returns.
Risk Exposure
Lump-sum investing involves placing all available funds into an asset at once. This method can yield higher returns if the market moves in their favour, but it also exposes the investor to immediate risk if the market moves against them. In contrast, risk is spread over time through a dollar-cost average, meaning regular investments reduce the likelihood of entering the market at a high point and potentially lowering the overall average cost.
Market Conditions
The performance of each approach can vary depending on market trends. In steady trends, lump-sum investing may capture more returns since all funds are deployed early. However, in volatile or declining conditions, DCA could mitigate the effects of short-term fluctuations by smoothing out entry prices over time.
Flexibility and Commitment
Lump-sum investing requires confidence and a readiness to commit all funds immediately. DCA, on the other hand, offers a more measured entry into the market. This method is popular among those who prefer a systematic approach and might not have a large sum available at one time.
The Bottom Line
Understanding the dollar-cost averaging definition can help investors and traders potentially manage market volatility and reduce emotional decision-making. While it has its limitations, DCA can be an effective strategy for building positions over time.
FAQ
What Is an Example of Dollar-Cost Averaging?
Imagine investing £100 into a stock every month, regardless of its price. In January, the stock costs £20, so you buy five shares. In February, the price drops to £10, allowing you to buy 10 shares. In March, the price rises to £25, and you buy four shares. Over three months, you’ve invested £300 and purchased 19 shares, averaging out your cost per share to £15.79.
Is There the Best Dollar-Cost Averaging Strategy?
The most effective DCA strategy depends on individual goals. A consistent, long-term approach with regular investments—whether weekly or monthly—may help smooth out market volatility. Focusing on diversified assets could also reduce risk exposure.
What Is the Daily DCA Strategy?
This strategy involves investing a fixed amount every day through DCA, meaning it may help minimise the impact of short-term price fluctuations in volatile markets. However, it requires careful planning due to frequent transactions and potential fees.
Does Dollar-Cost Averaging Work With Stocks?
Yes, DCA is commonly used with stocks. It may help manage the effects of market volatility, allowing investors to build positions over time without worrying about short-term price swings.
What Does DCA Mean in Stocks?
DCA, or dollar-cost averaging, in stocks, means regularly investing a fixed amount, regardless of price, to average out the cost per share over time and manage market volatility. A similar answer is true for “What does DCA mean in crypto*?”, except it would involve a regular fixed investment in a particular cryptocurrency*.
How to Calculate DCA in Crypto* Investing?
There is a simple formula to calculate DCA, meaning in crypto*, an investor would just divide the total amount invested by the total number of units purchased. This provides the average cost per unit over time, regardless of price fluctuations.
*Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Macro Bullish Rates?An over simplification? I hope so.
The narrative fits too close for me. Needless to say, it's worth keeping an eye on.
If we manage to keep interest rates low for a while but inflation creeps in again (not due to high demand but because of monetary inflation) I can see the debt spiral scenario playing out in full force. This is a chilling thought, not something my generation has been exposed to and I believe it could have a very different impact to the population than the previous cycle. The difference being of course, the inflation not being demand driven but monetary debasement driven. To me this practically means a more impoverished population that is already struggling and those holding assets will further increase their portion of the pie.
There are a lot of unknows for me, as I basically know nothing about this. These are just my back of napkin thoughts. Me, trying to make sense of the world we live in because I know you can't look to anyone for the answer. Why? Frankly, I have learned that 98% of us don't know anything.
Ps - I am still not taking the deflationary narrative play off the table. Population decline, low interest rates and using robots to increase GDP etc. But either way all I can see is a exponential increase in debt creation. What other option is there? Both scenarios can't possibly lead to the same outcome, can they?
Uber (UBER, 1W) Tightening Structure Ready for BreakoutOn the weekly chart, UBER has formed a strong ascending wedge / tightening channel, showing clear higher lows and repeated rejections near upper resistance. The price is now approaching the apex of the pattern, with a possible breakout setup above $82.42.
If confirmed, the projected measured move (H = $27.67) aligns with Fibonacci extension targets at:
– $89.86 (1.272)
– $93.74 (1.414)
– $99.32 (1.618)
Technical structure:
– Price held support twice, confirming bullish intent
– Structure tightening — breakout likely on sustained volume
– Bullish divergence forming on the weekly stochastic oscillator
– A breakout above $82.42 activates the next impulse wave
– Volume is stable, with no signs of heavy distribution
Fundamentals:
Uber has reached a major financial milestone: consistent profitability and positive EBITDA growth. The company continues to expand across mobility and delivery, with a focus on cost efficiency, platform monetization, and retention. Increased user activity and growing institutional interest support a bullish mid-term thesis. Uber is increasingly seen as a core holding in next-gen tech and services portfolios.
