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Everyone’s scared of booze stocks… Why I’m still buyingThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research. One of the things I find interesting is that a lot of people say “why do you like booze stocks so much Eden” and yet many of these same people are at the pub, or buying En primeur from Glengarry Wines. The short answer is — I like stocks that trade at multi-year lows with a predictable product. There is a fairly hysterical article in the FT wondering “Is alcohol the new tobacco?” To which I say, well, tobacco companies are absolute cash machines. The best performing stock in the S&P, of all time, to the best of my knowledge, is Altria. I know investing in tobacco is not fashionable (and yet, how many people do you see on the street vaping?). I know it goes against “ESG” and the scolds at public health slap you on the hand and say “gosh that is very bad for you!”. But the truth is that tobacco does generate tremendous profits — the net income margin for British American Tobacco is 39.1%. For those in the back, that’s for every $1 you sell, you make 39.1 cents of profit. There’s very few businesses with such fantastic operating margins — Visa’s net income margin is 56%. If I owned only one stock forever, I guess it’d probably be Visa. My point is — waving your hands about and saying “oh no! Tobacco!” belies the economics of it. The tobacco companies are doing very well, thank you very much. It will come as no surprise that cigarette smoking has been replaced by vaping. To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, news of nicotine’s demise has been greatly exaggerated. This is not saying to invest in tobacco stocks, but my point is that human habits don’t change. They merely evolve, but the song remains the same. To be fair — alcohol consumption is declining. But it isn’t declining at a rate that calls for any kind of alarm. Most of the companies I follow — Brown Forman, Diageo, Constellation, etc, reported largely flat sales. It’s also instructive to look to history. In other words — alcohol consumption has largely normalised in the last few decades. There’s still cause for worry — I think wine is one area of concern, and Cognac is another — both industries need to think about how they introduce younger drinkers to their product. This is why I largely shy away from wine (and why Constellation is selling their wine portfolio). “Evergreens” like Guinness (a Diageo brand) and Jack Daniel’s (a Brown-Forman brand) are predictable. Once again — a bunch of ratios for ya’ll: Brown-Forman: 18x fwd earnings Pernod: 12x fwd earnings Constellation Brands: 13.25x fwd earnings And so on… these stocks trade like they are discount retailers in biddlybunk Ohio. They are not. There’s the issue. There’s where value lies. Cigarettes never went away; they became vapes. In my opinion, I don’t see booze going away anytime soon either.
NYSE:MO
by BlackBull_Markets
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 27, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🚗 Auto Tariffs Announced: President Trump has announced a 25% tariff on all cars not made in the U.S., effective April 2. This move is expected to impact the automotive industry and could influence market sentiment. 🇬🇧📉 UK Inflation Falls: UK inflation has decreased to 2.8% in February, down from 3% in January, raising speculation about a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England in May. This development may have implications for global markets. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, March 27: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 226,000​ Previous: 223,000​ Indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, offering insight into the labor market.​ 📈 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – Second Revision (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 2.3% annualized growth​ Previous: 2.3%​ Provides a second estimate of the nation's economic growth for the fourth quarter of 2024.​ 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 1.0%​ Previous: -4.6%​ Measures housing contract activity for existing single-family homes, offering insights into future home sales.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
TESLA formed the new bottom and is going for $600.Tesla / TSLA is on the 2nd straight green 1week candle, crossing above the 1week MA50. With the 1week RSI bouncing on the 2 year Rising Support, the Channel Up has technically formed its new bottom. Both the current and the previous one were formed on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after a -55% decline. If the bullish wave is also as similar as the bearish waves have been, the price should reach as high as the -0.382 Fib extension. Buy and target the top of the Channel Up at $600. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheCryptagon
S&P500 - Donald Trump Is Crashing Markets!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is starting a correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Since Donald Trump was elected the markets have been super volatile and clearly not too easy to trade. But now it seems like bears are slowly taking over the entire U.S. stock market after we just saw a drop of -10% within a couple of days and a correction becomes more and more likely. Levels to watch: $6.100, $4.800 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXShort
by basictradingtv
26
JP MORGAN: Perfect 1W MA50 rebound targeting $350. JP Morgan is neutral both on its 1D and 1W technical outlooks (RSI = 54.173, MACD = 7.520, ADX = 32.502), suggesting that it remains inside the best buy zone for the long term. As a matter of fact, having rebounded exactly on its 1W MA50, this is the best buy opportunity since October 23rd 2023, which was the last time it hit the 1W MA50. As shown, the long term pattern is a Channel Up and every contact with the 1W MA50 has coincided with a 1W RSI test of the S1 Zone. There is no better buy entry than the current level and we can safely aim for yet another +57.76% run (TP = $350.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:JPMLong
by InvestingScope
