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HAL : Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd completing its correction#HAL (Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd) Daily Chart Analysis 🔍 Technical Overview: 1️⃣ The stock is forming an ABC corrective wave structure, nearing the Extended Correction Zone of Wave C around ₹3,697 - ₹3,405. 2️⃣ The 200 SMA (₹3,405) aligns with a strong support level, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. 3️⃣ Immediate resistance levels are at ₹4,209 and ₹4,509, with the target zone around ₹5,080 - ₹5,130 if bullish momentum continues. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Support Zone: ₹3,697 - ₹3,405. A reversal here could trigger a rally toward ₹4,209, with an extended target of ₹5,130 - ₹5,165. Confirmation: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing candle) supported by volume. 🎯 Long Plan: Entry: ₹3,697 - ₹3,405 (upon bullish confirmation). Targets: TP1: ₹4,209. TP2: ₹5,130 - ₹5,165. Stop-Loss: Below ₹3,380. 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If ₹3,405 fails to hold, the next downside targets are ₹3,000 and ₹2,600. Breakdown Confirmation: A decisive break below ₹3,405 with increased selling pressure. 🎯 Short Plan: Entry: Below ₹3,405. Targets: TP1: ₹3,000. TP2: ₹2,600. Stop-Loss: Above ₹3,500. 📈 Key Levels to Watch: Support: ₹3,830, ₹3,697, ₹3,405. Resistance: ₹4,209, ₹4,509, ₹5,130. ⚠️ Note: Monitor volume and price action carefully around the Extended Correction Zone. Any major defense sector updates or contracts could impact the stock’s movement. #HindustanAeronautics #HAL #StockMarket #TradingView #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #NSE #StockCharts #PriceAction #DefenseStocks #IndiaMarkets #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis Comment below if you have questions or insights! 🚀
NSE:HALLong
by LiveTradingBox
Key Observations on Xero's Journey🔰 ASX:XRO Key Observations on Xero's Journey 1. The Big Rally: June 2018 to February 2021 Growth: Xero experienced a significant rally, climbing 243% from around $46 to $158. Timeframe: The rally spanned 126 weeks (882 days). Volume: Total trading volume during this period was 361.303 million. Key Insight: This rally followed a long consolidation phase, a typical setup for strong upward momentum in stocks. 2. Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: The $100–$110 range acted as a strong support level, with the stock bouncing multiple times before moving higher. Resistance Zones: The $171 level became a key area of resistance during its historical highs. Key Insight: Understanding historical support and resistance levels can help identify areas where stocks may reverse or consolidate. 🔰 Lessons from Xero's Stock Performance Patterns Repeat, But Not Predictably Historical performance offers valuable insights but does not guarantee future results. Always focus on the bigger picture. Volume Confirms Strength Rising volume during rallies can be a strong signal of market confidence, while declining volume might indicate weakening momentum. Support and Resistance Matter Understanding key price levels can help identify potential turning points in stock movement. Earnings Drive Volatility Always pay attention to earnings seasons as they historically trigger significant price movements. 🔰 Conclusion: What Can We Learn? Xero’s historical data tells a story of growth, retracement, and strong investor interest during key phases. By analysing these patterns, investors can better understand how price, volume, and market cycles interact. However, it’s crucial to remember that past performance is not a predictor of future results. ✅ Join the Discussion What trends or insights do you observe from Xero’s historical performance? Share your thoughts in the comments below Disc: no holding , no recommendation to buy or sell - may buy or sell without any notification , treat this post as learning only. consult with your financial advisor before taking any financial decision
ASX:XRO
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
The Big Exit | How One Auditor Walked Away from Super MicroThe Governance Shortfall: Inside Super Micro’s Auditor Crisis On Wednesday, shares of the high performance server and storage solutions provider faced renewed selling pressure after the unexpected resignation of its audit firm, Ernst & Young LLP(EY) In July 2024, EY alerted the Audit Committee about several concerns related to governance, transparency, internal controls, and the risk of delayed filing of the company's annual report. In response, the Board formed an independent Special Committee to investigate these matters, engaging Cooley LLP and forensic accounting firm Secretariat Advisors, LLC. Although EY and the Board received preliminary updates on the investigation, the final conclusions have not yet been shared. The ongoing review raised doubts for EY regarding the company’s adherence to the COSO Framework principles for internal controls. EY questioned the company’s commitment to integrity, the independence of the Audit Committee, and the reliability of management’s and the Audit Committee's representations. In its resignation letter, EY expressed its inability to rely on these representations or be associated with the company's financial statements, citing legal and professional obligations. Despite