3 Stocks in ACCUMULATION Phase | STOCKS | BABA, HOOD, PYPLIf you have patience, stock trading can be very rewarding.
Something a little different today - SOCKS ! 🧦 These are my top 3 picks for stocks at the moments - for the sake of duration, we'll look at 3 per video.
What I look for in stocks, is longer term holds. Ideally they must be in accumulation phase, or have just broken out of my ideal buy zone.
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NYSE:BABA NASDAQ:HOOD NASDAQ:PYPL
Stocks
McDonald’s (MCD): Crisis Management and Market ReactionWhat a perfect flat this is on McDonald’s. Already back in the range and finished the wave ((ii)) at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. Far more downside is expected for $MCD. If we are right about this intra wave count, we should see the level of wave ((iii)) to be at a minimum of $258.5.
The outbreak that caused the big drop was linked to slivered onions used in Quarter Pounder burgers, which affected 104 individuals across 14 states and resulted in one death. To address the crisis, McDonald’s will invest $35 million in marketing and advertising campaigns to rebuild customer trust and foot traffic. Additionally, $65 million will be directed toward franchisee support, including deferrals on rent and royalties.
To recover from this significant image damage, it will likely take much time for NYSE:MCD to resolve these challenges. Therefore, it would also be valid if NYSE:MCD sweeps the range low at the level of $245 before coming back to at least the range middle.
WALMART on top of 10-year Channel. Correction or break-out?Walmart (WMT) has been trading within a 10-year Channel Up pattern since the January 12 2015 High. The price has finally reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of this decade-long bullish pattern and that is easily identifiable by the 1W RSI sequence.
The rally that started on the May 16 2022 bottom is very similar to the one that started on the October 26 2015 bottom. The two fractals initially started rebounding and on the first 0.5 Fibonacci test, they held it and entered a more aggressive rally, supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The past one peaked just above the 2.5 Fibonacci extension (January 29 2018). The current week has put us above the 2.5 Fib ext and right at the top of the Channel Up. If it replicates the Jan - May 2018 correction, it could test $66.50. If it closes above the Channel Up though, a new bullish pattern will emerge and we will re-evaluate with the price action we get at that time. However it is easily understandable that having an SL at the top is worth taking the short's risk as the potential reward is much greater than the risk. And if it fails the loss is minimal and we can still follow the bullish trend with a break-out buy.
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Bubble everything - 2024-NOV-13Taking into account "bubble everything" theory and ~18-years cycle on financial markets + on top of that ~4-years cycle in crypto markets ... we have roughly 6-7 ATH on everything.
Then bubble will start bursting.
Housing markets will need 4-7 years to visit new bottoms.
Stocks & crypto will need ~1 year to catch new bottoms.
What's going to be the trigger to bubble everything burst?
Tech on the Edge: SMH vs. QQQ Signals Caution Amid Bull MarketIntroduction:
While we remain enthusiastic about the strength of the current bull market, emerging signs of stress in capital flows warrant a closer look, particularly in the tech sector. One key metric to monitor is the ratio between semiconductors (SMH) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). This ratio acts as a barometer for tech sector health: when SMH outperforms QQQ, it indicates a risk-on environment; conversely, QQQ outperforming SMH raises caution flags.
Analysis:
Tech Sector Barometer: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a reliable indicator of momentum in the tech sector. Outperformance by SMH reflects strong demand for semiconductors and broader tech health, while underperformance signals potential concerns.
Emerging Concern: Currently, we’re observing the potential development of a rounding top formation in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio. While this formation isn’t confirmed, a breakdown below key support would validate it, signaling broader weakness in the tech sector.
Critical Inflection Point: For now, chip bulls must take control and push this ratio higher to maintain sector strength and prevent a broader pullback in the market. Failure to do so could signal a shift in sentiment and increased vulnerability in tech stocks.
Conclusion:
The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is at a critical juncture, with the potential to dictate near-term momentum in the tech sector. While the bull market remains intact, any confirmed weakness in this ratio could signal broader vulnerability in tech stocks. Will chip bulls step up to defend the sector, or are we on the cusp of a pullback? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the potential rounding top formation, and key support levels)
Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
BYD Co. (BYDDY) AnalysisCompany Overview: BYD Co. (Build Your Dreams), a leader in electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy, has firmly established itself as a global powerhouse in the EV market. Known for its vertically integrated model and diverse vehicle lineup, BYD continues to expand its dominance across key regions, solidifying its position as a top competitor in the EV and clean energy sectors.
Key Developments:
Market Leadership: OTC:BYDDY has surpassed Tesla as the world's largest EV seller, delivering 822,094 vehicles in Q3 2023 compared to Tesla's 435,059 deliveries. This achievement highlights BYD's growing global market share and its ability to meet surging demand, even in a highly competitive industry.
Diverse Product Lineup: BYD’s expansive vehicle range—from affordable compact cars to luxury models—appeals to a broad consumer base, reducing its dependence on a single market segment. This diversification strengthens its resilience and positions the company to capture additional market share across income brackets.
International Expansion: BYD is aggressively entering new markets, including Europe, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, tapping into regions with rising EV adoption rates. This international growth strategy provides BYD with new revenue streams, insulating it from potential regional economic fluctuations.
Rising EV Demand: With global EV adoption continuing to accelerate, BYD benefits from a tailwind of policy support for renewable energy and consumer demand for eco-friendly transportation options.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on BYDDY above the $62.00-$63.00 range, driven by its market leadership, product diversification, and robust international growth strategy.
Upside Potential: Our price target is set at $123.00-$125.00, reflecting the company’s potential to capitalize on its global expansion and strengthen its position as the top EV maker worldwide.
🚗 BYD—Driving the Future of EVs Globally! #ElectricVehicles #BYD #CleanEnergyRevolution
ELI LILLY has at least +50% upside from here.Eli Lilly (LLY) has been trading within a 5-year Channel Up and last week closed below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 06 2023. Despite the bearish pressure of this Bearish Leg since July 15 2024, that last 1W MA50 closing was the previous Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up.
The 1W RSI is on a similar level (just below 40.00) with all previous 4 major bottoms and the common characteristic of all was that the stock broke below the 1W MA50 but managed to keep clear and hold the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), practically the most important Support level of the market.
If you want a confirmed buy entry, you might want to wait for yet another Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD (as it happened on all previous bottoms), otherwise this buy opportunity is good to go for at least +58% from the bottom (minimum rise among those 4 Bullish Legs). Our Target is $1135.
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NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system.
This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release.
Have fun.
This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome.
Get some..
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$HUNPotential "abc zigzag" located after a recent 5 wave to the downside. This abc zig zag could be in the middle of another 5 wave downtred. Regardless, I'm looking for a retracement leg at this location where we just broke a recent support and if this is an abc zigzag within this wave 3 to the downside then maybe we get a wave 4 bounce. Looking for $19.80.
The Rally May Run Out of SteamFundamental Background
According to CNBC, analysts at Morgan Stanley have conducted a study on how the tariff plans announced by Donald Trump during his campaign might affect the U.S. economy and the stock market.
Among the initiatives of the president-elect:
Implementing a general tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods;
Introducing additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods imported from China.
According to Seth Carpenter, the chief global economist at Morgan Stanley, such plans:
May eliminate the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025 and also limit economic growth;
Threaten to reduce U.S. economic growth by 2026;
Will lead to increased inflation;
Will put pressure on the automotive industry, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, and retail sectors. It is expected that the costs to manufacturers will be passed on to consumers.
Consequently, this implies a negative outlook for the U.S. stock market as there is a high likelihood that the tariffs will reduce investment attractiveness and increase the cost of borrowing for companies, negatively impacting the stock market.
Technical Analysis
In 2024, the price formed a broad ascending channel (shown in blue);
Throughout October, the price was "magnetized" to the median line and formed a narrower channel between the Resistance and Support lines;
Against the backdrop of the presidential elections, the price surged to a peak on November 11th, but then returned to the median line.
The line around 20,941 level briefly acted as support, but the price failed to sustain above it. Could the bears' attempt to break away from the median line's pull be more successful?
Cyclical Analysis
Cyclical Chart Predicts a Decline in the Nasdaq Index
Conclusions
While the chart currently shows no clear signs of bearish activity, the facts presented above suggest that the vigorous bull market observed throughout 2024 may run out of steam.
SOFI expect short term rally to continue as 9 swingsSOFI favoring upside within the sequence started from August-2024 low and expect small upside to finish the (3) started from 10-September-2024 low before it should pullback in (4). The next pullback in (4) can provide buying opportunity for final push higher before it should correct big against August-2024 low.
$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT
A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high.
My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.