BlackRock ($BLK): Eyeing $914–$874 for ReversalOnce again, our analysis has proven accurate. Following our initial call, NYSE:BLK rallied by 15%, only to retrace by 12%, erasing nearly all gains from the past three months. This serves as a valuable reminder that protecting capital often outweighs chasing setups with lower conviction.
Currently, NYSE:BLK is nearing the level we’ve been monitoring, with tomorrow’s earnings report adding some short-term uncertainty and excitement. Despite this, we believe the correction isn’t yet complete. It’s too early to place an order or even set a limit. We will wait for the earnings release and the subsequent market reaction to reassess the situation.
Our key focus remains on the $914–$874 zone, where we anticipate a potential reversal and the completion of wave (iv).
Once wave (iv) concludes, we expect NYSE:BLK to aim for the previously highlighted targets in our October analysis: $1,057–$1,342. Based on the anticipated completion of wave (iv), the next target for the larger wave ((iii)) aligns with the $1,100–$1,243 range.
Stocks
Tesla Is Driving Bitcoin Price HigherWe talked about a strong positive correlation between Tesla and Bitcoin in the past and now that Tesla is extending strongly higher, Bitcoin is following, of course. Both of them slowed down recently, but notice that Tesla made only a three-wave ABC corrective decline in wave (4) that can now resume its bullish trend for wave (5), so Bitcoin could follow sooner or later.
Basic Impulsive Bullish Pattern should be made by five waves. It shows that Tesla and Bitcoin could be trading in wave (4) correction before a continuation higher for wave (5).
Can DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Hit 171? Hey, trading family
DJT from Trump Media & Technology Group is hovering around $42 right now. If we can rally it up to $62.50 and break out of that triangle, we're in for an epic run. We're talking potential jumps to $106, then $142, and if the stars align, we could see $171! With all the buzz around the inauguration, this could be DJT's moment to shine.
If you're as excited about this potential breakout as I am, please give this post a boost, leave some love in the comments, or share it around! And if you want to chat more about this or need more trading insights, feel free to DM me or check out my profile for more.
Let's watch this one together and see if we can hit those numbers!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.14.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 14
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Pullbacks here and there but will get bought up.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here...again.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
AMAZON SUPPORT CLUSTER|LONG|
✅AMAZON is trading in an
Uptrend and the stock is
Now making a local correction
But will soon hit a support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support lines
Around the 213.83$ area
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Xometry (XMTR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Xometry NASDAQ:XMTR is a leading marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting buyers and suppliers through an AI-powered platform. The company's platform spans a broad range of industries, offering services such as CNC machining, 3D printing, injection molding, and sheet metal fabrication.
Key Growth Drivers
International Expansion:
Global Scaling Efforts:
Xometry is expanding its reach beyond the U.S., targeting international markets where demand for custom manufacturing is rising due to increasing industrialization and digital transformation.
The company’s global presence positions it to tap into diverse manufacturing needs across Europe, Asia, and beyond, creating new revenue streams.
AI-Enabled Platform:
Smart Manufacturing:
Xometry’s AI-powered platform connects customers to suppliers, optimizing processes such as quoting, production management, and quality control. This provides a competitive edge in providing fast, reliable, and cost-efficient services.
The platform’s automation capabilities drive operational efficiency, creating a seamless manufacturing experience for users.
Focus on High-Growth Sectors:
CNC Machining and 3D Printing:
These high-demand services, which are critical in industries like aerospace, automotive, and consumer electronics, provide Xometry with a solid foundation for long-term growth.
With growing demand for additive manufacturing (3D printing) and precision machining, Xometry is well-positioned to benefit from these trends.
Market Positioning and Tailwinds
Industry Leadership:
As a key player in the custom manufacturing space, Xometry benefits from being a one-stop-shop for a wide range of industries, differentiating itself from competitors with a diverse service offering.
Customization Trend:
The growing trend towards personalized products and on-demand manufacturing is fueling the need for Xometry's solutions, positioning the company to scale rapidly in an evolving marketplace.
Strategic Partnerships and Acquisition Potential:
Xometry's ability to acquire new companies and form strategic alliances enhances its market leadership and expands its technological capabilities, especially in automation and AI integration.