the developments, Super Micro has indicated no expected changes to previously issued financial statements. The company plans to provide a Q1/FY2025 business update next week. However, it’s surprising that management didn’t include preliminary Q1 results in Wednesday's announcement, which could have mitigated the negative impact on its stock. Super Micro is nearing a Nasdaq deadline to either regain compliance with listing requirements or submit a plan. With the auditor’s unexpected departure, it may be difficult for the company to present a viable plan, raising the risk of a near-term delisting. This resignation comes at a critical time for Super Micro, as its rapid growth requires substantial working capital. Based on management’s projections, FY2025 cash needs could reach up to $3 billion, likely necessitating additional capital early next year. However, raising funds without audited financials could be challenging, potentially forcing Super Micro to relinquish market share to competitors like Dell Technologies or Hewlett Packard Enterprise. In my view, EY’s departure increases the likelihood of a prolonged accounting review, which could hinder Super Micro’s ability to secure funding for anticipated growth. Therefore, it is crucial for the company to report strong preliminary Q1/FY2025 results and present a positive outlook next week. Super Micro Computer’s troubles continue, as its auditor resigned due to concerns over management’s integrity and the Audit Committee's independence. This situation makes it unlikely for the company to achieve compliance with Nasdaq requirements soon, raising the potential for a near-term delisting. With a need to re-enter the capital markets in early 2025, audited financials remain essential. A failure to secure funding could result in significant market share loss to major competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Given these challenges, the increased risk of prolonged financial review, and a likely near-term delisting, I am reaffirming my "Sell" rating on Super Micro Computer's common shares.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by moonypto
2
Linde plc | LIN Linde, Timeless Excellence Linde is a timeless business with even better stability than other basic materials businesses. The company works in gases and has a near-unbroken EPS growth record of 8% annually Linde is a market leader, and if you invest in the company, you're investing in the world's largest company for industrial gases. The company was originally a result of a takeover of British BOC in 2006, and again the 2018 merger of Linde and Praxair, a US company. On the macro upside, there was a 1) supportive regulatory framework in the USA and in the EU on green opportunities and hydrogen, 2) the Ukraine invasion was also a key catalyst towards the energy transition, 3) the EU chip acts with €43 billion in supporting funds as well as the United States Chips and Science Act development for a value of approximately $52 billion, and 4) higher needs of specialty gas in EV car. Related to the micro upside, the company is more diversified on a GEO revenue basis and sells different product solutions starting from cylinders to bulk liquid. In addition with a follow-up note titled "Positive News Ahead", we reported Linde's lower cost structure with the Frankfort delisting. Aside from removing the dual listing expenses, we positively view this development because US companies' P/E multiple are usually higher compared to the EU one. To support our MACRO buy case recap, in the second quarter, Linde announced two new projects with Evonik and Heidelberg Materials (both companies covered by our internal team). The company signed a long-term agreement to produce green hydrogen for Evonik in a 9-megawatt alkaline electrolyzer plant in Singapore. With Heidelberg, Linde will build a large-scale carbon capture close to the Lengfurt plant in Germany. As a reminder, cement production is estimated to be responsible for around 7% of global in 2022, APD's earnings per share were at $8.38, and Linde's earnings per share were fairly similar at $8.23. For 2023, Air Products and Chemical EPS guide a midpoint at $11.40 while Linde's EPS is forecasted at $13.65. Looking at the ROCE, in Q4 2022, APD stood at 11.7% and Linde at 13.4%. In the last quarter, APD’s ROCE was flat on the two-year comparison, while Linde’s after-tax ROCE reached 24.0%. While there are some business & regional nuances between the two leading companies (for instance, APD is lacking U.S. packaged gas business), here at the Lab, we believe are more inclined toward Linde, particularly when organic growth has been fairly similar. Cross-checking APD and Linde's last quarter results, we should recall that on a comparable basis, the German player volumes were flat with an average selling price up by 8%. On the other hand, APD increased its volume by 6% with an increase in the average selling price of 8% too. APD adj EBITDA grew by 13% while Linde achieved a plus 11%. However, Linde's EU exposure is greater than APD. Therefore, this is supportive of Linde's bottom line. In numbers, excluding the Engineering divisional performance, Linde's EMEA sales reached $2,177 million and represented 29.72% of the company's total sales. Compared to Q1 2022 number, turnover grew by 10% and was driven by a 13% of cost pass-through increase.
