Stocks
10 tricks for developing discipline or here was WarrenIf you asked me, what is the most valuable trait an investor should have, I would call it the ability to follow your own rules. In other words, it is discipline. A novice investor can learn quickly, know all the features of the chosen strategy from A to Z, but it is unlikely that he will succeed without this trait. So, Warren Buffett called persistence your engine, and discipline the guarantee of a successful future.
Imagine that you have sailed to an unusually beautiful island with the goal of finding a treasure chest. To achieve this, you have a map with a description of all the paths and turns that you need to take to reach your goal. However, after the first 100 meters of the path you understand that this island has a huge number of amazing plants, ripe fruits, and curious animals. All this is very interesting and attractive for you: firstly, you want to take a photo of a beautiful flower, secondly, try a tropical fruit, thirdly, play with a funny monkey. “Why not? This is a great chance!” you think. After a while, having enjoyed the life of the island, you realize that it is already evening, and it is easier to spend the night somewhere under a palm tree and continue the search for treasure tomorrow, during daylight hours. “That’s a smart idea!” you note and begin to prepare a place to sleep.
In the morning, you wake up in a good mood, you are greeted by familiar flowers, fruits and a cheerful parrot. Since you already know all this, you decide to continue following the map to find the treasure today and sail on. The path is easy for you: the entire route is marked in advance, you just follow these instructions. So, here you are. At the roots of the largest palm tree, under many branches, there should be a treasure chest hidden. You clear away the branches, and here your expectation collides with a shocking reality. Instead of a chest, you see a hole, where at the bottom, with a wooden stick, is written: “Warren was here”.
In this example, Warren had the same map as you. Moreover, he arrived on the island much later. The only difference is his model of achieving the goal. He understood that exploring the island was not a priority for him right now. Warren would be happy to return there, but this time with the goal of relaxing, perhaps on his brand-new ship. And while he came to the island to look for treasure, he is looking for it. Everything else, despite all its attractiveness, is for him a risk of not achieving the goal.
I also think of my stock investing strategy as a map that helps me understand where I should turn in any given situation. The only thing that makes me follow the route is discipline. Unfortunately, I can't put the stock market on pause or ignore corporate news - they all require my attention. If I choose this path, I follow it. In other words, if I am not going to follow the recommendations of my map, then why did I choose this path?
However, how difficult it is to look calmly at temptations. A man is not a robot. So we need some tricks that can help us with discipline. I think that in this regard, the most brilliant invention of mankind was and remains the alarm clock. No matter how much we sleep, when the alarm rings, we wake up. The most disciplined people even set several alarms to make sure they wake up! On the one hand, it irritates us like crazy, on the other hand, have you ever thought about how well it helps us relax? After all, there is no longer a need to wake up and determine the time by the brightness of the sun from the window - now we have an alarm clock! It turns out that discipline can be associated with pleasant things.
By the way, on TradingView, such a brilliant invention is “Alerts”. I wrote about this function in the article: “A pill for missed opportunities” . I will only add that the alert system can be applied not only to the stock price, but also to the indicators that you use on the chart, as well as to a whole watch list. So, make a list of companies you want to keep an eye on. Then set alerts when a certain condition related to price or indicator value is reached. And finally, wait calmly. Yes, this is what will take up all your time - waiting. And believe me, it takes a lot of discipline to just wait.
To develop this trait, I recommend creating habits that are organically linked to your strategy. For example, to decide about a deal, I constantly refer to news about the selected companies. It is significant for me to understand whether critical events have arisen that could influence my decision to open or close a position. However, regularly reading corporate news can hardly be called a fascinating activity for everyone. This is not looking at memes at all. Therefore, below I will give a few tricks that will help make this (and not only this) activity systemic:
1. Set your alarm for 1 hour before the stock market opens. Let this signal remind you that it is time to study the news on companies that have already been bought or are very close to being bought.
