Quantum's HIMS Trading Guide 4/10/25 HIMS (Hims & Hers Health, Inc.) - Sector: Healthcare (Telehealth)
Sentiment: Bullish. Post-close call volume steady, RSI ~58 (up from ~55), Amplified GLP-1 demand—speculation persists despite tariff noise.
Tariff Impact: Minimal. Domestic focus shields HIMS; 104% China tariffs irrelevant unless generics supply tightens.
News/Catalysts:
Current: tariff pause softens market fear.
Upcoming: Retail Sales (April 15)—strong data could lift +5%; Fed rate outlook (May 2025)—cut signals might push +7%.
Technical Setup:
--Weekly Chart:
---HVN $30 (resistance), support ~$25.45.
---Uptrend (8-week EMA > 13-week > 48-week).
---RSI ~58, MACD above signal,
---Bollinger Bands upper band,
---Donchian Channels above midline,
---Williams %R -25.
--One-Hour Chart:
---Support $28.50, resistance $29.50.
---RSI ~60,
---MACD above signal,
---Bollinger Bands upper band,
---Donchian Channels above midline,
---Williams %R -20.
--10-Minute Chart:
---8/13/48 EMAs up,
---RSI ~62,
---MACD rising.
Options Data:
--GEX: Bullish—pinning near $29.
--DEX: Bullish—call delta dominates.
--IV: High—~50–55% vs. norm 45–50%.
--OI: Call-heavy—above $29.
Timeframe Analysis:
---Weekly: OI call-heavy (70% calls at $30), IV high (55%)—bullish, speculative push.
---Monthly: OI call-leaning (65% calls at $30–$32), IV moderate (50%)—bullish trend.
---3-Month: OI call-heavy (75% calls at $32), IV moderate (45%)—bullish long-term.
Directional Bias:
---Bullish. GEX/DEX and call OI signal strong upside; high IV fuels volatility—intraday breakout potential.
Sympathy Plays:
---TDOC rises with HIMS; AMWL gains with HIMS.
---Opposite: HIMS rallies → WMT fades.
Sector Positioning with RRG: Leading Quadrant (Healthcare vs. XLV)—growth persists.
Targets: Bullish +6% ($30.77); Bearish -3% ($28.16).
Stocksignals
S&P 500 Index Under Pressure – Another -10% Drop Incoming?Today, I want to analyze the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) for you. This index is one of the most important indices in the US stock market , which has been determining the direction of parallel financial markets such as crypto and especially Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) for the past few days, so an analysis of this index can be important for us.
The S&P 500 Index started to fall after Donald Trump imposed new tariffs on countries around the world, which was like a coronavirus .
The question is whether this fall is temporary or will continue . To answer this question, we need to consider many parameters, but if we look at the sds chart from a technical analysis chart , we can expect a further decline .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,284-$5,095) and is completing a pullback . It also lost its important Uptrend lines last week, which is not good news for the S&P 500 Index and US stocks .
From an Elliott wave theory , the S&P 500 IndexS&P looks like it has completed the main wave 4 , and we should expect the next decline(-10%) .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to attack the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) at least once more. The area where we can expect the S&P 500 Index to pull back is the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
What do you think? Will the S&P 500 Index continue its downward trend, or was this decline temporary?
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,408, we can expect further Pumps.
Note: There is a possibility of a Bear Trap near the Heavy Support zone($4,820-$4,530) and PRZ.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
APPLE Best buy opportunity of the last 6 years.Back in August 02 2024 (see chart below), we introduced this model on Apple Inc. (AAPL) that had high probabilities of success at predicting Cycle peaks:
We may have not hit $280 but $260 is close enough especially if you are a long-term investor that values buying low and selling high.
Now that the price has corrected by -35% and just hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 10 years (since July 2016), it is time to revisit this macro-model once again.
As you can see, -35% corrections have been present on every Cycle since the January 2009 bottom of the Housing Crisis. The pattern that the stock follows is very specific and it starts with a prolonged correction, the Bear Cycle essentially, which is a lengthy correction phase, such as the 2008 Housing Crisis, the 2015/16 China slowdown and the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
Then a very structured uptrend phase starts in the form of a Channel Up that leads the market to its first peak, followed by a shorter, quicker correction phase that tests the 1M MA50 and rebounds. The rebound is the final bull phase of the Cycle, usually strong and sharp and leads to the eventual Cycle Top and then starts then new Bear Cycle (prolonged correction).
Right now the current 4-month correction is technically, based on this model, the new shorter correction. Being more than -35% in size, the last one larger than this was the previous short correction of the last Trade War in October 2018 - January 2019 (-38%).
The similarities don't stop here but extend to the 1M RSI as well, which just entered its 25-year mega Buy Zone that has been holding since December 2000 and the Dotcom Crash! In fact the last time Apple's 1M RSI was this low was in June 2013, which was the bottom of the 1st short correction on our chart.
This remarkable symmetry just shows how similar the current phase is with its previous ones and if the symmetry continues to hold, we should be expecting a strong recovery to start. Even if the price makes a slightly deeper low as -38% (like the January 2019 bottom), we may still expect the minimum rise that it had all those years shown on the chart, +145%, which translates to a potential $390 Target long-term.
It is in times like this, that patient long-term investors filter out the news noise, make their unbiased moves and maximize their profit.
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NVIDIA on Bear Market territory. Will the 1W MA100 save the day?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has officially entered Bear Market territory as it has declined by almost -45% from the January 2025 All Time High (ATH) and just hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of January 30 2023.
This is the strongest correction the stock has seen since the 2022 Inflation Crisis and based on the Time Cycle Indicator of the last two Cycle Tops, the week of Jan 06 2025 falls indeed on the third count. This high degree of symmetry isn't only present on the price action but on the 1W RSI sequence itself as the current time range from the RSI High (March 18 2024) to today's Low is fairly consistent (54 weeks, 378 days) with the top-to-bottom range of the previous two Bear Markets, 2022 and 2018 (red Channel Down patterns).
So far the current correction looks similar to the September - December 2018 as not only their RSI counts are similar but both are more aggressive and fast than the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The 2018 correction though didn't top on the 1W MA100 but almost reached the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before making a bottom, but it did so in less than 2 months and declined by -57.40%. The current correction is already running for 3 months.
So what remains to be seen is if the 1W MA100 will manage to hold and kick-start a bullish reversal on its own, despite this correction being 'only' -43.39%. The 1W RSI dropped close enough to 30.00 (the oversold limit) though, which has historically been a very reliable indicator for a long-term buy on NVDA.
If those work in favor of the 1W MA100 holding, expect to see a strong rebound, that will confirm the new Bull Cycle with a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and can technically aim for at least a +1000% rise from the bottom, as both previous Bull Cycles did.
If the 1W MA100 fails, we expect a bottom by the end of June 2025 around the 1W MA200 between $65-60. Again a +1000% rise from that level is technically plausible, potentially giving a Target estimate of at least $660.
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CHSN Price Watch: Critical Levels to MonitorCHSN is approaching a key decision point. If we see a confirmed break above the $0.33 high, there’s strong potential for a move up to $0.58, with $0.75 as a possible extension.
On the flip side, if the price breaks below the $0.29 low, we could see a retracement down to the $0.21 level.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) – Technical Analysis 1WJetBlue shares have broken a key weekly trendline, reinforcing a bearish outlook. After breaking support at $5.21, the price is heading toward $4.52 and potentially $3.41.
Technical indicators confirm the weakness: RSI shows declining momentum, MACD signals a bearish crossover, and EMA 50/200 indicate sustained selling pressure.
Fundamentally, the airline sector faces macroeconomic instability, rising Fed rates, and volatile fuel prices. A close below $5.21 will confirm the downtrend, targeting $4.52 and $3.41, while a recovery above $6.44 could signal a potential rebound.
Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution
Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion
Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option
Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution
The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance.
Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings.
Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations.
Segment Highlights
The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline.
Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher.
Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health.
Market Context
Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards.
Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns.
The 2008 Playbook
Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash.
During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous.
The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks.
Investment Risks
A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment.
Final Thoughts
Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow.
Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire!
What do you think moonypto fam?
ServiceNow (NOW) – Technical and Fundamental Analysis 1WServiceNow shares have broken below a key ascending trendline on the weekly chart, strengthening the bearish outlook. The price is approaching the 666, 538, and 338 support zones, which may act as potential reversal areas. The RSI continues to decline, indicating weakening bullish momentum, while the MACD confirms a bearish crossover. EMA 50/200 suggest a rising risk of further downside.
