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Intel Corporation | INTCIntel reported second quarter earnings on Thursday, showing a return to profitability after two straight quarters of losses and issuing a stronger-than-expected forecast. the stock rose 7% in extended trading.
Here’s how Intel did versus Refinitiv consensus expectations for the quarter ended July 1:
Earnings per share: 13 cents, adjusted, versus a loss of 3 cents expected by Refinitiv.
Revenue: $12.9 billion, versus $12.13 billion expected by Refinitiv.
For the third quarter, Intel expects earnings of 20 cents per share, adjusted, on revenue of $13.4 billion at the midpoint, versus analyst expectations of 16 cents per share on $13.23 billion in sales.
Intel posted net income of $1.5 billion, or 35 cents per share, versus a net loss of $454 million, or a loss of 11 cents per share, in the same quarter last year.
Revenue fell 15% to $12.9 billion from $15.3 billion a year ago, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of declining sales.
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on a call with analysts the company still sees “persistent weakness” in all segments of its business through year-end, and that server chip sales won’t recover until the fourth quarter. He also said that cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for artificial intelligence instead of Intel’s central processors.
David Zinsner, Intel’s finance chief, said in a statement that part of the reason the report was stronger than expected was because of the progress the company has made toward slashing $3 billion in costs this year. Earlier this year, Intel slashed its dividend and announced plans to save $10 billion per year by 2025, including through layoffs.
“We have now exited nine lines of business since Gelsinger rejoined the company, with a combined annual savings of more than $1.7 billion,” said Zinsner.
Revenue in Intel’s Client Computing group, which includes the company’s laptop and desktop processor shipments, fell 12% to $6.8 billion. The overall PC market has been slumping for over a year. Intel’s server chip division, which is reported as Data Center and AI, saw sales decline 15% to $4 billion plus Intel’s Network and Edge division, which sells networking products for telecommunications, recorded a 38% decline in revenue to $1.4 billion.moreover Mobileye, a publicly traded Intel subsidiary focusing on self-driving cars, saw sales slip 1% on an annual basis to $454 million and Intel Foundry Services, the business that makes chips for other companies, reported $232 million in revenue.
Intel’s gross margin was nearly 40% on an adjusted basis, topping the company’s previous forecast of 37.5%. Investors want to see gross margins expand even as the company invests heavily in manufacturing capability.
In the first quarter, the company posted its largest loss ever as the PC and server markets slumped and demand declined for its central processors. Intel’s results on Thursday beat the forecast that management gave for the second quarter at the time.
Intel management has said the turnaround will take time and that the company is aiming to match TSMC’s chip-manufacturing prowess by 2026, which would enable it to bid to make the most advanced mobile processors for other companies, a strategy the company calls “five nodes in four years.” Intel said on Thursday that it remained on track to hit those goals.
Nvidia has had an amazing run, but any emerging technology, such as AI, which is bottlenecked by a single company will have issues in growth. Consulting firm McKinsey has pegged the AI market to be worth $1 trillion by 2030, but also that it was in an experimental and in early phases of commercial deployment.
While Nvidia will likely retain its leadership in GPU hardware as applied to AI for the foreseeable future, it is likely that other hardware solutions for AI systems will also be successful as AI matures. While technologist may quibble on specifics, all major AI hardware today are based on GPU architectures, and as such I will use the terms and concepts of AI hardware and GPU architecture somewhat interchangeably.
One likely candidate for AI related growth may be AMD (AMD), which has had GPU products since acquiring ATI in 2006.However, unlike Nvidia, which had a clear vision for of general-purpose GPU products (GPGPU), historically, AMD had largely kept its focus on the traditional gaming applications. AMD has developed an AI architecture called XDNA, and an AI accelerator called Alveo and announced its MI300, an integrated chip with GPU acceleration for high-performance computing and machine learning. How AMD can and may evolve in the AI may be subject of a different article.
Another contender for success in the AI applications using GPU is Intel, who is the focus of this article. Intel has maintained a consistent, if low key focus on GPU hardware focused on AI applications over the last decade. Intel’s integrated HD Graphics is built into most modern processor ICs; however, these are insufficient compared to dedicated GPUs for high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks.
It has 2 primary GPU architectures in production release:
In 2019 Intel Corporation acquired Habana Labs, an Israel-based developer of programmable deep learning accelerators for the data center for approximately $2 billion. Habana Labs’ Gaudi AI product line from its inception focused on AI deep learning processor technologies, rather than as GPU that has been extended to AI applications. As a result, Gaudi microarchitecture was designed from the start for the acceleration of training and inferencing. In 2022 Intel announced Gaudi2 and Greco processors for AI deep learning applications, implemented in 7-nanometer (TSMC) technology and manufactured on Habana’s high-efficiency architecture. Habana Labs benchmarked Gaudi2’s training throughput performance for the ResNet-50 computer vision model and the BERT natural language processing model delivering twice the training throughput over the Nvidia high end A100-80GB GPU. So, Gaudi appears to give Intel a competitive chip for AI applications.
Concurrent with the Habana Labs’ Gaudi development, Intel has internally developed the Xe GPU family, as dedicated graphics card to address high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks as well as more traditional high-end gaming. Iris® Xe GPU family consists of a series of microarchitectures, ranging from integrated/low power (Xe-LP) to enthusiast/high performance gaming (Xe-HPG), data center/AI (Xe-HP) and high-performance computing (Xe-HPC). The architecture has been commercialized in Intel® Data Center GPU Flex Series (formerly codenamed Arctic Sound) and Intel® Arc GPU cards. There is some question on Xe GPU future and evolution. Intel has shown less commitment to the traditional GPU space compared to Gaudi. Nonetheless, it does demonstrate Intel ability to design and field complex GPU products as its business requires.
Intel has many other AI projects underway. The Sapphire Rapids chips implements AI specific acceleration blocks including technology called AMX (Advanced Matrix Extensions), which provides acceleration inside the CPU for efficient matrix multiplications used in on-chip inferencing and machine learning processing by speeding up data movement and compression. Intel has supporting technologies such as Optane, which while cancelled as a production line, is available for their needs of a high-performance non-volatile memory, one of the intrinsic components in any AI product.
Based on the above, Intel appears to have competitive hardware solutions, however if we look at Nvidia success in AI, it is a result of a much a software and systems focus as it is the GPGPU hardware itself. Can Intel compete on that front. Ignoring for the moment that Intel has a huge software engineer (approx. 15,000) resource, it also has- access to one of the leading success stories in perhaps the most competitive AI application – self driving cars.
Mobileye, who was acquired by Intel in 2017, has been an early adopter and leader, with over 20 years of experience in automotive automated driving and vision systems. As such, Mobileye has a deep resource of AI domain information that should be relevant to many applications. Mobileye has announced that it is working closely with Habana, as related divisions within Intel. While Intel is in the process of re-spinning out Mobileye as public company, Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY), at present Intel still owns over 95% of shares, keeping it effectively an Intel division.
In looking at Intel, we have a company with the history, resources, and technology to compete with Nvidia and infrastructure. They have made significant investment and commitment to the emerging AI market, in times when they have exited other profitable businesses. It should also be understood that AI related product are a small percentage of overall Intel revenues (INTC revenue are more than twice NVDA, even if NVDA has 6x its market cap), and continues to keep its primary business focus on its processor and foundry business.
Hopefully for shareholders, Intel continues to push their AI technology and business efforts. Their current position is that this is strategic, but Intel is in a very fluid time and priorities may change based on business, finances, and of course the general interest and enthusiasm for AI. It is always worth noting that AI as a technical concept is mature, and appears to be cyclical, with interest in the technical community rising and falling in hype and interest once every decade or so. I remember working on AI applications, at the time labeled as expert systems in the 1980s. If we are currently at a high hype point, this may be temporary, based on near term success and disappointment in what AI does achieve. Of course, as always, “this time is different” and the building blocks of effective AI systems currently exist, where for previous iterations, it was more speculative.
