“How Short-Sellers Have Distorted Ryde Group's Share Price"Ryde Group Limited (NYSE) , a promising mobility solutions provider in Southeast Asia, has recently seen its stock price impacted by heightened short-selling activity. While the fundamentals of the company remain solid, the data suggests that aggressive shorting has created a misleading picture of its value, adding volatility and artificial downward pressure to its share price.
As of November 15, 2024, Ryde had 232.67k shares sold short, representing 1.45% of its float of 11.8 million shares. Although the percentage may seem small, Ryde’s low float amplifies the impact of short-selling on price movements.
A smaller float means fewer shares are available for trading, so even a modest short interest can disproportionately sway market sentiment, pushing prices lower than the company’s fundamentals would warrant.
Interestingly, while the short interest decreased significantly from 443.39k shares in the prior month, the presence of short-sellers remains a factor in suppressing the stock’s performance.
The current short ratio of 0.39 suggests that while some short positions are being covered, the lingering activity continues to weigh on investor confidence. This sustained pressure creates a negative feedback loop, where price declines caused by shorting further deter potential buyers, compounding the artificial undervaluation.
Adding to the picture is Ryde’s low institutional ownership, which stands at only 1.06%. Institutions typically provide stability to a stock by holding significant positions and countering speculative trading activity. In Ryde’s case, the limited presence of institutional investors has left the company more vulnerable to short-seller tactics. However, this lack of institutional ownership contrasts sharply with the company’s 34.51% insider ownership, which demonstrates strong internal confidence in Ryde’s long-term growth potential. Such a high percentage of insider holdings suggests that those closest to the company—its executives and key stakeholders—firmly believe in its business model and future prospects.
!The short information above was extracted from Yahoo Finance.
The effects of this short-selling activity are especially concerning because they appear disconnected from Ryde’s underlying fundamentals. Short-sellers often exploit temporary market conditions or investor uncertainty, which can lead to exaggerated declines in stock prices. For a company like Ryde, whose operational and financial health remains stable, this downward pressure creates a misleading narrative that does not align with its true value. Such distortions make it challenging for the market to accurately price the company, potentially causing long-term investors to overlook its potential.
In conclusion, while Ryde’s stock price has been affected by short-sellers, the company’s strong insider confidence and promising fundamentals suggest that its current valuation may not reflect its true worth. Investors who are willing to look beyond the short-term volatility caused by speculative trading may find an opportunity to capitalise on the eventual rebalancing of the market’s perception of Ryde Group Limited.
Stocks
UPS - Delivering A Trend Continuation...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 UPS has been overall bullish long-term , trading above the orange trendline.
Currently, UPS is in a correction phase trading within the falling channel marked in black.
Moreover, the zone marked in blue is a strong demand zone and round number $100.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #UPS approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
TSLA on the go...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After rejecting the $200 round number zone and breaking above the red channel, TSLA's momentum shifted from bearish to bullish.
Currently, TSLA is in a correction phase and approaching the green demand zone and round number $300.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #TESLA approaches the $300 zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NAS100 - Nasdaq will welcome Santa Rally?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward.
In recent days, financial markets have experienced a notable influx of capital. According to a report by Bank of America, capital flows amounted to $8.2 billion into equities, $4.9 billion into bonds, and $3.0 billion into cryptocurrencies. This marks the largest four-week inflow into cryptocurrencies, totaling $11.0 billion.
Capital inflows into U.S. equities continued for the ninth consecutive week, totaling $8.2 billion. Additionally, a $4.6 billion investment in small-cap U.S. stocks pushed the 2024 inflows to record highs.
Over the 12 months ending in November, an average of 186,000 new jobs were created each month. On a monthly basis, the highest job growth was observed in healthcare, leisure, and government sectors. Employment in the transportation equipment manufacturing sector also saw a boost following the resolution of labor strikes.
Recent economic data continues to highlight contractionary pressures and their effects on the U.S. economy. At first glance, November’s NFP employment report indicates a resilient and strong labor market, with the U.S. economy adding approximately 227,000 jobs. This growth was largely due to the recovery of jobs lost to recent hurricanes in the Southeast and the resolution of Boeing labor strikes, both of which had reduced employment figures in October. The October report was also revised upward to 36,000 jobs.
Unemployment rose to 4.2%, while labor force participation declined. Despite this, unemployment remains relatively low, though it may rise in the coming months if contractionary pressures persist.
This week, major events in global central bank policies are expected to take place. Dubbed by some as the “central banks’ decisive week,” it begins with the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision. Key U.S. economic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI), will play a pivotal role in shaping Federal Reserve policies.
Investors are primarily focused on inflation data. The November CPI report is set to be released on Wednesday, followed by the PPI report on Thursday. These figures will serve as a precursor to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision next week.
Projections indicate that annual CPI may rise from 2.6% to 2.7%, while core CPI is expected to remain steady at 3.3%. If no stronger-than-expected data emerges, the Federal Reserve is likely to lean toward reducing interest rates, with the possibility of halting monetary easing in the January meeting.
The December 2024 global economic outlook report by Fitch highlights rising inflation risks in the U.S., driven by stronger-than-expected consumer spending, upcoming tariff increases that raise import prices, and slowed labor force growth due to reduced net migration.
Fitch forecasts that global growth will decline to 2.6% in 2025, a figure largely unchanged from its September report. However, this global stability masks significant shifts in the economic growth forecasts of major countries. U.S. economic growth for 2025 has been revised up by 0.5% to 2.1%, while the Eurozone’s growth forecast has been reduced by 0.3% to 1.2%. Similarly, China’s growth forecast for 2025 has been lowered by 0.2% to 4.3%.
The persistent inflationary trends observed in recent months are unlikely to change significantly with the November CPI report. The CPI data, due on Wednesday, is one of the final and most important indicators ahead of the December 18 Federal Reserve meeting. It may influence FOMC members’ decisions on whether to reduce or halt interest rate cuts.
Currently, there is a strong probability of a 25-basis-point cut in the upcoming meeting.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, stated in an interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press” that he has no plans to request the resignation of Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chairman. Trump emphasized that he does not intend to replace Powell and will continue to work with him.
In recent years, financial and tech markets have witnessed remarkable shifts. One such change is the shift in focus from semiconductor companies to AI-related software firms. After a significant rally in semiconductor stocks like NVIDIA and AMD, market enthusiasm has now shifted toward software companies such as Snowflake and Palantir. This reflects a growing realization that AI’s true potential lies in its applications across industries, rather than solely in the hardware enabling it.
Semiconductor firms were the initial beneficiaries of this AI boom, but the market is now gravitating toward companies implementing AI in practical and operational ways.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.09.2024🔮
📅Tue Dec 10
All Day
OPEC Meetings
📅Wed Dec 11
⏰8:30am
Core CPI m/m
CPI m/m
CPI y/y
⏰10:30am
Crude Oil Inventories
📅Thu Dec 12
⏰8:30am
Core PPI m/m
PPI m/m
Unemployment Claims
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 9th📊Stock Market Weekly Preview: NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
In this video, we’re diving into:
🔹Stock Market & Economic News
🔹Market Direction
🔹My H5 Tools & Strategies
🔹New & Current Trades
Let’s dive in and uncover the insights you need to stay informed and strategic! 👇
MICROSTRATEGY a pyramid ponzi.Understanding the situation with MSTR can be quite complex.
Many people recognize that MicroStrategy has been issuing convertible bonds at a 0% interest rate to purchase Bitcoin. This strategy tends to drive up both Bitcoin's price and the value of MSTR shares.
As a result, the scheme appears to inflate continuously, placing the risk on bondholders. The only way for MSTR's stock price to keep rising is through the issuance of increasingly larger amounts of convertible debt; otherwise, the entire pyramid would collapse.
It's understandable why Michael Saylor seems to be focusing more on shilling MSTR bonds instead of Bitcoin itself.
Why would institutions invest in MSTR's convertible bonds at 0%?
Many believe it's because they anticipate being able to convert these bonds into MSTR stock in five years at a predetermined price, potentially around $675, effectively giving them a premium-free call option. However, there is a hidden cost to this strategy: inflation. At first glance, this might seem like a poor investment choice—if one expects MSTR's value to rise, it would make more sense to buy the shares now rather than commit funds to a higher price in the future.
Why would anyone engage in such a massive financial manoeuvre involving BILLIONS?
The truth is, those purchasing the bonds are ACTUALLY indifferent to the rising stock value! Their primary interest lies in capitalizing on price fluctuations. Ultimately, a convertible bond functions as a CALL OPTION; thus, as the MSTR stock price experiences greater volatility, the premium on the call increases. Recently the value of these convertible bonds has surged by 170%. This is precisely why investors are unconcerned about interest rates or the actual conversion of the bonds—they have ZERO desire to convert! The reason? Issuing new shares would only dilute their holdings!
All the rewards with none of the risks!
But what happens if MSTR collapses? Bondholders will seize all the Bitcoin MSTR possesses, leaving shareholders with nothing but scraps!
Can you fathom how deep this MSTR Ponzi scheme really is?
The more you explore, the more mental acrobatics you need to perform to grasp the situation!
Many believe that bond buyers are naive, but in reality, they are the sharpest players in the game, reaping the benefits without facing the risks! In the current climate, that’s the nature of volatility! It doesn’t matter if MSTR’s stock price fluctuates; they’re insulated from the fallout. Who do you think is betting against MSTR? It’s the bondholders, and their positions are secure!
Ultimately, for someone to profit, someone else must incur a loss, and it won’t be the bondholders. This means that regular shareholders are poised for significant losses, as the primary force driving MSTR’s stock price is its own volatility. Once that volatility dissipates, we could see MSTR plummet below $100 a share! All those crypto enthusiasts will be left reeling, wondering how MSTR could possibly decline while Bitcoin’s value rises!!!
What’s the main effect of these convertible bonds?
They create volatility in the stock price, leading to wild swings up and down, just as we’re currently witnessing.
What occurs when the volatility subsides?
The stock price will plummet!
Many people are misdirecting their focus on metrics, technical analysis, and listening to Michael Saylor's commentary on CNBC. Instead, they should be paying attention to the volatility of MSTR's stock price, as its decline will directly impact the stock's value.
Don't be misled; even if MSTR falls below $300, it will still be overpriced and could potentially drop to under $100 per share due to the convertible bonds scheme. Claims from MSTR valuation sites that each share is backed by a certain amount of Bitcoin are misleading; the reality is that the shares are not backed by anything.
The BONDHOLDERS are the ones who possess all the Bitcoin.
There’s no such thing as a free lunch—someone has to bear the costs, and in MSTR's case, that burden will fall on the shareholders. You certainly don’t want to be left holding the bag when the music stops.
It is important to maintain a clear perspective regarding cryptocurrencies; they should not be viewed as traditional investments, but rather as something more comparable to gambling.
While you may have the advantage of being an expert poker player, the only way to truly win is to cash out your profits.
Otherwise, you risk losing on MSTR and in the crypto market.
ANF: Positioned for Growth Amid Strong Financial MomentumAbercrombie & Fitch Co. ( NYSE:ANF ): Positioned for Growth Amid Strong Financial Momentum
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $151.35 (activated)
- Stop-Loss: $110.18
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $205.94
- TP2: $291.21
Company Overview:
NYSE:ANF is a leading specialty retailer offering casual apparel and accessories under brands like Abercrombie & Fitch and Hollister, catering to diverse demographics globally. The company has demonstrated resilience and adaptability, maintaining its relevance in a competitive retail market.
Financial Performance:
- In Q3 2024, NYSE:ANF reported a net income increase of **10.9%**, totalling $131.98 million.
- Revenue grew **14% year-over-year** to a record **$1.21 billion**, marking six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth.
- The company continues to expand its digital and physical presence, enhancing customer engagement and operational efficiency.
Analyst Ratings:
- Analysts have a consensus **"Moderate Buy" rating** on NYSE:ANF , with a median price target of **$190**, suggesting upside potential.
- Optimistic price targets range up to $250, reflecting confidence in NYSE:ANF ’s ability to sustain its growth trajectory.
Risk/Reward Analysis:
- The stop-loss at **$110.18** limits downside risk to approximately **27%** from the entry point.
- Take-profit targets at **$205.94** and **$291.21** offer potential upside of **36%** and **92%**, respectively, creating a favourable risk-reward scenario.
Conclusion:
NYSE:ANF continues to demonstrate strong financial performance and positive market sentiment, supported by robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives. This trade setup balances calculated risks with the potential for significant returns.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave!
*Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
IRFC BREAKOUT LEVELS🚀 IRFC Breakout Levels to Watch! 📈
🔹 Resistance Level: ₹ 164.64
A breakout above ₹170.68 could send IRFC soaring towards ₹30–₹32! 💥
🔹 Trend Watch: Volume is key for confirming breakouts! 🔑
📊 Keep an eye on these levels for potential trading opportunities. Always set your stop losses and trade with caution! 📉
#IRFC #StockMarket #BreakoutLevels #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #StockTrading #MarketUpdate #InvestSmart
SWING IDEA - PNB HOUSING FINANCEPNB Housing Finance , a prominent housing finance company in India, is exhibiting a promising swing trade setup supported by strong technical signals.
Reasons are listed below :
Breakout and Retest of 800 Zone : The stock previously broke a strong resistance at 800 and is now retesting it, showing potential for upward momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A strong bullish marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe indicates robust buying interest.
Golden Fibonacci Zone : The stock is bouncing back from a key Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend.
50 EMA Support : Price action is well-supported by the 50 EMA on the weekly timeframe, affirming bullish sentiment.
Volume Spike : A significant increase in trading volumes highlights growing investor confidence.
Target - 1190 // 1380
Stoploss - weekly close below 825
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 6, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 index demonstrated a consistent and measured sleepwalking upward trajectory towards our target of Outer Index Rally 6123, with potential for further advancement to the subsequent Outer Index Rally level at 6233. This notable ascent toward the target of 6123 is anticipated to result in a pullback to the Mean Support level of 6049, thereby facilitating the next phase of the bullish trend.
IRCON can move upwards after consolidation. IRCON International Ltd. engages in the provision of engineering and construction services. It specializes in major infrastructure projects, including railways, highways, bridges, flyovers, tunnels, aircraft maintenance hangars, runways, extra high voltage sub-stations, electrical and mechanical works, commercial and residential properties, development of industrial areas, and other infrastructure activities. The company operates through the Domestic and International geographic segments.
IRCON International Ltd. 225.88. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Effectively using its capital to generate profit and High Volume, High Gain. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 23.1), MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 227 Targets in the stock will be 246, 265 and 285. The long-term target in the stock will be 316 and 352. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 180.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Beml Land And Assets seems to be rising after forming a bottom.BEML Land Assets Ltd. operates as a special purpose entity which develops, acquires, manages, holds, licenses and sells real estate properties. BEML Land Assets Ltd. CMP is 243.49.
The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years and Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are Negative Valuation (P.E. = -246.6), MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects.
Entry can be taken after closing above 245 Targets in the stock will be 274, 291 and 304. The long-term target in the stock will be 320, 343 and 356. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 215.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
S&P 500 Macro Outlook (2022-2024 Forecasted Targets/Tops/Bottom)3950-4K micro-target followed by the melt-up rally.
Linear top: 5325
Log top: (Separate post): 6000
Extension linear top: 6500
60-80% Bear Market follows;
Target 1: 2150
Target 2: 1555
End of Bear Market: Q3/Q4 2024 due to QE5/6, aka Infinite easing.
P.S. Disregard target 3 on the chart; Depression isn't expected this decade.
AMD Is it really as 'dead' as it looks?Advanced Micro Devices / AMD is down -45% since their March 2024 All Time High and the market appears to be quickly losing faith on the stock.
However, this is not the first time we've encountered such decline on this stock as the exact same Channel Down that had a drop of -42% also took place during the previous Bull Cycle.
In fact this is what we called the mid Bull Cycle accumulation Channel and as you see in both patterns, the 1week MA100 supported. On the 2017/18 case, it kickstarted a rebound to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
It is amazing to see that even the Bear Cycles that preceded those Channels (2022 and 2014/15), they declined by the same amount (-66.41%).
So for now the 1week MA100 is supporting the November-December consolidation and this is the 1nd time it has since the August 5th low.
Once the 1week RSI hits 38.00 again (like it did on March 26th 2018), it will be the ultimate time to buy again but being so close to it right now, you can start buying even now.
Target 350.00 (little under the 1.382 Fib).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
SWING IDEA - CHAMBAL FERTILIZERSChambal Fertilizers , a leading manufacturer of fertilizers and agri-products in India, is presenting a compelling swing trade setup with strong technical indicators.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of Cup and Handle Pattern : A classic bullish continuation pattern indicating potential for a significant upside.
Bullish Marubozu Candle : A strong bullish marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe highlights sustained buying pressure.
500 Zone Breakout : The price is attempting to break above the 500 resistance zone after consolidating near its all-time high, signaling strength.
Prolonged Consolidation Breakout : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase spanning over 3 years, suggesting a fresh trend initiation.
Target - 675
Stoploss - weekly close below 440
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
$INTC GGWP Bankruptcy is coming. SHORTIntel Announces Retirement of CEO Pat Gelsinger
on December 2nd 2024.
Thy have launched many faulty processors, instead of fixing their fkup they started to flee.
Short it to 0.
I sadly have bought one of these laptops with new gen intel CPU. AND IT DOES FEEL LIKE A FAULTY ONE.
If I buy/long any of it is at 8-12$ just to play a round of "Casino Roulette". High risk low reward.
Of course if they announce something positive this might change but I hardly doubt it.
$UAA Under Armour LONGUnder Armour looks nice. Might get a retest soon and then it's a perfect entry.
Good time to start buying in now.
Have no idea what happening inside of the company if there is any bad new of course you shouldn't long.
If I wanted to rotate my gains from the Stocks that already pumped this would be it.
$PYPL Paypal up only?PayPal looks like it's about to start mooning.
Don't forget that PayPal have crypto trading now. When pebbles will come into market they will mainly use companies like Robinhood, Paypal, Coinbase to buy it.
Have no idea what happening inside of the company if there is any bad new of course you shouldn't long.
If I wanted to rotate my gains from the Stocks that already pumped this would be it.
$NKE Nike ready for move back to it's ATH?Look like Nike bout to start moving.
The TA doesn't look bad. Might get a retest of ~70$ before the move.
Have no idea what happening inside of the company if there is any bad new of course you shouldn't long.
If I wanted to rotate my gains from the Stocks that already pumped this would be it.