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COINBASE around the 1D MA50 but the MA100 more likely to supportCoinbase Global (COIN) rose as high as our last target (March 05, see chart below) and has been pulling back since: The best way to view this short-term correction is on the diverging Channel Up (blue) which started on the October 27 2023 bottom. As with the longer term Channel Up, it consolidates considerably below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), with the last (February 05 2024) Low finding support just above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). As a result we expect a Higher Low for the diverging Channel Up close to 185.00, before start seeing the new Bullish Leg. In addition, we need to see the 1D RSI touching its 2-year Support Zone, which usually tends to touch it twice during an Accumulation Phase. The price also tends to Double Bottom. This means that there will be time most likely (always account for how strongly the Bitcoin Halving might do to the market) to identify the new bottom and most optimal buy entry based on the conditions above. We are willing to buy there for the Bullish Leg that will follow and target $370.00, which is the top of the long-term Fibonacci Channel. Note that in case of a break-out, the price can even go as high as the 2.0 (blue) Fibonacci extension ($440.00), which is around the Fib level that the last two Higher Highs where priced. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:COIN
by TradingShot
RIVIAN Last bounce before the bottom. Be ready to buy.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the September 15 2022 High. The price action has been below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for more than 3 months (January 11) and with such aggressive selling, the price is approaching the bottom of the pattern. With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows (Bullish Divergence) we expect a dead-cat-bounce towards the 1D MA50 on the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel level and then structure bottom around 7.80. That will be the time to go heavy on buys and target $17.00 (Fibonacci 0.618, which is where the last Lower High was priced at). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:RIVN
by TradingShot
3
JOHNSON & JOHNSON Time to start buying.Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) quickly hit the $147.00 Target that we set on our very recent sell call (April 03, see chart below) and is now approaching the bottom of the massive 2-year Channel Down: Even though based on the very reliable and consistent Sine Waves, the bottom might be a process that can take up to 2-months, the stock is low enough for medium-term investors to start considering adding buys. On top of that, the 1D RSI is highly oversold below 20.00, the lowest it has been in more than 4 years (since February 28 2020)! As a result and since the Bearish Legs of this Channel Down have ranged within -14.78% and -17.58%, we are turning bullish on this stock, targeting $157.50 (minimum +13.00% rise as with January 22 2024 High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:JNJLong
by TradingShot
CAPE Fear: Is the Stock Market Headed for a Cliff Dive? A dark cloud hangs over the seemingly sunny skies of the stock market. The culprit? A valuation metric known as the CAPE ratio, which is currently hovering near its third-highest level in history. This has some investors spooked, whispering fears of a potential market plunge. But is this cause for panic, or simply a cautionary sign? The CAPE ratio, or cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, takes a company's average earnings over the past 10 years into account, rather than just the most recent year. This provides a smoother picture of a company's value and avoids distortions caused by short-term fluctuations. When applied to the entire S&P 500 index, it offers a snapshot of the overall market valuation. Historically, a high CAPE ratio has often preceded significant market downturns. For instance, the dot-com bubble burst of the early 2000s and the 2008 financial crisis were both preceded by elevated CAPE ratios. This correlation has led some to believe that the current high CAPE ratio is a ticking time bomb waiting to explode. However, the story isn't quite so black and white. Here are some factors to consider: • Earnings Growth: A key caveat is that high CAPE ratios can be justified by strong corporate earnings growth. If companies are consistently generating more profits, a higher valuation might be warranted. While future earnings are never guaranteed, a healthy corporate sector with robust profit margins can support a higher CAPE ratio. • Interest Rates: Interest rates play a crucial role in stock valuations. When interest rates are low, as they have been for the past decade, stocks become more attractive compared to bonds and other fixed-income investments. This can drive up valuations, even if underlying fundamentals haven't necessarily strengthened. • Investor Psychology: Investor sentiment can also influence the market. If investors are feeling optimistic and bullish, they may be willing to pay a premium for stocks, pushing valuations higher. Conversely, fear and uncertainty can lead to a sell-off, causing a rapid decline in the CAPE ratio. So, what does this mean for the future of the stock market? • Caution is warranted: A high CAPE ratio is a signal that the market may be overvalued. Investors should be cautious and avoid blindly chasing momentum stocks. Diversification and a focus on long-term fundamentals remain crucial investment strategies. • Not a guaranteed crash: A high CAPE ratio doesn't necessarily predict an imminent market crash. It simply suggests that future returns might be lower than those experienced in recent years. • Focus on quality: Instead of chasing high-flying stocks with inflated valuations, investors should focus on companies with strong fundamentals, a history of consistent earnings growth, and sustainable business models. The current market situation calls for a balanced approach. While a high CAPE ratio is a reason for caution, it shouldn't trigger panic selling. Investors should be mindful of valuation metrics, but also consider factors like earnings growth, interest rates, and overall economic health. By adopting a prudent investment strategy and focusing on quality companies, investors can navigate this period of uncertainty and potentially weather any potential storms.
