$KBE’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGEAMEX:KBE ’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGE
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! AMEX:KBE ’s riding high—up 8.3% since the Nov ‘24 election, beating AMEX:SPY ’s 3.3% 📈🔥. Banks are cashing in on trading and dealmaking post-election. Let’s dive into the AMEX:KBE rally! 🚀
(2/9) – PERFORMANCE & REVENUE
• Post-Election Gain: +8.3% vs. AMEX:SPY +3.3% 💥
• Q4 Revenue Growth: Holdings ( NYSE:GS , NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC ) up 5-10% YoY
• Sector EPS Est.: +7-8% for Q4 2024
Fixed income trading and investment banking are fueling the fire!
(3/9) – BIG EVENTS
• Pro-Business Vibes: Deregulation hopes lift sentiment 🏛️
• M&A/IPO Surge: Banks thriving in deal flow 📊
• NYSE:GS Q4 Est.: GPW:11B + revenue, +5-7% YoY 🚗
X posts buzz about a banking renaissance!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• AMEX:KBE : +8.3% vs. AMEX:XLF +6%, AMEX:IWM +5.4% 🌍
• Forward P/E: ~10x ( AMEX:KBE ) vs. 12x ( AMEX:XLF ), 20x ( AMEX:SPY )
• P/B: 1.2x vs. AMEX:XLF ’s 1.5x
Undervalued vs. peers, but banking focus shines!
(5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH
• Rates: Rising costs could pinch margins 📉
• Trade Policy: Tariffs might slow deals ⚠️
• Loan Demand: Weakness or credit dips a threat 🏦
• Sentiment: Undervaluation lingers—earnings key!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Trading Power: FICC up 10% in Q4 🌟
• Dealmaking: Top banks lead M&A/IPO surge 🔍
• Low Cost: 0.35% expense ratio beats most 🚦
AMEX:KBE ’s got muscle in the banking game!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Cyclical reliance, bank-only focus 💸
• Opportunities: Deregulation, 10-15% earnings pop in ‘25 🌍
Can AMEX:KBE cash in on policy and growth?
(8/9) – AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 strength—where’s it going?
1️⃣ Bullish—Banks keep soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Rate woes hit hard.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 glows—trading and deals lift banks high 🌍. Cheap at 10x P/E, but risks lurk. Undervalued gem or cyclical trap?
Stocks
ROBINHOOD’S Q4 2024—TRADING BOOM FUELS RECORD GAINSROBINHOOD’S Q4 2024—TRADING BOOM FUELS RECORD GAINS NASDAQ:HOOD
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview! Robinhood’s Q4 2024 earnings are out 📈🔥—$1.01B in revenue, up 115% YoY, smashing $945M estimates. Post-election trading frenzy in equities and crypto lit the fuse. Let’s break down HOOD’s monster quarter! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
• Q4 Revenue: $1.01B, +115% YoY 💥
• Q3 Recap: $637M, +36% YoY
• Q4 EPS: $1.01, beats $0.43 est. 📊
• Net Income: $916M, up 510% from Q3’s $150M
• ARPU: $164, +102% YoY
Record profits, driven by a trading surge!
(3/9) – KEY WINS
• Net Deposits: $16.1B, +42% QoQ 🌍
• New Tools: Index options, futures, Robinhood Legend launched late 2024 🚗
• SEC Settlement: $45M in Jan 2025 clears past compliance woes ✅
HOOD’s expanding fast and cleaning house!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $56.4B, Stock: $65.28 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 40.9x vs. IBKR (50x), SCHW (20x)
• Revenue Growth: 115% YoY crushes sector avg (5.7%)
Outpaces peers in growth, but valuation’s a hot debate!
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• Market Volatility: Trading boom could fade 📉
• Regs: $45M SEC hit flags ongoing scrutiny 🏛️
• Competition: Schwab, Coinbase closing in ⚔️
• Economy: $1.21T credit card debt, layoffs loom ⚠️
Big gains, big risks—tightrope ahead!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Revenue: 115% YoY, $916M profit shines 🌟
• User Loyalty: $16.1B deposits, 2.2M+ Gold subs 🔍
• Innovation: Futures, options expand the game 🚦
HOOD’s firing on all cylinders!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Trading reliance, reg baggage 💸
• Opportunities: Futures growth, crypto-friendly regs, global push 🌍
Can NASDAQ:HOOD turn momentum into a dynasty?
