What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) Concept in Trading?
Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs) are a fascinating concept for traders seeking to refine their understanding of price behaviour. By identifying areas where market sentiment shifts, IFVGs provide unique insights into potential reversals and key price levels. In this article, we’ll explore what IFVGs are, how they differ from Fair Value Gaps, and how traders can integrate them into their strategies for more comprehensive market analysis.
What Is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) occurs when the market moves so rapidly in one direction that it leaves an imbalance in price action. This imbalance shows up on a chart as a gap between three consecutive candles: the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle fail to overlap, leaving a “gap” created by the second candle. It essentially highlights an area where buying or selling pressure was so dominant that the market didn’t trade efficiently.
Traders view these gaps as areas of potential interest because markets often revisit these levels to "fill" the imbalance. For example, in a bullish FVG, the gap reflects aggressive buying that outpaced selling, potentially creating a future support zone. On the other hand, bearish FVGs indicate overwhelming selling pressure, which might act as resistance later.
FVGs are closely tied to the concept of fair value. The gap suggests the market may have deviated from a balanced state, making it an area traders watch for signs of price rebalancing. Recognising and understanding these gaps can provide insights into where the price might gravitate in the future, helping traders assess key zones of interest for analysis.
Understanding Inverse Fair Value Gaps (IFVGs)
An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG), or Inversion Fair Value Gap, is an Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept that builds on the idea of an FVG. While an FVG represents a price imbalance caused by strong directional movement, an IFVG emerges when an existing FVG is invalidated. This invalidation shifts the role of the gap, turning a bearish FVG into a bullish IFVG, or vice versa.
Here’s how it works: a bearish FVG, for instance, forms when selling pressure dominates, leaving a gap that might act as resistance. However, if the market breaks through this gap—either with a wick or a candle close—it signals that the sellers in that zone have been overwhelmed. The bearish FVG is now invalidated and becomes a bullish IFVG, marking a potential area of support instead. The same applies in reverse for bullish FVGs becoming bearish IFVGs.
Traders use inverted Fair Value Gaps to identify zones where market sentiment has shifted significantly. For example, when the price revisits a bullish IFVG, it may serve as a zone of interest for traders analysing potential buying opportunities. However, if the price moves past the bottom of the IFVG zone, it’s no longer valid and is typically disregarded.
What makes these reverse FVGs particularly useful is their ability to highlight moments of structural change in the market. They can act as indicators of strength, revealing areas where price has transitioned from weakness to strength (or vice versa). By integrating IFVG analysis into their broader trading framework, traders can gain deeper insights into the evolving dynamics of supply and demand.
Want to test your IFVG identification skills? Get started on FXOpen and TradingView.
How Traders Use IFVGs in Trading
By integrating IFVGs into their strategy, traders can refine their decision-making process and uncover potential setups aligned with their broader market outlook. Here’s how IFVGs are commonly used:
Identifying Key Zones of Interest
Traders begin by spotting FVGs on price charts—areas where rapid movements create imbalances. An inversion FVG forms when such a gap is invalidated; for instance, a bearish FVG becomes bullish if the price breaks above it. These zones are then marked as potential areas of interest, indicating where the market may experience significant activity.
Contextualising Market Sentiment
The formation of an IFVG signals a shift in market sentiment. When a bearish FVG is invalidated and turns into a bullish IFVG, it suggests that selling pressure has diminished and buying interest is gaining momentum. Traders interpret this as a potential reversal point, providing context for the current market dynamics.
Analysing Price Reactions
Once an IFVG is identified, traders monitor how the price interacts with this zone. If the price revisits a bullish IFVG and shows signs of support—such as slowing down its decline or forming bullish candlestick patterns—it may indicate a strengthening upward movement. Conversely, if the price breaches the IFVG without hesitation, the anticipated reversal might not materialise.
How Can You Trade IFVGs?
IFVGs provide traders with a structured way to identify and analyse price levels where sentiment has shifted. The process typically looks like this:
1. Establishing Market Bias
Traders typically start by analysing the broader market direction. This often involves looking at higher timeframes, such as the daily or 4-hour charts, to identify trends or reversals. Tools like Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Changes of Character (CHoCH) within the ICT framework help clarify whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish.