Financial and Stock Outlook
Bullish Momentum Above $34.00-$35.00:
Given the company’s strong growth drivers, international expansion, and technological advancements, Xometry is poised for continued success in the custom manufacturing space.
Upside Target: $68.00-$70.00, reflecting confidence in its scalability, innovative platform, and growing market presence.
Investor Confidence:
Xometry's unique market position, technological capabilities, and focus on high-growth sectors make it an attractive investment, appealing to those seeking exposure to the future of manufacturing.
Conclusion
Xometry’s AI-enabled platform and focus on high-growth manufacturing sectors provide a strong foundation for future growth. As the company expands globally and continues to innovate, it remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for custom, on-demand manufacturing services.
📈 Recommendation: Bullish on XMTR above $34.00-$35.00, targeting $68.00-$70.00.
How Do Traders Identify Overbought and Oversold Stocks?How Do Traders Identify Overbought and Oversold Stocks?
Identifying overbought and oversold stocks is a key part of technical analysis for traders. These conditions occur when a market’s price moves to extremes—either too high or too low—compared to its recent performance. By recognising these signals, traders can spot potential turning points in the market. This article explores what overbought and oversold stocks are, how to find them using technical indicators, and the risks involved in trading them.
What Is an Oversold Stock?
Oversold stocks are those that have experienced a significant price decline, often beyond what might seem reasonable based on their underlying value. This often happens when market sentiment is overly negative, even if the company’s fundamentals remain solid.
Several factors can lead to a stock becoming oversold. For instance, bad news about a company, such as a missed earnings report or legal troubles, can cause investors to sell off shares quickly. Broader market events, like economic downturns or changes in industry regulations, can also drive prices down across the board. Sometimes, even strong stocks get caught up in these waves of negativity.
The concept of overselling isn’t just about price falling, though—it’s about the potential for a reversal. When stocks fall too fast, too far compared to their actual financial performance or growth potential, this is where traders look for opportunities, analysing whether the market is poised for a potential recovery.
What Is an Overbought Stock?
Overbought stocks are those that have risen sharply in price, often to a point where they may no longer reflect the stock’s true value. When a stock is considered overbought, it means there’s been a lot of buying activity, pushing the price higher than what its fundamentals might justify. This often happens when market sentiment is extremely positive, driving demand even when shares may already be trading at high levels.
Several factors can lead to an overbought market. Sometimes, positive news about a company—such as strong earnings, new product launches, or positive analyst reports—can spark a wave of buying. Market-wide optimism, particularly during bullish phases, can also lead to an overbought stock market. Speculative buying, where traders hope to capitalise on short-term price movements, can further inflate the price.
Being overbought doesn’t necessarily mean the stock is due for an immediate correction, but it does suggest that the price may have gone too high, too quickly. The most overbought stocks are often viewed as being in a vulnerable position for a potential pullback, especially if there isn’t enough underlying support from the company’s financial health or growth prospects. Traders consider this an opportunity to sell stocks at potentially good prices.
How Traders Find Oversold and Overbought Stocks with Indicators
Traders use technical indicators to determine whether a stock might be undervalued (oversold) or overvalued (overbought) based on its price action. These indicators allow traders to assess whether a price movement has gone too far in one direction.
Technical indicators are tools that use historical price and volume data to measure things like price momentum and trend strength. When it comes to finding overbought or oversold stocks, momentum oscillators play a key role.
These oscillators measure the speed and magnitude at which an asset’s price is changing. If a market has been rising or falling too quickly, it could be a sign that it’s either overbought or oversold. Also, if a stock has moved too far away from its typical price range, it signals a possible reversal. Traders rely on indicators to determine when the price may be at an extreme, helping them find entry or exit points based on market conditions.
Now, let’s break down some of the most popular indicators used for this purpose.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most widely used overbought and oversold indicators. The RSI is a momentum indicator that gauges how fast and how much a stock's price is moving. It gives traders a visual signal of when a stock may have been pushed too far in either direction.
RSI compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses to assess whether a stock is overbought or oversold. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used to evaluate whether a stock is moving too fast in either direction. If the RSI falls below 30, the stock is considered oversold, suggesting it could be undervalued and due for a bounce. If the RSI rises above 70, the stock is seen as in an overbought zone, potentially signalling a price correction on the horizon.
