Raj Rayon : {"Potential for Best investment for 2024";}
We are at the Biggest Picture available as per the data;
Price has formed a Wave 1 which is an Impulse Wave In the Upward direction;
Wave 2 is a downward 3-Wave-Simple-Correction Structure, retracing Wave 1 by less than a 100% which suffices the Laws of Wave as per the Elliott Wave Theory and now.
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Let's talk about the most interesting part The Most Awaited Wave 3 is expected to come out, showing the move which is the reason why we trade,
According to the Elliot Wave Theory the Projection of Wave 3 is at least 161.80% of the Wave 1.
Let's see on the charts the Extension Levels as per the Best Leading Indicactor Fibonacci Extension;
Yo !!!!
Now Last Month that's in August 24, Price has closed above the EMA and hence I see a Buying Momentum in the Monthly chart,
Looking at the Promotor Holding of this company which is more than 90% only confirms my belief in the future growth of the company.
So we have an Overall Target Projection of Rs. 158.03 {Derived as per Fibonacci Extension}
Now Let's look at the other side the {downside/ stop loss/ risk against the reward}
Stocks
NETFLIX starting the 2nd bullish leg of its expansion phase.Netflix (NFLX) has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the August 20 High and is on the exact same level where during all previous Bullish Legs of the 2-year Channel Up, it ended the consolidation and moved to the 2nd rally of the expansion phase.
This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is about to start a Channel Down that in previous Legs it moved parallel with the price's 2nd rally. Our Target is $900.00 representing a +70.48% rise from April's low, which is the smallest rally recorded within the 2-year Channel Up, thus the more realistic target.
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Will Nu Continue Rally After Unusual Volume Activity Last Week?Above 9.67 low, it favors upside in fifth wave and expect to finish the impulse started from all time low before the major correction starts. Last week, it traded with unusually high volume above 10X, which provides few scenarios. (1). It favors upside in v and can unfold 5 internal waves, while dips remain above 9.67 low but still main momentum divergence. (2). It may see minor upside as v and the volume can be exhaustion move before it reverses in larger correction, which confirms below 9.67 low or by breaking the trendline. (3). It will start nesting higher and erase the momentum divergence, which extend higher. That move should ideally supported by gap up move.
NVIDIA BUY ZONES ACTIVE ?As posted before after the earnings report we’ve seen the stock drop from 127 to 105 after a blowout report. Here’s my current idea of a scenario
1. NVDA Settles around the price of $111 & $100 before US DATA Thursday and Friday
2. NVDA buy opportunities towards
$125-$140 or above
3. Stocks can rise on a worst than expected US Data, propelling the index market to all time highs as well as gold. This current correction phase is healthy, and needed.
4. NVDA can form a double top resistance at $138-$141 sending the stock into more selling power. Consequently to a price of $90-$50. Waiting for a bounce between this area.
Until new points of possible AI is found and chips are being sold at a higher volume. This can be the EOY stock price. Overall whoever wins presidency will have a significant impact on AI markets.
This is a prediction. Good luck to all!
SWING IDEA - RK FORGINSRK Forgings , a key player in the forging industry, is showing technical indicators that suggest a promising swing trade opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
850 Resistance Turned Support : The 850 level, previously a strong resistance, has now turned into a robust support level, indicating a potential floor for the stock price.
Bullish Engulfing Candle on Daily Timeframe : The recent formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart signifies strong buying pressure and potential for upward movement.
50 EMA Support on Daily Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average, reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing a reliable support level.
0.382 Fibonacci Level Support : The price is bouncing off the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a healthy pullback and resumption of the uptrend.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move, indicating strong investor interest and participation.
Target - 1000 // 1100
Stoploss - Daily close below 810
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@visionary.growth.insights
Globus spirits ltd. SwingSwing trade , yesterday bulkdeal happened.
Also break on chart previous buyer trap area.
Max loss 5/6%
Target 12/13%
Target based on next previous trap buyer zone area .
Exit when 1056 below 15min candle closed sl trigger,
Or price consolidation start at previous trap area mark zone , cut position here
US indeces pre market TuesdayHere's a breakdown of why the S&P 500 might drop to the next green zone based on the technical analysis depicted in the chart:
1. Resistance Zone (Upper Red Box)
The chart highlights a resistance zone near the top, marked by a red box. This zone represents a price level where the S&P 500 has struggled to move higher and has reversed several times in the past.
