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NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
Analysis of Moving average stock (26/Nov/2024)Analysis of Moving average stock (25/Nov/2024) follow for more updates and information Understanding and analysing moving averages is vital when executing technical analysis on stocks and finding ideal stocks to invest in that match the investment strategy. However, finding stocks that fulfil the set moving average criteria is difficult as it requires taking stocks individually and determining if their moving average matches the criteria included in the investment strategy. The process is highly time-consuming and may lead to manual errors, forcing investors to make the wrong investment decisions. A moving average screener is an ideal tool that assists investors in filtering thousands of stocks based on their moving averages to produce a list of stocks that have the same moving averages as the criteria set by the user. Investors can customise moving average stock screeners to meet specific criteria based on the trader's or investor's preferences. For example, some traders may use moving average crossovers to identify entry and exit points in a trade, while others may use moving average trends to identify long-term investment opportunities. However, investors must use the screeners along with other technical indicators and tools to make informed investment decisions.
NSE:HDFCBANK
by ARROWINDEX
PAIN REFORM Breakout Trade in Action!PAIN REFORM Trade Details: A breakout in Pain Reform on the daily timeframe offers a promising long trade setup using the Risological swing trading indicator . Entry levels have been clearly identified, and the stock shows strong bullish momentum as it heads towards its profit targets. Key Levels: Entry: 1.32 Stop Loss (SL): 0.88 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.88 TP2: 2.77 TP3: 3.66 TP4: 4.21 PAIN REFORM Analysis: The chart signals a strong trend reversal, with the breakout confirming bullish sentiment. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable for this trade setup, and the stock is poised for further gains as it moves towards higher targets. Outlook: Monitor closely for momentum follow-through. With a robust breakout, the targets look achievable given sustained market interest and volume spikes. Stay disciplined with stops to lock in profits!
NASDAQ:PRFXLong
by ProfitsNinja
Aclaris Rockets 300%, Smashes Targets!ACRIS (1D TF): Targets Smashed with 300% Gains! Trade Details: The long trade setup on the daily timeframe has exceeded expectations, blasting past all profit targets using the Risological Trading Indicator . The stock has delivered an impressive 300% gain, outperforming initial forecasts. Key Levels: Entry: 1.20 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.25 ✅ TP2: 1.32 ✅ TP3: 1.40 ✅ TP4: 1.45 ✅ Analysis: This massive rally showcases strong bullish momentum, driven by high market interest. With such a breakout, Aclaris demonstrates its potential as a high-performing asset. Outlook: Momentum traders can consider monitoring for retracements or further bullish setups. A stellar move like this reinforces the power of spotting trends early!
NASDAQ:ACRSLong
by ProfitsNinja
MTARTECH Surges! Long Trade Hits All TargetsMTAR Technologies (15-Minute Timeframe): All Targets Hit! Trade Details: A textbook long trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe, perfectly executed using the Risological Trading Indicator . The trade delivered outstanding results with all targets achieved. Key Levels: Entry: 1583.90 Stop Loss (SL): 1570.45 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1600.50 TP2: 1627.35 TP3: 1654.25 TP4: 1670.85 Performance Analysis: The strong uptrend, confirmed by moving averages and consistent bullish momentum, aligned with the indicator’s signals. The precise entry point and systematic target levels ensured maximum profit extraction. Trade Outcome: Every profit target was hit, reflecting the robustness of the strategy. Traders capitalized on a swift and powerful move, making this trade a standout performer. Stay tuned for more opportunities like this with the Risological Indicator!
NSE:MTARTECHLong
by ProfitsNinja
JINDAL WORLDWIDE - Massive Intraday LONG TradeJINDAL WORLDWIDE (15-Minute Timeframe) - Massive Long Trade Secured Trade Setup: A powerful bullish breakout captured on the 15-minute timeframe using the Risological Trading Indicator. This trade highlights an impressive rally with all targets hit. Key Levels: Entry: 282.75 Stop Loss (SL): 278.30 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 288.20 TP2: 297.00 TP3: 305.85 TP4: 311.30 Technical Overview: The price action reflects strong bullish momentum, supported by upward-trending moving averages and consistent buying pressure. The Risological Indicator provided a timely entry signal, capitalizing on this rapid uptrend. Results: The trade successfully achieved all profit targets, delivering substantial gains for intraday traders. The well-defined stop-loss ensured controlled risk, allowing traders to maximize their returns. Insight: This trade underscores the effectiveness of the Risological Indicator in identifying high-probability entries and exits in dynamic market conditions. Keep monitoring for further setups!