2. Make access to news as convenient as possible. Install the TradingView app on your phone, tablet, home computer or laptop. Don't have problems accessing information in any situation: if you are lying on the couch, sitting at the table or walking in the park.
3. Start with small steps. For example, start by reading only the headlines of news stories, rather than the entire story at once. Gradually increase the amount of incoming information. In one full hour, you can easily gather all the information you need to get a complete picture before the market opens.
4. Use modern technologies. For example, reading news from your voice assistant. This is convenient if you are on the move.
5. Combine your habit with another direction you are developing. For example, if you are learning a foreign language, practice reading the news in that language.
6. Organize public attention to your habit. For example, agree with your wife that for every time you skip a habit, you take her to a new restaurant (I think the most effective method for married men). Chat with like-minded people and/or post your thoughts on the news on social networks. The extra attention will motivate you to keep doing it.
7. Add a little joy to your news reading habit. If you like freshly squeezed juice, place a glass of it next to you. After the work you've done, be sure to thank yourself. For example, a delicious dessert or watching one episode of your favorite TV series.
8. Formulate your goal as follows: not to be someone who understands everything, but to be someone who never misses a single event.
9. Separately, I would like to draw attention to keeping a diary of your operations. This is an essential document that will help you track your progress - your Track Record. At the same time, it is one of the systemic habits. I recommend adding to Track Record information about cash transactions, trades, taxes, dividends, conditions that prompted you to open or close a position in shares. You can organize such a diary in any spreadsheet to calculate some of the metrics using formulas.
Below, I will present the metrics that I use in my Track Record. All data in it will be provided as an example only.
10. And finally, I think it is significant to visualize your achievements not only in electronic form, but also to have a physical embodiment of your results. For example, these can be empty glass flasks where you can put coins or balls corresponding to certain actions: opening a position, closing a position with a profit, closing a position with a loss, paying dividends. One flask - one year. Such an installation will look beautiful in your room or office and will remind you of what you have finally achieved. You might even have some interesting stories to tell to curious guests who notice this piece of furniture.
SMCI: Inverse Head and Shoulders close to bullish breakout.Super Micro Computer Inc turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook today (RSI = 51.775, MACD = -1.260, ADX = 17.645) as it crossed over the 4H MA50. The 4H MA200 remains the long lasting resistance ever since the July selling commenced but the recent 2 month Channel Down looks like the right shoulder of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. If it is that indeed, we should see a break above the 4H MA200 as soon as next week even. If successful, we will go long as the buying sentiment would have returned to SMCI on the long term. Aim for the usual target of such Inverse Head and Shoulders, the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 130.00).
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baba stock is in a critical levelhello
i see if it breaks up this current level it will reachs 130 then it will decide if up more or reverse down because 130 is major historical level that tells several stories
keep eyes on my levels in order to know where the market can attract you
Remember that i am not using a crista ball ptredicting future but i try to be more efficient and more rational
good luck
GOOGLE Buy the earnings dip and Target $215.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 09 2024 Low. Just last Friday it formed a Bullish Cross on its 1D MACD and is rising, which inside this Channel Up pattern, has been a strong buy signal.
Given that the company's Earnings miss will force the stock to open near or at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), take this excellent dip opportunity to buy the technical pattern and target $215, which is the standard +15% Higher Lows rebound the Channel had on each Bullish Leg.
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Fundamental Weakness Meets Technical Strength, AMD at a Turning?Hello readers,
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) posted strong Q4 earnings, with a 24% year-over-year revenue increase to $7.66 billion, slightly surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.09, just above expectations.
However, the data center segment underperformed, bringing in $3.86 billion a 69% YoY increase but below the $4.1 billion analysts had anticipated. Additionally, CEO Lisa Su cautioned that data center sales may decline by 7% in the next quarter. This guidance, combined with the revenue miss, led to an 8.2% pre-market drop in AMD’s stock price.
Technical Perspective
The price has finally arrived at the first key area of interest. This level has been anticipated for some time, and the fundamental reaction has now drawn the price close to the marked zone.
