SOFI Ready to Break Out to $30+ ?I’ve been watching this move closely, and right now, we’re heading toward $16.49—a level that could decide the next big move. If we break through $16.98, there’s a real shot at pushing toward $18.33 and beyond, with a longer-term target of $30+.
But here’s the flip side: if we reject at $16.49, we could see a pullback to $15.50, maybe even $14.50 if buyers don’t step in. That $1 range is where things could get really interesting.
I know a lot of you are in SOFI or watching it closely. What’s your plan? Are you holding, adding, or waiting for a dip?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Stockstowatch
GLOBAL HEALTH LTD - Symmetrical Triangle BreakoutThis is still an open candle and need to wait till this candle closes in GREEN on Friday end of the day. If the candle is green and is clearly breaking out from the triangle on Friday, it is a Bullish sign.
On the daily time frame, the daily candle has closed in GREEN, which is a good sign.
The Risological indicators confirm the bullish movement as seen below.
ENTRY:
The stock can be purchased on the daily time frame as the Risological indicators gave the confirmation
EXIT:
Hold the BUY position till the Risological indicator gives a reversal
Exit on first RED candle close on the daily time frame.
OR, Exit if the Risological options trading indicator turns into RED.
Hope this helps!
Cheers!
__All info = educational only__
Innotek: the company stay optimistic abt its long-term prospectsInnoTek
InnoTek, trading at \$0.43, has been navigating a transformative journey since selling its core disk-drive components business over 15 years ago. The precision components manufacturer pivoted to grow its small stamping business and has since diversified into promising sectors such as electric vehicles (EVs) and graphics processing unit (GPU) servers, which are riding the artificial intelligence (AI) wave. These efforts are now bearing fruit, with revenue for the first half of 2024 rising 30.9% year-on-year to S\$121.6 million.
The diversification strategy has been driven by growth in GPU server-related projects for AI applications, which now account for about 27% of InnoTek’s revenue, up from 14% a year earlier. The automotive segment remains its largest contributor, accounting for 33% of revenue, bolstered by the strong EV market in China. Other segments, including office automation, TVs and displays, also contribute significantly to its topline.
However, profitability has taken a hit, with net profit for H1 2024 slipping 8.3% to S\$3.2 million. This was attributed to extraordinary costs linked to shifting business strategies and geopolitical tensions driving the “China+1” manufacturing strategy. InnoTek has been strategically expanding its footprint in ASEAN countries, with facilities in Thailand and Vietnam, and plans to further invest in Malaysia due to its favorable infrastructure and skilled workforce.
Despite short-term challenges, the company remains optimistic about its long-term prospects. With a market capitalization of \$100 million, InnoTek trades at 0.6x its book value of 76 cents. Its strong balance sheet, featuring net cash of \$56 million, supports a sustainable dividend payout of 2 cents per share, translating to a yield of 4.6%. Analysts recommend an “Accumulate on Weakness” strategy, citing the company’s strong positioning for longer-term growth.
Meta's Q3 Financial Results | Growth and the Future of AI & AR Meta's Q3 Earnings: AI Investments Shape the Future of Engagement and Monetization
Last week, Meta shared its Q3 earnings, revealing a familiar trend: while the results were strong, rising AI investments cast a shadow. With over 3.2 billion daily users across Meta’s apps, the company alongside Google and YouTube is in a prime position to bring AI into the mainstream. However, this shift could potentially disrupt the creator economy as we know it
So, how will this affect the future of Meta’s apps?
Did you know META is 222% up since our first analysis ?
Let’s break down the quarter and explore the latest updates
Today’s Highlights
- Overview of Meta Q3 FY24
- Recent business highlights
- Key quotes from the earnings call
- The potential decline of the creator economy
1. Meta Q3 FY24 Overview
Meta operates within two main segments
FoA: Family of Apps (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp)
RL: Reality Labs (virtual reality hardware and software)
Daily Active People in FoA grew by 5% year over year, reaching 3.29 billion. However, user growth has slowed, with Meta adding 20 million daily users in Q3 2024 down from 50 million earlier in 2024.
Meta’s reach now extends to over half of the global population aged 15 to 80, meaning future growth will hinge more on engagement and ad efficiency than adding new users.
Key Insights from Zuckerberg:
-Facebook: Positive engagement trends among Gen Z in the U.S.
-Instagram: Sustains “strong” growth globally.
