US30-Bearish Momentum in Play as DowJones Drops Below Pivot ZoneUS30 Analysis – February 25, 2025
🔻 Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone
US30 has continued its downward movement, as previously anticipated . The price remains below the pivot line (43,765) and has already tested the support at 43,350. However, to confirm further downside toward 42,770, the price must break below 43,212 with a 4H candle close.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
As long as US30 remains below 43,760, the downward pressure is expected to continue.
A 4H candle close below 43,212 will confirm a bearish continuation toward 42,770.
📈 Bullish Reversal:
Stability above 43,212 will lead to a range-bound movement between 43,212 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs.
A 4H candle close above the pivot zone (43,765) is required for the bullish trend to resume.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 43,690 | 43,900 | 44,210
Pivot: 43,580
Support: 43,212 | 43,030 | 42,770
⚠️ Directional Bias:
Currently, US30 is consolidating within the 43,212 – 43,765 range. A break below 43,212 will confirm the bearish trend continuation.
Stocks
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for 2.25.2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs on Canada and Mexico 📈: President Donald Trump has confirmed that tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico will proceed on March 4, 2025. This decision may impact trade relations and market dynamics.
🇰🇷💰 Bank of Korea Rate Cut 💰: The Bank of Korea is expected to reduce its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on February 25, aiming to support economic growth amid recent slowdowns.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, Feb 25:
🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities, offering insights into the housing market trends.
📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.1 from January's 104.1, indicating potential shifts in consumer behavior.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Master Your Emotions: The 3 Trading Psychology Hacks Most traders don’t struggle because they lack a strategy—they struggle because emotions get in the way. After coaching hundreds of traders, I’ve seen the same patterns over and over: hesitation, FOMO, revenge trading, and self-doubt.
I get it. I’ve been there too. You see the perfect setup but hesitate. Or worse, you jump in too late and watch the market turn against you. It’s frustrating, but there’s a fix.
In this video, I’m breaking down the biggest trading psychology mistake I see and the simple 3-step process that has helped my students trade with confidence, even in the most volatile markets.
If you’ve ever felt like your emotions are sabotaging your trades, this is for you. Let’s fix it.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
USNAS100 Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Confirmed Below 21,900!USNAS100 Technical Analysis – February 24, 2025
Our previous analysis View Here highlighted the 22,150 pivot zone as a critical decision point for NAS100. The price failed to hold above this level and dropped as expected, confirming a bearish movement.
Current Market Outlook:
The price has broken below the 21,900 pivot zone, indicating bearish dominance.
As long as NAS100 trades below 21900 - 21810, the bearish trend remains active.
A further decline toward 21560 and 21390 is expected.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 21900 | 22100 | 22292
Pivot: 21800
Support: 21560 | 21390 | 21215
Directional Bias:
The bearish trend remains active as long as NAS100 trades below 21810 and 21900. A 4H close below 21560 will confirm further downside toward 21390.
🚀 Will NAS100 hold this support, or is more downside coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
US30 Bearish Momentum | Key Support Levels in FocusUS30 Analysis | February 21, 2025
The price has broken below the pivot line of 44,404, confirming a bearish momentum. Now, it is testing the support zone at 44,051, and a continued failure to reclaim the pivot will strengthen the bearish case toward 43,763 and 43,212 support zones.
For bullish confirmation, the price needs to stabilize above 44,404 and break the resistance zone of 44,500 to initiate a potential recovery toward 44,756 and 45,099.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 44075
Resistance Levels: 44190 – 44404 – 44650
Support Levels: 43763 – 43520 - 43212
📉 Directional Bias: As long as the price remains below 44,404, US30 remains bearish, with a high probability of testing lower support levels.
MERCADOLIBRE ($MELI) SOARS IN Q4—E-COMMERCE & FINTECH SHINE MERCADOLIBRE ( NASDAQ:MELI ) SOARS IN Q4—E-COMMERCE & FINTECH SHINE
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! MercadoLibre ( NASDAQ:MELI ) is sizzling—Q4 revenue up 37%, a $ 6.1B haul 📈🔥. Fintech and e-commerce fuel a 33% surge—let’s unpack this Latin dynamo! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE RUSH
• Q4 Take: $ 6.1B—37% leap, tops $ 5.9B est. 💥
• EPS: $ 12.61—blasts past $ 7.94 hopes 📊
• Net Income: $ 639M—beats $ 402M dreams
NASDAQ:MELI ’s humming—growth’s got zing!
