Bitcoin has recently touched its weekly Fair Value GapBitcoin (BTC) Market Update
Bitcoin has recently touched its weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is now showing upward momentum. This price behavior is aligning with a potential transition from an Intermediate Reversion Level (IRL) to an Extended Reversion Level (ERL), suggesting the formation of a structured bullish model.
Given the current positive market sentiment surrounding BTC and the fact that the asset has already absorbed significant sell-side liquidity, the potential for further upward movement remains strong. There is a possibility that the market could aim for the 110K level in the near term if bullish conditions persist.
Investors and traders are advised to monitor the market closely as this structure develops, considering both technical indicators and macroeconomic influences to make informed decisions.
DYOR!
Stocks
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 20, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Bear Market Concerns Emerge
Veteran investor David Kotok warns of a potential bear market, projecting that tariffs could reduce S&P 500 earnings per share from $260 to $230 over the next year. This outlook suggests a possible decline of the index to the 4,000–4,400 range, with elevated Treasury yields further pressuring valuations.
🚢 Retail Inventory Challenges Amid Tariff Uncertainty
The Port of Los Angeles reports potential lower inventories for retailers due to ongoing U.S.-China tariff uncertainties. Despite a temporary 90-day tariff reduction, complexities in forecasting cargo volumes persist, potentially leading to fewer product choices and rising prices for consumers.
🛍️ Retail Earnings Spotlight
Major retailers, including Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), are set to report earnings today. Investors will closely monitor these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid economic uncertainties.
💬 Federal Reserve Officials Scheduled to Speak
Federal Reserve officials, including Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin and Boston Fed President Susan Collins, are scheduled to speak today. Their remarks will be scrutinized for indications of future monetary policy directions.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, May 20:
10:00 AM ET: Labor Force Characteristics of Foreign-born Workers (Annual 2024)
10:00 AM ET: State Job Openings and Labor Turnover for March 2025
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
etoro (new listing)stock listing of ETORO to NASDAQ, I've heard of this company. Most of the time when a company that most people have heard of is listed there is a higher chance of the company doing well. As of right now the price is only in the red since the date of listing. The listing price was supposed to be around $46-$50 so officially the stock market, as usual, is not showing the truth; based on being compared to cryptocurrency prices. The listing shows that the price started at a peak which was probably after a bunch of pre-market trades happened and bumped the price up. That was not the true entry IPO list price.
SAME - VCP (10W 25/5 3T)IDX:SAME - VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (80)
9. 9. EPS Growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: +852.30%
b. Quarterly YoY: +570.99%
b. TTM YoY: -3.34%
c. Annual YoY: -3.36%
(-)
1. Breakout with huge volume but long wick
Note: I will sell half if hit first Stop Loss, and sell remaining on the last stop loss on first cheat buy
Ending Diagonal Complete? Bounce Toward 1.60 AheadBTAI has likely completed an impulsive 5-wave decline followed by an ABC corrective structure. The final leg (v) of the downtrend appears to have ended near $1.35, where price action shows a reversal signal.
Currently, price is attempting to recover and may retest the descending trendline and previous structure zone near $1.60 — a level that served as strong support previously and now acts as resistance.
If the price breaks this zone with volume confirmation, it could trigger a short-term bullish breakout. Until then, this is considered a corrective rally within the broader downtrend.
Key Levels:
Support: $1.35
Resistance: $1.60
Target: $1.60 (potential +16%)
Conclusion:
A short-term bounce is unfolding. Watch $1.60 for reaction — rejection or breakout will determine the next leg.
LYFT – High Tight Flag Setup Post Earnings BreakoutNASDAQ:LYFT – High Tight Flag Breakout Setup Post Earnings
LYFT has exploded on earnings and is now setting up a textbook high tight flag — one of my favorite continuation patterns.
🔹 Earnings Surge → Flag Formation
NASDAQ:LYFT followed a similar path to NYSE:HIMS , which ran to the 16s after earnings.
