S&P 500 Index Most Bullish Signal In 15 YearsThis is why it is very clear, certain, that the stock market, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is set to grow in the coming months. Last week produced the highest volume session, on the bullish side, since April/May 2010, that's 15 years. Back then, when this signal showed up, this index went to grow for years non-stop.
The SPX also produced the strongest weekly session in several decades, maybe the strongest week ever, and a bounce happened (support found) exactly at the 0.618 retracement Fib.
This is all we need to know. When the bulls enter the market and do so with force, it is because the market is set to grow. The correction produced decline of 21%. This is pretty standard. The fact that the correction happened really fast, it means that it will also have a fast end.
The low is in. The correction is over. The S&P 500 Index is set to grow.
You can be certain. If you have any doubts, just ask the chart.
Namaste.
Stocks
Tesla Bullish, Let Me ExplainYesterday's high was the highest price since 4-March 2025, almost two months ago. The fact that TSLA moved out of bottom prices and strong long-term support zone while challenging resistance is a bullish signal.
The prices that were activated in Mach and April as support is the same range that TSLA used back in 2024 to launch the previous bullish wave. The same prices as in October and September 2024. The same levels were activated but as a higher low. Clearly a bullish dynamic.
For this setup to be bearish, the action would have to go lower and print a lower low compared to August 2024, this isn't the case. We have a strong higher low which means that buyers were eager to enter the market and waiting for this long-term support zone to be activated. As soon as it was activated buyers showed up and this is confirmed by current price action. Short-term, Tesla is moving up.
This is short-term because a new bullish wave is just now getting started but the fact is pointing towards additional growth.
Yesterday TSLA closed above EMA55 daily for the first after hitting support since October 2024. Once EMA55 gets challenged and conquered, we are looking at the least 2-3 months of bullish action. Don't get me wrong, there can be swings short-term, shakeouts and such but no new lows. The low has been set 7-April 2025, from this point on, we will see growth.
Once a strong resistance level is challenged, we can look at the chart and see if there will be a major correction or just a retrace before additional growth. The truth is that the stock market is set to go higher, TSLA is just one stock. The SPX, NVDA, Bitcoin and many other instruments will grow. Everything will grow.
Namaste.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 14, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 14, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 U.S.-China Tariff Reductions Implemented Today
The U.S. and China are set to enact significant tariff reductions today, lowering U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% and China's tariffs on U.S. goods from 125% to 10%. This 90-day agreement aims to ease trade tensions and has already spurred a market rally, with the S&P 500 gaining 3.3% on Monday.
📉 Inflation Hits Four-Year Low
U.S. inflation eased to 2.3% in April, marking a four-year low. This unexpected decline has alleviated concerns about the impact of recent tariffs and may influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
📈 S&P 500 Turns Positive for 2025
The S&P 500 has erased its year-to-date losses, turning positive for 2025. This shift is attributed to easing inflation and the recent U.S.-China trade agreement, which have bolstered investor confidence.
💼 Nasdaq to List New ETFs
The Nasdaq Stock Market will begin listing three new Russell Investments ETFs today, expanding investment options for market participants.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, May 14:
5:15 AM ET: Speech by Fed Governor Christopher Waller
10:00 AM ET: Business Formation Statistics for April
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Coinbase New All-Time High Confirmed (477 & 685)Good yes Cryptocurrency Bitcoin trading profits up winning today more. How are you feeling in this wonderful bull market session prices going up strong?
I hope your day is great and that's the same for the chart above. Coinbase, COIN, wow; a new All-Time High coming within months do you have any doubts? I don't think so. Those with doubts are gone, all that is left is us, the buy and hold crew. Successful traders, investors, miners, reporters, hobbyist, holders and curious onlookers, we are winning with Bitcoin and Crypto and this stock... This stock is easy to read.
There are so many bullish signals that I will skip them all and go straight to the bottom point. New All-Time High coming next. It will take months but it will be months of growth, higher heights and higher highs and fast bullish strong momentum building up and growing like nothing you've seen before.
If you are a bear, I am sorry for you but you were warned.
If you are a bull, congratulations my dearest of friends because this is only the start. Everything grows. Everything that is related to Cryptocurrencies of course because Crypto is the future of finance. Bitcoin is the evolution of money. Digital gold.
— Technical analysis
After a strong correction, the COIN stock produced a classic reversal formation as a v shaped bottom at the end of a bearish move. This move is followed by two strong green candles and these candles pushed prices above the 0.236 Fib. extension level, setting the stock into a bullish zone.
After the second big green candle, there is a small retrace in the form of a red week. This is normal and shows consolidation before additional growth. This week is also red but not for long. The fact that COIN remains trading very high compared to the full green candle close means that bears are not present and the bulls are in control.