The price has recently touched this resistance zone and failed to break through it, indicating that selling pressure is stronger at this level.
2. Support Zone (Lower Green Box)
The green box at the bottom represents a support zone, which is a price level where the index has previously found buying interest and reversed upward.
The chart suggests that the price could potentially drop back to this support zone if the current downtrend continues.
3. Recent Price Action
The price action within the last few candlesticks shows a downward movement after touching the resistance zone, which is depicted by the downward arrow.
This suggests that sellers have taken control, and the price is likely to continue moving lower.
4. Breakdown of Support Levels
The price appears to be breaking down through minor support levels (smaller green zones within the red box), which could indicate that the market is losing bullish momentum and could head towards the lower support zone.
5. Trading Setup
The chart suggests a short (sell) trade setup, where the expected movement is for the price to drop towards the lower green zone.
The green arrow indicates the anticipated direction of the price movement, while the red and green shaded areas likely represent the stop-loss and take-profit levels, respectively.
Conclusion
Based on the chart's technical analysis, the S&P 500 is expected to decline to the next green support zone due to the strong resistance at the current level, recent bearish price action, and the potential breakdown of intermediate support levels. If the price reaches the lower green zone, it might find support and possibly reverse, but until then, the outlook is bearish.
S&P500 The Bull Cycle is still far from over!Six months ago while the market was undecided about whether or not the S&P500 (SPX) rally would continue, we presented a very useful multi-year chart on the 1M time-frame (February 27, see chart below), where we called for an extension of the uptrend, claiming confidently that the 'Bull Cycle is far from over':
As you can see those who bought without fear have enjoyed so far more than +15% gains. What's even more impressive is the massive bullish reversal of the August candle, that managed to close the month in green, despite the early aggressive sell-off.
This is a strong sign that the rally is far from over, but it's not the only one. The key here, and constitutes our main modification relative to the chart 6 months ago, is that the most accurate sell signal on a cyclical basis has been historically given after the 1M RSI breaks above the 70.00 overbought barrier and posts Lower Highs.
This signal has had 100% accuracy in the past 10 years, effectively projecting the 2015, 2018 and 2022 corrections. The 1M RSI also has a Channel Down Resistance to consider but the Lower Highs signal should be top priority for investors to start selling.
As a result, we expect the index to surpass the 6000 mark and even approach 6500, before we consider a cyclical selling sequence again.
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Axis bank has a chance to ace it..Axis Bank Ltd. engages in banking and financial services. It provides financial solutions to retail, small and medium enterprises, government, and corporate businesses. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Retail Banking, Corporate or Wholesale Banking, and Other Banking Business. The Other Banking Business segment encompasses para banking activities such as third party product distribution advisory and other banking transactions.
Axis Bank Ltd. CMP is 1188.80. The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. =13.8), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 8 Quarters, Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding over the Past Two Months, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are Poor cash generated from core business, declining Cash Flow from Operations and Increase in Provisions in the recent results.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1191 Targets in the stock will be 1206, 1243 and 1270. The long-term target in the stock will be 1292, 1313 and 1337. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1127.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Canara Bank Can start after consolidation.Canara Bank engages in the provision of commercial banking and financial services. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Corporate or Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business.
Canara Bank CMP is 112.77 The positive aspects of the company are low Valuation (P.E. =6.5), Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth, Increasing profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding over the Past Two Months and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The share has good dividend yield of 2.9% at CMP. The Negative aspects of the company is that the stocks is underperforming their Industry Price.
Entry can be taken after closing above 114 Targets in the stock will be 117 and 122. The long-term target in the stock will be 124 and 129. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 105.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
The economy peaked in April 2023"JOBS, JOBS, JOBS!"
As Obama said during the recovery period post GFC
This chart shows the employment level --- how many people are employed in the States / divided by the unemployment level --- the number of people without a job. .
A simple Ratio
With all the official Recessions highlighted in the red box.
The dates of the recessions are from Wikipedia.
JOBS are the ECONOMY
Goods and services are still made by people. (That is obviously under attack by robotics and AI) --- but will likely lead to new economies being birthed and new jobs created.
THE #FED is late to cut
and will likely cut too slowly
guaranteeing a GDP contraction therefore further job losses.
HOLDING RISK ASSETS
IS RISKY
needless to say.
