APPLE Dont get fooled by the short-term pull-back. $280 on trackExactly 3 months ago (May 02, see chart below), we called for a strong buy signal on Apple (AAPL) and it dully delivered as 2 days ago the stock completed three straight green months with a new All Time High (ATH):
The recent weekly pull-back shouldn't allow you to diverge from the bigger picture and on this analysis we look at it from a 1M time-frame perspective. As you can see, as long as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, Apple will continue to be on a 15-year uptrend, which shows very distinct Phases.
Right now we are on the Channel Up that followed the 2022 Inflation Crisis, which was a similar correction to 2015 - 2016 (China's slowdown). The Channel Up that followed peaked at +161% before the next correction towards the 1M MA50. Even the 2013 - 2014 rise was still +145%.
As a result, we don't believe the current Channel Up to be over either, expecting a peak closer to 300. Our Target is marginally below it at $280.00.
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Stocksignals
AMD Final Flush completed. Next High above $300.The Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have most likely bottomed on this week's 1W candle as after breaking last week below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), their earnings report last night came out better than expected and the opening is expected considerably higher.
Technically, the stock has almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up that started on August 01 2022. This can be a similar Higher Low to the last one on the week of October 23 2023. As you can see, that Low was priced while the 1W CCI was Oversold (below -100.00), similar to today. The Channel's first Low was again on an oversold 1W CCI on the week of October 10 2022.
As the same time, we are as close to the bottom of the Sine Wave as possible, which again, as you see, has marked the last two Higher Lows of the long-term Channel Up.
We don't expect any more divergencies from what a typical Channel Up would suggest, and that is the start of a new Bullish Leg, its 3rd so far. If the next Higher High is exactly at the top of the Sine Wave, then we can expect it in early January 2025. The previous two Higher Highs were priced after +144% rallies from the Lows, so it is possible to see $345.00 if this symmetry continues to hold. A 300 - 320 Target Zone though is in our view more suited for a Higher High.
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NVDIA Technical buy now but recovery may take a bit longer.Last time we analyzed NVDIA corporation (NVDA) we called for a sell and clearly noted that it was not the time to buy yet (July 03, see chart below):
Our $110.00 downside Target got hit last week and as the price remains below the 1D MA50, it has entered an accumulation zone, which in the past has been very short-lived (April 19 2024, December 28 2022) and the price rebounded to a Higher High instantly or more long lasting (August 14 - October 31 2023).
In any event, NVDA has completed more than a -23.00% decline from its All Time High, which is the normal correction within the 22-month Channel Up, so that constitutes a new long-term buy entry for us. Our Target, whether we get a quick rebound or a longer-term one, is $170 (a 'modest' 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
On a side-note, the 1D RSI (black trend-line at the bottom of the chart) is also below the 40.00 mark, which within the Channel Up pattern has been the top of the long-term Buy Zone.
Note also that only a break below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), constitutes a long-term bearish reversal.
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META History repeating Double Bottom leading to $800.Meta Platforms (META) almost hit its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday, a Support level that has been holding since February 01 2023. With the long-term pattern being a Channel Up since the November 04 2022 market bottom, yesterday's Low is similar to the Double Bottom on Meta's previous Accumulation phase on October 26 2023.
That day's Low started the 2nd Bullish Leg of the Channel Up that peaked on April 08 2024 after a +95.14% rise. This is the exact same % rise as the Feb 24 2023 - July 28 2023 Bullish Leg, which was the 1st of the Channel Up.
As a result, this is technically the most optimal buy opportunity on a long-term basis for META, with a technical Target at $800.00 (+95.14% as the previous 2 Bullish Legs).
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GOOGLE Correction completed. Buying again for a $210 Target.Last time we made a call on Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) on July 11 (see chart below), we caught the most optimal sell entry, right at the top of the 21-month Channel Up:
The price not only broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 15, but today almost touched the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is holding since March 12.
This correction is consistent with the mid Bullish Leg pull-back that bottomed on July 11 2023 and then moved on to complete a +37.69% rise from the previous Higher Low. As a result, we think this is the best level to buy again and target $210.00 (+37.69% rise from the April 25 Higher Low.