Indicators, such as moving averages or momentum oscillators, can also provide additional context for confirming directional bias. A strong bias ensures the trader is aligning setups with the dominant market flow.
2. Identifying and Using IFVGs
Once a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated—indicating a significant shift in sentiment—it transforms into an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Traders mark the IFVG zone as a key area of interest. If it aligns with their broader market bias, this zone can serve as a potential entry point. For instance, in a bearish bias, traders may focus on bearish IFVGs that act as potential resistance zones.
3. Placing Orders and Risk Management
Traders often set a limit order at the IFVG boundary, anticipating a retracement and for the area to hold. A stop loss is typically placed just beyond the IFVG or a nearby swing high/low to manage risk. For exits, targets might include a predefined risk/reward ratio, such as 1:3, or a significant technical level like an order block or support/resistance area. This approach ensures trades remain structured and grounded in analysis.
Advantages and Disadvantages of IFVGs
IFVGs offer traders a unique lens through which to analyse price movements, but like any tool, they come with both strengths and limitations. Understanding these can help traders incorporate IFVGs into their strategies.
Advantages
- Highlight market sentiment shifts: IFVGs pinpoint areas where sentiment has reversed, helping traders identify key turning points.
- Refined entry zones: They provide precise areas for potential analysis, reducing guesswork and offering clear levels to watch.
- Flexibility across markets: IFVGs can be applied to any market, including forex, commodities, or indices, making them versatile.
- Complementary to other tools: They pair well with other ICT tools like BOS, CHoCH, and order blocks for enhanced analysis.
Disadvantages
- Subject to interpretation: Identifying and confirming IFVGs can vary between traders, leading to inconsistencies.
- Limited standalone reliability: IFVGs need to be used alongside broader market analysis; relying solely on them increases risk.
- Higher timeframe dependence: Their effectiveness can diminish on lower timeframes, where noise often obscures true sentiment shifts.
- Potential for invalidation: While IFVGs signal potential opportunities, they aren’t guarantees; price can break through, rendering them ineffective.
The Bottom Line
Inverse Fair Value Gaps provide traders with a structured approach to identifying market shifts and analysing key price levels. By integrating IFVGs into a broader strategy, traders can uncover valuable insights and potentially refine their decision-making. Ready to apply IFVG trading in real markets? Open an FXOpen account today and explore potential trading opportunities across more than 700 markets, alongside four advanced trading platforms and competitive conditions.
FAQ
What Is an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG)?
The IFVG meaning refers to a formation that occurs when a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is invalidated. For example, a bearish FVG becomes bullish after the price breaks above it, creating a potential support zone. Similarly, a bullish FVG can transform into a bearish IFVG if the price breaks below it, creating a potential resistance zone. IFVGs highlight shifts in market sentiment, providing traders with areas of interest for analysing possible reversals or continuation zones.
What Is the Difference Between a Fair Value Gap and an Inverse Fair Value Gap?
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is an imbalance caused by aggressive buying or selling, creating a price gap that may act as support or resistance. An Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) occurs when the original FVG is invalidated—indicating a shift in sentiment—and its role flips. For instance, a bearish FVG invalidated by a price breakout becomes a bullish IFVG.
What Is the Difference Between BPR and Inverse FVG?
A Balanced Price Range (BPR) represents the overlap of two opposing Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), creating a sensitive zone for potential price reactions. In contrast, an Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) is a concept based on a single FVG that has been invalidated, flipping its role. While both are useful, BPR reflects the equilibrium between buyers and sellers, whereas IFVG highlights sentiment reversal.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stocks
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 1, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI Release: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for March. A reading below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, which could influence market sentiment.
🇺🇸🏗️ Construction Spending Data: The U.S. Census Bureau will report on February's construction spending, providing insights into the health of the construction industry and potential impacts on related sectors.
🇺🇸📄 Job Openings Report: The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for February will be released, offering a view into labor demand and potential implications for wage growth and consumer spending.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, April 1:
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 49.5%
Previous: 50.3%
Assesses the health of the manufacturing sector; a reading below 50% suggests contraction.