RIVIAN giving highly accurate signals within this Channel Down.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) couldn't have been giving us more accurate signals since May (see charts below), as not only did we get a timely entry at the bottom (chart 1, May 17) but also sold at the very top (June 26 chart 2) of the Channel Down:
Right now we face a technical similarity with September 2023, exactly 1 year ago, where the price failed to utilize the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and started a new long-term Bearish sequence.
However we do realize the potential long-term trend changing effect that a potential new cycle of interest rate cuts might have in two weeks, so again our trading plan will prepare for both scenarios with clear break-out signals and levels.
Obviously as long as the price remains within the 2-year Channel Down, the trend is bearish and the action will be 'sell on every high'. The Sell Signal on the September 2023 fractal was given when the 1D RSI hit the 60.00 level (red arrow, Sep 14 2023). Naturally we will wait for another such trigger to sell and Target 10.55 on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where last year's sell signal bottomed (October 30 2023).
If on the other hand, the price closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line), we will buy that clear long-term bullish break-out signal and Target 28.00 (just below Resistance 2). This could emerge as a Channel Up pattern.
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Sunrun (RUN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sunrun is a leading U.S. residential solar energy company, providing solar panel installations and energy services across the country. The company's focus on sustainable energy solutions positions it to capitalize on the growing shift toward clean energy adoption.
Key Catalysts:
Rate-Cutting Cycle: A potential rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve could make solar financing more affordable, increasing the economic appeal of residential solar projects. Lower interest rates would reduce borrowing costs for consumers, making Sunrun's solar installations more accessible and boosting sales.
Trade Policies: U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's scrutiny of China's market practices, particularly regarding solar products, could mitigate low-cost competition from Chinese manufacturers. This would benefit domestic companies like Sunrun by leveling the playing field and potentially driving higher demand for U.S.-installed solar systems.
Federal Subsidies: Sunrun is well-positioned to benefit from federal clean energy subsidies provided by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). These subsidies are expected to reduce Sunrun's operating expenses and enhance profitability by offsetting costs associated with installations and energy storage solutions.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:RUN if it holds above the $17.50-$18.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sunrun is set at $29.00-$30.00, driven by favorable interest rate conditions, supportive trade policies, and federal clean energy subsidies.
☀️ Sunrun—ready to shine with rate cuts, trade advantages, and clean energy subsidies! #RUN #SolarEnergy 🚀🌱
Sea Limited (SE) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sea Limited, a global consumer internet company, operates across three core businesses: e-commerce (Shopee), digital entertainment (Garena), and financial services (SeaMoney). The company has returned to growth investments to capitalize on its diverse business segments.
Key Catalysts:
E-commerce Momentum: Shopee's gross merchandise volume (GMV) forecast has been revised upward to reflect mid-20% growth, indicating strong momentum in its e-commerce segment. This renewed growth suggests that Sea's strategic investments are yielding positive results, particularly in expanding its reach across Southeast Asia and Latin America.
Gaming Recovery: Garena's flagship game, Free Fire, has seen a 19% year-over-year rebound in daily active users. This recovery signals a resurgence in the gaming division, which has long been a key revenue driver for Sea. Additionally, a potential relaunch of Free Fire in India could provide a significant boost, given the large gaming audience in the country.
Revenue Growth Outlook: Sea Limited is forecasting double-digit revenue growth for 2024, driven by Shopee's expansion, Garena's gaming resurgence, and the ongoing scaling of SeaMoney.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SE if it holds above the $67.00-$68.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sea Limited is set at $130.00-$135.00, driven by continued e-commerce growth, gaming recovery, and potential entry into new markets.
🌊 Sea Limited—e-commerce growth and gaming rebound fuel bullish outlook! #SE #Ecommerce #Gaming 🚀📈
How to Perform Fundamental Analysis of StocksHow to Perform Fundamental Analysis of Stocks
In the dynamic world of financial markets, traders seek every available edge to make informed decisions. Among the numerous tools at their disposal, two approaches stand out: technical analysis and fundamental analysis of stocks. In this article, we will explore what fundamental analysis is, how it applies to stocks, and why it is a crucial tool for traders. Traders have the option to open an FXOpen account to perform fundamental analysis on numerous stocks available at FXOpen.
Understanding Fundamental Analysis
Before diving into the intricacies of fundamental analysis, it's essential to grasp the basics of technical and fundamental analysis.
Technical analysis primarily focuses on historical price and volume data to predict future price movements. Traders using this approach rely on charts, trendlines, and indicators like moving averages and Relative Strength Index (RSI) to make trading decisions.