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GameStop ($GME) Technical Analysis: A Harmonious Bullish Journey### GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) Technical Analysis: A Harmonious Bullish Journey
#### Current Financial Data
As of the latest market close, GameStop Corp. (NYSE: GME) is trading at $24.43 , reflecting a change of 1.75% from the previous trading session. The stock has a market capitalization of $8.58 billion, with a 52-week range of $9.95 to $64.83. The average 5 day trading volume stands at 12,258,820 shares.
#### Long-Term Harmonic Bat Pattern
Since reaching an all-time high (ATH) on May 14, GameStop's stock has been slowly carving out a harmonic bat pattern on larger timeframes. This pattern, known for its predictive power, suggests a potential bullish reversal. The bat pattern is characterized by its specific Fibonacci retracement levels, which GME has been respecting, indicating a well-structured technical setup.
#### Falling Wedge Formation
Around July 1, a falling wedge formation was observed, typically a bullish continuation pattern. This formation indicated a consolidation phase within a broader uptrend, providing a precursor to a potential breakout. True to form, GME began to show signs of upward movement following this pattern, marking the beginning of a new bullish phase.
#### Price Movement and Momentum
Post- July 1 , GME saw a price retraction to the $23.37 mark. This pullback was instrumental in building bullish momentum as traders accumulated positions, anticipating the next leg of the harmonic pattern. The slow price retraction allowed for the formation of a solid support base, critical for the upcoming bullish journey.
#### Resistance and Targets
Currently, GME is approaching a significant resistance level at $31.69. Breaking through this level is crucial for further bullish progression. Upon successfully overcoming this resistance, the first target stands at $37.78 . This target is strategically placed just before another anticipated retraction around the $32 mark, providing a healthy correction and consolidation phase before the next bullish surge.
The second target is set at $53.44 . Achieving this target would mark a significant milestone in GME's bullish journey, completing the second leg of the harmonic bat pattern. This level aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the initial price move, reinforcing its technical significance.
#### Technical Indicators
Several technical indicators support the bullish outlook for GME:
.**Relative Strength Index (RSI)**: The RSI is currently trending upwards, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
**Moving Averages (MA)**: The 50-day MA is poised to cross above the 200-day MA, forming a 'Golden Cross', typically a bullish signal.
**Volume**: Trading volume has been increasing, confirming the bullish momentum as more traders participate in the rally.
#### Conclusion
GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) is currently in a technically significant phase, with multiple bullish indicators aligning to suggest further upward potential. The formation of a harmonic bat pattern, coupled with the recent falling wedge breakout and subsequent price movements, sets the stage for a bullish continuation. Traders should watch the key resistance level at $31.69 closely, as breaking this would open the path towards the first target at $37.78 and potentially the second target at $53.44.
As always, while the technical indicators provide a strong case for a bullish outlook, traders should remain vigilant of market conditions and news that could impact the stock's performance. Happy trading!
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*Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.*
TESLA Huge gap down after Earnings! Buy opportunity in disguise?Tesla (TSLA) was down more than -8.00% in pre-market trading after reporting its lowest profit margin in over five years and missing second-quarter earnings expectations. This was largely due to cut prices to revive demand and increased spending on AI projects.
This however can technically be a buy opportunity in disguise as following the ATH Lower Highs trend-line of November 2021 break-out, a new bullish potential emerged and the pattern may very well be a Channel Up as so far the rally since the April 22 Low resembles the 7-month Bullish Leg following the January 06 2023 bottom.
The Target can be within the Resistance 2 level and a potential +194.87% rise (previous Bullish Leg) range. We update our long-term Target to $380.00, slightly below Resistance 2.
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BCL INDUSTRIES BUY NOW BCL INDUSTRIES - UPTREND
Trade Reason :
1) Fundamental Very Strong Stock
2) Monthly Uptrend and Correction completed for 61.8 % Golden ration level Respected .
3) Day - Trend Reversed and Trend line Breakout .
Entry - Current Price 62 - 63 Rs or Retest Level
Target - 76 Rs
Stoploss - 45 Rs
Happy Trading ...
Tata Investments on make or break level nowHello Everyone,
Chart Pattern known as Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in which we can say that it is a chart pattern that signals a period of consolidation before the price breaks out, which can happen in either direction—upwards or downwards.
Condition #1 Breakdown
Target 1 - Rs 5900
Target 2 - Rs 5400
Condition #2 Reversal
Target 1 - Rs 6700
Target 2 - Rs 7500
Conclusion
The symmetrical triangle pattern in our chart indicates a phase of consolidation, suggesting that a significant price movement may be on the horizon. Keep an eye on the breakout direction to understand the next trend for the asset.