BMBL – When Will The Bleeding Stop?NASDAQ:BMBL has been in a strong downtrend since launch, and could potentially rebound at some point. I personally prefer to stay away from these types of charts, but if they start showing some bullishness maybe there could be a trade setup later. The price is trading near the lows of the range for anyone who wants to take a shorter term trade, I’m personally just looking for better opportunities.
BBIO – A Promising Stock & Buy OpportunityNASDAQ:BBIO has been performing very well since May of 2022, and has recently been in a downtrend. BBIO lost support at the light blue support line, and more recently had a bullish rebound off the yellow support line. I think BBIO is likely to present more buy opportunities around $27.15, and this is a stock that is worth monitoring for a trade setup.
TSVT – A Bullish Breakout To MonitorNASDAQ:TSVT is having a nice bullish rally from $1.53 in Nov. 2023 to $5+ price levels. TSVT has reached a key light blue resistance line, and there has been resistance suppressing the price here. However, I am seeing some bullish signs into resistance, and there is the potential for a bullish breakout here. I think it is worth monitoring TSVT for a breakout. I would buy after a confirmed breakout, and the red lines are my key price targets on the way up.
ROIV – 20% Trading RangeNASDAQ:ROIV is trading near all time highs, and I just don’t see any good investment opportunity here. However, I do like that there is a nice trading range between the red and green trendlines with 20% swings. I would definitely trade these swings, it looks like there was a recent opportunity that was missed. But I’ll track ROIV to look for the next setup.
ADTN 680%+ Long-Term Trade With Risks to ConsiderADTN is approaching my buy zone between $4.79 and $5.13 near historic lows. There are four key price targets on the way up, and the highest price target gives a potential ROI of around 680% if ADTN is able to return back to previous all time highs. There are some financial risks and concerns surrounding ADTN so I recommend reading articles to better understand the situation.
Entry Price: $4.79 to $5.13
Sell Targets:
- $7.48
- $13.71
- $24.90
- $37.46
Stop Loss: $4.65
I do recommend a stop loss given the financial concerns for ADTN.
SBLK 200%+ ROI Trade Setup from Insiders in CongressNASDAQ:SBLK is gaining some attention today because Senator Tuberville has purchased $100k worth of SBLK stock, a stock that is focused on forestry and mineral shipping. Senator Tuberville sits on the Senate Committee of Forestry and Agriculture so he could have some insider knowledge here.
Buy price: $23 to $24 (I think an entry at $23 is possible, but I wouldn't mind buying at $24).
Sell targets:
- $77.50
- Previous all time highs are around $1,100.
Stop Loss: $22.50, if stopped out the re-entry price is around $16-17.
For now let's see if SBLK can get to $77.50 then we can discuss the other targets.
MPW's $4.60 Price Target After Bullish BreakoutTechnical Analysis
MPW has been showing some solid bullishness out of the buy zone. There has been 6 consecutive green weekly candles so far including this week. MPW is forming a bullish breakout above this light blue trendline and orange resistance zone. I think there will be a pullback at some point, but for now the trend is still bullish and $4.60 is the key price target on this move up.
Medical Properties Trust (MPW): Navigating Liquidity And Strategic Asset Management
Medical Properties Trust Inc. (NYSE: MPW) recently shared insights into its financial health and strategic direction during its fourth quarter 2023 earnings call. With a focus on creating significant liquidity and managing its diverse portfolio of healthcare facilities, the company outlined its plan to navigate through current challenges and capitalize on its strengths. This blog delves into the key takeaways from the earnings call, highlighting both the bullish and bearish aspects of MPW’s strategy and performance.
