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Risk-On or Risk-Off? Stocks vs. Bonds Introduction: With stocks reaching new all-time highs and market sentiment edging into euphoria, it's an opportune time to revisit a classic risk-on/risk-off indicator: the ratio between stocks AMEX:SPY and long-term bonds NASDAQ:TLT . This ratio provides a clear view of investor sentiment: Risk-On: When SPY outperforms TLT, investors favor equities for their higher potential returns. Risk-Off: When TLT outperforms SPY, it reflects rising risk aversion and a move toward safer assets like bonds. Analysis: Uptrend Intact: Currently, the SPY-to-TLT ratio remains in a clear uptrend, defined by a series of higher-highs and higher-lows. This sustained upward momentum signals continued confidence in equities. Ascending Channel: The ratio is also rising within an ascending price channel, a bullish continuation pattern. As long as this structure holds, the market can be interpreted as firmly in risk-on mode. What to Watch: Channel Support: A breakdown below the channel’s lower boundary would be the first sign of caution. Higher Highs: If the ratio continues to push upward, it would confirm further bullish sentiment in equities. Conclusion: The SPY-to-TLT ratio is a key barometer for risk appetite, and its sustained uptrend within the ascending channel is a clear signal of the market’s risk-on posture. As long as this trend holds, equities remain in a favorable position. However, traders should stay vigilant for any signs of a breakdown, which could hint at rising market caution. Are you aligned with this risk-on outlook, or do you see potential cracks forming? Share your thoughts below! Charts: (Include charts showing the SPY-to-TLT ratio, the ascending price channel, and key trendlines for support and resistance) Tags: #SPY #TLT #RiskOn #RiskOff #Stocks #Bonds #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends
AMEX:SPY
by Richtv_official
Cloudflare (NET) AnalysisCompany Overview: Cloudflare NYSE:NET , a global leader in cybersecurity, content delivery networks (CDN), and edge computing, is well-positioned to capitalize on increasing digital transformation and growing demand for secure, efficient cloud infrastructure. Key Growth Catalysts: Strategic AI Partnerships 🤝 Cloudflare’s collaboration with Microsoft Azure enhances its AI infrastructure, fostering innovation and bolstering its competitive edge in enterprise cloud solutions. Zero Trust Leadership in Cybersecurity 🔐 Cloudflare’s Zero Trust platform addresses growing enterprise needs amid rising cyber threats and increased remote work adoption. Advanced threat intelligence and access controls make it a leader in next-gen cybersecurity solutions. Edge Computing & IoT Opportunities 🌐 Edge computing solutions are experiencing strong adoption, fueled by: Growing demand for 5G networks and the IoT revolution. The edge computing market is projected to reach $87.3 billion by 2026. Cloudflare’s focus on reducing latency and enhancing network efficiency positions it to capture market share. Global Expansion & Untapped Markets 🌍 New data centers in underserved regions expand Cloudflare’s global reach, improving service delivery and unlocking revenue opportunities in untapped markets. Investment Outlook: Bullish Stance: We are bullish on NET above $90.00-$91.00, supported by strong positioning in AI, cybersecurity, and edge computing, coupled with robust global expansion strategies. Upside Target: Our price target is **$145.00-$150.00
NYSE:NETLong
by Richtv_official
1st Empathy Strat Revised 12/12/24Last strategy for GBP/CAD: CAD looks like a stable market to invest in due to the momentum gaining around the currency, the oversold levels and currently low declined volatility makes it perfect for significant inclines due to unstable bearish buying power. with a economic counter to GBP's interest rate decisions week of DEC 8, and the volatility gaining around the coin, plus the bearish sustaining momentum sell GBP buy Cad. Strategy: Final Tp = 2.5% Round 1.75745 SMA = 1.3% Avg SMA = 0.60% retracment = 0.35%/0.70% 12/11/24 Note Strategy struggling pulled out of market readjusting to market situation new revised Strategy 12/12/24: since this strategy had a hard time on the decline after researching GBP market expect inclined push on fx securities due to lower prices in historical data of fx securities, plus the US PPI & natural gas fluke expect gas securities to fluke due to electric switch-over globally for sometime. CAD tech tariffs will cause dollar volatility for now expect GBP to rally
Long
by Sylynt056
3
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment. Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk. As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Amd - Retest, Reversal And A +100% Rally!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) will soon retest massive previous support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After Amd perfectly retested the upper channel resistance about half a year ago, we saw a beautiful rejection and already a retest of the crucial horizontal support. Now, Amd is once again coming back to retest this support and another bullish reversal is extremely likely. Levels to watch: $130, $260 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
20
NIO- showing signs of a potential bullish trend NIO Inc. is showing signs of a potential bullish trend in the short term, supported by both technical and fundamental factors: Technical Perspective: Strong Support Zone: The price is currently holding above a key support level near $4.50, previously marked as a "strong low," which indicates buyer interest in this zone. Change of Character (CHoCH): Multiple CHoCH patterns visible on the chart suggest a potential reversal from the recent downtrend, pointing toward upward momentum. Upside Target: The immediate resistance levels are between $5.00 and $5.50, which align with prior supply zones, presenting a potential target for bullish movement. Fundamental Perspective: Improving Sentiment: Recent developments in the EV industry, coupled with positive policy measures in China supporting the sector, could boost investor confidence in NIO. Undervalued Price: Current levels suggest the stock is priced attractively, with the negative sentiment and earlier concerns appearing to be overdone, leaving room for recovery. While the long-term trajectory depends on broader market conditions and company fundamentals, the short-term outlook points to a potential upward move toward $5.50.
