Stocks
The Big Exit | How One Auditor Walked Away from Super MicroThe Governance Shortfall: Inside Super Micro’s Auditor Crisis
On Wednesday, shares of the high performance server and storage solutions provider faced renewed selling pressure after the unexpected resignation of its audit firm, Ernst & Young LLP(EY)
In July 2024, EY alerted the Audit Committee about several concerns related to governance, transparency, internal controls, and the risk of delayed filing of the company's annual report. In response, the Board formed an independent Special Committee to investigate these matters, engaging Cooley LLP and forensic accounting firm Secretariat Advisors, LLC. Although EY and the Board received preliminary updates on the investigation, the final conclusions have not yet been shared.
The ongoing review raised doubts for EY regarding the company’s adherence to the COSO Framework principles for internal controls. EY questioned the company’s commitment to integrity, the independence of the Audit Committee, and the reliability of management’s and the Audit Committee's representations.
In its resignation letter, EY expressed its inability to rely on these representations or be associated with the company's financial statements, citing legal and professional obligations.
Despite the developments, Super Micro has indicated no expected changes to previously issued financial statements. The company plans to provide a Q1/FY2025 business update next week. However, it’s surprising that management didn’t include preliminary Q1 results in Wednesday's announcement, which could have mitigated the negative impact on its stock.
Super Micro is nearing a Nasdaq deadline to either regain compliance with listing requirements or submit a plan. With the auditor’s unexpected departure, it may be difficult for the company to present a viable plan, raising the risk of a near-term delisting.
This resignation comes at a critical time for Super Micro, as its rapid growth requires substantial working capital. Based on management’s projections, FY2025 cash needs could reach up to $3 billion, likely necessitating additional capital early next year. However, raising funds without audited financials could be challenging, potentially forcing Super Micro to relinquish market share to competitors like Dell Technologies or Hewlett Packard Enterprise.
In my view, EY’s departure increases the likelihood of a prolonged accounting review, which could hinder Super Micro’s ability to secure funding for anticipated growth. Therefore, it is crucial for the company to report strong preliminary Q1/FY2025 results and present a positive outlook next week.
Super Micro Computer’s troubles continue, as its auditor resigned due to concerns over management’s integrity and the Audit Committee's independence. This situation makes it unlikely for the company to achieve compliance with Nasdaq requirements soon, raising the potential for a near-term delisting.
With a need to re-enter the capital markets in early 2025, audited financials remain essential. A failure to secure funding could result in significant market share loss to major competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise.
Given these challenges, the increased risk of prolonged financial review, and a likely near-term delisting, I am reaffirming my "Sell" rating on Super Micro Computer's common shares.
Utilities vs. Uranium: Is the Nuclear Sector Gaining Momentum?Introduction:
Utilities AMEX:XLU have demonstrated strong performance over the past year, often signaling a "risk-off" market environment where investors seek safety. However, the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) and its impact on market dynamics may be challenging this traditional narrative. Despite the evolving landscape, caution is warranted against assuming that "this time is different." A new factor to watch is the growing influence of the nuclear sector, particularly uranium stocks AMEX:URA .
Analysis:
Risk-Off Sentiment vs. New Trends: While utilities' strong performance typically signals a defensive market stance, the increasing focus on nuclear energy is drawing investor interest toward uranium stocks. The shift reflects a potential change in how market participants view traditional safe havens.
URA-to-XLU Ratio: The upward trend in the URA-to-XLU ratio over recent years indicates a growing preference for uranium stocks over traditional utilities. Even after a significant selloff earlier this year, the ratio formed a higher low, signaling resilience and maintaining its long-term uptrend.
Momentum Shift: The key focus now is whether this ratio can make a new high. If the URA-to-XLU ratio breaks above its previous peak, it would suggest strengthening momentum in the nuclear sector, indicating that this trend could have staying power and possibly reflect a shift in market preferences.