Since the earnings pop, it has spent 6 days consolidating above the 9 EMA — strong bullish sign.
Today, it opened down $0.50, but buyers stepped in immediately, defending support.
🔹 High Tight Flag Setup
This is a classic high tight flag — strong initial move followed by tight sideways consolidation.
The longer it stays in this tight range, the stronger the breakout can be.
🔹 My Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Starter Position: Considering a starter position here, just above the 9 EMA, to catch the early move.
2️⃣ Confirmation Add: Full size on a clean breakout over the $17 level.
3️⃣ Stop Loss: Tight stop just below the 9 EMA — risk defined, reward potential is high.
🔹 Why This Setup is Compelling:
Strong earnings run + tight flag = perfect continuation setup.
Similar setup worked on NYSE:HIMS — earnings pop followed by a massive run.
Buyers stepping in at the first sign of weakness shows bullish strength.
⚠️ Risk Management: Start small, add on confirmation — always respect your stops.
Analysing the Spike in Volatility on the Walmart (WMT) ChartAnalysing the Spike in Volatility on the Walmart (WMT) Share Price Chart
On Thursday, the US retail giant reported its quarterly results — which turned out to be broadly better than expected. While total revenue was roughly in line with analysts’ forecasts, earnings per share came in higher at $0.61 versus the expected $0.57.
At the same time, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon stated on Thursday:
"We will do everything we can to keep our prices as low as possible. But given the scale of the tariffs, even at reduced levels, we won't be able to absorb all the pressure, considering the reality of tight retail margins."
This statement may have raised concerns among market participants about the company’s future earnings, contributing to Friday’s drop in the share price to $92.
It also drew the attention of the US President. On Saturday, Donald Trump said that Walmart (WMT) should “swallow the tariffs” instead of blaming them and raising prices.
In response, Walmart reiterated that it will keep prices as low as possible for as long as it can — which has always been the company’s approach.
Technical Analysis of the WMT Stock Price Chart
Looking at the broader market context, we can see that price fluctuations formed a narrowing triangle in late April — a sign that buyers and sellers had reached some agreement around a fair value of approximately $95.50.
In early May, sentiment shifted in favour of the bulls, with this level acting as support (marked by an arrow).
The earnings release triggered a spike in volatility — the ATR indicator is now at a one-month high. The Walmart stock price extremes seen at the end of last week suggest two key levels, roughly equidistant from the $95.50 axis:
→ resistance around $99 (reinforced by the psychological level of $100);
→ support around $92.
Given the above, it is reasonable to suggest that once the market has digested the news, price movements may calm down again. In that case, we may well see another narrowing triangle form on the WMT chart — slightly above the previous one.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Urgent Update.Gold Urgent Update
Gold has recently touched its 4-hour bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is now moving upward. Additionally, there is existing liquidity from previous days positioned above the current price level, which further increases the probability of a continued bullish move.
There is a high likelihood that the market could rise towards the price levels of 3250, 3260, and possibly even 3265. These levels should be closely monitored, as they represent potential short-term targets based on the current price action and market structure.
At this stage, it is advised to avoid entering any selling (short) positions unless a clear and confirmed bearish signal is observed. The market sentiment remains decisively bullish, and until any bearish reversal patterns are confirmed, the upward trend should be respected.
Please conduct your own research (DYOR) and practice proper risk management when trading towards the mentioned target levels.
Unity Software (U) – Strong Earnings and Bullish FlowsFundamental Overview
Unity Software has been consolidating within a defined range for approximately a year following a significant decline in its stock price. Despite previous challenges, the company has consistently surprised investors with its earnings over the past year, maintaining strong performance. Historically, Unity tends to perform well during the May–June period. Looking ahead, projections suggest a decline in net margin, though net income is expected to increase, reinforcing the company's strong execution.
Additionally, Unity has exceeded expectations for four consecutive earnings reports, underscoring its resilience and growth trajectory.
Technical Outlook
- Momentum & Price Action: The stock exhibits solid momentum and is currently situated in a buy zone.
- Options Flow: Bullish sentiment is evident in options activity, signaling strong institutional interest.
- Analyst Ratings:
- Needham analyst Bernie McTernan maintains a Buy rating but lowers the price target from $33 to $30.
- Barclays analyst Ross Sandler maintains an Equal-Weight rating and lowers the price target from $26 to $25.
Given the current trends, bullish options flows, and favorable seasonality, Unity Software appears poised to test $25 in the upcoming weeks, particularly if momentum continues to drive price action.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 19–23, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 19–23, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📉 Moody's Downgrades U.S. Credit Rating
Moody's has downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1, citing concerns over rising national debt and interest payment ratios. This move aligns Moody's with previous downgrades by Fitch and S&P Global, potentially impacting investor sentiment and increasing market volatility.
🛍️ Retail Earnings in Focus
Major U.S. retailers, including Home Depot ( NYSE:HD ), Lowe’s ( NYSE:LOW ), Target ( NYSE:TGT ), TJX Companies ( NYSE:TJX ), Ross Stores ( NASDAQ:ROST ), and Ralph Lauren ( NYSE:RL ), are set to report earnings this week. Investors will be closely monitoring these reports for insights into consumer spending patterns amid ongoing tariff concerns.
💬 Federal Reserve Officials Scheduled to Speak
Several Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams, are scheduled to speak this week. Their remarks will be scrutinized for indications of future monetary policy directions, especially in light of recent economic data and market developments.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 19:
8:30 AM ET: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic speaks.
8:45 AM ET: Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson and New York Fed President John Williams speak.
10:00 AM ET: U.S. Leading Economic Indicators for April.
📅 Tuesday, May 20:
8:30 AM ET: Building Permits and Housing Starts for April.
10:00 AM ET: Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari speaks.
📅 Wednesday, May 21:
10:00 AM ET: Existing Home Sales for April.
10:30 AM ET: EIA Crude Oil Inventory Report.
📅 Thursday, May 22:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims.
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing and Services PMI for May.
📅 Friday, May 23:
10:00 AM ET: New Home Sales for April.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
btc . recap . w3 . maymon to eager . wait mon to show its hand - cw!
. early LONG compound because of the bullish outlook
- tp2 108462
tue didn't ride momentum - blind bullish
. tp1 HIT
. missed SHORT at 10pm (UTC+2)
- should have traded the momentum of mon looking to form support during the week later . for more compound LONG
wed mid of range . cw
. no trade zone
thu
. waiting for run of aLow during ny
. compound LONG - 101485
. tp1 HIT
fri didnt catch enough upward momentum
. tp1 HIT
. last limit order for bullish continuation . tpo - 102862.5
wknd
. tp1 for weekly LONG idea finally hit
. duration 5d 22h
. +4.33%
conclusion :
trade what you see, go with momentum, but have a narrative.
outlook :
america downgraded from AAA to AA+ . People will turn hardcore bearish, once the price starts falling. this could be the trigger to find the long awaited drop - while having retail call out a bearmarket . massive potential here, to both sides. wOpen and monday full data (while keeping an close eye on tpo and footprint charts), are key .
GOLD Has Shown A Significant Bullish Move!!Gold Market Analysis
Over the past week, gold has shown a significant bullish move by touching its weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and closing a candle above it. This price action serves as a strong indication that the market is currently exhibiting bullish momentum. However, it is important to note that the sustainability of this bullish trend will be confirmed only through future market developments and price behavior.
As of now, our analysis suggests that gold, after revisiting and respecting the weekly bullish FVG, is trending upward. Looking ahead, we anticipate a minor retracement in the short term. This pullback could provide a healthy opportunity for the market to gather momentum before making another move upward. Ideally, we expect the price to retrace slightly and re-enter the highlighted yellow zone. Within this zone, we will be watching for a Market Structure Shift (MSS), which would act as our confirmation signal to consider entering a long position.