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: -0.2%
Measures the total value of construction work done; indicates trends in the construction industry.
📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 7.7 million
Previous: 7.7 million
Provides insight into labor market demand by reporting the number of job vacancies.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AUD/USD 1-hour downtrend - Will 0.6200 Trigger a Reversal?The AUD/USD pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour chart, maintaining strong bearish momentum. In its latest move lower, it formed a significant 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Given this confluence, there is a possibility that AUD/USD could revisit this level to reject and continuing its decline. However, if bearish pressure persists, the pair may extend its drop toward the key 4-hour support at 0.6200.
A potential bullish engulfing candle at this 0.6200 support level could signal a shift in market structure, indicating a possible change of character to the upside. However, it is still uncertain if we will revisit this 4-hour support.
INVERSE CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $120 The inverted cup and handle, also known as the upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart formation that can occur in both uptrends and downtrends. Unlike the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern, this inverse pattern features two key components: the "cup," which forms an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a brief upward retracement following the cup.
Sell NASDAQ:TSLA right now with fact check:
brand reputation risk, high competition, loss of EV market leadership, cyber truck/ product recalls, declining sales with lower margin, stock volatility concern, insider selling, investors buy it based on expected future earnings rather than its current profitability.
+ Head and shoulder/ inverse cup and handle, P/E ratio 79.8-161.23 (overpriced), falling knife, dead cat bounce, the lowest target estimate stands at $120.00, below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, MACD indicator is -19.8, bearish signals.
+ potential stagflation, tariff war, slow economic growth, inflation, rising public debt, geopolitical tensions, ai bubble, and more
VISA: One of the steadiest 2025 stock picks.Visa remains bullish on 1W and is about to do so on its 1D technical outlook as well (RSI = 54.200, MACD = 1.140, ADX = 29.207). The 1W Channel Up is what keeps the long term trend bullish and 1D is just recovering from neutral grounds the correction of March's first 2 weeks. This is nothing new for the stock as it had the same -9% correction in September 2023 after a symmetric +43.28% bullish wave. After this correction, the index extended the rally to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the stronger correction.
You can see that the 1W RSI pattern now is identical to then. Consequently, we again expect a technical rebound to the 1.382 Fib extension either at or over the 2 year Channel Up (TP = 419.00) by the end of the year.
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NASDAQ: Forming the bottom. Don't miss the 2025 rally to 28,000.Nasdaq is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.342, MACD = -382.320, ADX = 38.919), headed towards oversold territory. 1W is also headed towards an oversold state (RSI = 36.953) as the price has crossed under the 1W MA50 and is approaching the 1W MA100. This is currently waiting at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. This 6 month correction is so far technically nothing but the bearish wave of this Channel Up and has been almost as strong (-15.89%) as the previous in July-Aug 2024.
Notice an key technical tendency here, no correction/bearish wave has ever crossed under the S1 level of two highs before. The current S1 is at 18,400. So taking those conditions into consideration as well as the fact that the 1W RSI is at the bottom of its Channel Down, we see this week as the bottom formation candle that will start a new bullish wave. The prior two such waves both made an incredibly symmetric rise of +52.60%, so expecting the same puts our target at TP = 28,000, most likely by December 2025-January 2026.
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Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Hits 2025 LowAlphabet (GOOGL) Stock Hits 2025 Low
As seen on the Alphabet (GOOGL) stock chart, the price has dropped close to $156—a level not seen since September 2024.
Since the start of 2025, the stock has fallen by more than 18%.
Why Is GOOGL Falling?
As mentioned earlier today, overall market sentiment remains bearish due to the White House’s tariff policies.
For Alphabet (GOOGL), the situation has worsened today due to the following developments (as reported by the media):
➝ Google has admitted liability and agreed to pay $100 million in cash to settle a US class-action lawsuit accusing the company of overcharging advertisers, according to Reuters. Alphabet shares dropped 4.4%.
➝ Google’s division was found guilty of anti-competitive behaviour in India related to its app store billing system.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL)
In February, we noted investors’ negative reaction to the company’s earnings report, which led to a bearish gap (marked by a red arrow).
