SOXL 1D — With a base like this, the ride’s worth itOn the daily chart of SOXL, since early March, a textbook inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed and is now in its activation phase. The left shoulder sits at $16.67, the head at $7.21, and the right shoulder at $15.11. The symmetry is classic, with volume stabilization and a narrowing range — all the elements are in place.
The key moment was the breakout through the descending daily trendline around $19.00. Price didn’t just pierce the level — it held above it, signaling a phase shift. There was an attempt to break through the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $19.60, which led to a pullback — not on heavy selling, but on decreasing volume. This wasn’t a rejection, it was a pause.
This pullback serves as a retest of the breakout zone and the 20-day moving average. The overall structure remains bullish: price stays above all key EMAs and MAs, RSI climbs past 60, and the candlestick structure is stable. Volume rises during up moves and fades during pullbacks — classic signs of reaccumulation.
The measured target from the pattern is $32.00, calculated from the head-to-neckline height projected from the breakout point. As long as price holds above $18.40, the setup remains intact. A break above $19.60 with confirmation would open the door to acceleration.
This isn’t a momentum play — it’s a setup months in the making. The structure is there, the confirmation is there, and most importantly — the price behavior makes sense. With a base like this, the ride ahead looks worth taking.
Stocks
Tesla Monthly TF (Next Target —110-140)I will not bore you with too many details. I will do an analysis based on the moving averages to support my bias, bearish at this point.
April 2024 tests EMA89 as support and this support level holds. This results in a bullish impulse.
The impulse ends December 2024. On the drop, TSLA founds support at EMA55 monthly. There is bounce at this level and this bounce ends as a lower high.
» When this happens, the next moving average in line gets tested, in this case EMA89 or a minimum of 191 as the next target.
EMA55 monthly sits at 229.88 (230). This level will fail as support, why? Because the test of it in March and April led to a lower high and this lower high will be followed by a lower low.
If TSLA had moved higher than December 2024, then any drop or correction would not go below EMA55. Since the action is ending as a lower high, then the next drop which is already underway will break through this level.
The main level for the current move sits around 110-140 based on the long-term. These levels are close to the lows in January 2023 and December 2022.
Technical analysis can help you predict a move regardless of its cause. Don't believe me? See the 'related publications'.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Tesla Daily, Update (Bearish Trend Extends)Today TSLA produced the highest bearish volume session since July 2020. This high volume and strong sellers pressure shows up to break EMA55, EMA89 and MA200 daily as support. Needless to say, this is a very strong bearish development.
The break of this long-term support comes after a major lower high. May 2025 much lower compared to December 2024.
My point is to alert you of a much stronger correction than expected on this stock. Now that MA200 has been lost as support, with the highest volume in five years after a strong lower high, we can expect the continuation of the bearish trend.
I will look at Tesla on the monthly timeframe in a separate publication.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
RIVN 1D — It’s Time to Buy: Setup UpdateThe setup on Rivian (RIVN) just got upgraded from “interesting” to “strategically significant.” We’re looking at a textbook symmetrical triangle that’s been developing since July 2023, with a clean breakout and retest on the weekly trendline.
The breakout was followed by a bullish retest, right at the intersection of the triangle base and the key trendline. Volume kicked in, price held — and that’s what smart money calls confirmation.
Now, the Golden Cross is live: the 50-day MA just crossed the 200-day MA from below. Price is confidently holding above both — momentum is shifting hard. Fibs from the bottom (10.22) to the last local top (17.05) project the first target at $17, and the extended Fibonacci confluence gives us $25.64 as a long-range goal (2.618 extension).
The weekly trendline — which acted as resistance for over a year — has flipped to support. Price action respects it, bulls are loading, and structure is clean.
This is not just a bounce. It’s a technical rotation from accumulation to expansion.
The time to talk about potential is over — price action has spoken.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 6, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S. Labor Market in Focus
Investors are closely watching the upcoming May employment report, which is expected to show a gain of 125,000 jobs, down from 177,000 in April. The unemployment rate is anticipated to remain steady at 4.2%. These figures will provide insights into the labor market's response to recent economic pressures, including tariff impacts .
🇮🇳 RBI Expected to Cut Rates Amid Low Inflation
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point cut in the repo rate on June 6, marking the third consecutive reduction. This move aims to support economic growth amid persistent low inflation and global uncertainties .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 6:
8:30 AM ET – U.S. Employment Report (May):
Analysts expect non-farm payrolls to increase by 125,000, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.2%. Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month. These figures will be critical in assessing the health of the labor market and potential Federal Reserve policy actions .