NOTE : Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade as per my post.
Astec Lifesciences trying to close above mid channel resistnace.Astec LifeSciences Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of agrochemicals and pharmaceutical intermediates. Its products include Tebuconazole, Propiconazole, Hexaconazole, and Difenoconazole.
Astec LifeSciences Ltd CMP is 1287.05. The positive aspects of the company are Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ) and Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Degrowth in Revenue and Profit and Annual net profit declining for last 2 years.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1309. Targets in the stock will be 1356 and 1406. The long-term target in the stock will be 1469. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1247.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Escorts Kubota trying to bounce after fall and consolidation. Escorts Kubota Ltd. manufactures and supplies agricultural machinery, auto suspension and ancillary products and railway equipment. It operates through the following segments: Agri Machinery Products, Construction Equipment, Railway Equipment and Others. The Agri Machinery Products segment manufactures tractors, lubricants, engine and gensets; and provides crop solutions. The Construction Equipment segment manufactures and markets construction and material handling equipment like cranes, loaders, vibratory rollers, and forklifts. The Railway Equipment segment manufactures railway components, which includes brakes and brake systems, couplers, rail fastening systems, and automatic twist locks.
Escorts Kubota Ltd CMP is 4014.95. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding AND MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=42.3), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash, Companies with high market cap, lower public shareholding AND Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 4020. Targets in the stock will be 4081 and 4191. The long-term target in the stock will be 4305. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 3855.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
SMCI You won't be able to catch this rally after it starts.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has so far followed to near perfection our last long-term analysis (May 13, see chart below) where we called for a prolonged accumulation (red Rectangle) of at least another 2-months before the real cyclical rally started:
We called then that 'patience will be rewarded' and the stock is finally close to rewarding your patience on the long-term. As you can see, every time in the past 18 months that the stock formed an Accumulation Phase this long, it then posted an incredible rally of +417%.
Throughout this process, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) always remained intact and supported. The rally started when the 1D MA200 got to its closest with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the exact situation we're at right now.
As a result, we expect the parabolic rally to start any day now and as the title says, once it starts it will be difficult to catch. Typically entries within the Accumulation Phase should be done while it lasts. Our long-term Target is intact at $3500 (exactly +417% from the recent Low).
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IBM is about to break outI mostly trade crypto but when I saw the daily chart of IBM, I could not pass on the opportunity given the nice consolidation set up with a potential W break out. I think IBM is a great buy in the 172-170 zone. My near term price targets are 185 PT1 and 195 PT2.
I think IBM will benefit from AI and Quantum compute trend that continues to deliver productivity gains and market moving news and sentiment. I'm accumulating in the buy zone of 172 and below. This is not a financial advice, DYOR.
Kernex Microsystems High Risk but having potential. Kernex Microsystems India Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of safety systems and software services for railways. Its products include TrainSHIELD, ACD, LxGuard, SAFELx, CASRY, ATRW, and KTPIS.
Kernex Microsystems India Ltd CMP is 511.45. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Consistent Highest Return Stocks over Five Years - Nifty500. The Negative aspects of the company are declining profits, declining net cash flow and a negative PE. Promoter pledges are also high.
Entry can be taken after closing above 515. Targets in the stock will be 554 and 584. The long-term target in the stock will be 633 and 670. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 446 or 384 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
JB Chem Pharma looking to climb upwards.J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals (JBC) is engaged in the business of manufacturing and marketing of diverse range of pharmaceuticals formulations, herbal remedies and APIs. JBC has its subsidiaries namely Lekar Healthcare Ltd and J.B Life Science Overseas Ltd.
J B Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals CMP is 1800.15. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=50.6), MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Promoter decreasing their shareholding and Companies not able to generate net cash.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1807. Targets in the stock will be 1843 and 1893. The long-term target in the stock will be 1934. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1673 or 1625 depending on your risk taking ability.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
SONATA SOFTWARE BUY NOW SONATA SOFTWARE - UPTREND
TRADE REASON :
1) Monthly Correction Completed
2) Day Trend Reversed
3) DII buy the stock at March month
Aditya Birla sun life trustee - 1 %
Hsbc small cap fund - 1 %
Entry - Current Price or 657 rs
Target 1 - 810 rs
Target 2 - 864 rs
Stoploss - 470 rs
Happy Trading ..