Since then, bears have maintained control, pushing the price below the lower boundary of the ascending channel that had been valid since 2023. Key signals include:
➝ The $170 level (near the bearish gap on 10 March) acted as resistance on 25 March.
➝ Bears showed little reaction to bulls at the $160 level and have kept the price contained between two downward-sloping red lines.
Bears may now be targeting the psychological level of $150. If bulls want to maintain control over GOOGL’s long-term uptrend, they need to take action soon.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Stock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff NewsStock Markets Decline Amid Trump Tariff News
Comparing the approximate difference between last week's opening and closing prices on stock index charts:
➝ The US S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by 2.4%.
➝ The European Euro Stoxx 50 (Europe 50 on FXOpen) dropped by 2%.
Why Are Stocks Falling?
The bearish sentiment in stock markets is largely driven by news surrounding White House tariff policies, as reflected in Federal Reserve statements late last week:
➝ Boston Fed President Susan Collins stated that tariffs will "inevitably" fuel inflation, at least in the short term.
➝ Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that rapid shifts in US trade policy have created uncertainty for businesses.
US developments are also weighing on European stock markets, which were already under pressure following President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on foreign cars. Trump has also threatened further tariffs on the EU and Canada, heightening trade tensions.
Today, the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened with a bearish gap, hitting its lowest level since early 2025, falling below the previous yearly low of 5,292. This reflects growing market concerns ahead of 2 April, when Trump is expected to confirm the implementation of new tariffs.
Technical Analysis of the Euro Stoxx 50 Index (Europe 50 on FXOpen)
Since late 2024, the price has been moving within an ascending channel (marked in blue), but today, it has fallen below the lower boundary—suggesting the channel is losing relevance. Bearish dominance is evident through the following signals:
➝ The 5,550 level proved to be an insurmountable resistance for bulls.
➝ The median of the blue channel acted as resistance (marked by a red arrow).
➝ The 5,406 level shifted from support to resistance (marked by black arrows).
If the bearish trend persists, the Euro Stoxx 50 index (Europe 50 on FXOpen) could continue fluctuating within a descending channel (outlined in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 31 – April 4, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report: The March employment data, set for release on Friday, April 4, is expected to show a slowdown in job growth, with forecasts predicting an increase of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 151,000 in February. The unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%. This report will be closely monitored for signs of economic momentum and potential impacts on Federal Reserve policy.
🇺🇸💼 President Trump's Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is scheduled to unveil his "reciprocal tariffs" plan on Wednesday, April 2, dubbed "Liberation Day." The announcement is anticipated to include a 25% duty on imported vehicles, which could significantly impact the automotive industry and broader market sentiment. Investors are bracing for potential volatility in response to these trade policy developments.
🇺🇸📊 Manufacturing and Services Sector Updates: Key indicators for the manufacturing and services sectors are due this week. The ISM Manufacturing PMI, scheduled for Tuesday, April 1, is expected to show a slight contraction with a forecast of 49.5%, down from 50.3% in February. The ISM Services PMI, set for release on Thursday, April 3, is projected at 53.0%, indicating continued expansion but at a slower pace. These reports will provide insights into the health of these critical sectors.
MarketWatch
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, March 31:
🏭 Chicago Business Barometer (PMI) (9:45 AM ET):
Forecast: 45.5
Previous: 43.6
Measures business conditions in the Chicago area, with readings below 50 indicating contraction.
📅 Tuesday, April 1:
🏗️ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: -0.2%
Indicates the total amount spent on construction projects, reflecting trends in the construction industry.
📄 Job Openings (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 7.7 million
Previous: 7.7 million
Provides insight into labor demand by measuring the number of job vacancies.
📅 Wednesday, April 2:
🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.6%
Previous: 1.7%
Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, indicating manufacturing demand.
📅 Thursday, April 3:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 226,000
Previous: 224,000
Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into labor market conditions.
📊 Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: -$123.0 billion
Previous: -$131.4 billion
Indicates the difference between exports and imports of goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.
📅 Friday, April 4:
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: 0.3%
Measures the change in earnings per hour for workers, indicating wage inflation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NVDA 2 The????NASDAQ:NVDA
Outlook - -GEX and -DEX but +OI This week. NASDAQ:NVDA ’s price action will likely hinge on broader
market sentiment rather than company-specific releases, given no major NVIDIA events are slated.
Weekly -- 2nd consecutive down week with increasing volume
Daily -- Downtrend to next HVL under 106 possible
Hourly -- Consolidating at support zone
10m -- Consolidating
Bias -Monitoring U.S. trade policy updates and technical levels for short-term direction.
Volatility remains high, so caution is warranted.
Pivot - 109.65
Upside Targets:
* 111.47--112.91--113.66--115.01
Downside Targets:
* 109.62--108.45--105.05--104.34
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the Index gapped higher, passing our completed Inner Index Rally of 5712 and setting a Mean Resistance of 5768. This target was accompanied by considerable reversal, ultimately causing a downward movement. On the final trading day of the week, the Index underwent a pronounced decline, resulting in a substantial drop that surpassed the critical target of Mean Support set at 5603. The Index is positioned to retest the completed Outer Index Dip level of 5520. An extended decline is feasible, with the possibility of targeting the subsequent Outer Index Dip at 5403 before resuming an upward rally from either of these Outer Index Dip levels.
DKNG 1W – Technical and Fundamental AnalysisDKNG shares have broken a rising wedge on the weekly chart, reinforcing a bearish signal. The price is testing the $35.29 level after failing to hold above $36.88. A breakdown below $31.74 could accelerate a decline toward $28.67 and $14.89. RSI indicates weakening bullish momentum, MACD shows a bearish crossover, and EMA 50 and EMA 200 confirm a long-term uptrend but signal correction risks.
Fundamentally, DraftKings remains a leader in online gambling, but its stock is sensitive to Fed rate decisions and macroeconomic conditions. The upcoming earnings report could also impact price action. Correlation with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 increases its dependence on overall market sentiment.
A confirmed break below $31.74 could lead to further downside toward $28.67 and $14.89. If the price holds above $35.29, a recovery toward $36.88 is possible.
KE Holdings (BEKE) – Transforming China’s Real Estate MarketCompany Overview:
KE Holdings NYSE:BEKE is revolutionizing real estate with its hybrid digital-physical platform, leveraging strategic backing from Tencent (8% voting power).
Key Catalysts:
Strong Financial & Earnings Growth 💰
Analysts project 20.9% annual earnings growth and 26.7% EPS increase.
Reinforces BEKE’s leading position in China’s real estate sector.
Expanding Services & Market Reach 🌍
Acquisition of Shengdu Home Decoration (2022) strengthens BEKE’s homeownership services.
Broadens revenue streams beyond real estate transactions.
Strategic Backing & Partnerships 🤝
Tencent’s support enhances financial stability & collaboration opportunities.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on BEKE above $20.00-$21.00, supported by rising profitability & business expansion.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $36.00-$37.00, driven by earnings growth, platform expansion, and strategic alliances.
🔥 BEKE – Shaping the Future of Homeownership in China. #BEKE #RealEstateTech #GrowthStock
WALMART: Recovery will take time but it's worth the investment.Walmart is headed to an oversold condition on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.324, MACD = -2.580, ADX = 37.504) but remains marginally neutral on 1W (RSI = 45.418). Based on its 13 year Channel Up and the 1W RSI pattern, it got rejected on its top but this 2 month decline is a usual correction inside this Channel. In fact we do expect the 1W MA50 to break but most likely the trend will find support on the Channel's middle trendline and start to gradually recover in 2026. The recovery process will be long but the prices are already to low and oversold, still one can wait for the 1W MA50 to break in order to confirm that, and buy for the long term. After all, the stock gained more than +160% in less than 3 years and an investment on the world's biggest groceries company with such amazing return, is a worthwhile one. Our target is $140 by the end of 2027/early 2028.
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Harmony Gold Mining (HMY) – Strong Growth & Rising ProfitabilityCompany Overview:
Harmony Gold Mining NYSE:HMY continues to outperform expectations, delivering higher grades, cost efficiency, and production expansion.