While RSI can be helpful, it’s essential to look at it in the context of the broader market. For example, in a strong bull market, a stock might remain overbought for an extended period. Similarly, during a downturn, stocks can stay oversold longer than expected.
Stochastic Oscillator
The Stochastic Oscillator is another momentum indicator. It compares a stock's closing price to its price range over a certain period. The idea behind this indicator is that in an uptrend, prices will close near their highs, and in a downtrend, prices will close near their lows.
The Stochastic Oscillator helps traders identify when a stock’s price has potentially moved too far in either direction relative to its recent range. It’s similar in principle to the RSI, except the Stochastic is considered more useful for detecting shorter-term reversals.
It’s especially useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions because it moves within a range — between 0 and 100 — similar to the RSI. The Stochastic Oscillator is made up of two lines: %K, which is the primary line, and %D, a moving average of %K. When these lines are above 80, the stock is considered overbought. When they are below 20, it’s considered oversold.
Given its sensitivity, it’s common to see the Stochastic signals a market is overextended for a longer period when there’s a strong trend. This makes it more prone to false signals than the RSI or MACD indicator and typically more useful for trading pullbacks in a broader trend.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is another popular overbought and oversold indicator. Unlike the RSI, which focuses primarily on oversold vs overbought levels, MACD is more about trend strength and its direction. It shows the relationship between two moving averages of an asset’s price and can help identify potential shifts in momentum.
The MACD consists of two lines: the MACD line (which is the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages) and the signal line (the 9-day moving average of the MACD line). When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it indicates a potential bullish reversal. When it crosses below, it signals a bearish reversal.
Since the lines are based on the difference between two EMAs, it’s also possible to gauge an overbought/oversold stock by examining the distance of the lines between their current values and the 0 midpoint. If the lines are far away from 0 and their historical averages, it could indicate a stock is overbought or oversold.
However, generally speaking, MACD is less about pinpointing specific overbought/oversold levels and more about identifying when momentum is shifting. A rapid crossover of the lines, especially after a strong move, can signal that a reversal might be near.
Considerations When Using Momentum Indicators
While momentum indicators like the RSI and MACD can be useful for spotting overextended stocks, there are a couple of key points to keep in mind when using these oversold and overbought indicators:
Divergences
A divergence occurs when the price moves in the opposite direction to the indicator. For example, if a stock is making higher highs but the indicator is making lower highs, this can signal weakening momentum and a possible reversal. Divergences offer another layer of insight, so it's worth paying attention to them alongside other factors.
Timeframes
Different timeframes can produce different results. An indicator that shows a stock is oversold on a daily chart might not show the same on a weekly chart. It's important to choose the right timeframe for your trading strategy, whether short-term or long-term. Generally, many traders take a top-down approach, allowing higher timeframe signals to better inform your analysis on lower timeframes.
Risks of Trading Oversold and Overbought Stocks
Trading oversold and overbought stocks can be appealing, as these conditions often suggest a potential reversal in price. However, there are some risks to consider when relying on these signals. A few important points to bear in mind include:
- False Signals: Just because a market is oversold or overbought doesn’t guarantee a reversal. Prices can continue to decline or rise despite what momentum indicators suggest. Traders need to be cautious about assuming that every extreme condition will result in a price correction.
- Extended Trends: In strong bullish or bearish trends, a stock can remain in overbought or oversold territory for longer than expected. This can lead to premature trades, where investors get in too early or expect a reversal that doesn’t come for a while.
- Market Sentiment: Sometimes, external factors like news events or broader economic conditions can overpower technical indicators. If there’s overwhelming optimism or pessimism in the market, a stock may continue in its overbought or oversold condition for longer than anticipated.
- Lack of Confirmation: Relying on a single indicator can be risky. It’s common to use multiple indicators or combine technical and fundamental analysis for a more balanced view. There may be no other supporting signals when a stock is oversold, meaning the trade carries higher risk.