NSE:JINDWORLDLong
by ProfitsNinja
GARWARE New Short Trade OpportunityGARWARE TECH (15-Minute Timeframe) - Short Trade Opportunity Trade Setup: A clear short trade setup has emerged on the 15-minute timeframe for Garware Tech using the Risological swing trading indicator . The entry signal indicates a strong bearish move, supported by the break below key support levels. Key Levels: Entry: 4419.05 Stop Loss (SL): 4602.05 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 4192.90 TP2: 3827.00 TP3: 3461.05 TP4: 3234.90 Technical Indicators: The bearish crossover and the downward trajectory of the moving averages highlight the weakening momentum. The Risological Swing Trader Indicator confirms a high-confidence short entry with well-defined targets. Strategy Note: Traders are advised to monitor price action near TP1 and TP2 for potential retracements. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically as the trade progresses to protect profits. This short trade setup offers a promising risk-reward ratio for intraday traders! Stay disciplined and let the technicals lead the way.
NSE:GARFIBRESShort
by ProfitsNinja
ARIES AGRO: 50% Profit in Intraday TradeARIES AGRO (15-Minute Timeframe) - Intraday Sensation! Trade Overview: Aries Agro delivers a phenomenal intraday performance, achieving a 50% gain with 5x margin trading. All targets are marked with clear progression on the chart using the Risological trading indicator. Key Levels: Entry: 283.40 Stop Loss (SL): 281.75 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 285.35 TP2: 288.60 TP3: 291.80 TP4: 293.80 Technical Insight: The price rallied sharply, riding strong bullish momentum, with each target systematically achieved. The Risological Swing Trader Indicator confirmed the long trade setup early, providing a low-risk, high-reward opportunity. The upward slope of the moving averages added further confidence to the bullish scenario. Strategy Tip: Intraday traders using margin positions are advised to monitor momentum near TP4 for potential reversals or consolidation. Always ensure disciplined stop-loss placement. A true powerhouse intraday trade — Aries Agro showcases the magic of leveraged trading!
NSE:ARIESLong
by ProfitsNinja
NTDOY | NINTENDO & Nintendo Switch 2 🍄The next Nintendo console might arrive in 2024 Nintendo has reportedly demonstrated the Nintendo Switch 2 behind closed doors at Gamescom last month.some trusted developers got an early look at the Switch 2 and some tech demos of how games run on the unannounced system. There was reportedly a demo of an improved version of Zelda: Breath of the Wild that’s designed to run on the more advanced hardware inside the Nintendo Switch 2, VGC corroborated the claims and revealed that Nintendo also showcased Epic Games’ The Matrix Awakens Unreal Engine 5 tech demo running on the type of hardware Nintendo is targeting for its next console. The demo reportedly used Nvidia’s DLSS upscaling technology with ray tracing enabled, suggesting Nintendo and Nvidia are working on a significant chip upgrade for this next-gen console. in July that a new Nintendo Switch is being planned for a 2024 release. With 43 years of making immensely popular video games under its belt, you'd think that the video game pioneers at Nintendo probably have the business of success fully figured out. But companies must change with the times and, according to Nintendo of America president Doug Bowser, that means finding a way to engage people with the legacy brand that might never pick up a video game controller. Bowser spoke about what the company learned this year during the Nintendo Live event in Seattle, Wa. on Sept 1, referencing the enormous box office success of the "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" as one of its key indicators that Nintendo has the ability to reach an audience beyond those that naturally reach for a controller. "We launched The Super Mario Bros. Movie, which very quickly became the second-largest box office grossing animated film of all time at $1.3 billion," Bowser said. "We launched The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom, which, 18 million units later after a very brief period of time, it's one of our fastest launch titles ever, and then the event today. So it's really this drumbeat of activities, entertainment-based activities where we're trying to find ways to continue to introduce more and more people, not just players, but people to Nintendo IP… So that's what we're excited about." Bowser also spoke about the launch of Super Nintendo World at Universal Hollywood, which delivered an impressive 25% bump to Comcast's Q1 earnings this year. "And if I think about folding into the bigger strategy, this year has really been a very unique, and I dare say banner year for Nintendo in a lot of ways," Bowser said.Nintendo also continues to benefit from the sales of its aging Nintendo Switch console, with 129.53 million units sold worldwide. That makes it the company's second best-selling console of all time, right behind the handheld Nintendo DS, which sold 154.2 million units before it was discontinued in 2014. The success of "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" drove rumors that another big feature film based on Nintendo's flagship Legend of Zelda series was coming as well, but Nintendo hasn't made a formal announcement about that ... yet. Gaming is in the midst of an M&A arms race. The protracted pandemic has made sure of that. Companies from all sides of the market, Microsoft, Take Two, Sony to name a few, are cutting deals to secure content. The volume and scale of those deals point to where gaming is heading - the precipice of major shake-ups across its core commercial and distribution models. Microsoft's eye bulging $69 billion deal for Activision is a testament to that shift. Costly as the deal is, it's arguably a small price to pay to secure some of the biggest franchises in gaming: Call of Duty, Warcraft, Candy Crush and Overwatch. Even more so, considering those titles span a community of 400 million active monthly players. In other words, the deal is the boldest sign yet that content is the future of gaming, not consoles. Should you invest in Nintendo? The question comes down to whether you are willing to pay about SGX:40B for Nintendo's IP and potential earnings powers. To me, a company that continues to produce in-demand and profitable content is worth that price tag, especially after having generated a net profit of 432.7B yen, or $2.97B in FY2023. That's a P/E of about 13.5 after subtracting out Nintendo's current assets - not a hefty sum given everything Nintendo has going for it. Nintendo's strategy seems to be working, with The Super Mario Bros. Movie not only performing well on its own but also providing a boost to other Nintendo offerings. While there are concerns, there are also plenty of catalysts moving ahead. I am excited to see new Nintendo initiatives including more theatrical releases of their IP and their (positive) effects on the rest of the company's products.