S&P 500 eases back from 200-dayThe S&P 500 has been on an impressive two-week rally but is now encountering a crucial resistance zone. The index is currently testing resistance near the 200-day moving average and a previous support level in the 5770-5800 range. This key area, highlighted in grey on the chart, could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues. Meanwhile, support is found around 5695-5670, marked in blue on the chart. This zone is significant as it previously served as the launch point for the post-election rally before it lost steam. Reclaiming this level is a bullish signal, but the S&P 500 needs to stay above it through to next week to maintain its upward trajectory. If support at 5695-5670 fails, the bulls could face serious headwinds. A breakdown at this level may trigger renewed selling pressure, similar to the declines seen in previous weeks. The situation could worsen if the index falls below 5600, which was Friday’s low, when a hammer candle was formed. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Boeing (BA) Share Price Rally Slows Near Key ResistanceBoeing (BA) Share Price Rally Slows Near Key Resistance The Boeing (BA) stock chart shows that since its March low, the price has surged by approximately 25%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). This rally was driven by the news that Boeing secured a contract to develop the next generation of fighter jets for the U.S. Navy, beating its main competitor, Lockheed Martin. According to Business Insider, this success is tied to Boeing’s development of the F-47 fighter jet under the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) programme, which will bring the company contracts worth around $20 billion. Technical Analysis of Boeing (BA) Stock Throughout March, bulls managed to break through local resistance around $172 (as indicated by orange arrows). However, the rally has now reached a stronger obstacle—the $188 level: This area marks the 2025 high. Bulls also struggled to sustain prices above $188 in mid-2024. With the RSI indicator nearing overbought levels, a correction after such an impressive two-month rally seems like a plausible scenario. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BA
by FXOpen
levels to watch out In my post from last year, I highlighted the potential for a market top and a correction in both the index and most of the Nifty50 stocks. My initial target was around 21,800, which the market hit as expected, and we also saw a bounce from those levels, just as I predicted. However, if those levels are breached, the decline could accelerate, bringing the market down to 19,000. I closed my short positions around those levels and will look to re-enter shorts. A break and sustained close above 24,150 would signal the end of this correction, possibly pushing the market to new highs in the coming weeks.
NSE:NIFTY
by Shivkumar600
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 26, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📉 Consumer Confidence Hits Four-Year Low: The Conference Board reported that the Consumer Confidence Index fell to 92.9 in March, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline and reaching its lowest level since January 2021. Rising concerns over tariffs and inflation are major contributors to this decline. 🇺🇸🏠 New Home Sales Rebound: New home sales increased by 1.8% in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 676,000 units, slightly below the forecasted 679,000. The median sales price decreased by 1.5% to $414,500 from a year earlier, indicating potential affordability improvements in the housing market. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, March 26: 🛠️ Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -1.0%​ Previous: 3.2%​ Reflects new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for long-lasting goods, indicating manufacturing activity.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
1
Euro/USD faces rejection - Is a Bounce from Key Support Next?The EUR/USD remains in a daily downtrend and has now rejected from its previous lower high, confirming it as a strong resistance level. After sweeping the liquidity above this zone, the pair faced selling pressure and has started to decline, signaling a potential continuation of the bearish trend. However, there is a key area of interest below—the 50-day and 100-day SMAs, which are currently aligning with a major support zone. This confluence makes the area a potential bounce zone, where buyers may step in to defend the level. If price finds support here, it could trigger a bullish reaction, offering a chance for a short-term reversal or even a shift in momentum. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
18
Why we think SBC Medical Group is set for a rebound soon.Executive Summary: SBC Medical Group Holdings Incorporated has emerged as one of the more compelling names in the post-SPAC public company landscape. Having successfully completed its business combination with Pono Capital Two, Inc. on 17 September 2024, the Japan-based aesthetic medical services provider now trades on Nasdaq under the ticker “SBC”. The SPAC merger valued the company at approximately USD1 billion and provided it with over USD11.7 million in net proceeds; capital that SBC intends to deploy strategically for international growth and asset diversification. Key Investment Pointers: At the heart of SBC Medical’s proposition is its extensive network of franchised and managed clinics in Japan, with forays into Vietnam and the United States. The company offers management services to cosmetic surgery and aesthetic dermatology clinics under the renowned “Shonan Beauty Clinic” brand, covering procurement, HR, customer loyalty, and more. The SPAC listing has provided it with both visibility and liquidity at a time when demand for aesthetic healthcare continues to rise across Asia and globally. The Group’s third-quarter results, covering the period ended 30 September 2024, underscore its operational strength. SBC posted total net revenues of USD53.1 million for Q3, a 12.3% year-on-year increase. Gross profit surged to USD43.2 million, yielding a gross margin of over 81%, reflective of the company’s high-margin service model. While operating income dipped compared to the prior year due to a one-off non-cash stock-based compensation expense of USD12.8 million, net income for the nine-month period still rose to USD40.1 million, a 60% increase compared to the same period in 2023. Its balance sheet tells a story of disciplined financial management and scalability. As of 30 September 2024, SBC held USD137.4 million in cash and cash equivalents, up from USD103 million at the end of 2023. The company also saw a significant reduction in total liabilities from USD115 million to USD91 million, while shareholder equity rose to over USD205 million. These figures point to a solid capital base capable of absorbing strategic investments and macroeconomic volatility. In a move that has drawn considerable market attention, SBC Medical has also initiated a diversification of its corporate treasury into Bitcoin. With the cryptocurrency having rebounded strongly to the USD86,000 level, SBC’s entry appears both timely and calculated. While the exact volume of the acquisition has yet to be disclosed publicly, the Group has indicated that its Bitcoin holdings are part of a broader strategy to preserve purchasing power in a globally inflationary environment and align itself with digital-native investors. The decision places SBC in the company of firms like MicroStrategy and Tesla, which have similarly sought value preservation through Bitcoin. The strategic trifecta of a successful SPAC listing, strong underlying financials, and an asset diversification play into Bitcoin positions SBC Medical favourably in the eyes of institutional investors. With Q4 results expected soon and a bullish cryptocurrency market supporting sentiment, SBC could well be on the cusp of a re-rating by the market. If its fundamentals remain sound—as recent filings suggest—they may indeed ride the same momentum wave currently lifting digital assets and new-age healthcare stocks alike.