-WhatsApp: Now surpasses 2 billion calls daily.
-Meta AI: 500 million monthly active users.
-Threads: 275 million monthly active users, up from 200 million in Q2, with notable growth in regions like the U.S., Taiwan, and Japan (currently not monetized and unlikely to drive significant revenue by 2025).
Advertising Performance:
- Ad impressions grew 7% year-over-year (compared to 10% in Q2).
- Average ad price increased by 11% year-over-year (10% in Q2).
- Average revenue per user grew by 12% year-over-year, reaching $12.29 (compared to Snap at $3.10 and Reddit at $3.58).
- Despite some critics suggesting potential inflation due to bot activity, ARPU growth points to real ad value; fake users can’t generate revenue.
Financials
- Revenue rose 19% year-over-year to $40.6 billion.
- FoA saw a 19% increase, reaching $40.3 billion.
- RL grew by 29% to $0.3 billion.
- Gross margin was 82% (-1pp Y/Y, +1pp Q/Q).
- Operating margin stood at 43% (+2pp Y/Y, +5pp Q/Q).
- FoA operating profit was $21.8 billion (54% margin, +2pp Y/Y).
- RL reported an operating loss of $4.4 billion (down slightly from $4.5 billion in Q2).
- EPS rose by 37% year-over-year to $6.03.
Cash Flow
- Operating cash flow was $24.7 billion (61% margin, +1pp Y/Y).
- Free cash flow was $15.5 billion (38% margin, -2pp Y/Y).
Balance Sheet
- Cash and marketable securities totaled $71 billion
- Long-term debt was $29 billion
Guidance:
- Q4 FY24 revenue is forecasted at $46.5 billion in the mid-range
- FY24 expenses estimated at $96-$98 billion (previously $96-$99 billion)
- FY24 Capex is expected to be $38-40 billion (previously $37-$40 billion)
Summary Analysis
Revenue growth was 20% in constant currency (compared to 23% in Q2), with ad revenue growth driven by increased ad prices. Strong demand for ads continued, largely due to higher ad performance, especially in online commerce, healthcare, and entertainment. Geographically, North America and Europe led growth at 21%, while Asia slowed from 28% to 15%.
Reality Labs’ revenue rose 29%, mainly from hardware sales, though the division continues to post significant losses. As shown in the visuals, FoA operating profit reached an all-time high, while RL’s losses remain around $4 billion quarterly.
Headcount increased by 9% year-over-year to 72,404, signaling a return to hiring, particularly in priority areas such as monetization, infrastructure, Reality Labs, and generative AI.
Stock buybacks amounted to nearly $9 billion in Q3, up from $6 billion in Q2, though lower than the $15 billion in Q1. Management’s confidence in Meta’s stock remains strong, with an additional $1.3 billion paid in dividends.
Capital expenditures climbed by 36% to $9.2 billion compared to $8.5 billion in Q2, with guidance staying on track. Management anticipates “significant acceleration in infrastructure expenses” for 2025, which will affect both the cost of revenue and R&D expenses.
Despite heavy AI spending, Meta remains highly profitable, generating nearly $52 billion in free cash flow over the past 12 months—just shy of Alphabet’s $56 billion over the same period.
Q4 FY24 revenue guidance points to deceleration, with mid-range growth forecasted at 16%.
Let’s examine Meta’s investments and market position further.
2. Recent Business Highlights
Meta Orion
Meta's Orion AR glasses mark an ambitious step towards a future beyond smartphones, showcasing the potential of augmented reality (AR):
-Prototype Status: Orion is a high-tech AR prototype, equipped with advanced features, but high production costs keep it out of reach for consumers.
-Advanced AR Display: Using Micro LED projectors and silicon carbide lenses, Orion offers a broad field of view with sharper visuals than most current AR devices.
-Interactive AI Integration: With Meta's generative AI, Orion enables users to interact with virtual elements, identify real-world objects, and create immediate solutions, such as recipes.
-Complex Hardware: Orion relies on a neural wristband for control and a wireless compute puck, creating a multi-part system.
-High Cost & Limited Production: With a price tag estimated at $10,000, Orion isn’t ready for mass production. Meta has produced around 1,000 units for demonstrations and internal testing.
- Future Vision: Meta aims to release a consumer-friendly AR device within a few years, working toward a slimmer, more affordable model that could rival smartphone prices.
Orion reflects Meta's goal to lead the next wave of computing, though significant technological and cost hurdles remain.
Timing and Competitive Landscape**: Zuckerberg’s reveal of Orion may aim to justify Reality Labs' annual $16-20 billion operating loss to shareholders and gather feedback. Meanwhile, Apple has initiated its “Atlas” project to explore the smart glasses market, indicating potential plans to shift focus from the high-end $3,500 Vision Pro VR headset.
How AI Is Already Impacting Meta
Beyond future-oriented projects like Orion, Meta’s AI advancements are actively enhancing its core business in two strategic areas: engagement and monetization.
-Engagement: Meta's recommendation engine uses AI to tailor feeds with highly relevant video content, keeping users engaged. AI-driven prediction systems further increase app usage by showing content that maximizes interaction.
-Monetization: AI boosts ad efficiency across the entire lifecycle—from creation to performance tracking. Generative AI assists with ad copy, images, and video, while advanced models analyze user behavior to serve targeted ads, improving conversion rates incrementally.
-Meta AI Studio: This platform allows developers to create, train, and deploy custom AI models within Meta’s ecosystem. By enabling personalized assistants, interactive AI, and AR applications, Meta seeks to drive new consumer apps and maximize ad potential across its platforms.
Market Share
Meta’s advertising revenue hit $39.9 billion in Q3, reaching 81% of Google’s search revenue, up from 76% last year. Meta’s ad revenue is expanding at the same rate as Amazon’s, despite Meta’s larger base, signaling regained market share and effective adaptation to the post-ATT environment.
3. Key Quotes from the Earnings Call
CEO Mark Zuckerberg
- On AI and the Family of Apps: “Improvements to our AI-driven feed and video recommendations have led to an 8% increase in time spent on Facebook and a 6% increase on Instagram this year alone. More than a million advertisers used our GenAI tools to create over 15 million ads last month, and we estimate businesses using Image Generation are seeing a 7% conversion lift.”
-On Llama 4: “We're training the Llama 4 models on a cluster larger than 100,000 H100s, more extensive than anything reported elsewhere.”
-On RayBan Meta Glasses: “Glasses are the ideal AI form factor as they let your AI see, hear, and communicate with you. Demand remains strong, with the new clear edition selling out quickly.”
-On Meta AI: “We’re on track for Meta AI to become the world’s most used AI assistant by year-end, with popular uses including information gathering, task assistance, and content exploration.”
CFO Susan Li
-On Recommendations: “Inspired by scaling laws observed in large language models, we’ve developed new ranking architectures for Facebook video that enhance relevance and increase watch time”
-On Capital Allocation: “We’re optimistic about our opportunities and believe that investing now in infrastructure and talent will accelerate progress and returns.”
4. The Potential Decline of the Creator Economy
Facebook and Instagram have evolved from social networks to content networks, benefiting creators with wide-reaching platforms. However, this era may be coming to a close.
-AI-Generated Content: Zuckerberg shared plans to introduce AI-generated and AI-summarized content on Facebook, Instagram, and potentially Threads, gradually shifting away from creator-generated content as the primary engagement driver.
-Impact on Creators: As AI learns to identify and generate engaging content, creators could struggle to compete, with algorithms delivering exactly what audiences want. Over time, creators may face a landscape where AI determines the most engaging posts, relegating them to the sidelines in a world increasingly powered by self-generating content.
-Why It Matters: Platforms like YouTube share 55% of ad revenue with creators, but Meta does not, meaning that an AI-driven shift isn’t primarily about cost-cutting. Instead, it allows for more integrated ad placements within algorithmic feeds, potentially boosting impressions and conversions.
Although AI generated feeds may sound dystopian, current high engagement accounts already use tactics to maximize engagement, meaning the shift to AI might go largely unnoticed by audiences.
MicroStrategy’s Make or Break MomentThe chart shows a breakdown from a descending wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support turned resistance. A short position has been placed, anticipating further downside. The price is currently testing the retest zone, and rejection from this level could confirm continuation to the downside.
The stop-loss is strategically placed above 455.10, beyond a key resistance level, to minimize risk in case of a failed breakdown. The take-profit target is set near 224.56, aligning with a significant demand zone. The current price of 335.94 indicates minor volatility, but the structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone.
If the breakdown holds, the next move could accelerate towards lower levels, making this a crucial moment for price confirmation. A reclaim of the resistance zone could invalidate the setup and trigger a short squeeze. The market’s reaction at this level will determine the next directional move.
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
_______________
NASDAQ:NVDA
Micron (MU) Stock Update: Correction or Collapse?Morning Trading Family
Here's what's up with Micron (MU): If it bounces back at 92, cool. But if it keeps going down, it might hit 89-90 before it stops. If it drops past that, we might see it go to 84 or even 80. This could be a big moment for MU, so keep watching!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Micron's Next Move: Will $102 Trigger a Drop to $98?Micron (MU) is showing a head and shoulders pattern, and it’s at a critical level. If it breaks below $102, I think we could see it drop to $99.50 or even $98.
This could be a big move, so keep an eye on it!
If this helps, I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment, like, or share. Let’s trade smarter and live better! 💡
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Oracle Soars on USA AI Deal – Is $238 Next?Good morning, trading family!
Here’s what I’m seeing for Oracle (ORCL) right now:
If it can break above $191, we might see it push up to $199–$200. If it clears that, $230–$238 could be the next big move, especially with all the excitement around its role in the $100B U.S. AI project.
But let’s stay cautious—if it drops, $179 could be the next level to watch, and if that doesn’t hold, $166 might be in play.
If this analysis helped you, drop a comment below! A like, boost, or share would mean the world and help others join the conversation. Let’s crush it this week!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
From Market Underdog to Tech Titan| AppLovin’s Explosive Growth AppLovin: Making Ads Great Again, One Algorithm at a Time
AppLovin Corp, a prominent software company valued at $57 billion, offers an advanced mobile marketing platform. Over the past year, its stock price has surged by an impressive 500%, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 39% increase. The company’s financial growth is equally remarkable, with a year over year revenue boost of 40%, a 188% jump in operating profits, and a 300% surge in net income in its latest quarterly report
With 40% of the company held by insiders and a shareholder friendly stance that includes share buybacks, AppLovin presents a compelling investment opportunity. Additionally, its valuation remains competitive relative to other software companies, supporting my "buy" rating.
From Ad Nerds to Tech Lords, AppLovin’s Secret to Winning Over Wall Street
AppLovin operates a comprehensive software platform that helps clients achieve crucial KPIs, such as revenue growth and business expansion. Leveraging AI, its software platform stands out as a powerful tool for advertisers, providing capabilities like automated marketing, customer engagement, and monetization. It’s built to optimize targeted content delivery to the most suitable audience, supported by analytics and monetization features that drive maximum value.
At the core of AppLovin’s technology is AXON, an AI engine that powers AppDiscovery. This feature matches advertiser demand with publishing opportunities through a sophisticated real-time auction algorithm, shifting from traditional waterfall systems to an intelligent, programmatic approach.
AppLovin has positioned itself as a leader in the future of advertising, driven by its cutting-edge AI capabilities. I believe there’s immense growth potential here that the company is just beginning to explore.
Performance
In the third quarter, AppLovin reported a 39% year-over-year revenue increase, moving from $864 million to $1.2 billion. This marks its highest-ever quarterly revenue and extends its streak of sequential topline gains to seven quarters. For the first nine months of 2024, AppLovin saw a 43% year-to-date revenue increase, largely fueled by a 76% rise in software platform revenue. This growth was driven by AppDiscovery, whose installations surged by 39% in Q3, underscoring its strong appeal to advertisers.
Beyond software platform growth, AppLovin’s in-app purchases and advertising revenues also increased modestly by 3% and 7%, respectively, despite challenging comparisons, supported by a 53% boost in advertising impressions.
The company achieved record operating cash flows of over $550 million in Q3, alongside significant margin improvements across gross, operating, and EBITDA levels. These gains highlight the company’s explosive growth and underscore the stock’s 500% rise over the past year.
Given AppLovin’s strategic success and positive advertiser response, I anticipate ongoing improvements in cash flow and profit margins. With over $3.3 billion spent on share buybacks since 2022—$980 million in 2024 alone—the company continues to reward its shareholders while capitalizing on its profitable AI-driven platform.
Valuation
Although APP’s trailing P/E ratio of 74.52 and PS ratio of 19.33 might appear high compared to the IT sector averages, a comparison with peers in the Application Software industry reveals a different perspective.
In a peer group of large software companies, APP ranks third in EV/Sales ratio at 18.65 but also boasts a forward topline growth rate of over 24.1%, placing it among the top performers. This high growth potential appears to justify the stock’s premium, positioning it attractively in terms of PS ratio relative to anticipated growth.
Despite recent heavy buying, APP remains an appealing value investment. As long as it maintains its relative positioning, I continue to view the stock favorably.
Risks
Despite my optimism, I recognize that AppLovin’s momentum could be part of a broader AI-driven market surge, raising concerns about a potential AI bubble. If the market faces a downturn similar to the dot-com bubble, APP could experience a sharper decline than its peers, especially given its relatively weak balance sheet.
Additionally, with an RSI of 96 signaling heavy overbuying, there may be potential for a future correction. While APP’s 500% rise is impressive, it could be vulnerable if the market undergoes a broader correction
Conclusion
Advertising is on the cusp of an AI driven transformation, and AppLovin is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift with its powerful AI-enabled platform. Despite the stock’s impressive 12-month performance, there’s still significant growth potential
TESLA (TSLA)BIAS: BULLISH
After the reversal, there was a push touching ATH and now looking for support on the previous...
To change bearish bias:
A push below 360-300p/s would be expected... Strong support around 260.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
Jyoti CNC Trying to make a comeback. Jyoti CNC Automation Ltd. engages in the provision of manufacturing solutions for computerized machine cutting tools. It operates under the Within India and Outside India geographical segments.
Jyoti CNC Automation Ltd. CMP is 1273.05. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years and Companies with rising net profit margins. The Negative aspects of the company are extremely high Valuation (P.E. = 105.5), High promoter stock pledges, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income and Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1293Targets in the stock will be 1337, 1368 and 1406. The long-term target in the stock will be 1434, 1463 and 1513. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1157 or 1079 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Persistent can be persisted withPersistent Systems Ltd. is a technology services company. It engages in delivering digital business acceleration, enterprise modernization, and next generation product engineering services. The firm operates through the following segments: Banking, Financial Services & Insurance, Healthcare & Life Sciences, and Technology Companies & Emerging Verticals.
Persistent Systems Ltd. CMP is 6090.90. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 77), Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 6094 Targets in the stock will be 6241, 6392 and 6547. The long-term target in the stock will be 6704 and 6810. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 5850 or 5566 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Kalyan Jewellers: Continuation H&SPrices have formed a continuation Head & Shoulders whose neckline is 775 zone. Prices have given a breakout of the neckline and likely to continue the uptrend. The measured target of the pattern is coming in the region of 950 zone. On the downside the key level is 712.
Good Results makes Reliance a great oppertunityReliance Industries Ltd. engages in hydrocarbon exploration and production, petroleum refining and marketing, petrochemicals, retail, FMCG, and telecommunications, Digital Entertainment and Media. Reliance is one of the biggest Indian companies and vivid sectoral presence.
Reliance Industries Ltd. CMP is 1302.35. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 25.5) and Declining Net Cash Flow.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1303 Targets in the stock will be 1355, 1378, 1414 and 1451. The long-term target in the stock will be 1522 and 1556+ Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1184.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Ambika Cotton Looking strong on weekly chart. Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd. engages in the provision of manufacturing and selling of cotton yarn catering to the needs of manufacturers of premium branded shirts and t-shirts.
Ambika Cotton Mills Ltd. CMP is 1581.05. The Positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 14), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Company with Low Debt and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, and Annual net profit declining for last 2 years.
Entry can be taken after closing above 1589 and compounding above 1630 closing. Targets in the stock will be 1714 and 1760. The long-term target in the stock will be 1868 and 1906+. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1467 or 1382 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
How Ride the AI Wave in 2025 | Top AI Stocks The AI boom is still making waves on Wall Street
Over the past 15 months, investors have injected more than $ 5 billion into tech sector funds. This surge was fueled by three consecutive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, coupled with Donald Trump's presidential victory, which led investors to pour over $140 billion into the stock market, hoping tax reforms would boost corporate profits. A significant portion of this activity has been driven by the growing interest in artificial intelligence, with AI driven companies leading a remarkable 25% rally in the S&P 500 this year. Nvidia (NVDA), a key player in the AI sector, has soared 149% in the past year, while major tech firms like Microsoft (MSFT) and its collaboration with OpenAI, and Google’s (GOOG) Gemini project, have also contributed to the rise in stock prices.
The AI market is expected to expand from approximately $540 billion last year to over $1.8 trillion by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% through 2032. In the final weeks of his presidency, Joe Biden's administration introduced new regulations to block the export of US-made semiconductors to adversarial nations, including Russia and China. This move is part of the ongoing AI arms race, with the US aiming to maintain its lead in manufacturing the chips essential for powering AI technology.
AI Stocks: The Only ‘Bubble’ You Want to Be In
North America held the largest share of the global AI market in 2023, accounting for nearly 37%. Europe, Asia Pacific (APAC), and Latin America followed with shares of 25.5%, 24%, and 13.6%, respectively.
Whoever controls AI holds the power and the same is true in the corporate world. AI related stocks, such as Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and Nvidia, delivered triple digit returns and led the market in 2024. Growing investor interest has also made it easier to trade AI focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which offer exposure to broader industry themes rather than individual companies. However, performance can vary.
For instance, the Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) and the Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) have shown comparable results since 2020, consistently outperforming the broader market.
Meanwhile, the iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) has underperformed compared to the S&P 500. So, how can you identify the top AI stocks when certain ETFs are lagging? This is where the Quant Rating System comes in. Quant Ratings combine proprietary computer processing technology with "quantamental" analysis, allowing you to filter out the noise and focus on AI stocks with strong fundamentals that are expected to grow earnings at an above average rate.
Leading AI Companies Worldwide
Major tech giants like Amazon (AMZN), Google, Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), and IBM (IBM) have invested billions into AI research to secure a dominant position in this highly profitable space. Whether it's backing high-potential startups like MSFT’s $11 billion stake in OpenAI, or supplying crucial AI hardware such as Nvidia's (NVDA) graphic processing units (GPUs), these companies are striving to stay ahead of competitors.
While generative AI tools like ChatGPT are undeniably shaping the global economy, the potential for significant returns from AI stocks is more nuanced. For instance, Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has dropped over 20% from its all-time high in December, receiving a "hold" rating from Seeking Alpha's Quant system and analysts across Wall Street as of January 9, 2025. Even Nvidia, despite a strong performance in 2024, has seen its stock show signs of stagnation. Other AI stocks are showing signs of potential overvaluation. For example, SoundHound AI (SOUN) recently dropped more than 16%, with analysts highlighting concerns over its unsustainable valuation given its weak fundamentals.
2025 Top AI Stocks
The hype in Silicon Valley can make it challenging to distinguish between AI stocks with long-term potential and those that are overhyped
Our data driven Quant system uses advanced computer processing and proprietary algorithms to analyze thousands of stocks in real time across a range of metrics like value, growth, profitability, EPS revisions, and momentum. To find the top performing AI stocks, I analyzed securities from three leading AI focused ETFs Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ), Robo Global Robotics and Automation Index ETF (ROBO), and Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ). From this analysis, I selected six top-performing stocks—three largecap and three small-to-medium-cap (SMID)—which represent the diverse opportunities in the AI space. These stocks, both from tech companies providing AI solutions and non-tech firms utilizing AI to enhance productivity, boast an average levered free cash flow margin of about 18.6% and have returned an average of 60% more than the past 12 months.
1. Twilio Inc
Market Capitalization $16.6B
Twilio, a cloud communications company, has returned nearly 51% over the past year and ranks second in the Top Internet Services and Infrastructure sector, just behind Kingsoft Cloud Holdings. The company’s growth has been driven by stronger revenues, reduced losses, increased cash flow, and the completion of a high-profile ETF investor Cathie Wood’s stake sale. Twilio’s strong Q3’24 earnings suggest it’s well-positioned to capitalize on the growing AI trend well into 2025, with its stock more than doubling since May.
Like many cloud computing companies, Twilio, based in San Francisco, gained prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic but initially struggled with high expenses and slow revenue growth. However, the surge in demand for generative AI, particularly through Twilio's CustomerAI platform which leverages large language models (LLMs) and natural language processing (NLP) to analyze customer data has played a key role in its remarkable recovery.
TWLO Revisions, Momentum, and Valuation
Over the past 90 days, Twilio has seen a remarkable 23 upward revisions to its earnings per share (EPS) and 27 revisions to its revenue projections from analysts, signaling a strong financial rebound. This turnaround is reflected in its ‘A’ Momentum Score, with six-month and nine-month price performances of 93.5% and 81.3%, respectively—both figures vastly outperforming the sector medians by over 1000%. As a result, Twilio has nearly doubled the performance of the S&P 500 in recent months.
Twilio also demonstrates solid growth prospects, with a forward EBITDA growth rate of 50.6% (783% higher than the sector median), year-over-year operating cash flow growth of 520.8% (3,348.45% above the sector median), and an impressive levered free cash flow margin of 107% (603% above the sector median). However, its average forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30x indicates that Twilio trades at a premium compared to its peers, nearly 20% higher than the sector median.
2. Celestica Inc
Market Capitalization $12B
Celestica has seen a remarkable 255% increase in its stock price over the past year, driven by its strategic pivot toward AI infrastructure manufacturing. The company has carved out a niche in producing networking switches for data centers, and its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions segment, which makes up 67% of total revenue, has grown 42% year-over-year as tech companies invest more in AI-powered data centers. Its Q3 '24 results highlighted a 22% increase in revenue to $2.5 billion and record adjusted EPS of $1.04.
CLS Valuation, Momentum, and Growth
Celestica stands out for its attractive valuation, even with impressive returns in 2024. With a forward price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87, the stock appears undervalued compared to its peers. It boasts an ‘A+’ Momentum Grade, having received six upward EPS revisions and eight revenue revisions from analysts in the past 90 days. Its Growth Grade has improved significantly, rising from ‘C+’ to ‘B+’ due to forward EPS growth of 49% and year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 88%, both significantly outperforming the sector median.
3. DocuSign
Market Capitalization $18.3B
DocuSign, known for its electronic signature services, has embraced AI in innovative ways, particularly by adding new AI features to streamline contract agreement processes. These AI-driven tools have helped the company’s stock surge more than 21% following its impressive Q3 '24 earnings, and the growth trajectory is expected to continue in 2025 as DocuSign expands into new markets, both domestically and in Europe. As SA Analyst Noah’s Arc Capital Management notes, DocuSign's AI features have proven invaluable for businesses, simplifying the often complex task of reviewing and managing contracts.
DOCU Growth, Valuation, and Profitability
DocuSign has demonstrated exceptional growth, including an ‘A+’ EBIT growth rate of 239.21% (10,710% above the sector median) and year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 1,852.2% (24,971% higher than its peers). While its overall ‘C+’ Growth Score is somewhat tempered by a low forward return on equity growth forecast of -29.58%, the company’s valuation looks compelling. Its trailing and forward P/E GAAP ratios of 18.6 and 17.9 are 38.6% and 41.5% lower than the sector medians, suggesting that DocuSign's shares are undervalued. Furthermore, its ‘A+’-Rated PEG ratio of 0.01, a 99% difference from the sector median, points to a strong value proposition for investors.
4. FARO Technologies
Market Capitalization $478.2M
FARO Technologies, based in Lake Mary, Florida, specializes in 3D measurement technology and has leveraged AI to establish itself as a leader in "smart factories" and "intelligent automation." Its scanning technology has been instrumental in improving productivity and accelerating production timelines. The company has seen nearly 54% growth over the past six months, benefiting from the expanding global 3D scanning market, projected to grow to $11.85 billion by 2032 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.11%.
In Q3, FARO reported $0.21 of nonGAAP EPS, marking its sixth consecutive quarter of exceeding expectations. This success is part of the company’s strategic plan, which includes the launch of a new line of laser scanners.
FARO Growth and Valuation
FARO's growth metrics stand out, with forward EBIT growth of 112.48%, 1,410.71% higher than the sector median, and an astonishing year-over-year levered free cash flow growth of 24,214.19%, 164,037% above the sector median. The company's forward EBITDA growth of 42.76%, 639.9% higher than the sector median, indicates robust growth ahead.
FARO's stock is undervalued according to its metrics. It has an EV/sales ratio of 1.41, 59% lower than the sector median, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.9, 45% below the sector median, making it an attractive investment at its current valuation.
5. Proto Labs
Market Capitalization $897 M
Proto Labs, a Minnesota-based company, specializes in on-demand manufacturing solutions, enabling businesses to avoid the costs associated with stocking large quantities of products. Despite a recent dip of around 16% in share price, Proto Labs remains a promising investment due to its strong profitability and its impressive cash flow of $24.8 million in Q3 2024, the highest since its 2020 acquisition of 3D printing company 3D Hubs.
Proto Labs has also seen five upward revisions to its EPS and five to its revenue over the last 90 days, signaling stronger-than-expected growth prospects. The company is positioned to benefit from the strong sector tailwinds of the global print-on-demand market, which was valued at $6.18 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.8% through 2030.
PRLB Valuation
Proto Labs boasts an impressive long-term growth rate of 25%, 119% higher than the sector's 11.4%, and a year-over-year capital expenditure (capex) growth of 74.4%, significantly outpacing the sector's 4.3%. This suggests that Proto Labs is reinvesting a large portion of its cash back into its operations to fuel future growth.
The stock is fairly valued with a forward PEG ratio of 0.06, indicating that it is significantly undervalued compared to its peers, at a 49.3% discount from the sector. Its price-to-book ratio of 1.36 is also an attractive metric, 52.83% lower than the sector median. However, its ‘D’-rated forward and trailing P/E ratios of 39.9 and 48.8, respectively, reflect its recent price decline, leading to an overall Valuation Grade of ‘C’.
6. Freshworks
Market Capitalization $4.9 B
Freshworks, a cloud based SaaS company founded in India, is a strong candidate for a "buy the dip" opportunity. After a rough 2024, shares in Freshworks have begun to rebound, thanks to increasing demand for its AI-enabled software solutions. The company serves over 68,000 customers, including global brands like American Express, Shopify, and Airbus. Its Q3’24 financial results were filled with positive indicators:
- 22% YoY revenue growth to $186.6M
- 21% YoY increase in free cash flow
- Raised full year guidance
- Announced a $400M buyback plan
- Maintains a debtfree balance sheet with strong liquidity
Freshworks also announced a 13% reduction in headcount, which is expected to improve margins further, in addition to the impact of its share repurchase program. The company is poised to benefit from the booming AI SaaS market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 30% by 2031.
FRSH Growth, Valuation, and Momentum
Freshworks boasts an impressive A-’ Growth Score, underpinned by its solid revenue growth and forward revenue expansion of 17.8%, a 221.8% difference from the sector median. The company also has a 3-5 year long-term CAGR of 27.5%, significantly outpacing the sector by 824.2%. Its year-over-year capital expenditure growth stands at 83.3%, signaling reinvestment in future growth.
In terms of valuation, Freshworks has a forward PEG of 1.51, suggesting that the stock is available at a slight discount to its peers. Similar to Proto Labs, its higher-than-average P/E ratios are likely due to its recent dip of around 9.3% over the past month. One of the standout features of Freshworks’ stock is its ‘A’ Revisions Score, which reflects 17 EPS upward revisions and 16 revenue upward revisions in the past three months.
As the AI frenzy continues to dominate Wall Street, some of the valuations of major AI driven companies may be edging into overinflated territory. However,so far my Quant System highlights six ‘Strong Buy’ stocks that still exhibit strong fundamentals. These companies have, on average, risen about 60% over the past year, showcasing strong bullish momentum and solid valuations. For investors looking to integrate AI into their portfolios without succumbing to the hype, these stocks present a promising opportunity
Which AI stock are you loading and why?
Micron Technology's Journey to the 136 PeakGood morning, trading family! Here's the lowdown on Micron Technology (MU):
Picture MU climbing "136 Peak" with hurdles at $104, $111, and $114. Each is like a mountain bump where we might see a slip or a leap forward. With AI and memory chips in high demand, Micron's equipped for this climb, but expect some corrections like pit stops. Keep an eye on tech trends and the economy; they'll tell us if MU makes it to the top!
If you found this useful: boost, share, like, and comment. I appreciate all the support! If you're struggling as a trader to be sustainable, I get it - I've been there myself. Jump in, send me a DM or head to my profile; I'm more than happy to help.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Can DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Hit 171? Hey, trading family
DJT from Trump Media & Technology Group is hovering around $42 right now. If we can rally it up to $62.50 and break out of that triangle, we're in for an epic run. We're talking potential jumps to $106, then $142, and if the stars align, we could see $171! With all the buzz around the inauguration, this could be DJT's moment to shine.
If you're as excited about this potential breakout as I am, please give this post a boost, leave some love in the comments, or share it around! And if you want to chat more about this or need more trading insights, feel free to DM me or check out my profile for more.
Let's watch this one together and see if we can hit those numbers!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See