Nifty and BankNifty Update - 4 Nov 2024Hello Traders,
Checkout the latest update on Nifty and BankNifty. As posted in our old post Nifty drops around 2500 point from it's ATH. What will be it's next move , we have covered in this analysis
Stocksignals
AMAZON | AMZN , Jeff is back? While Jeff Bezos, fiancée Lauren Sánchez have star studded engagement party on his $500M yacht Amazon has just reported its Q2 2023 earnings result, EPS of 65 cents is not comparable on YoY basis nor to consensus due to the company booking some gains related to its Rivian Automotive, Inc (RIVN) investment. Revenue of $134.3 billion beat consensus by about 2% while showing a YoY jump by nearly 11%. As an immediate reaction, the stock is up nearly 8% after-hours, although this can turn on a dime.I wrote in my preview that Amazon still remains a revenue story and to pay attention to Q2's actual revenue and Q3's revenue guidance. Amazon hit it out of the park on both counts, with Q2 revenue showing an 11% jump and Q3 guidance of $138 billion to $143 billion, easily upping the consensus of $138.29 billion.
As a direct effect of the company reining in on its expenses, Amazon's Free Cash Flow ("FCF") in Q2 2023 improved to almost $8 billon compared to -$23.5 billion in Q2 2022. Headcount is now down 4% YoY.Advertising, which I've highlighted as the next growth driver in many of my past articles, was up 22% YoY. But, more importantly, resumed its upward trajectory on a quarterly basis. Advertising services revenue showed continuous QoQ improvement until the first blip in Q1 2023. Whether Q2's upsurge is a new trend remains to be seen, but it is encouraging that Q2 did not follow Q1 down. I am also glad that my prediction that advertising will cross $10 billion in sales came true.It appears like retail has finally stopped bleeding profusely to avoid wasting all the gains from AWS and Advertising. In my view, retail is just their medium to sell their ecosystem, and this is acceptable to me.
Heading into earnings, Amazon stock was almost into the oversold territory with a Relative Strength Index ("RSI") of 37. Revenue beat and guidance should help the stock garner more analyst support in the upcoming days, and I fully expect the stock's almost-oversold conditions to be in the stock's favor as it has plenty of room upwards technically. The after-hours move has also helped the stock clear all of the commonly used moving averages.AWS's revenue and operating income appeared to be on a perennial, mid-double-digit growth trajectory until recently. However, Q2 saw AWS' sales increase by "just" 12% while operating income fell by more than 5%. It is in this context that advertising services becomes even more important. While $22 billion is strong, it fell well short of the $25 billion I predicted, as the company aims to cross $100 billion in 2023 AWS revenue.
The stock was already up 50% YTD heading into earnings and the run appears set to continue. I am not complaining as a long, but it shouldn't surprise anyone to see the stock pullback from the highs given the market's shaky behavior the last few days.
Overall, Q2 results are much better than Q1, and that shows in the stock's performance, at least as shown in the after-hours price movement. However, Amazon has never been a single quarter or single year story for me. Amazon's ecosystem is enough reason for me to continue believing in the company long-term. The ability to leverage multiple products and services across the entire organization is not something any company can build overnight. In fact, even Amazon has taken nearly 30 years to be the company that it is today
COINBASE | COIN & SECCoinbase shares are up 35% since the SEC sued the crypto exchange for allegedly selling unregistered securities
But Coinbase stock has bounced back, rising some 35% after dropping to a low of about $50 on the day that the SEC sued the U.S.’s largest crypto exchange. As of Wednesday morning, shares were trading near $70, and the publicly traded company’s market capitalization has risen to about $16.5 billion.
The resurgence of Coinbase mirrors the broader boomerang of the crypto market in June, riding a Wall Streetfueled fever for Bitcoin that has lifted other cryptocurrencies and injected optimism into an industry that was reeling from a battery of enforcement from the federal government.
The Coinbase stock has been rallying, the price of Bitcoin has been rallying, and then these two things usually play off of each other. Specifically, Bitcoin’s resurgence is tied to BlackRock’s recent filing of an application for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund, a surprising vote of confidence from the US.’s largest asset manager in the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.
Shortly after BlackRock’s application became public, the price of Bitcoin soared, notching its highest price in more than a year as a slew of other asset managers filed applications for Bitcoin spot ETFs, potentially opening up the cryptocurrency to trillions in dollars from brokerage accounts and pension funds.
