JPM: Overbought on 1M. Buying becomes risky now.JP Morgan is almost overbought on its 1M technical outlook (RSI = 69.452, MACD = 20.800, ADX = 54.049), trading very close to the top of the 12 year Channel Up. Being overbought on the wider/ longest timeframe available, indicates trend exhastion and a potential bearish reversal. Basically, we continue to use the same pattern that helped us get a strong buy last time and this time it shows that the last two times the 1M RSI was this overbought, the stock pulled back to at least the 0.236 Fibonacci level. Consequently we expect a lengthy but relatively controlled correction to start in the coming candles to test the 0.236 Fib and approach the 1M MA50 (TP = 187.00).
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NETFLIX Earnings is setting it up for $840.Netflix (NFLX) is already one of the big winners of the earnings season as it announced Q3 results that exceeded expectations and saw the price up by more than +11.00% on Friday. Even technically that is a big win as the rebound came from a Thursday test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), the first in 2 months (since August 14).
The stock has been trading within a Channel Up for a whole year (since the October 18 2023 Low) and now has the perfect fundamental excuse to aim higher. The 1D RSI shows a similar pattern so all previous bottoms with the Channel Up (Aug 05 2024, April 22 2024, January 17 2024, October 18 2023) so either a 3.0 Fibonacci extension or a +25% rise is expected.
This time both happen to be just over $840.00, so we can claim that this is a reasonable target to aim for during this Bullish Leg.
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SoFi Technologies (SOFI) AnalysisCompany Overview: SoFi Technologies NASDAQ:SOFI has been on an impressive growth trajectory, with its member base increasing by over 40% year-over-year to reach 8.8 million as of Q2 2024. This significant expansion underscores SoFi's ability to not only acquire new members but also retain and cross-sell to its user base, positioning the company as a major player in the fintech space.
Key Catalysts:
Product Mix Shift: The strategic shift from a reliance on lending products to a broader array of financial services products—which now outpace lending offerings—boosts margins and improves the lifetime value of SoFi’s customers. This diversification strengthens the company's business model by lowering its dependence on traditional loans.
Earnings Momentum: SoFi has consistently outperformed earnings expectations, evidenced by 11 upward revisions in the last 90 days. This signals strong financial management and operational efficiency, which is expected to drive further investor confidence.
Growing Member Base: SoFi's ability to grow its member base at a 40% annual rate is a clear sign of the company’s competitive advantage in the fintech space, particularly through the seamless cross-selling of products across its ecosystem.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on SOFI above $9.00-$10.00, as the company’s ability to grow its member base and shift to higher-margin products sets the stage for sustained growth and stock appreciation. Upside Potential: Our upside target for SOFI is $15.00-$16.00, driven by strong earnings performance, a diversified product mix, and expanding membership, all of which contribute to improving financial metrics and stock valuation.
🚀 SOFI—Fintech Leader on a High-Growth Path. #Fintech #FinancialServices #EarningsOutperformance
$NQ outlook headed into OCT. 21 WEEKMarket structure still shows us that it is bullish based on Technicals.
No catalyst yet for a big bearish move/correction/pullback.
Friday ended as an inside bar /1 / harami.
Means an explosive move is coming.
Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday.
The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs.
Rejection off the order blocks from April time frame and the SEPT bounce off the imbalance created in AUG.
There's no real catalyst 'yet' for a big bearish move.
I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ
Similar to my NASDAQ:QQQ post a week ago, price is still respecting the upward trendline which is now annotated with the green triangle.
Watch for price for the rest of OCT attempt to take out ATH (Liquidity) at 20983.75 and potentially reverse/stall at 21,000. Why that number? Psychological level along with where many algos most likely set their orders along with those who went short at ATH set their stops ABOVE entry.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE but an OPINION.
#SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
$SPY Outlook for OCT 21, 2024AMEX:SPY headed into this week is an inside bar / 1 / harami.
Means an explosive move is coming.
Got a 2-1-2 going into Monday.
The overall market structure is still bullish with higher lows and higher highs.
There's no real catalyst ' yet ' for a big bearish move.
I'd watch how Sunday night's global opens and see what transpires during the London session of NYSE:ES SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ
There still a GAP downside that was not completely filled last week.
