Stocksignals
COINBASE Has it found a bottom? Caution if it breaks this level.Last time we looked into Coinbase (COIN), we set a long-term target of $150 (November 14 2023, see chart below) that was easily surpassed:
At the moment the stock is on a short-term pull-back following the rejection near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). It is approaching a dangerous level, the 0.5 Fibonacci of the Channel Up, which is its middle but most of all the 116.50 level which is the former Resistance level (two Highs on August 04 2022 and on July 14 2023) that could now turn into Support.
If it holds, we can expect a rebound targeting $285, which would be a +146.82% rise, above the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. If it closes a 1D candle below it though, we expect the price to seek the maximum % decline it has had within this pattern, -47.15%, which would bring the stock around $100 and would be technical test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and an excellent long-term buy entry, which is what took place on the October 27 2023 bottom. In that case a +146.82% rise would be $245.00 and that would be our Target. Note that at any given price, if the 1D RSI hits the 1-year Support Zone, it will be a solid buy entry regardless.
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VOD Vodafone and MSFT Microsoft Partnership After reaching its May 2010 level, I believe Vodafone (VOD) stock is primed for a rally! Its metrics are outstanding: Forward Dividend & Yield: 0.97 (11.09%) and PE Ratio (TTM): 2.13.
Additionally, there is a significant partnership with Microsoft (MSFT):
Microsoft initiated a 10-year strategic partnership with Vodafone (VOD) aimed at leveraging their respective strengths to create new digital and financial services tailored for businesses, especially small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) across Europe and Africa.
The collaboration involves the utilization of Microsoft's generative artificial intelligence (AI) to enhance Vodafone's customer experience, with the goal of delivering a more personalized and differentiated service through various channels.
The partnership seeks to expand and improve Vodafone's managed Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity platform, aiming to scale up the telecommunication company's IoT platform by connecting more devices, vehicles, and machines.
I`m considering the $9 strike price at the money Call for February 16, or the $10 call for March 15.
TESLA made a Channel Down bottom. Buy but watch these breakouts.Tesla (TSLA) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the July 19 2023 High (which was an emphatic Lower Highs rejection on the ATH Lower Highs trend-line of the November 04 2021 All Time High) and on our last analysis (January 12, see chart below) we called for a tight SL buy but mentioned the importance of taking the loss quickly if the April 27 2023 trend-line broke and reverse to a sell on a $180.00 Target:
The price did make that bearish break-out and hit $180.00, a level that has been holding since last Thursday. Even though the fundamentals surrounding the company are very volatile, this is a strong medium-term buy opportunity from a technical perspective. Not only is it at the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down, but also the RSI is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a structure that has been formed on every single bottom since the December 27 2022 market bottom.
In fact the 1D RSI reached last Thursday those exact vastly oversold levels (17.50) it has last seen on that global December 2022 (price bottomed on January 06 2023) market bottom. As a result, there are much more reasons to consider the current level a strong medium-term opportunity than not. The technical target is $245.00, which represents a Lower High level slightly lower than a projected +41% rise (last Lower High was +36%, the one before +31%, so we estimate a +5% progression). We will book the profit earlier though if the 1D RSI hits its Resistance Zone before the price reaches $245.00.
If the uptrend is extended and the price breaks above the ATH Lower Highs trend-line (already has 5 rejections since November 2021), we will take it as a bullish break-out signal and target $315.00, which is the September 21 2022 Triple Top. On the other hand, if the stock closes a 1D candle below the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line of the 7-month Channel Down, we will sell and target $152.50, which is the Support 2 level.
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RIVIAN Low risk buy opportunity at least on the short-term.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) hit the $21.00 Target following our November 29 2023 (see chart below) buy call but even though it confidently broke above the Bearish Megaphone, the price corrected aggressively back even below the Higher Lows Zone:
The price is at the moment coming off an oversold 1D RSI Double Bottom, naturally below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Even though the long-term pattern remains a Channel Up (blue), we have to consider the possibility of the (dashed) Channel Down breaking below it and establishing a new long-term trend. Until that happens, this is a short-term buy opportunity, with our Target being $23.00, right at the top of the Channel Down, on the (dotted) median of the Channel Up, representing a +62.17% rise from the Channel's bottom, similar to the December 26 2023 Lower High (peak).