LLong
by moonypto
6
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (NSE: SBILIFE) - Technical Analysis Price Action and Fibonacci Analysis SBI Life is currently trading at ₹1,628.85, which is near a crucial Fibonacci retracement level: 1. Fibonacci Levels: The price previously peaked around ₹1,935.10, forming a possible double-top pattern. It has since retraced, approaching the 50% retracement level at ₹1,624.75, a significant support zone. This level often acts as a key point for potential rebounds. Below this, the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50 is the next major support. If the price declines further, this level could provide strong support. 2. Volume Profile: The Volume Profile on the right suggests a high volume node around ₹1,450, indicating strong accumulation in this zone. This level, if reached, could serve as a significant support area and potential bounce point. 3 . Moving Averages: The stock is currently trading near the 200-day moving average (black line), which may act as a long-term support level. The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (red) moving averages are above the current price, indicating that the stock has broken below its short- and medium-term trend lines. Technical Indicators 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is showing signs of being in the lower half of its range but hasn’t reached oversold territory, suggesting there may be further downside before a potential rebound. 2. Volume Trends: There has been a significant increase in volume during the recent pullback, indicating strong selling pressure. Conclusion and Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If the stock holds the 50% Fibonacci level at ₹1,624.75 and the 200-day moving average, we could see a recovery toward the 38.2% level at ₹1,698.00, with further resistance at ₹1,788.60. Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹1,624.75 could lead the price toward the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50. A further decline might see the price test the high-volume node around ₹1,450. Trading Strategy For Long Positions: Watch for a bounce near ₹1,624.75 or ₹1,551.50 with confirmation from volume and RSI improving from lower levels. For Short Positions: A breakdown below ₹1,624.75, particularly with strong volume, could present a shorting opportunity down to ₹1,551.50 or potentially lower. Note: Always consider market conditions and use proper risk management techniques.
NSE:SBILIFE
by AngshumanSaikia
INTEL Breakdown! Bearish Move Smashes First TargetIntel has shown a significant bearish movement on the Risological swing trader after the short entry at 23.36, with the price quickly moving towards the first profit target. Key Levels Entry: 23.36 – The short trade was initiated as the price broke below this level, confirming bearish sentiment. Stop-Loss (SL): 23.59 – Positioned slightly above recent resistance to manage risk in case of a price reversal. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 23.07 – The first target, which has been hit, indicating the trade is progressing in the right direction. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 22.60 – The second profit-taking level is also hit as the bearish momentum builds. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 22.14 – If selling pressure continues, this is the next target to watch for. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 21.85 – The ultimate profit target, signaling a significant downward move. Trend Analysis The price is moving downward sharply, breaking below the support of the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong bearish trend. The sharp drop shows significant selling pressure, which suggests further downside potential. With TP1 reached, the next targets at 22.60 and 22.14 are in focus as the bearish momentum continues. If the trend holds, there’s a strong possibility of achieving TP4 at 21.85. Intel’s sharp breakdown following the short entry at 23.36 has resulted in hitting the first profit target at 23.07. With strong bearish momentum and the price moving below the Risological Dotted trendline, further downside targets are likely to be achieved if this trend continues.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by ProfitsNinja
1
Roivant Sciences (ROIV): A Multibagger Stock Opportunity Roivant Sciences (ROIV) is poised for significant growth with a strong pipeline, including potential blockbusters like Batoclimab and Brepocitinib in the autoimmune space. Recent deals, including the $5.2B sale of Telavant, have strengthened their balance sheet and set the stage for future profitability. Upcoming Q4 catalysts, a $1.5B buyback program, and a solid focus on pulmonary hypertension therapies make ROIV an undervalued gem at its current price. Personal Note: Hi, I'm sharing insights on stocks with strong catalysts like ROIV. Follow me for more deep dives and stock picks.
NASDAQ:ROIVLong
by InvestOhTrader
NSE:ASTRAL Ltd's -Abki bar breakout ke liye Tayar 🌋???NSE:ASTRAL Astral Poly Technik Ltd: Pioneering the Indian Plumbing and Adhesive Industry Established in 1996, Astral Poly Technik Ltd set out with a vision to manufacture pro-India plumbing and drainage systems. Over the years, it has expanded into the adhesive business, marking its territory across multiple domains. Historical Milestones Astral has emerged as a frontrunner in the CPVC pipes and fittings sector in India. It pioneered the introduction of lead-free PVC pipes in 2004 and brought lead-free uPVC column pipes to the market in 2012. The company's strategic move into the adhesives space occurred in 2014, with the acquisitions of Seal IT Services Limited (UK) and Resinova Chemie Limited (RCL). Diverse Product Range Astral's portfolio extends beyond pipes to include water tanks, faucets, sanitary ware, and paints. It boasts approximately 37 variants in its pipe and tank segment and about 23 in adhesives. Revenue Breakdown A) Piping Division: Contributing 73% to the company’s revenues, Astral offers an array of products for various systems, including fire sprinklers and industrial applications. The acquisition of Rex Polyextrusion added specialties like corrugated pipes and telecom line protection systems to its arsenal. B) Adhesives Division: Accounting for 27% of revenues, this division offers products ranging from epoxy adhesives and sealants to construction chemicals and tapes. Inorganic Growth and International Presence Astral has spread its wings internationally, with manufacturing in 3 countries and exports to over 25. It generates around 8% of its revenue from international sales. Manufacturing Excellence The company's manufacturing footprint includes eight piping and water tank facilities in India and five adhesives plants globally. To optimize logistics costs, Astral strategically positions its facilities to serve different regions within India and has recently expanded to Bhubaneswar, Odisha. Future Expansion Astral plans to augment the capacity of its Bhubaneswar plant and is establishing new facilities in Guwahati, Hyderabad, and Kanpur. These are set to become operational between FY24 and FY25, with a planned annual capex of ₹300-350 crore funded through internal accruals. Extensive Distribution Network The company's robust distribution network features over 2,750 distributors and more than 1,93,000 dealers. With a strong foothold in West and South India, the piping business is expected to grow in the North and East with new facilities. Strategic Raw Material Sourcing The company predominantly imports CPVC resin from Sekisui Chemical and relies on domestic giants like Reliance Industries for PVC resins. New Ventures In the pursuit of diversification, Astral ventured into faucets and sanitary ware in October 2021, eyeing a market potential of ₹15,000 Cr. This division is led by Mr. Atul Sanghvi, the former CEO of CERA, who has since resigned effective from 30.10.23. In the paints category, Astral acquired a majority stake in Gem Paints Pvt Ltd, with further investments to consolidate its position. Brand Visibility Astral leverages brand endorsement through Bollywood icons and sports associations. It has partnered with celebrities like Ranveer Singh and Allu Arjun to enhance its market visibility, allocating 2-3% of its net sales for promotional endeavors. Subsidiaries and Growth The company oversees 9 subsidiaries as of FY23, with a footprint extending beyond Indian borders. As Astral Poly Technik Ltd continues to build on its strengths and explore new markets, it stands as a testament to the potential of Indian manufacturing and the importance of strategic growth. Source: Screener.in Disc: Invested for long time , adding in anticipation of breakout this time - Abki bar breakout ke liye tayar
NSE:ASTRALLong
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
1
EPL Ltd. - A 360° Analysis: TechnoFunda & SWOT analysisNSE:EPL EPL Ltd. - A 360° Analysis: Technical, Fundamental, and SWOT Overview⤵️ ✅ Current Price Action & Historical Breakouts: Multi-Decadal Breakout: ↳ In the early 2000s, EPL Ltd. broke out from a long consolidation, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Major Rally: ↳ Post-2012, the stock rallied by 573.18% over 1,400 days following a breakout. ↳ Another breakout in 2020 led to a 138.83% gain over 305 days. Current Situation: ↳ The stock is consolidating in a wedge pattern near ₹216.39. ↳ Resistance around ₹250-₹260; support at ₹197.04 (50-month EMA) and ₹183.15 (200-month EMA). ✅ Volume Trends: ↳ Strong institutional participation during past breakouts. ↳ Recent lower volumes indicate a cautious approach by large investors. ✅ Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: ↳ ₹250-₹260. Support: ↳ ₹197.04 (50-month EMA), ₹183.15 (200-month EMA), ₹86.00, ₹72.53, ₹52.81. ✅ Technical Outlook: ↳ A breakout above the wedge could signal a new uptrend. ↳ A breakdown may lead to retesting lower support levels. 🔰Fundamental Analysis ✅ Quarterly & Full-Year Performance: Quarterly Highlights: Revenue Growth: ↳ 6.2% YoY increase. EBITDA Growth: ↳ 16.5% YoY increase. Adjusted PAT: ↳ 22% growth. EBITDA Margin: ↳ Improved to 18.5%, up by 164 basis points. Reported PAT: ↳ Declined by 73.5% due to exceptional items. Full-Year Highlights: Revenue Growth: ↳ 6% YoY increase. EBITDA Growth: ↳ 19.2% YoY. EBITDA Margin: ↳ Expanded by 202 basis points. Adjusted PAT Growth: ↳ 28% YoY. ROC: ↳ Improved to 14.7%, up 148 basis points YoY. ✅ Strategic Shifts & Future Initiatives: Category Mix: ↳ Personal Care and Beyond segments now contribute 47% to total revenue. Sustainability: ↳ Sustainable sales doubled to 21%. ↳ Received multiple awards for innovation, employer excellence, and CSR. Brazil Greenfield Project: ↳ Progressing well, expected to meet significant demand. Regional Performance: Americas: ↳ Margin expansion to 9%, with efforts to improve US operations. Europe: ↳ Restructuring aimed at achieving mid-teens margins. Pharma & B&C Segments: ↳ Focus on Beauty & Cosmetics with Neoseam technology. ↳ Longer conversion times in the Pharma segment due to regulatory hurdles. ✅ Financial Management: Interest Costs: ↳ Increased due to Brazil operations, expected to remain steady. Debt Reduction: ↳ Evaluated based on cash flow and dividends. ✅ Dividend: ↳ Proposed increased final dividend of Rs.2.30 per share. 🔰SWOT Analysis ✅Strengths: Market Leadership: ↳ Global leader in laminated plastic tubes. Diverse Client Base: ↳ Serves various industries, ensuring stable revenue. Strong Financials: ↳ Healthy balance sheet, low debt, strong cash flow. ✅Weaknesses: Raw Material Dependency: ↳ Sensitive to fluctuations in raw material prices. Geographical Concentration: ↳ Significant revenue from a few key markets. ✅Opportunities: Sustainability Trends: ↳ Growing demand for eco-friendly packaging. Emerging Markets: ↳ Growth opportunities with expanding middle class. Mergers & Acquisitions: ↳ Potential to strengthen market position. ✅Threats: Regulatory Risks: ↳ Increasing regulations around plastic usage. Intense Competition: ↳ Faces competition from global and local players. Economic Slowdowns: ↳ Impact on demand in FMCG sector during downturns. 🔰Conclusion EPL Ltd. presents a compelling investment case with its strong technical setup, robust financial performance, and strategic initiatives aimed at sustainable growth. The company’s focus on expanding its presence in high-margin segments like beauty and cosmetics, coupled with its commitment to sustainability, positions it well for future success. However, investors should be mindful of the risks associated with raw material volatility and regulatory changes. With a strong operational track record and ongoing efforts to optimize its global footprint, EPL Ltd. remains a key player to watch in the packaging industry. The stock's technical setup suggests it is at a crucial point, with potential for both upside breakout and downside risk. A disciplined approach, considering both technical signals and fundamental strengths, will be key for investors navigating this opportunity. Disc: SEBI Certified RA, no recommendation to buy or sell. Invested (PWI LAB portfolio). Share your thoughts in the comments below. Give the post a boost if you found it helpful. Share with friends and family who will benefit from this analysis. Follow us for more insightful analysis and updates!
NSE:EPLLong
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
Multiyear breakout- going steel strong !!BSE:RUDRA Research Report: Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. 1. Company Overview Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. (RGIPL) is a significant player in the Indian steel manufacturing sector, specifically focusing on TMT Bars production. Incorporated in Bhavnagar, Gujarat, RGIPL began as M.D. Inducto Cast Pvt. Ltd. in 2013, initially producing MS billets. By 2014, the company expanded into TMT Bars manufacturing, leveraging the rising demand for steel products in Gujarat. Rebranded in 2016, RGIPL has consistently grown, both in scale and scope, enhancing its capacity from 1.2 lakh tons to 2.4 lakh tons annually in its Steel Melting Shop (SMS) and Rolling Mill (RM) divisions. Strategic Expansion: Backward Integration: RGIPL has successfully implemented backward integration by using scrap from its ship recycling business to produce steel billets, minimizing environmental impact and reducing costs. This vertical integration provides RGIPL with a competitive edge, ensuring a steady supply of high-quality raw materials at lower costs. Forward Integration: The company has also engaged in forward integration, expanding its product offerings and enhancing its market reach. The launch of the "Rudra TMX" brand in 2014 marked a significant milestone, positioning the company as a premium TMT Bars manufacturer. Recent Developments: RGIPL has diversified into aerospace and defense sectors through its subsidiary, Rudra Aerospace and Defence Pvt. Ltd., which focuses on precision and investment casting solutions. The company has also been actively involved in sustainable practices, integrating renewable energy sources into its operations and adopting a circular economy model in its scrap processing activities. 2. Industry Outlook Global and Indian Steel Industry: The global steel industry is poised for moderate growth, driven by infrastructure development, urbanization, and government initiatives in emerging economies. According to the World Steel Association, the demand for steel is expected to grow steadily, with non-flat products like Bars & Rods, particularly in high demand. India, being one of the largest steel producers globally, has seen significant growth in crude steel production, with an increase of 13.6% in 2023-24. The Indian government’s infrastructure projects, such as the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP) and PM Gati Shakti, are set to fuel the demand for steel products in the coming years. Gujarat Steel Industry: Gujarat, one of India’s most industrially developed states, contributes significantly to the country’s steel output. The state’s robust infrastructure, policy support, and strong industrial base make it a favorable location for steel manufacturing. 3. Technical Analysis The monthly chart for Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. (NSE: RUDRA) indicates a strong bullish breakout from a multi-year resistance level around ₹64.25, with the current price surging to ₹69.00. This breakout is accompanied by a substantial increase in trading volume, suggesting strong buying interest and potential for further upside. Key Technical Indicators: Moving Averages: The stock price is trading well above the 20-month and 50-month moving averages, indicating a sustained bullish trend. Volume Analysis: The surge in volume during the breakout reinforces the strength of the move, suggesting that the stock is under accumulation by institutional investors. Resistance and Support: Having broken through the previous resistance level, the next potential target could be ₹100, with strong support at ₹64.25. 4. Financial Highlights Revenue Growth: RGIPL has seen consistent revenue growth, with a sales figure of ₹557.03 crores in FY 2024, up from ₹452.51 crores in FY 2023. Profitability: The company has maintained a healthy EBITDA margin, reflecting efficient cost management and operational efficiency. Leverage: With a debt-to-equity ratio that has decreased over the years, RGIPL is well-positioned to manage its financial obligations and fund future expansions. 5. Strategic Growth and Sustainability RGIPL is focused on sustainable growth, integrating renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power into its operations. The company’s commitment to a zero-liquid discharge policy and efficient scrap processing highlights its dedication to environmental stewardship. These initiatives not only reduce operational costs but also enhance the company’s reputation as a socially responsible entity. Key Milestones: 2019: Installation of a 20 MT induction furnace, doubling billet production capacity. 2023: Commencement of a continuous stand rolling mill, further increasing TMT Bar production capacity. Future Plans: The company aims to become entirely energy self-sufficient by 2029, relying solely on renewable energy sources. 6. Conclusion Rudra Global Infra Products Ltd. is strategically positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for steel in India, particularly in Gujarat. With its integrated operations, focus on sustainability, and recent technical breakout, RGIPL presents a compelling investment opportunity. The company’s strong financials, continuous capacity expansion, and diversification into new sectors like aerospace and defense further bolster its growth prospects. Investment Thesis: Bullish Outlook: The recent technical breakout and volume surge suggest a strong bullish outlook, with potential targets in the ₹100 range. Long-Term Growth: RGIPL’s focus on backward and forward integration, along with its sustainable practices, positions it well for long-term growth in the Indian steel industry. Recommendation: Buy: Given the technical setup and strong fundamentals, RGIPL is a recommended buy for long-term investors looking to capitalize on growth in the Indian steel sector. Disc: no investment as of now , however may add position if breakout sustain , if closes below previous month - exit sign No recommendation Source: Investor's presentation
BSE:RUDRALong
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
Asian Paints can rally on low crude oil price. Asian Paints Ltd. manufactures and markets paints and coating products. Asian Paints CMP is 3101.75. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding AND MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are High PE (PE=58.6), Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash, Highest increase in pledges by promoters AND Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects. Partial entry/tracking quantity can be taken after closing above 3105. Main entry can be taken after closing above 3152. Targets in the stock will be 3221 AND 3304. The long-term target in the stock will be 3368 AND 3423. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 2848 or 2671 depending upon your risk taking ability. Asian paints is considered by many as a portfolio stock due to its huge market share and deep penetration in the market. The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:ASIANPAINTLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
South India bank - going southwards ??🏦 South Indian bank -My insights and opinions based on the financial data from South Indian Bank's Q1 FY25: Positive Aspects: ↳ The marginal increase in Profit After Tax (PAT) from ₹288 crore in Q4 FY24 to ₹294 crore in Q1 FY25 suggests resilience and effective cost management. ↳ Slight improvement in Return on Assets (RoA) indicates maintaining profitability despite economic pressures, showing prudent risk management practices. ↳ Consistent Gross and Net NPA ratios indicate stable asset quality, a strong point given the current economic climate. ↳ Growth in deposits and advances, even if slight, reflects ongoing customer trust and market penetration, critical for long-term growth. Concerns: ↳ The decrease in Net Interest Margin (NIM) from 3.38% to 3.26% raises concerns about the tightening of interest income relative to the bank’s average earning assets. ↳ This reduction in NIM could be due to competitive lending rates or higher cost of funds, which needs addressing to sustain profitability in a volatile financial market. ↳ The substantial 26% drop in Non-Interest Income, primarily from Treasury & Forex, significantly impacts the bank's diversified income streams. ↳ The decline in Non-Interest Income highlights the need for the bank to explore new non-interest revenue sources or enhance the performance of existing ones to mitigate volatility. Strategic Focus Areas: ↳ Enhancing income diversification and managing interest margin pressures are crucial for maintaining and improving the bank’s financial health in future quarters. ↳ The bank should continue to leverage its strong points, such as stable asset quality and customer trust, while strategically addressing areas of concern to bolster its overall market position. Conclusion: ↳ While South Indian Bank shows robustness in certain areas, the decline in NIM and Non-Interest Income are areas needing strategic focus. ↳ Enhancing income diversification and managing interest margin pressures will be key to maintaining and improving the bank’s financial health in future quarters. Shared the chart with technical analysis for your reference 🙏 bhatiashivendra disc: no holding , do you own research before taking any actions.
NSE:SOUTHBANK
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing
South India bank - going southwards ??🏦 South Indian bank -My insights and opinions based on the financial data from South Indian Bank's Q1 FY25: Positive Aspects: ↳ The marginal increase in Profit After Tax (PAT) from ₹288 crore in Q4 FY24 to ₹294 crore in Q1 FY25 suggests resilience and effective cost management. ↳ Slight improvement in Return on Assets (RoA) indicates maintaining profitability despite economic pressures, showing prudent risk management practices. ↳ Consistent Gross and Net NPA ratios indicate stable asset quality, a strong point given the current economic climate. ↳ Growth in deposits and advances, even if slight, reflects ongoing customer trust and market penetration, critical for long-term growth. Concerns: ↳ The decrease in Net Interest Margin (NIM) from 3.38% to 3.26% raises concerns about the tightening of interest income relative to the bank’s average earning assets. ↳ This reduction in NIM could be due to competitive lending rates or higher cost of funds, which needs addressing to sustain profitability in a volatile financial market. ↳ The substantial 26% drop in Non-Interest Income, primarily from Treasury & Forex, significantly impacts the bank's diversified income streams. ↳ The decline in Non-Interest Income highlights the need for the bank to explore new non-interest revenue sources or enhance the performance of existing ones to mitigate volatility. Strategic Focus Areas: ↳ Enhancing income diversification and managing interest margin pressures are crucial for maintaining and improving the bank’s financial health in future quarters. ↳ The bank should continue to leverage its strong points, such as stable asset quality and customer trust, while strategically addressing areas of concern to bolster its overall market position. Conclusion: ↳ While South Indian Bank shows robustness in certain areas, the decline in NIM and Non-Interest Income are areas needing strategic focus. ↳ Enhancing income diversification and managing interest margin pressures will be key to maintaining and improving the bank’s financial health in future quarters. Shared the chart with technical analysis for your reference 🙏 bhatiashivendra disc: no holding , do you own research before taking any actions.
NSE:SOUTHBANK
by Peaceful-Weekend-Investing