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How Ride the AI Wave in 2025 | Top AI Stocks The AI boom is still making waves on Wall Street Over the past 15 months, investors have injected more than $ 5 billion into tech sector funds. This surge was fueled by three consecutive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2024, coupled with Donald Trump's presidential victory, which led investors to pour over $140 billion into the stock market, hoping tax reforms would boost corporate profits. A significant portion of this activity has been driven by the growing interest in artificial intelligence, with AI driven companies leading a remarkable 25% rally in the S&P 500 this year. Nvidia (NVDA), a key player in the AI sector, has soared 149% in the past year, while major tech firms like Microsoft (MSFT) and its collaboration with OpenAI, and Google’s (GOOG) Gemini project, have also contributed to the rise in stock prices. The AI market is expected to expand from approximately $540 billion last year to over $1.8 trillion by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20% through 2032. In the final weeks of his presidency, Joe Biden's administration introduced new regulations to block the export of US-made semiconductors to adversarial nations, including Russia and China. This move is part of the ongoing AI arms race, with the US aiming to maintain its lead in manufacturing the chips essential for powering AI technology. AI Stocks: The Only ‘Bubble’ You Want to Be In North America held the largest share of the global AI market in 2023, accounting for nearly 37%. Europe, Asia Pacific (APAC), and Latin America followed with shares of 25.5%, 24%, and 13.6%, respectively. Whoever controls AI holds the power and the same is true in the corporate world. AI related stocks, such as Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and Nvidia, delivered triple digit returns and led the market in 2024. Growing investor interest has also made it easier to trade AI focused exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which offer exposure to broader industry themes rather than individual companies. However, performance can vary. For instance, the Defiance Quantum ETF (QTUM) and the Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) have shown comparable results since 2020, consistently outperforming the broader market. Meanwhile, the iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) has underperformed compared to the S&P 500. So, how can you identify the top AI stocks when certain ETFs are lagging? This is where the Quant Rating System comes in. Quant Ratings combine proprietary computer processing technology with "quantamental" analysis, allowing you to filter out the noise and focus on AI stocks with strong fundamentals that are expected to grow earnings at an above average rate. Leading AI Companies Worldwide Major tech giants like Amazon (AMZN), Google, Apple (AAPL), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), and IBM (IBM) have invested billions into AI research to secure a dominant position in this highly profitable space. Whether it's backing high-potential startups like MSFT’s $11 billion stake in OpenAI, or supplying crucial AI hardware such as Nvidia's (NVDA) graphic processing units (GPUs), these companies are striving to stay ahead of competitors. While generative AI tools like ChatGPT are undeniably shaping the global economy, the potential for significant returns from AI stocks is more nuanced. For instance, Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has dropped over 20% from its all-time high in December, receiving a "hold" rating from Seeking Alpha's Quant system and analysts across Wall Street as of January 9, 2025. Even Nvidia, despite a strong performance in 2024, has seen its stock show signs of stagnation. Other AI stocks are showing signs of potential overvaluation. For example, SoundHound AI (SOUN) recently dropped more than 16%, with analysts highlighting concerns over its unsustainable valuation given its weak fundamentals. 2025 Top AI Stocks The hype in Silicon Valley can make it challenging to distinguish between AI stocks with long-term potential and those that are overhyped Our data driven Quant system uses advanced computer processing and proprietary algorithms to analyze thousands of stocks in real time across a range of metrics like value, growth, profitability, EPS revisions, and momentum. To find the top performing AI stocks, I analyzed securities from three leading AI focused ETFs Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ), Robo Global Robotics and Automation Index ETF (ROBO), and Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ). From this analysis, I selected six top-performing stocks—three largecap and three small-to-medium-cap (SMID)—which represent the diverse opportunities in the AI space. These stocks, both from tech companies providing AI solutions and non-tech firms utilizing AI to enhance productivity, boast an average levered free cash flow margin of about 18.6% and have returned an average of 60% more than the past 12 months. 1. Twilio Inc Market Capitalization $16.6B Twilio, a cloud communications company, has returned nearly 51% over the past year and ranks second in the Top Internet Services and Infrastructure sector, just behind Kingsoft Cloud Holdings. The company’s growth has been driven by stronger revenues, reduced losses, increased cash flow, and the completion of a high-profile ETF investor Cathie Wood’s stake sale. Twilio’s strong Q3’24 earnings suggest it’s well-positioned to capitalize on the growing AI trend well into 2025, with its stock more than doubling since May. Like many cloud computing companies, Twilio, based in San Francisco, gained prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic but initially struggled with high expenses and slow revenue growth. However, the surge in demand for generative AI, particularly through Twilio's CustomerAI platform which leverages large language models (LLMs) and natural language processing (NLP) to analyze customer data has played a key role in its remarkable recovery. TWLO Revisions, Momentum, and Valuation Over the past 90 days, Twilio has seen a remarkable 23 upward revisions to its earnings per share (EPS) and 27 revisions to its revenue projections from analysts, signaling a strong financial rebound. This turnaround is reflected in its ‘A’ Momentum Score, with six-month and nine-month price performances of 93.5% and 81.3%, respectively—both figures vastly outperforming the sector medians by over 1000%. As a result, Twilio has nearly doubled the performance of the S&P 500 in recent months. Twilio also demonstrates solid growth prospects, with a forward EBITDA growth rate of 50.6% (783% higher than the sector median), year-over-year operating cash flow growth of 520.8% (3,348.45% above the sector median), and an impressive levered free cash flow margin of 107% (603% above the sector median). However, its average forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30x indicates that Twilio trades at a premium compared to its peers, nearly 20% higher than the sector median. 