Stocks
Weekly BTC forecastThis is only my current analysis relying on assumption.
There is still wide open area where it could hit later.
This is only analysis to give you an idea for helping your scenario trading.
Please remember always make the trading plan then initiate placing the position as your scenario meet your trading system AND confirmation. also please set up the SL.
MSTR: Is there any value here?MicroStrategy Incorporated ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has a current BTC balance of 252,220, with plans released during the October ‘24 earnings call to issue both $21 billion in equity and $21 billion in debt to finance further BTC purchases through 2026.
The question becomes, is there value here? If the price of MSTR becomes increasingly dependent on the price of BTC, then why not just buy the underlying asset? The latter can likely already be answered. The price is entirely dependent. As noted in the company’s earnings call and outlined in the excerpt from the CoinGeek article below, MSTR’s software business has taken a backseat as the company has completely shifted its focus toward its BTC plan.
“On October 30, MicroStrategy released its Q3 financial report card, revealing a sharp decline in revenue from its (formerly) core business intelligence software business, while expenses and net losses saw significant increases. Software revenue for the three months ending September 30 fell 10.3% year-on-year, while the rising costs of that revenue resulted in a net loss of $18.5 million.”
During the call, Executive Chairman Michael Saylor insisted that MSTR is not purely a BTC proxy. Looking at the price performance for the past year, you can see that MSTR has outperformed BTC by a multiple greater than 4. As markets tend to do, this is likely the pricing in of future acquisitions. Unlike ETPs (or people, for that matter), MSTR has placed itself in a unique position, with the ability to utilize the various avenues of capital markets to increase its holdings. While this is fundamentally opportunistic, the increase in shares dilutes existing shareholder ownership, reducing their proportional share of MSTR's overall equity. However, given the long-term potential appreciation of BTC, the value of the underlying asset may offset this dilution, ultimately providing greater returns despite the increase in outstanding shares. This is no different than any other growth-oriented company, albeit Apple, NVIDIA, etc., actually produces something. If the price of the underlying asset goes down, this further decreases the BTC value per share, leading to a potential point of clarity for shareholders asking themselves, “why not just own the underlying asset?”
Looking ahead, I do think MSTR provides a unique opportunity. Inevitably, given the scenario described above, the stock will continue to face elevated volatility (something that the company has noted as a positive). Given future declines in the price of the underlying asset (presumably in 2026 and 2027), this allows MSTR to accumulate more BTC, reducing its cost basis and optimistically allowing investors to enjoy increased volatility to the upside yet again.
Tesla $TSLA - Stocks versus OptionsBased on the Average True Range (ATR) of Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock, it can easily move $10 up or down in one day (see Green candle from today). Based on a move of $10 per share, 100 shares = $1000 gain or loss in a day. To buy 100 shares of TSLA today, it would cost about $23,000. Now consider doing the same thing with Long-term options. 1 call option gives you the option to buy 100 shares for a set price for a set period of time. A Tesla call option with strike price of $220 that expires in June of 2025 would cost about $5,425. The same $10 move in price would result in 1 option = $1000 x Delta %. Delta on this contract is .6629 or 66.3%. Thus 1 option = $1000 x 66.3% = $663 gain or loss in a day. The question is: Do you think Tesla will move $10 higher than the current price before June of next year? Or do you anticipate that TSLA will move $50 higher in the next 'year' (100 shares = $5,000 or 1 option = $3,315? Disclaimer: option Delta changes with price. There is risk associated with investing, especially with options. Also, Elon Musk's social media can impact the stock price.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index has exhibited significant strength by successfully filling the projected gap, as detailed in the S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis dated November 1. This upward movement has facilitated a substantial rebound, as the index has retested both the Outer Index Rally level of 5861 and the Key Resistance level of 5865. Furthermore, the index has completed the Outer Index Rally threshold 6000, suggesting a promising potential for additional increases toward Outer Index Rallies at 6123, 6233, and 6418. Nevertheless, it is essential to recognize that achieving the Outer Index Rally 6000 level may prompt a downward price movement towards the Mean Support level of 5929 before progressing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend
SWING IDEA - WIPROWipro , one of India's leading information technology companies, is displaying technical signals that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
550 Zone Breakout : The 550 level has been a significant resistance zone, and the price has recently broken out above this level, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Cup and Handle Pattern Breakout : The price has broken out of a cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern that suggests potential for further upward movement.
Bullish Breakthrough Candle on Daily Timeframe : The formation of a bullish breakthrough candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and further supports the bullish case.
Breakout of 2+ Year Consolidation Zone : The stock has broken out of a long consolidation phase lasting over two years, signaling a potential new bullish trend.
