Breakout in Organogenesis Holdings Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Stocks
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 3 – March 7, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for March 3 – March 7, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report 📊: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February employment report on Friday, March 7. Economists expect an increase of approximately 133,000 nonfarm payrolls, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4%.
🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday, March 6. Markets anticipate a 0.25% rate cut, which would adjust the deposit facility rate to 2.5%.
🇨🇳📈 China's Economic Targets 📈: During the National People's Congress, China is expected to set its economic growth target at around 5% for the year. The government may introduce measures to boost consumption and support growth amid global economic uncertainties.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Monday, March 3:
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏭: This index measures the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signifies contraction.
📅 Wednesday, March 5:
🏢 ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏢: This index assesses the performance of the U.S. services sector, with readings above 50 indicating expansion.
Trading Economics
📅 Thursday, March 6:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly data indicating the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time.
📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦: This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, providing insight into manufacturing demand.
📅 Friday, March 7:
👷♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET) 👷♂️: A key indicator of employment trends, reflecting the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: The percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET) 💵: This metric indicates the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 did not succeed in retesting the Mean Resistance level of 6082. Instead, the index experienced a notable decline, reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and narrowly approaching the Key Support level of 5827.
Following this downturn, a significant rebound occurred, resulting in the establishment of a new Mean Support level at 5860. The index is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5967. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current level and successfully surpass the critical Mean Resistance of 5967, it may continue to rise toward the Mean Resistance level of 6032, potentially reaching the Key Resistance level of 6143.
Conversely, if the index declines from its present position, it may create a retest pullback to revisit the Mean Support level of 5860 before resuming further upward momentum.
How to pick a benchmark for you portfolio and beat the market What is a benchmark?
A benchmark is an index or a basket of assets used to evaluate the performance of an investment portfolio In the context of portfolio analysis the benchmark serves as a point of comparison to determine whether a fund a strategy or an investment is performing better worse or in line with the reference market.
In the current chart, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is displayed with a solid and larger blue line in relation to other cryptocurrencies for the current period.
Benchmarks are essential tools for institutional and private investors as they allow measuring the effectiveness of asset allocation choices and risk management Additionally they help determine the added value of an active manager compared to a passive market replication strategy.
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:NDX
Benchmark analysis example: NASDAQ:TSLA - NASDAQ:AAPL - NASDAQ:NDX
What is the purpose of a benchmark
The use of a benchmark in portfolio analysis has several objectives
1) Performance Evaluation: Provides a parameter to compare the portfolio's return against the market or other funds
2) Risk Analysis: Allows comparing the volatility of the portfolio against that of the benchmark offering a measure of risk management
3) Performance Attribution: Helps distinguish between returns derived from asset selection and those linked to market factors
4) Expectation Management: Supports investors and managers in assessing whether a portfolio is meeting expected return objectives
5) Strategy Control: If a portfolio deviates excessively from the benchmark it may signal the need to review the investment strategy
How to select an appropriate benchmark?
The choice of the correct benchmark depends on several factors:
1) Consistency with Portfolio Objective: The benchmark should reflect the market or sector in which the portfolio operates
2) Representativeness of Portfolio Assets: The benchmark should have a composition similar to that of the portfolio to ensure a fair comparison
3) Transparency and Data Availability: It must be easily accessible and calculated with clear and public methodologies
4) Stability Over Time: A good benchmark should not be subject to frequent modifications to ensure reliable historical comparison
5) Compatible Risk and Return: The benchmark should have a risk and return profile similar to that of the portfolio
Most used benchmarks
There are different benchmarks based on asset type and reference market Here are some of the most common.
Equity
FRED:SP500 Representative index of the 500 largest US companies.
NYSE:MSCI World Includes companies from various developed countries ideal for global strategies
FTSE:FTSEMIB Benchmark for the Italian stock market
NASDAQ:NDX Represents the largest technology and growth companies
Bonds
Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Broad benchmark for the global bond market
JP Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index EMBI Benchmark for emerging market debt
[* ]BofA Merrill Lynch US High Yield Index Representative of the high-yield bond market junk bonds
Mixed or Balanced
6040 Portfolio Benchmark 60 equities SP 500 and 40 bonds Bloomberg US Aggregate used to evaluate balanced portfolios
Morningstar Moderate Allocation Index Suitable for moderate-risk investment strategies
Alternative
HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index Benchmark for hedge funds
Goldman Sachs Commodity Index GSCI Used for commodity-related strategies
Bitcoin Index CoinDesk BPI Benchmark for cryptocurrencies
A reference benchmark is essential in portfolio analysis to measure performance manage risk and evaluate investment strategies The selection of an appropriate benchmark must be consistent with the strategy and market of the portfolio to ensure meaningful comparison.
