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NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto
ADANI GREEN, 45% SHORT TRADE CAUGHTADANI GREEN Trade Overview: Adani Green saw a sharp 45% drop on the 4-hour timeframe, perfectly captured by the Risological Swing Trading System . This short trade setup successfully achieved all profit targets, providing traders with a significant opportunity to capitalize on the bearish momentum. ADANI GREEN Key Levels: TP1: 1789.10 ✅ TP2: 1602.55 ✅ TP3: 1415.95 ✅ TP4: 1300.65 ✅ ADANI GREEN Technical Analysis: The entry was confirmed at 1904.45 as the Risological Red Lines indicated strong downward pressure. Adani Green continued to follow this bearish trend with no signs of reversal, allowing for precise execution of all targets. Traders who maintained their positions benefited immensely from this clear and systematic setup. The final breakdown past TP4 marked the culmination of the trade, further affirming the system's accuracy in identifying reliable entry and exit levels. The strategic placement of the stop-loss at 1997.70 ensured risk management was intact throughout the move.
NSE:ADANIGREENShort
by ProfitsNinja
MTARTECH Surges! Long Trade Hits All TargetsMTAR Technologies (15-Minute Timeframe): All Targets Hit! Trade Details: A textbook long trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe, perfectly executed using the Risological Trading Indicator . The trade delivered outstanding results with all targets achieved. Key Levels: Entry: 1583.90 Stop Loss (SL): 1570.45 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1600.50 TP2: 1627.35 TP3: 1654.25 TP4: 1670.85 Performance Analysis: The strong uptrend, confirmed by moving averages and consistent bullish momentum, aligned with the indicator’s signals. The precise entry point and systematic target levels ensured maximum profit extraction. Trade Outcome: Every profit target was hit, reflecting the robustness of the strategy. Traders capitalized on a swift and powerful move, making this trade a standout performer. Stay tuned for more opportunities like this with the Risological Indicator!
NSE:MTARTECHLong
by ProfitsNinja
JINDAL WORLDWIDE - Massive Intraday LONG TradeJINDAL WORLDWIDE (15-Minute Timeframe) - Massive Long Trade Secured Trade Setup: A powerful bullish breakout captured on the 15-minute timeframe using the Risological Trading Indicator. This trade highlights an impressive rally with all targets hit. Key Levels: Entry: 282.75 Stop Loss (SL): 278.30 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 288.20 TP2: 297.00 TP3: 305.85 TP4: 311.30 Technical Overview: The price action reflects strong bullish momentum, supported by upward-trending moving averages and consistent buying pressure. The Risological Indicator provided a timely entry signal, capitalizing on this rapid uptrend. Results: The trade successfully achieved all profit targets, delivering substantial gains for intraday traders. The well-defined stop-loss ensured controlled risk, allowing traders to maximize their returns. Insight: This trade underscores the effectiveness of the Risological Indicator in identifying high-probability entries and exits in dynamic market conditions. Keep monitoring for further setups!
NSE:JINDWORLDLong
by ProfitsNinja
ARIES AGRO: 50% Profit in Intraday TradeARIES AGRO (15-Minute Timeframe) - Intraday Sensation! Trade Overview: Aries Agro delivers a phenomenal intraday performance, achieving a 50% gain with 5x margin trading. All targets are marked with clear progression on the chart using the Risological trading indicator. Key Levels: Entry: 283.40 Stop Loss (SL): 281.75 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 285.35 TP2: 288.60 TP3: 291.80 TP4: 293.80 Technical Insight: The price rallied sharply, riding strong bullish momentum, with each target systematically achieved. The Risological Swing Trader Indicator confirmed the long trade setup early, providing a low-risk, high-reward opportunity. The upward slope of the moving averages added further confidence to the bullish scenario. Strategy Tip: Intraday traders using margin positions are advised to monitor momentum near TP4 for potential reversals or consolidation. Always ensure disciplined stop-loss placement. A true powerhouse intraday trade — Aries Agro showcases the magic of leveraged trading!
NSE:ARIESLong
by ProfitsNinja
PDS Ltd. Not looking pedestrial. PDS Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the trading of ready-to-wear apparel. The firm is also involved in the business of holding, owning, leasing or licensing real estate. It operates through the following segments: Sourcing, Manufacturing, and Others. PDS Ltd. CMP is 514.70. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 47.7), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash. Entry can be taken after closing above 527 Targets in the stock will be 539 and 570. The long-term target in the stock will be 590 and 603. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 469. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:PDSLLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
HDFC Bank Solid as it has been. HDFC Bank Ltd. engages in the provision of banking and financial services including commercial banking and treasury operations. It operates through the following segments: Treasury, Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Other Banking Business. HDFC Bank Ltd. CMP is 1705.1. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 18.8), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are Companies with High Debt, MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow. Entry can be taken after closing above 1717 Targets in the stock will be 1738, 1757 and 1773. The long-term target in the stock will be 1795 and 1818. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1627 or 1614 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Streaming Wars | Who’s Winning, Losing, and Sharing Passwords ?Netflix Is Laughing, Cable Is Crying, and Amazon Is Sneaking Up Highlights for Today - Trends and Market Share - Disney: Streaming Profits on the Rise - Comcast: Cable Restructuring Underway - Warner Bros : Box Office Challenges - Paramount: Streaming Growth Amidst Challenges In the Battle for Loyalty, One Fact Stands Out: Netflix vs the Rest 1. Trends and Market Share Platforms like YouTube Premium, Amazon Prime, and Apple TV+ do not report quarterly numbers. Additionally, Disney+ Hotstar is excluded due to its planned merger with Reliance in 2025. Streaming continues to replace traditional linear TV, benefiting all players. Nielsen reports streaming comprised 41% of US TV time in September 2024, a 3.5-point increase year-over-year, primarily at Cable’s expense. Key Trends to Watch -Password-Sharing Crackdown: Following Netflix’s success, Disney introduced paid sharing in the US in late September, with effects expected to emerge in Q4. Max is also gearing up for this initiative. -Amazon Prime’s Growing Presence:CEO Andy Jassy revealed that Prime Video attracts over 200 million global viewers monthly. Combining exclusive content, live sports, and e-commerce integration, Amazon’s ecosystem presents a credible challenge to Netflix. -YouTube’s Dominance in Living Rooms: YouTube accounts for over 25% of US streaming TV time (excluding YouTube TV) and continues to grow. Alphabet disclosed that YouTube’s ads and subscriptions brought in $50 billion in revenue over the last 12 months, surpassing Netflix’s $38 billion. -Subscriber Trends: Tentpole events, like the Olympics for Peacock or hit series like House of the Dragon for Max, drove sign-ups. However, retention remains a challenge for all but Netflix. 2. Disney: Streaming Profits Rise Disney’s fiscal year ends in September, with Q3 FY24 covering the June quarter. -Streaming Profits:Disney’s direct2consumer (DTC) segment, which includes Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+, posted its second consecutive profitable quarter, generating $321 million in operating income. Core Disney+ subscribers rose by 4.4 million, reaching 123 million, driven by ad-supported tiers. -Box Office Wins: Hits like Inside Out 2 and Deadpool & Wolverine powered $316 million in studio profits. Disney became the first studio to surpass $4 billion in global box office revenue in 2024. - Challenges in Parks: Parks and Experiences revenue dropped 6% to $1.7 billion, impacted by hurricanes, rising costs, and competition from the Paris Olympics. Domestic attendance held steady, while international parks struggled. - Linear TV Decline: Revenue fell 6%, with profits plunging 38% to $498 million as cord-cutting and reduced ad sales weighed heavily. Disney plans to integrate streaming and linear TV rather than divest assets. - Optimistic Outlook: Disney expects earnings growth in FY25 (high single digits) and double digits in FY26 and FY27. Blockbusters like Moana2 and Mufasa:The Lion King are anticipated to maintain momentum. Takeaway: Disney’s Q4 highlighted strides in its streaming turnaround, buoyed by box office wins. However, the decline in linear TV underscores the challenges of transitioning in a shifting media landscape. Strong content and a focus on profitability position Disney for success under Bob Iger’s leadership. 