NVIDIA BUY CONFIRMED!As expected in previous ideas, NVDA has decided to bottom out around $100-$111.
1. You can expect price to navigate towards the upper $120’s area
2. Upon a break through $126 there should be a stock buyback pump to $138+
3. Whenever the buyback cools down, there should be an immediate sharp correction to the lower $100 range and below. Waiting for possible Q2 earnings in 2025, or another chip update.
This is all prediction good luck ;)
Stocks!
Double Bottom Is Forming on MicronMicron is in an interesting position after shedding a great amount of value in the last 3 months. The Fundamentals are great and Microns Balance Sheet has very few problems! with the double bottom forming this could be signaling a very bullish sentiment with a possible reversal towards the upside. Micron is currently being forecasted with Revenue and EPS Growth.
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Balance Sheet: Micron has a decent Debt to Equity Ratio while having more then 3 Assets for every 1 Liability which is personally important to me when looking at stocks, Debt is Manageable especially should Micron beat all forcasts
Cash: US$8.38b
Debt: US$11.33b
Total Liability: US$22.03b
Total Assets: US$66.26b
Debt to Equity Ratio is: 25.6%
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Resumed its Share Buy-Back Program
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Highly Important Industry Supplier and Affiliates: Being Extremely Important with Industry Titans like Nvidia, Apple, Intel, MPS/Monolithic Power Systems, AMD, Texas Instruments, Microsoft, Gigabyte, Broadcom.
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Diversified Business Model: Micron is not just a memory business its highly Diversified in
23.46% of there Revenue is derived from Microns -> "Mobile Business Unit"
23.4% of there Revenue is derived from microns -> "Embedded Business Unit"
36.74% of there Revenue is derived from Microns -> "Networking and Business Unit"
16.43% of there Revenue is derived from Microns -> "Storage Unit Business"
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While Micron is in another uptrend in Revenue growth I think personally this time it could be more permanent growth, Micron is Extremely Undervalued compared to market peers such as Nvidia, and Micron with PE Ratios being well above 50 while Micron is extremely important within the Artificial Intelligence industry it benefits from a wide range of industries such as Artificial intelligence, Automotive, Computers, Memory, ETC.
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial expert or have any certifications I just trade stocks as a personal hobby and I greatly encourage you to do your own research and not just take words at face value to make extremely risky investments. Please do your own Research I am not giving Buy, Sell or Hold Signals, This is just for healthy conversation and nothing else.
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Idea:
TESLA: Building up the next bullish wave to $300.Tesla is in the upper levels of neutrality on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.149, MACD = -1.520, ADX = 23.400) as it remains marginally under the 1D MA50, but a crossing over it should restore the buying sentiment. Long term the stock is inside a Channel Up that is technically in the build up of the next bullish wave after the HL on August 5th, also backed by the 1D Golden Cross of July 29th. We anticipate the new rally to cross above both R1 and R2 and target R3 (TP = 300.00).
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Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
SQQQ I It will decline from top of the resistance channel
Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** SQQQ Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
DigitalOcean ($DOCN) | Cloud Computing Powerhouse - AWS for SMBsNYSE:DOCN
DigitalOcean remains the only pure cloud computing company for small-to-medium-sized businesses (SMBs), offering a robust solution similar to AWS, but with a specific focus on cost-effectiveness and ease of use for smaller enterprises. The introduction of GPU droplets further strengthens its position in the market, catering to the growing need for AI and machine learning workloads.
Despite struggles with corporate governance, the company’s technology is top-tier, making NYSE:DOCN an attractive acquisition target for larger tech players. The stock has doubled in volume recently, indicating bullish momentum is building, and we believe this sets up for a breakout.
This is a long-term hold for those looking for high growth in the cloud sector. GPU droplets could accelerate this growth, positioning DigitalOcean as a critical player in a market poised for massive expansion. It is not too late to enter as we are just beginning to breakout. Should macro-driven events pull down the market, especially SMBs, we will be adding at key levels.