The Bottom Line
Understanding overbought and oversold stocks, along with the indicators used to identify them, can help traders spot potential market opportunities. While these conditions may signal a reversal, it’s important to recognise there is no one best overbought and oversold indicator and use multiple tools for confirmation. Ready to apply these insights? Open an FXOpen account today to access more than 700 markets, including a huge range of stock CFDs, and four advanced trading platforms.
FAQ
What Is Overbought and Oversold?
Overbought and oversold are terms used to describe extreme price movements in markets. A stock is considered overbought when its price has risen rapidly and above its underlying value, which potentially makes it overvalued. It’s oversold when the price has fallen sharply and below its underlying value, which makes it undervalued. These conditions can signal that a price reversal may be coming, though they don’t guarantee it.
What Does It Mean for a Stock to Be Overbought?
The overbought stock meaning refers to a stock that has increased quickly and is potentially trading higher than its actual value. This often occurs due to strong demand or market optimism. Overbought conditions might signal that the price is at risk of a pullback.
What Does It Mean When a Stock Is Oversold?
The oversold stock meaning refers to a stock that has dropped significantly and may be below its true value. This often happens when there’s been excessive selling, and it could suggest that its price is due for a rebound.
How Can You Find Oversold Stocks?
Traders often use technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to find the most oversold stocks. An RSI reading below 30 typically suggests that a stock is oversold and may present a buying opportunity. Other indicators, like the Stochastic Oscillator, are also commonly used to identify oversold conditions.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.13.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 14
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 PPI m/m: 0.4% (prev: 0.4%)
📅 Wed Jan 15
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.3%)
📊 CPI m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.3%)
📊 CPI y/y: 2.9% (prev: 2.7%)
📊 Empire State Manufacturing Index: -0.3 (prev: 0.2%)
⏰ 10:30am
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.0M
📅 Thu Jan 16
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%)
📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%)
📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K)
📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -7.0 (prev: -16.4)
📅 Fri Jan 17
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Building Permits: 1.46M (prev: 1.49M)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
On a gap up, we will hold and run higher.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
The markets will get a few days of a bullish run.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
"Market Corrections Ahead of the Presidential Inauguration."Corrections are a part of the stock market, signaling moments of weakness and opportunity. Here's a breakdown of the current market decline levels, ranging from the recent 5% pullback to the potential 20% drop that defines a bear market. These are the levels that I will be watching to let me know the momentum of this current shorter term downtrend.
Historical Context:
Over the past 50 years:
5-10% declines occur about 3-4 times per year on average.
10-20% corrections happen roughly every 2-3 years.
Full bear markets (20%+ declines) are rarer but significant, averaging one every 6-8 years.
This chart visualizes the current levels, helping traders and investors understand where we stand in historical context and where the market could potentially head.
Always remember that as hard as some corrections and declines can be, they all create buying opportunities for long term investors.
PGHL searching for a breakout.Procter & Gamble Health Limited is one of India’s largest VMS Companies manufacturing and marketing over-the-counter products, vitamins, minerals, and supplements products for a healthy lifestyle and improved quality of life.
Procter & Gamble Health Ltd. CMP is 5258.5. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge and Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 40.1).
Entry can be taken after closing above 5264. Targets in the stock will be 5333 and 5477. The long-term target in the stock will be 5565 and 5600+. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 5156 or 4956 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Delta Corp forming a bottom. Delta Corp. Ltd. (India) engages in the business of gaming and entertainment. The firm owns and manages casinos in India. It operates through the following segments: Gaming, Online Skill Gaming, and Hospitality.
Delta Corp. Ltd. (India) CMP is 118.93. The Positive aspects of the company are Moderate Valuation (P.E. = 20.5), Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, The Negative aspects of the company are Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects and De-growth in Revenue and Profit.
Entry can be taken after closing above 125.25. Targets in the stock will be 125, 129, 131 and 141. The long-term target in the stock will be 149 and 156. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 108 or 104 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 demonstrated a robust rally, exceeding a notable support level at 5872. This upward movement, however, resulted in a significant decline of the index to a critical support level at 5870 and lower lows. The volatility associated with this upward trend has introduced instability by destabilizing the bullish trend by flagging a new downward target marked at Outer Index Dip 5645. However, it is crucial to acknowledge that encountering subsequent support levels of Mean Sup 5770 may trigger a substantial rally, potentially leading to the Mean Res at 5920, before plunging again to drop toward the targeted level of 5645.
What is an ETF? | The Modern Investor’s Secret WeaponWhy ETFs Are Like a Financial Swiss Army Knife ?
Warren Buffett famously stated that 90% of his wife’s inheritance would go into one simple investment: a low cost S&P 500 index fund, likely an ETF (Exchange Traded Fund). ETFs, which now manage over $13 trillion in assets worldwide, combine the benefits of diversification and simplicity by bundling various stocks, bonds, or other assets into a single investment product.
1. Understanding ETFs
ETFs allow you to invest in a collection of assets that often track specific indices, sectors, or asset classes. Key benefits include:
- Diversification: Gain broad exposure without picking individual stocks.
- Liquidity: Trade ETFs like stocks throughout the trading day.
- Transparency: Daily disclosure of holdings ensures clarity about your investments.
Passive investing with ETFs has surged in popularity over active strategies due to lower fees and higher transparency
2. The Impact of Fees
While ETFs are cost effective, they do charge fees (expense ratios).Even small differences in fees can compound significantly over time, reducing long term returns:
- A 0.05% fee might cost $6K over 20 years on a $100K investment growing at 10% annually.
- A 1.00% fee could cost $112K over the same period.
Thus, keeping costs low is critical, especially for long-term investors.
What qualifies as “low cost”?
- Under 0.10%: Very low, often for funds tracking major indices.
- 0.10%–0.25%: Still affordable, typically for niche or strategy-focused ETFs.
- Above 0.50%: High; these funds require careful evaluation to justify their costs.
3. Leading ETF Providers
Major ETF providers dominate the industry:
- BlackRock (iShares): $3.2 trillion AUM, 452 funds, 0.30% average fees.
- Vanguard: $3 trillion AUM, 86 funds, 0.09% average fees, known for reinvesting profits to lower costs.
- State Street (SPDR): $1.5 trillion AUM, 158 funds, 0.27% average fees, creator of the first US-listed ETF (SPY)
4. Top ETFs by Popularity
Some ETFs hold significant assets due to their simplicity, reliability, and low fees :
- S&P 500 funds (SPY, VOO, IVV): Track the largest US companies
- Total US Market (VTI): Covers small, mid, and large-cap US stocks
- Thematic Funds (VUG, VTV): Focus on growth or value stocks
- Nasdaq 100 (QQQ): Heavy on tech companies like Apple and Microsoft
- Bond ETFs (BND, AGG): Represent the US investment-grade bond market
These ETFs serve as essential building blocks for diversified portfolios
5. Concentration in US Markets
US indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are increasingly dominated by a handful of companies:
- The top 10 stocks make up 39% of SPY and 52% of QQQ.
- Companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon account for 34% of the S&P 500.
While this concentration can amplify gains in bull markets, it also increases vulnerability during downturns.
6. Exploring Specialized ETFs
Beyond broad-market funds, ETFs can target specific regions, sectors, or investment strategies. Choosing the right ETF mix depends on your financial goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. For simplicity, Warren Buffett recommends sticking to an S&P 500 index fund, while globally diversified options like VT are also available.
Final Takeaway
ETFs have revolutionized investing with their low costs, transparency, and accessibility. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned investor, understanding what's inside the ETF and how it aligns with your strategy is key to building a successful portfolio.
Intel - This Support Has To Hold!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is retesting cucial support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping an incredible -60% over the past couple of months, we are finally seeing some stabilization at the current support on Intel. It is also quite likely, that we will see another short covering rally, which would perfectly line up with a rejection away from the support area.
Levels to watch: $20, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Market Volatility: The Trade That Taught Me PatienceEarly on, I thought I could outsmart market volatility. I’d jump into trades during big moves, hoping to catch the wave. But one day, it caught me instead.
The Day Volatility Got Me
I remember trading during a news event. The market spiked in my direction, and I got excited. I moved my stop-loss higher to give the trade “room to run.” Then, out of nowhere, the market reversed. My gains disappeared, and I ended up with a bigger loss than I could afford.
That trade taught me that volatility is unpredictable—and dangerous if you’re not prepared.
What Volatility Did to Me
-Tempted me to chase moves: I couldn’t resist jumping in, even when it wasn’t smart.
-Shook my confidence: The wild swings made me doubt my plan.
-Made me emotional: I panicked when things didn’t go as expected.
How I Fixed It
I stopped trading during news events unless it fit my strategy. I started using stop-losses and stuck to them, no matter what. And I reminded myself that no single trade is worth blowing my account.
What I Learned
-Volatility is part of trading—embrace it, but don’t let it control you.
-A solid strategy and risk management are your best defenses.
-Patience pays off when the market gets wild.
Struggling with market volatility? DM me—I’ve been there and can help. I also have a webinar this Sunday to help you tackle this challenge and stay grounded.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Trading Without a Plan: The Rollercoaster I Couldn’t Get OffWhen I started trading, I thought I didn’t need a plan. I’d jump into trades, figuring I’d make it work as I went along. For a while, I got lucky. But soon, luck ran out.
The Day I Realized I Needed a Plan
It hit me after a week of back-to-back losses. Every win I’d made was wiped out, and I didn’t understand why. I wasn’t following any rules—I was just hoping each trade would work out. And when it didn’t, I felt completely lost.
What Trading Without a Plan Did to Me
-My results were inconsistent: Some days were great, but most weren’t.
-I had no risk management: I’d risk too much on one trade and too little on another.
-I felt out of control: Without a plan, I was relying on gut feelings, and they failed me.
How I Fixed It
I decided to start over. I created a simple plan, back-tested it, and promised to stick to it. I set rules for how much I’d risk and reminded myself that small, consistent wins would add up over time.
What I Learned
-A plan gives you control and consistency.
-Risk management is key—it protects your account when trades don’t go your way.
-Trading without a plan isn’t trading. It’s gambling.
If you’re struggling with inconsistency or a lack of direction, send me a DM—I’ve been there and can help. I also have a webinar this Sunday to help you build a strategy and stay consistent.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Trading Under Pressure: When Emotions Take OverThere was a time when the pressure of trading got to me. The market moved fast, and I felt like I had to act quickly or miss out. Fear, greed, and panic ruled my decisions instead of logic.
The Day Emotions Took Over
I remember one trade vividly. I jumped in because I didn’t want to miss what looked like a sure win. It turned against me, and instead of cutting my losses, I froze. I held on, hoping it would turn around—it didn’t.
By the end of the day, I wasn’t just frustrated with the loss. I was frustrated with myself.
What Emotional Trading Did to Me
-Clouded my thinking: Fear stopped me from taking good trades.
-Chased losses: Greed pushed me into setups that weren’t part of my plan.
-Made everything feel heavier: Every loss hit harder, and I felt stuck.
How I Turned It Around
I started journaling my trades to identify patterns. When I felt fear or greed, I’d take a moment to breathe and refocus. Slowly, I learned to trust my strategy, not my emotions.
What I Learned
-Trading is as much mental as it is technical.
-Reacting emotionally doesn’t work—it’s a fast track to mistakes.
-Staying calm and focused leads to better decisions.
If trading feels overwhelming or your emotions are taking control, you’re not alone. DM me—I’ve been there and can help. I also have a webinar this Sunday that will help you tackle this challenge.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
SP500: Watch This Key Support LevelStrong US jobs data was released today at 14:30 CET, showing 256K new jobs versus the expected 164K, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. This stronger-than-expected data could lead to more risk-off sentiment, as 97% of speculators now believe the Fed will hold rates steady at its next meeting. As a result, with stocks pulling back and the USD strengthening, even cryptocurrencies could face more weakness.
Remember, Powell delivered a hawkish cut back in December, when they noted that there can be less cuts in 2025 due to strong economic projections for 2025 which can bring infaltion back up so they must be carefull with rate decision. And this data today is reason why FED may stay on old, rahter than cut and why then stocks can resume even low, which have been in corrective territory since the last Fed meeting in December.The key focus now is identifying the next major support level for stocks. I believe that once stocks turn back to the upside, it could open opportunities across other assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Looking at the S&P 500 futures contract, there has been a slow but steady recovery since early November, following Trump’s win in the US elections. However, the market may attempt to liquidate latecomers who joined the stock rally after Trump’s victory. The 5,700 level on the SP500 futures stands out as a critical support zone, acting as a “stop-loss” level for many positioned in the well-known “Trump trade.” If the price reaches this area, more liquidations could occur, potentially clearing the way for a stronger bounce. Markets rarely move straight up that will profit everyone; liquidations often happen on the way higher. There is no easy money.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the sharp drop from all-time highs looks like an incomplete correction. The current sideways movement likely forms wave B, suggesting that wave C could lead to more liquidations toward the 5,800 level, which I see as a very important support zone.If this is indeed is a triangle in wave B, keep in mind that moves out of triangles are final in the sequence, meaning any drop could be limited before the market turns higher. So, I still believe risk-on sentiment will return, but this may not happen until Trump officially returns to office and market positioning settles for 2025.
Regarding Bitcoin, I see the 85,000–87,000 area as a very interesting support zone, where more downside could be limited.
Grega
Bill.com (BILL) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Bill.com NYSE:BILL is a leading provider of cloud-based financial workflow automation software tailored to small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs). Serving nearly 500,000 SMBs, the company has established itself as a key enabler of digital transformation in financial operations, streamlining accounts payable (AP) and accounts receivable (AR) processes.
Key Growth Catalysts
Expanding SMB Market Share:
SMB Focus: BILL addresses a vast and underserved SMB market, where the demand for automation and efficiency is rapidly increasing.
As SMBs adopt digital solutions, BILL’s platform is positioned to capture significant market share by improving cash flow management and operational efficiency.
AI-Powered Innovation:
Recent enhancements integrate AI capabilities to streamline invoice processing, fraud detection, and payment approvals.
These features drive customer retention, reduce churn, and open new revenue opportunities.
Strategic Leadership Additions:
Mary Kay Bowman (EVP, Payments): A seasoned leader with a strong payments background, Bowman’s expertise enhances BILL’s ability to scale its payments business.
Bobbie Grafeld (Chief People Officer): Grafeld’s focus on talent acquisition and organizational culture will support BILL’s growth initiatives and workforce scalability.
Competitive Positioning
End-to-End Platform:
BILL’s platform simplifies financial workflows, making it indispensable for SMBs looking to reduce manual work and enhance financial visibility.
Its robust integration with major accounting software platforms (e.g., QuickBooks, Xero) strengthens its competitive moat.
Recurring Revenue Model:
BILL benefits from a high proportion of recurring revenue, driven by subscription fees and transaction volumes, ensuring stable cash flow.
Scalability:
The platform’s ability to grow with customers—from small startups to larger SMBs—positions BILL as a long-term partner in financial automation.
Financial and Stock Outlook
Bullish Momentum Above $72.00-$73.00:
BILL's innovation, market penetration, and strategic hires provide a robust foundation for continued growth.
Upside Target: $130.00-$135.00, reflecting optimism about its ability to expand market share and improve margins.
Investor Appeal:
BILL’s focus on AI-driven efficiency and its expanding SMB footprint make it attractive to growth-focused investors.
A debt-light balance sheet and consistent revenue growth highlight its financial strength.
Conclusion
Bill.com is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for financial automation among SMBs. Its AI-driven platform, strategic leadership, and strong market penetration underscore its growth potential.
📈 Recommendation: Bullish on BILL above $72.00-$73.00, targeting $130.00-$135.00.
Quantum Corporation: Major Levels to WatchGood morning, trading family!
Quantum Corporation is at a crucial point:
Above $34.50: A breakout could push us to $50 or even higher.
Below $29: The downside opens up to the $6–$12 range.
Stay sharp as these levels could define the next big move.
This Sunday, I’m hosting a Master Your Mind Traders Class to help you build a stronger trading mindset and strategy. Seats are limited—send me a DM for details!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Micron Technology: Bearish or Ready to Break Out?Good morning, trading family!
Micron (MU) is at an important spot right now:
If we move lower, I’m watching $97 and $96 as key levels, with potential for more downside.
If we hold above $100, there’s room to climb to $102, $103, and $104. A break above $104 could mean a smoother ride higher.
I’m also hosting a Master Your Mind Traders Class this Sunday to help you refine your skills and mindset. Want to join? Send me a message for details.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See