Understanding and correctly selecting the benchmark allows investors to optimize their decisions and improve long-term results.
Breakout in ADT Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
Bill Ackman: The Activist Investor Who Challenges the Status QuoHello Traders!
Today, we’re going to explore the trading and investment philosophy of one of the most successful activist investors in the world – Bill Ackman . Known for his bold moves and unapologetic approach, Ackman has built a reputation for making large, influential investments and actively working to restructure companies in order to create value. With his hedge fund, Pershing Square Capital Management , Ackman has turned millions into billions by taking concentrated positions in underperforming companies, often pushing for changes that he believes will improve shareholder value.
Bill Ackman’s Investment Strategy
Ackman’s investing philosophy is rooted in a few key principles that have guided his success:
Activist Investing: Ackman is known for buying large stakes in companies and pushing for significant changes. This often involves changes in management, strategy, or financial structure to unlock value. He doesn’t just buy stocks, he buys control to influence the direction of companies.
Concentrated Bets: Unlike most fund managers who diversify, Ackman makes concentrated investments, believing in a small number of high-conviction ideas. He typically goes big on the companies he believes will give the highest returns.
Long-Term Vision: While Ackman is an activist, he is also a long-term investor. He’s known to hold onto stocks for years as he works through his plans to improve the companies he invests in.
Thorough Research and Analysis: Before making any moves, Ackman ensures he has done comprehensive research. He’s known for his deep dives into a company’s fundamentals, industry trends, and potential catalysts for growth.
Notable Investments and Activist Moves
Ackman’s career has been built on several high-profile, successful investments. Here are some of his best-known plays:
Herbalife: One of his most controversial investments, Ackman shorted Herbalife, claiming the company was a pyramid scheme. Despite facing heavy opposition and pressure, Ackman stuck to his position, although ultimately the trade didn’t work out as he anticipated. It became a case study in risk and persistence.
Target: Ackman took a large position in Target, pushing for changes in the company’s real estate strategy and retail business. His work with Target helped to bring greater shareholder value.
Valeant Pharmaceuticals: Ackman’s investment in Valeant Pharmaceuticals initially gained massive attention. Despite the stock’s later troubles, his involvement in the company drew attention to the power of activism and led to changes in leadership at Valeant.
Chipotle Mexican Grill: Ackman has also invested in Chipotle, pushing for operational improvements and better management. His efforts have been instrumental in driving changes in the company’s strategy, helping the stock recover from earlier setbacks.
Risk Management and Position Sizing
When it comes to risk management, Ackman follows a few key strategies to minimize losses and maximize returns:
Concentration of Capital: Ackman often places large amounts of capital in a few high-conviction investments. This allows him to have a significant impact on the companies he invests in but also requires disciplined risk management and careful positioning.
Leverage and Shorting: Ackman has used leverage in some of his more aggressive plays, such as shorting positions in Herbalife, to maximize returns. This adds a level of risk, but when used correctly, it can significantly amplify his gains.
Focus on Catalyst-Driven Events: He places his investments based on company-specific catalysts like management changes, mergers, or restructurings. This allows him to predict when a stock will outperform or underperform.
What This Means for Investors
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing is not for the faint of heart. It involves big risks and big rewards. His activist investing style is about taking concentrated positions, being willing to fight for change, and holding onto those investments for the long haul.
For investors, there are valuable lessons to be learned from Ackman’s strategies:
Don’t be afraid to make big bets. If you believe in a company’s long-term potential, be prepared to back it with significant capital.
Know the companies you invest in. Ackman is famous for his in-depth research before making any move. This is a lesson for every investor – do your homework before making investment decisions.
Take a long-term view. While Ackman is an activist, he is also a patient investor. He understands that meaningful change takes time, and he’s willing to wait for the payoff.
Conclusion
Bill Ackman’s approach to investing has made him one of the most influential investors of his time. By focusing on concentrated bets, thoroughly researching companies, and taking an activist role, Ackman has proven that bold moves and long-term vision can lead to great success.
Have you followed any of Bill Ackman’s investments or strategies? Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below! Let’s learn and grow together!
Amazon - Catch The Parabolic Rally Now!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will start the parabolic rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, we finally saw the expected all time high breakout on Amazon. Following the overall governing rising channel pattern, I simply do expect the acceleration of the current rally, the creation of a parabolic rally, but maybe we will see a bullish retest first.