Fundamental analysis, on the other hand, takes a more holistic view. It delves into the financial statements of a firm, examines economic indicators, and assesses industry trends. The goal is to determine the intrinsic value of an asset and whether it is overvalued or undervalued in the market.
Key Fundamental Analysis Components
Fundamental analysis involves several key components that traders must understand to make informed decisions:
Financial Statements
Fundamental analysis begins with a deep dive into a company's financial statements. These documents provide a wealth of information that is critical for assessing a company's financial performance. The three primary financial statements to consider are:
Balance Sheet: This statement offers an overview of a company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity at a specific point in time. It acts as a quick overview of the company's financial standing.
Income Statement: Also known as the profit and loss statement, the income statement details a company's revenue, expenses, and profitability over a specific period. These ratios evaluate a company's capability to fulfil its immediate commitments.
Cash Flow Statement: The cash flow statement tracks the inflow and outflow of cash from the company's operating, investing, and financing activities. It offers valuable information about the company's liquidity and cash management.
Ratios and Metrics
To gain deeper insights into a company's financial health, fundamental analysts use various financial ratios and metrics. Some of the key ratios and metrics include:
Liquidity Ratios: These ratios evaluate a company's capability to fulfil its immediate commitments. Notable examples include the Current Ratio and Quick Ratio.
Profitability Ratios: These ratios measure a company's ability to generate profit relative to its revenue and assets. Examples include the Gross Margin, Net Profit Margin, Return on Equity (ROE), and Return on Assets (ROA).
Solvency Ratios: Solvency ratios evaluate a company's ability to meet its long-term financial obligations. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio and Interest Coverage Ratio are significant in this category.
Efficiency Ratios: These ratios assess how efficiently a company manages its resources to generate income. Examples include Inventory Turnover, Receivables Turnover, and Payables Turnover.
Growth Metrics
Understanding a firm's growth trajectory is essential for projecting its future potential and assessing its investment attractiveness.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth: This metric indicates the rate at which a firm's earnings per share are increasing or decreasing over time.
Revenue Growth: It measures the growth in a firm's revenue compared to a specific period.
Book Value per Share Growth Rate: This metric assesses the increase in the firm's Book Value Per Share over the last five years.
Steps to Perform Fundamental Analysis
Here are the most essential steps to perform fundamental analysis.
Company Selection
The first step of fundamental analysis in the stock market is selecting the companies you want to analyse. Criteria for selection may include factors like the company's industry, market capitalisation, and growth potential. It's crucial to consider the broader industry landscape and market trends to identify promising candidates.
Collecting Financial Data
Gathering accurate and relevant financial data is paramount. Sources of financial data include the company's website, authority filings, and financial news outlets. Ensuring the data's accuracy and timeliness is essential for making informed decisions.
Analysing Financial Statements
In-depth analysis of a company's financial statements is the heart of fundamental analysis. Such metrics as a balance sheet and income and cash flow statements that were mentioned above are widely used by traders and investors to determine companies’ strengths and weaknesses.
Calculating and Interpreting Ratios
Utilising financial ratios is a critical aspect of fundamental analysis. These ratios provide a quantitative basis for evaluating a company's performance. Comparing the ratios with industry benchmarks helps identify areas of strength or weakness.
Evaluating Business Strategy
Assessing the quality of a company's management and its strategic decisions is another crucial element of fundamental analysis. This involves evaluating factors such as corporate governance, competitive positioning, and market share.
Economic and Industry Analysis
Understanding the broader economic landscape and industry dynamics is essential for contextualising a company's performance. Identifying macroeconomic trends and the stage of the industry lifecycle is critical.
Valuation Techniques
Fundamental analysts employ various valuation techniques to determine whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. These techniques help traders make informed decisions about whether to buy, sell, or hold a particular asset. Common methods include:
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This method calculates the present value of a company's future cash flows to estimate its intrinsic value.
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio Analysis: Comparing a company's stock price to its earnings per share, relative to industry peers, to assess its valuation.
Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio Analysis: Comparing a company's market capitalisation to its book value per share to determine undervalued and overvalued companies.
Risk Factors and Limitations
Fundamental analysis, while a powerful tool, comes with its own set of challenges and limitations:
1. Incomplete Data: Many firms, especially in less regulated markets, may not disclose full financial information, thus hindering comprehensive analysis.