Once confirmation is received through MSS or similar price action cues, our strategy would be to target the liquidity zones situated above the current price level. It is also worth mentioning that the market has already cleared liquidity on the sell-side, which further strengthens the bullish case. Based on current technical indications and liquidity structure, there is a high probability that gold could reach as high as $3,250 in the upcoming sessions.
That said, market conditions can evolve rapidly, and it is essential to monitor price action closely. Traders and investors are strongly advised to conduct their own research (DYOR) and await clear confirmations before making any trading decisions. Staying vigilant and informed will be key to capitalizing on potential bullish movements in the gold market.
Uber (UBER, 1W) Tightening Structure Ready for BreakoutOn the weekly chart, UBER has formed a strong ascending wedge / tightening channel, showing clear higher lows and repeated rejections near upper resistance. The price is now approaching the apex of the pattern, with a possible breakout setup above $82.42.
If confirmed, the projected measured move (H = $27.67) aligns with Fibonacci extension targets at:
– $89.86 (1.272)
– $93.74 (1.414)
– $99.32 (1.618)
Technical structure:
– Price held support twice, confirming bullish intent
– Structure tightening — breakout likely on sustained volume
– Bullish divergence forming on the weekly stochastic oscillator
– A breakout above $82.42 activates the next impulse wave
– Volume is stable, with no signs of heavy distribution
Fundamentals:
Uber has reached a major financial milestone: consistent profitability and positive EBITDA growth. The company continues to expand across mobility and delivery, with a focus on cost efficiency, platform monetization, and retention. Increased user activity and growing institutional interest support a bullish mid-term thesis. Uber is increasingly seen as a core holding in next-gen tech and services portfolios.
The technical structure is approaching resolution. A confirmed breakout above $82.42 opens the door for a move to $89.86 → $93.74 → $99.32. With bullish structure and improving fundamentals, Uber is positioned for the next leg higher. This is a setup worth watching.
TRUK - VCP (118W 66/27 3T)IDX:TRUK - VCP
(+):
1. Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. There is nothing good with the fundamental
Nvidia —Resistance Turns Support Support Confirmed—ATH 260-194This week closes as a full green candle. A rising window or gap was left along the way. This is a bullish development.
The full green candle comes after a rounded bottom and double-bottom long-term. Coming from a resistance level turned strong long-term support.
Keeping it simple, NVDA has been rising and the chart shows potential for additional growth. There can be retraces and corrections; Any retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-up, rebuy and reload.
In the case of a strong correction, always, we will end up with a higher low compared to the 7-April weekly session. This session marks the bottom of the correction.
A higher low means the bullish structure remains intact. A bullish structure means a bullish trend. A bullish trend means rising prices which will end up with a new All-Time High in late 2025.
Two new All-Time Highs possible and highly probable in 2025. 194 (mid-term) & 260 (long-term).
Thank you for reading.
Support boost and follow.
Namaste.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 16, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The S&P 500 Index showed a steady upward trend during this week's trading session, successfully reaching a key target at the Outer Index Rally level of 5955. However, it's important to note the significant downward trend due to letter completion, which could lead to a decline toward the Mean Support level of 5828. Additionally, there is a possibility of further drops to the Mean Support level of 5661. On the other hand, the index may continue to rise from its current level, potentially advancing toward the Inner Currency Rally target set at 6073.
Premier Explosives is exploding on charts. Premier Explosives Ltd. engages in the manufacture of explosives, detonators, propellants, services, and other traded items. Its product portfolio includes defense products and commercial explosives. Premier Explosives Ltd. Closing price is 493.50.
The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Low Debt, Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, RSI indicating price strength and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 83.7), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 496 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 530, 583 and 605. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 633 and 673. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 429 or 405 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Netflix - The bulls just never stop!Netflix - NASDAQ:NFLX - is insanely bullish now:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
The entire stock market basically collapsed during April. Meanwhile, Netflix is creating new all time highs with a +20% parabolic bullish candle. Looking at the chart, this strength is very likely to continue even more until Netflix will (again) retest the upper resistance trendline.
Levels to watch: $1.400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)