And where Bitcoin goes, so goes the broader market, as the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies jumped from just about $1 trillion to now about $1.17 trillion.
BlackRock’s ETF filing was not only a vote of confidence in Bitcoin but also Coinbase. Its application listed the publicly traded crypto exchange as the custodian for holding the trust’s underlying Bitcoin.
For them to continue and list Coinbase as a custodian for their ETF was a strong signal that these SEC allegations are not that big of a deal
I think the market is telling us…the worst is behind us, as far as U.S. regulatory crackdown is concerned
Long Lamb Weston $LW
🍟 NYSE:LW is one of the largest producers of frozen 🥔products
🍟 Large supplier to $ NYSE:MCD MCD NYSE:LW
🍟 Stock is bouncing after Jana Partners took a stake and the latest earnings
🍟 Unusual Call Options Activity using @Tradestation shows accumulation
🍟 Upside potential 25% to target 🎯 $96
Dang, those 🍟🍟 are getting salty 👿
AMD Can it survive this horrific week?On August 13 (see chart below) we called the start of the new long-term Bullish Leg on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as a week before it entered the 2-year Higher Lows Zone and rebounded:
Still, the road (green Channel Up) isn't without its hurdles, and one of them is this week where the price is again being brutally sold towards the Higher Lows Zone. Notice that during the previous 2-week correction (August 26 - September 03 1W candles), the Zone's top was tested and held.
As a result, the multi-year trend remains bullish and will be this way for as long as the Higher Lows Zone holds.
It is interesting to observe at this point that the Bearish Phase of this pattern (March 04 - August 05) was in the shape of a Bearish Megaphone and can be compared to the one that bottomed on October 10 2022 and practically started the new Bull Cycle.
Notice also that so far each Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) rose by +141.87%. Within this comparison, and if we plot the Fibonacci levels from the Leg's bottom to top, we can see that the first Bullish Leg also had a rejection on the 0.618 Fib level and pull-back below the 0.786 into the Higher Lows Zone.
Obviously the current correction isn't ideal but it is not something we haven't seen and is within the tolerance levels of this 2-year pattern.
We expect another +141.87% rally to be concluded on this Bullish Leg, so our Target is straight up $295.00.
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Estee Lauder’s 26% Plunge: Revenue Miss & All Short Targets Hit!Estee Lauder (EL) Stock Analysis:
Estee Lauder (EL) saw a dramatic 26% drop, marking a significant bearish turn as all short trade targets on the 15-minute timeframe were swiftly reached. The chart reflects intense selling pressure, with shares plummeting after disappointing earnings and cautious guidance.
Key Trade Details:
Entry Level: 88.29
Target Levels:
TP1: 87.89
TP2: 87.29
TP3: 86.58
TP4: 86.17
Stop Loss: 88.62
Key Market Insights:
Revenue Miss and Guidance Withdrawal: Estee Lauder missed revenue expectations, reporting a 4% YoY decline, and pulled its fiscal 2025 outlook, signaling incremental uncertainty in the Chinese market and Asia’s travel retail sector. The company now plans to provide only quarterly guidance.
Challenges in China and Travel Retail: Weak consumer sentiment in China and reduced demand in Asia travel retail, including low conversion rates in Hong Kong, led to a 5% drop in organic net sales, impacting overall performance.
Summary:
Estee Lauder’s sharp decline capitalized on bearish momentum, achieving all short trade targets quickly. The disappointing earnings, along with withdrawn guidance, underscore the headwinds Estee Lauder faces in a slowing global economy, particularly in Asia. This setup demonstrates the high-risk, high-reward potential for short-term trades in volatile stocks.
Visa stock new demand level and investment opportunity Visa stock continues to rally as expected creating new demand imbalances on the daily timeframe. There is a new one sitting at $285 per share. Waiting for the pullback before buying again.
NVDIA Don't miss this opportunity. Can even reach $240.NVDIA (NVDA) gave us the most solid buy entry back on our August 08 signal (see chart below), following a -35% decline:
Such declines are standard technical buy opportunities especially when taken place at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up (since October 2022). As you can see, the stock made new All Time Highs (ATH) and as it remains below the middle of the Channel, the upwards potential is significant.
As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) supports, we remain bullish on our original long-term Target ($190.00) but now we feel confident to target by the start of 2025 the upper layer of the pattern, setting Target 2 at $240.00 (Fibonacci extension 3.0).
