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JSW Energy looking Energetic JSW Energy Ltd. engages in the business of power generation. It operates through the following business segments: Power Generation, Power Transmission, and Power Trading. JSW Energy Ltd. CMP is 688.95. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with decreasing Promoter pledge, High Volume, High Gain, Top Gainers and High Momentum Scores. The Negative aspects of the company are extremely high Valuation (P.E. = 61.5), Companies with Increasing Debt, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, High promoter stock pledges. Entry can be taken after closing above 701 Targets in the stock will be 719, 738 and 756. The long-term target in the stock will be 773, 792 and 809. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 642 or 582 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:JSWENERGYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
VST Industries looking Solid after consolidation post split.VST Industries Ltd. engages in the provision of manufacture and sale of cigarettes and unmanufactured tobacco. It operates through the Sales Within India and Outside India too. VST Industries Ltd. CMP is 360.70. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 25.2), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects. Entry can be taken after closing above 362 Targets in the stock will be 374, 386, 400, 414 and 431. The long-term target in the stock will be 455, 470 and 487. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 301 or 287 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:VSTINDLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Reliance Down but seems not out. Reliance is one of India's premier companies with a market cap currently at Rs.1710830.2 Crores. After the stock split the stock lost momentum and had been falling drastically. Right now it is belo Mother and Father line on daily charts. With profitability and EPS set to increase from 2025 onwards as per the last Speech of Mr.Mukesh Ambani Reliance still can to be ruled out as a long term pick and a portfolio stock. Technically the stock is weak but as it is a Long term investment idea and Portfolio stock the levels at which it is trading are looking mouth-watering. Tracking quantity entry or X/3 entry levels are mentioned below for the stock. There is a news today of Reliance entering a long term contract with Russia worth 13B a year at current prices. Along with this news Reliance is trading at a price of 1263. The near by support zones are at 1241 and 1218. Long term support is near the zone of 1150 to 1043. X/3 entry for educational purpose of tracking quantity of Reliance can be taken at current levels or if it falls further to 1241 or 1218 levels and bounces from there. (Entry on bounce not while it is falling). The second entry can be taken on bounce after closing above 1328. Final entry after closing above 1387 levels. Long term targets for Reliance will be 1442, 1530 and 1600+ levels. Stop loss can be maintained at a monthly closing below 1043 (It is very unlikely if it goes there). Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:RELIANCE
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Green Panel Soars Past ₹397! Bigger Targets Ahead!Green Panel on the 4-hour timeframe has entered a long trade setup, with TP1 successfully achieved at ₹397.35. The trade setup is based on the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , providing precise entry and target levels for a confident trade. Green Panel Key Levels: TP1: ₹397.35 ✅ TP2: ₹441.75 TP3: ₹486.15 TP4: ₹513.60 Technical Analysis: The entry price at ₹369.90 has shown a strong breakout, quickly hitting the first profit target. The stop-loss is set at ₹347.70, ensuring disciplined risk management. The price is moving above the Risological trend line, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. As the setup remains intact, traders can aim for higher targets with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Namaste!
NSE:GREENPANELLong
by ProfitsNinja
AMBER: Wave 5 Setup in Progress AMBER Enterprises (AMBER): Wave 5 Setup in Progress Wave Analysis: The stock is currently in the Wave 4 corrective zone between 5,762 - 5,667 INR, a key support area. A potential liquidity sweep below 5,667 INR could attract strong buying interest. Target zones for Wave 5 completion are 6,976 - 7,127 INR. Key Observations: Wave Structure: Completion of Waves 1, 2, and 3; Wave 4 is nearing a reversal zone. Liquidity Sweep Potential: A dip below 5,667 INR might collect stop-loss liquidity before reversing. Trading Plan: Entry: Look for entry near 5,762 - 5,667 INR upon confirmation of reversal (e.g., bullish candle with volume). Monitor behavior if prices dip below 5,667 INR and recover sharply. Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss below 5,060 INR (invalidates Wave 4). Target Levels: First target: 6,500 INR (partial profit booking). Final target: 7,000+ INR (completion of Wave 5). Indicators to Monitor: RSI for oversold conditions at entry zones. Volume confirmation during reversal. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading.
