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NVDIA Technical buy now but recovery may take a bit longer.Last time we analyzed NVDIA corporation (NVDA) we called for a sell and clearly noted that it was not the time to buy yet (July 03, see chart below): Our $110.00 downside Target got hit last week and as the price remains below the 1D MA50, it has entered an accumulation zone, which in the past has been very short-lived (April 19 2024, December 28 2022) and the price rebounded to a Higher High instantly or more long lasting (August 14 - October 31 2023). In any event, NVDA has completed more than a -23.00% decline from its All Time High, which is the normal correction within the 22-month Channel Up, so that constitutes a new long-term buy entry for us. Our Target, whether we get a quick rebound or a longer-term one, is $170 (a 'modest' 2.0 Fibonacci extension). On a side-note, the 1D RSI (black trend-line at the bottom of the chart) is also below the 40.00 mark, which within the Channel Up pattern has been the top of the long-term Buy Zone. Note also that only a break below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), constitutes a long-term bearish reversal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
6
Inflation's Impact on Stock ReturnsInflation's Impact on Stock Returns Inflation's pervasive influence on the financial landscape cannot be understated. It affects everything from everyday spending to large-scale investing. This FXOpen article dives into the intricate relationship between inflation and stock returns, unravelling the multifaceted dynamics at play. Join us as we dissect the mechanics of the impact of inflation on the stock market, offering clarity in a world of economic ebbs and flows. Understanding Inflation Inflation represents the rising prices of goods and services over time. While a moderate level of inflation is often viewed as a sign of a growing economy, high inflation can erode purchasing power, making everyday items more expensive for consumers. Those trading and investing during high inflation face challenges as it can diminish the real returns on investments. Stock Returns Defined Stock returns denote the gains or losses an investor realises from stock investments. These returns typically manifest in two ways: dividends and capital appreciation. Dividends are regular payments made by corporations to shareholders from their profits. Capital appreciation, on the other hand, refers to the increase in a stock's price over time. It's important to note that stock returns can also be negative if a stock's price decreases. Influencing these returns are a myriad of factors, including company performance, market sentiment, and broader economic conditions. Mechanisms: How Inflation Affects Stock Prices Inflation, with its overarching grip on the economy, wields a substantial influence on stock prices. Understanding this dynamic is vital for traders looking to navigate the stock market during inflation. Below, we'll delve into the various mechanisms through which inflation affects stocks. Cost of Goods Sold and Company Profitability When there's inflation, the costs of raw materials and production generally rise. This escalation can squeeze a company's profit margins unless they pass these increased costs onto the consumers. For some industries, hiking prices might result in decreased demand, further impacting profitability. Consequently, stock prices can see downward pressure as potential investors foresee lower earnings. Consumer Purchasing Power Inflation erodes the value of money, meaning consumers can buy less with the same amount of money as before. This diminished purchasing power can lead to reduced consumer spending. Companies, especially those in the retail and consumer goods sector, may witness a dip in revenue. As revenues play a crucial role in determining stock value, a decline can lead to lower stock prices. Central Bank Responses and Interest Rates Central banks often intervene to counteract high inflation, primarily by raising interest rates. When interest rates rise, borrowing becomes more expensive for companies, which can hinder expansion plans and reduce profitability. Additionally, when inflation and interest rates rise, alternative investments like bonds become more appealing than stocks, leading to reduced demand for stocks. By grasping these mechanisms, traders can better anticipate inflation's effect on stocks and devise strategies that account for the intricate relationship between inflation and the stock market. Inflation's Dual Impact: Sectors and Market Caps The impact of inflation isn't uniform across the board; it varies significantly between sectors and company sizes. Certain sectors, like commodities or energy, might benefit from rising prices, turning inflation into an advantage. Conversely, retail or consumer goods sectors might suffer as consumers' purchasing power diminishes, leading to decreased spending. When examining company sizes, the inflation rate and stock market dynamics reveal nuanced patterns. Large-cap companies, with their diversified operations and global reach, often have better tools to hedge against inflationary pressures. In contrast, small-cap stocks, which might be more regionally focused and have fewer resources, can be more vulnerable to the negative effects of high inflation. Historical Perspective: Inflation and Stock Market Performance Historical data provides traders with valuable insights into the dynamics between inflation and stock market performance. For instance, during the 1970s, the US experienced a period of stagflation—simultaneous high inflation and stagnant economic growth. This era saw the S&P 500 struggle to provide real returns, largely due to soaring oil prices and tight monetary policy. Another example can be traced to emerging markets like Argentina in the early 