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• GMV: $ 14.5B—56% jump FX-neutral 🌍
• Payments: $ 58.9B TPV—49% up 🚗
• Credit Boom: $ 6.6B—74% growth 🌟
NASDAQ:MELI ’s flexing muscle—full throttle!
(4/9) – MARKET VIBE
• P/E: ~60—above Amazon’s 40, PDD’s 20 📈
• Growth: 37% smokes peers’ 10%
• Targets: 2,400−3,000—10-38% upside 🌍
Premium price—worth the juice?
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• FX Woes: Brazil, Mexico currencies wobble ⚠️
• Comp: Amazon, locals eye the prize 🏛️
• Rates: $ 6.6B credit—defaults lurk? 📉
Hot run—can it dodge the heat?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• E-comm: $ 14.5B GMV—LatAm king 🌟
• Fintech: $ 58.9B TPV—Pago’s gold 🔍
• Logistics: 6 new centers—zippy edge 🚦📉
NASDAQ:MELI ’s a double-threat dynamo!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: High P/E, FX swings 💸
• Opportunities: Ad bucks, untapped markets 🌍
Can NASDAQ:MELI zap past the bumps?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:MELI ’s Q4 surge—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—$ 3,000 in sight.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s hot, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—FX bites back.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:MELI ’s $ 6.1B Q4 and fintech flex spark buzz—$ 14.5B GMV shines 🌍🪙. High P/E, but growth rules—champ or chase?
VERTEX ($VRTX) SHINES IN Q4—PAIN & CF FUEL GROWTHVERTEX ( NASDAQ:VRTX ) SHINES IN Q4—PAIN & CF FUEL GROWTH
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! Vertex ( NASDAQ:VRTX ) is buzzing—Q4 revenue up 16%, new drugs hit the scene 📈🔥. $ 2.91B and a bold 2025 forecast—let’s unpack this biotech beast! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE RUSH
• Q4 Haul: $ 2.91B—16% jump from last year 💥
• Full ‘24: $ 11.02B, up 12%—Trikafta’s king 📊
• ‘25 Outlook: $11.75-$ 12B—6-9% growth
NYSE:CF keeps humming—newbies add zest!
(3/9) – BIG WINS
• Journavx: Non-opioid painkiller greenlit Jan ‘25 🌍
• Alyftrek: CF drug for 6+—ships now 🚗
• Cash: $11.2B—loaded for action 🌟
NASDAQ:VRTX storms pain—CF stays golden!
(4/9) – SECTOR CHECK
• Valuation: 11x sales—above 9x avg 📈
• Vs. Peers: Gilead’s 4x, Regeneron’s 8x—premium?
• Growth: 12% beats biotech’s 5-7% 🌍
NASDAQ:VRTX flexes—value or stretch?
(5/9) – RISKS ON TAP
• Payers: Journavx needs coverage—hiccups? ⚠️
• Trikafta: 93% of sales—big lean 🏛️
• Comp: Pain rivals, CF safe—for now 📉
Hot streak—can it dodge the bumps?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• CF King: Trikafta, Alyftrek lock it in 🌟
• Pain Play: Journavx eyes $ 4B peak 🔍
• Cash: $11.2B—war chest ready 🚦
NASDAQ:VRTX ’s got muscle and moolah!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Trikafta reliance—eggs in one basket 💸
• Opportunities: Casgevy rolls, pain grows 🌍
Can NASDAQ:VRTX zap past the risks?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:VRTX ’s Q4 surge—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Pain pays off big.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks linger.
3️⃣ Bearish—Growth hits a wall.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:VRTX ’s $2.91B Q4 and Journavx/Alyftrek wins spark buzz—$11.2B cash backs it 🌍🪙. Trikafta rules, risks hover—champ or chaser?
Alibaba - This Chart Is Pretty Beautiful!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is perfectly respecting structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With a rally of about +80% within a couple of weeks, Alibaba is clearly showing signs of bulls completely taking over. This pressure was not unexpected though after we perfectly witnessed the major trendline breakout a couple of months ago and a retest of the confluence of support.