3.Comcast: Cable Restructuring -Olympics Drive Growth:The Paris Olympics boosted NBCUniversal’s revenue by 37%, generating $1.2 billion in advertising and adding 3 million Peacock subscribers, which now total 36 million. -Streaming Expansion: Peacock’s revenue rose 82% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, with losses narrowing to $436 million from $565 million last year. -Cable Struggles: Cord-cutting led to a loss of 365,000 cable TV subscribers, with video segment revenue down 6.2%. Comcast is exploring a spinoff of cable networks like Bravo and CNBC to prioritize growth areas. -Theme Parks Slow: Theme park revenue dipped 5% to $2.3 billion as domestic attendance normalized post-COVID. -Broadband Trends:Despite losing 87,000 broadband customers, revenue increased 3%, with higher average revenue per user. Takeaway:Comcast’s Q3 reflected both opportunities and challenges. While the Olympics showcased its media strength, declines in cable TV and theme parks persist. Streamlining through a cable spinoff could sharpen its focus, but sustaining growth in Peacock and broadband remains critical. 4.Warner Bruh : Box Office Challenges -Streaming Growth:Max gained 7.2 million subscribers, reaching 110.5 million globally, supported by international expansion and hits like *House of the Dragon*. Streaming revenue rose 9%, marking Warner’s first profit since 2022. -Box Office Struggles:Studio revenue declined 17%, with theatrical revenue falling 40% due to a weaker film slate (*Beetlejuice Beetlejuice* and *Twisters* compared to last year’s *Barbie*). Video game revenue dropped 31%. -Mixed Network Results:Network revenue grew 3% from the Olympics and *Shark Week*, but advertising revenue fell 13%. The $9.1 billion NBA impairment from Q2 continues to loom. -Debt and Cash Flow Issues:** Free cash flow dropped 69% to $632 million, with $41 billion in debt. Warner renewed its Charter Communications deal to bolster stability. -CEO’s Confidence:David Zaslav emphasized Max’s momentum, projecting $1 billion in streaming profits by 2025 and hinting at password-sharing monetization. Takeaway:Warner’s Q3 highlighted streaming success but underscored its dependence on Max as traditional film and TV segments falter. Balancing debt, declining cash flow, and expanding streaming profitability will be key to its stability. 5.Paramount: Streaming Growth -Streaming Success:Paramount+ gained 3.5 million subscribers, reaching 72 million, thanks to sports like the NFL and UEFA and shows like *Tulsa King*. The streaming unit achieved a $49 million operating income, its second consecutive profitable quarter. -TV and Film Challenges:TV revenue fell 6% due to lower ad sales and declining cable subscribers. The film division saw revenue plummet 34%, with theatrical revenue dropping 71%. -Merger Progress:Paramount’s merger with Skydance Media is on track for early 2025, following the exploration of 12 potential bidders. -Cost-Cutting:Paramount has completed 90% of its $500 million cost reduction initiative, resulting in layoffs and asset write-downs. -Strategic Shift:Paramount is seeking a streaming joint-venture partner to better compete with Netflix and Disney while managing cable TV’s decline. Takeaway: Paramount’s streaming gains are encouraging, but traditional TV and film struggles persist. The Skydance merger offers a potential transformation, though stabilizing legacy businesses remains a significant hurdle.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:CMCSAEducation
by moonypto
15
WAAREE ENERGIES - Bullish Momentum in ActionTrade Overview: The bullish setup is unfolding well with TP1 already achieved at 2955.75. Price action is showing strong signs of continuation toward the remaining targets. Key Levels: Entry: 2881.85 Stop Loss (SL): 2822.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 3075.35 TP3: 3194.90 TP4: 3268.80 Technical Insight: The price is trending above the 15-minute moving averages, with a GREEN signal from the Risological Indicator, confirming bullish intent. The breakout beyond TP1 suggests sustained upward pressure. Traders should watch for any resistance near TP2. Strategy Tip: Trail stop loss to lock in profits as the price advances. A pullback toward the entry zone could offer an additional opportunity to strengthen long positions. Stay tuned for further target hits as Waaree Energies powers through!
WLong
by ProfitsNinja
POLICYBAZAAR (POLICYBZR) Trade UpdateTrade Overview: A strong bullish momentum is evident, with TP1 already achieved at 1709.20. The remaining targets are well within reach, given the current trend. Key Levels: Entry: 1677.05 Stop Loss (SL): 1651.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 1761.20 TP3: 1813.20 TP4: 1845.30 Technical Insight: The price is holding above the critical support levels, with the GREEN trend line from the Risological Indicator signaling continued upward movement. Traders are advised to trail the stop loss to lock in profits as the trade progresses. Keep monitoring for trend continuity!
NSE:POLICYBZRLong
by ProfitsNinja
JIOFIN: Intraday and Swing Trading Opportunities Timeframe: 15-Minute for Intraday & Multi-Day for Swing Traders. Intraday Outlook: For aggressive traders, the Risological Indicator signals a confirmed bullish move with GREEN lines. If the GREEN indicator flips to RED, it’s time to book profits and exit the trade. Swing Trade Outlook: Using the Risological Swing Trader, TP (Take Profit) targets are clearly marked: TP1: 319.85 TP2: 333.35 TP3: 346.85 TP4: 355.20 Entry: 311.50 Stop Loss (SL): 304.75 This setup highlights the versatility of the Risological Indicator for both quick intraday decisions and strategic swing trades!
NSE:JIOFINLong
by ProfitsNinja
TRENT: Short Trade ThrivesThe 4-hour chart of TRENT showcases a well-executed short trade setup using the Risological swing trader . With TP1 and TP2 targets already hit, the momentum hints at further downside movement towards TP3 and TP4. Trade Highlights: Entry Price: ₹7605.35 Stop Loss: ₹7975.20 Targets: TP1: ₹7148.25 ✅ TP2: ₹6408.65 ✅ TP3: ₹5669.00 (potential) 🔄 TP4: ₹5211.90 (final target) 🔄 Technical Breakdown: Risological trend line: A steeply falling Risological red trend line validates a persistent bearish trend. Candlestick Formation: Consistent lower highs signal sustained seller dominance. Volume Dynamics: Elevated volumes on red candles affirm selling pressure. Strategic Recommendations: Current Traders: Trail stop loss to secure profits and ride the trend toward TP3 and TP4. Potential Entries: Watch for minor pullbacks toward TP2 for fresh short positions. TRENT’s bearish momentum is far from over. Will TP3 and TP4 seal the deal? Stay tuned! 📉
NSE:TRENTShort
by ProfitsNinja
SUZLON: 27% Gains in 42 Days!SUZLON ENERGY Stock - Short Trade Trade Summary: The 4-hour chart of Suzlon Energy showcases a textbook short trade setup, with Targets 1, 2, and 3 already achieved using the Risological swing trading indicator. This trade has delivered a remarkable 27% profit in just 42 days since the entry. Target 4 is now firmly in sight, with strong bearish momentum supporting the trend. Trade Highlights: Entry Price: ₹76.90 Stop Loss: ₹81.47 (strategic risk placement) Profit Targets : TP1: ₹71.26 ✅ TP2: ₹62.12 ✅ TP3: ₹52.98 ✅ TP4: ₹47.33 (nearing completion) Analysis: Bearish Momentum: The price remains under the influence of a downsloping Risological Swing Trader indicator , confirming sustained selling pressure. Steady Decline: The stock has consistently formed lower highs and lower lows, with the red EMA line reinforcing the downtrend. Next Steps: For those already in the trade, tighten trailing stops to safeguard profits while giving the trade room to hit TP4. For new entrants, consider waiting for a retracement before entering to manage risk effectively. Patience is key—TP4 is well within reach! 🧘‍♂️📉
NSE:SUZLONShort
by ProfitsNinja
Nuvama wealth Management looking upwards Nuvama Wealth Management Ltd. is a stock broking company, which engages in conducting trading and broking activities for institutional as well as retail clients. It operates through the following segments: Capital Markets, Wealth Management, and Holding Company Activities. The Capital Markets segment includes institutional broking business, merchant banking business, and advisory. The Wealth Management segment distributes financial products and investment advisory. Nuvama Wealth Management Ltd. CMP is 6727.60. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 28.8), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, Good quarterly growth in the recent results, Strong Annual EPS Growth and Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 8 Quarters. Entry can be taken after closing above 6742 Targets in the stock will be 6886 and 7021. The long-term target in the stock will be 7249 and 7484. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 5446. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NUVAMALong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Redington looking red hot. Redington Ltd. provision of machinery, equipment and supplies. It includes computers, computer peripheral equipment, software, electronic, and telecommunications equipment and parts. It operates through the India, and Overseas segments. Redington Ltd. CMP is 193.37. The Negative aspects of the company are MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 12.5), Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield, High Volume, High Gain and Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter. Entry can be taken after closing above 199 Targets in the stock will be 204, 212 and 220. The long-term target in the stock will be 225 and 236. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 180 or 169. depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:REDINGTONLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
The Big Exit | How One Auditor Walked Away from Super MicroThe Governance Shortfall: Inside Super Micro’s Auditor Crisis On Wednesday, shares of the high performance server and storage solutions provider faced renewed selling pressure after the unexpected resignation of its audit firm, Ernst & Young LLP(EY) In July 2024, EY alerted the Audit Committee about several concerns related to governance, transparency, internal controls, and the risk of delayed filing of the company's annual report. In response, the Board formed an independent Special Committee to investigate these matters, engaging Cooley LLP and forensic accounting firm Secretariat Advisors, LLC. Although EY and the Board received preliminary updates on the investigation, the final conclusions have not yet been shared. The ongoing review raised doubts for EY regarding the company’s adherence to the COSO Framework principles for internal controls. EY questioned the company’s commitment to integrity, the independence of the Audit Committee, and the reliability of management’s and the Audit Committee's representations. In its resignation letter, EY expressed its inability to rely on these representations or be associated with the company's financial statements, citing legal and professional obligations. Despite the developments, Super Micro has indicated no expected changes to previously issued financial statements. The company plans to provide a Q1/FY2025 business update next week. However, it’s surprising that management didn’t include preliminary Q1 results in Wednesday's announcement, which could have mitigated the negative impact on its stock. Super Micro is nearing a Nasdaq deadline to either regain compliance with listing requirements or submit a plan. With the auditor’s unexpected departure, it may be difficult for the company to present a viable plan, raising the risk of a near-term delisting. This resignation comes at a critical time for Super Micro, as its rapid growth requires substantial working capital. Based on management’s projections, FY2025 cash needs could reach up to $3 billion, likely necessitating additional capital early next year. However, raising funds without audited financials could be challenging, potentially forcing Super Micro to relinquish market share to competitors like Dell Technologies or Hewlett Packard Enterprise. In my view, EY’s departure increases the likelihood of a prolonged accounting review, which could hinder Super Micro’s ability to secure funding for anticipated growth. Therefore, it is crucial for the company to report strong preliminary Q1/FY2025 results and present a positive outlook next week. Super Micro Computer’s troubles continue, as its auditor resigned due to concerns over management’s integrity and the Audit Committee's independence. This situation makes it unlikely for the company to achieve compliance with Nasdaq requirements soon, raising the potential for a near-term delisting. With a need to re-enter the capital markets in early 2025, audited financials remain essential. A failure to secure funding could result in significant market share loss to major competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Given these challenges, the increased risk of prolonged financial review, and a likely near-term delisting, I am reaffirming my "Sell" rating on Super Micro Computer's common shares.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by moonypto
2
Reliance near major support zone. Reliance is a large cap company with a market cap of Rs.17,15,224 Crores. CMP of the stock is Rs.1268 with and EPS of Rs.50.2. PE of the company is 25.2. Ten year PE is 21.2. PE in July was 30.9 which has corrected to 25.2 now. Reliance Industries is a fundamentally strong stock. The company covers following sectors. 1) Energy a) Oil and Gas Exploration & Production b) Refining & Marketing c) New Energy & New Materials (Production of Green energy 2) Petrochemicals a) Textiles b) Polymers c) Polyesters d) Fibre Intermediates e) Aromatics f) Elastomers g) Reliance Composites Solutions 3) Retail a) JioMart b) Smart Bazaar, c) Reliance Digital d) Just Dial 4) Jio a) Digital Services b) Telecom 5) Media and Entertainment a) Jio Cinema b) via com18 c) Network 18 d) Jio Studios Thus Reliance is a company with vivid portals of revenue generation and investing in one company called Reliance empowers you into investment in spectrum of companies with multiple revenue sources. Investing in Reliance is like investing in Mutual fund. The Weekly Chart (which we use for gaining long term perspective of a company) of Reliance indicates it is near a support zone. Immediate support being at 1254. 200 Weeks EMA of the stock or the Father line support is at 1176. This indicates that the stock might be near the bottom if it has not formed the bottom already. On the upper side when Reliance starts to move upwards the resistances will be at 1331 and 1396. 1396 being major Mother line resistance of 50 Weeks EMA. Above 1396 weekly closing Reliance will be very bullish again and can regain the levels of 1532 and 1600+ levels in 6 to 12 month. Channel top seems to be in the range of 1753 to 1980 range depending on the future results and future performances of various revenue streams. Bollinger band suggests a bounce in short to medium term in the stock. Looking at the index and weightage of Reliance in the index it will be imperative for Reliance to bounce for index to bounce in a most probable scenario. The waiting period can be 6 to 12 months as the stock is not very strong on technicals. however it is not below 200 Weeks EMA either. Overall Reliance is a large cap stock that has created immense wealth over the years and I do not see any reason currently why it can continue to perform and create wealth for years to come. Outlook for the company in the year 2025 specially 3rd Quarter onwards looks very upbeat once the Green Energy production and revenue strats to trickle in. There is also a possibility of listing of JIO Digital and Telecom as a separate company in they year 2025. Listing of Reliance Retail as a company will be next. (Post Jio telecom listing). The potential of value unlocking in the stock remains immense in our opinion. To know more about Techno-Funda investing, Mother Father and small child theory, Parallel channel you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. My book is now also available on Google Play books. Do read it. Have a look at the reviews which say that the book is a masterpiece and can be considered as a hand book for investing in equities. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:RELIANCE
by Happy_Candles_Investment
ALB & GPN's Reversal Breakout Could Spark Significant GainsAlbemarle Corporation NYSE:ALB ● On the monthly chart, the stock is bouncing back from a long-standing trendline support that has held firm over the years. ● The daily chart reveals the emergence of an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern following a significant decline. ● With a recent breakout, the stock appears poised for a potential trend reversal. ● Traders should keep a close eye on this stock for potential buying opportunities. Global Payments NYSE:GPN ● The stock has formed a Double Bottom pattern after a brief period of consolidation. ● Recently, the price broke out from this formation and has been maintaining its position above the breakout point. ● The price movement suggests a short-term buying opportunity, as the resistance level is quite distant from the current price.
NYSE:ALBLong
by NaranjCapital
1
Gravita looks Great for a long run. Gravita India Ltd. engages in the manufacture of lead metals by the process of smelting and recycling followed by refining, alloying and manufacture of lead oxide. The firm also trades lead scrap, ore, concentrates, battery scrap and allied Lead products globally. It operates through the following segments: Lead, Aluminium, Turn Key Solution, and Others. Gravita India Ltd. CMP is 2243.25. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 3 quarters and Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 57.7), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 2337 Targets in the stock will be 2413 and 2593. The long-term target in the stock will be 2688. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1963 or 1770 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:GRAVITALong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Meta's Q3 Financial Results | Growth and the Future of AI & AR Meta's Q3 Earnings: AI Investments Shape the Future of Engagement and Monetization Last week, Meta shared its Q3 earnings, revealing a familiar trend: while the results were strong, rising AI investments cast a shadow. With over 3.2 billion daily users across Meta’s apps, the company alongside Google and YouTube is in a prime position to bring AI into the mainstream. However, this shift could potentially disrupt the creator economy as we know it So, how will this affect the future of Meta’s apps? Did you know META is 222% up since our first analysis ? Let’s break down the quarter and explore the latest updates Today’s Highlights - Overview of Meta Q3 FY24 - Recent business highlights - Key quotes from the earnings call - The potential decline of the creator economy 1. Meta Q3 FY24 Overview Meta operates within two main segments FoA: Family of Apps (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp) RL: Reality Labs (virtual reality hardware and software) Daily Active People in FoA grew by 5% year over year, reaching 3.29 billion. However, user growth has slowed, with Meta adding 20 million daily users in Q3 2024 down from 50 million earlier in 2024. Meta’s reach now extends to over half of the global population aged 15 to 80, meaning future growth will hinge more on engagement and ad efficiency than adding new users. Key Insights from Zuckerberg: -Facebook: Positive engagement trends among Gen Z in the U.S. -Instagram: Sustains “strong” growth globally. -WhatsApp: Now surpasses 2 billion calls daily. -Meta AI: 500 million monthly active users. -Threads: 275 million monthly active users, up from 200 million in Q2, with notable growth in regions like the U.S., Taiwan, and Japan (currently not monetized and unlikely to drive significant revenue by 2025). Advertising Performance: - Ad impressions grew 7% year-over-year (compared to 10% in Q2). - Average ad price increased by 11% year-over-year (10% in Q2). - Average revenue per user grew by 12% year-over-year, reaching $12.29 (compared to Snap at $3.10 and Reddit at $3.58). - Despite some critics suggesting potential inflation due to bot activity, ARPU growth points to real ad value; fake users can’t generate revenue. Financials - Revenue rose 19% year-over-year to $40.6 billion. - FoA saw a 19% increase, reaching $40.3 billion. - RL grew by 29% to $0.3 billion. - Gross margin was 82% (-1pp Y/Y, +1pp Q/Q). - Operating margin stood at 43% (+2pp Y/Y, +5pp Q/Q). - FoA operating profit was $21.8 billion (54% margin, +2pp Y/Y). - RL reported an operating loss of $4.4 billion (down slightly from $4.5 billion in Q2). - EPS rose by 37% year-over-year to $6.03. Cash Flow - Operating cash flow was $24.7 billion (61% margin, +1pp Y/Y). - Free cash flow was $15.5 billion (38% margin, -2pp Y/Y). Balance Sheet - Cash and marketable securities totaled $71 billion - Long-term debt was $29 billion Guidance: - Q4 FY24 revenue is forecasted at $46.5 billion in the mid-range - FY24 expenses estimated at $96-$98 billion (previously $96-$99 billion) - FY24 Capex is expected to be $38-40 billion (previously $37-$40 billion) Summary Analysis Revenue growth was 20% in constant currency (compared to 23% in Q2), with ad revenue growth driven by increased ad prices. Strong demand for ads continued, largely due to higher ad performance, especially in online commerce, healthcare, and entertainment. Geographically, North America and Europe led growth at 21%, while Asia slowed from 28% to 15%. Reality Labs’ revenue rose 29%, mainly from hardware sales, though the division continues to post significant losses. As shown in the visuals, FoA operating profit reached an all-time high, while RL’s losses remain around $4 billion quarterly. Headcount increased by 9% year-over-year to 72,404, signaling a return to hiring, particularly in priority areas such as monetization, infrastructure, Reality Labs, and generative AI. Stock buybacks amounted to nearly $9 billion in Q3, up from $6 billion in Q2, though lower than the $15 billion in Q1. Management’s confidence in Meta’s stock remains strong, with an additional $1.3 billion paid in dividends. Capital expenditures climbed by 36% to $9.2 billion compared to $8.5 billion in Q2, with guidance staying on track. Management anticipates “significant acceleration in infrastructure expenses” for 2025, which will affect both the cost of revenue and R&D expenses. Despite heavy AI spending, Meta remains highly profitable, generating nearly $52 billion in free cash flow over the past 12 months—just shy of Alphabet’s $56 billion over the same period. Q4 FY24 revenue guidance points to deceleration, with mid-range growth forecasted at 16%. Let’s examine Meta’s investments and market position further. 2. Recent Business Highlights Meta Orion Meta's Orion AR glasses mark an ambitious step towards a future beyond smartphones, showcasing the potential of augmented reality (AR): -Prototype Status: Orion is a high-tech AR prototype, equipped with advanced features, but high production costs keep it out of reach for consumers. -Advanced AR Display: Using Micro LED projectors and silicon carbide lenses, Orion offers a broad field of view with sharper visuals than most current AR devices. -Interactive AI Integration: With Meta's generative AI, Orion enables users to interact with virtual elements, identify real-world objects, and create immediate solutions, such as recipes. -Complex Hardware: Orion relies on a neural wristband for control and a wireless compute puck, creating a multi-part system. -High Cost & Limited Production: With a price tag estimated at $10,000, Orion isn’t ready for mass production. Meta has produced around 1,000 units for demonstrations and internal testing. - Future Vision: Meta aims to release a consumer-friendly AR device within a few years, working toward a slimmer, more affordable model that could rival smartphone prices. Orion reflects Meta's goal to lead the next wave of computing, though significant technological and cost hurdles remain. Timing and Competitive Landscape**: Zuckerberg’s reveal of Orion may aim to justify Reality Labs' annual $16-20 billion operating loss to shareholders and gather feedback. Meanwhile, Apple has initiated its “Atlas” project to explore the smart glasses market, indicating potential plans to shift focus from the high-end $3,500 Vision Pro VR headset. How AI Is Already Impacting Meta Beyond future-oriented projects like Orion, Meta’s AI advancements are actively enhancing its core business in two strategic areas: engagement and monetization. -Engagement: Meta's recommendation engine uses AI to tailor feeds with highly relevant video content, keeping users engaged. AI-driven prediction systems further increase app usage by showing content that maximizes interaction. -Monetization: AI boosts ad efficiency across the entire lifecycle—from creation to performance tracking. Generative AI assists with ad copy, images, and video, while advanced models analyze user behavior to serve targeted ads, improving conversion rates incrementally. -Meta AI Studio: This platform allows developers to create, train, and deploy custom AI models within Meta’s ecosystem. By enabling personalized assistants, interactive AI, and AR applications, Meta seeks to drive new consumer apps and maximize ad potential across its platforms. Market Share Meta’s advertising revenue hit $39.9 billion in Q3, reaching 81% of Google’s search revenue, up from 76% last year. Meta’s ad revenue is expanding at the same rate as Amazon’s, despite Meta’s larger base, signaling regained market share and effective adaptation to the post-ATT environment. 3. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call CEO Mark Zuckerberg - On AI and the Family of Apps: “Improvements to our AI-driven feed and video recommendations have led to an 8% increase in time spent on Facebook and a 6% increase on Instagram this year alone. More than a million advertisers used our GenAI tools to create over 15 million ads last month, and we estimate businesses using Image Generation are seeing a 7% conversion lift.” -On Llama 4: “We're training the Llama 4 models on a cluster larger than 100,000 H100s, more extensive than anything reported elsewhere.” -On RayBan Meta Glasses: “Glasses are the ideal AI form factor as they let your AI see, hear, and communicate with you. Demand remains strong, with the new clear edition selling out quickly.” -On Meta AI: “We’re on track for Meta AI to become the world’s most used AI assistant by year-end, with popular uses including information gathering, task assistance, and content exploration.” CFO Susan Li -On Recommendations: “Inspired by scaling laws observed in large language models, we’ve developed new ranking architectures for Facebook video that enhance relevance and increase watch time” -On Capital Allocation: “We’re optimistic about our opportunities and believe that investing now in infrastructure and talent will accelerate progress and returns.” 4. The Potential Decline of the Creator Economy Facebook and Instagram have evolved from social networks to content networks, benefiting creators with wide-reaching platforms. However, this era may be coming to a close. -AI-Generated Content: Zuckerberg shared plans to introduce AI-generated and AI-summarized content on Facebook, Instagram, and potentially Threads, gradually shifting away from creator-generated content as the primary engagement driver. -Impact on Creators: As AI learns to identify and generate engaging content, creators could struggle to compete, with algorithms delivering exactly what audiences want. Over time, creators may face a landscape where AI determines the most engaging posts, relegating them to the sidelines in a world increasingly powered by self-generating content. -Why It Matters: Platforms like YouTube share 55% of ad revenue with creators, but Meta does not, meaning that an AI-driven shift isn’t primarily about cost-cutting. Instead, it allows for more integrated ad placements within algorithmic feeds, potentially boosting impressions and conversions. Although AI generated feeds may sound dystopian, current high engagement accounts already use tactics to maximize engagement, meaning the shift to AI might go largely unnoticed by audiences.
NASDAQ:META
by moonypto
2
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating. From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value. At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach. AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore. Performance In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers. Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions. The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year. Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform. Valuation Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective. In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth. Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably. Risks Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet. Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction Conclusion Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
NASDAQ:APPLong
by moonypto
2