2000s. Faced with skyrocketing inflation rates, the stock market initially surged as locals shifted money into assets to retain value. However, long-term sustainability was challenged by economic instability and a lack of foreign investments. Mitigation: How Traders Can Prepare for Inflation Inflation can unsettle even the savviest traders, but with proper preparation, its challenges can be mitigated. When investing during inflation, diversifying assets becomes paramount. Spreading investments across different asset classes and instruments can act as a buffer against inflation's adverse effects. For instance, you can trade forex or commodity, cryptocurrency*, and ETF CFDs on FXOpen’s TickTrader platform and further equip yourselves with the real-time data and tools necessary to make effective decisions. Additionally, stocks of companies with strong pricing power, which can pass on increased costs to consumers, might fare better than others. Moreover, bonds, especially those with interest rates adjusting to inflation, can be among the best investments during inflation, offering a degree of protection to portfolios. The Bottom Line In understanding inflation's intricate relationship with stock returns, traders arm themselves with valuable insights. To navigate these economic complexities and optimise trading strategies, consider taking the next step: open an FXOpen account, a trusted broker that provides the tools and resources to thrive in ever-evolving financial markets. *At FXOpen UK and FXOpen AU, Cryptocurrency CFDs are only available for trading by those clients categorised as Professional clients under FCA Rules and Professional clients under ASIC Rules, respectively. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by FXOpen
2
Cellebrite (CLBT) AnalysisCompany Overview: Cellebrite develops digital intelligence solutions for government investigative branches globally. Recently, the company launched its Endpoint Inspector SaaS on AWS Marketplace, which expands its market reach and enhances its role in the Amazon Partner Network. This strategic move is expected to improve net margins by reducing customer system maintenance costs. Institutional Interest: Institutional investors are bullish on NASDAQ:CLBT , with SG Americas Securities LLC increasing its stake by 34.8% in Q1. Analyst Ratings: Major investment banks are also optimistic about Cellebrite's prospects: Bank of America: Raised its price target to $13.00. JP Morgan Chase: Increased its price target to $14.00, both giving an "overweight" rating. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on CLBT above the $11.50-$12.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $20.00-$21.00, investors should consider Cellebrite's strategic expansions and strong institutional support as key drivers for potential stock appreciation. 📈🔍 Monitor Cellebrite for promising investment opportunities! #CLBT #DigitalSolutions 💼💻
NASDAQ:CLBTLong
by Richtv_official
Rocket Companies (RKT) AnalysisCompany Overview: Rocket Companies, a fintech mortgage loan originator, entered 2024 with strong momentum. CEO Varun Krishna highlighted top-line growth acceleration for the third straight quarter and the highest profitability in two years, along with expanded market share in both purchase and refinance sectors. The company is leveraging its proprietary AI tech stack for future growth, aiming to modernize the fragmented homeownership space. Institutional Interest: Investor confidence is evident, with the Swiss National Bank increasing its stake by 4.1% in Q1, now holding 237,000 shares. Financial Performance: Rocket Companies reported an adjusted revenue of $1.2 billion in its latest quarterly report, exceeding guidance and marking year-over-year growth acceleration for the third consecutive quarter. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:RKT above the $13.00-$14.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $20.00-$21.00, investors should consider Rocket Companies' impressive financial performance and strong institutional interest as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊🏡 Monitor Rocket Companies for promising investment opportunities! #RKT #FintechStocks 📈🔍
NYSE:RKTLong
by Richtv_official
SWING IDEA - MOTHERSON SUMI WIRING INDThis presents an attractive opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on the potential uptrend in Motherson Sumi Wiring India , a subsidiary of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited and a leading manufacturer of wiring harnesses and other automotive components. Reasons are listed below : Strong Resistance Turned Support : The price level of 65-67, previously a strong resistance, has now turned into a support zone, indicating potential bullish momentum. Cup and Handle Pattern : The formation of a cup and handle pattern suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend, with bullish implications for Motherson Sumi Wiring India. Bullish Engulfing on Weekly Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candlestick pattern observed on the weekly timeframe indicates strong buying momentum and potential upward movement. 0.5 Fibonacci Support : Finding support at the 0.5 Fibonacci level strengthens the bullish case, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement. Higher Highs : Consistent formation of higher highs reflects increasing bullish momentum and reinforces the potential for further gains. About to Breach All-Time High : The stock is approaching its all-time high, indicating strong bullish sentiment and potential for a breakout to new highs. Increased Volumes : A notable increase in trading volumes reflects growing market interest and potential accumulation by investors, adding confirmation to the bullish thesis for Motherson Sumi Wiring India. Target - 85 // 95 StopLoss - weekly close below 61 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:MSUMILong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - BALAJI AMINESBalaji Amines , a leading manufacturer of specialty chemicals, is showing promising signs for a potential swing trade. Reasons are listed below: Crucial Support Zone (1850-2000) : The 1850-2000 range has proven to be a strong support zone, indicating significant buying interest and potential for a price rebound. 