2. Celestica Inc Market Capitalization $12B Celestica has seen a remarkable 255% increase in its stock price over the past year, driven by its strategic pivot toward AI infrastructure manufacturing. The company has carved out a niche in producing networking switches for data centers, and its Connectivity & Cloud Solutions segment, which makes up 67% of total revenue, has grown 42% year-over-year as tech companies invest more in AI-powered data centers. Its Q3 '24 results highlighted a 22% increase in revenue to $2.5 billion and record adjusted EPS of $1.04. CLS Valuation, Momentum, and Growth Celestica stands out for its attractive valuation, even with impressive returns in 2024. With a forward price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87, the stock appears undervalued compared to its peers. It boasts an ‘A+’ Momentum Grade, having received six upward EPS revisions and eight revenue revisions from analysts in the past 90 days. Its Growth Grade has improved significantly, rising from ‘C+’ to ‘B+’ due to forward EPS growth of 49% and year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 88%, both significantly outperforming the sector median. 3. DocuSign Market Capitalization $18.3B DocuSign, known for its electronic signature services, has embraced AI in innovative ways, particularly by adding new AI features to streamline contract agreement processes. These AI-driven tools have helped the company’s stock surge more than 21% following its impressive Q3 '24 earnings, and the growth trajectory is expected to continue in 2025 as DocuSign expands into new markets, both domestically and in Europe. As SA Analyst Noah’s Arc Capital Management notes, DocuSign's AI features have proven invaluable for businesses, simplifying the often complex task of reviewing and managing contracts. DOCU Growth, Valuation, and Profitability DocuSign has demonstrated exceptional growth, including an ‘A+’ EBIT growth rate of 239.21% (10,710% above the sector median) and year-over-year diluted EPS growth of 1,852.2% (24,971% higher than its peers). While its overall ‘C+’ Growth Score is somewhat tempered by a low forward return on equity growth forecast of -29.58%, the company’s valuation looks compelling. Its trailing and forward P/E GAAP ratios of 18.6 and 17.9 are 38.6% and 41.5% lower than the sector medians, suggesting that DocuSign's shares are undervalued. Furthermore, its ‘A+’-Rated PEG ratio of 0.01, a 99% difference from the sector median, points to a strong value proposition for investors. 4. FARO Technologies Market Capitalization $478.2M FARO Technologies, based in Lake Mary, Florida, specializes in 3D measurement technology and has leveraged AI to establish itself as a leader in "smart factories" and "intelligent automation." Its scanning technology has been instrumental in improving productivity and accelerating production timelines. The company has seen nearly 54% growth over the past six months, benefiting from the expanding global 3D scanning market, projected to grow to $11.85 billion by 2032 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.11%. In Q3, FARO reported $0.21 of nonGAAP EPS, marking its sixth consecutive quarter of exceeding expectations. This success is part of the company’s strategic plan, which includes the launch of a new line of laser scanners. FARO Growth and Valuation FARO's growth metrics stand out, with forward EBIT growth of 112.48%, 1,410.71% higher than the sector median, and an astonishing year-over-year levered free cash flow growth of 24,214.19%, 164,037% above the sector median. The company's forward EBITDA growth of 42.76%, 639.9% higher than the sector median, indicates robust growth ahead. FARO's stock is undervalued according to its metrics. It has an EV/sales ratio of 1.41, 59% lower than the sector median, and a price-to-book ratio of 1.9, 45% below the sector median, making it an attractive investment at its current valuation. 5. Proto Labs Market Capitalization $897 M Proto Labs, a Minnesota-based company, specializes in on-demand manufacturing solutions, enabling businesses to avoid the costs associated with stocking large quantities of products. Despite a recent dip of around 16% in share price, Proto Labs remains a promising investment due to its strong profitability and its impressive cash flow of $24.8 million in Q3 2024, the highest since its 2020 acquisition of 3D printing company 3D Hubs. Proto Labs has also seen five upward revisions to its EPS and five to its revenue over the last 90 days, signaling stronger-than-expected growth prospects. The company is positioned to benefit from the strong sector tailwinds of the global print-on-demand market, which was valued at $6.18 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.8% through 2030. PRLB Valuation Proto Labs boasts an impressive long-term growth rate of 25%, 119% higher than the sector's 11.4%, and a year-over-year capital expenditure (capex) growth of 74.4%, significantly outpacing the sector's 4.3%. This suggests that Proto Labs is reinvesting a large portion of its cash back into its operations to fuel future growth. The stock is fairly valued with a forward PEG ratio of 0.06, indicating that it is significantly undervalued compared to its peers, at a 49.3% discount from the sector. Its price-to-book ratio of 1.36 is also an attractive metric, 52.83% lower than the sector median. However, its ‘D’-rated forward and trailing P/E ratios of 39.9 and 48.8, respectively, reflect its recent price decline, leading to an overall Valuation Grade of ‘C’. 6. Freshworks Market Capitalization $4.9 B Freshworks, a cloud based SaaS company founded in India, is a strong candidate for a "buy the dip" opportunity. After a rough 2024, shares in Freshworks have begun to rebound, thanks to increasing demand for its AI-enabled software solutions. The company serves over 68,000 customers, including global brands like American Express, Shopify, and Airbus. Its Q3’24 financial results were filled with positive indicators: - 22% YoY revenue growth to $186.6M - 21% YoY increase in free cash flow - Raised full year guidance - Announced a $400M buyback plan - Maintains a debtfree balance sheet with strong liquidity Freshworks also announced a 13% reduction in headcount, which is expected to improve margins further, in addition to the impact of its share repurchase program. The company is poised to benefit from the booming AI SaaS market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of over 30% by 2031. FRSH Growth, Valuation, and Momentum Freshworks boasts an impressive A-’ Growth Score, underpinned by its solid revenue growth and forward revenue expansion of 17.8%, a 221.8% difference from the sector median. The company also has a 3-5 year long-term CAGR of 27.5%, significantly outpacing the sector by 824.2%. Its year-over-year capital expenditure growth stands at 83.3%, signaling reinvestment in future growth. In terms of valuation, Freshworks has a forward PEG of 1.51, suggesting that the stock is available at a slight discount to its peers. Similar to Proto Labs, its higher-than-average P/E ratios are likely due to its recent dip of around 9.3% over the past month. One of the standout features of Freshworks’ stock is its ‘A’ Revisions Score, which reflects 17 EPS upward revisions and 16 revenue upward revisions in the past three months. As the AI frenzy continues to dominate Wall Street, some of the valuations of major AI driven companies may be edging into overinflated territory. However,so far my Quant System highlights six ‘Strong Buy’ stocks that still exhibit strong fundamentals. These companies have, on average, risen about 60% over the past year, showcasing strong bullish momentum and solid valuations. For investors looking to integrate AI into their portfolios without succumbing to the hype, these stocks present a promising opportunity Which AI stock are you loading and why?