3:00 PM ET – U.S. Consumer Credit (April):
The Federal Reserve will release data on consumer credit, with forecasts predicting an increase of $10 billion. This report will shed light on consumer borrowing trends and financial health .
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
NEGG pushed up to over 100%. Why the fireNEGG pushed up to over 100%
Newegg Commerce Inc. (NASDAQ: NEGG) experienced a significant surge in its stock price on June 5, 2025, with shares rising over 100% during the trading day.
The stock opened at $6.29 and reached an intraday high of $11.50, closing at $11.33, marking a substantial increase from the previous day's close.
The dramatic increase in NEGG's stock price appears to be driven largely by retail investor enthusiasm, reminiscent of previous "meme stock" phenomena.
Such surges are often fueled by social media discussions and speculative trading, rather than fundamental business developments. --- As said by Ainvestment
Kiniksa (KNSA) – Rare Disease Revenue & Pipeline Momentum Company Overview:
Kiniksa NASDAQ:KNSA is establishing itself as a high-growth biopharma player, with a sharp focus on autoimmune and inflammatory diseases. The company’s strategy is paying off through commercial execution and a robust, de-risked pipeline.
Key Catalysts:
🏆 Arcalyst Commercial Success
Core driver in recurrent pericarditis treatment
Delivering double-digit YoY revenue growth
Expanding potential in broader inflammatory indications
🧬 Deep Clinical Pipeline
KPL-404 (anti-CD40): Targets autoimmune diseases like lupus and rheumatoid arthritis
Mavrilimumab: Late-stage potential in rare inflammatory conditions
Orphan Drug & Breakthrough Therapy designations → accelerated approvals + exclusivity
📊 Strong Earnings Momentum
Recent beat on both revenue and EPS
Reinforces credibility in commercial & clinical execution
May attract institutional investors and technical breakout traders
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $23.00–$24.00
🎯 Target Price: $38.00–$40.00
📈 Thesis Drivers: Proven revenue engine (Arcalyst), high-potential pipeline, regulatory tailwinds, and institutional attention
🔬 Kiniksa is not just a clinical-stage story—it's a commercial growth engine with rare disease upside. #KNSA #BiotechStocks #RareDisease
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5%
Yesterday, the share price of Tesla (TSLA) dropped by 3.5%, placing it among the five worst-performing stocks of the day in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). Since the peak on 29 May, the decline now totals nearly 10%.
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Are Falling
Among the bearish factors are:
→ A drop in car sales in Europe. Sales in Germany fell by 36% year-on-year in May.
→ Growing competition from China. May deliveries from Tesla’s Chinese factory were down 15% year-on-year.
→ Elon Musk’s criticism of the US President’s proposed government spending bill.
Media reports also suggest that Musk took offence at staffing decisions at NASA, while Trump is reportedly losing patience with Musk over his attacks on the spending bill.
A potential rift between Musk and Trump could have far-reaching consequences — including for TSLA shares.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart
Six days ago, we:
→ Drew an ascending channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary could pose a challenge to further gains;
→ Highlighted the $355–$375 zone (shown in purple) as a possible resistance area;
→ Suggested a correction scenario following a roughly 27% surge in TSLA’s stock price during May.
Since then, the price has dropped towards the median line of the ascending channel. If this fails to offer sufficient support, the correction may continue towards the lower boundary of the channel, which is reinforced by support around the psychological $300 level and former resistance at $290.
News related to the planned rollout of Tesla’s robotaxi trials could significantly impact TSLA’s price movements in June.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Carvana Leading Auto Retail – Outpacing LAD & AN-Financial Performance & Momentum:
Carvana reported a record-breaking adjusted EBITDA of $488M in Q1 2025, up $253M YoY, with an EBITDA margin of 11.5% (+3.8pp YoY). The company's strong operational efficiency positions it as a leader in the auto retail industry, nearly doubling the margins of competitors like Lithia Motors (LAD) and AutoNation (AN).
- Competitive Positioning & Growth Outlook:
Carvana’s EBITDA quality is superior due to lower non-cash expenses, enhancing long-term sustainability. The company expects sequential EBITDA growth in Q2 and targets 13.5% EBITDA margins within 5-10 years.
-Peer Comparison:
- Lithia Motors (LAD): EBITDA margin at 4.4% (up from 4% YoY), facing tariff-related headwinds that could impact pricing and demand.
- AutoNation (AN): SG&A as a percentage of gross profit rose to 67.5% in Q1, expected to stay between 66-67% in FY 2025, pressuring margins further.
-Options Flow & Institutional Activity - Key Levels: $350/$370
Recent institutional flow activity indicates strong positioning around $350/$370 strikes, potentially signaling a vertical spread in play rather than outright selling:
1️⃣ Momentum Confirmation:
- CVNA has strong upside momentum following its Q1 results, reinforcing a bullish outlook for near-term price action.