Levels to watch: $180, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trump Pump. Trump Dump. Trading Family,
We had our Trump pump. Now, we are seeing a Trump dump. Tariffs and other geopolitical events are causing market uncertainty. Let's take a look at our charts to find out how much more pain we are in for. And, a positive sign. Smaller cap altcoins and many memecoins appear to be holding strong!
✌️ Stew
Is NASDAQ Losing Steam? A Reality Check for TradersHey Realistic Traders, Is CAPITALCOM:US100 Out of Steam? Let’s Dive Into the Analysis…
On the daily timeframe, the Nasdaq remains above the EMA-100, which has served as strong support through multiple successful rebounds. Simultaneously, the price has moved above the bullish trendline, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend.
Within wave 4, the price formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. This signals the initiation of wave 5, which could potentially extend beyond the length of wave 1, given that wave 3 did not exceed the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has already formed a bullish crossover, adding further confirmation of a positive outlook for the Nasdaq.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move upward toward the first target at 23,538 , or potentially the second target at 24,356.
However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying above the critical stop-loss level at 20,833.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq."
TAPG - VCP (20/5 3T)IDX:TAPG VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Biggest net income +197.70% on Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but created long red candle
MLPL - LOW CHEATIDX:MLPL - Low Cheat
(+):
1. Very Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
5. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
6. RS Rating is over 70 (93)
7. VCP characteristic
10. Price breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. Price is below 25% of 52 weeks high
Try to Adding with some basic fundamental about EPS growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: −91.66%
b. Quarterly YoY: −71.13%
c. TTM YoY: +12.23%
d. Annual YoY: −13.30%
About fundamental aspect, maybe is time to turn around
US30 - Dropped and still running, Impact US Tariffs on EU!US30 Analysis & Market Impact – February 27, 2025
the price dropped about 400 pip as we mentioned in the previous idea . and still running to get 43212.
📉 Bearish Momentum Continues Below Pivot Zone
US30 remains in a bearish phase after failing to reclaim the pivot zone (43,763 - 44,404).
🔍 Technical Outlook:
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If US30 continues to stabilize below 43590 and 43,763, the next target will be 43,212 as the first support level.
A break and 4H candle close below 43,212 will further extend the downside toward 42,769 and 42,588.
🔹 Bullish Recovery:
For buyers to regain control, US30 must close a 4H candle above 43,763, pushing the price back into the pivot range.
A sustained move above 44,404 would shift momentum towards 44,756.
🌍 Market Sentiment & Trade Impact:
Investor sentiment remains fragile following Trump’s tariff announcement on the EU by 25%, which has increased downside pressure on US indices.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 43765 | 43900| 44200
Pivot: 43590
Support: 43212 | 42770 | 42590
⚠️ Directional Bias: Bearish as long as US30 remains below 43,763. A break below 43,212 would accelerate downside momentum. However, geopolitical factors and market reaction to tariffs could increase volatility.
Starbucks (SBUX) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX is executing a strategic turnaround, focusing on barista wages, store renovations, and menu optimization to enhance efficiency and customer experience.
Key Catalysts:
Loyalty & Digital Engagement 📊
34.6M U.S. Rewards members now drive 57% of total sales.
Personalized offers and data-driven engagement are boosting customer retention and spending.
China Expansion & Growth Potential 🌏
Despite a 4% decline in same-store sales, Starbucks opened 169 new stores, reinforcing its long-term commitment to China.
The region remains a key growth driver, with opportunities for premiumization and digital adoption.
Financial Strength & Shareholder Returns 💰
SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in share buybacks could increase EPS by 3-4% annually.
A SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B sustainability bond aligns with ESG-focused institutional investors.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SBUX above $97.00-$98.00, driven by loyalty growth, operational improvements, and capital efficiency.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $160.00-$165.00, reflecting strong turnaround execution and long-term expansion.
📢 Starbucks—Brewing Growth with Digital Innovation, Expansion, and Shareholder Returns. #SBUX #StockMarket #LoyaltyEconomy
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.28.2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 PCE Inflation Data Release 📈: The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, is set to be released. Economists predict a 0.3% rise in January and a 2.5% year-over-year growth. This data will provide insights into inflation trends and potential monetary policy adjustments.
🇺🇸🛒 Consumer Spending Trends 🛒: Personal income and spending data for January will be released, offering a glimpse into consumer behavior amid ongoing economic uncertainties. Analysts anticipate a 0.4% increase in personal income and a 0.1% rise in personal spending.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Friday, Feb 28:
💰 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💰: Reports on personal income, consumer spending, and the PCE Price Index for January.
🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity, providing insights into the real estate market's health.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #tomorrow #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
Amd - Please Look At The Structure!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to retest massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For about 5 years Amd has been trading in a decent rising channel formation. That's exactly the reason for why we saw the harsh drop starting in the beginning of 2024. But as we are speaking, Amd is about to retest a massive confluence of support which could lead to a beautiful reversal.
Levels to watch: $100
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - The +50% Rally Is Inevitable!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is about to create a false breakdown:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After the -12% drop on Nvidia last month, Nvidia actually broke the final support trendline towards the downside. However bulls are about to break it again towards the upside, which would confirm the false bearish breakdown, leading to a short squeeze rally of about +50%.
Levels to watch: $140, $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AI and why the working week won't reduceThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
Tinder, Bumble and so on were once feted as the “new thing”. Here’s how Bumble is doing now.
That’s — not great! That’s pretty bad! The world moved on from dating apps, by and large — dating app consumption is actually down as Gen Z prefers to meet in person. Textile mills of the 21st century. So-long, and thanks for the fish.
There’s two things I’m sure of here:
People will not work less. This has been proven throughout history.
Many currently high-margin, stable businesses will not be are stable or as high-margin.
One of the great economic fallacies is that of optimism — specifically, that the working week will reduce. Here is Keynes, in 1930 —
We may be able to perform all the operations of agriculture, mining, and manufacture with a quarter of the human effort to which we have been accustomed.
Keynes was writing in the wake the Great Depression — it’s fairly remarkable foresight, as the US embarked on several golden decades — $1.00 invested in the S&P in 1929, at the peak of economic gloom, would be worth around $7,622 — you’d have an inflation adjusted return of 41,690.91%. Ne bad, as they say in Scots.
But here’s where he’s wrong — he had hoped for a quarter of human effort — predicting a 15 hour workweek. That hasn’t happened. If anything, the work culture in America and many western countries has become something of a religion — work hard and glorify it. That work has transmuted for many of us from factory jobs and field labour to office jobs and such, but it remains work — we are there to create a surplus of capital, as Marx wrote long ago.
History doesn’t rhyme but it repeats — similar suggestions of the end of work have been made with the advent of AI. Now, it is likely that AI will be able to replace many jobs — especially those that were traditionally protected (you probably don’t need a lawyer to draft up a basic contract, etc…). If we look at the various other revolutions, though, especially the industrial, what we find is that work ends up being something else.
What might it be? Will we have offices filled with people slaving away to Chat GPT, typing in prompts at their terminals? Essentially, will we become part cyborg, delivering commands to our AI counterparts?
It’s interesting to think about what this will do economically. The Industrial Revolution saw vast progress and economies expand rapidly — areas like the North of England, which were traditionally poor, saw riches prosper, while the old class of aristocrats found themselves taxed by both lack of economic progress and real taxes,³ which saw the economic picture turn — at least for a while. And yet — even those economic realities change — the once-rich textile barons of the Industrial Age, with factories in France and England, saw their businesses fall into disrepair as the world moved on. Automated looms, once cutting-edge, found themselves surpassed.
Here’s another example, Chegg Inc, which makes study tools. Of course, Chat GPT has surpassed that and tends to do a better job. Just ask your teens.
That’s also — not very good!
Let me now think about industries that we all think are safe but may be disrupted (don’t you hate that word?) — lawyers, accountants, coders. Uh oh. Whatever happened to “just learn to code, bro”. What happens to the “big four” accounting firms when AI gets good enough to perform most of the functions?
Let’s invert — what are companies and industries that (should) remain impervious:
Luxury — Hermes specialises in the handmade, and that’s part of the brand. The human desire for scarcity and to signal status has not changed in all of history.
Toll-booth businesses — think exchanges (NZX, CBOE, LSE), literal toll booths (Channel Infrastructure), payment operators (Visa, Stripe, etc).
Companies which command mindshare — CostCo, Amazon, etc.
Booze. Duh. AI doesn’t drink booze; humans do.
AMAZON ($AMZN) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWINGAMAZON ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) Q4—$187.8B REVENUE UPSWING
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradginView! Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) posted Q4 ‘24 net sales of
187.8 B,up 10 637.959 B here’s the breakdown.
(2/9) – REVENUE GROWTH
• Q4 Sales: $ 187.8B, 10% up from $ 170B 📈
• Full ‘24: $ 637.959B, 10.99% rise 📊
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 19% YoY boost 💻
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s steady climb continues.