#SPY is in this rising wedge pattern and been respecting the TL (Green/Red).
The pivot for SPY will be 583.99 - 584.55.
If the bulls hold above that, you will see 585.39 get taken and then potentially 586.12. Failure by the bears to stop the move up and 587/587.35/588 will be on the path.
If the bears take control and break the pivot zone, then you will see 583.67 / 583.2 / 582.6 / 582.33 and 581.82 / 581.5 / 580.9
Market Structure starts to change with a break of 582.16.
A true MSS comes at 565 break.
Keep in mind, there is a divergence between NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY
This is NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE!
#SPY #MSFT NASDAQ:AAPL #AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN #AMZN NASDAQ:QQQ #QQQ #ICT NYSE:ES #ES SP:SPX #SPX #thestrat SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ AMEX:SPY #NQ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD #NVDA #AMD
GME Approaching Key Support: Will Buyers Step In?In my analysis of GME, I’ve identified a green support zone that could be crucial for the next price movement. If the price returns to this level, we might see a rebound as buyers could be attracted to this key area. This support has been significant in the past, and if it holds, it could trigger renewed bullish momentum. Keep an eye on this zone for a potential buying opportunity when the price revisits it.
SWING IDEA - CAPRI GLOBAL CAPITALCapri Global Capital , a prominent non-banking financial company (NBFC), is showing technical indicators that suggest a promising swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
200 Zone is a Strong Support Zone : The 200 level has been established as a strong support zone, providing a solid base for potential upward movement.
Bullish Engulfing on Daily Timeframe : The formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
Support at 50 EMA : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA), reinforcing the bullish sentiment and providing a strong support level.
0.618 Fibonacci Support : The stock is finding support at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a key area where prices often bounce back, indicating potential for an upward move.
Increase in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move and indicates growing investor interest.
Target - 250 // 290
Stoploss - weekly close below 197
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
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SWING IDEA - EQUITAS SMALL FINANCE BANKEquitas Small Finance Bank , a leading small finance bank in India, is showing promising signs for a potential swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
75 Zone as a Strong Support Zone : The 75 level has proven to be a solid support zone, providing a strong foundation for a potential upward move.
Bullish Hammer on Weekly Timeframe : The formation of a bullish hammer on the weekly chart, which also engulfed the previous week's candle, indicates strong buying pressure and a potential reversal from the support level.
0.5 Fibonacci Support : The stock is currently resting at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a key area where buyers often step in to push the price higher.
Gradual Uptick in Volumes : An increasing volume trend suggests growing investor interest, further supporting the potential for a bullish move.
Target - 95 // 105 // 115
Stoploss - weekly close below 72
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Titagarh Rail systems catching the train. Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd. operates as a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of freight wagons, passenger coaches, and steel castings. It operates through the following segments: Freight Rolling Stock, Passenger Rolling Stock, Shipbuilding, and Others. The Others segment includes miscellaneous items like specialized equipment's for defence, bridge girders, tractors, and others.
Titagarh Rail Systems Ltd CMP is 1197.50. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth AND Strong Annual EPS Growth. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=55.3), High promoter stock pledges AND Companies seeing significant coronavirus impact.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1283. Targets in the stock will be 1338, 1509 AND 1596. The long-term target in the stock will be 1710, 1795 AND 1876. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1049.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Kopran can climb further. Kopran Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacturing of pharmaceuticals and related products. It operates through the following business units: Formulations, and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients. The firm's products include Amyn, Lokit, and Ciproquin.
Kopran Ltd CMP is 320. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth AND Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash AND Stocks in the sell zone based on days traded at current PE and P/BV.
Entry can be taken after closing above 321. Targets in the stock will be 330 and 342. The long-term target in the stock will be 352 AND 368. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 291.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 18, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week’s trading session, the index demonstrated substantial strength by exceeding the Outer Index Rally level of 5840 and achieving the subsequent milestone at 5861. This accomplishment will likely precipitate a squeeze toward the Mean Support level 5818. This support is crucial for facilitating the primary recovery and advancing into the next phase of the bullish trend.
SMCI at a Critical Support: Will Buyers Return?In the daily time frame, SMCI is approaching a key support zone, highlighted in green. This area previously acted as strong resistance, with several attempts to break above it. Although the price hasn’t returned to this zone yet, I believe once it does, buyers could step in again. This level has proven significant before, and if the price revisits this support, it could present a potential buying opportunity. Keep an eye on this zone, as it may signal a shift in momentum if buyers come back. This version reflects that the price hasn’t yet revisited the support zone.
Walt Disney Co | DISThe Walt Disney Company is reportedly exploring options to sell or find a joint venture partner for its India digital and TV business, reflecting the company's ongoing strategic evaluation of its operations in the region. The talks are still in the early stages, with no specific buyer or partner identified yet. The outcome and direction of the process remain uncertain. Internally, discussions have commenced within Disney's headquarters in the United States as executives deliberate on the most viable course of action. These deliberations signify the company's willingness to adapt and optimize its business operations to align with changing market dynamics. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 11 that Disney had engaged with at least one bank to explore potential avenues for assisting the growth of its India business while sharing the associated costs. This approach suggests a proactive stance by the company to explore partnerships or arrangements that can drive growth while minimizing financial burdens. While it is too early to ascertain the exact direction this exploration will take, the developments in Disney's India business warrant attention, as they may shape the future landscape of the company's presence in this all-important region.
The ongoing shift from traditional TV to streaming has placed Disney and its competitors in a costly and transformative phase. As part of this transition, Disney is actively cutting costs amid macroeconomic challenges that have impacted its advertising revenue and subscriber growth. CEO Bob Iger has been at the forefront of these changes, and his contract was recently extended through 2026 to allow him sufficient time to make transformative changes while strengthening the bench with future leaders of the company.
One of the key considerations for Disney is evaluating its portfolio of TV networks, including ABC and ESPN. Bob Iger has expressed a willingness to be expansive in assessing the traditional TV business, leaving open the possibility of selling certain networks while retaining others acknowledging that networks like ABC may not be core to Disney's new business model. ESPN, as a cable TV channel, is being approached differently. Disney is open to exploring strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures or offloading ownership stakes, to navigate the challenges faced by the sports network. CEO Iger, who had previously expressed pessimism about the future of traditional TV, has found the situation to be worse than anticipated since his return to Disney.
Although the linear networks segment, which accounts for Disney's TV properties such as ABC, National Geographic, FX, and FreeForm, has struggled to grow in the recent past, this segment is still an important part of the company's business, which is evident from the positive operating income reported by this segment in fiscal 2022. As below data reveals, the DTC business and content licensing made operating losses in FY 2022 which were offset by the operating income reported by linear networks. For this reason, investors will have to closely monitor a potential sale of TV assets to evaluate the impact of such a decision on Disney's profitability.
The broadcasting landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with uncertainties surrounding its future and the changing nature of consumer preferences. While linear television channels are not expected to disappear immediately, their consumption continues to decline as viewers increasingly favor OTT platforms. This transition represents a fundamental trend shaping the industry. In terms of business models, subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) services will continue to grow with targeted advertising.
As the ascent of streaming video continues, cable, satellite, and internet TV providers in the United States faced their most significant subscriber losses to date in the first quarter of 2023. Analyst estimates indicate a collective shedding of 2.3 million customers during this period. Consequently, the total penetration of pay-TV services in occupied U.S. households, including internet-based services like YouTube TV and Hulu, dropped to its lowest point since 1992, standing at 58.5%, according to Moffett's calculations.
In Q1, pay-TV services in the U.S. witnessed a nearly 7% decline in customers compared to the previous year, with cable TV operators experiencing a 9.9% decline, while satellite providers DirecTV and Dish Network registered subscriber losses of 13.4%. Virtual MVPDs, which are multichannel video programming distributors, also suffered significant losses, shedding 264,000 customers during the quarter. Comcast, the largest pay-TV provider in the country, lost 614,000 video customers in Q1, and Google's YouTube TV was the only tracked provider to experience subscriber growth, adding an estimated 300,000 subscribers during the period. These trends illustrate the challenges faced by the pay-TV industry, with factors like increasing sports-broadcast fees driving retail prices higher, leading to cord-cutting and subsequent price adjustments by distributors. By 2026, e-Marketer predicts that the number of non-pay TV households will surpass pay TV households by over 25 million.