NSE:AMBERLong
by LiveTradingBox
Aether on the verge of becoming active. Aether Industries Ltd. engages in the production of intermediates and specialty chemicals. It offers products for pharmaceutical, agrochemical, material science, coating, photography, additive, and oil and gas segments of the chemical industry. Aether Industries Ltd. CMP is 904.10. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, RSI indicating price strength, High Volume, High Gain, The Negative aspects of the company are extremely high Valuation (P.E. = 148.5), Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects, Poor cash generated from core business - Declining Cash Flow from Operations. Entry can be taken after closing above 905 Targets in the stock will be 947 and 986. The long-term target in the stock will be 1033 and 1072. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 863 or 780 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:AETHERLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Navneet's chart looking neat. Navneet Education Ltd. engages in the manufacture of Maharashtra and Gujarat State Board Publication books, as well as stationery products. It operates through the following segments: Publication, Stationery, and Others. The Publication segment is composed of supplementary books such as workbooks, guides, and question banks which are based on the latest prescribed syllabus by state education boards under the brand names Vikas and Gala. The Stationery segment includes paper based and non-paper-based stationery under the brand names Navneet and Youva. The Others segment represents revenue from the generation of power by windmill, pre-school, and trading items. Navneet Education Ltd. CMP is 148.89. The positive aspects of the company are Very attractive Valuation (P.E. = 4.3),Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter. Entry can be taken after closing above 150 Targets in the stock will be 155, 162 and 168. The long-term target in the stock will be 174 and 179. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 142 or 131 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NAVNETEDULLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
IRCON can move upwards after consolidation. IRCON International Ltd. engages in the provision of engineering and construction services. It specializes in major infrastructure projects, including railways, highways, bridges, flyovers, tunnels, aircraft maintenance hangars, runways, extra high voltage sub-stations, electrical and mechanical works, commercial and residential properties, development of industrial areas, and other infrastructure activities. The company operates through the Domestic and International geographic segments. IRCON International Ltd. 225.88. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Effectively using its capital to generate profit and High Volume, High Gain. The Negative aspects of the company are High Valuation (P.E. = 23.1), MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 227 Targets in the stock will be 246, 265 and 285. The long-term target in the stock will be 316 and 352. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 180. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:IRCONLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Beml Land And Assets seems to be rising after forming a bottom.BEML Land Assets Ltd. operates as a special purpose entity which develops, acquires, manages, holds, licenses and sells real estate properties. BEML Land Assets Ltd. CMP is 243.49. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years and Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are Negative Valuation (P.E. = -246.6), MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter, Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects. Entry can be taken after closing above 245 Targets in the stock will be 274, 291 and 304. The long-term target in the stock will be 320, 343 and 356. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 215. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:BLALLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
DELHIVERY INTRADAY TARGETS DONE!Delhivery on the 15-minute timeframe delivered a stellar intraday performance, achieving all predefined targets with precision. This long trade was executed using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , ensuring a well-timed entry and a disciplined approach. Delhivery Key Levels: TP1: 340.80 ✅ TP2: 346.20 ✅ TP3: 351.60 ✅ TP4: 354.90 ✅ Delhivery Technical Analysis: The trade was initiated at an entry price of 337.45, with a stop-loss positioned at 334.75 to limit downside risk. Delhivery exhibited strong bullish momentum, crossing the Risological trend line early in the session. The stock maintained upward movement, achieving all take-profit levels in this intraday trade. This setup highlights the power of the Risological indicator in capturing quick and profitable opportunities in volatile markets. All the best and do follow me for more success stories, insights, tips and profitable stock calls. Namaste!