(8/9) – HOOD’s Q4 is a banger—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—Growth keeps roaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but risks loom.
3️⃣ Bearish—Peak’s in, fade coming.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Robinhood’s Q4 is a SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B thunderclap—trading, deposits, and profits soar 🌍. But volatility and regs lurk. Undervalued or overhyped?
BAIDU’S Q4 2024 Earnings drop today Review Q3BAIDU’S Q3 2024 PERFORMANCE—AI GROWTH VS. AD WOES
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Baidu’s latest financials are 📈🔍. Q3 2024 revenue hit ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD), but the story’s in the details: AI’s soaring, ads are slipping. Let’s dive into BIDU’s numbers and outlook! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Total Revenue: ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD)
• Baidu Core: ¥26.5B ($3.7B USD), +4% YoY 💥
• Cloud Revenue: Strong growth (exact figures vary) ☁️
• Q3 EPS: ¥19.2 ($2.67 USD), missed ¥19.62 est.
• Non-GAAP Net Income: ¥7.6B (~$1.06B USD)
Next up: Feb 18 earnings, est. $1.78 EPS, $4.56B revenue (-7.4% YoY).
(3/9) – BIG MOVES IN AI & AUTONOMOUS TECH
• Baidu World 2024: Unveiled iRAG & Miaoda AI tools 🤖
• ERNIE API: 1.5B daily calls, up 30x YoY 📈
• Lidar Deal: $200-300M with Hesai for Yichi 06 robotaxis 🚗
AI and autonomy are stealing the show—growth engines revving up!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $31.36B (Feb 2025) 🌍
• Trailing P/E: 10.56x, Forward P/E: 10.5x—cheap vs. Alphabet or Tencent 📊
• Lags GOOG in search/ad scale but leads Chinese peers (JD, PDD) in AI diversification
At 3x EV/EBITDA, is BIDU undervalued? X posts think so!
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE RADAR
• Ad revenue: Squeezed by Tencent, ByteDance competition 📉
• AI costs: Big R&D spend, profits TBD 🤔
• China regs: Unpredictable hurdles loom 🏛️
• Economy: Slowdown could hit ad & cloud growth
• U.S.-China tension: Weighs on sentiment ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• King of China’s search market, mobile ecosystem thriving 🔍
• ERNIE Bot: 430M users, 770k enterprise apps 🌟
• Apollo Go: Leading autonomous driving, $162.6B robotaxi market by 2025 🚦
Baidu’s got serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Ad margins shrinking, AI not yet cashing in 💸
• Opportunities: AI cloud expansion, robotaxi scale-up, China stimulus upside 🌍
Can Baidu turn its tech bets into gold? Time will tell!
(8/9) – What’s BIDU’s 2025 vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and autonomy will drive a breakout.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth potential, but risks balance it out.
3️⃣ Bearish—Ads and regs will drag it down.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Baidu’s Q3 shows a tale of two trends: AI and autonomy surging, ads under pressure 🌍. With a low valuation and big tech bets, BIDU’s at a crossroads. Will innovation outpace the risks? Earnings drop today—stay tuned for the next chapter! 💪
USNAS100 | Breakout Confirmed! Will ATH Hold or Push Higher?📊 NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) – Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
🔹 Market Overview:
The price has broken the key resistance zone and stabilized above it, confirming bullish momentum. The bullish volume pushed the price up quickly to reach ATH at 22,100 before facing some resistance.
🔹 Current Price Action:
A correction toward 21,900 is likely before another push higher.
As long as price trades above 21,900 and 21,807, the market remains bullish and can target 22,292 next.
🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario:
✅ As long as price holds above 21,900 - 21,807 → bullish continuation expected!
📌 Targets:
📍 22,100 (ATH Retest)
📍 22,292 (Key Resistance Target)
📍 22,412 (Major Resistance Level & Channel Top)
⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario:
❌ A 4H close below 21,807 would signal a short-term pullback.