The chart shows long-term higher highs as well as higher lows.
The chart structure points to a new All-Time High happening very soon, within months. 3-6 months. 3 months for a new All-Time High and 6 months for a major peak. The whole flavor of this market is giving out clues of a cycle that will be big and extended long-term.
Coinbase can grow for longer than what you are prepared for.
The next All-Time High can happen around 477 but this wouldn't be the end of the bullish cycle and wave. I expect even higher targets, the next one being 685. Hold tight, the best is yet to come.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
COIN ~ Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout -- Key Levels- Hello traders! COIN made a massive move today, breaking out of a beautiful Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern. So whats next?
- There are significant resistance levels approaching between $267 and $302 (including the Inverse H&S target level) which could potentially make for a good intraday short trade opportunity.
- Watch for a quick reversal from these levels in the coming days, if you're quick you may be able to catch a short trade.
- Theres no gaurantee that price will bounce from these levels, however this zone will certainly act as significant resistance in the short term.
~ Thanks everyone and best of luck in your trading journey!
RIVIAN Huge 1-year Triangle about to break. Trade the break-out.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is trading within a 1-year Triangle pattern since the April 15 2024 Low. Right now the price is on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), almost hitting the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern.
This is the second time ever that the 1W MA100 is tested, the previous on was on the last Lower High in late December 2024, giving slightly more probabilities for a bullish break-out above it.
If this is materialized, buy the break-out and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension on the long-term at $26.50.
If it fails to break and instead is rejected back towards the Triangle's bottom, wait for a confirmed break of the Higher Lows trend-line and sell towards the -1.0 Fibonacci extension at $6.50.
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Gold has recently broke through the call entry!Market Analysis Update: Gold Price Movement
Gold has recently broken through the Call Entry (CE) level of the 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating a possible continuation of upward momentum in the short term. Based on current price action and technical indicators, we are expecting gold to continue moving higher. This move may potentially target the liquidity resting above previous swing highs, as traders' stop losses in those areas are likely to be triggered, fueling the upward trend.
Once this liquidity is cleared, there is a notable resistance zone marked in the 3270–3274 range, commonly referred to as the "black zone." This area is likely to act as a key decision point. If price reaches this zone and exhibits signs of bearish confirmation (such as rejection candles, divergence, or other reversal signals), there may be a potential selling opportunity from that level.
Additionally, it is worth noting that there is a trendline drawn below the current market structure, which may also attract price action. This trendline represents another area where liquidity might be collected before any significant directional move occurs.
Thank you for your attention to this analysis. If there is anything in the explanation that you find unclear or if you have questions about specific terms or concepts, feel free to ask for clarification.
US500 - Let the Bulls Strive!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong support and structure!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq Tests Key 20,900 ResistanceAs shown in chart above, price action is hovering near the neckline of a well-defined double top pattern, formed between December 2024 and February 2025, similarly across the Dow and SPX500 charts.
This reinforces a key resistance zone that could either validate a more sustainable bullish outlook into 2025 — or trigger another correction if rejected.
Nasdaq Upside Scenario: A confirmed hold above 20,900 may extend gains toward 21,500, and 22,200.
Downside Scenario: A pullback below 20900 and 20,500 could find support at 20,200, 19,600, and 19,170, respectively.
Markets are currently holding on trade optimism, yet key economic reports are likely to test the narrative
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
S&P500 Alert! Entering a medium-term SELL ZONE!The S&P500 index (SPX) has recovered the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, limiting the Trade War losses considerably. Trading this week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the index has confirmed that it resumed its long-term bullish trend.
On he medium-term though attention is needed as we're headed towards a range, which in the past 10 years has historically been an interim Sell Zone. That's the 0.786 - 0.9 Fibonacci range, which since the 2016 correction, it has always rejected the uptrend of a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) led recovery.
On 3 out of 3 occasions so far (April 2016, June 2020, July 2023), every time the price tested the 0.9 Fib, it got rejected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). In 2023 the pull-back bottomed in 3 months but in 2020 and 2016 it took considerably less.
As a result, we call for caution near the 0.9 Fib for a potential medium-term pull-back but on the long-term the bullish trend is intact and historically it targets a minimum +27.74% from the All Time High (ATH), which is translated into a 7800 Target.
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DXY Rebound or Reversal? All Eyes on the Bearish OB Zone! Analysis:
As anticipated, DXY has now swept the major weekly/monthly sell-side liquidity (SSL) at 99.58, tapping deep into a high-probability reversal zone. This aggressive liquidity raid was followed by a sharp bullish reaction—marking the first signs of potential re-accumulation or a relief rally.
Currently, price is pushing back toward a bearish order block (OB) that aligns with a dense cluster of confluences:
A weekly FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A monthly FVG that’s been previously respected
Major supply resistance from previous highs around 108.40–109.39
This confluence zone is critical.
📍 Two Likely Scenarios:
Rejection from OB Zone: If price respects the OB, expect continuation to the downside—possibly targeting a deeper structural shift and breaking below the recent SSL.
Breakthrough & Reclaim: If price breaks and closes strongly above the OB zone, it opens the door for a move toward 114.60, the next major daily buy-side liquidity.
🧠 Either outcome offers a significant macro play, especially for risk-sensitive pairs (i.e., AUD, NZD, Gold, or equities inversely correlated to USD strength). Keep in mind, DXY's movement is heavily influenced by macroeconomic events, so dollar strength or weakness can cascade across global markets.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 100.215 / 99.58
Resistance: 108.40 → 109.39 OB zone
Upper Target if invalidated: 114.60
⚠️ DYOR. Let price confirm before bias is committed.
Amazon (AMZN) shares jump more than 7%Amazon (AMZN) shares jump more than 7%
As shown in the Amazon (AMZN) share chart, the price surged by over 7% yesterday, breaking above the key psychological level of $200 and closing at its highest point since early March.
The sharp rise in demand was driven by reports of a trade truce between the US and China following talks in Geneva. According to Reuters, the US has decided to lower the “de minimis” threshold on goods from China. This move could help de-escalate a potentially damaging trade war between the world’s two largest economies. For AMZN stock, this is a bullish signal, as Amazon sells a wide range of low-cost Chinese goods.
Technical analysis of Amazon (AMZN) shares
From a bearish perspective, the AMZN price has recovered to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level after falling from an all-time high to the early April low. In this context, selling pressure may re-emerge with the intention of resuming the downtrend—especially as most oscillators on the chart are signalling strong overbought conditions.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The pattern of higher highs and higher lows in late April and early May may have outlined the median of an ascending channel;
→ Yesterday’s price surge in AMZN shares may point to the channel’s upper boundary.
Given these conditions, it is reasonable to expect a minor pullback before the Amazon’s stock price resumes its upward trajectory within the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
The last 4 previous Stockmarket Fear spikes were great buys...for Bitcoin, allowing investors to enhance their long-term holdings.
Purchasing risk assets when the #VIX exceeds 50 and over 20% of stocks fall below their 200-day moving average has consistently yielded positive returns, with a success rate of one hundred percent when evaluated one week, one month, and three months later.
This particular scenario has only happened 11 times in the history of the S&P 500, and the reading from Monday, April 7th, marked one of those rare instances.
#BTFD
LYFT, 3D Daily Breakout Confirms Potential Mid-Term ReversalOn the 3-day chart of Lyft, price action is developing within a potential mid-term reversal structure. The key trigger was the breakout of the descending trendline on the daily timeframe, signaling a shift in momentum after an extended downtrend.
The asset bounced from the long-term ascending support zone around $9.66, and the structure now points to a possible expansion toward key Fibonacci retracement levels:
Upside targets based on Fibo levels:
– $14.36 (0.5)
– $15.47 (0.618)
– $17.05 (0.786)
– Extended: $24.88 (1.618)
Technical Highlights:
– Breakout confirmed on daily chart trendline
– 3D chart shows tightening triangle pattern
– Stochastic momentum turning bullish from oversold levels
– Volume profile supports accumulation, not distribution
– Resistance zone: $14.30–$17.00
– Holding above the breakout trendline keeps the bullish setup valid
Fundamental Context:
Lyft is restructuring operations, with narrowed losses, improved efficiency, and customer retention focus. The company is regaining share in the ride-hailing segment, and investors are beginning to price in operational stabilization. The improving sentiment is reflected in growing institutional interest and mid-term positioning.
This is a potential mid-term bullish scenario, activated by the daily breakout and confirmed if price holds above the trendline. A push above $15.50–$17.00 could unlock the full target at $24.88. As long as structure holds, this remains a strong trend reversal setup.
RF 1D: Breakout or Just a Bullish Pause?Regions Financial (ticker: RF) finally escaped the descending channel it had been stuck in for nearly 8 months — like someone who missed their stop and woke up in a different state. The breakout came with volume and a hold above the 50-day MA, which technically gives the bulls a reason to stretch their legs — cautiously.
The price has already cleared the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~21.66), and is now pushing toward the 0.5 zone (~22.87). If momentum holds, the next key area is target 1 around 24.00–24.50. Beyond that — and this is where things get ambitious — we have target 2 in the 27.50–28.50 range, which aligns with pre-breakdown resistance from late 2024.
RSI is climbing into overbought territory but still confirms the breakout rather than warning of a top — at least for now.
On the macro side: U.S. regional banks have had a rough ride in early 2025, but RF has held up better than many peers. The recent earnings beat and visible uptick in volume suggest growing institutional interest. If bond yields keep cooling and risk appetite returns to the value sector, RF could remain in favor.
That said, bulls need to see a confirmed hold above 22.80. Otherwise, this could end up as another failed retest — and bears are always lurking just outside the channel.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 13, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 13, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🇺🇸 CPI Data Release Anticipated
The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) data today at 8:30 AM ET. Economists forecast a 0.3% month-over-month increase, following a 0.1% decline in March. Year-over-year, CPI is expected to remain at 2.4%, with core CPI holding steady at 2.8% .
🤝 U.S.-China Trade Truce Boosts Markets
Markets rallied on Monday after the U.S. and China agreed to reduce tariffs for 90 days, easing trade tensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1,160 points (2.8%), the S&P 500 rose 3.3%, and the Nasdaq gained 4.4%. Major tech stocks like Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ), Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ), Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), and Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) saw significant gains .
📈 Coinbase to Join S&P 500
Coinbase Global Inc. ( NASDAQ:COIN ) will be added to the S&P 500 index on May 19, replacing Discover Financial Services. The announcement led to an 11% surge in Coinbase shares during after-hours trading .
💎 Sotheby's to Auction $20M Blue Diamond
Sotheby's Geneva is set to auction the "Mediterranean Blue Diamond," a rare 10-carat gem valued at $20 million, today. The auction has garnered significant global interest from collectors and investors .
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Tuesday, May 13:
8:30 AM ET: Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April
8:30 AM ET: Core CPI for April
4:30 PM ET: API Weekly Crude Oil Stock Report
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Tesla - The Next 7 Days Decide Everything!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is sitting at a crucial structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the -60% correction which we have been seeing over the past couple of months, Tesla still continuously validates its overall uptrend. That's exactly the reason for my strong bullish thesis and the assumption, that after we see bullish confirmation, Tesla will reject the current support area.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ROCKET LAB establishing its long-term Support to $32.00It's been too long (September 30 2024, see chart below) since we last took a trade on one of our stock gems, Rocket Lab (RKLB), which smashed through our $14.50 Target:
The price is now trading sideways for the past 2 weeks, establishing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the new Support. Having made the Trade War bottom on its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it got its much needed overbought technical harmonization and created new long-term demand.
The pattern is similar to the 1D MACD Bearish Cross in late May 2024, which also made the price trade sideways before eventually almost testing the previous Resistance. As a result, we expect to see $32.00 in July before the stock breaks to a new All Time High.
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NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble
When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent.
To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight.
Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models.
Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike.
As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation.
AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy.
Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000.
In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
NASDAQ Fall? US100 AnalysisHello everyone.
We had a volatility at stock market last 2 month, it looks like market had good correction and found new buyer. BUT I DON'T THINK LIKE THAT.
After MR. Trump inauguration we saw bear market signals, it was like hedge funds dumped stocks, but after strong sell new buyers came at market and show us pretty good market correction but what will be next? The last 2 months brought intense volatility post-Trump’s inauguration. Hedge funds sold off heavily (S&P 500 dropped ~8% from its December high), but buyers stepped in, pushing a 5% retracement. RSI on SPY shows oversold conditions fading, yet I’m skeptical of this bounce.
Why? Bearish signals linger. VIX remains elevated (>20), and volume on up days is weaker than selloffs. Plus, geopolitics could derail this rally. Over the weekend, Ukraine and Russia discussed a 30-day ceasefire. If talks fail, the West’s new sanctions could spike oil prices (Brent crude already testing $80) and hammer energy-heavy indices like XLE or European markets (DAX).
I’m watching SPY’s 200-day MA (~510) as key support. A break below could signal a deeper pullback to 480. Energy and tech (QQQ) look vulnerable if sanctions hit. What’s your take—buying this dip or bracing for more downside?
Here is my 2 scene what i am expect from market, for me Scene and technical view scene 2 is more logical bur we will see what will be next step for stock market.
For collaboration text me in DM!!!
Always make your own research!!!
WHAT A LOVELY BULLISSH GAP ON AMAZON: A 4RR PROFIT TRADE CLOSEDI just closed this beautiful 4RR trade on Amazon.
The trade was entered last week, this new week market open Gap pushed the price high to my 4RR target.
Trade Idea;
The monthly is extremely bullish.
The weekly is also bullish.
Daily is bullish as well, so i entered on the daily time frame pull back swing low.
Result?
A beautiful 4RR profits trade.
Next Action?
I will wait till the daily frame correct and form a swing low before entering for a bullish trend continuation buy.