Key Catalysts:
High-Quality Gold Extraction ⛏️
Underground recovered grades surged to 6.4 g/t, exceeding full-year guidance.
Reinforces HMY’s ability to extract high-quality ore.
Cost Efficiency & Rising Gold Prices 📈
All-in sustaining costs at ZAR 972,000/kg, well-managed despite inflationary pressures.
Gold’s safe-haven demand surging due to geopolitical tensions, boosting HMY’s margins.
Expansion & Future Growth 🚀
New high-grade mining site announced, set to enhance future production & revenue growth.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We remain bullish on HMY above $10.50-$11.00, supported by cost control & rising gold prices.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $17.00-$18.00, driven by high-margin production & increasing investor interest in gold.
🔥 HMY – Unlocking Gold’s Full Potential. #HMY #GoldMining #SafeHavenAsset
Ford (F) Share Price Drops Following Trump's TariffsFord (F) Share Price Drops Following Trump's Tariffs
President Trump has fulfilled his promise to impose tariffs on foreign car manufacturers, introducing a 25% tariff on all cars and light trucks not made in the United States, as well as on "certain auto parts."
As reported by Yahoo Finance: "This will continue to drive growth like you've never seen before," Trump stated from the White House on Wednesday while signing the tariff order. The 25% tariffs are set to take effect on 2 April, adding to existing duties. The White House announced that $100 billion in annual tariffs would be collected.
Why Have Ford (F) Shares Fallen?
Trump’s decision has led to a sharp drop in car manufacturers’ share prices, particularly in Europe. However, shares of American automakers have also declined. Ford (F) shares, according to the price chart, fell by approximately 4% yesterday.
This decline is due to the fact that Ford (as well as GM and Stellantis) has manufacturing facilities in Canada, Mexico, and China, which now means higher costs due to the impact of tariffs on supply chains.
Technical Analysis of Ford (F) Share Price Chart
As we noted when analysing Ford (F) shares on 6 March, Trump's tariff policy previously helped the price recover from a four-year low.
However, it now seems that “the pendulum has swung the other way.” Examining the price chart, we can identify three levels that actively interact with the price (some key reversals are marked with an arrow), with the middle level appearing to act as a median for the "pendulum" of market sentiment.
From this perspective, we can reasonably assume that:
→ The $10.25 level continues to act as resistance;
→ The $9.66 level, acting as a median for Ford (F) price fluctuations, may "attract" the price.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 28, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 Core PCE Inflation Data Release: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February is set to be released. Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth, aligning with previous figures. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, this data could influence monetary policy decisions.
🇺🇸🛍️ Consumer Spending and Income Reports: February's personal income and spending reports are due, with forecasts indicating a 0.4% rise in personal income and a 0.5% increase in personal spending. These figures will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic momentum.
🇺🇸🏠 Pending Home Sales Data: The Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for release, with expectations of a 2.0% increase, following a 1.0% rise in January. This index offers a forward-looking perspective on housing market activity.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, March 28:
💵 Personal Income (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.4%
Previous: +0.9%
Measures the change in income received from all sources by consumers.
🛍️ Personal Spending (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.5%
Previous: -0.2%
Tracks the change in the value of spending by consumers.
📈 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year
Previous: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year
Reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET):
Forecast: +2.0%
Previous: +1.0%
Indicates the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives.
“I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better.
Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”.
The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm.
Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result.
November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
SMCI is a bargain here. Target $90.Super Micro Computer Inc / SMCI is trading inside a Channel Up.
The new bearish wave has already completed a -47% decline, same as the previous one, and the symmetry inside this pattern seems very high.
The price is now very close to the Channel's bottom and is technically a strong buy opportunity.
We expect a new higher high close to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target $90.
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ROCKET LAB: Channel Up aiming at $78.RKLB turned marginally neutral again on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.190, MACD = 1.683, ADX = 38.570) as it basically remains flat for the past 3 weeks. Since the price is not that far off the 1W MA50, we believe that's the (long term) bottoming process of the 1 year Channel Up. We are also a little bit over the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and once the process is over we expect the new bullish wave to target the -0.382 Fib extension (TP = 78.00) as the top of this Cycle.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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