Our entries: $24.50, $31.50, $35, Breakout over $39
Targets: $50, $70, $80
DigitalOcean is not just a small player in the cloud space; it has a specific niche that positions it for explosive growth. As SMBs increasingly adopt cloud technologies, and with GPU droplets creating a new revenue stream, DigitalOcean is set to rise. While near-term volatility exists, the long-term growth story remains intact. Investors should look at this as a multi-year play, with opportunities to accumulate during any market weakness.
$JMIA | First on the Scene, Aiming for 5x-10x BaggerNYSE:JMIA
Jumia, often referred to as the "Amazon of Africa," presents a unique opportunity for long-term investors to tap into the rapidly expanding e-commerce landscape in Africa. Our analyst, Shay Boloor, was one of the first analysts to recognize its potential, and while the company has faced challenges, the long-term thesis remains intact. We have been scaling into position between $3.50 and $4.50 as well as adding Jan 2026 $5 Calls. Trading under $5, this is a steal for investors willing to endure the volatility that comes with small caps in an emerging market. For those with patience, the reward could be substantial, with the potential for a 5-10x return over the next five years.
Key Strengths and the Opportunity:
Capital Strength: Jumia has raised $200 million in capital, significantly reducing solvency risk, which now stands at near zero. This financial cushion provides the company with the flexibility needed to continue its strategic growth.
Long-Term Play: The stock might take time to reflect its true value as the narrative shift, much like we saw with companies like Snowflake and Unity Software, unfolds. Jumia's expansion will need time, but the thesis remains unchanged.
Small Position Allocation: Due to the inherent volatility of small caps, Jumia is a small position. However, it offers massive upside potential for those who can ride out the short-term fluctuations.
Market Context and Timing: We are currently in a phase of seasonal market weakness, where investors shift focus toward large-cap, defensive stocks. This shift makes small caps like Jumia more volatile and higher-risk in the near term. However, for the long-term investor, this is the moment to accumulate a position while others stay on the sidelines.
Range to Watch:
$5.40 to $14: This initial range represents the next key resistance levels as Jumia works its way up.
$14 to $21: Liquidity zone where price can move quickly.
Above $21: Should the stock break above this level, expect significant movement with liquidity zones extending to $27, $33, and potentially $40+.
This stock has remained a high-conviction play. Although Jumia remains a volatile stock, it is well-positioned to capture long-term growth in the African market, making it an excellent buy-and-hold for patient investors looking to capitalize on the next big e-commerce wave. This is a prime opportunity to snag the bottom for the next run-up.
ASX 200 futures enter the “death zone” for bulls ASX 200 SPI futures and bullish moves above 8000 haven’t mixed well in 2024, resulting in a raft of failed breaks, long topside wicks and topping patterns. It’s akin to a “death zone” for bulls, starving rallies of oxygen before eventually reversing.
I’m not outright bearish just because we’re back above the level, especially when momentum indicators are providing mixed signals, but I am interested in what happens near-term as it may dictate what happens longer-term. We’ll either get another topping pattern, or a bullish raid will finally stick. So, I’m waiting. I’m especially interested in how the price fares around 8080, if it gets there. The market has only been able to push through it once and never closed there.
Given the track record and current valuations, I’m more inclined to sell rallies but I want the price signal to do so. If we see another failed attempt around 8080, you could sell with a stop either above the level or the high set in August, depending on your eventual target. On the downside, the 50-day moving average looms as one, with 7871, 7794 and 7721 the next after that.
If the price were to break and close above 8121 before extending the move, the bearish bias would be negated.
Good luck!
DS
Nvidia Go Bye Bye | Short or Take Profits Whenever news commentators feel the need to interview a CEO, and hail the CEO as some kind of benevolent "hero of the people", that is a pretty good indicator that something is awry.
The same applies for rampant social media hype.
At the end of the day, the chart & the macro backdrop tell the real story.
NASDAQ:NVDA will collapse from here. Don't bother trying to buy any time soon, you will only be hurting yourself; this thing, along with the broader market has some significant adjusting (downward) to work through.
Kotak bank can consolidate and move upwardsKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. Engages in the provision of commercial banking services. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Balance Sheet Management Unit (BMU) and Corporate Centre; Retail Banking; Corporate or Wholesale Banking; Vehicle Financing, Other Lending Activities; Broking; Advisory and Transactional Services; Asset Management; Insurance and Other Banking Business.
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. CMP is 1790.15. The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. = 16.5), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Good quarterly growth in the recent results. The Negative aspects of the company are PE higher than Industry PE, Increase in Provisions in Recent Results and Promoter decreasing their shareholding.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1793 Targets in the stock will be 1828 and 1864. The long-term target in the stock will be 1896 and 1928. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1732 or 1666 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
APPLE: Buy lower if this level breaks. Next target = 260.Apple is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.352, MACD = -0.130, ADX = 33.865) as it is consolidating around the 1D MA50. The trend is a bearish one, correcting under LH and until they break, it will remain bearish. Much like the Channel Down corrections of 2023 and 2024, failure to cross above the top of the bearish pattern, should extend the selling to the 1D MA100 again, even the 1D MA200 if it fails.
The 1D RSI of the prior tw fractals indicates that two main LH should be formed before the price recovers. This shows that we should take our time with AAPL and if the 1.5 Fib level breaks, buy on the 1D MA100 and the 1D MA200 for the long term. TP = 260.00 (the 2.5 Fibonacci level).
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SRF can Surf upwards after consolidation. SRF Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of chemical-based industrial intermediates. It operates through the following segments: Technical Textiles Business, Chemicals Business, Packaging Film Business etc. The Chemicals Business segment comprises of refrigerant gases, industrial chemicals, specialty chemicals, fluoro chemicals & allied products and its research and development.
SRF Ltd. CMP is 2529.15. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 61), De-growth in Revenue and Profit, Inefficient use of capital to generate profits and Inefficient use of shareholder funds.
Entry can be taken after closing above 2529 Targets in the stock will be 2579, 2656 and 2693. The long-term target in the stock will be 2756 and 2855. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2427 or 2285 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Oracle (ORCL): Bullish Outlook Ahead of EarningsToday, we’re getting the earnings report on ORCL, and we’ve had to adjust our last analysis accordingly. We are now looking at a more bullish scenario after our previous bearish outlook was invalidated. If Oracle holds the desired level, we believe our current wave count is accurate.
The count is pretty straightforward, and we think we’re now in the intra wave (ii) of the larger wave 3. This wave (ii) might touch the trend channel again, though it doesn’t necessarily have to. The channel seems accurate as waves ((i)), ((ii)), and ((iii)) are all tagging it. It would have been ideal if wave ((iv)) had touched it as well, but perfection is rare in markets.
We’re focusing on the area between $133.43 and $129 to hold. We’re not setting any limit orders for ourselves just yet, as we want to see if our new count proves correct before making any moves.
NVDIA Is disaster just ahead of us?NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) is on a 3-month pull-back, the first it had on a 1M basis since September - October 2023. The latter was simply a mid-Bull consolidation phase within the wider picture of a Channel Up pattern that started almost 10 years ago.
The price is pulling-back from the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line) and if the 1M MACD forms a Bearish Cross, we should be preparing for a cyclical correction within the pattern which in the previous two times (November 2021 and October 2018 tops) it corrected back to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) to form a bottom.
The Nov 2021 top was formed exactly at the time of the 1M MACD Bearish Cross, while the October 2018 top was formed 10 months after. If this is a 3-year Cycle then in October or November (2024) we should really see the extent of the correction. If not then this might be another Mid-bull consolidation and we may have (roughly) another 10-12 months before this Cycle tops.
What do you think it's going to be??
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e.l.f. Beauty (ELF): Oversold and Ready for a ReboundIt has been quite some time since we last took a look at e.l.f. Beauty, and our previous conclusion was that we could be seeing some more selling pressure. We were right about it; after a brief relief pump, the stock sold off by more than 45%.