Conclusion:
As the market balances between traditional risk-off sectors like utilities and emerging trends in nuclear energy, the URA-to-XLU ratio serves as a critical indicator of shifting investor sentiment. A new high in this ratio would suggest that the nuclear sector's momentum is strengthening, with uranium stocks potentially leading the way. Do you believe this trend will continue? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the URA-to-XLU ratio, the higher low formation, and potential breakout targets)
Tags: #Utilities #Uranium #NuclearEnergy #XLU #URA #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
Rising Inflation Expectations: TIP vs. IEFIntroduction:
With the election concluded, market focus has shifted to bond markets, where recent developments hint at rising inflation expectations. Despite President Trump's campaign emphasis on price control, indicators suggest a shift toward higher inflation. A key metric to monitor is the ratio between Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities AMEX:TIP and 7-10 Year Treasuries $IEF. When (TIP) outperforms NASDAQ:IEF , it signals increasing inflation expectations; conversely, when IEF outperforms, it suggests a decline in inflation expectations.
Analysis:
Inflation Expectations: The TIP-to-IEF ratio is a reliable gauge of the market's inflation outlook. A rising ratio indicates growing inflation concerns, as investors favor TIPs for their inflation protection over traditional Treasuries.
Technical Pattern: Currently, the TIP-to-IEF ratio is breaking out of a descending triangle formation, a continuation pattern that signals the potential for higher inflation expectations. This breakout aligns with a recent surge in interest rates, reflecting heightened inflation concerns in the bond market.
Market Implications: This breakout could be the early stage of a sustained trend toward higher inflation, raising questions about whether the recent interest rate surge is a temporary fluctuation or the beginning of a longer-term shift.
Conclusion:
The bond market is sending signals of rising inflation expectations, as indicated by the breakout in the TIP-to-IEF ratio. This could mark the start of a new phase in the inflation cycle, with potential implications for interest rates and broader market sentiment. Traders should closely monitor this ratio to assess the longevity of the current trend. Do you think inflation expectations are set to rise further? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the TIP-to-IEF ratio, the descending triangle formation, and breakout targets)
Tags: #Inflation #Bonds #Treasuries #TIP #IEF #InterestRates #TechnicalAnalysis
BABA BUY Possibility Alibaba is showing potential for a bullish move as its earnings report approaches. Positive earnings could drive a breakout, especially with momentum building in areas like cloud growth. A Trump victory might boost investor confidence, potentially easing U.S.-China tensions, which could benefit BABA’s stock. With the stock near a support level, this could be a prime entry point if earnings impress.
This setup has strong potential for upside! 📈
BABA BUY Possibility Alibaba is showing potential for a bullish move as its earnings report approaches. Positive earnings could drive a breakout, especially with momentum building in areas like cloud growth. A Trump victory might boost investor confidence, potentially easing U.S.-China tensions, which could benefit BABA’s stock. With the stock near a support level, this could be a prime entry point if earnings impress.
This setup has strong potential for upside! 📈
Apple - A Correction Is Actually Inevitable!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is preparing for a minor cycle correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating five consecutive bullish breaks and retests of the previous all time high, it seems like Apple is one of these stocks which is perfectly following technical analysis. Considering that and the current rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that we will now see a short term correction.
Levels to watch: $190, $240
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
COINBASE Strong buy signal on Inverted Head and ShouldersCoinbase / COIN has formed an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, bottoming at 274.30.
The bullish signal is confirmed as the price not only crossed over the Falling Resistance of the downtrend that started yesterday, but also above the 5minute MA50.
The standard target of such pattern is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Buy and target 306.00.
Previous chart:
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AMAZON: Small pullback expected. Buy the dip.Amazon is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4H timeframe, supported by both the 4H MA50 and the 4H MA200 and almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.804, MACD = 6.500, ADX = 38.620). The 4H RSI is printing a sideways pattern which was a sell signal when the previous bullish waves peaked. The first pulled back to the 0.382 Fib, the second to the 0.5 Fib. Consequently we expect a quick pullback here but technically the dip should be bought on the 0.382 Fib. Our target after that will be near the top of the Channel (TP = 230.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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ETH brief analyseThere are still room for high peak.
This week upward wave-B is retracement of A in 1day chart.
When this B retracement end, which (A)- (B)- (C) wave at 1hour drown.
Big correction wave might begin, like a week.
This is my trading scenario to share with you.
Please always set up stop loss for long run trading.
There is always opportunity in other days.
Agape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) Q3 Results AnalysisAgape ATP Corporation (NASDAQ: ATPC) is progressing through a strategic gestation period, investing in key areas to drive long-term growth. While Q3 2024 saw a slightly higher net loss compared with Q3 2023, these numbers reflect ATPC’s commitment to building its foundation for sustainable growth.
Revenue reached $331,289 for the quarter and $962,971 for the nine months, slightly down year-over-year, as the company realigns its product offerings and marketing strategies to capture new market segments.
A significant contributor to ATPC’s current resilience is its complementary health therapies sector, which showed a revenue increase to $227,249 for the quarter and $688,415 for the year-to-date, reflecting demand for health services that align with wellness trends.
To further diversify, ATPC’s new venture in renewable energy—spearheaded by ATPC Green Energy Sdn. Bhd. (AGE)—positions the company within a high-potential sector committed to environmental sustainability.
Despite the current challenges in its network marketing segment, ATPC’s focus on refining this channel and expanding its product range indicates a proactive approach to overcoming temporary setbacks.
As ATPC completes this foundational phase, its broadening scope in wellness and green energy promises a strengthened and more versatile position in the market, setting the stage for a promising trajectory.
Rising Costs Drive Singaporeans Away from Car OwnershipOwning a car in Singapore has long been associated with substantial financial commitments, but recent developments have further escalated these costs, making vehicle ownership increasingly prohibitive for many residents.
A significant contributor to the rising expenses is the Certificate of Entitlement (COE), a mandatory permit required to own and operate a vehicle in Singapore. COE prices have surged dramatically; as of May 2024, premiums for smaller cars (Category A) reached S$92,700, while those for larger vehicles (Category B) climbed to S$105,689. These figures represent record highs, reflecting intensified competition for limited vehicle quotas.
Beyond the COE, additional taxes such as the Additional Registration Fee (ARF) have been adjusted to further deter car ownership. The ARF is calculated as a percentage of the vehicle's Open Market Value (OMV), with rates escalating for higher-value cars. In February 2023, the government increased ARF rates for luxury vehicles, imposing a tax of up to 320% on cars with an OMV exceeding S$80,000.
Operational costs have also risen. Fuel prices have been affected by global oil market fluctuations, leading to higher expenses at the pump. Additionally, Electronic Road Pricing (ERP) charges, which are levied to manage traffic congestion, have seen periodic adjustments, adding to the daily costs of driving. Parking fees, maintenance, and insurance premiums have similarly trended upwards, contributing to the overall financial burden of car ownership.
These escalating costs have prompted a shift in consumer behaviour. Many Singaporeans are reconsidering the necessity of owning a personal vehicle, opting instead for alternative modes of transportation. Public transport systems, including buses and the Mass Rapid Transit (MRT), offer comprehensive coverage and are viewed as cost-effective alternatives. Additionally, the rise of ride-hailing services provides flexible and convenient options without the long-term financial commitments associated with car ownership.
In this evolving landscape, companies like Ryde Group Limited stand to benefit. Established in 2014, Ryde is a Singapore-based technology company specialising in mobility and quick commerce solutions. Its services include on-demand and scheduled carpooling and ride-hailing options, connecting riders with a network of driver-partners. Additionally, Ryde offers real-time, on-demand, scheduled, and multi-stop parcel delivery services through its driver-partner app. In March 2024, Ryde became the first Singaporean ride-hailing startup to list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol " RYDE ", raising US$12 million through its initial public offering.
By providing cost-effective and convenient alternatives to car ownership, Ryde is well-positioned to cater to individuals seeking to navigate Singapore's transportation network without incurring substantial expenses.
SasanSeifi| Can It Hit the $300 Zone?Hey there, ✌ Examining the 4-day chart for NASDAQ:TSLA , we can see a slight upward movement from the $140 price range. After multiple attempts to break above, the price encountered resistance around $265, resulting in a negative reaction and subsequent correction. Currently, the price hovers around the $248 level. My medium- and long-term outlook remains bullish, with an expectation that the price could rise toward the $300 supply zone and reach targets between $320 and $350.
One possible scenario is that, after a consolidation phase, if Tesla holds within the critical support range of $230 to $200, it could see significant growth toward the mentioned targets. Preserving these key support levels is crucial. However, if the price breaks below the $200 level and consolidates there, this scenario would lose validity, possibly leading to further correction.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