NYSE:CLSLong
by moonypto
Quantum Corporation: Major Levels to WatchGood morning, trading family! Quantum Corporation is at a crucial point: Above $34.50: A breakout could push us to $50 or even higher. Below $29: The downside opens up to the $6–$12 range. Stay sharp as these levels could define the next big move. This Sunday, I’m hosting a Master Your Mind Traders Class to help you build a stronger trading mindset and strategy. Seats are limited—send me a DM for details! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:QMCO
by Mindbloome-Trading
Trading Forex vs Stock CFDs: Differences and AdvantagesTrading Forex vs Stock CFDs: Differences and Advantages Forex and stock markets are two of the most popular options for traders, each offering unique opportunities and challenges. While forex focuses on trading global currency pairs, stocks involve buying and selling shares of companies. Understanding their differences—from market size and liquidity to trading costs and risk—can help traders choose the market that best suits their strategy. Let’s break down the key differences between forex and stocks. What Is Forex Trading vs Stock Trading? Let us start with some general information that you may already know. The forex market revolves around trading currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, and operates globally, making it the largest financial market with a daily turnover exceeding $7.5 trillion (April 2022). It’s decentralised, meaning transactions occur directly between participants across time zones, with no single central exchange. In contrast, the stock market involves buying and selling shares of publicly listed companies, like Tesla or Nvidia, through centralised exchanges such as the NYSE or LSE. Trading hours are fixed and tied to each exchange’s location, creating more defined trading windows. Forex markets are driven by macroeconomic events and international factors, while stocks are mostly influenced by company-specific developments like earnings reports and industry trends. In this article, we will talk about Contracts for Difference (CFD) trading. To explore live forex and stock CFD trading opportunities, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. Forex vs Stock Trading: Market Accessibility and Trading Hours One of the most important differences between forex and stock markets is their structure and timings. Forex: Open 24/5 The forex market operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, cycling through major trading sessions in Sydney, Tokyo, London, and New York. This continuous nature allows traders to react to global events in real-time, whether it’s midday in the UK or midnight in Asia. For example, a trader monitoring the London session can seamlessly transition into the New York session without waiting for markets to reopen. Stocks: Fixed Timeframes Stock trading is tied to the operating hours of centralised exchanges. For example, the NYSE runs from 9:30 am to 4:00 pm EST, while the LSE operates from 8:00 am to 4:30 pm GMT. This also applies to stock CFDs. Outside of these hours, activity is limited to pre- and post-market trading, which typically sees lower liquidity and higher spreads. Conclusion Forex provides flexibility for traders who value around-the-clock access, while stock traders need to plan their activity within set hours. This makes forex especially appealing to those with unconventional schedules or a need for an immediate market response. Trading Stocks vs Forex: Market Size and Liquidity The size and liquidity of a market dictate how efficiently trades are executed and at what cost. Forex and stock trading differs significantly in these areas. Forex: The $7.5 Trillion Giant The forex market stands as the largest in the financial world, with daily trading volumes exceeding $7.5 trillion (April, 2022). This immense size ensures high liquidity in many pairs, meaning they can be traded almost instantly with minimal price slippage. Tight spreads—often as low as fractions of a pip—make forex particularly attractive to traders seeking frequent, precise entries and exits. Stocks: Liquidity Highly Varies The stock market is smaller and is subject to more complicated factors, therefore, traders may suffer when opening and closing trades. First, stock liquidity highly depends on the company and its trading volume. Blue-chip stocks like Apple or BP typically offer high liquidity, which contributes to smooth transactions with competitive spreads. However, smaller, less-traded stocks may suffer from wider spreads and slower execution, particularly during market volatility. Second, trading hours affect market liquidity, making it challenging to trade before and after market close. Conclusion Forex’s unmatched liquidity mainly ensures consistent trade execution across major pairs. In contrast, stock traders must carefully choose assets to avoid issues with low liquidity, especially when trading small caps or during off-peak hours. Forex vs Stocks: Volatility and Price Drivers High volatility creates opportunities for traders by producing price swings that can be capitalised on. However, the factors driving these movements differ significantly between forex and stocks. Forex: Global Events and Macro Trends Forex volatility is often driven by large-scale economic and geopolitical events. Central bank interest rate decisions, employment data, inflation reports, and geopolitical tensions can cause significant price shifts. For instance, a hawkish Federal Reserve announcement can lead to USD appreciation against other currencies. Currency pairs also experience varying levels of volatility depending on their classification. Major pairs like EUR/USD tend to be less volatile than exotic pairs such as USD/ZAR, where price swings can be much more dramatic due to lower liquidity and heightened economic risks. Stocks: Company-Specific Drivers Stock volatility is more granular, often linked to specific companies. Earnings reports, mergers, leadership changes, or industry news can move a single stock significantly. Broader market trends, such as sector-wide sentiment shifts, can also drive volatility, but these are secondary to company-specific factors. For example, Tesla’s earnings announcement can cause sharp movements in its share price without impacting other automakers. Conclusion Forex volatility is broader and influenced by global macroeconomic trends, while stocks are typically driven by isolated, company-specific events. This distinction makes forex appealing for traders focusing on macro analysis and technical patterns, whereas stock traders often blend fundamental company research with broader market trends to identify trading opportunities. Forex Trading vs Stock Trading: Trading Costs and Leverage Trading costs and leverage significantly impact a trader’s strategy and potential returns. And choosing between trading stocks or forex is no exception. Forex: Potentially Low Costs and High Leverage Forex may provide opportunities for lower-cost trading, with fees paid via commissions and spreads. For instance, forex commissions at FXOpen start at $1.50 per lot, depending on account size. Spreads are usually tight for major pairs like EUR/USD, making costs relatively low. At FXOpen, you can trade with spreads from 0.0 pips. Forex offers significantly higher leverage compared to stocks. While this allows traders to operate with smaller capital, it requires disciplined risk management to avoid significant losses. Stocks: Higher Costs, Lower Leverage Stock trading via CFDs typically incurs higher costs compared to forex, with commissions charged per trade or embedded in spreads. For instance, at FXOpen, US stock CFD traders can see commissions charged from 0.04% to 0.1%, varying by account size, with a minimum commission of $1 per order. Leverage is also lower—usually capped at 1:5 for retail traders, reflecting the relative instability of stock prices compared to currencies. Conclusion Forex CFDs offer lower costs and higher leverage, making it popular among traders with a short-term focus. Stock CFDs, while more expensive, give access to financial instruments for portfolio diversification. Choosing between them depends on the trader’s goals, risk tolerance, and preferred market dynamics. Forex vs Stocks: Regulation and Market Transparency Regulation and transparency are critical for traders when choosing between forex and stocks. Both markets are regulated, but their structures create distinct differences in how pricing and trade execution work. Forex: Decentralised and Broker-Driven The forex market is decentralised, meaning trades are executed through brokers rather than central exchanges. This structure can lead to variations in pricing and execution quality, depending on the broker. Therefore, traders need to find regulated brokers to avoid issues with unreliable pricing or execution. For example, FXOpen is regulated by the FCA and CySEC to ensure fair practices and client fund protection. Stocks: Centralised and Transparent Traditional stock markets operate on centralised exchanges like the NYSE or LSE, where all trades are matched through a regulated order book. This ensures consistent pricing and high transparency, as traders can see bid and ask levels across the market. At the same time, stock CFDs are traded on a broker level. Conclusion Forex and stock CFDs’ decentralised nature provides flexibility but relies heavily on broker reliability. Forex Trading vs Stock Trading: Suitability for Different Trader Types Deciding between forex trading and stock trading comes down to choosing between each market’s unique characteristics. Forex: Favouring Short-Term Strategies Forex is ideal for short-term traders, such as scalpers and day traders. Its high liquidity and round-the-clock trading mean there’s always an opportunity to act on price movements, especially during overlapping sessions like London and New York. The use of leverage, often higher in forex, makes it appealing for those seeking to amplify returns on smaller price shifts (please remember that higher leverage leads to higher risks). Traders in forex often focus on technical analysis, utilising chart patterns and indicators, and study macroeconomic data to analyse short-term trends. This market tends to suit individuals who are comfortable with frequent decision-making and quick trade execution. Stocks: A Blend of Short and Medium-Term Trading Stock trading, particularly via CFDs, is more versatile, attracting both medium-term and swing traders. While day trading is possible, the structured trading hours and broader price swings make stocks particularly appealing for those who prefer holding positions for days or weeks. Stock traders often lean on company-specific fundamentals, such as earnings reports or sector trends, alongside technical analysis. This market suits individuals who prefer analysing individual businesses or sector dynamics over global macro trends. Conclusion Forex trading caters to short-term strategies, attracting traders who thrive on quick decisions and frequent trades, while stock trading offers flexibility, appealing to those who prefer a mix of short- and medium-term strategies with a focus on company fundamentals. Each market has unique characteristics, allowing traders to choose based on their style and objectives. The Bottom Line Both forex and stock markets may offer unique opportunities tailored to different trading strategies and goals. Whether you’re drawn to forex’s 24/5 accessibility or the structured transparency of stocks, understanding their key differences is crucial. Ready to explore forex and stock CFD trading? Open an FXOpen account today and take advantage of competitive spreads, fast execution speeds, and a wide range of instruments. FAQ Is the Stock Market Bigger Than Forex? No, the forex market is significantly larger. Forex sees daily trading volumes exceeding $7.5 trillion (April, 2022). This makes forex the largest and most liquid market, popular among traders seeking tighter spreads and fast execution. What Is the Correlation Between Forex and Stock Markets? The relationship varies. Commodity-linked currencies like AUD or CAD often correlate with related stocks or indices. Broader market sentiment, such as risk-on or risk-off conditions, can also drive both forex and stocks in similar or opposing directions. Should I Invest in Forex or Stocks? It depends on your trading style. Forex could suit short-term traders focusing on global economic trends, while stocks might appeal to those who prefer company analysis or medium-term strategies. Which May Offer Greater Returns, Forex or Stocks? Ultimately, potential returns depend on your strategy and discipline. Forex offers higher leverage for short-term trades, but higher leverage leads to higher risks. Stocks may provide better longer-term growth potential, but they are subject to high volatility. Which Is Riskier, Forex or Stocks? Forex can be riskier due to leverage and rapid price swings. Stocks also carry risks, particularly from company-specific events, but lower leverage makes losses potentially less amplified. The risk depends on your approach and management. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
QMCO at a Make-or-Break Moment: 5 Key Levels to Watch Now Morning Trading Family QMCO is approaching a critical crossroads, and the next move could bring some serious action. Let’s break it down with key levels and what they mean for traders. If we break below $65.46 The outlook turns bearish. These are the levels to watch on the way down: $60: First stop. This is where buyers might step in to test the waters. $55: A deeper pullback that could bring more attention from the market. $52: A critical level. If we hit this, it’s time to reevaluate what’s next. If we break above $68.37 This would signal a potential shift in behavior, and the bulls might take over. Here’s what could happen: $70: The next challenge for price to clear. $73: A key level that could act as resistance. Above $73? That’s the green light for a long position. If the price moves past $73, it’s likely that the trend has flipped, and we could see much higher levels. What You Can Do -Keep a close eye on $65.46 and $68.37. These levels are your signals for the next move. -Plan ahead—set stop-loss levels to manage your risk. -Stick to your strategy and don’t rush into trades without confirmation. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to follow, like, or boost this video. Have questions about other charts or feeling stuck with trading? Send me a DM—I’m here to help! Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:QMCO
by Mindbloome-Trading
Atlassian | Transitioning from Server to Cloud & Now to AI Atlassian’s Secret to Success: Free Stuff, Fancy Upgrades, and Lots of AI In 2020, Atlassian, the Australian software leader known for tools like Jira and Confluence, initiated its transition to a cloud-first model, phasing out its legacy Server business. This strategic pivot has reshaped its revenue model and driven significant growth. Cloud Momentum Atlassian’s Cloud revenue surged 31% year-over-year in Q1 FY25 to $792 million, surpassing investor expectations. The transition highlights the company’s agility and sustained expansion in a competitive market. SaaS Growth Strategy Atlassian employs a "land-and-expand" SaaS model, attracting customers with low-cost or free products and encouraging upgrades to premium features and additional solutions. Key Highlights -💻 300,000+ customers, including 84% of Fortune 500 companies, spanning software development, IT, and business teams. - 🏢 524 enterprise customers generating $MIL:1M+ ARR, reflecting deeper engagement with large organizations. -🤖 AI adoption: A 10x increase in Atlassian Intelligence usage this year has driven premium upgrades and enhanced productivity. Innovation and Expansion Atlassian continues to focus on product-led growth with recent launches like Atlassian Focus for enterprise strategy and Advanced Editions , offering premium features for existing tools. Financial Perspective -Profitability challenges: Q1 FY25 saw a $32 million operating loss (3% loss margin), a slight decline from last year. This is due to sustained R&D investments (51% of revenue, +2pp YoY), reflecting a long-term growth strategy over immediate profitability. -Server phase-out: Ending the Server business has boosted cloud and data center revenue. -Data Center growth: Revenue grew 38% YoY to $336 million, serving as a transitional solution for customers not yet ready for full cloud migration. Atlassian is positioning Data Center as a stepping stone rather than a permanent option. Future Outlook Atlassian is well placed to leverage rising demand for cloud based tools and AI advancements. However, challenges persist, including macroeconomic uncertainties, competition, and profitability pressures. While generative AI offers new opportunities, it also presents risks such as increased competition and the potential slowing of paid seat growth, a critical revenue stream. Atlassian’s ability to navigate these challenges will determine its long-term success in this transformative phase.
NASDAQ:TEAMLong
by moonypto
1
Micron ($MU) is Poised for Action – Here’s What’s ComingMicron is sitting at a major decision point, and the next move could be big. Here’s the game plan: If we drop below $84: Things could get bumpy, with possible corrections to $74, $70, or even $63–$64. If we break above $93: The sky’s the limit, with targets at $100, $110, and maybe even $138 on the horizon. This is one to watch closely. Big moves are coming, so stay sharp and ready to ride the wave! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MU
by Mindbloome-Trading
Micron ($MU) is Poised for Action – Here’s What’s ComingMicron is sitting at a major decision point, and the next move could be big. Here’s the game plan: If we drop below $84: Things could get bumpy, with possible corrections to $74, $70, or even $63–$64. If we break above $93: The sky’s the limit, with targets at $100, $110, and maybe even $138 on the horizon. This is one to watch closely. Big moves are coming, so stay sharp and ready to ride the wave! Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MU
by Mindbloome-Trading
Bit Digital, Inc. ($BTBT): High-Risk, High-Reward OpportunityBit Digital, Inc. ( NASDAQ:BTBT ): High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity Trade Setup: - Entry Price: $4.30 - Stop-Loss:** $3.34 - Take-Profit Target: $8.40 - Long-Term Target: $16.77 Rationale: Bit Digital, Inc. is a digital asset mining company focusing on Bitcoin. The stock has exhibited significant volatility, often influenced by the performance of the cryptocurrency market. This setup presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity, appealing to traders with a higher risk tolerance. Financial Performance: In Q3 2024, Bit Digital reported a net loss of $2.69 million, with total revenue of $98 million over the trailing twelve months. The company's financial performance is closely tied to Bitcoin's market dynamics. Volume and Short Interest: The stock has experienced increased volatility, correlating with Bitcoin's price movements and recent company expansions. The acquisition of renewable energy assets reflects a strategic move towards sustainable operations. Analyst Ratings: Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some maintaining a "Buy" rating and price targets around $6.00, indicating potential upside from the current price. Risk Management: Given the stock's volatility, strict adherence to the stop-loss at $3.34 is crucial to manage potential losses. The take-profit target of $8.40 offers a favourable risk-reward ratio, but traders should be prepared for significant price fluctuations. When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, Just Ride the Wave! *Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Traders should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions.*
NASDAQ:BTBTLong
by SiriusTrading
2
Can Tencent salvage Ubisoft's sinking ship?Ubisoft’s stock pumped 35% couple of days ago following a Bloomberg report suggesting that Tencent may either acquire the company or take it private Although the French gaming company didn’t confirm or deny the speculation, it did state that it’s considering "all strategic options" for the benefit of its stakeholders and will notify the market when necessary If Tencent proceeds, it would mark another significant acquisition in a wave of major gaming deals over recent years: - Activision Blizzard acquired by Microsoft for $69 billion in 2023. - Zynga acquired by Take-Two for $12.7 billion in 2022. - ZeniMax Media acquired by Microsoft for $7.5 billion in 2021. - Savvy Games acquired by Scopely for $4.9 billion in 2023. - Bungie acquired by Sony for $3.7 billion in 2022. - Glu Mobile acquired by EA for $2.4 billion in 2021. - Keywords Studios acquired by EQT for $2.4 billion in 2024. Ubisoft’s valuation sits at just $2 billion, nearly 90% below its peak in 2021! The stock fell by more than 40% in September alone, so this recent surge is only a brief reprieve. Given its diminished value, a potential buyer offering a premium wouldn’t necessarily be a massive win. So, how should we interpret this news, and what can we anticipate for future gaming M&A activity? Let’s break it down. Key Points 1.Ubisoft’s Challenges 2.Potential Buyers 3.IP Gold Rush 4.Future of Gaming M&A 1. Ubisoft’s Challenges Ubisoft has faced setbacks including canceled games, delays, and a dip in quality in the post-pandemic era. Let’s take a look at the fiscal year 2024, which ends in March. Consider this metric reflects the total amount spent by users within a period, covering game sales, in-game purchases, subscriptions, and downloadable content (DLC). It’s an important measure of business performance, with net bookings recognized as revenue over time, depending on content delivery and user engagement Key takeaways: Digital-first: 86% of Ubisoft's net bookings come from digital sales (premium, free-to-play, and subscriptions). It was 12% in 2013, illustrating the transformative past decade. Far behind on mobile: Ubisoft has trailed its peers, with only 7% of revenue coming from mobile. In contrast, nearly half of the industry’s revenue comes from smartphones. Margins improved after cost-cutting: Digital games are a high gross margin business, particularly with the back catalog (title released in previous years) making up nearly two-thirds of net bookings. Targeted restructurings impacted FY23, making the short-term margin trend misleading. Ubisoft laid off 1,700 employees between September 2022 and March 2024, roughly 6% of its workforce. Short-lived turnaround: FY23 was a challenging year, with Net bookings collapsing by 18% with the underperformance of Mario + Rabbids: Sparks of Hope and Just Dance 2023. In FY24, Net bookings rebounded sharply, growing 34% with the successful release of Assassin’s Creed Mirage and The Crew Motorfest. FY25 Collapses in a Week: After the underperformance of Star Wars Outlaws (released at the end of August and originally expected to be a blockbuster) and the delayed launch of Assassin’s Creed Shadows from November to February, Ubisoft revised its FY25 net bookings forecast down to €1.95 billion, a 16% decline year-over-year (compared to the "solid growth" expected earlier). The company now anticipates barely breaking even on an adjusted basis. The decision to delay Assassin’s Creed Shadows just weeks before its scheduled release was influenced by the poor reception of *Star Wars Outlaws*. However, the three-month delay might not be enough to resolve concerns over game quality or criticisms from the Japanese community regarding historical and cultural inaccuracies. But that’s not all! In addition to these financial and operational difficulties, Ubisoft has faced allegations of a toxic workplace. Several former executives from the *Assassin’s Creed* studio were arrested as part of an investigation into sexual assault and harassment. This situation mirrors the downfall of Activision Blizzard in the months leading up to its acquisition by Microsoft, which leads us to potential buyers for Ubisoft. 2. Potential Buyers Ubisoft remains a family-run company, largely overseen by its founders. The latest annual report reveals the following voting rights: - The Guillemot family controls 20.5% - Tencent owns 9.2% In September, minority shareholder AJ Investments claimed it had gained backing from 10% of shareholders and called for Ubisoft to be sold or taken private, estimating a fair value of €40 to €45 per share. With shares currently trading at €13, this seems highly optimistic. So, who are the likely candidates for a Ubisoft buyout? Key Players: -Tencent: Already a significant shareholder, Tencent could increase its stake or seek majority control. As the largest gaming company globally by revenue, Tencent has a history of acquisitions, such as its purchase of Finnish publisher Supercell (*Clash of Clans*) for $8.6 billion in 2016. However, Tencent's aggressive expansion has drawn regulatory scrutiny, especially in the US and Europe, which could complicate any attempt to acquire majority control of Ubisoft. Guillemot Family: The founding family might be interested in reclaiming greater control of Ubisoft and steering it in a new direction. To finance the buyout, they could collaborate with a private equity firm or a strategic investor. However, given Ubisoft's current size and the significant cost associated with a buyout, it could be difficult for the Guillemot family to pursue this path on their own. Other Potential Investors: Private equity firms or strategic investors within the gaming sector might also join a buyout consortium. These investors could be drawn to Ubisoft’s valuable intellectual property (IP) and see potential for a turnaround under new leadership. Gaming Companies: Besides Tencent, the largest gaming revenue players in 2023 are highlighted in the visual. -Apple and Google: Although both tech giants have been expanding into gaming, acquiring Ubisoft seems unlikely given their current antitrust scrutiny. -NetEase, EA, and TakeTwo: These companies would find an Ubisoft acquisition to be a straightforward studio consolidation. NetEase, in particular, might find it appealing to broaden its console and PC presence in the West, but Tencent’s involvement could complicate this. -Sony and Microsoft: As first-party publishers, both would benefit from boosting their subscription services with exclusive content. They’ve aggressively acquired studios in recent years. Given that the Activision Blizzard deal was approved, there’s no reason a Ubisoft acquisition couldn’t pass as well. In their latest fiscal year, gaming accounted for 32% of Sony’s revenue and less than 9% of Microsoft’s. 3. IP Gold Rush In the gaming industry, intellectual property (IP) is crucial. Iconic franchises like *Call of Duty*, *Mario*, and *Grand Theft Auto* are multi-billion-dollar assets that significantly impact a company’s future. As a result, many companies are eager to acquire established IPs or gain access to the teams behind them. Why is IP so valuable? -Lower risk: Developing a new AAA game can cost hundreds of millions and take years, with no guarantee of success. Acquiring a popular IP allows companies to tap into an existing fanbase and reduces the risk of failure. -Brand power: Consumers are more inclined to purchase games with familiar characters, worlds, or studios behind them. Well-known creators like Hideo Kojima (*Metal Gear*) and Hidetaka Miyazaki (*Elden Ring*) are just as significant. -Content scalability: Famous IPs can generate revenue through sequels, spin-offs, and licensing deals. Large publishers have the infrastructure to maximize returns across multiple channels. This strategy isn’t unique to gaming. Media giants follow similar patterns: -Amazon’s acquisition of MGM: In 2021, Amazon acquired MGM for $8.5 billion, gaining access to franchises like *James Bond* to enhance its Prime Video content. -Disney’s acquisition of Lucasfilm and Marvel: These acquisitions have delivered massive returns through movies, TV series, and licensing opportunities. Why now? -Consolidation pressure: Subscription services and cross-platform gaming are driving consolidation. Big companies want to secure valuable IPs to differentiate their services and attract loyal customers. Meanwhile, smaller studios are more open to selling early to avoid competing in an increasingly crowded and capital-intensive market. -Value in ownership: Owning IPs in gaming allows companies to create expansive worlds and engage players long-term through updates, expansions, and live services. This keeps players coming back and generates recurring revenue, which is harder to achieve in video content. -Cross media expansion: Popular games can expand into movies, TV series, or theme parks. For instance, *The Last of Us* became a hit HBO show, and Sony is developing TV adaptations for Horizon Zero Dawn and God of War. This leads to more revenue, a broader audience, and long-lasting IP appeal. The Ubisoft Angle Ubisoft’s IPs, like *Assassin’s Creed*, *Far Cry*, and *Tom Clancy’s Rainbow Six*, have significant potential for future growth, despite recent struggles. However, realizing that potential might require new leadership or a fresh strategy, which a new owner could provide. Even though Ubisoft faces challenges, its strong portfolio might attract various buyers. For the right acquirer, Ubisoft's problems could represent a chance to buy low and rework its creative direction. As more studios seek to hedge their risks in this changing industry, we can expect more mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the future. 4. The Future of Gaming M&A The gaming industry is constantly evolving, and several trends are fueling a surge in mergers and acquisitions: -Mobile-first: Mobile gaming is the largest and fastest-growing segment, making companies with a strong mobile presence attractive. Examples include Playrix (Gardenscapes,Homescapes) and Scopely (MONOPOLY GO!,Stumble Guys) -Cross-platform: Cross-platform play is becoming the standard, and companies with expertise in this area are in high demand. Unity and Epic Games play vital roles with their popular game engines, while major studios are also building in-house solutions. - Cloud gaming: Still in its early stages, cloud gaming has the potential to revolutionize how games are played. Companies with cloud infrastructure are becoming more valuable, with leaders like Microsoft (Game Pass Ultimate), Sony (PlayStation Plus Premium), and NVIDIA (GeForce Now) pushing the trend. -Metaverse: Beyond AR/VR, virtual worlds like *Roblox* and *Fortnite* have created immersive, social spaces that keep players engaged beyond traditional gameplay. Companies developing these experiences are attractive targets for firms looking to capitalize on this trend. -Web3 & Blockchain: Web3 games enable decentralized ownership and in-game economies powered by blockchain. This trend lets players own and trade digital assets, opening new revenue streams and drawing interest from companies exploring the intersection of gaming and crypto. -AI driven studios: AI is already influencing game development, and its role will only grow. Companies with AI expertise, particularly in game design and player behavior analysis, are becoming highly sought after. As AI reduces development costs, budgets could shift towards live services and marketing. The Big Picture The gaming industry is consolidating, with major players acquiring valuable studios and IPs. While there will always be space for indie games—especially as AI lowers the barrier to entry—industry consolidation will likely strengthen the top companies and leave less room for those in the middle. If a company like Ubisoft, valued at over $12 billion in 2021, is struggling to survive on its own, the future looks bleak for many smaller studios
EURONEXT:UBI
by moonypto
4
ARIES AGRO: 50% Profit in Intraday TradeARIES AGRO (15-Minute Timeframe) - Intraday Sensation! Trade Overview: Aries Agro delivers a phenomenal intraday performance, achieving a 50% gain with 5x margin trading. All targets are marked with clear progression on the chart using the Risological trading indicator. Key Levels: Entry: 283.40 Stop Loss (SL): 281.75 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 285.35 TP2: 288.60 TP3: 291.80 TP4: 293.80 Technical Insight: The price rallied sharply, riding strong bullish momentum, with each target systematically achieved. The Risological Swing Trader Indicator confirmed the long trade setup early, providing a low-risk, high-reward opportunity. The upward slope of the moving averages added further confidence to the bullish scenario. Strategy Tip: Intraday traders using margin positions are advised to monitor momentum near TP4 for potential reversals or consolidation. Always ensure disciplined stop-loss placement. A true powerhouse intraday trade — Aries Agro showcases the magic of leveraged trading!
NSE:ARIESLong
by ProfitsNinja
NTDOY | NINTENDO & Nintendo Switch 2 🍄The next Nintendo console might arrive in 2024 Nintendo has reportedly demonstrated the Nintendo Switch 2 behind closed doors at Gamescom last month.some trusted developers got an early look at the Switch 2 and some tech demos of how games run on the unannounced system. There was reportedly a demo of an improved version of Zelda: Breath of the Wild that’s designed to run on the more advanced hardware inside the Nintendo Switch 2, VGC corroborated the claims and revealed that Nintendo also showcased Epic Games’ The Matrix Awakens Unreal Engine 5 tech demo running on the type of hardware Nintendo is targeting for its next console. The demo reportedly used Nvidia’s DLSS upscaling technology with ray tracing enabled, suggesting Nintendo and Nvidia are working on a significant chip upgrade for this next-gen console. in July that a new Nintendo Switch is being planned for a 2024 release. With 43 years of making immensely popular video games under its belt, you'd think that the video game pioneers at Nintendo probably have the business of success fully figured out. But companies must change with the times and, according to Nintendo of America president Doug Bowser, that means finding a way to engage people with the legacy brand that might never pick up a video game controller. Bowser spoke about what the company learned this year during the Nintendo Live event in Seattle, Wa. on Sept 1, referencing the enormous box office success of the "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" as one of its key indicators that Nintendo has the ability to reach an audience beyond those that naturally reach for a controller. "We launched The Super Mario Bros. Movie, which very quickly became the second-largest box office grossing animated film of all time at $1.3 billion," Bowser said. "We launched The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom, which, 18 million units later after a very brief period of time, it's one of our fastest launch titles ever, and then the event today. So it's really this drumbeat of activities, entertainment-based activities where we're trying to find ways to continue to introduce more and more people, not just players, but people to Nintendo IP… So that's what we're excited about." Bowser also spoke about the launch of Super Nintendo World at Universal Hollywood, which delivered an impressive 25% bump to Comcast's Q1 earnings this year. "And if I think about folding into the bigger strategy, this year has really been a very unique, and I dare say banner year for Nintendo in a lot of ways," Bowser said.Nintendo also continues to benefit from the sales of its aging Nintendo Switch console, with 129.53 million units sold worldwide. That makes it the company's second best-selling console of all time, right behind the handheld Nintendo DS, which sold 154.2 million units before it was discontinued in 2014. The success of "The Super Mario Bros. Movie" drove rumors that another big feature film based on Nintendo's flagship Legend of Zelda series was coming as well, but Nintendo hasn't made a formal announcement about that ... yet. Gaming is in the midst of an M&A arms race. The protracted pandemic has made sure of that. Companies from all sides of the market, Microsoft, Take Two, Sony to name a few, are cutting deals to secure content. The volume and scale of those deals point to where gaming is heading - the precipice of major shake-ups across its core commercial and distribution models. Microsoft's eye bulging $69 billion deal for Activision is a testament to that shift. Costly as the deal is, it's arguably a small price to pay to secure some of the biggest franchises in gaming: Call of Duty, Warcraft, Candy Crush and Overwatch. Even more so, considering those titles span a community of 400 million active monthly players. In other words, the deal is the boldest sign yet that content is the future of gaming, not consoles. Should you invest in Nintendo? The question comes down to whether you are willing to pay about SGX:40B for Nintendo's IP and potential earnings powers. To me, a company that continues to produce in-demand and profitable content is worth that price tag, especially after having generated a net profit of 432.7B yen, or $2.97B in FY2023. That's a P/E of about 13.5 after subtracting out Nintendo's current assets - not a hefty sum given everything Nintendo has going for it. Nintendo's strategy seems to be working, with The Super Mario Bros. Movie not only performing well on its own but also providing a boost to other Nintendo offerings. While there are concerns, there are also plenty of catalysts moving ahead. I am excited to see new Nintendo initiatives including more theatrical releases of their IP and their (positive) effects on the rest of the company's products.
OTC:NTDOYLong
by moonypto
POLICYBAZAAR (POLICYBZR) Trade UpdateTrade Overview: A strong bullish momentum is evident, with TP1 already achieved at 1709.20. The remaining targets are well within reach, given the current trend. Key Levels: Entry: 1677.05 Stop Loss (SL): 1651.05 Take Profit Targets: TP2: 1761.20 TP3: 1813.20 TP4: 1845.30 Technical Insight: The price is holding above the critical support levels, with the GREEN trend line from the Risological Indicator signaling continued upward movement. Traders are advised to trail the stop loss to lock in profits as the trade progresses. Keep monitoring for trend continuity!
NSE:POLICYBZRLong
by ProfitsNinja
Why Bioceres Crop Solutions is the Top Stock to Buy in 2024As the world grapples with increasing food demands and the urgent need for sustainable agricultural practices, one company stands at the forefront of this vital transformation: Bioceres Crop Solutions. With its innovative approach to crop enhancement and a robust portfolio of groundbreaking agricultural technologies, Bioceres is not just reshaping how we grow our food—it’s also poised to deliver impressive returns for savvy investors in 2024. in this supply and demand and price action analysis, I will explore why Bioceres Crop Solutions is more than just a stock; it’s a beacon of hope for sustainable farming and an investment opportunity you can’t miss! With a strong foundation built on years of experience, impressive financial performance and a very strong demand imbalance at $6.20 per share, which took control in November 2024, we expect a decent reaction. The stock could rally more than 70% in the following weeks.