📌 Support Targets:
📍 21,900 (first support zone)
📍 21,807 (critical pivot area, potential bounce zone)
🔑 Key Levels:
📍 Pivot Zone: 21,900 - 21,807
📍 Resistance: 22,100 | 22,292 | 22,412
📍 Support: 21,900 | 21,807 | 21,570
📌 Conclusion:
✅ Bullish bias remains intact while price holds above 21,900.
🚀 Break above 22,100 = new bullish leg toward 22,292+.
⚠️ Failure to hold 21,807 could lead to a drop toward 21,570.
💬 Do you think we break 22,100 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇
Weekly Market Outlook: February 18 – 21, 2025🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
🇺🇸📈 U.S. Tariffs Implementation: President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These tariffs are set to take effect on Tuesday, February 18, 2025.
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Diplomatic Talks: Senior U.S. and Russian officials are scheduled to meet in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on February 18 to discuss the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and explore potential resolutions.
🇩🇪🗳️ German Snap Election: Germany is set to hold a snap election this week, with the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) expected to perform well, potentially influencing European markets.
📊 Key Data Releases:
Tuesday, Feb 18:
🇺🇸🏭 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Measures manufacturing activity in New York State.
🇺🇸🗣️ U.S. President Trump Speech (3:00 PM ET): Insights into potential policy directions and economic outlook.
Wednesday, Feb 19:
🇺🇸🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET): Data on new residential construction projects.
🇺🇸📄 FOMC Meeting Minutes (2:00 PM ET): Detailed insights into the Federal Reserve's policy discussions from the January meeting.
Thursday, Feb 20:
🇺🇸📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Weekly data on unemployment claims.
🇺🇸🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET): Indicator of manufacturing sector health in the Philadelphia region.
Friday, Feb 21:
🇺🇸🏭 S&P Global Flash Manufacturing PMI (9:45 AM ET): Preliminary data on manufacturing sector performance.
🇺🇸🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Reports on the number of previously owned homes sold.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Nvidia = 4T Market CapNASDAQ:NVDA : Largest Market Cap in the World?!
4 Trillion Market Cap Inbound 🎯
Ever since Nvidia flipped to green on the H5 indicator we have come back to retest it 5 times. In which we bounced and then rallied hard!
Support created and NASDAQ:NVDA is breaking out!
Not financial advice
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge 13%Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Shares Surge 13%
The Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) stock chart shows:
→ Friday’s closing price rose over 13% from Thursday’s close;
→ The stock has surged more than 80% from its February low;
→ Friday’s close marked the highest level since late October 2024.
SMCI’s rally comes despite an 11 February quarterly report that missed expectations:
→ EPS: $0.59 vs. expected $0.60;
→ Revenue: $5.65bn vs. expected $5.72bn.
Bullish sentiment is driven by (according to media reports):
→ A forecasted $40bn revenue for FY2026, 70% higher than projected FY2025 revenue;
→ Reports indicate that SMCI shares are unlikely to be delisted from NASDAQ due to financial reporting issues (which we previously discussed when analysing the SMCI stock chart on 3 December);
→ Investor enthusiasm for AI and rapid data centre construction to support it.
Technical Analysis of SMCI Stock
The price has reached the key psychological level of $50 per share:
→ Historical price action at this level has often triggered significant reversals;
→ A bullish cup-and-handle pattern is forming.
A higher second low suggests growing demand strength, potentially leading to a bullish breakout above $50.
SMCI Stock Price Forecast
Analysts remain cautious. According to Yahoo Finance:
→ Only 2 of 6 analysts recommend buying SMCI shares;
→ The 12-month average price target is $47.91.
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AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖
AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency.
Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮
The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions.
E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒
AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market.
Analyst Confidence 📊
Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors.
📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
Why Hermès’ margins shame the competitionThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox.
You know my favourite stocks are luxury stocks, and they’ve had a hard last year. Richemont and Moncler were the clear standouts from the most recent season (both grew sales), while Brunello did well too. Obviously, Kering did not do well. Here’s Hermes, which pretty much smashed everyone out of the park:
Revenue amounted to €15.2 billion
(+15% at constant exchange rates and +13% at current exchange rates)
Recurring operating income reached €6.2 billion, representing 40.5% of sales
Adjusted free cash flow amounted to €3.8 billion, up by 18%
Can we take a step back and please admire what smashing results those are — that’s a luxury business which does not cut corners operating on a 40.5% margin, with a free cash flow stream that is unheard of for the luxury industry. Let’s also consider that this is during what is nominally a recession.