2. Future Uncertainty: Even though it's grounded in thorough research, fundamental analysis relies heavily on historical economic data. This approach also makes assumptions about future geopolitical and macroeconomic events, which can be unpredictable, thereby carrying a degree of inherent uncertainty.
3. Subjectivity: Different analysts may interpret the same data in various ways, leading to different conclusions about a currency's value.
4. Overemphasis on Long-term: Fundamental analysis typically focuses on long-term economic cycles and trends, potentially missing out on short-term trading opportunities.
5. Political Instabilities: Unexpected political events, like elections, conflicts, or diplomatic tensions, can have sudden and significant impacts on a stock value.
6. Global Events: Natural disasters, pandemics, or major technological breakthroughs can all have unforeseen effects on the stock market, making predictions based on fundamental analysis challenging.
7. Market Perception: Even if all fundamentals point towards a particular trend, market perception and investor sentiment can drive the market in the opposite direction.
8. Lagging Nature: By the time certain economic indicators are published, the market might have already reacted, making it a lagging tool.
By understanding these limitations, traders can complement their fundamental analysis with other techniques to make more informed decisions in the forex market.
Conclusion
Fundamental analysis is pivotal for traders who aim to make judicious decisions in the financial landscape. It extends beyond just scrutinising financial statements, encompassing the assessment of crucial ratios, metrics, and the overarching economic and industry environment to gauge an asset's inherent worth. FXOpen enhances this analytical journey with its suite of resources.
You can combine fundamental and technical tools on the TickTrader platform to conduct a comprehensive analysis, allowing you to navigate the intricate realm of financial markets with bolstered confidence and insight.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
"UnoMinda" at the cusp of breakout! "UnoMinda" is a great counter to go Long on with high probability and great risk - reward ratio! The stock is about to breakout from a Cup Pattern. The price is at the cusp of breakout which is giving more confidence to enter the trade on Long Side.
#SniperTrade #Momentum #Options #CapitalMarkets #harshal95 #StockMarket
BLS INTL SERVS - ROUND BOTTOM BREAKOUTRound Bottom breakout
BUY PRICE : 430
SL : 358 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 600 (40%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
UCAL - 6 YEARS OF "W" PATTERN BREAKOUT6 Years of "W" Pattern Breakout breakout
BUY PRICE : 190
SL : 150 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 250, 330 (72%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
PLASTIBLENDS - ROUND BOTTOM BREAKOUT8 Months of Round Bottom breakout
BUY PRICE : 353
SL : 304 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 480 (36%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
STERLING TOOLS - 7 YEARS OF HIGH BREAKOUT7 Years of Supply Zone breakou t
BUY PRICE : 420 - 460
SL : 338 (only for swing traders)
TARGET : 660, 800 (75%)
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
The W1DOW maker is looming. BEAR MARKET watch.
Look at that August Monthly hammer candle after the Yen carry trade wobble.
The Global Dow jones index is at an all time new high
This rise is BASED on a wall of #FIAT capital that has been clicked and borrowed into existence.
And speculation of an AI revolution
But Money creation is not wealth creation.
An general AI will be deflationary, as more decisions outsourced from Humans to the "mainframe" :0
Most of my idea's I have shared on assets have been to the upside even after bearish down moves. Stocks, Gold & Crypto. Right Back in 2020 I shared a thesis of a Roaring 20's echo meltup and here we are melting up ...
Yet the party must end sometime
so we watch and have one foot in and foot out from this point.
Secular Bull markets have a lifespan of 15-18 years ...
and this one has required multiple rounds of QE (liquidity injections) to achieve this run.
So we will are looking for #BTC hit $100k the Russell 2000 to make new high's, before setting the stage for a bear market that could be quite extraordinary.
Yield Curve Inversion: A Warning Sign You Can't IgnoreThe yield curve, which shows the difference between short-term and long-term interest rates on government bonds (US10Y-US02Y). In normal market conditions, this number should be positive because the interest that investors require on 10Y bonds is higher than the interest required on 2Y bonds. Interest is a value of risk perception. Higher risk of default means higher required interest on bonds.
As seen on the chart, the moment that the yield-curve "un-inverts" (yellow circles) is a critical market indicator that can often predict upcoming recessions.
In the last 35 years, the un-inversion has always preceded a dump in stock prices and a recession.
Seeing this chart, it's not too far-fetched to assume that the world will go into a recession at some point in the next 1-2 years.