Get started

Stockstobuy

Quantum's Premium IWM Weekly OutlookSentiment Overall Sentiment: Bearish with potential for reversal. Options Activity: Recent data shows elevated put volume over calls (e.g., 8 puts Ascending Triangle DEX suggests a bearish directional bias. Posts on X indicate traders are eyeing short setups, reinforcing this sentiment. 1 OTM Premiums: 0DTE (April 7 expiration): Call: $182 strike, premium $1.20 (moderate IV, ~35%). Put: $180 strike, premium $1.35 (moderate IV, ~35%). Weekly (April 11 expiration): Call: $182 strike, premium $1.45 (moderate IV, ~32%). Put: $180 strike, premium $1.40 (moderate IV, ~32%). Notes: Premiums are kept under $1.50 for cost efficiency in 0DTE and weekly trades. IV levels are moderate, reflecting recent volatility spikes but not extreme conditions, making these contracts attractive for short-term plays. Technical Indicators: Weekly EMAs (8/13/48): The 8-week EMA ($198.50) is below the 13-week ($202.10) and 48-week ($208.30), confirming a downtrend. RSI (14-week): 32, nearing oversold territory, hinting at a possible bounce. Market Context: Small-cap stocks like IWM have been under pressure due to tariff fears and a hawkish Fed stance. However, oversold conditions and seasonal strength in April could signal a relief rally. Potential: Continuation of the downtrend is likely unless a catalyst reverses sentiment, but a short-term bounce to $185–$190 is plausible given oversold readings. Tariff Impact Exposure: Moderate to severe. Analysis: IWM tracks the Russell 2000, comprising small-cap U.S. companies, many of which are domestically focused (e.g., manufacturing, retail). A 10% universal tariff, 25% on Canada/Mexico, or 46% on Vietnam could raise input costs for these firms, squeezing margins. Sectors like industrials (20% of IWM) and consumer discretionary (15%) are particularly vulnerable. However, tariff impact may be overstated—rising interest rates and a strong dollar are likely stronger drivers of recent weakness. Critically, the narrative around tariffs often amplifies fear beyond fundamentals, offering contrarian opportunities if panic subsides. News/Catalysts Recent News: Trump’s tariff rhetoric intensified last week, with small-caps hit hardest (IWM down 9.5% in 1M). The Fed’s hawkish December stance continues to weigh on risk assets. Upcoming Events: April 8: Consumer Credit data release—could signal consumer health, critical for small-cap earnings. Mid-week: Potential tariff policy updates—speculative but impactful. Speculative Catalysts: X posts highlight short interest in IWM and oversold conditions, suggesting a squeeze potential. A surprise Fed pivot or tariff rollback could spark a massive rally. Alignment: Small-caps are sensitive to economic data and policy shifts, making IWM a prime candidate for volatility-driven moves. Technical Setup Weekly Chart: Key Levels: High Volume Node (HVN): $195–$199 (prior support, now resistance). Monthly Open: $199.78 (resistance). Weekly Low: $176.67 (support). Trend: Downtrend since March peak ($208.52), testing year-lows. One-Hour Chart: Support: $179–$180 (confluence with weekly low). Resistance: $182.50–$184 (prior consolidation zone). 10-Minute Chart: Entry/Exit: Bullish: Break above $181.50 (8-EMA) with a hammer candle for a long to $183. Bearish: Breakdown below $180 with volume for a short to $177. EMAs (8/13/48): 8 ($181.20) > 13 ($181.00) < 48 ($182.30)—choppy, no clear trend intraday. Indicators: RSI (14): 38 (10-min), neutral but rising—watch for divergence. MACD: Near zero line, flat—momentum stalling. Options Data Weekly Overview Gamma Exposure (GEX): Bearish—pinning near $180–$182, dealers hedging accelerates downside below $180. Delta Exposure (DEX): Bearish—put-heavy activity signals directional selling. Vega Exposure (VEX): Neutral—moderate volatility potential, no extreme IV spike expected. Implied Volatility (IV): Moderate (~32–35%)—elevated but manageable, favoring sellers over buyers. Open Interest (OI): Bearish—high OI at $180 put and $185 call strikes, capping upside. Potential Price Targets Bullish: $185 (+2.2%)—tests weekly HVN; $190 (+5%) if momentum builds. Bearish: $177 (-2.3%)—revisits year-low; $170 (-6.2%) on tariff escalation. Trade Idea Bullish 0DTE (April 7): Trade: Buy $182 Call @ $1.20. Entry: Break above $181.50. Target: $183 (profit $0.80, +66%). Stop: $180.50 (loss $0.70, -58%). Bearish 0DTE (April 7): Trade: Buy $180 Put @ $1.35. Entry: Breakdown below $180. Target: $178 (profit $0.65, +48%). Stop: $181 (loss $0.85, -63%).