(3/9) – EARNINGS LIFT
• Q4 Op. Income: $ 21.2B, up from $ 13.2B 💰
• NA Op. Income: $ 9.3B, from $ 6.5B 🌞
• AWS Margin: 38%, decade high 🌟
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s profit engine hums strong.
(4/9) – KEY MOVES
• AI Push: GenAI apps rolled out 📡
• AWS: Cash flow dynamo shines 🌍
• Stock: 207−230 range 🚗
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s tech bets fuel growth.
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS
• Spending: Retail feels price pinch ⚠️
• Regs: Antitrust looms large 🔒
• Comp: Azure, Walmart press hard 📉
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s solid, but hurdles lurk.
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Retail: $ 115.6B Q4 NA sales 💪
• AWS: $ 28.8B, 38% margin 🏋️
• Scale: Ads, subs diversify 🌱
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s a titan, built to last.
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Capex weighs 📚
• Opportunities: AI, emerging markets 🌏
Can NASDAQ:AMZN vault past the risks?
(8/9) – AMZN’s $ 187.8B Q4, your view?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 300+ by ‘26 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Steady, risks balance 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, Growth stalls 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:AMZN ’s $ 187.8B Q4 and $ 637.959B ‘24 stack up, tech titan 🪙 AWS shines, risks loom, gem or pause?
MARA ($MARA) Q4—$214.4M HAUL STUNS MARKETMARA ( NASDAQ:MARA ) Q4—$214.4M HAUL STUNS MARKET
(1/9)
Good Morning, TradingView! MARA Holdings ( NASDAQ:MARA ) smashed Q4 ‘24 with $ 214.4M revenue, up 37% YoY 🌍 Bitcoin hoard hits $ 3.94B—let’s unpack this mining beast! 💰
(2/9) – REVENUE SURGE
• Q4 Take: $ 214.4M, 37% up from $ 156.8M 📈
• Net Income: $ 528.3M, 248% leap 🌟
• BTC Price: 132% boost adds $ 119.9M 💸
NASDAQ:MARA ’s cashing in—halving? What halving?
(3/9) – BLOCKS BUZZ
• Blocks Won: 703, up 25% from 562 🚗
• Hashrate: 53.2 EH/s, 115% jump 🔧
• EPS: $ 1.24, beats $ 0.32 loss call 🌞
NASDAQ:MARA ’s grinding—blocks stack, stock pops!
(4/9) – BTC HOARD
• Stash: 45,659 BTC, $ 3.94B haul 🌍
• Growth: 197% since Jan ‘24—22,065 bought 💼
• Bitdeer: $ 532M loss—ouch 😕
NASDAQ:MARA ’s stacking—rival’s stumbling!
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• Costs: $ 127.4M energy, up 70% ⚠️
• Volatility: BTC swings sting 🐻
• Halving: $ 64.2M output hit 🔒
NASDAQ:MARA ’s hot—can it dodge the chill?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Haul: $ 214.4M, profit beast 💪
• Blocks: 25% more—mining grit 🏋️
• Hoard: $ 3.94B BTC—stack king 🌱
NASDAQ:MARA ’s tough—built to last!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Energy costs bite 🙈
• Opportunities: BTC price, AI pivot—zing 🌏
Can NASDAQ:MARA vault past the snags?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:MARA ’s $ 214.4M Q4, what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 20+ stacks up 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Solid, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, Costs clip it 😞
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:MARA ’s $ 214.4M Q4 and $ 3.94B BTC pile stun—mining hauler Costs creep, but grit shines—gem or bust?
S&P 500 - What after 6010 – Key GDP Data in FocusS&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 27, 2025
The S&P 500 has declined to 5937, as expected , after rejecting the 6010 pivot zone. Market sentiment remains mixed following Nvidia’s earnings, which were neither overly bullish nor bearish, while investors now shift focus to today’s GDP release:
If GDP comes in below 2.3%, a bullish reaction is likely.
A stronger-than-expected GDP could reinforce downside pressure on indices.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price remains below 6010, the downtrend remains active, with the next key support at 5979 and 5937.
A 1H or 4H candle close below 5937 would accelerate the decline toward 5920.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A break and 1H or 4H close above 6010 would indicate a bullish shift, targeting 6031.
Stability above 6031 would strengthen momentum toward 6055 and 6086.
⚠️ Market Impact:
GDP data will drive today’s market movement—watch for increased volatility.
Key Levels to Watch
🔸 Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102
🔹 Pivot: 6010
🔻 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920
📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 6010, but a confirmed break above 6010 could trigger a bullish shift.