- Institutional traders may be accumulating bullish vertical spreads rather than unwinding positions.
Vertical Spread Setup ($350/$370 Strikes)
- Long Call ($350 Strike) → Signals expectations for further upside.
- Short Call ($370 Strike) → Caps max profit while reducing cost.
- Breakeven Price: $359 → CVNA must close above $359 for profitability.
Profit & Risk Zones
- Above $370: Maximum profit achieved.
- Between $359-$370: Partial profit zone (spread remains in play).
- Below $359: Spread loses value, making recovery dependent on extended upside momentum.
Ending Diagonal Complete? Bounce Toward 1.60 AheadBTAI has likely completed an impulsive 5-wave decline followed by an ABC corrective structure. The final leg (v) of the downtrend appears to have ended near $1.35, where price action shows a reversal signal.
Currently, price is attempting to recover and may retest the descending trendline and previous structure zone near $1.60 — a level that served as strong support previously and now acts as resistance.
If the price breaks this zone with volume confirmation, it could trigger a short-term bullish breakout. Until then, this is considered a corrective rally within the broader downtrend.
Key Levels:
Support: $1.35
Resistance: $1.60
Target: $1.60 (potential +16%)
Conclusion:
A short-term bounce is unfolding. Watch $1.60 for reaction — rejection or breakout will determine the next leg.
Hedge funds are unusually bearish and here's why...We have a huge dealing range to short into and still remain bullish, it's basically free money on technical retracement/correction while not ruining the market.
The retailers have been buying since April but there is no institutional orderflow evidenced by no peak above average volume levels.
Technicals will reign supreme here. Trump is either trolling about the rate decrease or he has no idea about chart technicals 😮💨. I bet he's trolling, as he has cabinets on cabinets of market advisors who know fully how correction cycles work.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 5, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings Surprise to Upside
U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose to 7.39 million in April—well above forecasts—indicating that labor demand remains robust despite macro headwinds and trade-policy uncertainty
🛢️ OPEC+ Greenlights July Supply Increase
OPEC+ agreed to boost production by 411 K barrels per day starting in July, adding downward pressure to oil prices and weighing on energy equities
📈 Fed’s John Williams Signals Patience
New York Fed President John Williams reiterated that the Fed sees no urgency to cut rates, citing mixed inflation signals and a balanced labor market—keeping investors cautious on rate-cut timing
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, June 5:
8:30 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (April)
Measures total U.S. job vacancies, a leading indicator of labor-market strength.
10:00 AM ET – OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting)
Details on production quotas for July, guiding energy market supply expectations.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
$5 to $26 big +400% day for $MULNThe biggest mover of the entire stock market NASDAQ:MULN with huge 400% squeeze. Mentioned probable bounce from $14.50 in chat, then double bottom possibility and stronger bounce from $14.50 again, after double bottom was confirmed it rocketed beyond $20 and $25.
It closed the day right at same $14.50 area once again, we'll see how it trades tomorrow.
"GOOGL Technical Play: MA Bounce for Swing Traders!"🚀 GOOGL Stock Heist: The Ultimate AI & Ad-Tech Gold Rush (Swing Trade Plan)
🌟 Market Pirates, Ready to Raid? 🏴☠️💰
🔥 Thief Trading Blueprint for GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.)
🎯 Entry (The Vault is Open!)
Pullback Breakout Strategy:
Buy Zone: Wait for a pullback near the Moving Average "Wall" (e.g., 200-day LSMA, depending on trend alignment).
Confirmation: Enter long if price bounces off the MA with volume support or breaks above a tight consolidation.
Exact Entry: $175.00 (key psychological level + MA confluence). Use buy limits for precision.
Breakout Add-On: If GOOGL clears $180 with momentum, consider adding to the position.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
SL: Place below the recent swing low (4H/1D timeframe) or 2-3% below entry (~$170.50 if entering at $175).
Trailing SL: Adjust upward as price climbs to lock profits.
🏆 Target 🎯: $200.00 (The Ad-Tech & AI Jackpot!)
Why $200?
Cantor Fitzgerald’s bullish $200 target for NVDA reflects AI-sector optimism—similar tailwinds apply to GOOGL (AI integration in ads, cloud, and Gemini AI growth) 5.
Resistance levels and institutional liquidity zones align with this round-number target.
📈 Why GOOGL?
AI & Cloud Momentum: Google Cloud + Gemini AI adoption mirrors NVDA’s AI hype 15.