Levels to watch: $140, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
CELSIUS ($CELH) ZAPS UP 33%—Q4 & ALANI NU IGNITE BUZZCELSIUS ( NASDAQ:CELH ) ZAPS UP 33%—Q4 & ALANI NU IGNITE BUZZ
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! Celsius Holdings ( NASDAQ:CELH ) just surged 33%—Q4 earnings and a $1.65B Alani Nu buyout lit the fuse 📈🔥. Energy drink market’s buzzing—let’s unpack this jolt! 🚀
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAP
• Q4 Revenue: $332M, topped $329M expected 💥
• Margin: Jumped to 50.2%—beats 47.1% hopes 📊
• EPS: $0.14, above $0.11—solid grit
Growth slowed, but NASDAQ:CELH flexed resilience!
(3/9) – ALANI NU DEAL
• Price: $1.65B—$1.275B cash, $500M stock 🌍
• Alani’s Pull: $595M ‘24 sales, 78% growth 🚗
• Combo: 16% energy drink share—$ 2B ‘25 goal 🌟
NASDAQ:CELH snags a rival—big playtime!
(4/9) – MARKET VIBE
• Surge: 33% to $33-$35—shorts burned 📈
• Vs. Peers: 6x sales, below 9x avg—value?
• X Hype: “Top gainer”—bulls cheer 🌍
NASDAQ:CELH heats up—bargain or buzz?
(5/9) – RISKS IN SIGHT
• Overlap: Alani vs. CELH—cannibal clash? ⚠️
• Slowdown: North Am. down 6%—Pepsi hiccups 🏛️
• Comp: Rivals eye shelf space—tight race 📉
Hot move, but bumps lurk ahead!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Deal: $1.65B Alani—growth rocket 🌟
• Margin: 50.2%—profit punch 🔍
• Global: 39% intl. leap—worldwide zip 🚦
NASDAQ:CELH ’s firing on all cylinders!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Q4 dip, overlap risks 💸
• Opportunities: $ 2B sales, $50M synergies 🌍
Can NASDAQ:CELH juice up the doubters?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:CELH ’s 33% zap—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—$40+ in sight.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Hype fades fast.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:CELH ’s Q4 and Alani Nu deal spark a 33% leap—$332M, $1.65B buy 🌍🪙. Resilience shines, but overlap looms—champ or chase?
AAPLAAPL price is in a correction phase. Now the price is near the resistance zone. If the price cannot break through 259, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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$US30 DOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORMDOW JONES—STEADY AMID THE STORM
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! The Dow Jones is the cool-headed cousin—less wild than Nasdaq’s growth party 📈🔥. Blue-chip stability shines, even as inflation bites—let’s unpack it! 🚀
(2/9) – WHY SO CALM?
• Makeup: 30 big, steady names—Walmart, Goldman 💥
• Price-Weighted: High flyers lead, not tech zingers 📊
• Edge: Less sway from growth stock swings
Dow’s the tortoise—slow and steady wins?
(3/9) – RECENT VIBES
• Feb 22: 1.7% dip—support at 43,400 holds 🌍
• VIX: Stays chill—Nasdaq would’ve freaked 🚗
• CPI Hit: 400-point drop, 300 back—meh 🌟
Stability’s the Dow’s secret sauce!
(4/9) – SECTOR SNAP
• Vs. Nasdaq: Tech’s jittery—Dow’s diversified 📈
• Volatility: ~15-20% vs. Nasdaq’s 25-30%
• Champs: Blue-chips buffer the chaos
Steadier ship—less Nasdaq nuttiness! 🌍
(5/9) – INFLATION RIPPLES
• CPI Spike: 3% YoY—400-point jolt ⚠️
• Fed: No rush to cut—rates sting 🏛️
• X Buzz: Tariffs, inflation spook recovery 📉
Even the Dow feels the heat—but shrugs!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Stability: Blue-chip backbone holds firm 🌟
• Dividends: Cash flows steady the ship 🔍
• Mix: Less tech tantrums—broad base 🚦
Dow’s the rock in choppy waters!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Inflation nicks costs—ouch 💸
• Opportunities: Safety shines if tech flops 🌍
Can Dow dodge the inflation blues?
(8/9) – Dow’s steady play—what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—Stability’s golden.
2️⃣ Neutral—Holds, but inflation looms.