SP:SPXShort
by bryandowningqln
Ador Welding looking good for a bounce back. Ador Welding Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and sale of welding equipment. It operates through the following segments: Consumables, Equipment and Automation, and Flares and Process Equipment Division. The Consumables segment comprises of electrodes, wires, agency items related to consumables from Silvassa, Raipur, and Chennai plant. The Equipment and Automation segment includes equipment, spares, cutting products and agency items from Chinchwad plant. Ador Welding Ltd. CMP is 1462.35. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 23.1) and declining cash flow. The positive aspects of the company are increasing annual net profit, no debt, zero promoter pledge, MFs are increasing stake. Entry can be taken after closing above 1479. Targets in the stock will be 1539 and 1590. The long-term target in the stock will be 1660. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1337. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:ADORWELDLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
GOOGLE Short-term correction is another longterm buy opportunityLast time we looked at Alphabet Inc (Google/ GOOG) almost two months ago (February 27, see chart below) we caught an excellent buy entry and even tough the price dipped some more after, it is approaching our 168.00 Target: Yesterday's strong bearish 1D candle serves as an early signal that the stock can pull-back to its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again on the short-term before resuming the long-term bullish trend. After all this is not unfamiliar to Google's 15-month Channel Up pattern, which had a similar 1D MA50 pull-back on numerous occasions, the shortest of which has been -10.45%. Due to the fair symmetrical attributes of the Higher Highs as well, we revise our Target and place it even higher at 175.00 (+22.18% projection from the expected Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:GOOG
by TradingShot
1
TESLA lays off more than 10% staff. Is this its 'META moment'?It was reported this morning that Tesla (TSLA) "will lay off more than 10% of its global workforce, an internal memo seen by Reuters on Monday shows, as it grapples with falling sales and an intensifying price war for electric vehicles". The market has so far reacted with strong selling of more than -3% in early trading. But is this really bad news? Not so long ago (November 09 2022), another high tech giant that was heavily decimated at the time, Meta Platforms (META), announced lay offs of around 13% of the company (more than 11000 employees). This was just 5 days after the November 04 2022 market bottom. The result (chart on the right) was an aggressive recovery above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which turned into a Support for 240 days straight. Of course the fundamental difference is that the 2022 Low for Meta was the Bear Cycle bottom of the Inflation Crisis while Tesla's Channel Down has been the picture of its underperformance for almost a year relative to the rest of the market (and the Magnificent 7 in particular). However it shouldn't be overlooked that such cost driven news are fundamentals capable of turning the profitability of a company around and Meta's case is such a representative example. Meta was massively oversold in November 2022 (-75% from ATH) and similarly Tesla is massively oversold now (-60% from ATH). Meta managed to completely recover and smash through to new All Time Highs (+38% from previous ATH). In November 2022 it was all doom and gloom for the social media giant and it is worth searching for news headlines at the time to see the similarities with Tesla's situation today. Time will tell of course, but we wanted to bring this comparison to you and help you draw your own conclusions. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradingShot
7