Worth thinking about what makes Hermes special:
A hatred of meetings, corporate hogwash, and the associated.
They compete only with themselves — not others .
Human values. Hermes objects are made by people and bought by people . Corporate hogwash tends to see people as numbers, and then corporate hogwash forgets about the importance of psychology.
A fanatical obsession with product — product is the message.
No marketing team.
If your product is good enough, and the story you communicate is good enough, the people will come. The same can be said of Brunello, which I have always said is like a “mini-Hermes” — people buy Brunello for quality and the ethos it communicates. Worth re-reading Brunello’s daily routine, which does not look like the nonsense ice bath CEOs who you see on Instagram:
US100 - Strong uptrend will probably continueThe Nasdaq 100 has demonstrated remarkable strength in its recent uptrend, pushing to new highs above 22,100. However, the current price action suggests the market may be slightly overextended in the short term, making a pullback to the marked support zone around 21,800-21,900 a potential opportunity for more favorable entry points.
Given the overall bullish market structure and momentum, any retracements should be viewed as buying opportunities rather than trend reversals. The upward trajectory remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows, suggesting that after a healthy pullback, the index could continue its ascent toward new highs above 22,300. Traders should watch for price action confirmation and potential bullish setups around the marked support level.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
Microsoft - This Will Lead To Trouble!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) shows some clear weakness:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Back in mid 2024 Microsoft created another new all time high and in doing so also retested the major upper resistance trendline of the longer term rising channel formation. Following this bearish retest, a correction is very expected before we then see the bullish trend continuation.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MICROSOFT: Rectangle bottom buy opportunity.Microsoft is still bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.052, MACD = -6.600, ADX = 39.471) but that is to be expected as the price breached the 0.786 and almost touched the bottom of the 5 month Rectangle pattern. All breaks under the 0.786 have been strong buy opportunities targeting at least the 0.236 Fib. The trade is long (TP = 438.50).
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SOFI Ready to Break Out to $30+ ?I’ve been watching this move closely, and right now, we’re heading toward $16.49—a level that could decide the next big move. If we break through $16.98, there’s a real shot at pushing toward $18.33 and beyond, with a longer-term target of $30+.
But here’s the flip side: if we reject at $16.49, we could see a pullback to $15.50, maybe even $14.50 if buyers don’t step in. That $1 range is where things could get really interesting.
I know a lot of you are in SOFI or watching it closely. What’s your plan? Are you holding, adding, or waiting for a dip?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
CITIGROUP Gearing Up for a Bullish RallyNYSE:C is trading within a well-defined uptrend supported by a rising trendline. The consistent higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish structure. If buyers maintain control and the price respects the trendline, the stock could rally toward the 87.14 target level, which aligns with a measured move projection.
For confirmation, I’ll look for bullish candlestick patterns or a breakout above recent consolidation highs. However, if the trendline support is breached, it could signal a potential shift in the trend.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see the setup differently!
$BEKE Inverse head and shouldersKE Holdings Inc. is a publicly traded Chinese real estate holding firm that offers a comprehensive online and offline platform for housing transactions and related services through its subsidiaries. It stands as the largest online real estate transaction platform in China.
Investors commonly refer to the entire operation as "Beike."
The company has garnered financial support from major players like Tencent, SoftBank Group, and Hillhouse Investment.
In August 2020, KE made its debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), successfully raising $2.12 billion during its initial public offering. On its first trading day, the stock soared by 87%, bringing the company's valuation to nearly $40 billion.
By May 2022, KE expanded its reach by becoming a dual-listed entity, adding its shares to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
KE operates two primary businesses: Lianjia and Beike. Lianjia functions as a real estate agency, while Beike serves as an online platform that connects customers with estate agents, including Lianjia. Lianjia is often likened to Redfin, whereas Beike is compared to Zillow.
The company is divided into four key business segments:
1. Existing home transaction services
2. New home transaction services
3. Home renovation and furnishing
4. Emerging and other services