3️⃣ Bearish—Growth wins anyway.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Dow’s less jittery—blue-chips cushion the storm 🌍🪙. Inflation’s a nag, but stability rules. Rock or relic?
EURO LIFTS POST-GERMAN VOTE—BUT USD BITES BACKEURO LIFTS POST-GERMAN VOTE—BUT USD BITES BACK FX:EURUSD
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Germany’s election—Merz and CDU on top—gave the euro a quick jolt, up 0.44% to $1.0507 📈🔥. Markets dig the stability vibe, but it’s fading fast—let’s unpack this tussle! 🚀
(2/9) – ELECTION SPARK
• Euro Bump: Hit $1.0530 overnight—election cheer 💥
• Markets: DAX futures up 1.2%, EUROSTOXX 50 +0.66% 📊
• Fade: Now at $1.0480—USD’s flexing back
Brief lift—stability’s sweet, but not sticky!
(3/9) – TECH TELLTALE
• Resistance: $1.0500-1.0510 wall holds firm 🌍
• Support: $1.0470 pivot, then $1.0440 if it slips 🚗
• Charts: Double top whispers at $1.0530 🌟
Traders on X see a retreat—bearish juice brewing?
(4/9) – USD PUSHBACK
• Jobless Claims: Weak last week, USD softened a tad 📉
• Fed: No rush to cut—rates steady, Nvidia looms
• Muscle: Dollar’s clawing back—ballast holds
AMEX:USD ’s got grit—euro’s nudge ain’t enough! 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Volatility: PMI data, Nvidia earnings stir the pot ⚠️
• Sentiment: X split—liquidity grab or bear turn? 🏛️
• Levels: Below $1.0470 opens $1.0390 risk 📉
Quick sprint—can euro keep the pace?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Election Lift: CDU win sparks euro hope 🌟
• Markets: European futures pop—optimism flows 🔍
• Cash: $1.0530 peak shows buyer guts 🚦
Euro’s got some spark—briefly lit!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: $1.0510 cap, USD fights back 💸
• Opportunities: PMI beats could push $1.0600 🌍
Will euro dodge the dollar’s jab?
(8/9) – Euro’s election bump—what’s your call?
1️⃣ Bullish—Stability wins out.
2️⃣ Neutral—Blip, not a trend.
3️⃣ Bearish—USD takes the ring.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Euro spiked to $1.0507 on Germany’s vote—CDU’s steady hand 🌍🪙. Now $1.0480—USD’s got claws. Resistance bites, downside looms—blip or bust?
Coinbase (COIN) Shares Drop to Three-Month LowCoinbase (COIN) Shares Drop to Three-Month Low
The Coinbase (COIN) chart shows that, for the first time in 2025, the share price has fallen below the psychological $250 level.
Bearish factors impacting COIN:
One key factor driving negative sentiment is the confirmed hack of the ByBit cryptocurrency exchange, raising concerns about deposit security in the industry. According to media reports:
→ The attack may have been carried out by North Korean hacker group Lazarus.
→ Hackers allegedly drained Ethereum tokens worth between $1 billion and $5 billion from ByBit’s wallet.
→ This is the largest crypto hack in history.
Another factor is growing concerns about the US economy, which have negatively impacted stock markets. As reported by Reuters:
→ The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) fell by 1.66% on Friday, marking its worst performance of the year.
→ The decline followed a drop in Walmart’s share price and weak consumer sentiment data.
→ Friday’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) figures were below previous levels. Investors are now focusing on this week’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.
Technical Analysis of Coinbase (COIN) Chart
COIN price movements form an upward channel (marked in blue), but several bearish signals are emerging:
→ The price has dropped into the lower half of the channel.
→ The psychological resistance level has shifted from $300 to potentially $250.
If bearish sentiment persists, COIN’s share price could fall further towards a support zone consisting of:
→ A bullish gap (marked in purple).
→ The lower boundary of the blue channel.
→ The psychological $200 level.
Coinbase (COIN) Price Forecast
Wall Street analysts remain cautiously optimistic following Coinbase’s quarterly earnings report on 13 February, which exceeded expectations.
According to TipRanks:
→ 10 out of 21 analysts recommend buying COIN.
→ The average 12-month price target for COIN is $350.
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US30–Bearish Continues Below Pivot Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Analysis & Market Impact – February 24, 2025
Bearish Momentum in Play as Dow Jones Drops Below Pivot Zone
US30 has continued its downward movement as we mentioned in the previous idea , breaking below the pivot zone (43765- 43900) and confirming bearish momentum. The price is now trading near the 43760 level, with the next support zone at 43212.
Technical Outlook:
Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 43760, the downward pressure is likely to continue toward 43212 and 42770 as the next key support levels.
Bullish Reversal: A recovery above 43900 would indicate a potential upside toward 44210 and 44400.
Market News Impact:
Germany's election results indicate that the Christian Democrat Union is set to take over, with Friedrich Merz as the likely chancellor. This shift in leadership could influence EU-U.S. relations, especially in response to tariff threats from President Trump.
U.S. stock futures are showing early signs of recovery, but market volatility is expected as investors react to potential economic policy changes in Germany.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 44210| 44405| 44755
Pivot: 43765
Support: 43400| 43212| 42770
⚠️ Directional Bias: As long as US30 remains below 43765, the bearish trend remains in control. However, geopolitical factors could increase market volatility, so stay alert. 📉🔥
WIRG - VCP (18W 45/6/3T)IDX:WIRG
(+):
1. Very Low risk entry point on pivot level
2. Volume dries up
3. Price above MA 50 > 150 > 200 over 10 weeks
4. Price is within 25% of 52 weeks high
6. Price is over 30% of 52 weeks low
7. 200 day MA trending up over 1 month
8. RS Rating is over 70 (84)
9. Additional aspect about AI sentiment
10. Price breakout with huge volume
(-)
1. I am not sure about Volume from 15 January until today, i think it is a sign of taking profit action of big institute. Let see what's going on with this stock after i bought it
2. There is gap below on 17 january 2025, i am not a big fan of gap
Try to Adding with some basic fundamental about EPS growth:
a. Quarterly QoQ: −32.06%
b. Quarterly YoY: −14.26%
c. Annual YoY: +77.44%
d. TTM YoY: +46.99%
About fundamental aspect, maybe the stock is time to turn around
Frontdoor (FTDR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Frontdoor NASDAQ:FTDR is redefining home services, connecting homeowners with professional contractors for maintenance and repairs.
Key Catalysts:
Super App Strategy 📲
FTDR’s on-demand HVAC service is the first step toward a home services super app, integrating warranties and à la carte repairs to maximize customer lifetime value.
IoT data from home systems is an underappreciated asset, with potential predictive maintenance applications.
Compounding Revenue Growth 💰
FTDR’s record 77.7% retention rate creates a compounding effect.
Every 1% retention increase adds GETTEX:18M in high-margin revenue.
The AHS app aims to push retention above 80% by 2025, unlocking $50M in additional cash flow.
Shareholder Returns & Market Expansion 📈
$119M in share buybacks YTD, reducing shares 5-7% annually, boosting EPS.
The pending 2-10 acquisition strengthens FTDR’s structural warranty business, tapping into a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B + market growing at 6% annually.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on FTDR above $51.00-$52.00, supported by retention gains, share buybacks, and market expansion.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $90.00-$100.00, reflecting strong cash flow, strategic acquisitions, and scalable digital solutions.
📢 Frontdoor—Revolutionizing Home Services with AI, Data, and Innovation. #FTDR #HomeServices #SuperApp #StockMarket
Breakout in Innodata Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
What makes a good director?This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
I’ve been spending a lot of time thinking about good governance and good boards. There is a lot that can be said about bad boards, but a lot less is said about what makes a good director. So what makes a good director? I'll start with a quote from Grandpa Buffett’s recent letter (published yesterday):
During the 2019-23 period, I have used the words “mistake” or “error” 16 times in my letters to you. Many other huge companies have never used either word over that span. Amazon, I should acknowledge, made some brutally candid observations in its 2021 letter. Elsewhere, it has generally been happy talk and pictures.
I have also been a director of large public companies at which “mistake” or “wrong” were forbidden words at board meetings or analyst calls. That taboo, implying managerial perfection, always made me nervous (though, at times, there could be legal issues that make limited discussion advisable. We live in a very litigious society.)
Also worth his thoughts on CEOs and schooling (I have never really understood the point of an MBA:
One further point in our CEO selections: I never look at where a candidate has gone to school. Never!
