Stocks
AliBABA Remains In A Larger Bullish Triangle PatternAlibaba is up after the company releases AI model it says surpasses DeepSeek-v3.
Alibaba with ticker BABA is trading sideways for two years, but we are tracking a larger bullish ABCDE triangle pattern in circled wave B before we will see a continuation higher for circled wave C.
With recent rebound away from the lower triangle line due to the release of AI model that surpasses DeepSeek, seems like subwave C is finished and it's now rising within wave D which can recover the price back to the upper triangle line before we will see another and final wave E slow down to complete a triangle in circled wave B.
NVIDIA hit its 1W MA50 after 2 years! One last rally left?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened significantly lower on Monday following the DeepSeek news on more efficient and lower cost A.I. competition and by doing so, the price hit its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 years, resulting in Tuesday's very strong rebound.
We have to go back to the week of January 23 2023 to see NVDA trading again on the 1W MA50, which became the major Support of the Channel Up pattern that took it off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom.
So the question is, does NVIDIA have fuel left in the tank for one more rally? Technically the answer is yes and it can be found on the stock's price action since July 2015. As you can see, the price has gone through 3 similar eras of Bull Cycles through Channel Up patterns and subsequent Bear Cycles of strong corrections that touched the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before initiating the new Bull.
From the Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle's top, NVIDIA took around 1100 days (1162 during the 2015 - 2018 Cycle and 1071 during the 2019 - 2021 Cycle). Assuming the current Cycle will be at least as long as the last one (1071 days), the stock's Top is expected to be around September 2015.
It was in fact around this time during the last Cycle (Feb 2021) when NVIDIA touched again its 1W MA50, resulting into a new rally phase, the last one of the Cycle. This historic price action shows that during its last year, the stock always makes a January - Oct/Nov rally. When the 1W MA50 gets hit again, it is when the new Bear Cycle is confirmed.
As a result, based on this data set, we've entered NVIDIA's final rally of the Cycle, assuming of course it doesn't close a candle below the 1W MA50 and also that the 1M RSI recovers its MA trend-line (yellow), which also happened again during its previous Cycle.
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RTX Bullish Momentum – Move Toward $131.00 ExpectedNYSE:RTX is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, supported by moving averages and consistent upward strength in price action. The recent push above $125 confirms that buyers are in control, and suggests a likely continuation toward the $131.00 level.
A pullback toward $125–126 could provide an opportunity for buyers to step in, maintaining the rally's trajectory.
This setup aligns with the expectation of a bullish continuation, offering a potential long opportunity if pullbacks or consolidations occur near current levels.
Nvidia could still be seriously overvaluedIf the release of DeepSeek's AI models really is as disruptive as some suspect, Nvidia bulls could be seriously questioning if they want to hold onto the stock for the long haul. And that means some bulls could be looking to offload into a bounce while bears seek to fade into them. I highlight some key levels for bears to keep an eye on.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst City Index and Forex.com
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.29.2025🔮
📅 Wed Jan 29
⏰ 2:00pm
📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%)
📜 FOMC Statement
⏰ 2:30pm
🎙️ FOMC Press Conference
💡 Global Events:
🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting: Market-moving interest rate decision and policy updates.
🇪🇺 Eurozone GDP: Preliminary Q4 GDP data for the Eurozone could impact global sentiment.
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down to EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Semis haven't recovered yet, so there's a leg higher in the markets. Looking for a chop after.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a massive recovery in 1-2 days and go back to 6050.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
NVIDIA Retesting The Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NVIDIA gapped down massively
On the DeepSeek news and
Went further down after the
Opening, but then a gap closing
Move started and the price is now
Retesting the horizontal resistance
Around 130/132$ which also
Happens to be the gap's opening
Level so based on technical analysis
We might be expecting a local
Bearish pullback from the resistance
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Micron Technology - The Textbook Chart!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past seven year, Micron Technology has been respecting a pretty clear rising channel pattern. With the recent all time high breakout, it is very likely that this level is now holding as support and we will eventually see a rejection and new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $90, $180
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
SCHW's Weekly Pour: A Cup, a Handle, and a Bullish Refill?Been tracking SCHW, and this chart is shaping up to be something big—potentially a breakout from a range that’s been developing since early 2022. Price is pressing up against key resistance around $95-$100, and a clean break above this level could confirm a multi-year breakout, opening up the possibility of a much larger trend move. With Fibonacci extensions lining up at $150 and $200, this could be one of those slow-burn setups that eventually pays off in a big way. Let’s break it down.
Fibonacci Extensions and Multi-Year Price Targets
The way this chart is structured, $95-$100 is the final boss. If price convincingly clears that level, it breaks a massive range that’s been in place for over two years. If that happens, $150 (the 161.8% Fib extension) and $200 (the 261.8% extension) are the next major upside targets. These aren’t short-term price points—this is the kind of move that could play out over multiple years. But historically, when a stock coils for this long and then breaks out, the measured move potential is huge.
Moving Averages and Long-Term Trend Shift
Right now, we’ve got price trading above both the 50-week and 200-week moving averages, signaling that momentum has already started to shift. The 50-week MA is curling upwards, and if we see it hold above the 200-week, that would mark a long-term trend shift that typically aligns with sustained upside moves.
Mapping Out the Breakout Scenarios
If we do get a breakout, here’s how I see it playing out:
1️⃣ Break Above $100 → Multi-Year Uptrend Begins – A confirmed break and hold above $100 shifts the entire structure bullish, setting up an eventual run to $150 and possibly $200 over the next couple of years. This would be the full resolution of the pattern that has been developing since early 2022.
2️⃣ Rejection at $95-$100 → Pullback Before Breakout – If price gets stuffed at resistance, we could see a pullback to the $75-$80 zone before another breakout attempt later in 2025. This would act as a final shakeout before the bigger move.
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All eyes on $95-$100. That’s the level that determines whether this just grinds sideways for another year or finally starts a major new uptrend. If it breaks, we’ve got a clear roadmap to $150 and $200 in the coming years.
Curious if anyone else is watching this. Are we about to see the start of something big, or is there one more fakeout before the real move?
Not financial advice. Just charting things out. Let’s see what happens.
APPLE Strong buy on the 1D MA200 targeting $260.Apple Inc. (AAPL) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and the recent correction since the December 26 All Time High (ATH) is its technical Bearish Leg. The price posted a strong rebound yesterday following a test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the first such contact since May 08 2024.
With the 1D RSI touching the oversold barrier (30.000) and rebounding, this is technically a strong buy opportunity at least for the medium-term, as it's not a direct Higher Low of the Channel Up.
Since December already completed a +59% rise from the April 19 2024 Low, we might be having technically a medium-term rebound similar to the October 26 2023 one that re-tested the High's Resistance (at the time). As you can see both corrections have hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
As a result, we treat this as a solid buy opportunity to target $260.
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NVIDIA (NVDA): DeepSeek’s AI Shakeup Sends Nvidia PlummetingNvidia is down an astonishing 15% in just a few hours. The primary driver? Fundamentally, the announcement of Chinese startup DeepSeek has sent shockwaves through the market. This previously unknown company reportedly holds a significant number of Nvidia chips and claims to have developed an AI superior to ChatGPT with just a $6 million investment. This disrupts the entire tech landscape, as companies like Google and others are pouring billions into AI research and development. The news casts doubt on the competitive edge of industry giants, and Nvidia is caught in the crossfire, given its strong ties to AI development and chip demand.
From a technical perspective, Nvidia recently respected the upper boundary of its volume profile but failed to break above it—a likely factor contributing to this sell-off, though the DeepSeek announcement remains the major catalyst. The price has now dropped back to the Point of Control (POC) at $120, leaving a significant gap behind.
While a complete gap fill would be surprising in the short term, it’s not out of the question. However, we’re not looking to catch a falling knife here. Given the uncertainty around potential developments with DeepSeek, caution is important.
Our current plan is as follows: We are keeping the stop-loss for our first position at $114.50 to limit risk. A second entry is being considered in the range between $111 and $106.70, as this aligns well with both the wave ((ii)) structure and the volume profile.
This plan is not yet finalised, as we’re closely monitoring how the situation unfolds. For now, patience is key, given the volatility and the ongoing uncertainty.
Technical Analysis on SBC Medical Group (28/01/2025)Neutral Outlook with Key Support at 5.00–5.08
Price Action Analysis
SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated (NASDAQ: SBC) is currently trading at 5.08 on the day. Over the past week, the stock has shown consolidation within a narrow range of
5.02–5.13, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers. The 1-hour chart highlights a lack of decisive momentum, with prices hovering near the $5.08 level, suggesting short-term indecision in the market.
Immediate Support: The 5.00–5.02 zone has emerged as a critical floor, with the stock rebounding from this level multiple times in recent sessions. A sustained break below $5.00 could signal bearish pressure.
Resistance: The upper boundary lies at 5.08–5.13, where the stock has faced selling interest. A close above 5.13 level may retest the previous high in November levels.
Trading volume remains subdued, averaging between 33,950–38,980 shares, consistent with consolidation phases. The absence of significant volume spikes indicates limited institutional participation and reinforces the neutral near-term bias.
While momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are not explicitly provided, the sideways price action suggests a neutral RSI reading (near 50), aligning with the lack of overbought or oversold conditions.
SBC’s price action reflects a “wait-and-see” approach among market participants. For now, the stock appears anchored near its 5.08 pivot point level. Traders may consider range-bound strategies (e.g., buying near 5.02) until a breakout occurs.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.28.2024🔮
📅 Tue Jan 28
⏰ 10:00am
📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7)
💡 Global Events:
🚩 China PMI: Key manufacturing data impacting global growth.
🍵 U.K. Business Report: Updates on investments and pensions.
📊 Earnings: GM and LMT pre-market results.
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
NVIDIA: Crashed on the 1D MA200 after 2 years. Last stand.NVIDIA is approaching oversold valuations on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.351, MACD = -0.820, ADX = 27.301) following the DeepSeek news and breached its 1D MA200 for the first time in 2 years. It was January 13th 2023 when we last saw the price trading on this trendline. The 1W MA50 is just a click under and there is no other way to put it than this being NVDA's last hold. The stock is at -23% from its ATH and the pattern that has to hold in order to provide an immediate rebound is the Megaphone whose LL trendline we just hit today. As long as this holds and the 1D RSI starts reversing near the oversold level, NVIDIA should technically test the 153.00 Resistance in a month or so. Failure to hold this pattern and a weekly candle closing under the 1W MA50, may result in a bubble burst and test of the 101.50 and 91.50 support levels.
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US500 - Short-Term Pain!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈US500 has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the blue channel.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US500 approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
If the blue intersection is broken downward, a deeper correction towards the green intersection would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Spire Global, Inc. NYSE:SPIR is a leader in satellite-powered data and analytics, offering actionable insights for industries such as agriculture, maritime, and energy. Its innovative solutions and strong market presence position Spire as a key player in leveraging space technology for solving critical challenges.
Key Catalysts:
Record Bookings and Demand Growth:
Spire achieved record Q3 2024 bookings of $40 million, reflecting strong customer demand for its satellite-powered analytics solutions.
Continued growth in industries like climate monitoring and supply chain optimization underscores Spire’s market relevance.
Strategic NASA Partnership:
A contract with NASA to deploy wildfire-detecting satellites highlights Spire’s leadership in addressing environmental challenges.
Plans to launch eight satellites by 2025 further strengthen its environmental solutions portfolio.
Maritime Business Sale:
The $241 million sale of Spire’s maritime business allows the company to:
Retire all outstanding debt, significantly improving its financial stability.
Focus resources on high-growth opportunities like space-based data analytics and environmental applications.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SPIR above the $15.50-$16.00 range, driven by its innovative solutions, increasing demand, and strengthened financial position post-maritime business sale.
Upside Potential: Our target for SPIR is $26.00-$27.00, supported by its NASA partnership, continued booking momentum, and focus on tackling global challenges with satellite technology.
🚀 SPIR—Transforming Insights with Space-Powered Innovation. #SpaceTech #SatelliteData #Innovation