Note also that, as mentioned on our previous analysis, the current Bullish Leg continues to look very similar to the one that bottomed on October 2022. This is also evident on their 1D RSI fractals.
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Tharimmune (THAR) Soars with Positive EMA Feedback!Analysis:
Tharimmune (THAR) is showing strong upward momentum on the 15-minute timeframe, setting up for a promising long trade. Recent entry at 5.23, with clear targets ahead:
Target 1: 7.31
Target 2: 10.69
Target 3: 14.07
Target 4: 16.16
Key Driver:
Positive regulatory feedback from the European Medicines Agency (EMA) on Tharimmune’s TH104 clinical program for treating chronic pruritus in primary biliary cholangitis has fueled significant investor interest, pushing the stock upward.
Technical Overview:
The chart illustrates a breakout pattern with well-defined support and resistance levels. If momentum continues, the stock is positioned to hit all targets as shown using the Risological Swing Trader as investor confidence builds.
OLA ELECTRIC Plummets as Complaints Soar – BUT, We Made Money!OLA ELECTRIC Stock Analysis:
Ola Electric (OLAELEC) recently experienced a significant downturn, with all targets met in a notable short trade on the 15-minute timeframe. The ongoing downtrend can be attributed to multiple external pressures:
Massive Customer Complaints: India’s Central Consumer Protection Authority (CCPA) reported over 10,000 complaints within a year related to Ola’s after-sales services, billing inaccuracies, and delays. This high volume of complaints is unprecedented, prompting government intervention.
Consumer Protection Action:
Ola Electric received a show-cause notice from Indian authorities, demanding an explanation for the alleged violations of consumer rights and trade practices. The repercussions could include directives for customer compensation or even financial penalties.
Service Overload at Centers:
Numerous reports indicate that Ola’s service centers are struggling to keep up with demand, leading to extensive backlogs and dissatisfied customers. According to analysts, many centers appear overwhelmed, further deteriorating Ola's brand image.
Market Sentiment Impact:
Following these revelations, Ola’s share value has sharply fallen, reversing the gains from its August IPO. The stock has lost nearly 40% in recent weeks, with negative sentiment further amplified by viral customer complaints on social media.
With external pressures mounting and consumer confidence waning, Ola Electric’s stock faces a challenging recovery path. The short trade setup capitalized on this decline, achieving all preset targets amidst the company’s reputational crisis.
Key Levels:
Entry: 93.86
Targets Achieved: TP1 at 90.87, TP2 at 86.04, TP3 at 81.21, TP4 at 78.22
Stop Loss: 96.27
Ola Electric’s road ahead remains uncertain as regulatory scrutiny intensifies and consumer trust continues to erode.
Antony Waste is certainly not waste.Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd. engages in the provision of solid waste management services. Its services include waste collection and transportation, mechanized and non-mechanized sweeping, waste processing and treatment, and waste to energy.
Antony Waste Handling Cell Ltd. CMP is 736.75. The positive aspects of the company are Annual Profit Growth higher than Sector Profit Growth, Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity and Company able to generate Net Cash. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 24.5), High promoter stock pledges, Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 747 Targets in the stock will be 784 and 821. The long-term target in the stock will be 848 and 900. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 671 or 605 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Alkem looks alrightAlkem Laboratories Ltd. engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of pharmaceutical products. It produces branded generics, generic drugs, active pharmaceutical ingredient, and nutraceuticals.
Alkem Laboratories Ltd. CMP is 6039.55. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 35.2), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 6105 Targets in the stock will be 6202 and 6315. The long-term target in the stock will be 6442. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 5818 or 5363 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
TESLA just made a crucial break-out that few are noticing.Tesla (TSLA) soared last week following the better than expected earnings, an event we covered extensively, and have practically erased all the negativity/ cautiousness that came following the Robotaxi event.
However, the closing of last week found Tesla making a crucial bullish break-out that might have gone under most people's radar. The price not only broke the Lower Highs trend-line that started all the way from the November 2021 All Time High (ATH) but almost managed to close the 1W candle above it.
Technically this is a major buy signal long-term that targets the final two Resistance Zones (1 and 2) of the Bear Cycle. With the 1W RSI effectively consolidating like February - May 2023, we believe that as last year, the price will now start the 2nd phase of the April 22 2024 Bullish Leg of a potential 2-year Channel Up.
We expect Resistance Zone 1 to break and if upon a re-test it holds, our long-term Target of $380.00 should finally be materialized.