If then we get a 1W candle closing above the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line), which will be the stock's first time to do so, we will buy the bullish break-out and pursue our long-term Target of $35.50, which will represent a +142.79% rise from the bottom, similar to the last Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Up that peaked on July 27 2023.
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Eris looking attractive.Eris Lifesciences Ltd. is presently engaged in manufacturing and marketing of pharmaceutical products. It has presence in high growth chronic, sub chronic and acute therapeutic areas that require high intervention of specialist and super specialist doctors. Apart from this, it has a portfolio of 112 Mother Brands across therapy areas. Eris Lifesciences Ltd CMP is 917.3.
The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 32.2), Declining annual net profit, declining cash from operations annual, FIIs are decreasing stake, MFs are decreasing stake, High promoter pledge, Promoter Holding decreasing. The positive aspects of the company are No debt.
Entry can be taken after closing above 936. Targets in the stock will be 952 and 972. The long-term target in the stock will be 988 and 1020. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 806.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Kotak bank looking strong amidst debris created by volatilityKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. is the flagship company of the Kotak Group. It is one amongst the fastest growing banks and most admired financial institutions in India. The Bank offers transaction banking, operates lending verticals, manages IPOs and provides working capital loans. The principal business activities of the Bank are organised into consumer banking, commercial banking, corporate banking, treasury, and other financial services. Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd CMP is 1823.6.
The Negative aspects of the company are Declining cash from operations annual, FIIs are decreasing stake, Promoter Holding decreasing. The company's Positive aspects are No debt, zero promoter pledge, MFs are increasing stake, Improving annual net profit.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1833. Targets in the stock will be 1862 and 1886. The long-term target in the stock will be 1909 and 1928. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1754.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
GOOGLE Will it get sold after the Earnings?Alphabet Inc. (Google/ GOOG) is reporting Earnings today and the focus is whether or not they can keep fueling this strong multi-weak rally or cause a correction. Last time we looked into this stock (November 27 2023, see chart below), we gave a pull-back buy signal, which easily hit the 145.00 target:
The price is still on the latest Bullish Leg of the 1-year Channel Up pattern, but is getting very close to its top (Higher Highs trend-line). Having a vastly overbought RSI on the 1D time-frame, which in fact is about to reach 80.00, the level which formed the May 22 2023 RSI top, is starting to call for a medium-term sell.
What we are basically looking for is for a 1D RSI Bearish Divergence like the one in late May 2023. More specifically, if the RSI gets rejected now around 80.00, we will wait for it to form a Lower High and short it, if the price remains on Higher Highs, which was what happened on June 06 2023 and was a 1D RSI Bearish Divergence. Ideally we would prefer the price to be above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level by then. The sell's Target will be $148.50, preferably marginally below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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MICROSOFT How to trade as the Earnings approach?Microsoft (MSFT) is set to report the Earnings on Tuesday and last time we gave gave a pull-back buy signal (December 01 2023, see chart below) we caught the exact bottom:
Our original long-term Target was $460.00 but we have to downgrade it to $440.00. On the short-term it may be wise to take most or at least some of the profit if the 1D MA20 (red trend-line) as this has been a medium-term sell signal on July 26 2023. It's not just potentially lower than expected Earnings that may turn the trend bearish on the medium-term but also the Fed, which announce the Rate Decision on Wednesday.
As a result, if the price breaks below the 1D MA20, we will short and target the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at $370.00 where we will add another long-term buy position. Notice that the 1D CCI indicator and the correlation with the 2023 price action, shows that both scenarios are equally likely at the moment.
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MSFT: Hidden Bullish Divergence, Upside Potential+7%? Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:MSFT
Microsoft's current price action analysis (MSFT) reveals several significant indicators suggesting a favorable bullish trend. Firstly, the stock consistently trades above the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 34 line, signaling a robust bullish trend. Additionally, a recent development in a symmetrical triangle formation has been observed, followed by a decisive breakout from this pattern.
Moreover, the momentum indicator has exhibited a hidden bullish divergence, reinforcing the positive outlook. This confluence of technical signals indicates a strong likelihood of Microsoft continuing its upward trajectory. In our analysis, we anticipate a potential pullback to the previous resistance zone before resuming its bullish trend, with the initial target in sight. Further, we identify a second target for potential gains, underlining the prospect of sustained positive momentum in MSFT's market performance.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Microsoft."