Support on 50 and 200 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is finding support at both the 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages (EMA), reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing strong support levels.
Target - 640 // 725
Stoploss - weekly close below 490
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - KEC INTLKEC International , a key player in the infrastructure sector, is presenting a swing trade opportunity with strong technical indicators.
Reasons are listed below :
950 Zone Tested Multiple Times : The price has tested the 950 resistance zone multiple times, and it is now breaking out, signaling potential for an upward move.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart shows strong buying momentum, indicating a possible continuation of the upward trend.
Spike in Volumes : Increased trading volume supports the breakout, confirming strong market participation and investor interest in the stock.
All-Time High Close : The stock closed at an all-time high, which is a bullish signal and suggests potential for further gains.
Target - 1070
Stoploss - daily close below 880
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - INDIGO PAINTSIndigo Paints , known for its innovative product offerings in the Indian paint industry, is displaying promising technical indicators for a swing trade.
Reason are listed below :
1600-1650 Resistance Zone : This significant resistance level, tested multiple times, is now possibly ready for a breakout, suggesting upward momentum.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The strong bullish candle reinforces buyer interest and strength.
Breaking 2.5+ Years of Consolidation : The stock is moving out of a prolonged consolidation phase, hinting at a potential long-term trend change.
Trading Above 50 and 100 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : This indicates sustained bullish strength, with price action above critical moving averages.
Target - 1950 // 2250
Stoploss - weekly close below 1400
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - SHEELA FOAMSheela Foam , a key player in the Indian mattress and foam market, presents a potential swing trading setup.
Reasons are listed below :
800-850 Support Zone : This strong support level is holding, indicating possible resistance to further downside.
Bullish Hammer Candle on Weekly Timeframe : This pattern suggests a reversal of bearish momentum and renewed buying interest.
Gradual Rise in Volumes : Increasing volumes support the potential for a sustained upward move, reflecting growing investor interest.
Target - 1060 // 1290
Stoploss - weekly close below 780
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Barrick Gold (GOLD): Up 33%—Time to Take Profits?What a rise by Barrick Gold since we bought some shares at the end of February 2024. Patience pays off most of the time, and so it has with Barrick Gold. We are now up over 33% with this stock, and we’re very happy with this last-second entry before the stock took off. Gold continues to rise, and Barrick Gold is following suit. However, after every rise, a setback—whether major or minor—will happen sooner or later, and we’re definitely not getting greedy here.
We’re going to take our first profit now and move our stop loss to break even. If we decide to reenter with a second position, we’ll let you know with a new limit.
For now, we’re just enjoying this setup and the profit. Let’s keep this going 🔥
Target Reached on GMETV Followers, TV has taken down and removed quite a few of my posts/videos due to my QR tag being embedded in them. I was then subsequently suspended for a few days. So, I wanted to come back and just update you on a few of those posts that were removed. GME was one of them. GME reached the W-pattern target and has entered a large liquidity block. I have decided to sell here a few days ago for some nice profit. My signal has not flashed red yet, but I wanted to capture those nice gainz while I had them.
I implemented my new indicator into my trading process in September of this year. Since that time we have not had a single loss recorded on our stock tracker! ZERO! None. All wins. Currently, we are in floating profit on all stock trades and killing it! Congrats to those who are following me in these trades.
Our average time in each stock trade is around 17 days. This is exactly where I want to be in order to give you all the time to enter the trades and exit as I post my signals.
To tell you the truth, we are doing much better than I imagined and are even beating our rate of profit on the crypto tracker! We have 12 exits for 12 wins, and the current trades will all exit in profit, equalling a 100% win rate over the last two months.
I knew I had stumbled across something remarkable when I accidentally found my indicator combo while studying the charts. I am super excited about what the future holds for all of us!
Today, I have raised the stops on all of my stock entries. I feel we may be starting to get a bit over-heated. I want to capture those profits while I have them.
Best,
Stew
COINBASE Ahead of an enormous bullish break-out.In recent times, we have focused on Coinbase's (COIN) long-term potential on higher time-frames (1W) like the one below (September 09) where we gave a great buy signal on the absolute bottom of the 2-year Channel Up:
On today's analysis we look into the 1D time-frame as Coinbase is about to test its longest 2024 Resistance, the Lower Highs trend-line that started after the March 25 2024 High. With added bullish pressure by the 1D MACD Bullish Cross formed 2 days ago, if this Lower Highs trend-line breaks, we can technically have a very aggressive rally.
The September 06 bottom can be seen as the start of the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which has a standard Target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is just above $340. As a result, if the Lower Highs trend-line breaks, you can take additional buys to target $340.