Fundamentally, ServiceNow remains a leader in cloud-based solutions and business process automation. However, it faces pressure from rising interest rates and a possible slowdown in corporate IT spending. Valuation remains elevated, making the stock vulnerable to broader market shifts and macroeconomic headwinds. Upcoming earnings reports will be critical in determining the next move.
The main scenario suggests a drop toward 666 and 538, with a potential extension to 338. An alternative scenario would be a recovery above 766, opening the way toward 868 and 1012. A confirmed close below 666 will reinforce the bearish trend.
JP MORGAN won't give a better buy opportunity in 2025.Last time we looked at JP Morgan Chase (JPM) on November 27 2024 (see chart below), it gave us a clear sell signal that went straight to our $236 Target:
Now that the price rebounded not only on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but also on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Up, we are switching back to buying a we even got the first pull-back on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Given that the 1D RSI also rebounded from oversold (<30.00) territory like the October 27 2023 Low did, we expect a similar Bullish Leg to follow and thus our Target is $330 at the top of the Channel Up.
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BROADCOM Megaphone bottom hit. Will it hold?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone pattern since the January 05 2024 Low and this week it hit its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). This technically concludes the Bearish Leg and should start the new Bullish Leg.
The last Bullish Leg's initial rebound hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before pulling back again. If the market starts the new one here, which is not as easy as last time as we've already broken below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) last week, the immediate Target is 228.50.
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META Can it hold its 1W MA50?Meta Platforms (META) has been trading within a 1-year Channel Up and yesterday it hit its 1W MA50 (red trend-line), breaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which held the correction last week.
Even though the bottom of the Channel Up is currently $40 lower, holding he 1W MA50 is critical because it has been kept intact since the February 02 2023 bullish break-out.
The first signs are encouraging as the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, despite the stock's Lower Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence. So as long as this Channel Up bottom Zone holds, we expect META to initiate its new Bullish Leg and test initially its previous Resistance (ATH) as it did on July 05 2024 and August 22 2024. Our Target is $740.
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AUD/USD 1-hour downtrend - Will 0.6200 Trigger a Reversal?The AUD/USD pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour chart, maintaining strong bearish momentum. In its latest move lower, it formed a significant 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
Given this confluence, there is a possibility that AUD/USD could revisit this level to reject and continuing its decline. However, if bearish pressure persists, the pair may extend its drop toward the key 4-hour support at 0.6200.
A potential bullish engulfing candle at this 0.6200 support level could signal a shift in market structure, indicating a possible change of character to the upside. However, it is still uncertain if we will revisit this 4-hour support.
NVDA 2 The????NASDAQ:NVDA
Outlook - -GEX and -DEX but +OI This week. NASDAQ:NVDA ’s price action will likely hinge on broader
market sentiment rather than company-specific releases, given no major NVIDIA events are slated.
Weekly -- 2nd consecutive down week with increasing volume
Daily -- Downtrend to next HVL under 106 possible
Hourly -- Consolidating at support zone
10m -- Consolidating
Bias -Monitoring U.S. trade policy updates and technical levels for short-term direction.
Volatility remains high, so caution is warranted.
Pivot - 109.65
Upside Targets:
* 111.47--112.91--113.66--115.01
Downside Targets:
* 109.62--108.45--105.05--104.34
Tencent Holdings LtdIs Tencent Stock a Buy Now?
Tencent posted its third quarter earnings report on Nov. 16. The Chinese tech giant's revenue fell 2% year over year to 140.1 billion yuan ($19.8 billion), which represented its second consecutive quarter of declining revenue since its IPO in 2004. Its net profit rose 1% to 39.9 billion yuan ($5.6 billion). On an adjusted basis, which excludes its investments and other one-time items, its net profit grew 2% to 32.3 billion yuan ($4.5 billion). Those growth rates seem anemic, but Tencent's stock had already been cut in half over the past two years amid concerns about China's tightening regulations, slowing economic growth, and COVID19 lockdowns. So is it the right time to take the contrarian view and buy Tencent as a turnaround play? Let's review its core businesses and valuations to decide.
Tencent generated 31% of its third quarter revenue from its video game business. Domestic games, which include its blockbuster game Honor of Kings, accounted for 73% of that total. The remaining 27% came from overseas hits like League of Legends, Valorant, and PUBG Mobile.Its domestic gaming revenue fell 7% year over year, representing its third consecutive quarter of shrinking revenue, as it grappled with tighter playtime restrictions for minors in China over the past year. Those restrictions also coincided with a temporary suspension on new video game approvals in China, which started last July and ended this April.Its international gaming revenue rose 3% year over year, accelerating from its 1% decline in the second quarter, as new games like Tower of Fantasy and Goddess of Victory: Nikke attracted new players. Unfortunately, its overseas growth still couldn't offset its declining domestic revenue.
As a result, Tencent's total VAS (value-added service) revenue which includes its gaming divisions, social media platforms, and streaming media subscriptions -- declined by 3% in the third quarter but still accounted for more than half of its top line. This core business might gradually stabilize as Tencent expands its international gaming business, but it will likely remain under intense pressure as long as the Chinese government continues to scrutinize the gaming industry.
200$ was one of the biggest support and great opportunity to buying the dip. 300-320$ is a big resistance level for tencent and if bulls win that battle then 350$ is next but
can we back 250 or even 200$ again? YES
PALANTIR Correction is over. Targeting $200 end of year.Last time we viewed Palantir Technologies (PLTR) was 1.5 month ago (February 04, see chart below), setting a $110 Target and then calling to wait for a correction:
The price action didn't disappoint us and after hitting $110 it gave us the desired pull-back that extended as low as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Within the 2-year Channel Up, the 1D MA100 has always been a low risk level to buy.
Until however it breaks above its Triangle, a pattern that has been present as an accumulation phase inside the Channel Up on 4 prior occasions, it is possible to see the stock trading sideways towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), not necessarily making a new Low.
Regardless of some more sideways price action or instant break-out above the Triangle, the current level remains an excellent long-term buy opportunity. We are targeting $200, which would almost be a +183% rise, a usual growth rally for the stock within its Channel Up.
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GOOGLE at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $190?NASDAQ:GOOGL is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection has triggered increased selling pressure, driving the price back toward the channel's lower boundary. The confluence of trendline support and the overall bullish market structure enhances the likelihood of a rebound from this level.
If buyers defend this level, we could see a push toward $190, which aligns with the midline of the channel and could serve as a short-term target. A successful bounce from here would reinforce the ongoing bullish momentum within the channel.
However, if price fails to hold above this support zone, the bullish outlook could weaken, potentially signaling further downside. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as strong rejection wicks, increased volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions.
If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
META at Trendline Support - Will Buyers Push Toward $696?NASDAQ:META is currently undergoing a corrective phase following a sharp rejection at the upper boundary of its ascending channel. The recent pullback has driven the price back toward the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in.
If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at $696. A break above this midline would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, potentially bringing the price back toward the upper boundary.
However, a failure to hold trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downside pressure. Price action near this critical zone will be key in determining the next directional move.
Traders should monitor candlestick formations and volume for confirmation. As always, managing risk effectively is essential when trading this setup.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
TESLA Market Outlook: Strong Reversal Expected at $200 SupportNASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel , a structure that has guided price action since 2020. This channel reflects the broader bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows consistently forming over the years. The recent sharp decline from the upper boundary of the channel is best interpreted as a temporary retracement rather than a structural shift. Such pullbacks have presented strong buying opportunities before, particularly when price approaches key support levels within the channel. The key area to watch is the $200 demand zone. This level coincides with the lower boundary of the ascending channel and has before drawn significant buying interest.
Given the broader bullish structure, a reversal from this zone could reestablish the uptrend and lead to a retest of higher levels. If a bounce occurs at the $200 demand zone, the immediate target is $263, which aligns with a key resistance level where prior rejection occurred. This area represents a logical point to watch for, but a successful breakout above $263 could lead to further move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Fundamental Outlook:
From a fundamental perspective, the recent decline could be due to Tesla facing a unique set of challenges stemming from Elon Musk’s increasing involvement in the U.S. government. His role in the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) under the Trump administration has triggered mixed reactions across the financial landscape. The DOGE program, aimed at cutting bureaucratic waste and enhancing operational efficiency, has led to concerns about Musk’s ability to maintain focus on Tesla. Some investors do worry that his attention, divided among a few ventures such as Tesla, SpaceX, and also the federal program, might slow the company’s innovation pipeline in addition to running efficiency.
People are quite divided in their opinions. While some view Musk’s governmental involvement as a strategic advantage, believing his influence could drive favorable policy outcomes, others see it as a distraction that threatens Tesla’s future success. Additionally, if the DOGE program prompts budgetary austerity measures, there could be cuts to clean energy incentives, an outcome that would directly impact Tesla’s profits directly.