AMEX:IWM
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance. Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings. Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations. Segment Highlights The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline. Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher. Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health. Market Context Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards. Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns. The 2008 Playbook Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash. During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous. The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks. Investment Risks A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment. Final Thoughts Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow. Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire! What do you think moonypto fam?
NYSE:BRK.A
by moonypto
Snow White's very low ratings - Bullish Disney stock ?The SnowWhite IMDB rating can't get any worse - could the same be said of Disney stock? Price is the ultimate proof but buying the shares of a well established company when sentiment is at a low point can be a fruitful endevour. The poor box office showing + very weak ratings for Snow White - maybe a contrarian buy signal ? A) The stock is attempting a long term double bottom via is 2020 + 2023 lows B) A breakout over the downtrend line (orange) could confirm a bullish trend change Bottom of the ratings ➡️ Bottom in the stock? NYSE:DIS
NYSE:DISLong
by jasperlawler
GOOGLE at Key Support Level – Rebound Towards $190?NASDAQ:GOOGL is experiencing a corrective move after rejecting from the upper boundary of the ascending channel. This rejection has triggered increased selling pressure, driving the price back toward the channel's lower boundary. The confluence of trendline support and the overall bullish market structure enhances the likelihood of a rebound from this level. If buyers defend this level, we could see a push toward $190, which aligns with the midline of the channel and could serve as a short-term target. A successful bounce from here would reinforce the ongoing bullish momentum within the channel. However, if price fails to hold above this support zone, the bullish outlook could weaken, potentially signaling further downside. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals, such as strong rejection wicks, increased volume, or bullish engulfing patterns, before entering long positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts! 🚀
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by DanieIM
42
Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) 1WTechnical Analysis - The weekly chart of Crown Castle Inc. (CCI) shows a potential reversal after a prolonged downtrend. - A breakout above the descending trendline and consolidation above $110.85 (0.786 Fibonacci) could signal the start of an upward movement. - Key Resistance Levels: $132.06 – $146.95 – $161.85 – $180.28 – $210.07. - Key Support Zone: $83.83 - $90. - CCI and RSI indicators confirm improving sentiment. A sustained breakout above $110-112 could lead to mid-term growth. Fundamental Analysis Crown Castle is one of the largest telecommunications infrastructure operators in the US. - Stable revenues due to long-term contracts with telecom providers. - Dividend yield of ~6%, making it attractive for long-term investors. - 5G expansion and IoT growth create long-term opportunities. Risks: High debt burden, interest rate impact, and competition with American Tower. CCI has growth potential if it breaks above the $110-112 zone. However, macroeconomic risks remain relevant.
NYSE:CCILong
by TotoshkaTrades
Adyen (ADYEN) – Technical Analysis and 1W OutlookTechnical Analysis Adyen's stock is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a potential breakout. The recent price surge confirmed the pattern's breakout, but a correction toward the 0.618 Fibonacci level (1457.2 EUR) is possible, acting as a key buying zone. Key Levels: Resistance: 1720.8 EUR (0.5 Fibonacci), 2311 EUR (0.236 Fibonacci) Support: 1457.2 EUR (0.618 Fibonacci), 1081.8 EUR (0.786 Fibonacci) Target: 2838 EUR Indicators suggest a potential continuation of the uptrend: MACD is signaling bullish momentum Stochastic indicates a possible correction before further upside Fundamental Analysis Adyen is a leading player in the payment technology sector, serving major companies like Uber, Spotify, and Microsoft. Key Factors Impacting the Stock: Financial Performance: Recent earnings reports showed revenue growth driven by increased payment volumes. Macroeconomics: Lower inflation and potential interest rate cuts could benefit the tech sector. Competition: Pressure from PayPal and Stripe remains a key risk. Adyen maintains bullish potential following the triangle breakout. The 1457-1500 EUR zone is crucial for trend confirmation, with a possible long-term target at 2838 EUR. However, a short-term correction remains possible.