TENCENT Most optimal level to sell long-termTencent Holding LTD (TCTZF) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the January 30 2023 High. Such +1 year consistency is hard to overlook technically, especially since the price got rejected last week not just on the Channel Down top (Lower Highs trend-line), but also on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). It has to be said that despite the rejection and the fact that the 1D MA200 has been essentially the Resistance since the August 10 2023 bearish break-out, it did manage a closing above it for the first time in such a long time-frame but the last Thursday - Friday strong rejection, potentially shows that the market hasn't shaken off the long-term bearish sentiment. On top of that, the 1D RSI got rejected exactly on its Resistance, the 70.00 overbought barrier, which is where it got rejected right before the last Lower High on November 14 2023. As a result we turn bearish again on this stock, targeting $32.00, which represents a -21.12% decline from the top, the lowest decline it had within this +1 year Channel Down on the March 15 2023 Low. In fact all Bearish Legs have been pretty symmetrical, ranging from -21.12% to -24.85%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
OTC:TCTZFShort
by TradingShot
1
ASML supported on the 1D MA50. Bullish unless it breaks.ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up (blue) and after it broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) more recently on November 01 2023, it went on a more aggressive (dotted) Channel Up. The 1D MA50 is the key to its price action as not only did it hold on the previous Higher Low (January 17 2024) but also two days ago, which is technically the latest Higher Low. Technically, as long as it holds, the trend remains bullish and we will be targeting the top of the blue Channel Up at 1200. If the stock however closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and open a sell instead, targeting 900.00 (-15.57% decline as the March 12 2023 Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:ASMLLong
by TradingShot
1
Google's Dive: Next Stop Wave 2? Google is currently experiencing a significant drop, just as expected, with a decline of more than 3%. We should soon be at a point to conclude Wave A of this correction, then move upwards into Wave B, and finally downwards into Wave C. The exact development remains uncertain. Google moves very similarly to Apple, yet they are not in an identical cycle. We don't foresee a possibility of a much deeper fall, perhaps only a retest of the $83.34 level. However, we shouldn't fall much below that. We're anticipating that we are in a Wave (2), which should reach between 50 and 78.6%. This places Google's level between $119 and $99 in this scenario. We will keep you updated on the type of correction—zigzag or flat—we are dealing with. For now, we strongly believe that we will soon see this Wave (2) materialize.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by stromm_by_wmc
TESLA Is this a W-shaped recovery?Tesla (TSLA) held Support 1 (160.50) last Friday, in fact it touched it and rebounded immediately making a technical Double Bottom formation. Yesterday it broke and closed above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 04, providing s serious bullish continuation signal. The most important development however, is that this Double Bottom has strong probabilities of giving a W-shaped recovery pattern. A break above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) will technically confirm that, as it will be the first time above it in 3 months (since January 09). We can already see the 4H RSI on Higher Lows, i.e. a Bullish Divergence, which favors these probabilities. Our short-term Target is 205.00 (marginally below Resistance 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TradingShot
6
DCM Shriram can make a recovery and give a Breakout. DCM Shriram Ltd. is a diversified company with business in agri, chemicals, plastics, cement, textiles and energy services. They are having two broad operational thrusts namely, the energy intensive businesses that include chloro-vinyl chain and cement and the agri-businesses that cover urea, sugar, hybrid seeds and agri-merchandised inputs. The business portfolio of the Company comprises of Chloro-Vinyl, sugar, Shriram Farm Solutions, bio seed, fertilizers, etc. DCM Shriram Ltd. CMP is 954.4. The Negative aspects of the company are Moderately high valuation (P.E. = 28.7), declining annual net profit, MFs are decreasing stake. The company's Positive aspects are No debt, increasing cash from operations annual, Zero promoter pledge, FIIs are increasing stake, Entry can be taken after closing above 955. Final Entry closing above 990. Targets in the stock will be 1029, 1055 and 1079. The long-term target in the stock will be 1109, 1145 and 1178. Stop loss in the stock can be 900 or 870 depending upon your risk taking ability. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:DCMSHRIRAMLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment