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Tech on the Edge: SMH vs. QQQ Signals Caution Amid Bull MarketIntroduction: While we remain enthusiastic about the strength of the current bull market, emerging signs of stress in capital flows warrant a closer look, particularly in the tech sector. One key metric to monitor is the ratio between semiconductors (SMH) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). This ratio acts as a barometer for tech sector health: when SMH outperforms QQQ, it indicates a risk-on environment; conversely, QQQ outperforming SMH raises caution flags. Analysis: Tech Sector Barometer: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a reliable indicator of momentum in the tech sector. Outperformance by SMH reflects strong demand for semiconductors and broader tech health, while underperformance signals potential concerns. Emerging Concern: Currently, we’re observing the potential development of a rounding top formation in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio. While this formation isn’t confirmed, a breakdown below key support would validate it, signaling broader weakness in the tech sector. Critical Inflection Point: For now, chip bulls must take control and push this ratio higher to maintain sector strength and prevent a broader pullback in the market. Failure to do so could signal a shift in sentiment and increased vulnerability in tech stocks. Conclusion: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is at a critical juncture, with the potential to dictate near-term momentum in the tech sector. While the bull market remains intact, any confirmed weakness in this ratio could signal broader vulnerability in tech stocks. Will chip bulls step up to defend the sector, or are we on the cusp of a pullback? Share your thoughts below! Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the potential rounding top formation, and key support levels) Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:SMH
by Richtv_official
BYD Co. (BYDDY) AnalysisCompany Overview: BYD Co. (Build Your Dreams), a leader in electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy, has firmly established itself as a global powerhouse in the EV market. Known for its vertically integrated model and diverse vehicle lineup, BYD continues to expand its dominance across key regions, solidifying its position as a top competitor in the EV and clean energy sectors. Key Developments: Market Leadership: OTC:BYDDY has surpassed Tesla as the world's largest EV seller, delivering 822,094 vehicles in Q3 2023 compared to Tesla's 435,059 deliveries. This achievement highlights BYD's growing global market share and its ability to meet surging demand, even in a highly competitive industry. Diverse Product Lineup: BYD’s expansive vehicle range—from affordable compact cars to luxury models—appeals to a broad consumer base, reducing its dependence on a single market segment. This diversification strengthens its resilience and positions the company to capture additional market share across income brackets. International Expansion: BYD is aggressively entering new markets, including Europe, Southeast Asia, and Latin America, tapping into regions with rising EV adoption rates. This international growth strategy provides BYD with new revenue streams, insulating it from potential regional economic fluctuations. Rising EV Demand: With global EV adoption continuing to accelerate, BYD benefits from a tailwind of policy support for renewable energy and consumer demand for eco-friendly transportation options. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on BYDDY above the $62.00-$63.00 range, driven by its market leadership, product diversification, and robust international growth strategy. Upside Potential: Our price target is set at $123.00-$125.00, reflecting the company’s potential to capitalize on its global expansion and strengthen its position as the top EV maker worldwide. 🚗 BYD—Driving the Future of EVs Globally! #ElectricVehicles #BYD #CleanEnergyRevolution
OTC:BYDDYLong
by Richtv_official
ELI LILLY has at least +50% upside from here.Eli Lilly (LLY) has been trading within a 5-year Channel Up and last week closed below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 06 2023. Despite the bearish pressure of this Bearish Leg since July 15 2024, that last 1W MA50 closing was the previous Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up. The 1W RSI is on a similar level (just below 40.00) with all previous 4 major bottoms and the common characteristic of all was that the stock broke below the 1W MA50 but managed to keep clear and hold the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), practically the most important Support level of the market. If you want a confirmed buy entry, you might want to wait for yet another Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD (as it happened on all previous bottoms), otherwise this buy opportunity is good to go for at least +58% from the bottom (minimum rise among those 4 Bullish Legs). Our Target is $1135. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:LLYLong
by TradingShot
5
NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system. This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release. Have fun. This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by BradMatheny
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish. Levels to watch: $80, $115 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
12
The Rally May Run Out of SteamFundamental Background According to CNBC, analysts at Morgan Stanley have conducted a study on how the tariff plans announced by Donald Trump during his campaign might affect the U.S. economy and the stock market. Among the initiatives of the president-elect: Implementing a general tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods; Introducing additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods imported from China. According to Seth Carpenter, the chief global economist at Morgan Stanley, such plans: May eliminate the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025 and also limit economic growth; Threaten to reduce U.S. economic growth by 2026; Will lead to increased inflation; Will put pressure on the automotive industry, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, and retail sectors. It is expected that the costs to manufacturers will be passed on to consumers. Consequently, this implies a negative outlook for the U.S. stock market as there is a high likelihood that the tariffs will reduce investment attractiveness and increase the cost of borrowing for companies, negatively impacting the stock market. Technical Analysis In 2024, the price formed a broad ascending channel (shown in blue); Throughout October, the price was "magnetized" to the median line and formed a narrower channel between the Resistance and Support lines; Against the backdrop of the presidential elections, the price surged to a peak on November 11th, but then returned to the median line. The line around 20,941 level briefly acted as support, but the price failed to sustain above it. Could the bears' attempt to break away from the median line's pull be more successful? Cyclical Analysis Cyclical Chart Predicts a Decline in the Nasdaq Index Conclusions While the chart currently shows no clear signs of bearish activity, the facts presented above suggest that the vigorous bull market observed throughout 2024 may run out of steam.
NASDAQ:NDX
by fintechzoom
$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high. My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher​​. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.
NYSE:VRT
by jBTCkingaling
1
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone. Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave. For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability. The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory. The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround. We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
NASDAQ:QCOM
by freeguy_by_wmc