NASDAQ:BIOXLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
Barrick Gold (GOLD): Up 33%—Time to Take Profits?What a rise by Barrick Gold since we bought some shares at the end of February 2024. Patience pays off most of the time, and so it has with Barrick Gold. We are now up over 33% with this stock, and we’re very happy with this last-second entry before the stock took off. Gold continues to rise, and Barrick Gold is following suit. However, after every rise, a setback—whether major or minor—will happen sooner or later, and we’re definitely not getting greedy here. We’re going to take our first profit now and move our stop loss to break even. If we decide to reenter with a second position, we’ll let you know with a new limit. For now, we’re just enjoying this setup and the profit. Let’s keep this going 🔥
NYSE:GOLDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
NVIDIA at a Crossroads: Breakout to $150+ or a Dip to $138 Morning, trading family! Hope you’re all doing well. Let’s chat about NVDA—things are shaping up, and it feels like we’re at a bit of a crossroads. I’ve got a few scenarios in mind, so let’s walk through them together. Scenario 1: If we can break above this trendline, NVDA could gather some steam and make a nice run into the 150s. That would be a pretty strong move, and if momentum holds, we could keep cruising higher from there. Scenario 2: There’s also the chance we dip down into the 139-138 zone first. If buyers show up here, it might just be a little reset—kind of like taking a breath before pushing higher again. Scenario 3: If the market decides to break below 138, we could see a deeper pullback toward 136. It might feel like a bigger drop, but that could be the market giving us a better entry point before it starts building back up. The key here is not to get ahead of things—just let the market show us its hand. It’s all about staying patient and prepared. What do you guys think? Do we break up, or do we get a dip first? I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below and let’s talk it through. Mindbloome Trading/ Kris Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
WAAREE Short Trade Targets in Play, Massive Drop to 1571!WAAREE (15m time frame), Short Trade Entry: ₹1,763.00 Current Price: ₹1,571.00 All Targets Done! Key Levels: Entry: ₹1,763.00 – After confirming a strong bearish signal, short entry was executed. Stop-Loss (SL): ₹1,767.60 – Placed above key resistance to protect against potential reversals. Take Profit 1 (TP1): ₹1,757.30 – First target triggered, confirming downward movement. Take Profit 2 (TP2): ₹1,748.10 – Critical support level broken. Take Profit 3 (TP3): ₹1,738.90 – More aggressive downside level confirmed Take Profit 4 (TP4): ₹1,733.25 – Final target hit for deep correction in this trend. Trend Analysis: WAAREE’s price continues to plunge after a decisive break below multiple support levels, confirming strong selling pressure. With the current price at ₹1,571, this trade has captured a significant move, with further downside potential still in play.
BSE:WAAREERTLShort
by ProfitsNinja
Advanced Micro Devices | AMD Team RED is READY As with any competitor, a quarterly earnings report from a peer can provide great insight into the market. For Advanced Micro Devices, the Q2'23 earnings report from Intel provides great views on the surging demand for AI chips and a rebound in PC demand crucial for AMD The most immediate signal from Intel beating Q2'23 estimates and guiding up for Q3 is the rebound in PC demand. Most importantly, the inventory correction appears over with OEMs no longer digesting chip inventory.Back in Q3'22, AMD shocked the market by cutting PC revenue estimates by $1 billion. The company quickly went from $2 billion in quarterly CPU sales for PCs to less than $1 billion. Intel still reported Q2 Client Computing revenue was down 12% YoY to $6.8 billion, but the number was up $1.0 billion sequentially. The chip giant guided up Q3 revenue to $13.4 billion, up $0.5 billion sequentially.In Q1'23, AMD reported that client revenues had fallen further to only $739 million. AMD CPU revenues are now far over $1 billion per quarter below the peak levels providing substantial upside potential when the PC market normalizes. Intel discussed a mixed picture for their business in the near term due to AI. The chip giant is seeing a wallet share shift from the sever CPU spend towards AI chips.The move is both good and bad for AMD. The company has the MI300 AI GPU chip hitting the market in Q4 providing a strong competitor to the booming demand for the H100 from Nvidia, but the chip isn't out on the market yet. In the near term, AMD may see some suppressed data center demand while heading into 2024. Ultimately, the company should see upside from AI demand for the MI300 along with the Alveo AI accelerator.On the Q2'23 earnings call, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger suggested the AI pipeline for 2024 had surged to $1 billion: In my formal remarks, we said we now have over $1 billion of pipeline, 6x in the last quarter. Going back a few months, Morgan Stanley had estimated the AI potential for AMD was only $400 million with upside potential to $1.2 billion. The Intel forecasts would suggest the AI potential for AMD is far higher next year when the MI300 is in full-scale production. Nvidia guided up current quarter sales estimates by 50% to over $11 billion. The company suggested data center sales would reach $7+ billion in the quarter. AMD has only seen data center sales reach $1.3 billion in quarterly sales leaving a huge gap from Nvidia. Even Intel still hit $4.0 billion in data center sales during Q2'23, though the amount is down nearly 20% form 2022 levels due in part to losing market share to AMD. The big issue for AMD is whether data center sales growth stalls causing a miss to 2H sales targets while booming AI demand ultimately boosts sales starting in Q1'24, or maybe Q4. The chip company peaked at quarterly sales of $6.6 billion back Q2'22 and the current quarterly analyst estimates aren't very aggressive. A rebound in PC demand to more normalized levels places AMD back at the Q4'23 revenue target of $6.5 billion alone. A PC rebound to normal digestion ($2 billion quarterly run rate) along with higher data center or AI demand leads to vastly higher revenues in 2024. The current analysts aren't even factoring in much growth in the Q2'24 revenue estimate of $6.76 billion. The amount is just 4% upside from Q2'22 despite potentially surging demand from AMD entering the AI GPU space. AMD is set to report earrings after the close on August 1. Investors should focus less on the Q2 numbers or even Q3 guidance and focus more on a return to more normalized revenue levels plus the upside from AI.Our view has long held that AMD has the earnings potential of $5 to $6 and the AI opportunity is all upside to this view. The key investor takeaway is that AMD is still $50 below all time highs while Nvidia has soared over $100 above the late 2021 highs. Investors should use the current weakness in AMD to load up on the stock while leaving some capital to buy any weakness following Q2 earnings due to the potential for near term disappointment leading to long term opportunities.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by moonypto
12