Technical Strength: Reclaimed 200-day SMA? Check for higher lows and sector leadership (like NVDA’s recent behavior) 314.
Fundamental Catalyst: Upcoming earnings or AI partnership announcements could fuel FOMO.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid news spikes: Earnings/regulatory news = volatility traps.
Scale out: Take partial profits at $190, let runners aim for $200.
💥 Pirate’s Bonus
Like/Boost if this plan helps! More heists incoming (TSLA? AAPL?). Stay tuned!
PALANTIR: Bullish breakout to $260 imminent.Palantir is on a strong bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.809, MACD = 6.320, ADX = 29.658) as it maintaines a Channel Up pattern that is supported by the 1D MA50. The starting point was of course the April 7th 2025 bottom and it looks very similar to the previous major bottom on the 1D MA200 on August 5th 2024. Expect the same total rise (+299%) before the next 1D MA50 test. TP = 260.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NuScale Power Corp. (SMR) – Leading the Nuclear RenaissanceCompany Overview:
NuScale NYSE:SMR is pioneering small modular reactor (SMR) technology—offering a scalable, carbon-free solution for baseload energy at a time when AI, quantum computing, and data centers are driving unprecedented power demand.
Key Catalysts:
Regulatory Leadership 🏛️
Only SMR design approved by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) ✅
Creates a regulatory moat—a multi-year head start over competitors
Enhances institutional credibility and accelerates deployment
Global Flagship Project: RoPower, Romania 🇷🇴
462 MW project → pre-orders already underway
Final investment decision by year-end could validate tech and unlock global markets
First major deployment in Europe signals international expansion readiness
Explosive Growth Outlook 🚀
77% forecasted revenue CAGR through 2025 vs. industry avg of 8.3%
62% reduction in per-share losses expected → strong operating leverage
Positioned to meet clean energy mandates and private sector demands for resilient, low-carbon power
Investment Outlook:
✅ Bullish Above: $27.00–$28.00
🎯 Price Target: $48.00–$50.00
📈 Thesis Drivers: First-mover advantage, regulatory approval, and global SMR project pipeline
⚛️ NuScale isn’t just building reactors—it’s building the future of energy. #SMR #NuclearEnergy #CleanPower
META Formed 1st 4H Golden Cross since Jan 2023!Meta Platforms (META) just completed yesterday its first 4H Golden in almost 2.5 years (since January 24 2023), flashing the strongest bullish signal it could at the moment!
Practically that Golden Cross was formed directly after the November 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis. The 4H RSI patterns between the two time periods are identical, so it is highly likely to see the market repeat that price action.
That suggests that the immediate Target on what seems to be an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is the 1.1 Fibonacci extension at $770.00, as META did on February 03 2023.
On the long-term and assuming a favorable macro environment (Trade Deals, Rate Cuts) it could reach the 1.786 Fibonacci extension a little over $1000, before the next major market correction.
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ABBV - Are you Ready?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈ABBV has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the red and blue channels.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong round number $150 and structure!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ABBV approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
JNJ - Macro View 🌐Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 JNJ has exhibited an overall bullish trend, trading within the ascending wedge pattern outlined in blue. It is presently nearing the lower boundary/blue trendline.
At present, JNJ is undergoing a correction phase and is trading within the descending red channel. It is currently approaching the lower limit and a highlighted demand zone in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue and red trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As JNJ approaches the lower purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ebay is on sale 🛒Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EBAY has exhibited an overall bullish trend , trading above the orange and blue trendlines.
At present, EBAY is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching a strong support zone 30 - 34
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue and orange trendlines acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EBAY approaches the lower red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 4, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🌐 Markets Rally on Chinese PMI Surprise
China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly climbed to 50.8 in May, signaling expansion in smaller export-focused factories. Asian markets jumped, lifting U.S. equity futures as investors recalibrated global growth expectations .
📉 U.S. Factory Orders Remain Soft
April’s U.S. Factory Orders fell 0.4%, underscoring persistent weakness in industrial demand amid elevated input costs and trade uncertainty. Declines in durable-goods orders weighed on industrial stocks .
🏦 Fed’s Bowman to Speak on Economic Outlook
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is scheduled to deliver remarks at 2:00 PM ET, likely emphasizing caution on future rate moves given mixed data. Markets will watch for any shifts in tone regarding inflation risks and labor-market resilience .
🛢️ Oil Prices Slip on Rising U.S. Inventories
U.S. crude inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, according to API data, pressuring oil prices lower and dragging energy shares down as supply concerns outweighed strong demand signals .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 4:
2:00 PM ET – Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks
Remarks on economic outlook and monetary policy, watched for any hints on the Fed’s next moves.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis