APPLE This is why you should not miss this buy opportunity.Apple (AAPL) dived by -18% from the December 14 2023 High and following yet another rejection on its 1D MA50 this week, many turned increasingly skeptical over the stocks future. On this chart however, we examine Apple's ratio against Nasdaq (NDX) and gives a very clear answer.
As you can see, the ratio is about to form a Death Cross on the 1W time-frame, with the price attempting a rebound after having been hammered below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). In the past 11 years, every time the ratio was below its 1W MA200 (green arc) and on a 1W Death Cross in particular, that was the market bottom and Apple largely outperformed the rest of the index.
In fact the minimum it rose by until the next large correction was +53.54% and the maximum +95.31%. In 1W RSI terms, this bottom is very similar to January 2013, when the RSI also got extremely oversold at 20.00.
Bottom-line: Apple is most likely expected to outperform the index in the coming years, thus presenting a very rare long-term buy opportunity.
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Stocksignals
MICROSOFT on an excellent long-term buy level.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 06 2023 low and yesterday came to the closest 1D candle closing to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up since September 27 2023.
That was also the last Higher Low of the Channel Up, achieved exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low. With the price now below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) but still above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it appears that we are on symmetrical levels with that Higher Low.
The 1D CCI patterns between the two fractals are also similar and long-term investors can start considering buying MSFT again. Our medium-term Target is $450.00.
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TESLA Has Elon made his miracle again? 4 month Resistance brokenNews quickly broke out that Tesla (TSLA) has received tentative approval from Beijing to launch its driver assistance software in China. This development occurred during a surprise visit by CEO Elon Musk to Tesla's largest market outside the US. Chinese authorities have agreed to allow Tesla to introduce its Full Self Driving (FSD) solution, leveraging mapping and navigation technology from Baidu (BIDU), the Chinese tech giant. This has so far pushed Tesla's shares more than +7.00% premarket.
Just 2 weeks ago (April 15, see chart below), while TSLA's price was at $166, we made a case why a potential 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bullish break-out after laying off more than 10% of its staff, could be its 'META moment', just like the social media giant did in November 2022 and bottomed:
Of course each case has its differences but as we can see, Tesla did make a similar bottom on April 22 and will most likely open above the 1D MA50 today for the first time in almost 4 months (since January 08 2024)!
That is a major bullish break-out for at least the medium-term as each time the stock did that in 2023, it didn't stop there and rather went for a Lower High on the dotted trend-line. Technically it should make contact with as least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), in order to allow the market given the fundamentals at the time to decide upon the longer term trend.
As you can see, there is a huge Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which has been trading within a Channel Up against the price's Channel Down since late January. As a result we set a minimum $210.00 Target on a 6-week horizon and then we will re-evaluate the longer term on the 1W time-frame.
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Trying to move and rediscover old gloryPiramal Enterprises Ltd engages in the business of pharmaceuticals and provision of financial services. It operates through the following segments: Pharmaceuticals Manufacturing and Services, Financial Services, and Healthcare Insights and Analytics. In 2011 it saw Fortune 500 ranking Piramal Healthcare in the top-50 largest corporations across India.
Piramal Enterprises Ltd CMP is 925.75. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation negative PE (P.E. = -10.30), Declining cash from operations annual and FIIs are decreasing stake. The positive aspects of the company are Low debt, zero promoter pledge, MFs are increasing stake and improving annual net profit.
Entry after closing above 932. Targets in the stock will be 971, 1010 and 1055. Long term targets in the stock will be 1085 and 1138. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at closing below 848.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Affle can become apple of investor's eyeAffle engages in the provision of mobile advertisement services. The platform aims to enhance returns on marketing investment through contextual mobile ads and also by reducing digital ad fraud. Affle powers unique and integrated consumer journeys for marketers to drive high ROI, measurable outcome-led advertising across global connected devices.
Affle Ltd CMP is 1105.40. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 59.90) and Promoter Holding decreasing. The positive aspects of the company are No debt, zero promoter pledge, FIIs are increasing stake, MFs are increasing stake, improving annual net profit and improving cash from operations annual.
Entry after closing above 1143. Targets in the stock will be 1168, 1200 and 1238. Long term targets in the stock will be 1267, 1283, 1306 and 1338. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at closing below 1000 or 1061.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Curious case of Kotak Bank. What to do now? Investment is always a long term game. Even the best of the companies can have issues with governance, operations, supply chain and demand. We need patience, perseverance and persistency sometimes. Avoid being impulsive, hasty and emotional and impetuous in this journey to create generational wealth and achieve financial freedom.