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AFFIRM HOLDINGS (AFRM) Short Trade Setup and AnalysisAFFIRM HOLDINGS (AFRM) on the 15-minute timeframe:
Trade Summary
Position: Short Trade
Entry: $46.84
Stop Loss: $48.47
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $44.84 (Hit)
TP2: $41.59 (Hit)
TP3: $38.34 (Pending)
TP4: $36.33 (Pending)
Technical Analysis
The price action for AFRM has shown a steady downtrend in alignment with the bearish market sentiment. The position was initiated near the entry point of $46.84, with the Risological dotted trendline indicating a continuous bearish pressure, thus validating the short entry.
With TP1 and TP2 already achieved, the price is moving in line with the projected downtrend. The decreasing volume and proximity to the trailing targets suggest that there is further room for downside potential, aiming towards TP3 and TP4.
Market Insights
Volume: 5.59M (below the 30-day average of 9.08M), indicating moderate sell-off interest.
Key Levels:
Day’s Range: $40.63 - $42.47, which reflects a steady decline.
52-Week Range: $16.50 - $52.48, showing that the stock is approaching the lower side of its yearly range.
Upcoming Earnings: In 12 days, which could further influence AFRM’s trend based on market expectations.
This technical setup aligns with the broader market indicators and the prevailing bearish momentum in AFRM. Further downside potential remains viable as the trend continues.
Indian hotels on a high. Indian Hotels Co. Ltd. engages in the ownership, operation, and management of hotels, palaces, and resorts. It operates through India and Overseas geographical segments.
Indian Hotels Co. Ltd. CMP is 691.25. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Strong cash generating ability from core business and Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 76.6), Declining profits and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income.
Entry can be taken after closing above 693 Targets in the stock will be 706 and 722. The long-term target in the stock will be 738. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 649 or 596 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Vimta Labs trying to be victorious.Vimta Labs Ltd. engages in the provision of contract research and testing. It services include cGMP laboratory services; analytical food and water; preclinical research; clinical research; biopharma; environmental assessments; and clinical reference lab.
Vimta Labs Ltd. CMP is 558.20. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Mutual Funds Increased Shareholding in Past Month and Good Aggregate Candlestick Strength. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 30.2), Declining Net Cash Flow and Inefficient use of assets to generate profits.
Entry can be taken after closing above 569 Targets in the stock will be 599, 617 and 643. The long-term target in the stock will be 667 and 702. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 517 or 503 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
KPI GREEN Stock Plummets – All Short Targets Smashed in 15-MinKPI GREEN Stock Technical Analysis:
KPI Green on the 15-minute timeframe has completed its short trade with a clear break below the Risological dotted trendline, and all targets have been successfully hit.
Key Levels:
Entry: 811.55
Stop Loss (SL): 820.70
Target 1 (TP1): 800.25
Target 2 (TP2): 782.00
Target 3 (TP3): 763.75
Target 4 (TP4): 752.50
Observations:
The price respected the resistance offered by the Risological trendline and steadily declined.
Bears are in control, with the stock making lower highs and lower lows throughout the session.
The short trade played out perfectly for KPI Green, hitting all predefined targets. Watch for potential consolidation or further breakdown below TP4 for more opportunities.
CHEVRON Ideal sell at the top of the 2-year Channel Down.Chevron (CVX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the November 14 2022 High (almost 2 years). The price is currently on a 4 week rejection streak on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but despite the selling pressure, it closes every 1W candle flat, refusing to decline.
This is most likely the same accumulation/ pull-back phase that the previous two Bullish Legs went through upon testing the 1W MA50. They both eventually broke it and peaked at the top of the Channel Down.
We expect a similar peak within the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1W MA50. Once the 1W RSI also peaks and starts reversing (red arc), we will sell and target 132.00 (just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
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Dixon's Bearish Breakdown – All Targets Smashed!DIXON Stock Technical Analysis:
In the 15-minute timeframe, Dixon saw a short trade entry at ₹15,199.60, with prices moving decisively lower, hitting all the predefined targets.
Key Levels:
Entry: ₹15,199.60
Stop Loss (SL): ₹15,349.80
Target 1 (TP1): ₹15,013.95
Target 2 (TP2): ₹14,713.50
Target 3 (TP3): ₹14,413.10
Target 4 (TP4): ₹14,227.45
Observations:
The price plunged after a clear rejection below the Risological dotted trendline, confirming the downtrend.