OTC:NTDOYLong
by moonypto
Key Observations on Xero's Journey🔰 ASX:XRO Key Observations on Xero's Journey 1. The Big Rally: June 2018 to February 2021 Growth: Xero experienced a significant rally, climbing 243% from around $46 to $158. Timeframe: The rally spanned 126 weeks (882 days). Volume: Total trading volume during this period was 361.303 million. Key Insight: This rally followed a long consolidation phase, a typical setup for strong upward momentum in stocks. 2. Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: The $100–$110 range acted as a strong support level, with the stock bouncing multiple times before moving higher. Resistance Zones: The $171 level became a key area of resistance during its historical highs. Key Insight: Understanding historical support and resistance levels can help identify areas where stocks may reverse or consolidate. 🔰 Lessons from Xero's Stock Performance Patterns Repeat, But Not Predictably Historical performance offers valuable insights but does not guarantee future results. Always focus on the bigger picture. Volume Confirms Strength Rising volume during rallies can be a strong signal of market confidence, while declining volume might indicate weakening momentum. Support and Resistance Matter Understanding key price levels can help identify potential turning points in stock movement. Earnings Drive Volatility Always pay attention to earnings seasons as they historically trigger significant price movements. 🔰 Conclusion: What Can We Learn? Xero’s historical data tells a story of growth, retracement, and strong investor interest during key phases. By analysing these patterns, investors can better understand how price, volume, and market cycles interact. However, it’s crucial to remember that past performance is not a predictor of future results. ✅ Join the Discussion What trends or insights do you observe from Xero’s historical performance? Share your thoughts in the comments below Disc: no holding , no recommendation to buy or sell - may buy or sell without any notification , treat this post as learning only. consult with your financial advisor before taking any financial decision
ASX:XRO
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
Cava I Proven to be a steady performer - continued growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** Cava Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NYSE:CAVALong
by BKTradingAcademy
1
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up Highlights for Today - Trends and Market Share - Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise - Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway - Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges - Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest 1. Trends and Market Share Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025. Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense. Key Trends to Watch -Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative. -Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix. -YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion. -Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix. 2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter. -Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers. -Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024. - Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled. - Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets. - Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum. Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership. 3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring -Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million. -Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year. -Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas. -Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID. -Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user. Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical. 4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges -Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022. -Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%. -Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom. -Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability. -CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization. Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability. 5.Paramount: Streaming Growth -Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter. -TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%. -Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders. -Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs. -Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline. Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
NASDAQ:CMCSAEducation
by moonypto
15
WAAREE ENERGIES - Bullish Momentum in ActionTrade Overview: The bullish setup is unfolding well with TP1 already achieved at 2955.75. Price action is showing strong signs of continuation toward the remaining targets. Key Levels: Entry: 2881.85 Stop Loss (SL): 2822.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 3075.35 TP3: 3194.90 TP4: 3268.80 Technical Insight: The price is trending above the 15-minute moving averages, with a GREEN signal from the Risological Indicator, confirming bullish intent. The breakout beyond TP1 suggests sustained upward pressure. Traders should watch for any resistance near TP2. Strategy Tip: Trail stop loss to lock in profits as the price advances. A pullback toward the entry zone could offer an additional opportunity to strengthen long positions. Stay tuned for further target hits as Waaree Energies powers through!
NSE:WAAREEENERLong
by ProfitsNinja
POLICYBAZAAR (POLICYBZR) Trade UpdateTrade Overview: A strong bullish momentum is evident, with TP1 already achieved at 1709.20. The remaining targets are well within reach, given the current trend. Key Levels: Entry: 1677.05 Stop Loss (SL): 1651.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 1761.20 TP3: 1813.20 TP4: 1845.30 Technical Insight: The price is holding above the critical support levels, with the GREEN trend line from the Risological Indicator signaling continued upward movement. Traders are advised to trail the stop loss to lock in profits as the trade progresses. Keep monitoring for trend continuity!