For those considering this as a potential investment, I can provide a small but valuable confirmation: from a technical standpoint, this is not a mistake to take, as this area holds the potential to generate strong liquidity for further growth.
Key criteria:
1. Strong horizontal price zone around the $100
2. The round number itself $100
3. The trendline since 2018
4. Channel projection
5. Equal waves from the top
For a more in-depth technical analysis, visit my Substack channel - content is now available for English readers. Simply go to my profile and click on "Website."
Regards,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider risk management before making any investment decisions.
TESLA is overvalued and here is why - waiting for 270Tesla is overvalued, especially when compared to traditional metrics like P/E ratio. We have P/E 190 atm. If we compare Tesla to other EV companies, Tesla’s valuation might appear inflated. For example, companies like Rivian, Lucid, and NIO have been hyped similarly, but most haven’t shown the same level of growth and revenue.
Investors are betting on Tesla’s dominance in electric vehicles, energy, and other sectors, which drives the high valuation. Tesla's stock is also closely tied to Elon Musk’s reputation, decisions, and Twitter presence.
Tesla has become more profitable in recent years, but many argue that it’s still a growth company where profits aren't the main focus. The question is whether the current market cap is justified based on actual cash flow and profitability - of course NO.
Tesla was created as a startup and truly revolutionized the auto industry, but its stock is now worth several hundred times more than it is as a technology-driven car manufacturer. Future expectations have always driven the stock market, and this phenomenon will continue to accompany us. However, I believe that in terms of future expectations, Tesla, as an automaker, has long since exhausted its potential, and its competitors have long been replicating Tesla's "miracle," but in much more efficient ways.
A vivid example of this is the recent story of ChatGPT and DeepSeek. I am confident that sooner or later, Tesla will also become a "victim" of this.
On the other hand, Elon Musk’s reputation, political involvement, and trade wars—all of these are potential bombs placed under Tesla.
$GOOGL Stocks Sink on Alphabet Earnings; Gold Hits AllTime High Stocks Sink on Alphabet Earnings; Gold Hits All-Time High 📉✨
1/9
Global stocks dipped after Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) missed earnings expectations, putting pressure on Wall Street futures. Investors are now questioning tech's growth outlook. 📉 Could this signal a broader tech revaluation?
2/9
Alphabet’s earnings disappointment impacted sentiment across markets, while some European stocks showed resilience. Novo Nordisk delivered positive earnings, highlighting sector-specific strength. 🏢📊
3/9
Currency Moves: The USD/JPY pair saw notable movement as the yen strengthened. Japan’s wage data came in higher than expected, fueling speculation of another rate hike. 💴 Could this be a turning point for the yen's momentum?
4/9
The dollar weakened against major currencies, driven by Japan’s wage growth data and broader market uncertainty. Currency traders, take note: further BOJ tightening may continue shifting capital flows. 📉
5/9
Gold Surge: The precious metal hit a record high today. A weaker dollar and heightened geopolitical risks are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like gold. 🚀 Will this trend hold if market volatility persists?
6/9
Political surprise: President Trump made unexpected remarks about potential U.S. involvement in Gaza for economic development. Despite the shock value, markets largely shrugged off the news. 🗞️ Investors kept their eyes on the numbers instead.
7/9
Market Insights:
Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ): Missed earnings shook tech stocks.
USD/JPY: Yen gains signal a potential shift in forex markets.
Gold: Safe-haven demand pushes prices to new highs.
8/9
Investors may need to reassess their tech positions in light of Alphabet’s performance. Meanwhile, forex traders could find opportunities in USD/JPY movements, and gold investors are riding a bullish wave. 🧭
9/9
What's your market outlook after today's moves? Vote now! 🗳️
Tech will rebound soon 📈
Volatility will dominate 🔄
Gold remains king of 2025 ✨
PepsiCo (PEP) Shares Drop 4.5% After Earnings ReportPepsiCo (PEP) Shares Drop 4.5% After Earnings Report
Yesterday, PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) released its investor report, which delivered mixed results.