NSE:DELHIVERYLong
by ProfitsNinja
GPPL Targets 212! Hourly Swing Gains Surge!Gujarat Pipavav Port Ltd (GPPL), on the 1-hour timeframe, showcased a strong long trade setup using the Risological swing trading indicator . Targets 1 and 2 have been successfully achieved, and the trade is poised to hit the remaining targets as momentum builds. Key Levels: TP1: 184.51 ✅ TP2: 195.21 ✅ TP3: 205.91 (Pending) TP4: 212.53 (Pending) Technical Analysis: The entry was precisely placed at 177.90, supported by bullish signals from the Risological swing trader. The stop-loss was positioned at 172.55, ensuring a controlled risk approach. The Risological trend line validated the upward trend, allowing for a seamless move through the first two targets. The trade continues to show strength, with price action staying above key support levels. The setup suggests a high probability of reaching the next targets, backed by steady buying pressure.
NSE:GPPLLong
by ProfitsNinja
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR): A Pioneer in Autonomous Vehicles Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) is a leader in the autonomous vehicle space, focused on developing cutting-edge self-driving technology for the transportation industry. Looking at the stock chart, we see a confirmation bar with increased volume, signaling strong investor interest. The stock is currently trading above the Fibonacci .236 support zone, which is considered a positive sign for potential upward movement. The indicators used to analyze the chart are the Fibonacci Snap Tool and the Momentum Zones indicators, both available in the indicator search tab. These tools help identify key support and resistance levels, as well as momentum shifts in the stock’s price, providing valuable insights for making informed trading decisions. Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) offers a suite of products, including its autonomous driving software and hardware, which are designed to be integrated into a range of vehicles, from trucks to passenger cars. Aurora's mission is to revolutionize the way people and goods move by creating safer, more efficient transportation solutions through automation. The main drivers of growth for Aurora Innovation include the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and machine learning, the increasing demand for autonomous driving solutions, and partnerships with major industry players in automotive and logistics. As the world moves toward self-driving vehicles, Aurora is well-positioned to capitalize on these changes and drive growth in the sector.
NASDAQ:AURLong
by traderspro_charts
1
SAP’s Cloud & AI MomentumSAP’s Cloud and AI Momentum: Why This Tech Giant Remains a Top Buy in 2024 SAP is a Germany based company specializing in enterprise application software It operates through three key segments: 1.Applications, Technology & Services: This segment focuses on selling software licenses, subscriptions to SAP’s cloud applications, and related services. It encompasses support services, various professional services, implementation services for SAP’s software products, and educational services to help customers effectively use SAP solutions 2.SAP Business Network:This segment includes SAP’s cloud-based collaborative business networks and related services. It covers cloud applications and professional and educational services related to the SAP Business Network. This segment also encompasses cloud offerings developed by SAP Ariba, SAP Fieldglass, and Concur, which facilitate supplier collaboration, workforce management, and expense management. 3.Customer Experience:This segment offers both on-premise and cloud-based products designed to manage front-office functions, focusing on customer experience management. It provides solutions that help businesses enhance and streamline interactions with customers. These segments enable SAP to offer a wide range of solutions, addressing enterprise needs from back-office functions to collaborative networks and customer-facing operations. SAP remains a top pick, with clear growth momentum that could accelerate further and potential for margin improvements. My buy rating remains unchanged. SAP reported its Q3 2024 earnings, showing a 10% year-over-year revenue increase in constant currency (CC) to €8.5 billion, maintaining the same growth momentum as Q2 2024. The highlight is the cloud segment’s revenue growth, reaching €4.35 billion, with a y/y CC growth rate accelerating from 25% in Q2 2024 to 27% in Q3 2024. This aligns well with my expectations, as the current cloud backlog (CCB) grew by 29% y/y CC, improving 100 basis points from Q2 2024. By product category, the Cloud ERP Suite showed 36% y/y CC growth, a 300bps sequential improvement. License revenue, though still declining, saw a slower drop from -27% in Q2 to -14% in Q3, and maintenance revenue declines also eased from -3% to -2%. This solid revenue performance contributed to a strong profit outcome, with adjusted EBIT beating estimates by approximately 9% at €2.24 billion, and a major free cash flow (FCF) beat of €1.25 billion, far surpassing the consensus of -€676 million. Given this strong performance, it wasn’t surprising that management raised guidance, which is certainly encouraging. They now forecast adjusted EBIT in the range of €7.8 to €8 billion, a €150 million increase at the midpoint, implying y/y growth of 20% to 23% CC, up from the previous 17% to 21%. Cloud and software revenue guidance also increased by €400 million at the midpoint, with a new range of €29.5 to €29.8 billion, reflecting 10% to 11% y/y CC growth versus the previous 8% to 10%. Additionally, adjusted FCF is now projected between €3.5 to €4 billion, compared to the prior €3.5 billion. I am confident that SAP can meet these targets for several reasons. First, the S/4HANA migration remains strong, as indicated by 29% y/y CC CCB growth and 36% y/y CC growth in the Cloud ERP Suite, which accounts for approximately 84% of total cloud revenue. Second, nearly one-third of deals signed in the quarter involved AI, highlighting increased demand for embedded AI solutions. This reinforces my previous view that AI adoption is driving SAP’s cloud migration efforts, as customers must utilize the cloud to fully leverage these AI capabilities. Notably, SAP is moving to the “expand” phase of its strategy by adding generative AI (GenAI) capabilities. With SAP introducing more AI features, the company is well-positioned to continue capitalizing on this growth driver. For example, its AI-based assistant, Joule, now offers collaborative agent capabilities, allowing it to manage multiple AI agents for complex tasks—resulting in significant productivity gains. Additionally, the Knowledge Graph, a part of SAP’s GenAI suite, connects language and data to help users navigate SAP systems more efficiently. SAP has over 100 GenAI use cases and has added more than 500 skills to Joule so far, suggesting substantial growth potential. AI adoption remains robust, as evidenced by AI’s central role in SAP’s sales strategy. Around 20% of deals now include premium AI features, and all ERP and LoB deals involve discussions around AI, signaling that AI is a key growth driver for SAP, especially considering that AI integration was minimal a few years ago. I reaffirm my model assumptions and see continued attractive upside potential, even after SAP’s strong year-to-date share price rally. SAP is increasingly likely to achieve 10% growth for FY24, with further acceleration expected in FY25/26, driven by strong cloud migration and rising AI demand. Management’s upward revision of FY24 adjusted EBIT indicates that earnings margins will improve. Year-to-date, the adjusted earnings margin stands at around 21.1%, making my full-year target of 21.5% feasible. As growth accelerates and SAP completes its restructuring (which impacts 9,000 to 10,000 positions as announced in January 2024), margins should rise to the mid-20% range. I’ve added 300 basis points based on trends from FY22 to FY24. Additionally, with no visible slowdown in growth momentum, I expect the market to continue valuing SAP at a premium, at 36x forward PE compared to the three-year average of 23x. The macroeconomic environment poses risks, especially if supply chain challenges persist or interest rates rise. Political uncertainties, such as the upcoming U.S. election, could lead to reduced business investment, impacting corporate IT budgets and SAP’s sales. Additionally, if SAP’s S/4HANA and cloud products underperform, or if there are delays in product development or launches, investor expectations may be disappointed, particularly regarding S/4HANA. To conclude, I maintain my buy rating on SAP. The company’s strong Q3 2024 performance and revised guidance have reinforced my positive view. The accelerating growth in cloud revenue, driven by solid S/4 HANA migration and increased AI adoption, is highly encouraging. While macro risks remain, SAP’s robust fundamentals and favorable growth outlook support a buy rating.
NYSE:SAPLong
by moonypto
Crossing the hurdles FIEM can fly..Fiem Industries Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the manufacture and supply of automotive components. It operates through the Automotive and light-emitting diode (LED) Luminaries segment. The Automotive segment comprises of lighting and signaling equipment, rear view mirror, prismatic mirror, plastic molded parts, and sheet metal components for motorized vehicles and others parts for automotive. The LED Luminaries segment includes indoor and outdoor lighting, display panel, and LED integrated passenger information system. Fiem Industries Ltd. CMP is 1580.10. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are moderate Valuation (P.E. = 22.4), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash. Entry can be taken after closing above 1594 Targets in the stock will be 1647 and 1719. The long-term target in the stock will be 1752 and 1786. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1448 or 1387 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:FIEMINDLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Infosys is building up positive information for investorsInfosys Ltd. is a digital services and consulting company, which engages in the provision of end-to-end business solutions. It operates through the following segments: Financial Services, Retail, Communication, Energy, Utilities, Resources, and Services, Manufacturing, Hi-Tech, Life Sciences, and All Other. Infosys is one of the top Indian companies and an Indian global MNC. Infosys Ltd. CMP is 1879.80. The positive aspects of the company are Company with No Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 29). Entry can be taken after closing above 1880 Targets in the stock will be 1943. The long-term target in the stock will be 1993. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1732 or 1719 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:INFYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Meta I Potential correction and more growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** Meta Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:METALong
by BKTradingAcademy
1
LIC is can defensively insure your portfolioLife Insurance Corporation of India or LIC engages in the provision of insurance plans. It operates through the following segments: Life Business, Pension Business, Annuity Business, Variable Business, Health Business, and Linked Business. Life Insurance Corporation of India CMP is 985.50. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 15), Company with No Debt, Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and High Volume, High Gain. The Negative aspects of the company are Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters, Companies with high market cap, lower public shareholding. Entry can be taken after closing above 990 Targets in the stock will be 1034, 1070 and 1100. The long-term target in the stock will be 1134, 1161 and 1190. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 877 or 818 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:LICILong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
GSFC can grow and make it greenGujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. engages in the manufacture and distribution of fertilizers and chemicals. It operates through the following segments: Fertilizer Products and Industrial Products. The Fertilizer Products segment includes urea, ammonium sulphate, di-ammonium phosphate and ammonium phosphate sulphate and nitrogen-phosphorus-potassium products. The Industrial Products segment comprises of caprolactam, nylon-6, nylon filament yarn and nylon chips, melamine and polymer products. Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. CMP is 224.13. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 16.9), Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company fall in Quarterly Revenue and Net Profit, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 227 Targets in the stock will be 232, 241 and 250. The long-term target in the stock will be 258, 268 and 283. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 218 or 188 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:GSFCLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Can Tencent salvage Ubisoft's sinking ship?Ubisoft’s stock pumped 35% couple of days ago following a Bloomberg report suggesting that Tencent may either acquire the company or take it private Although the French gaming company didn’t confirm or deny the speculation, it did state that it’s considering "all strategic options" for the benefit of its stakeholders and will notify the market when necessary If Tencent proceeds, it would mark another significant acquisition in a wave of major gaming deals over recent years: - Activision Blizzard acquired by Microsoft for $69 billion in 2023. - Zynga acquired by Take-Two for $12.7 billion in 2022. - ZeniMax Media acquired by Microsoft for $7.5 billion in 2021. - Savvy Games acquired by Scopely for $4.9 billion in 2023. - Bungie acquired by Sony for $3.7 billion in 2022. - Glu Mobile acquired by EA for $2.4 billion in 2021. - Keywords Studios acquired by EQT for $2.4 billion in 2024. Ubisoft’s valuation sits at just $2 billion, nearly 90% below its peak in 2021! The stock fell by more than 40% in September alone, so this recent surge is only a brief reprieve. Given its diminished value, a potential buyer offering a premium wouldn’t necessarily be a massive win. So, how should we interpret this news, and what can we anticipate for future gaming M&A activity? Let’s break it down. Key Points 1.Ubisoft’s Challenges 2.Potential Buyers 3.IP Gold Rush 4.Future of Gaming M&A 1. Ubisoft’s Challenges Ubisoft has faced setbacks including canceled games, delays, and a dip in quality in the post-pandemic era. Let’s take a look at the fiscal year 2024, which ends in March. Consider this metric reflects the total amount spent by users within a period, covering game sales, in-game purchases, subscriptions, and downloadable content (DLC). It’s an important measure of business performance, with net bookings recognized as revenue over time, depending on content delivery and user engagement Key takeaways: Digital-first: 86% of Ubisoft's net bookings come from digital sales (premium, free-to-play, and subscriptions). It was 12% in 2013, illustrating the transformative past decade. Far behind on mobile: Ubisoft has trailed its peers, with only 7% of revenue coming from mobile. In contrast, nearly half of the industry’s revenue comes from smartphones. Margins improved after cost-cutting: Digital games are a high gross margin business, particularly with the back catalog (title released in previous years) making up nearly two-thirds of net bookings. Targeted restructurings impacted FY23, making the short-term margin trend misleading. Ubisoft laid off 1,700 employees between September 2022 and March 2024, roughly 6% of its workforce. Short-lived turnaround: FY23 was a challenging year, with Net bookings collapsing by 18% with the underperformance of Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope and Just Dance 2023. In FY24, Net bookings rebounded sharply, growing 34% with the successful release of Assassin’s Creed Mirage and The Crew Motorfest. FY25 Collapses in a Week: After the underperformance of Star Wars Outlaws (released at the end of August and originally expected to be a blockbuster) and the delayed launch of Assassin’s Creed Shadows from November to February, Ubisoft revised its FY25 net bookings forecast down to €1.95 billion, a 16% decline year-over-year (compared to the "solid growth" expected earlier). The company now anticipates barely breaking even on an adjusted basis. The decision to delay Assassin’s Creed Shadows just weeks before its scheduled release was influenced by the poor reception of *Star Wars Outlaws*. However, the three-month delay might not be enough to resolve concerns over game quality or criticisms from the Japanese community regarding historical and cultural inaccuracies. But that’s not all! In addition to these financial and operational difficulties, Ubisoft has faced allegations of a toxic workplace. Several former executives from the *Assassin’s Creed* studio were arrested as part of an investigation into sexual assault and harassment. This situation mirrors the downfall of Activision Blizzard in the months leading up to its acquisition by Microsoft, which leads us to potential buyers for Ubisoft. 2. Potential Buyers Ubisoft remains a family-run company, largely overseen by its founders. The latest annual report reveals the following voting rights: - The Guillemot family controls 20.5% - Tencent owns 9.2% In September, minority shareholder AJ Investments claimed it had gained backing from 10% of shareholders and called for Ubisoft to be sold or taken private, estimating a fair value of €40 to €45 per share. With shares currently trading at €13, this seems highly optimistic. So, who are the likely candidates for a Ubisoft buyout? Key Players: -Tencent: Already a significant shareholder, Tencent could increase its stake or seek majority control. As the largest gaming company globally by revenue, Tencent has a history of acquisitions, such as its purchase of Finnish publisher Supercell (*Clash of Clans*) for $8.6 billion in 2016. However, Tencent's aggressive expansion has drawn regulatory scrutiny, especially in the US and Europe, which could complicate any attempt to acquire majority control of Ubisoft. Guillemot Family: The founding family might be interested in reclaiming greater control of Ubisoft and steering it in a new direction. To finance the buyout, they could collaborate with a private equity firm or a strategic investor. However, given Ubisoft's current size and the significant cost associated with a buyout, it could be difficult for the Guillemot family to pursue this path on their own. Other Potential Investors: Private equity firms or strategic investors within the gaming sector might also join a buyout consortium. These investors could be drawn to Ubisoft’s valuable intellectual property (IP) and see potential for a turnaround under new leadership. Gaming Companies: Besides Tencent, the largest gaming revenue players in 2023 are highlighted in the visual. -Apple and Google: Although both tech giants have been expanding into gaming, acquiring Ubisoft seems unlikely given their current antitrust scrutiny. -NetEase, EA, and TakeTwo: These companies would find an Ubisoft acquisition to be a straightforward studio consolidation. NetEase, in particular, might find it appealing to broaden its console and PC presence in the West, but Tencent’s involvement could complicate this. -Sony and Microsoft: As first-party publishers, both would benefit from boosting their subscription services with exclusive content. They’ve aggressively acquired studios in recent years. Given that the Activision Blizzard deal was approved, there’s no reason a Ubisoft acquisition couldn’t pass as well. In their latest fiscal year, gaming accounted for 32% of Sony’s revenue and less than 9% of Microsoft’s. 3. IP Gold Rush In the gaming industry, intellectual property (IP) is crucial. Iconic franchises like *Call of Duty*, *Mario*, and *Grand Theft Auto* are multi-billion-dollar assets that significantly impact a company’s future. As a result, many companies are eager to acquire established IPs or gain access to the teams behind them. Why is IP so valuable? -Lower risk: Developing a new AAA game can cost hundreds of millions and take years, with no guarantee of success. Acquiring a popular IP allows companies to tap into an existing fanbase and reduces the risk of failure. -Brand power: Consumers are more inclined to purchase games with familiar characters, worlds, or studios behind them. Well-known creators like Hideo Kojima (*Metal Gear*) and Hidetaka Miyazaki (*Elden Ring*) are just as significant. -Content scalability: Famous IPs can generate revenue through sequels, spin-offs, and licensing deals. Large publishers have the infrastructure to maximize returns across multiple channels. This strategy isn’t unique to gaming. Media giants follow similar patterns: -Amazon’s acquisition of MGM: In 2021, Amazon acquired MGM for $8.5 billion, gaining access to franchises like *James Bond* to enhance its Prime Video content. -Disney’s acquisition of Lucasfilm and Marvel: These acquisitions have delivered massive returns through movies, TV series, and licensing opportunities. Why now? -Consolidation pressure: Subscription services and cross-platform gaming are driving consolidation. Big companies want to secure valuable IPs to differentiate their services and attract loyal customers. Meanwhile, smaller studios are more open to selling early to avoid competing in an increasingly crowded and capital-intensive market. -Value in ownership: Owning IPs in gaming allows companies to create expansive worlds and engage players long-term through updates, expansions, and live services. This keeps players coming back and generates recurring revenue, which is harder to achieve in video content. -Cross media expansion: Popular games can expand into movies, TV series, or theme parks. For instance, *The Last of Us* became a hit HBO show, and Sony is developing TV adaptations for Horizon Zero Dawn and God of War. This leads to more revenue, a broader audience, and long-lasting IP appeal. The Ubisoft Angle Ubisoft’s IPs, like *Assassin’s Creed*, *Far Cry*, and *Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six*, have significant potential for future growth, despite recent struggles. However, realizing that potential might require new leadership or a fresh strategy, which a new owner could provide. Even though Ubisoft faces challenges, its strong portfolio might attract various buyers. For the right acquirer, Ubisoft's problems could represent a chance to buy low and rework its creative direction. As more studios seek to hedge their risks in this changing industry, we can expect more mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the future. 4. The Future of Gaming M&A The gaming industry is constantly evolving, and several trends are fueling a surge in mergers and acquisitions: -Mobile-first: Mobile gaming is the largest and fastest-growing segment, making companies with a strong mobile presence attractive. Examples include Playrix (Gardenscapes,Homescapes) and Scopely (MONOPOLY GO!,Stumble Guys) -Cross-platform: Cross-platform play is becoming the standard, and companies with expertise in this area are in high demand. Unity and Epic Games play vital roles with their popular game engines, while major studios are also building in-house solutions. - Cloud gaming: Still in its early stages, cloud gaming has the potential to revolutionize how games are played. Companies with cloud infrastructure are becoming more valuable, with leaders like Microsoft (Game Pass Ultimate), Sony (PlayStation Plus Premium), and NVIDIA (GeForce Now) pushing the trend. -Metaverse: Beyond AR/VR, virtual worlds like *Roblox* and *Fortnite* have created immersive, social spaces that keep players engaged beyond traditional gameplay. Companies developing these experiences are attractive targets for firms looking to capitalize on this trend. -Web3 & Blockchain: Web3 games enable decentralized ownership and in-game economies powered by blockchain. This trend lets players own and trade digital assets, opening new revenue streams and drawing interest from companies exploring the intersection of gaming and crypto. -AI driven studios: AI is already influencing game development, and its role will only grow. Companies with AI expertise, particularly in game design and player behavior analysis, are becoming highly sought after. As AI reduces development costs, budgets could shift towards live services and marketing. The Big Picture The gaming industry is consolidating, with major players acquiring valuable studios and IPs. While there will always be space for indie games—especially as AI lowers the barrier to entry—industry consolidation will likely strengthen the top companies and leave less room for those in the middle. If a company like Ubisoft, valued at over $12 billion in 2021, is struggling to survive on its own, the future looks bleak for many smaller studios
EURONEXT:UBI
by moonypto
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