EURONEXT:ADYENLong
by TotoshkaTrades
RITES: INVERSE H&S BREAKOUTThe Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of three key components: Structure of the Pattern: Left Shoulder: A price decline followed by a temporary rally. Head: A deeper decline forming the lowest point, followed by another rally. Right Shoulder: A decline similar in size to the left shoulder but not as deep as the head, followed by a move higher. Neckline: A resistance level that connects the highs of the two rallies after the left shoulder and head. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in RITES, with a neckline at ₹225, indicates a potential bullish reversal. The stock has formed a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening. The target price for this breakout is ₹263 calculated by measuring the distance from the head’s low to the neckline and projecting it upwards. If the stock sustains above the neckline, it could gain further momentum. However, traders should consider placing a stop-loss at 212 to manage risk in case of a failed breakout.
NSE:RITESLong
by TradingSutra
GUJRAT GAS: INVERSE H&SThe Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of three key components: Structure of the Pattern: Left Shoulder: A price decline followed by a temporary rally. Head: A deeper decline forming the lowest point, followed by another rally. Right Shoulder: A decline similar in size to the left shoulder but not as deep as the head, followed by a move higher. Neckline: A resistance level that connects the highs of the two rallies after the left shoulder and head. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in Gujrat Gas, with a neckline at ₹396, indicates a potential bullish reversal. The stock has formed a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening. A breakout above ₹406, supported by strong volume, could confirm the pattern and trigger an upward move. The target price for this breakout is ₹440, calculated by measuring the distance from the head’s low to the neckline and projecting it upwards. If the stock sustains above the neckline, it could gain further momentum. However, traders should consider placing a stop-loss below the right shoulder i.e. 376 to manage risk in case of a failed breakout.
NSE:GUJGASLTDLong
by TradingSutra
Watch This Before Trading Delta Airlines Stock in 2025!The Art of Trading: Price Action, Supply and Demand, and Patience in Delta Airlines. Trading in the stock market is a skill that requires a deep understanding of market dynamics, disciplined decision-making, and the ability to remain patient in the face of volatility. Among the most effective strategies for achieving consistent success are price action analysis, supply and demand principles, and meticulous money management. This supply and demand stock analysis will explore how these strategies can be applied to Delta Airlines (DAL), focusing on key price levels, candlestick patterns, and the importance of patience in making informed investment decisions. A strong demand level for Delta Airlines (DAL) has been identified at $43. This level represents a price zone where buyers have historically shown significant interest, leading to price reversals. By waiting for the stock to retrace to this level, traders can enter positions with a higher probability of success as the likelihood of renewed buying pressure increases.
NYSE:DALLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
BHARAT FORGE: INVERSE H&SThe Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It consists of three key components: Structure of the Pattern: Left Shoulder: A price decline followed by a temporary rally. Head: A deeper decline forming the lowest point, followed by another rally. Right Shoulder: A decline similar in size to the left shoulder but not as deep as the head, followed by a move higher. Neckline: A resistance level that connects the highs of the two rallies after the left shoulder and head. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern in Bharat Forge, with a neckline at ₹1100, indicates a potential bullish reversal. The stock has formed a well-defined left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening. A breakout above ₹1100, supported by strong volume, could confirm the pattern and trigger an upward move. The target price for this breakout is ₹1200, calculated by measuring the distance from the head’s low to the neckline and projecting it upwards. If the stock sustains above the neckline, it could gain further momentum. However, traders should consider placing a stop-loss below the right shoulder to manage risk in case of a failed breakout.
NSE:BHARATFORGLong
by TradingSutra