Positive highlights:
→ Earnings per share ($1.96) exceeded expectations ($1.94).
→ Gatorade strengthened its market position.
→ Mountain Dew Baja Blast generated $1 billion in annual revenue.
→ International revenue grew by 2.1%.
→ The company announced a 5% dividend increase and expects growth in the protein drinks segment in 2025.
Negative factors:
→ Revenue ($27.78 billion) fell short of forecasts ($27.9 billion).
→ North American sales are declining, with Quaker Foods sales down 6%.
→ Foreign exchange fluctuations are weighing on overall revenue.
Investors reacted negatively, and by the end of the trading session, PepsiCo's stock price dropped by 4.5%.
Technical Analysis of PEP Stock
→ The price remains in a downward channel. While the S&P 500 has gained over 2% since the start of 2025, PEP stock has declined by more than 6%.
→ The $150 psychological level no longer acts as support (which was evident before the earnings release). The recent price rebound (marked with blue arrows) appears to be an interim recovery within the ongoing downtrend.
→ The stock is now trading near the median line of the channel, suggesting a potential stabilisation as supply and demand tend to balance at the median. However, bearish pressure may persist, potentially leading to a new yearly low.
Is PEP Stock a Buy?
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic. According to TipRanks:
→ Only 5 out of 11 analysts recommend buying PEP.
→ The 12-month average price target is $168.
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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.5.2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
📊 Trade Balance: The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $96.50 billion in December, up from $78.20 billion in November.
📈 Key Data Releases:
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (8:15 AM ET): 🏢 Forecast: 148K | Previous: 122K
Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): 🏭 Forecast: 52.8 | Previous: 56.8
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): 📊 Forecast: 54.2 | Previous: 54.1
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up will get a rejection below 6032.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher as a continuation and drop down 1% off the HCZ.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and pump back higher.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
NVDA 4H Analysis – Should You Buy Calls?Key Observations:
Current Price: $118.68
Support Levels:
$115.33 (Holding as support)
$113.31 (Next level below)
$101.28 & $90.99 (Deeper liquidity zones)
Fair Value Gap (FVG) Above:
The large blue zone (~$130-$140) represents an imbalance that price could eventually fill.
Earnings Event Nearby (Purple ‘E’ Icon):
Earnings can cause volatility, so be cautious if holding options through that event.
Call Option Consideration:
Bullish Case (Buying Calls):
Price is sitting near support at $115.33. If it holds and starts pushing higher, it could aim for the FVG at $130-$140, which would make calls profitable.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for bullish price action (higher lows, strong volume, break of short-term resistance).
Bearish Risk (Why You Might Wait):
If price loses $115.33, it could dip lower to $113.31 or even $101.28, which would crush call options.
Earnings could add uncertainty—if volatility spikes, premiums might be expensive.
Final Verdict:
Aggressive Entry: Small position in calls if NVDA holds above $115.33 with confirmation.
Safer Entry: Wait for price to reclaim $120+ to confirm strength before entering.
Risk Management: If NVDA loses $115, consider stopping out or waiting for a better re-entry near $101.
Wall Street Rallies on Trade Optimism: $SPX Performance Wall Street Rallies on Trade Optimism: S&P 500 Performance Update 📈
1/9
The S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) closed higher today, fueled by optimism surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations. Energy stocks led the charge, driven by rising oil prices and demand forecasts. 🔋📊
2/9
Energy Sector Surge: Energy stocks played a crucial role in today's SPX gains. Rising global demand and oil price increases are sparking investor confidence. 🚀 Is this trend sustainable?
3/9
Trade Optimism: President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on Canada and Mexico boosted sentiment. However, new U.S. tariffs on China and China's retaliatory measures remain key risks. ⚖️ Trade talks are still a tightrope walk.
4/9
Corporate movers today:
PepsiCo and Estée Lauder fell after weak earnings forecasts. 📉
Palantir soared on a strong revenue outlook. 📈
Earnings season continues to shape sector performance!