0.618 Fibonacci Support : The price has found support at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, often referred to as the "golden ratio," suggesting a likely reversal or continuation of the uptrend. Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The recent weekly candle is a bullish marubozu, characterized by little to no shadows, indicating strong buying pressure and potential for further upward movement. Support from 50 and 200 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is trading above both the 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages, providing strong support and confirming the long-term uptrend. Increase in Volumes : A noticeable spike in trading volume often confirms the strength of a price move, indicating greater participation and confidence in the direction of the trend. Target - 2720 // 3030 // 3800 Stoploss - weekly close below 1875 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:BALAMINESLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - RITESRITES , a leading engineering consultancy company specializing in transport infrastructure, is showing technical signals that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity. Reasons are listed below : 770-800 Resistance Zone : The 770-800 level has been tested multiple times and the price is now attempting to break through this resistance, indicating strong bullish momentum. Ascending Triangle Breakout : The price is breaking out of an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern that suggests potential for further upward movement. Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and further supports the bullish case. 50 EMA Support : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing a strong support level. Trading at All-Time High : The stock is trading at its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains. Spike in Volume : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest. Target - 930 // 1030 Stoploss - daily close below 680 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:RITESLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - ICICI LOMBARD GENIn this analysis, we will explore key technical indicators and chart patterns that suggest ICICI Lombard GEN may be poised for a favorable uptrend. We'll delve into the factors contributing to the positive sentiment surrounding the stock. Reasons are listed below : The 1410 levels underwent multiple tests before the price eventually broke through. Currently, the price is in the process of retesting those levels. Hammer candle (positive sign) on a very crucial support zone. 50EMA support on daily timeframe. 0.382 Fibonacci support. Stock price is above 50 and 200EMA i.e the trend is intact. Target - 1490 // 1611 StopLoss - Daily close below 1370
NSE:ICICIGILong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
SWING IDEA - FORTIS HEALTHCAREFortis Healthcare , a leading Indian healthcare provider, presents a compelling opportunity for swing trading. Reasons are listed below : Breakout from Key Resistance Zone : The 450 level has acted as a strong resistance, being tested multiple times. The price is now breaking out of this zone, indicating strong upward momentum. Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent daily candle engulfed the previous 7 daily candles, signaling a significant shift toward bullish sentiment and indicating potential for further upward movement. Breaking 4-Month Consolidation Phase : The stock has broken out of a consolidation phase that lasted over 4 months, suggesting a new bullish trend might be forming. Bounce from Golden Fibonacci Zone : The price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and bounced back, indicating strong support and reinforcing the potential for a continued bullish trend. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA on Daily Timeframe : Fortis Healthcare is trading above both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, a strong indicator of a sustained uptrend. Trading at All-Time High : The stock is currently at its all-time high, suggesting strong market interest and potential for further growth. However, caution is advised as all-time highs can also attract profit-taking or indicate overbought conditions. Target - 500 // 525 Stoploss - daily close below 420 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:FORTISLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
VIX 20 years Later !What will fuel this next Bull Market? #AI and exponential gains in productivity seem like a fair bet. The technology won't manifest properly in the next few years of course. But the speculation and new companies will. 20 years ago we saw the trendline of the #VIX break coming out of 9/11 and right around the time of the Iraq war Military spending, Lowering of rates, a Housing boom , and the rise of Google and culminating in the iphone. Seems eerily similar to the current #macro environment
TVC:VIXShort
by BallaJi
1
UPS looking DOWNSNice head and Shoulders on the United Parcel Service #UPS and FEDEX are the new dow transport indicator. An underlying determinant of how the consumer is faring Since the US is a consumer economy and Online shopping is the majority of retail if we see new highs on the Indicies, and the home delivery carriers continue to deteriorate it would give your non confirmation Top Similar to Dow theory of new High's in the Industrials , but the transports lagging and indeed falling.