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Are Silver Miners Poised to Outperform Gold Miners?Introduction:
At the start of 2024, we were strong advocates for precious metals, and this strategy is paying off. Gold is consistently reaching new all-time highs, while silver is surging to levels not seen in over twelve years, finally capturing public attention. However, during a genuine bull run in precious metals, it's crucial to watch for mining stocks to outperform the spot prices of the metals. The lesser-known secret among gold enthusiasts is that investing in mining stocks often yields higher returns than holding physical metals.
Analysis:
Spot Prices vs. Mining Stocks: While gold and silver spot prices are making impressive gains, the true potential lies in mining stocks. Historically, mining stocks outperform physical metals during strong bull runs because of their leveraged exposure to rising metal prices.
Silver Outperformance: We focus on the potential for silver to outperform gold, especially as silver has been gaining momentum. In this context, it's key to monitor the performance of silver miners (SIL) compared to gold miners (GDX).
Broadening Wedge Pattern: Currently, the ratio between SIL and GDX is forming a broadening wedge pattern. A breakout from this pattern could signal a surge in silver mining stocks, indicating a shift where silver miners may start to outshine their gold counterparts.
Conclusion:
As precious metals continue their strong performance, the focus shifts to mining stocks, where the potential for higher returns lies. A breakout in the SIL-to-GDX ratio could mark the beginning of a new phase, with silver miners taking the lead. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on this ratio as a key indicator of the next big move in the precious metals sector. What are your thoughts on this potential shift? Share your insights below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SIL-to-GDX ratio, the broadening wedge pattern, and potential breakout targets)
Tags: #Gold #Silver #MiningStocks #PreciousMetals #SIL #GDX #TechnicalAnalysis
FBTC: Break Out After 12 Months of Sideways - DCA TradeAll the white lines are buys. My weighted average price per share would be somewhere in the middle. I Dollar Cost Averaged into the position from basically the launch of the product on exchanges earlier this year, Say March 24. The trade looks to finally be playing out.
Long Term Hold position for me, and will add on higher timeframe (1 Day, 3 Day, Weekly) oversold conditions outside a normal standard deviation.
Fun time to be a trader at the moment.
PALANTIR: Extremely overbought. High probability sell to $40.Palantir is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 79.771, MACD = 3.330, ADX = 33.075), even the 1W RSI is on extreme levels (80.789) and that alone would be a good enough reason to sell. The picture gets even clearer on the 1W timeframe where the price has almost reached the top of the 2 year Channel Up, having completed a +241.84% rise from the January 2nd 2024 bottom and almost +172.53% rise from the August 5th bottom. Those are the symmetrical rally levels from the December 27th 2022 and May 1st 2023 Lows respectively. The result on that HH rejection was a test of the 0.382 Fibonacci level. That is our target (TP = 40.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Tesla - This Will Be A Wild Ride!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is deciding about its future in the next 8 days:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
During the next 8 days - until this monthly candle closes - we will see whether or not Tesla will enter the next major bullrun. Currently Tesla is trading at the important triangle breakout level after dropping about -20% this month so far. The future of Tesla will depend on this breakout.
Levels to watch: $160, $200, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Energy Stock Surge? ENI S.P.A Bullish Breakout IncomingENI S.P.A, a leading global oil company, is currently trading at $14.18 , demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the weekly chart. Our proprietary W.ARITAs indicator reveals a significant buildup in bullish momentum, suggesting an imminent breakout from the well-defined inverted head and shoulders pattern .
This pattern, widely recognized as a reversal signal, aligns with ENI’s recent strategic moves, including its expansion in Alaska and increased shareholder rewards through a $2 billion share buyback . These developments underscore the company’s robust financial health and its commitment to growth and investor value, which are likely to fuel further stock appreciation.
Key Technical Levels:
Order Box (OB) Target 1: $18.05 - $19.62
Order Box (OB) Target 2: $23.18 - $24.29
Given the current bullish setup, these targets reflect potential zones for profit-taking, with the first Order Box (OB Target 1) offering a conservative target range and OB Target 2 representing an extended bullish goal.
With supportive corporate actions and technical strength, ENI is well-positioned for growth, making it a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure in the energy sector. Keep an eye on the weekly close to confirm the breakout from the inverted head and shoulders pattern for confirmation of further upside potential.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult a financial advisor to assess your individual risk tolerance and objectives before making any investment decisions.
FinNifty Support and Resistance Levels For 8th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #FinNifty, designed to help traders make informed decisions.
These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points.
Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence.
Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
Sensex Support and Resistance Levels For 8th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #Sensex, designed to help traders make informed decisions.
These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points.
Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence.
Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.