Of course, there are great managers who attended the most famous schools. But there are plenty such as Pete who may have benefitted by attending a less prestigious institution or even by not bothering to finish school. Look at my friend, Bill Gates, who decided that it was far more important to get underway in an exploding industry that would change the world than it was to stick around for a parchment that he could hang on the wall. (Read his new book, Source Code.)
Not long ago, I met – by phone – Jessica Toonkel, whose step-grandfather, Ben Rosner, long ago ran a business for Charlie and me. Ben was a retailing genius and, in preparing for this report, I checked with Jessica to confirm Ben’s schooling, which I remembered as limited. Jessica’s reply: “Ben never went past 6th grade.”
Anyway — some thoughts on what makes a good director, from observation:
Accountants and lawyers rarely make a good director. There are exceptions¹, but often I think a “professional” is conflated with a “good businessperson”. Think of the “professionals” who have sat on the board of Fletcher Building and added dubious value.
Founders, and owner-operators (or former owner-operators) often make a good director because they innately understand what makes a business tick. To quote the Druck’s former boss — “it’s all cash in, cash out, son”
Trust is crucial. To paraphrase St. Charlie Munger — “a web of trust is important…and be careful whom you trust”
The tick boxes that many boards do these days are rarely useful. There is an inordinate amount of focus on tick boxes, and not enough on the actual business activities.
Directors who see their duty to the shareholders and company tend to be best. This seems obvious, but is not always put into practice.
Industry experience, funnily enough, is also important. You need to understand what you sell, who your customer is, and how you make a buck.
A strong CEO is also important — think about Buffett, Gates, or Jobs. A board should provide guidance, but the CEO should be the guiding light.
If you have the fortune of having a great CEO, you ought to let them do their thing and not micro-manage them. Micro-management has never worked out, and is the domain of mediocre mid-level executives who eat depressing food.
Equally, a strong board is important — while you want your CEO to be an all-star, you don’t want those little dogs that live in handbags as board members — that defeats the point.
Sadly, not many CEOs are too amenable to pit bulls.
High compensation is not important. Ideally your board members should be independently wealthy. If a large part of their income is derived from their board comp, you will find they magically seem to have roles on five different boards — all in different industries.
To wit, from Buffett (quoting him a lot today, I know!): “Over the years, board “independence” has become a new area of emphasis. One key point relating to this topic, though, is almost invariably overlooked: Director compensation has now soared to a level that inevitably makes pay a subconscious factor affecting the behaviour of many non-wealthy members. Think, for a moment, of the director earning $250,000–300,000 for board meetings consuming a pleasant couple of days six or so times a year. Frequently, the possession of one such directorship bestows on its holder three to four times the annual median income of U.S. households.”
To that effect, just because a board member is on another board is not an endorsement.
Buying stock in a company with your own money, if you are a director, is a good thing. Being “truly independent” and having no stock is a warning sign — the director’s interests are aligned with his or her director’s fees, rather than the trajectory of the company.
¹ If you are one of my lawyer or accountant friends — you know who you are — you are the exception.
Weekly Market Outlook: February 24 – 28, 2025 🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation 📈: President Donald Trump has announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and lumber products, set to take effect on April 2, 2025. This move aims to protect domestic industries but has raised concerns about potential impacts on global trade relations.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 Diplomatic Efforts 🇺🇦🇷🇺: This week marks the third anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Key events include French President Emmanuel Macron visiting President Trump in Washington and a virtual G7 meeting to discuss potential resolutions to the ongoing conflict.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Tuesday, Feb 25:
🏠 S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET) 🏠: Provides data on home prices across 20 major U.S. cities.
📈 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET) 📈: Measures consumer sentiment regarding economic conditions. Analysts forecast a slight dip in February to 102.6 from January's 104.1.
📅 Wednesday, Feb 26:
🏠 New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Reports the number of newly constructed homes sold in the previous month. Economists predict a modest decline to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 680,000 homes from December's 698,000.
📅 Thursday, Feb 27:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly report on the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits.
📊 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Second Estimate (8:30 AM ET) 📊: Revised estimate of the nation's economic growth for Q4 2024. The initial reading showed a 2.3% annual growth rate, slightly below expectations.
🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET) 🛠️: Indicates new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting goods.
📅 Friday, Feb 28:
💰 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index (8:30 AM ET) 💰: The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation.
💳 Personal Income and Outlays (8:30 AM ET) 💳: Reports changes in personal income and spending.
🏠 Pending Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠: Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SPY was trading in an
Uptrend but then the index
Made a bearish breakout
From the bearish wedge
Pattern and we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Finolex Cables: Unveiling the Bullish Momentum Beyond Resistancewww.tradingview.com
Current Market Overview
Finolex Cables Ltd. has exhibited significant price movements recently, indicating potential future trends. The stock is currently priced at 914.95, with notable highs and lows. Analyzing key technical indicators and historical data, we can formulate a well-rounded prediction.
Technical Indicators
Price Levels:
--------------
-> Support Levels: 800, 700
-> Resistance Levels: 1,090, 1,345.75, 1,577
Volume Profile:
------------------
Strong volume around 11,757,413 suggests significant interest and potential support at this level.
Break of Structure (BOS):
-----------------------------
Multiple BOS annotations indicate significant trend changes, highlighting key reversal points.
Order Blocks and D-Key Levels:
-------------------------------------
Order blocks (OB) and D-Key levels mark areas of high trading activity and potential reversal zones.
Historical Performance
The chart showcases several Break of Structure (BOS) points, signaling critical trend reversals. The recent price action around the 800 support level suggests a potential rebound, while resistance levels at 1,090, 1,345.75, and 1,577 indicate possible challenges ahead.
Future Projections
Based on the current analysis, we can outline three potential scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
-------------------
-> Minimum Projection: 1,090 (+17.38%)
-> Average Projection: 1,345.75 (+47.08%)
-> Maximum Projection: 1,577 (+72.36%)
If the stock breaks above the 1,090 resistance level and sustains this momentum, it may target higher levels. This would require strong buying pressure and favorable market conditions.
Bearish Scenario:
---------------------
If the stock fails to break above 1,090 and instead breaks below the 800 support level, it could decline further towards 700. This would indicate continued bearish pressure and lack of buying interest.
Conclusion
-------------
The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish trend for Finolex Cables Ltd. The support levels around 800 and 700 provide a strong foundation, while the resistance levels at 1,090, 1,345.75, and 1,577 offer potential targets. Traders should monitor these levels closely and consider the projections when making trading decisions.
Market Alert: Potential Downside Ahead! The S&P 500 (SPX) just closed with a strong bearish candle, dropping -104 points (-1.71%), signaling a possible shift in momentum. The index is now testing a key support level near 6,000, and if this level breaks, we could see a sharper pullback.
📉 What’s Happening in the Market?
1️⃣ Rising Interest Rate Concerns – The Federal Reserve remains cautious about inflation, and recent economic data suggests they may keep rates higher for longer. This puts pressure on equities, especially high-growth stocks.
2️⃣ Earnings Season Uncertainty – Many companies are reporting mixed earnings, with some missing expectations. Weak guidance from major corporations could fuel more downside.
3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions & Market Volatility – Ongoing global uncertainties, such as geopolitical conflicts and supply chain disruptions, are adding risk-off sentiment to the market.
4️⃣ Technical Breakdown Risks – The SPX is currently sitting near critical support at 6,000. If this level fails, we could see further selling pressure toward 5,920 - 5,880 and possibly as low as 5,773.
🔥 What to Watch Next?
✅ Can the market hold 6,000 and bounce? Or will sellers push prices lower?
✅ Watch for reactions around 6,068 - 6,100—if the index struggles here, more downside is likely.
✅ Increased volatility means risk management is key—stay cautious, and don’t chase trades!
⚠️ Bottom Line: The market is at a turning point. If downside momentum continues, we could see a bigger correction. Stay alert and manage risk accordingly!
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 surpassed our completed Outer Index Rally threshold of 6120, rendering the Key Resistance at this level obsolete. Nevertheless, following a significant price reversal, the index breached the Mean Support level of 6049 and is approaching the critical support level established at 5995. The index could decline further, potentially reaching the Mean Support level of 5939 and the Key Support at 5827.
Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position or the Mean Support level of 5995, it may ascend to the newly established Mean Resistance level of 6082, potentially extending toward the Key Resistance level of 6143.