NYSE:UPSShort
by BallaJi
12
Matrix MarvelZones of influence for potential support and or resistance forces. Especially looking for potential inflection points at any of the rectangles or breaks of the zones especially after they end. Will provide updates with potential candlestick formation setups but overall the market in sync with the zones should provide through the price action the signs and tools the traders should look out for. The "matrix" is designed in such a way to eliminate potential bias, regardless of the big gray rectangle lurking above, in order to encourage an open mind regarding what can happen while also providing elements to help navigate more easily potential future scenarios in the analysis process.
NASDAQ:MRVL
by nen
1
Micron Micro ManagementBig potential influence red zone lurking above (had this project designed before the two inflections at the red and stop at first pink rectangle. Looking forward to see if it continues to flirt with the red under it, or if it starts to weaken following the path of the rectangles. In other scenarios any of the rectangle zones waiting below in the future could also become support to trigger more bullish tones. Will provide comments in the future with price action updates or even added zones of interest. Not overly attracted to the grey scenario that propels the stock higher after exiting the red, but earnings report might spoil the whole setup with a jump and penetration of the red kind of cancelling the whole concept for the potential future.
NASDAQ:MU
by nen
Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) AnalysisCompany Overview: Magnolia Oil & Gas, an independent U.S. oil and gas company, has demonstrated significant growth, with a 151% increase in returns on capital employed over the past five years. This achievement, combined with a reduced capital base, positions MGY for substantial stock price appreciation as investors take notice. Institutional Interest: Hedge funds and institutional investors have been accumulating MGY shares. Lindbrook Capital LLC increased its stake by 61.5% in Q1, and Commerce Bank boosted its stake by 4% in Q4. Investment banks like Mizuho have raised their target price from $26.00 to $28.00, and Capital One Financial has given the stock an "overweight" rating with a $28.00 target price. Financial Performance: NYSE:MGY boasts a return on equity of 20.41% and a net margin of 30.46%, reflecting its strong market position and pricing power. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MGY above the $23.00-$24.00 range. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $35.00-$36.00, investors should consider Magnolia's impressive financial performance and increasing institutional interest as key drivers for future stock appreciation. 📊💼 Monitor Magnolia Oil & Gas for promising investment opportunities! #MGY #OilAndGasStocks 📈🔍
NYSE:MGYLong
by Richtv_official
META History repeating Double Bottom leading to $800.Meta Platforms (META) almost hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday, a Support level that has been holding since February 01 2023. With the long-term pattern being a Channel Up since the November 04 2022 market bottom, yesterday's Low is similar to the Double Bottom on Meta's previous Accumulation phase on October 26 2023. That day's Low started the 2nd Bullish Leg of the Channel Up that peaked on April 08 2024 after a +95.14% rise. This is the exact same % rise as the Feb 24 2023 - July 28 2023 Bullish Leg, which was the 1st of the Channel Up. As a result, this is technically the most optimal buy opportunity on a long-term basis for META, with a technical Target at $800.00 (+95.14% as the previous 2 Bullish Legs). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
10