Strategic Initiatives For Enhanced Liquidity
MPW’s CEO, Edward Aldag Jr., unveiled a capital allocation strategy aimed at generating at least $2 billion in liquidity by 2024. This ambitious plan involves the sale of Australian facilities and hospitals to Prime Healthcare Services, showcasing MPW’s proactive approach to capital management. These strategic asset sales, alongside ongoing opportunities, underscore the company’s commitment to financial flexibility and growth.
Addressing Challenges With Optimism
Despite facing issues with Steward Health Care System’s cash collections, MPW remains optimistic. The company is actively working on re-tenanting Steward properties, reflecting confidence in its ability to manage tenant-related challenges effectively. Additionally, the improved performance of Prospect Medical Holdings adds a layer of positivity, reinforcing MPW’s diversified portfolio’s strength.
A Look At The Bearish And Bullish Highlights
Bearish Insights:
The distressed situation with Steward has necessitated strategic re-tenanting and asset sales to ensure consistent rent payments.
A significant write-down of $90 million for loans to Steward underscores the financial challenges faced.
Concerns remain for an operator within the cash accounting pool, projecting no financial support due to low coverage.
Bullish Perspectives:
Interest from multiple potential tenants for Steward properties indicates robust demand for MPW’s assets.
The company’s European and American portfolios, including Circle Health and Priory, demonstrate strong performance.
Prospect Medical Holdings’ turnaround contributes to the positive outlook, highlighting potential for growth.
Future Outlook And InvestingPro Insights
Looking ahead, MPW is poised to achieve its strategic objectives, bolstered by a focus on sustaining community health through acute care hospitals. The company’s strategic sales and financing plans aim to navigate the complex financial landscape successfully.
From an investment perspective, MPW presents a mixed bag of opportunities and challenges. According to InvestingPro data, the company boasts a market cap of $2.28 billion USD and an appealing dividend yield of 15.79%. The aggressive share buyback program and low Price / Book multiple suggest that MPW may be undervalued, offering potential for income generation and price appreciation.
Conclusion
Medical Properties Trust Inc. is at a pivotal point, with strategic initiatives in place to enhance liquidity and manage its portfolio effectively. While challenges remain, particularly with certain tenants, the company’s optimistic approach and strategic sales indicate a forward-looking perspective. For investors, MPW’s current valuation and dividend yield may offer attractive opportunities, especially for those focused on income generation and value investing. As MPW navigates its strategic path, its ability to adapt and capitalize on its strengths will be crucial in driving future success.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 26, 20INTC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024
INTC moved below its 50-day moving average on January 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 33 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for INTC moved out of overbought territory on January 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on INTC as a result. In 52 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for INTC turned negative on January 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INTC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for INTC entered a downward trend on January 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTC advanced for three days, in 212 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
INTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.811) is normal, around the industry mean (8.080). P/E Ratio (16.010) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.211). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.161) is also within normal values, averaging (2.358). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.446) is also within normal values, averaging (73.071).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
The last earnings report on January 25 showed earnings per share of 54 cents, beating the estimate of 44 cents. With 47.34M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 184.37B.
A dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid with a record date of March 01, 2024, and an ex-dividend date of February 06, 2024. The last dividend of $0.12 was paid on December 01. The ex-dividend date is usually set several business days before the record date. If a stock is purchased on its ex-dividend date or after, the next dividend payment will not be received. Instead, the dividends are repossessed by to the seller. If the stocks are purchased before the ex-dividend date, the buyer will receive the dividends.
Notable companies
The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NASDAQ:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).
Industry description
The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 31.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 1.12T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.12T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. ASMXF experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while QUIK experienced the biggest fall at -18%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 41%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 78% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38%
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 58
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
PYTH:INTC
AAIC.N0000Buy Zone - 66 to 76
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
RWSL.N0000Wait for pullback around 7.2 to 7.5
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.