With my limited knowledge I will try to give my honest assessment on the curious case of Kotak bank. Let us all try to arrive at our own logical conclusion without considering this article as a prophesy to buy or sell the stock.
My observations tell me and I might be wrong but it is obvious RBI does not have a problem with asset quality of Kotak bank. Neither is there any complex issue related to compliance and probably organizational ethics. NPAs will be known soon (3rd May Quarterly Result) but I assume with prejudice and bit of bias it will neither be a major issue.
Then what is the issue? It seems the issues are related to cyber security, data of clients and lethargy with compliances related to digital growth in foot print. Yes things might be pretty nasty here considering the wrath with which RBI came down on them.
So my logical assessment tells me that fundamentally it might not be a major worry. So there are further questions:
Will they have to spend a lot in cybersecurity etc?
Yes.
Can it effect top line growth?
Yes.
Can it hamper the growth of the bank for few quarter or more?
Yes.
Will I be selling the stock I hold?
Probably not unless they hit my predetermined stop loss.
Will I buy Kotak bank right now as it has fallen more than Rs.200 and is at mouthwatering levels?
No. Not right now.
Why not?
Because we do not catch a falling knife. We will catch the bouncing ball.
What does the chart of Kotak Mahindra Bank say?
The Zone between 1602 and 1534 has potential to provide a strong support. If 1534 is broken on weekly closing. We may see new multi-year lows of 1504 or even 1400 (As of now). 1640, 1672, 1700 and 1721 will be very tough resistances to cross. This is what my analysis of chart says. Do not take it as a buy or sell call. Take a wise descision before giving a knee jerk reaction and selling in hurry or panic. One good quarter and things can be back to normal. I personally hold Kotak bank currently in my portfolio. I may rethink my further call to action if 1534 or 1504 are broken as of now I might not sell this stock. I may add on bounce at an opportune time.
Disclaimer: Investment in stocks, derivatives and mutual funds is subject to market risks, please consult your investment advisor before taking financial decisions. The data provided above is for the purpose of analysis and is purely educational in nature. The names of the stocks or index levels of spot Nifty mentioned in the article are for the purpose of education and analysis only. Purpose of this article is educational. Please do not consider this as a recommendation of any sorts.
Forecasted to Reach New All-Time High with +14% Upside PotentialHi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:GOOG
Google has rebounded three times on the EMA200 Line with upward impulsive movement, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend. Additionally, it has formed a bullish chart pattern known as a falling wedge pattern. In March 2024, it broke out of the falling wedge pattern with a bullish full-body candlestick and higher-than-average 7-day trading volume . This higher-than-average trading volume is significant as it suggests increased market participation and conviction behind the price movement, reinforcing the validity of the breakout. Moreover, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, signifying a shift towards upward momentum. A bullish crossover in the MACD is a crucial signal in technical analysis, indicating a potential reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment. This occurrence is significant as it suggests strengthening buying pressure, often foreshadowing further upward movement in the price. Analyzing these technical factors, we forecast a potential upward movement to our designated target.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GOOG."
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AMAZON Under the 1D MA50 after 6 months. Is the bleeding over?Amazon (AMZN) has broken and closed below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 6 months (since October 27 2023). Last time this happened, the stock had already begun the 2nd Bearish Leg (-18.83% decline) of the 2-year Channel Up.
As a result, there's a real possibility for the stock to reach as low as the 0.382 Fiboancci retracement level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to form a new Higher Low near the bottom of the Channel Up and then rebound.
As long as the Channel Down of the Bearish Leg is intact and Amazon doesn't close a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, we will wait for a more comfortable buy at $160.00 and we will target $200.00 (+31.87% symmetrical rise as Dec 20 2023).
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$TRNO #TERRENO AnalysisNYSE:TRNO #TERRENO for the 4th time is testing a 7 years old broken wedge , marks an oversold zone and an accumulation level.
Mizuho Securities Adjusts Price Target on Terreno Realty to $62 From $52, Maintains Neutral Rating.
40$ marks a significant key level demand for any upcoming fall.
#AHMEDMESBAH
APPLE Bouncing off extremely strong Support Cluster.Apple (AAPL) completed yesterday 3 straight green 1D candles, the longest such bullish streak in 3 months (since January 25). The rebound has been initiated inside the Lower Highs Zone that started after Apple's former All Time High (ATH) on January 04 2022.
The are a lot of recurring patterns involved as well, with one being that the current Channel Down that started on the December 14 2023 High, was rejected on the Resistance Zone that the previous Channel Down also did on the July 19 2023 High. That one made a Double Bottom on the Former ATH Lower Highs Zone after a rejection marginally above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before rebounding.
With the 1D RSI within a Channel Down as well since that High and having rebounded from its lowest level since February 2018, we have a very strong case for buying Apple, at least on the medium-term, targeting again the Resistance Zone's bottom at $198.00.
If it follows the pattern of the 2023 rally, we can even see it hitting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension at $211.00 or even higher by the end of the year since the pattern that on the January 03 2023 market bottom, is a Channel Up.
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HOME DEPOT Buy opportunity on the 1D MA200.Home Depot (HD) gave us last time (October 09 2023, see chart below) an excellent buy opportunity that quickly hit our 326.50 Target:
The Bullish momentum was so strong that it broke above the Triangle pattern and gave way to the emergence of a Channel Up. The recent 30 day correction since the March 21 High, can be technically seen as the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Up.
With the 1D MACD about to make a Bullish Cross, which has historically been an early buy signal for HD, we have the best buy opportunity at hand since October 27 2023, even though the downside can easily extend as low as 322.00 (-18.80% from the top).
This is good enough for us to buy and target initially the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at $415.00.
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TSLA → Daily analysishello guys...
based on my previous analysis of #tesla:
the main trend in the daily time frame is bearish so far!
I believe the trendline of the pattern will be breakout after retesting the S&D!
meanwhile, the price made a head and shoulders pattern and broke it out! so in a shorter time frame the price will fill the gap to touch the target of the pattern, then we can expect another downward movement!
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Kokuyo Camlin looks like breaking a trendline resistance. Kokuyo Camiln were a single product company when started. Today company have achieved have over 2000 innovative products. Which is why Camel and Camlin are the most recognized stationery and art brand in India. Kokuyo Camlin Ltd. engages in the manufacture and market of stationery and education related products. Its stationery product portfolio includes art materials, artist colours, and marker pens. Kokuyo Camiln Ltd CMP is 140.35.
The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 33.40) and FIIs are decreasing stake. The positive aspects of the company are No debt, zero promoter pledge, improving annual net profit and improving cash from operations annual.
Entry after closing above 144. Targets in the stock will be 155, 160 and 165. Long term targets in the stock will be 172 and 179. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at closing below 127.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Gufic can make moves terrificGufic Biosciences Ltd. company was founded on July 23, 1984 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India is engaged in the manufacture of pharmaceuticals, medicinal chemicals and botanical products. It operates through the following geographical segments: India, Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, Australia and South America.
The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 38.20), Declining annual net profit, declining cash from operations annual and FIIs are decreasing stake. The positive aspects of the company are Low debt, Zero promoter pledge, MFs are increasing stake and Promoter holding increasing.
Entry after closing above 325. Targets in the stock will be 336 and 344. Long term targets in the stock will be 357 and 365. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at closing below 292.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
ESM2024 (S&P500) neutral atm, no further shorts allowed for nowWe are neutral on S&P futures after the recent drop. It is too early in the week to determine a high probability bias. We have taken out fridays high today (5058), and we might see further retracment to the upside. We are not considering a short bias on the daily chart, unless ESM2024 daily candle body closes below 4984. Until we get more insight troughout the week, we will stick to intraday scalping only.
There is potential buyside liquidity remaining at 5095 and sellside liquidity at 5006.
We will see if tomorrow gives us a setup to engage either one. As of now, I think 5006 sellside is the more likely one.
This is no financial advise! Do not risk real money on any idea published by us.
$TSLA #TESLA On an important wedge.NASDAQ:TSLA #TESLA
Is currently testing a significant 4 years old wedge for the 3rd time.
The stock has lost more than 60% in the last 10 months.
Inflation and Tesla's layoffs are the obvious drivers for the recent fall.
Below current level, is a free fall to a hard to anticipate zones.
Keep it simple.
#AHMEDMESBAH
[Weekly] $AMBA #Ambarella is attractive.NASDAQ:AMBA #Ambarella
is currently testing a significant level. The lower wedge of a 10 years old extended channel . This is the 6th time the band is being tested. Even though testing a wedge several times weakens it. However, below it is almost a technical free fall zone to the 11: 12$ mark.
Keep it simple.
#AHMEDMESBAH