Stocks
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish.
Levels to watch: $80, $115
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BAKKT 100x gemThis will be huge. They have NYSE stock and Just released Crypto token.
It will give access institutions to access blockchains.
20mil mcap
$HUNPotential "abc zigzag" located after a recent 5 wave to the downside. This abc zig zag could be in the middle of another 5 wave downtred. Regardless, I'm looking for a retracement leg at this location where we just broke a recent support and if this is an abc zigzag within this wave 3 to the downside then maybe we get a wave 4 bounce. Looking for $19.80.
The Rally May Run Out of SteamFundamental Background
According to CNBC, analysts at Morgan Stanley have conducted a study on how the tariff plans announced by Donald Trump during his campaign might affect the U.S. economy and the stock market.
Among the initiatives of the president-elect:
Implementing a general tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods;
Introducing additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods imported from China.
According to Seth Carpenter, the chief global economist at Morgan Stanley, such plans:
May eliminate the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025 and also limit economic growth;
Threaten to reduce U.S. economic growth by 2026;
Will lead to increased inflation;
Will put pressure on the automotive industry, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, and retail sectors. It is expected that the costs to manufacturers will be passed on to consumers.
Consequently, this implies a negative outlook for the U.S. stock market as there is a high likelihood that the tariffs will reduce investment attractiveness and increase the cost of borrowing for companies, negatively impacting the stock market.
Technical Analysis
In 2024, the price formed a broad ascending channel (shown in blue);
Throughout October, the price was "magnetized" to the median line and formed a narrower channel between the Resistance and Support lines;
Against the backdrop of the presidential elections, the price surged to a peak on November 11th, but then returned to the median line.
The line around 20,941 level briefly acted as support, but the price failed to sustain above it. Could the bears' attempt to break away from the median line's pull be more successful?
Cyclical Analysis
Cyclical Chart Predicts a Decline in the Nasdaq Index
Conclusions
While the chart currently shows no clear signs of bearish activity, the facts presented above suggest that the vigorous bull market observed throughout 2024 may run out of steam.
SOFI expect short term rally to continue as 9 swingsSOFI favoring upside within the sequence started from August-2024 low and expect small upside to finish the (3) started from 10-September-2024 low before it should pullback in (4). The next pullback in (4) can provide buying opportunity for final push higher before it should correct big against August-2024 low.
$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT
A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high.
My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.
QUALCOMM (QCOM): Diversified Growth Amid DowntrendQualcomm ( NASDAQ:QCOM ) presents an intriguing setup as we believe the wave I and a larger cycle might have concluded. Following its peak, NASDAQ:QCOM has dropped nearly 30%, retracing back to the range high. To finalize wave (A), we expect an additional leg down to complete the intra 5-wave structure. The likely target lies between $143 and $133, a range that aligns well with the Point of Control (POC) from March 2020 to now. This adds confluence to its significance as a potential support zone.
Despite the technical setup, we caution that the risk for a long position remains high. A more favorable entry could arise once NASDAQ:QCOM reclaims the range, validating the start of a potential bullish wave.
For the current quarter, Qualcomm projects revenues between $10.5 billion and $11.3 billion, with automotive sales anticipated to rise 50% year over year. CEO Cristiano Amon’s strategy to diversify Qualcomm beyond smartphones into chips for PCs, cars, and industrial machines underscores the company’s adaptability.
The next financial results release is scheduled for January 29, 2025, offering further insights into Qualcomm’s trajectory.
The $143-$133 range is a key zone for potential support, bolstered by its alignment with the POC. A decisive break below this zone could invalidate the bullish outlook, while a breakout above the range high may provide an opportunity to long this stock with lower risk. The completion of wave (A) would ideally coincide with a structural turnaround.
We are closely monitoring NASDAQ:QCOM for any signs of a reversal. Should the stock confirm a reclaim of the range, we may consider initiating a long position with a more precise stop-loss strategy. Until then, patience and vigilance are essential.
ayPal (PYPL): New Features and Market ImpactPayPal ( NASDAQ:PYPL ) is currently up 44% from our initial entry, demonstrating strong performance within a developing trend channel. While not entirely symmetrical, the addition of a smaller trend channel on the upper side showcases nearly perfect alignment, highlighting this stock’s potential for growth.
Last Thursday, PayPal announced a new feature allowing customers to collect money from friends and family for shared expenses, available in the US, Germany, Italy, and Spain. While innovative, this announcement led to a 4% dip in PayPal’s stock, likely due to profit-taking by investors.
From a technical standpoint, we expect a three-wave correction to finalize wave (iv). Currently, the key support zone lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near $76, which aligns with the last level before a low-volume node. If this support fails, the 50% Fibonacci level becomes the next likely target. However, NASDAQ:PYPL should avoid prolonged trading below wave (i)’s range of $70 to maintain its bullish structure.