NASDAQ:SBCLong
by HASHInvests200
GOOGLE Bottom confirmed. Laying eyes on $220.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 10 2024 High. Last week, the Bearish Leg touched the pattern's bottom, completing a -23.92% decline from the top, which is almost symmetrical to the previous Bearish Leg (-23.32%). At the same time the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00) and recovered on a Bullish Divergence, while the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossed below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), forming a Bearish Cross. Last time we had this formation was September 06 2024 and 1 day later, the bottom (Higher Low of the Channel Up) was formed. Among all this, the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) is holding, which is the market's long-term Support since July 12 2023. As a result, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start and as the previous one did, target the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at $220.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by TradingShot
Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01Beginning of the Uptrend for Stock #01: 9988 (BABA) The price has broken out of a consolidation range that lasted approximately two years, supported by a normal volume distribution. The stock has risen to meet the Fibonacci Extension resistance level of 161.8 at a price of 144 HKD. Currently, it is forming a sideways consolidation pattern on the smaller timeframe, establishing a base structure viewed as re-accumulation. The 6-month target is set at the Fibonacci Extension level of 261.8, which corresponds to a price of 189 HKD. This target aligns with a price cluster based on the valuation from sensitivity analysis, using the forward EPS estimates for 2025-2026 as a key variable for calculations, along with the standard deviation of the price-to-earnings ratio. Wait for the Right Moment to Accumulate Shares within the Consolidation Range Purchase near the support level of the range when the price pulls back. Look for a candlestick reversal pattern as a signal to add to your position. However, should the price break down to the lower consolidation range, the stock would lose its upward momentum, potentially leading to a prolonged period of consolidation or a deeper pullback to around 90 HKD. Always have a plan and prioritize risk management.
HKEX:9988Long
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 25, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🛍️ Amazon Spring Sale Impact 🛍️: Amazon’s Big Spring Sale is underway, and increased consumer activity could lift retail sector sentiment this week. Watch for broader impacts on e-commerce competitors and discretionary stocks. 🇬🇧📉 UK Growth Outlook Cut 📉: Ahead of the UK's Spring Statement, the Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to revise growth forecasts downward. While not U.S.-centric, weaker UK economic momentum may influence broader global risk sentiment. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, March 25: 🏠 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET): Forecast: +4.4% YoY Previous: +4.5% YoY A gauge of housing market strength based on home price changes in 20 U.S. metro areas. 🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 95.0 Previous: 98.3 Measures consumers’ outlook on business and labor conditions. A key sentiment driver. 🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 679K annualized Previous: 657K Tracks the number of newly constructed homes sold. Sensitive to rates and affordability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
OH NO GUESS WHAT I FOUND $TSLA HEAD AND SHOULDERThe head and shoulders pattern is a chart formation in technical analysis that signals possible trend reversals, often suggesting a change from a bullish to a bearish trend. It features three peaks: a central "head" that is the highest, flanked by two "shoulders," with a neckline connecting the troughs between these peaks. Tesla's stock is often viewed as a risky investment for several reasons: High Valuation: NASDAQ:TSLA stock price is considered very high compared to traditional car manufacturers, with a much higher price-to-earnings ratio. Market Volatility: The NASDAQ:TLSA price is highly volatile, influenced by factors like CEO Elon Musk's public comments, regulatory changes, and overall market sentiment. Intense Competition: The electric vehicle market is becoming more competitive, with many established and new companies investing heavily in EV technology. Production Issues: Tesla has experienced production and supply chain challenges, which can affect its ability to meet demand and maintain profitability. Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies and regulations, especially those related to environmental standards and EV incentives, can significantly impact Tesla's business. While these points highlight potential risks, Tesla also has strengths such as strong brand recognition, technological innovation, and leadership in the EV market. It's important to consider both the risks and potential rewards when evaluating Tesla as an investment. SELLL NOW!!!!!
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by sej4974
2
AMD stock up over 20% off the lows- outperform NVidia?AMD is still cheap relative to its growth and still way down from all time highs. Seeking alpha analysts expect 25-30% annual growth in earnings yearly. The stock is still in the low 20s PE. Stock can double and still be a good business worth owning for the long term and let compounding earnings work. Low rsi and bollinger bands gave us the signal to buy, we bought with leverage, now we are in the shares unlevered. Target would be all time highs over the next 2-3 years.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by ValuePig
12