SQ - Building "Block"Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After being stuck in an accumulation phase for almost two years, SQ has finally broken above its range.
The shift in momentum is now confirmed in favor of the bulls, with the price trading within the rising channel marked in blue.
🏹 As SQ retests the lower blue trendline, I will be looking for trend-following long positions, targeting the $200 round number.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Stocks
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024
📅 Fri Jan 10
⏰ 8:30am
💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%)
👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 164K (prev: 227K)
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%)
⏰ 10:00am
📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: 74.0 (prev: 74.0)
📈 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: 2.8%
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
The markets are very sensitive right now with the pause. I wouldn't bet that it holds this gap for long.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside, and then markets will need the weekend to digest.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
NETFLIX: testing the 1D MA50. Buy?Netflix is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.757, MACD = 4.950, ADX = 42.375) as the December correction is testing now the 1D MA50. Technically this has been the trend's support since mid August 2024. The 2 year Channel Up offers useful conclusions here. Each of its past January months (2023 and 2024) saw a surge of +38% from their closest low. If this is repeated again, then the price will test the Channel's top. Aim for that +38% rise (TP = 1,200).
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Nvidia - Shocking Everybody Again In 2025!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will rally another +40% in 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For most people, it seems absolutely counterintuitive to witness another parabolic blow off rally on Nvidia and that's exactly why we will see such moves during 2025. Market structure just supports this outlook since Nvidia is still overall bullish and has some room towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
My Crazy Trading Story and How I Fixed ItHey everyone! I want to tell you about this one time when trading made me feel like I was on a wild rollercoaster. I made some money with a trade, and I got so excited that I thought I could do it again, but even bigger. But guess what? I lost a lot of that money back because I was too greedy.
I know you guys have felt this too:
- Fear: When your trade starts going down, and you get scared, selling it too early. Then, you see it going up the next day, and you're like, "Oh no, why did I do that?"
- Greed: When you win big, you want more, right? But sometimes, that makes you keep a trade too long or do another one without thinking, and then you lose.
-Worry: Those nights where you can't stop thinking about your trades. You're either scared to lose more or afraid you'll miss out if you don't trade. It's so hard to decide what to do.
It's super frustrating when you mess up because you're letting your feelings control your trades. But I found a cool trick that helped me a lot:
My Trick: The Chill-Out Break
When I start feeling all those big emotions - like greed or worry - I set a timer for 15 minutes. I go outside, take a walk, or play with my dog. Anything to get my mind off trading for a bit. When I come back, I'm calmer, and I can think better about what to do next. It's like taking a timeout in a game, but for your brain.
This little break has stopped me from making bad choices just because I was feeling too much. It's not just about making more money; it's about being happy while trading.
Have you ever felt like this when you're trading? What do you do to calm down? Let's talk about it! Ever felt this way? Send me a DM, I'm more than happy to help or even join my webinar this Sunday.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Telsa, Bullish Opportunity: Wait for the Pullback first.TESLA / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The market is showing strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
1- First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
2- All-time high
3- The one standard deviation target is shown in the chart.
Why Wait?
Entering after a pullback ensures you're trading with confirmation and reduces the risk of chasing the market. This approach not only minimizes drawdowns but also increases the probability of catching the trend at a stronger position.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
C3.AI Is it the new PALANTIR?Last time we made an analysis on C3.ai (AI) (September 06 2024, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal that not only did it successfully hit our $28.50 Target but also broke above the 1.5 year Channel Down:
The pattern that has emerged and looks to be what might place the strongest pressure moving on, is a Channel Up, starting from he December 2022 bottom. By early February we should also have formed the first Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame and that alone can apply high buying pressure.
Technically, the next obstacle for the stock to overcome is the Resistance Zone from the 2021 consolidation, which priced the previous High of June 2023. If the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds and pushes the price above the Zone, we expect an aggressive push towards potentially the All Time High (ATH) of the stock, much like Palantir did on its own break-out. A more modest technical Target before that however, would be $130.00.
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#NAS100USD 4HNAS100USD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating indecision in the market. This pattern reflects a balance between buyers and sellers, with the potential for a breakout in either direction.
Forecast:
A breakout on either side of the triangle will determine the next directional move. Traders are advised to wait for confirmation before entering a position.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the resistance or below the support of the triangle.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed beyond the opposite side of the breakout to manage risk.
Take Profit: Target measured moves based on the height of the triangle, projected from the breakout point.
Market Sentiment:
The symmetrical triangle suggests neutral sentiment, with the potential for significant movement depending on the breakout direction.
NVDIA First 1hour Golden Cross since September targeting $180.NVDIA has completed almost a -10% decline following the formation of a 1hour Golden Cross.
That was the first Golden Cross on the 1hour timeframe since September 26th 2024.
Both patterns peaked on this formation and then declined by almost -10%.
The September fractal then made a +30% rebound.
The current fractal is supported by both the 1hour MA200 and a Rising Support of Higher Lows.
We are expecting a similar rise to follow. Buy and target $180.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
PALANTIR: 1st test of the 1D MA50 since August. Is it a BUY?Palantir has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.953, MACD = 2.150, ADX = 40.007) as it almost touched the 1D MA50 today for the first time in 5 months. The last time it was under it was on the August 5th low (which was supported by the 1D MA200) and is practically the trendline that helped the stock go parabolic inside the curved channel you see on the chart. Even if the 1D MA50 marginally breaks, the trend will stay bullish as long as the RSI S1 Zone supports. Until it breaks, we will stay bullish on PLTR, expecting the parabolic channel to make at least one more bullish wave, aiming for a standard +60% rise (TP = 100.00).
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The Share Price of Moderna (MRNA) Surged Over 10% in a DayThe Share Price of Moderna (MRNA) Surged Over 10% in a Day
As shown by the chart of pharmaceutical company Moderna (MRNA):
→ 2024 was an extremely difficult year, with the price falling by approximately 60%;
→ however, in early 2025, we can see signs of renewed strength.
During yesterday’s session, Moderna’s (MRNA) share price rose by more than 10%, following news of the first death in the US from H5N1 bird flu. According to Barron’s, Moderna is one of the few pharmaceutical companies currently developing a vaccine for H5N1 bird flu, which is spreading rapidly across North America.
This brings back memories of 2020, when MRNA’s share price surged with a significant bullish gap on news of the COVID-19 vaccine trials.
Interestingly, the 2024 low is near the lower boundary of the 2020 gap, around the $37 level. From a technical analysis perspective, this “gap closure” could be viewed as a bullish sign, supported by yesterday’s price action.
Additionally:
→ there has been a breakout above the descending trend channel that dominated the end of 2024;
→ it is possible that price movements may form a new ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ further growth may be hindered by the psychological resistance level of $50.
According to TipRanks, analysts remain cautious about Moderna’s prospects:
→ only 4 out of 19 analysts recommend buying MRNA shares;
→ the average 12-month price target for MRNA is $62.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.08.2025🔮
📅 Wed Jan 8
⏰ 8:15am
🧑🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (prev: 146K)
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Unemployment Claims: 214K (prev: 211K)
🎙️ FOMC Member Waller Speaks
⏰ 10:30am
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.8M (prev: -1.2M)
⏰ 2:00pm
📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
Slight rally higher and then chop out.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside and then faced by some old-fashioned bearishness.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDIA: Is this post-CES correction THE buy opportunity of 2025?NVDIA turned from bullish to marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.243, MACD = 1.190, ADX = 26.850) as despite yesterday's big rise ahead of the CES (Consumer Electronics Show) event, it got sold straight after the opening today. CEO Jensen Huang unveiled the firm's next-generation of gaming chips and pledged the "ChatGPT moment for general robotics is just around the corner".
Fundamentals aside, the technical price action is clear. NVDIA reclaimed the 1D MA50, a key level during both early 2024 and 2023 rallies. Technically we can argue that this is the best opportunity to buy in 2025, despite being so early. The reason is that both in 2024 and 2023, the lowest level to buy was again in early January. In both instances the stock started a rally and never saw lower prices again.
Of course this is to a larget extend due to the long term pattern, which is a Channel Up since the October 2022 bottom. The sequences followed inside this pattern have been identical and so far October 2024 and January 2025 shares the same characteristics: keeping the 1D MA200 intact as the main support and the 1D MA50 contact being a buy signal. The post January rallies scored over a +100% increase, lasting around 95 days. Consequently, if the pattern continues to hold, we can aim for 250.00 by the end of March 2025.
Today's correction may very well be the best buy opportunity for NVDIA for the whole year.
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How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times
But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid?
This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time.
Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions:
1.Company: What does the business do?
2.Economics: How does it generate revenue?
3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides?
4.Risks: What challenges could it face?
5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal?
6.Valuation: Is the price justified?
1.What’s the Business?
- Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need?
- Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings.
- Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history.
2.How Do They Make Money?
- Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky.
- Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from?
- Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends.
3.What Could Go Right?
- Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy?
-Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches.
-Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership.
4. What Could Go Wrong?
-Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations?
-Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks.
- Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble.
5.What Do the Numbers Say?
- Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements.
- Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability.
- Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential.
6.Is the Price Right?
- Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards.
-Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists.
-Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value.
By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation.
What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
AMD Bullish break-out above the 3-month Resistance.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) opened (and closed) yesterday above the 3-month Channel Down pattern that started after the October 09 2024 High and that is technically a strong bullish break-out signal.
The previous break-out in August 2024, eventually reached the 0.786 Fibonacci extension, which was the October 09 2024 High, before declining again.
Even though we are long-term bullish on AMD, as it even kept clear the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is its multi-month Support, we expect it to reach at least $160.00 (just below the 0.786 Fib) on the short-term.
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MICROSTRATEGY a pyramid ponzi.Understanding the situation with MSTR can be quite complex.
Many people recognize that MicroStrategy has been issuing convertible bonds at a 0% interest rate to purchase Bitcoin. This strategy tends to drive up both Bitcoin's price and the value of MSTR shares.
As a result, the scheme appears to inflate continuously, placing the risk on bondholders. The only way for MSTR's stock price to keep rising is through the issuance of increasingly larger amounts of convertible debt; otherwise, the entire pyramid would collapse.
It's understandable why Michael Saylor seems to be focusing more on shilling MSTR bonds instead of Bitcoin itself.
Why would institutions invest in MSTR's convertible bonds at 0%?
Many believe it's because they anticipate being able to convert these bonds into MSTR stock in five years at a predetermined price, potentially around $675, effectively giving them a premium-free call option. However, there is a hidden cost to this strategy: inflation. At first glance, this might seem like a poor investment choice—if one expects MSTR's value to rise, it would make more sense to buy the shares now rather than commit funds to a higher price in the future.
Why would anyone engage in such a massive financial manoeuvre involving BILLIONS?
The truth is, those purchasing the bonds are ACTUALLY indifferent to the rising stock value! Their primary interest lies in capitalizing on price fluctuations. Ultimately, a convertible bond functions as a CALL OPTION; thus, as the MSTR stock price experiences greater volatility, the premium on the call increases. Recently the value of these convertible bonds has surged by 170%. This is precisely why investors are unconcerned about interest rates or the actual conversion of the bonds—they have ZERO desire to convert! The reason? Issuing new shares would only dilute their holdings!
All the rewards with none of the risks!
But what happens if MSTR collapses? Bondholders will seize all the Bitcoin MSTR possesses, leaving shareholders with nothing but scraps!
Can you fathom how deep this MSTR Ponzi scheme really is?
The more you explore, the more mental acrobatics you need to perform to grasp the situation!
Many believe that bond buyers are naive, but in reality, they are the sharpest players in the game, reaping the benefits without facing the risks! In the current climate, that’s the nature of volatility! It doesn’t matter if MSTR’s stock price fluctuates; they’re insulated from the fallout. Who do you think is betting against MSTR? It’s the bondholders, and their positions are secure!
Ultimately, for someone to profit, someone else must incur a loss, and it won’t be the bondholders. This means that regular shareholders are poised for significant losses, as the primary force driving MSTR’s stock price is its own volatility. Once that volatility dissipates, we could see MSTR plummet below $100 a share! All those crypto enthusiasts will be left reeling, wondering how MSTR could possibly decline while Bitcoin’s value rises!!!
What’s the main effect of these convertible bonds?
They create volatility in the stock price, leading to wild swings up and down, just as we’re currently witnessing.
What occurs when the volatility subsides?
The stock price will plummet!
Many people are misdirecting their focus on metrics, technical analysis, and listening to Michael Saylor's commentary on CNBC. Instead, they should be paying attention to the volatility of MSTR's stock price, as its decline will directly impact the stock's value.
Don't be misled; even if MSTR falls below $300, it will still be overpriced and could potentially drop to under $100 per share due to the convertible bonds scheme. Claims from MSTR valuation sites that each share is backed by a certain amount of Bitcoin are misleading; the reality is that the shares are not backed by anything.
The BONDHOLDERS are the ones who possess all the Bitcoin.
There’s no such thing as a free lunch—someone has to bear the costs, and in MSTR's case, that burden will fall on the shareholders. You certainly don’t want to be left holding the bag when the music stops.
It is important to maintain a clear perspective regarding cryptocurrencies; they should not be viewed as traditional investments, but rather as something more comparable to gambling.
While you may have the advantage of being an expert poker player, the only way to truly win is to cash out your profits.
Otherwise, you risk losing on MSTR and in the crypto market.
Cleanspark (CLNK) may have started a short buyCleanspark (CLNK) may have started a short buy.
I think this asset is a good buy with the following data.
Entry 1: $9.79 SL 1: $8.97 TP 1: $12.97
Entry 2 ( late entry): $10.37 SL 2: $9.45 TP 2: $13.38.
I have a trade from $9.79.
Manage your trade and risk.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.07.2025🔮
📅 Tue Jan 7
⏰ 10:00am
📈 ISM Services PMI: 53.5 (prev: 52.1)
📋 JOLTS Job Openings: 7.73M (prev: 7.74M)
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
If we gap above here, it’s going to bait a lot of traders by a drop.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside and then will be faced by some old-fashioned bearishness.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Will cause a chop as people try hedging slightly but keep an upside thesis as people hedge extremely fast.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Coca-Cola (KO): Is Risk-to-Reward Favorable Now?We have been filled on our second entry on $KO.
Coca-Cola is now back trading within its range, and with the first bullish divergence on the RSI appearing, we believe that despite the current weak chart structure, the risk-to-reward ratio and dividend yield make this a worthwhile opportunity.
As a traditionally slow-moving stock, Coca-Cola could gain some momentum if market focus shifts back from risk-on assets to safer, dividend-yielding stocks like $KO. This transition could provide the stock with room to grow.
Key to the next move will be reclaiming the resistance at $65.14. As long as $59 holds as support, we remain optimistic. With our stop loss in place, this trade remains secure, and we are well-positioned for any developments.
We are also working on improving how past analyzed assets are displayed for easier tracking. 🫡