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DJI will be able to create RSI divergence in the near future?TVC:DJI
DJI will be able to create RSI divergence in the near future?
DJI will have an adjustment in the near future, but no one knows how much, where and at what price.
But in a certain expectation, I think that the case of the price increasing a little more (maybe to near 40K) and then creating an RSI divergence is a fairly typical case for this bullish pattern.
Dow JonesMain analysis on #DowJones US30 is this. We hit a ST top soon around 38,500-39,000.
Then we retest the 2021 high breakout before running straight parabolic all gas no breaks bears slaughtered all the way up to 44,150.
Then major 4th can hit. So Just be warned now. Once 36,400 flips into support there will be 0 rest for bears. It will be explosive and relentless. Like Toyota Supra filled with Nitrogen and twin turbo engine running at peak performance level.
And BigMike & BigMikes team will be Bulls, laughing all the way to the f**king bank. FYI 😉
NASDAQ 100 / 1H / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NASDAQ:NDX I have indicated the completed targets of the ABCD pattern on the chart. Resistance is at 17670, and support is at 16248.
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Most overbought condition 1) Most overbought condition since May 2021 on the weekly RSI 14.
2) Converging trendlines at 38,200 stretching back since late 2021 create solid roof tested 3 times at least on 2 separate trend-lines which would make for a very tough level to break, especially when it's this overbought.
***A correction down to retest the connecting lows trend-line since late 2022 would make a lot of sense even if a new high would be reached in the future, a correction down is very likely in the current technical condition - Which would be down to the 34,200 floor.
Netflix : Elliott Wave Analysis 🌊 In the aftermath of Netflix's Earnings Call, witness a remarkable 7% surge in after-hours trading!
The intricate chart unfolds the completion of the initial cycle in July 2020, marked by an expanded Flat and Wave II concluding around $165. Embarking on a new Wave (1), the chart showcases an engaging 5-wave structure to the upside.
Upon our analysis, the low of Wave 4 hints at an impulsive rise for Wave ((iii)), targeting a range between 227% and 361%. Anticipating stabilization around $575, the narrative continues with the formation of Wave ((iv)), paving the way for the final ascent of Wave 5. This strategic sequence defines the overarching Wave (1), setting the stage for a robust sell-off in Wave (2) before the next surge of streaming momentum. 🚀🎥
NETFLIX Will the stream giant correct after the Earnings?Netflix (NFLX) is reporting Earnings today and what we see from the past 4 weeks that has been unable to make new Highs, it might be pricing a peak. That peak might be a technical Higher High formation on the 1.5 year Channel Up, which is the Earnings disappoint, can initiate a medium-term correction towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) Support Zone.
The technical confirmation for a sell will most likely be a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which has been the standard support of uptrends within the Channel Up. In addition to that, we will be expecting to see the 1W MACD form a Bearish Cross. On that signal, we will target 425.00.
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The Bank that India banks on SBI, looking towards an uptrend.State Bank of India is an Indian multinational public sector bank and financial services. SBI is one of premier Indian bank which is also a Public Sector bank.
The positive aspect of the company is Zero Promoter pledge, Book value of the share increasing, FIIs increasing stake in the bank, Annual net profits are increasing, revenue of the bank is also increasing. The negative aspect of SBI is Mutual Funds are decreasing and there is a noted decrease in net cash flow of the company.
Entry in the stock can be taken after closing above 636. Targets for SBI will be 646 and 659. Long term targets in SBI will be 671 and 688. Stop loss in SBI can be maintained at a weekly closing below 588.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Ratnamani can benefit many if it closes above Mother Line.Ratnamani Metals & tubes Ltd. is a company manufacturing pipes and tubes of Mild steel, Stainless steel, Alloy steel as well as Titanium welded tubes. They also provide anti-corrosive coating solutions for pipes in addition to induction bending solutions.
Negative aspect of the company is that Mutual funds are decreasing stake and net cash flow is on a decline. PE ratio of the company is 37.2 which is a bit on the higher side. Positive aspects of the company are low debt and Zero promoter pledge.
Entry in the stock can be taken after closing above 3318. Targets will be 3440 and 3546. Long term target in the company will be 3652. Stop loss should be maintained in the stock at a closing below 3242.
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.