NSE:POLICYBZRLong
by ProfitsNinja
Why Bioceres Crop Solutions is the Top Stock to Buy in 2024As the world grapples with increasing food demands and the urgent need for sustainable agricultural practices, one company stands at the forefront of this vital transformation: Bioceres Crop Solutions. With its innovative approach to crop enhancement and a robust portfolio of groundbreaking agricultural technologies, Bioceres is not just reshaping how we grow our food—it’s also poised to deliver impressive returns for savvy investors in 2024. in this supply and demand and price action analysis, I will explore why Bioceres Crop Solutions is more than just a stock; it’s a beacon of hope for sustainable farming and an investment opportunity you can’t miss! With a strong foundation built on years of experience, impressive financial performance and a very strong demand imbalance at $6.20 per share, which took control in November 2024, we expect a decent reaction. The stock could rally more than 70% in the following weeks.
NASDAQ:BIOXLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
ALB & GPN's Reversal Breakout Could Spark Significant GainsAlbemarle Corporation NYSE:ALB ● On the monthly chart, the stock is bouncing back from a long-standing trendline support that has held firm over the years. ● The daily chart reveals the emergence of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern following a significant decline. ● With a recent breakout, the stock appears poised for a potential trend reversal. ● Traders should keep a close eye on this stock for potential buying opportunities. Global Payments NYSE:GPN ● The stock has formed a Double Bottom pattern after a brief period of consolidation. ● Recently, the price broke out from this formation and has been maintaining its position above the breakout point. ● The price movement suggests a short-term buying opportunity, as the resistance level is quite distant from the current price.
NYSE:ALBLong
by NaranjCapital
1
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto
AMAZON | AMZN , Jeff is back? While Jeff Bezos, fiancée Lauren Sánchez have star studded engagement party on his $500M yacht Amazon has just reported its Q2 2023 earnings result, EPS of 65 cents is not comparable on YoY basis nor to consensus due to the company booking some gains related to its Rivian Automotive, Inc (RIVN) investment. Revenue of $134.3 billion beat consensus by about 2% while showing a YoY jump by nearly 11%. As an immediate reaction, the stock is up nearly 8% after-hours, although this can turn on a dime.I wrote in my preview that Amazon still remains a revenue story and to pay attention to Q2's actual revenue and Q3's revenue guidance. Amazon hit it out of the park on both counts, with Q2 revenue showing an 11% jump and Q3 guidance of $138 billion to $143 billion, easily upping the consensus of $138.29 billion. As a direct effect of the company reining in on its expenses, Amazon's Free Cash Flow ("FCF") in Q2 2023 improved to almost $8 billon compared to -$23.5 billion in Q2 2022. Headcount is now down 4% YoY.Advertising, which I've highlighted as the next growth driver in many of my past articles, was up 22% YoY. But, more importantly, resumed its upward trajectory on a quarterly basis. Advertising services revenue showed continuous QoQ improvement until the first blip in Q1 2023. Whether Q2's upsurge is a new trend remains to be seen, but it is encouraging that Q2 did not follow Q1 down. I am also glad that my prediction that advertising will cross $10 billion in sales came true.It appears like retail has finally stopped bleeding profusely to avoid wasting all the gains from AWS and Advertising. In my view, retail is just their medium to sell their ecosystem, and this is acceptable to me. Heading into earnings, Amazon stock was almost into the oversold territory with a Relative Strength Index ("RSI") of 37. Revenue beat and guidance should help the stock garner more analyst support in the upcoming days, and I fully expect the stock's almost-oversold conditions to be in the stock's favor as it has plenty of room upwards technically. The after-hours move has also helped the stock clear all of the commonly used moving averages.AWS's revenue and operating income appeared to be on a perennial, mid-double-digit growth trajectory until recently. However, Q2 saw AWS' sales increase by "just" 12% while operating income fell by more than 5%. It is in this context that advertising services becomes even more important. While $22 billion is strong, it fell well short of the $25 billion I predicted, as the company aims to cross $100 billion in 2023 AWS revenue. The stock was already up 50% YTD heading into earnings and the run appears set to continue. I am not complaining as a long, but it shouldn't surprise anyone to see the stock pullback from the highs given the market's shaky behavior the last few days. Overall, Q2 results are much better than Q1, and that shows in the stock's performance, at least as shown in the after-hours price movement. However, Amazon has never been a single quarter or single year story for me. Amazon's ecosystem is enough reason for me to continue believing in the company long-term. The ability to leverage multiple products and services across the entire organization is not something any company can build overnight. In fact, even Amazon has taken nearly 30 years to be the company that it is today
NASDAQ:AMZN
by moonypto
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