5/9
Investors now await Alphabet's earnings, set to drop after market close. Tech giants like Alphabet can significantly impact SPX momentum in coming sessions. Will it be a bullish or bearish catalyst? 🕰️
6/9
Economic Context: The SPX's performance today highlights a market adapting to trade uncertainties. Investors are shifting their focus from immediate trade impacts to longer-term prospects. 💡
7/9
Looking Forward: Alphabet's earnings could either reinforce today's rally or inject new volatility into the market. Tech earnings remain a major influence on overall market sentiment. 🧮
8/9
Today's SPX rally is a reminder of the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic factors—trade policy, sector rotation, and earnings expectations are all in play. Are you positioned for these shifts? 📊
9/9
What’s your market outlook for the SPX this week? Vote now! 🗳️
SPX will continue rising 📈
Expect some volatility 🔄
Bearish pullback ahead 📉
Tesla - Another +100% After This Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still double from here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Elon Musk actually becoming the richest person on this planet, Tesla is simultaneously attempting another all time high breakout. All the recent bullish momentum could further fuel this rally, leading to new all time highs and another 2x in Tesla's market cap.
Levels to watch: $450, $900
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
+340% in 2 hours $0.44 to $1.94 $CAPTBOOM! 💥 +340% in 2 hours 🚀 $0.44 to $1.94 on strong buying with vertical halts along the way NASDAQ:CAPT 🏎️💨
Buy Alert right before vertical halt with plan to take profit after the halt since that's when these kind of stocks usually create a gap and open up higher for easy money. Locked profit $1.82 could've been more to max it out into $1.90's but played it safe.
NVDA Update: Potential Trend ReversalFor NVDA holders; NVDA has been in a strong downtrend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows.
The price recently tested a key demand zone (114.49 - 117.07), showing signs of a possible reversal.
Breaking the supply zone (120.02 - 124.79) would be a bullish confirmation.
A breakout above 127.87 ( last swing High) would further confirm that the downtrend is over and a new impulsive move is beginning.
The price is challenging the downtrend line at the moment, and a strong breakout could trigger a strong rally.
✅ Bullish Signs to watch:
Break above 120 = Confirmation of strength
Break above 124.79 = Bullish breakout
Break above 127.87 = Strong confirmation for trend reversal
🚨 Bearish Signs:
Rejection at 120 or 124.79 could lead to further downside.
A drop below 114 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
"Amateurs focus on how much money they can make. Professionals focus on how much they can lose." – Jack Schwager
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🚨
PALANTIR Target $110 then wait for correction.Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is repeating the January pattern that has been seen in both 2024 and 2023, which has the price rising by +72.50% for a peak. This gives us a $110 immediate Target, which should be relatively easy to achieve after such Earnings.
Once the peaked on this mark, the 2024/ 2023 fractals pulled back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before turning into a long-term buy opportunity again in preparation for the next Bullish Leg. As a result, after $110 is hit, our next buy level will be near $80.
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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮
📅 Tue, Feb 4
🌎 Market-Moving News:
📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods.
🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M)
🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization.
#trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
RTX Trending Higher – Targeting 134.68NYSE:RTX is respecting an ascending trendline, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has recently rebounded from the trendline, maintaining the overall structure of higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the trend continuation narrative.
I anticipate that if the stock sustains its upward trajectory, it could move toward the 134.68 level. As long as the trendline holds, the bullish outlook remains intact.
Feel free to share your perspective or any insights in the comments!
ADP - Bullish Continuation Toward 315.50NASDAQ:ADP is trading above its ascending trendline, showcasing strong bullish momentum. The price action maintains the pattern of higher highs and higher lows, which supports the case for trend continuation. I expect that if the stock continues this upward movement, it could reach the 315.50 level. The bullish bias remains intact as long as the trendline support is respected.
Feel free to share your thoughts or any additional insights in the comments!