In efforts to achieve profitability in the streaming business, Disney has implemented significant cost-cutting measures, including saving $5.5 billion through cost reductions and layoffs, and a focus on making Disney+ and Hulu more profitable. Disney aims to enhance Hulu integration, seeing it as a vital component of the company's transition from TV to a streaming-only model. Discussions are also underway for Disney to acquire Comcast Corporation's (CMCSA) stake in Hulu, as Disney currently holds 66% ownership. The company believes that the integration of Hulu and Disney+ will bolster the streaming business and contribute to its profitability. While the negotiations with Comcast over Hulu's valuation are ongoing, the combined offering of Disney+ and Hulu is expected to be available to consumers by the end of the calendar year. Although Disney's plans for ESPN+ and the fate of its other cable channels, such as the Disney Channel, remain uncertain, Bob Iger expects ESPN to eventually move to a streaming-only model, acknowledging the disruptive nature of the traditional TV business model.
The discussions surrounding Walt Disney's TV and streaming business in India come at a critical juncture for the company, as it grapples with intensified competition and significant challenges in the market. The emergence of Reliance Industries' JioCinema streaming platform has posed a considerable threat to Disney's dominance, especially after Reliance secured digital rights for the highly popular Indian Premier League cricket tournament. This strategic move by Reliance, which offered free access to the tournament earlier this year, caused a substantial decline in Disney+ Hotstar's subscribers, a popular streaming service under Disney's India business.
Additionally, Viacom18, which is backed by Reliance and Paramount Global (PARA), made a significant impact on Disney's market position in India. Through its partnership with Warner Bros, Viacom18 secured content rights to popular shows on HBO including Succession, previously aired on Disney's platform. This collaboration forms a formidable alliance challenging Disney's dominance in the Indian market. Reliance's freemium model poses the most significant threat to Disney's current position. By offering content for free on its streaming platform, JioCinema attracted a substantial number of subscribers through the broadcast of IPL. With its ample cash reserves, Reliance has the advantage of focusing on subscriber growth without immediately focusing on monetization strategies. The loss of streaming rights for the IPL, combined with a subsequent decline in paid subscribers, had a profound impact on Disney's reputation in India in the first quarter of this year, which could very well be the most challenging Q1 Disney has had in India for a long time.
A report on video consumption trends in India by Media Partners Asia sheds light on the dynamic landscape of the online video sector in India. For the 15 months that ended in March 2023, total consumption across the online video sector reached a staggering 6.1 trillion minutes. During this period, Disney+ Hotstar emerged as the dominant player in premium VOD, capturing 38% of viewing time. The report attributes Hotstar's success to its strong sports offerings and the depth of its Hindi and regional entertainment content.
During the survey period, Zee and Sony together held a 13% share of the Indian premium video sector viewing time. While the two companies are expected to merge pending regulatory approval, they are projected to operate independently for another year, benefiting from strong engagement across sports as well as regional, local, and international content. Prime Video and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) collectively accounted for a 10% share of viewership in the premium VOD category. Prime Video also garnered a significant portion of viewership from regional Indian titles. The report emphasizes that local content dominates premium VOD viewership, particularly outside the sports category, while international content leads paid tiers. Catch-up TV is prevalent in the free tier across freemium streaming platforms.
Although Disney was the clear winner in 2022, this report highlights a significant shake-up in the market brought about by the transformation of JioCinema. JioCinema, which previously held a mere 2% share of the premium video market, experienced a major upswing in growth since April. This surge can be attributed to JioCinema's decision to offer free live streaming of the popular IPL cricket tournament, a property that was previously exclusive to Disney-owned media in India. Despite technical glitches impacting user experience, JioCinema witnessed a more than 20-fold increase in consumption in April 2023, enabling it to dominate the premium VOD category. The report raises questions about JioCinema's ability to sustain this growth and scale in the absence of IPL action after June 2023. That being said, this could be an early indication of growth challenges Disney-owned brands may face in India.
Star India, now known as Disney Star following the rebranding last year, is expected to experience a revenue drop of around 20% to less than $2 billion for the fiscal year ending September 2023. Additionally, EBITDA is projected to decline by approximately 50% compared to the previous year. Furthermore, Hotstar is estimated to lose 8 to 10 million subscribers in its fiscal third quarter as well.
Given the current scenario, finding an outright buyer for Disney's India business is expected to be challenging. When Disney acquired the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox in 2019, the enterprise value of the Indian business was estimated at around $15-16 billion. This high valuation, coupled with the intense competition and declining subscriber base, presents a complex landscape for potential buyers or partners.
I believe Disney stock is attractively valued today given that the company's streaming business has a long runway for growth internationally while its brand assets will continue to drive revenue higher. As an investor, I am both concerned and curious about what the future holds for Disney's linear networks segment. Going by the recent remarks of CEO Iger, major changes are on their way. A strategic decision to divest non-core assets, in my opinion, will trigger a positive response from the market. That being said, a major divestment of TV assets could materially impact the company's profitability in the next 3-5 years until its streaming business scales enough to replace lost revenue from the linear networks segment. Investors will have to closely monitor new developments to identify a potential inflection point in Disney's story.
WALMART: Forming a Megaphone Top. Sell signal.Walmart is fairly bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.199, MACD = 0.980, ADX = 43.049) as the price is near the top of the 2024 Bullish Megaphone and has been forming a top since the September 16th High. This slowdown can be seen on the two prior top formations and is more obvious on the 1D RSI which prints a Channel Down when the price peaks on a Channel Up. This Bearish Divergence is the signal we need to go short next week. We aim for just under the 1D MA50 (TP = 77.50) or take the profit if the RSI hits the buy entry line first.
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A Long Term Investing Opportunity in Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought a stock which is ready to fly in blue sky after 35% of correction from all time high. Stock name is Hindustan Aeronautics and it is engaged in the business of Manufacture of Aircraft and Helicopters and Repair, Maintenance of Aircraft and Helicopters.
Stock is really giving long term investing opportunity at the current price, as stock has already corrected almost 35% from all time high, so it is another opportunity to get this GEM on discounted price. I will recommend all of you to do SIP in this on regularly basis. I have a feeling and expectation that it is going to be added in NIFTY one day surely. Think for long term only. For short term i have already given levels on chart. No doubt if we can see this stock giving more than 1000% returns in next 7-10 years.
Clientele:-
The company plays a strategic role in India’s defense program as it is the core equipment supplier to the Indian Defense Services, including the Indian Air Force, Indian Navy, Indian Army, and Indian Coast Guard. It is highly dependent on contracts from Ministry of Defense.
Order Book:-
As of FY24, the order book stood at Rs 94,000 Cr compared to Rs. 82,000 Cr in FY22, with additional major orders expected during FY25. In FY24, the Company received manufacturing contracts of over Rs. 19,000 Cr and ROH Contracts of over Rs. 15,000 Cr. In September 2024, it received a new major contract from MoD for supply of 240 aero-engines for Su-30 MKI aircraft of the Indian Air Force for Rs. 26,000 Cr.
Manifacturing & R&D:-
The company has 20 production and overhaul divisions and 9 R&D centers across India. It inaugurated a new Design and Test facility at Aero Engine Research & Development Centre in Bangalore in December 2023, to accelerate R&D of aero-engines. It spends 7% to 8% of the total revenue on R&D, it has also created an R&D Reserve, an annual contribution of 15% of the operating PAT, is transferred into this reserve.
Market Cap
₹ 3,02,715 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 4,525
High / Low
₹ 5,675 / 1,768
Stock P/E
36.8
Book Value
₹ 434
Dividend Yield
0.77 %
ROCE
38.9 %
ROE
28.9 %
Face Value
₹ 5.00
Industry PE
71.6
Debt
₹ 49.4 Cr.
EPS
₹ 123
Promoter holding
71.6 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 1,509
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
22.9
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
26.5 %
Sales growth 5Years
8.71 %
Return over 5years
66.4 %
Debt to equity
0.00
Net profit
₹ 8,216 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
26.6 %
Profit growth
36.5 %
Earnings yield
3.88 %
PEG Ratio
1.39
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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Tesla 4-Hour Chart: Path to $191 or $261?Alright, trading fam, grab your boards—Tesla’s (TSLA) chart just served up a crucial break below $213.78, and things are starting to get spicy. Think of that level like a solid wave that held you steady for a bit—until it dumped you off the board. Now that the market’s broken out of the channel, we’re eyeing $191.20 as the next potential landing spot. This could be where the bulls regroup and paddle back in for another try, but if they miss the chance, the market might pull us further under.
Now, here’s the exciting part: it’s not over for the bulls. If Tesla regains its footing and pushes above $223.70, that’s our green light to ride toward $261–264. This area is prime territory for locking in some early profits—it’s like the perfect wave where some surfers might hop off and call it a day. But if the bulls stay committed, they could break through that resistance and catch even bigger waves ahead.
So what’s the plan? Below $213.78, we stay cool and watch for $191—it could be a solid zone to hop back on. But if we reclaim $223.70, we ride that momentum to $261 for a sweet first profit. No need to rush or panic—just like surfing, it’s all about waiting for the right set and not forcing things.
If this breakdown gave you good vibes, boost it with a like or follow—let’s keep riding the markets together, one wave at a time.
Mindbloome Trader
Alibaba (BABA) – Potential Rebound If Alibaba (BABA) returns to the green zone, there’s potential for a rebound, creating a good opportunity for a long entry. This zone is important as it coincides with the monthly open, and buyers are likely to step in at this level.
Strategy: I’ll be watching for a pullback to the green zone and will consider going long with confirmation of buying activity.
ABBVIE broke below the 1D MA50. Confirmed sell opportunity.AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the November 09 2023 Low. Having made a Higher High on September 04 and been rejected at the top of the Channel Up, the price broke and closed aggressively below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) three days ago. That is a confirmed technical sell signal.
The 1D RSI has been on Lower Highs before the actual High, very similar to the previous top on March 12 2024. That sequence, after breaking below its 1D MA50, extended aggressively towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and bottomed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we can take a low risk sell now and target a potential contact with the 1D MA200 at $180.00. As far as buying the dip for the long-term is concerned, the most consistent buy signal has been the 1D RSI Bullish Divergence when it forms the first Higher Lows sequence after breaking below the 30.00 oversold barrier. So far that has worked 3 times almost perfectly, with the only exception the May 29 2024 bottom, which still was formed not that far away from the April 26 buy signal.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
To infinity & BYON - $375-$660
BYON is replicating the same fractal from 2012-2018 but on a grander scale
It has reached the end of its downtrend (B) and will soon resume Wave C - of equal length to A.
In the short-term BYON is about to cross above a steep downtrend line (yellow), just like it did in May 2012 and April 2020.
RSI is incredibly oversold on all timeframes (38 on 3D, 32 on W) but will soon exit the RSI bear zone (in red).
Target of $375 (38x from current levels of $10.11) coincides with the 1.272 fibonacci level
Extended target of $660 (66x from current levels) translates to 1.414 fib.
Time target is flexible but around June 2026 will likely be a great time to exit, if targets are met.
Last time out in Feb 2018, BYON hit 1.414 fib in Wave C.
Simple stop-loss of $8,a break-down from current levels.
BYON by name, Beyond by nature!
Thanks for reading.
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ELI LILLY: This consolidation is a buy opportunity.Eli Lilly is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.880, MACD = 1.910, ADX = 25.797) as well as on 1W as for the past 7 weeks it has turned sideways. This consolidation is taking place half-way through the new bullish wave of the Channel Up that started in early 2023. As you see it is supported by the 1W MA50 and every bullish wave in the beginning was almost at +50% but the latest one was +35%. Consequently we expect a minimum of +46.22% from the bottom and that's what we're aiming for (TP = 1,095).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Apple at a Crossroad – Surfing to 238 or Wiping Out to 226?Alright, trading family, AAPL is catching some chop, and it’s make-or-break time. If we dip, we could slide to 229.25 or even 226.90 before the bulls try paddling back. But if buyers show up, we might ride the wave to 234.79—and if we break through there, 238.56 is the next stop.
Key Levels:
Support: 229.25 – If this breaks, 226.90 could be the next target.
Bounce Zone: 2 34.79 – Bulls need to reclaim this for more upside.
Breakout Level: 238.56 – Pushing above this opens the door for higher moves.
It’s one of those moments—either we ride the wave higher, or we get dragged under and wait for the next set. Keep your eyes peeled; this one’s gonna get interesting.
What do you think—are we riding this one up or taking a dip first? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this chart got you prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader