Stockstrading
Why the S&P 3 month chart paints a scary view for Stocks We have been bearish on S&P since April 2022.
The bearish outlook is even more evident now with a HUGE DOUBLE TOP in the 3 months chart. This is the first time we have analyzed this pair in the 3 month chart and the divergence is obvious.
What does this mean for the S&P?
1) It is very unlikely it can move above 4600 to 4800 in the near future
2) There is a high probability that the pair is moving downwards. We are already in short from 4370.
3) The immediate target is 4275 but we looking at 4180 as the next target.
4) The long term target is 3600 and we will keep selling at any opportunity
In our mind, the stock market is in for a rough ride for the next 1 -2 years. Our prediction is that around 3000 by the end of 2024.
DisneyThis continues to look like a great LONG and or time to DCA etc.
Talk about generational opportunities.
Unless your certain its going to $0. Its looking rather tasty RIGHT HERE.
I Do think more manipulation comes this year for markets and possibly just Disney. BUT for now i'll play this LONG and IF we go much lower i will begin agressive DCA and plan LONG TERM hold if needed.
I would have NO SHOCK to see Disney 1x from here within a few months.
Worst case 6-18 IMO
Only time will tell.
BAC, Massive Descending-Triangle, Huge BREAKOUT-Expansion Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of BAC. In recent times I have spotted important value stocks within the market that have the potential to emerge with a major transformational reversal and indicate main expansional determinations once the appropriate confirmations have emerged. In this case, I have analyzed BAC with the current ongoing underlying dynamics and with BAC it has to be mentioned BAC is a stock that can unfold its full potential with the current Consumer Demand to appropriately increase further. More and more supply-chain disruptions are repaired again and are recovering now, if this dynamic holds on it sets up a crucial turning in the overall market sentiment. Also, the fact that CPI has declined now for a consecutive period of time builds an important market from where stocks as I have spotted in my watchlist confirm the necessary opportunities.
When looking at my chart now, BAC is forming an important structure, firstly as it is still trading within this gigantic ascending-trend channel in which it has the main supports within the lower boundary and already bounced several times within there. Secondly, BAC has the main support levels between the 26.3 and 27.5 area as it is marked in my chart. Thirdly, BAC is already bouncing within the areas and is forming an important support base within this zone. All these factors are building a determined support base from where BAC has considerable potential to emerge with a major reversal and increase the bullish edge.
The most important formation in this whole structure is the momentous descending triangle formation. Such a formation is leading to a meaningful substantial expansion reversal in almost all of the cases. Once the whole descending triangle formation has been completed with the final setup as it is marked in my chart this is going to activate the further bullish price-action accelerations into the upper directions and emerge with the major wave-C within the whole wave-count that BAC already established. The completion of the formation also means BAC is going to activate the target zones within the 62.50 and 66.50 areas.
Now, taking all these factors into consideration, currently, there is a massive digitization boom with digitization developments increasing within recent times and the growth rates in this sector are accelerating. When BAC moves further with the potential to transform their holdings into the newly developed ecosystem this is going to have a tremendous effect on the actual bullish sentiment prevailing here, especially in combination with the fact that the Consumer Expenditures in this sector are increasing. With such a backing and increase of these factors, this is actually indicating that the price-action accelerates in pace. Once the formation has been completed the next phase targets mentioned will be active.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about BAC. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
"With a prime perspective on stocks history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the stocks future."
VP
ORCL, Crucial, Massive Double-TOP, BEARISH-Triangle Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new idea about ORCL. In recent times ORCL already increased with heavy bearish determinations towards the downside as it printed this massive bearish momentum spike candle forming a -15% dump and liquidating almost over 100 Billion positions. Such crucial bearish inclinations should be never underestimated because especially in a time in which the stock market is forming several mixed determinations it is necessary to consider such stocks as ORCL as potential short-side stocks, especially with continued bearish momentum. This is why I have analyzed the main underlying dynamics within the analytics backend to consider to most prevalent crucial dynamics in this current market.
As when looking at my chart ORCL continued to emerge with the major -15% dump from the most severe upper 125 resistance level from where it already pulled back towards the bearish direction in the past. Now, as ORCL emerged with these bearish spikes towards the bearish directions it moved below the previous support levels at 114 and marked several crucial lower lows below this level exaggerating the bearish momentum especially as these previous supports are now major resistances. Furthermore, ORCL dumped below the main 100-EMA and 200-EMA, these two EMAs are now major resistance levels together with the 114 resistance indicating that there is not of a lot possibility for ORCL to turn around and move above these crucial resistances again.
On the bigger global scale ORCL has completed a major double-top formation breaking below the 114 area as marked in my chart, especially as the second top has formed with this accelerated bearish momentum this double-top is the most prevalent formation within this whole determination. Furthermore, now that ORCL has dumped below the main levels it is forming a confirmational triangle formation below the 114 level and this triangle formation is about to be finalized within the next times. The triangle formation will be finalized with ORCL dumping below the lower boundary of the formation as marked in my chart and once this breakout has shown up this is going to be the origin of the wave-C extensions towards the downside. With the completion of the double top and the bearish triangle formation, ORCL will have set up a doubled bearish ABC wave count.
Taking all the major prevalent determining factors into consideration here it has to be mentioned that ORCL is in a crucial bearish development that has the ability to increase with the bearish momentum acceleration every time soon especially as ORCL already confirmed several main bearish determinations here. The completion of this major bearish momentum acceleration is going to form the next -15% dump into the targets of 95 and investor's open interest turning into a bearish sentiment is likely to increase this dynamic to an accelerated determination. It has to be mentioned that not every stock within the market is so bearishly inclined like ORCL, this is why this formation within ORCL is important right now. Such determinations can offer important hedge potential opportunities when considering a total-return approach considering other assets like the DXY and bonds are up, this is going to be an important bearish indication for ORCL as well.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of ORCL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
DHR, Massive BULLISH Wedge-Formation, Major BREAKOUT Incoming!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of DHR. The stock market is in a really important condition currently as there are many interesting stock gems within the market I have spotted in my analytics backend. One of the interesting gems I recently spotted for a major opportunity on the long side of the market is DHR. This gem has major underlying potential to increase a huge breakout dynamic in the upcoming times.
When looking at my chart now DHR is bouncing several times within the major ascending channel formation, this channel formation is a substantial origin of several support bounces from where DHR could increase with bullish momentum volatility. Now, DHR is bouncing within the range for the next consecutive time and is already marking the level as a main support from where the next main bullish expansion spike is likely to emerge.
What is so important within this whole newly developed formational structure is that DHR is now also forming this momentous descending wedge-formation in which it already completed the coherent wave count especially bouncing within the lower boundary of the wedge and is now building up the further determinations. The fact that DHR already completed the wave count and bounced within the lower boundary is already nearly completing the whole descending wedge formation.
With these main underlying confirmational developments, DHR is building a massive bullish base here. Putting this into perspective this means that DHR is likely to emerge with the final wedge-breakout within the next times which is going to form the completion-setup with the breakout above the boundary as marked in my chart. Once DHR has formed this completion-setup it is going to be the main origin of the bullish wave-expansion towards the upper directions and reaching the target zones with the wave-C extension.
Thank you everybody for watching my idea about DHR. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
stock breakout1) volume building in stock
2) finally Feb. 2020 resistance breakout in previous week and sustained
3) major resistance for the stock is 60 level
4) stock sustained above 60 level and now take below 60 as support 59 & 58
5) next target is 67 this only possible when bullish market
6) first target 67 and second target 73
CVX, Major CONTINUATION-SETUP, Sector Rally, BREAKOUT INCOMING!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about CVX on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market since the corona pandemic supply-shock dynamics has formed a important dynamic and had the ability to form a major rebound recovery with several new highs being formed and CVX having the ability to bounce into a new all-time-high. Now a big part of the dynamic is the consideration of if CVX has the potential to continue with this established formation and with the established trend moving on with further determinations.
CVX on the local timeframe perspective is building this main wedge formation with great supports above the 140-150 area. If this wedge formation completes with the appropriate momentum breakout this will activate initial target-zones and above this considering the whole global big picture CVX is forming a much larger formation here with the broadening-wedge-formation on the global perspective being completed once the breakout of the local formation also setup. With the projection of this formation targets above 400 will be activated.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
MSFT, PULLBACK Momentum, Positions Trigger, BEARISH-Indication!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about MSFT Stock Price Action Analysis on Several Timeframe Perspectives. In the recent times MSFT has emerged with a crucial pullback to the downside almost printing over 10% of a bearish pullback. In such occassions a big question is if the bearish momentum will accelerate into the bearish direction and if higher inflation rates could heavily increase such a bearish momentum. In any cases the bearish momentum wave could trigger further long-liquidations down the path.
In my chart you can watch that MSFT is about to complete a huge ascending-wedge-formation and such a ascending-wedge-formation is likely to lead to a massive pullback and bearish reversal once it has been completed with a breakout below the lower boundary. Currently this pullback could be triggered when MSFT moves below the remaining supports between the 315 to 320 area as many many long-positions are waiting below this area this will lead to such a bearish momentum that a reversal into the other direction will be unvalid.
There is the possibility that MSFT firstly stays within the area and bounces in the remaining supports to form something like an initial reversal, nonetheless MSFT has still huge resistance levels in the structure especially when moving into the upper boundary of the ascending-wedge-formation this upper boundary is a paramount resistance-zone from where the pullback to the downside is inevitable. This means that also with the initial stabilization the completion of the whole ascending-wedge-formation will shape a reality for MSFT and complete the pullback and liquidations down the path.
If the bearish momentum accelerates so heavily once the wedge has been completed it will be highly decisive on how MSFT moves into the final target-zone of 220 because if the bearish momentum should be that high that a reversal in this area will not be possible this will complete the huge double-top-formation and will accelerate even more liquidations to point to a scenario of MSFT moving below the 150 area.
For now the bearish scenario for MSFT should not be underestimated and should be watched and because of this we will keep having the symbol in our watchlist and adjust to changing factors.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
ORACLE: Sharp correction may turn into a 1 year buy.Oracle is having a sharp sell off during September, the strongest since September last year (2022), which formed the market bottom. It is almost oversold on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 30.957, MACD = -2.920, ADX = 37.867) with the price approaching the 1W MA50, which is untouched since November 7th 2022.
On this 1W chart we have market the time of a 1W MA200 breach that was followed soon after with a strong rebound. Our trading strategy is to enter a long term buy and hold on the 1W MA50 and if by any chance (unlikely) tests the 1W MA100, then unload the rest of longs there. This will be an ideal long term buy opportunity (TP = 130.00).
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The S&P 500, Potential Top-Retest Incoming!Hello Community,
the year of 2022 is coming to an end and the markets are showing important developments that are necessary to consider when moving forward into 2023 out of a trading and investing perspective. Therefore a main stock index like the S&P 500 is showing us crucial signs on what to expect in the financial markets within 2023. In this case, I have detected major technical factors that will alter the whole interface of the market in the next time. When considering these dynamics it has to be mentioned that the inflation which peaked within the last month has calmed down and is decreasing more, if this dynamic holds on there is a higher likelihood possibility that positive sentiments will have a solid potential to accelerate within the market.
As when looking at my chart now, from a technical perspective, we can watch where the index is building this main descending channel formation which is a crucial formation to confirm the trend direction of the underlying asset. Within this formation, the index is also developing a coherent wave count with the waves A to D already completed and a descending wedge formation is also about to complete once the wave count is coming to the end-stages and finalizes the wave E within the count. If the index shows up with the ability to complete the formation and increase volatility finally leading to a breakout above the upper boundary of the channel this will show the setup for the index to test the highs lastly seen in January 2022 again. Once the index reaches these levels it will be crucial if it will be confirmed as resistance or if the index has the ability to breakout above, either way, will lead to further considerations to be made and in the bigger picture to a bull flag or a double top for the index to be formed.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching. Let's move forward together.
The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
LLY, This ALL-TIME-HIGH ROCKET is a NEVER ENDING STORY!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about LLY on several timeframe perspectives. LLY printed an major bullish breakout literally over night bouncing out of the range. In the recent times the pharma industry transformed into a eager bullish environment since the gains seen because of the "pandemic" and LLY is a stock already present since 1978 in the 19th century, a time before the great depression. The FED is considering a more dovish policy as inflationary pressures in the U.S. decreased and LLY showed an development typical for more bullish stocks within the market, it already bounced before the U.S. CPI release signaled an easing in inflation, such moves are always important to anticipate as it is the case with LLY and the long direction.
Within the chart LLY is now forming a flag-formation on the local term which is likely to complete with a breakout in the near future setting up the next wave C extension into the upper directions. On the global term LLY bounced several times within the ascending trendline and has an underlying strong volatility-spike structure which is bolstering the bullish sentiment here. Once LLY has shown up with the breakout dynamics and reached the targets of the local formation this is likely to convert into the continuation of the global trend as well. Currently, the bullish scenario should be considered if the FED does not become more hawkish on interest rates or there is a major demand shortage increasing supply within the pharma market this should be a considerable scenario for the next times.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support is greatly appreciated, all the best!
VP
COST show a relatively high level of large-scale triangularCOST show a relatively high level of large-scale triangular
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Costco's stocks over the past year. The top to bottom golden section at the beginning of 2022 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, Costco's stock peaked in April 2022, plummeted, and began to strengthen in May 2022, showing a relatively high level of large-scale triangular fluctuations and consolidation overall! The stock of Costco Company was suppressed by the top to bottom golden ratio of 1.382 at its high points in July and September this year. Therefore, in the future, this position can be used as the watershed for judging its strength!
JPM continuously negative for 6 weeksJPM continuously negative for 6 weeks
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of JP Morgan's stocks over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, JP Morgan's stock hit its high point at the end of July and early August of this year, hitting the top to bottom golden ratio of 0.618 in the chart. Then, it has been continuously negative for 6 weeks, and its low point in the past two weeks has hit the top to bottom golden ratio of 1.382 in the chart! So in the future, just use the lowest point of the previous week as the watershed to determine the strength of JP Morgan's stock!
XOM has shown a consolidation patternXOM has shown a consolidation pattern
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of ExxonMobil's stock in the past 4 years. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, ExxonMobil's stock has shown a consolidation pattern of high to strong overall after completing a small level double top at the beginning of this year! The small double top of ExxonMobil's stock at the beginning of this year was suppressed by the 3.618 level of the gold split at the bottom of the graph, and did not touch any strong support level for the low point of the pullback thereafter! So, in the future, the stock market of ExxonMobil is likely to weaken and continue to retreat towards the downside!
GOOGL with a strong upward breakthrough this weekGOOGL with a strong upward breakthrough this week
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Google stock over the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the end of 2022. As shown in the figure, Google stock tested the bottom of the chart against the 2.618 position of the golden section three times in July and last week, with a strong upward breakthrough this week! The recent pressure level of Google stock is the 3.000 level at the bottom of the graph above the golden section, which is likely to suppress the market's rise! Google stock is likely to significantly retreat in the future, at least testing the 2.000 position of the golden section in the chart!
ABCM Abcam plc Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABCM Abcam plc prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.07.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MSFT close negative for 5 weeksMSFT close negative for 5 weeks
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Microsoft stock for the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of October 2022. As shown in the figure, the highest point of Microsoft's stock just hit the 3.000 level of the golden section at the bottom, while the recent low point hit the 2.000 level! Due to Microsoft's stock closing negative for 5 consecutive weeks since its recent peak, it has only rebounded in the past two weeks, not reversed! In the future, Microsoft's stock market is likely to continue to weaken. Let's explore the strong support below, with the bottom of the chart facing the 1.618 gold split!
AMD supported by the high point in late March of this year!AMD supported by the high point in late March of this year!
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of AMD's company stocks from May 2021 to the present. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, the recent high point of AMD company's stock has been suppressed by the 1.000 position of the top to bottom golden section in the figure! Then, AMD company's stock engaged in a long short competition between the 1.382 to 1.618 positions in the golden section of the chart from late June of this year to the beginning of this month. In the past three weeks, it has broken down and was supported by the high point in late March of this year! Just use the high point in late March this year (102.43) as the long short watershed for AMD stocks in the future!