NYSE:NIOLong
by Charts_M7M
Reliance Down but seems not out. Reliance is one of India's premier companies with a market cap currently at Rs.1710830.2 Crores. After the stock split the stock lost momentum and had been falling drastically. Right now it is belo Mother and Father line on daily charts. With profitability and EPS set to increase from 2025 onwards as per the last Speech of Mr.Mukesh Ambani Reliance still can to be ruled out as a long term pick and a portfolio stock. Technically the stock is weak but as it is a Long term investment idea and Portfolio stock the levels at which it is trading are looking mouth-watering. Tracking quantity entry or X/3 entry levels are mentioned below for the stock. There is a news today of Reliance entering a long term contract with Russia worth 13B a year at current prices. Along with this news Reliance is trading at a price of 1263. The near by support zones are at 1241 and 1218. Long term support is near the zone of 1150 to 1043. X/3 entry for educational purpose of tracking quantity of Reliance can be taken at current levels or if it falls further to 1241 or 1218 levels and bounces from there. (Entry on bounce not while it is falling). The second entry can be taken on bounce after closing above 1328. Final entry after closing above 1387 levels. Long term targets for Reliance will be 1442, 1530 and 1600+ levels. Stop loss can be maintained at a monthly closing below 1043 (It is very unlikely if it goes there). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:RELIANCE
by Happy_Candles_Investment
MDLZ $72.00 - Don't Miss Out on This 18%NASDAQ:MDLZ announced it would like to buy NYSE:HSY which led to a drop to $60. The sell-off came with a high volume and an oversold RSI. The buyers were able to buy the stop up to $61.44 getting it into the support zone. The sell-off did also respect the current bearish channel we're in. From this point on we could see a little bounce or the start of a new bullish phase inside this huge sideways channel. Our first target would be the resistance at $64.22. If we bounce from this we could see another leg down which is why we should take profit here and move the stop-loss to break-even. If the stock decides to use its momentum for more we could target the area at $73.00. We exit this trade if the stock closes on the daily chart with a candle below the support zone of $60.67. Resistance / Target Zones: $64.22 $73.00 Support Zone: $60.67 Let me know what you think!
NASDAQ:MDLZLong
by LGNDRY-Capital
2
NETFLIX historic pattern targets $1500 in 2025.Last time we looked at Netflix (NFLX) was on its earnings release (October 21, see chart below), when we gave a strong bullish signal that easily hit our $840.00 Target: Since 3 week ago, the price even broke above the dominant 1-year Channel Up and is now in search of a new pattern. This pattern can be found if we zoom out considerably on the 1W time-frame, where the underlying pattern since the U.S. Housing Crisis is a 25-year Channel Up. The symmetry within this pattern is high and in fact since the June 2022 market bottom (which was a Higher Low on the Channel Up), the stock has been on a Bull Cycle. The Bear Cycle that preceded it had a massive decline of -77%. The last correction of this magnitude was the July 2011 - August 2012 Bear Cycle, which declined by -83%. The two Bull Cycles that followed Netflix's golden years were identical (+825% and +847%). As a result, we assume that the current Bull Cycle will also rise by at least +825% from its bottom, which gives us a $1500 Target towards the end of 2025. Notice also how both the 2012 - 2014 and 2022 - 2024 Bull Cycles had a 1W Golden Cross. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by TradingShot
3
Is LCID Ready to Defy Gravity?!Here I have NASDAQ:LCID on the Daily Chart. Price has been wrestling with the ( $2.55 - $2.30 ) area all 2024, but with the new Gravity SUV finally in production: www.tradingview.com along with tension easing from speculation on what the Trump Administration plans to do with the EV Sector: www.tradingview.com We could see Price on NASDAQ:LCID take off! Since the August High's @ ( $4.43 - $4.25 ), Price has been following a Falling Resistance but we see on Dec. 6th, Price not only became extremely Bullish testing the Falling Resistance from underneath but also: -Built Massive Bullish Volume -RSI Pushed Above 50 -Followed by a Bullish Candle Close outside of the Falling Resistance to start the week on Dec. 9th. *Suggesting Market Sentiment is changing and Bulls could be getting ready to take over! Today on the 11th we see Price has made a Pullback to the Falling Resistance to Retest the Break @ $2.28 and is currently trading up to $2.35 showing a good Bullish reaction to the Lower Prices now! We must continue to see RSI stay Above 50 and Bullish Volume remain dominant upon Prices rise along with good output from the new product line and the company continuing to gain investing support!
NASDAQ:LCIDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
Revisiting The 2021 Stock Picker Bull MarketThe charts of companies like Applovin, Carvana, and Twilio are all companies that, at one point, were high flyers during the 2020/21 bull market. However, they are also poster child's for its subsequent collapse. But then again, pay close attention to the charts that I've shared here... something is brewing. Applovin: A Sudden Vertical Surge Starting with Applovin (far left panel), the stock has gone vertical recently and what's most fascinating about that is the simple fact that the naysayers who were saying it was a bubble have been blown out. Not only has it reclaimed its prior all-time highs, but now it's also soaring to new heights as one of the year's best performers. Carvana: Rising from the Ashes? In the middle chart, Carvana’s chart is equally jaw-dropping. Once the poster child for pandemic-era excesses, Carvana’s bubble famously popped in 2022. The steep decline appeared terminal for the company’s stock price. Yet here we are, with Carvana now climbing back a significant chunk of its losses. In my view, this rebound reflects an emerging trend: the market’s willingness to forgive past excesses. Twilio: From Bust to “Interesting” Finally, Twilio’s chart (far right panel) shows a similar recovery story. After its epic collapse in 2022, Twilio found itself trading in the bargain bin. Now, the stock is seeing renewed interest. While the rise isn’t as steep as Applovin’s or Carvana’s, the pattern of recovery is unmistakable and it's why I am writing this post: is something brewing? Are these companies for real? Can they print money for investors, emerge into new sectors, build new products, and expand? It seems that the builders are clearly emerging. I write all of this to say the following – I believe there are a basket of stocks that are falling into this category and as we had into 2025, you should have your watchlist ready. I will soon be publishing my extensive watchlist on this subject. Stay tuned!
NYSE:CVNA
by scheplick
NVIDIA (NVDA) Daily AnalysisNVIDIA (NVDA) Daily Analysis On the daily time frame, NVIDIA has already broken out of a triangle pattern and is now forming a potential head and shoulders pattern. Here’s the breakdown of the current structure: Gray support zone: A critical level to monitor. If this level breaks, the next significant support is the purple support zone, which also aligns with the Point of Control (POC) at this level. If the price retraces to the purple support zone, it could present a potential entry opportunity with proper confirmation. Based on the projection from the triangle breakout, the green zone remains a key target for later upward momentum. This is a free idea I’m sharing with the community. If you find value in my analysis, your likes, shares, and follows would be greatly appreciated. I take the time to share my insights, and your support motivates me to keep doing so. 🙏 Thank you!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by rebenga93
1
($WW): Strategic Entry into Weight Management SectorI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more. WW International, Inc. ( NASDAQ:WW ): Strategic Entry into Weight Management Sector WW International, Inc. (WW) is a stock in the USA market. The price is 1.61 USD currently with a change of -0.04000 (-0.02424%) from the previous close. The intraday high is 1.69 USD and the intraday low is 1.555 USD. Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $1.29 - Stop-Loss: $0.6800 - Take-Profit Targets: - TP1: $2.28 - TP2: $3.75 Earnings Reports: In the second quarter of 2024, WW International reported disappointing results, leading to a 1.9% drop in stock price into record-low territory. Valuation Metrics: The company's market capitalization stands at approximately $109.41 million, with a Price-to-Sales Ratio of 0.14, reflecting the market's valuation of the company's sales. Dividends: WW International does not currently offer dividends, focusing instead on reinvestment into the company's growth and restructuring efforts. Market News: Recent executive changes include the appointment of Felicia DellaFortuna as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2025. Additionally, the company has introduced compounded GLP-1 obesity treatments to its services, aiming to provide accessible and affordable clinical weight management solutions. Analyst Ratings: WW International has received a consensus rating of 'Hold,' based on 3 buy ratings, 2 hold ratings, and 1 sell rating. Risk Management: Implementing a stop-loss at $0.6800 helps mitigate potential losses, while the take-profit targets at $2.28 and $3.75 offer favorable risk-reward ratios. Given the stock's volatility and recent market developments, strict adherence to these levels is crucial. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:WWLong
by SiriusTrading