Dixon met all short targets as it continued its bearish trajectory.
This short trade capitalized on a strong breakdown, with all targets being successfully hit. Traders should remain cautious as the bearish momentum might be slowing down, offering potential reversal signals ahead.
TESLA Have today's upbeat earnings erased the Robotaxi disaster?Tesla (TSLA) reported yesterday third-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates and said it expects to achieve "slight" growth in deliveries this year. This was enough to send the price in an after-market frenzy and so far in-session rising almost by +20%.
In fact, Tesla's market cap has increased by $126B today, the largest single day jump ever! Those earnings may prove to be pivotal for the automaker as they come just a few days after the Robotaxi event, which the market considered disappointing.
So can those earnings result be enough to reverse Tesla's fortunes, which has been massively underperforming relative to (particularly) the rest of the Magnificent 7? Well this can be answered through a technical perspective, with a chart that we published more than 2 months ago (August 15, see chart below):
That was Tesla's Channel Up since the January 06 2023 market bottom on the 1W time-frame, where we caught a buy just after the August 2024 Low. We projected that to be halfway through the new long-term Bullish Leg of the Channel. The recent October correction can be viewed as the April 24 2023 2nd wave of the mid-term pull-back of the Bullish Leg.
On the current analysis we view the same pattern but on the 1D time-frame, where the 1D MACD in particular excels at illustrating the identical nature of the two Bullish Legs price actions.
Right now the MACD is forming the 2nd clean Bullish Cross under the Lower Highs belt, a formation which on May 04 2023 turned out to be the confirmation that started the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg that completed a +195% rise from the January 2023 bottom.
As a result, not only do we expect the stock to reach Resistance 1 (299.50), which is the July 19 2023 High before the year ends but also test Resistance 2 (385.00), which is the April 05 2022 High by January 2025.
Our Target long-term remains a straight up $380.00 as we pointed out those months back.
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COCA COLA bottomed. Get ready for a +20% rally.Last time we looked at the Coca-Cola Company (KO) was at the end of the previous year (December 07 2023, see chart below), giving a buy signal, which eventually hit our $62.00 Target, even though it had to take longer than we expected:
This time, the price action is giving us yet again a very strong buy signal as the price rebounded yesterday exactly on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level of the 1-year Channel. At the same time, so did the 1W RSI, reversing upwards below its MA level, consistent with the previous two bottoms of April 12 2024 and October 06 2023.
Based on the lowest rally we had within this Channel, we expect Coca Cola to rise by at least +19.45%, setting our Target at $79.70.
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GANDHAR OIL BUY NOW Stock Name - GANDHAR OIL REFINERS
Trend - Uptrend Focus on Buy
Good Fundamentals take this stock .
Trade Reason :
Day - Uptrend and Complete Correction at Golden ratio Level 0.618 .
1Hr - Trend Reversed - Confirm the Entry .
Entry - 225 Rs
Stoploss - 217 Rs
Target - 244 Rs
Happy Trading ...
WE GOT A 5/5 TRADE SETUP ON MBLY. LARGE MOVE INCOMING! NASDAQ:MBLY
🖐️WE GOT A 5/5 TRADE SETUP ON MOBILEYE.
My trading strategy consists of 5 Indicators:
1.) A clear and clean Charting pattern setup.
✔️For this chart that is a symmetrical pattern.
2.) A Volume Gap to fill and strong buying area.
✔️ Clearly sitting on a large "Volume shelf" - JW
3.) The MACD up trending. Crossing Zero line=Bullish
✔️ We are indeed up trending and a Zero line crossing is imminent for this chart.
4.) Stochastic rising and making higher lows.
✔️ Up trending and just crossed the middle RSI band. Higher lows are being made on this chart.
5.) Weekly Stochastic Up Trend. Most bullish once it crosses up through lower band or down through upper band.
✔️ Clearly had a red through yellow flip and are up trending on this charts stochastic heading toward Lower band.
Bonus: We are staying above the 50MA and about to have the 25MA cross upward through the 50MA as well (BULLISH Signal). Finally, I've been following this stock for awhile now and every market open we get a massive amount of short volume in order to try and drive down the stock and get the 20% of shareholders who aren't NASDAQ:INTC to sell them their shares for them to cover at lower prices.
I hope you enjoyed it!
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NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:ENPH NASDAQ:SBUX NYSE:MCD #Stock #stocks #Stockmarket #EarningsReport #TradingTips #investing #investingideas