The technical structure is approaching resolution. A confirmed breakout above $82.42 opens the door for a move to $89.86 → $93.74 → $99.32. With bullish structure and improving fundamentals, Uber is positioned for the next leg higher. This is a setup worth watching.
Perpetua – Unlocking Strategic Gold & Critical Mineral Value Project Focus:
Perpetua NASDAQ:PPTA is advancing the Stibnite Gold Project—a rare dual-value asset with both economic and national security significance.
Key Catalysts:
Federal Backing Accelerates Permitting 🏛️
Labeled a “Transparency Project” by the White House
Streamlined permitting process → lowers execution risk, expedites timeline
Outstanding Economics 💰
$3.7B after-tax NPV, 27%+ IRR at spot prices
AISC: $435/oz in early years → Tier-one margins + downside protection
Antimony Exposure: Critical Strategic Edge 🇺🇸
One of the few domestic sources of antimony, vital for:
Defense applications
Battery storage technologies
Geopolitical importance enhances long-term value proposition
Environmental Remediation Built-In 🌱
Project includes restoration of a legacy mining site → aligns with ESG frameworks and broadens support base
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $11.50–$12.00
🚀 Target Range: $18.00–$19.00
🔑 Thesis: Tier-1 economics + critical mineral relevance + federal backing = asymmetric upside for long-term investors
📢 PPTA: A gold play with strategic minerals and federal momentum behind it.
#Gold #CriticalMinerals #Antimony #MiningInnovation #EnergySecurity #PPTA
What is a war chest and lessons we can learn from Blackstone...In case you haven't heard, NYSE:BX is hogging over $100 billion of dry powder that is ready for deployment at the snap of a finger. Now, just because we cant get our hands on hundreds of billions of dollars doesn't mean that we shouldn't have a war chest of our own.
Why a war chest is a must have
Firstly, having dry powder ready for the next trading day could be the determining factor of a make or break trade. Specifically think back to when the current market downturn started. If I had to guess, many of you reading were far too exposed to the market and got scared from the "red wave" that shocked the market heatmaps. I would also like to bet that many of you sold positions for a loss to stop the bleeding and are now looking for a better entry. However, consider what would have happened if you had spare cash on your side to keep your positions alive.
Here is an example of over exposure.
And here's an example of keeping about a 20% war chest by your side...
I understand that it seems like a small amount of money, but trading is a game of pennies and a winning position of pennies is much better than a losing position of $140. This is the same tactic that firms like Blackstone use to protect large positions from poisonous events such as this recent downturn in the market. So in order to make money like a bank, we need to learn to think like a bank...
DJIA Tests Major Resistance – Reversal or Breakout Next?The Dow Jones Industrial Average is pressing against a key resistance zone near 40,860, the neckline of a double-bottom pattern after rebounding sharply from its mid-April low:
📈 Strong 2-week rally from sub-37K lows
🔵 Price attempting to break the neckline after reclaiming the 50-day SMA
📊 RSI near neutral at 51 – plenty of room to run
📉 MACD accelerating upward, hinting at bullish momentum
If price clears and holds above 40,860, bulls could target a move back toward 42,500–43,000. Failure to break this zone may trigger a pullback toward the 50-day SMA near 41,500.
The setup is constructive — but the bulls need confirmation.
-MW
TALLooks like price is near a support zone dating back between November '24 - January '25. If we look at the two "throw up" emojis price shot down pretty sharp and price started to trade sideways (one on the left) then price retraced a bit before making a new local "potential" support zone if price settles here. Got a big bear volume spike on 4/24/25. Momentum is on a pause right now so I'm interested to see if we get bullish momentum coming in toward the target range located on the chart. If price goes lower, we will look for a second entry if opportunity presents itself.
$BMYLooks like price is near a support range dating back between November and February of 2024. If you look at the "throw up" emoji, there was a nice flat down drop in price and since then, it seems like we are at the brink of possibly starting to gas out a bit for some potential relief. They just came off of good earnings to. I'm looking for a target between $49.48 and $49.86 minimum. Price looks like its gassing out the recent move down. Let's see if we get some buyer in the market or if the Bears close some of they positions.