Despite these concerns, the market’s long-term outlook for Tesla remains bullish. Many investors view any significant retracement as a buying opportunity, particularly near major technical support zones like $200. This area is widely recognized as a strong accumulation zone where institutional buyers are likely to step in. Furthermore, the electric vehicle market continues to expand globally, and Tesla’s brand strength and technological lead remain intact, reinforcing the long-term growth narrative.
Market View & Predictions
While short-term volatility is expected due to ongoing uncertainties surrounding Musk’s government involvement, the broader technical structure suggests that the uptrend is still intact.
The recent pullback from the upper channel boundary appears to be a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. If the price tests the $200 support zone, it could trigger a new wave of buying pressure, potentially driving the stock back toward the $263 resistance and beyond. As long as the price remains within the ascending channel, the bullish case for Tesla remains valid, with the potential for further upside as market confidence stabilizes.
GOOGLE Bottom confirmed. Laying eyes on $220.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 10 2024 High. Last week, the Bearish Leg touched the pattern's bottom, completing a -23.92% decline from the top, which is almost symmetrical to the previous Bearish Leg (-23.32%).
At the same time the 1D RSI got oversold (<30.00) and recovered on a Bullish Divergence, while the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossed below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), forming a Bearish Cross. Last time we had this formation was September 06 2024 and 1 day later, the bottom (Higher Low of the Channel Up) was formed.
Among all this, the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) is holding, which is the market's long-term Support since July 12 2023. As a result, we expect the new Bullish Leg to start and as the previous one did, target the 1.236 Fibonacci extension at $220.00.
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Adyen (ADYEN) – Technical Analysis and 1W OutlookTechnical Analysis
Adyen's stock is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout. The recent price surge confirmed the pattern's breakout, but a correction toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level (1457.2 EUR) is possible, acting as a key buying zone.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1720.8 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci), 2311 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci)
Support: 1457.2 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci), 1081.8 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci)
Target: 2838 EUR
Indicators suggest a potential continuation of the uptrend:
MACD is signaling bullish momentum
Stochastic indicates a possible correction before further upside
Fundamental Analysis
Adyen is a leading player in the payment technology sector, serving major companies like Uber, Spotify, and Microsoft.
Key Factors Impacting the Stock:
Financial Performance: Recent earnings reports showed revenue growth driven by increased payment volumes.
Macroeconomics: Lower inflation and potential interest rate cuts could benefit the tech sector.
Competition: Pressure from PayPal and Stripe remains a key risk.
Adyen maintains bullish potential following the triangle breakout. The 1457-1500 EUR zone is crucial for trend confirmation, with a possible long-term target at 2838 EUR. However, a short-term correction remains possible.
TESLA pricing its long-term bottom. $450 rebound highly likely.Nine months ago (June 26 2024, see chart below), we signaled the start of an enormous rally on Tesla (TSLA), which eventually hit our minimum Target ($400), based on a fractal from 2014 - 2016:
Since the upper 1.382 Fib Target wasn't achieved, the model is readjusted and this count makes better sense. Based on the 1W RSI we are on a bottom similar to October 30 2017 around the 4.0 Time Fib extension. That past sequence initiated a rebound towards the market Resistance before the next decline headed to the 5.0 Fib extension.
As a result, we believe Tesla will find a bottom here and target $450 just below the Resistance level.
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COINBASE This is the time to buy and target $400Coinbase Global (COIN) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 25 2024 High, so effectively a whole year. In the past 10 days it has been consolidating on top of the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is the natural long-term Support of the market.
During the same time it entered the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) Buy Zone, consisting of the 3 SD (green trend-line) and 2 SD (blue trend-line) below levels, which has given the ultimate buy signals since the January 2023 market bottom. Practically, the stock is consolidating within the 2 SD below and 1W MA100, a tight buy range.
Given the symmetry of the Channel Down Bearish Legs (both -48.39%), we expect a similar symmetry on its Bullish Legs too. Since the previous one reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we are confidently targeting $400 before this Cycle tops. That would also make a perfect entry within the MMB Sell Zone that consists of the Mean MM (black trend-line) and 1 SD above (grey trend-line).
Notice also how the 1W RSI touched the Support of the September 06 2024 Low.
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