In the end, our prediction about ELF being due for a sell-off was correct, and we are now back in the targeted area. Although we haven't touched the HVN POC yet, the situation looks both promising and concerning at the same time.
Additionally, the RSI is oversold for the first time since October 2023. Given the current market conditions and the prevailing uncertainty, we are not planning to go long on ELF at this time. However, it does appear ready to either fall a bit more or take off. We will continue to monitor it closely and have already set alerts. If we see an upward push, we might consider entering on a retest, but for now, we're staying on the sidelines.
We hope this update has been helpful to you 🔥
COINBASE at the bottom of the 20month Channel. Will it go lower?Coinbase (COIN) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the first week of January 2023 (almost 20 months). Within this time span, it has seen 4 corrections with the latter being the longest as we haven't seen a new High since the week of March 25 2024.
Last Friday saw the week close on the strongest red 1W candle (-20%) since the 2022 Bear Cycle, as it failed to rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This on its own is a very pessimistic development, with the presence of only the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) remaining to offer support long-term.
However, this Friday closing made an exact Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up, something we hadn't seen since the June 05 2023 1W candle. That was the candle that completed the longest (until the current one) correction on Coinbase. Both Bearish Legs have similar declines (-47% then and -48% now). The minimum % rise of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +146.82% (two times).
As a result, as long as we close this week inside the Channel Up and ideally the 1W RSI remains above the 30.00 oversold barrier, we can expect a long-term bullish reversal on COIN with the start of the Channel's new Bullish Leg, with a minimum expectation being at $360.00 (+146.82% rally).
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Dole (DOLE) AnalysisCompany Overview:
NYSE:DOLE PLC is a global leader in the fresh produce industry, with a strong portfolio of fruits and vegetables. As consumer demand for healthier food options continues to grow, Dole is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The company’s vast global network and operational scale give it a competitive edge in meeting this rising demand for fresh, healthy produce.
Key Catalysts:
Health-Conscious Consumer Trends: The increasing consumer shift toward healthier eating habits supports Dole’s premium valuation. As more consumers prioritize fresh produce, Dole stands to benefit from expanded market share and revenue growth.
Strong Start in 2024: Executive Chairman Carl McCann expressed optimism about Dole’s performance, aiming to maintain its adjusted EBITDA levels comparable to 2023. This guidance reflects the company’s strong operational execution and market positioning.
EMEA Segment Growth: The EMEA Diversified Fresh Produce segment has been a major driver of growth, posting a 44% year-over-year increase in Q4 segment adjusted EBITDA, driven by strong sales and improved margins. This robust performance is expected to continue supporting the company’s overall profitability.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on DOLE if it holds above the $14.00-$15.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for DOLE is set at $23.00-$24.00, driven by consumer trends toward healthier eating, strong EMEA segment performance, and operational execution.
🍍 Dole—cultivating a healthy future! #DoleFresh #HealthyLiving 🌱📈
Tesla Stock Correction: Eyeing a $300 Target? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price entered the supply zone at $235. After reaching this level, the stock faced a decline and corrected down to $210! It is likely that we will see further correction in Tesla's stock price. However, as mentioned in the previous analysis, due to the recent interest rate cuts, we might gradually witness a price increase after this initial correction. I am forecasting a mid-term target for Tesla stock above $300.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
SWING IDEA - RATNAMANI MET AND TUBRatnamani Metals & Tubes, a leading manufacturer of stainless steel and carbon steel welded pipes and tubes, is showing a potential swing trade setup with several bullish technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
3800 Zone Break Out : The 3800 level has acted as a strong resistance zone. The price is now breaking through this level, signaling the possibility of a continued upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle indicates strong buying interest, suggesting momentum may continue.
Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA : The stock is trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages, indicating overall bullish strength and long-term trend support.
Intact Trend : The broader trend remains intact, indicating that the current momentum is in line with the stock’s longer-term trajectory.
Gradual Increase in Volumes : A steady rise in volumes adds confirmation to the breakout, showing strong market participation in this move.
Target - 4270 // 4800
Stoploss - daily close below 3400
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