S&P 500 LongUS 500 CFD
The target projection for the S&P results in a target of 5428, which is in the area of the 70% Fibonci retracement.
It would be quite possible for the price to test the low again in the 5090 area. But for this trade I assume that a good premium area will be reached first.
I open a long trade with 2 entry points.
A market order and a second limit order. The risk is distributed across both positions.
Target 1 = 61.8 Retracement
Target 2 = 70.0 Retracement
Risk Reward Trade 1 = 1/1
Risk Reward Trade 2 = 1/2.07
Stocktrading
Red Monday: Emergency rate cut needed? US equities just experienced their worst day since 2022, with the S&P 500 dropping 3.0%, the Nasdaq falling 3.4%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeting by 1033 points. All sectors in the US saw declines, with mega-cap tech stocks performing particularly poorly. Notably, NVIDIA saw a sharp fall of 15% during the trading day, though it managed to “recover”, ending down 6.4%.
Some have called for an emergency rate cut from the Fed, but this is unlikely as this event, as it stands, is not an existential threat to the markets. It's just a large sell off.
Did US stocks get off lightly?
Ahead of the US trading session, Japan's stock market experienced its steepest decline since Wall Street's Black Monday in 1987, fueling fears of widespread market instability.
Despite the severe sell-off, some relief came from the ISM Services PMI, which indicated a stronger rebound in the services sector, helping to alleviate investor concerns to some extent. Riskier assets, such as Bitcoin, were not spared, plunging from nearly $62,000 on Friday to around $54,000 by Monday.
Contributing factors to the market turmoil include fears that the Federal Reserve is lagging in cutting interest rates, potential unwinding of the Yen carry trade, and the Sahm rule signaling the onset of a recession.
This rule signals the onset of a recession when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points or more above its lowest point in the past year. The threshold was surpassed recently when the unemployment rate climbed to 4.3%.
Seadrill (SDRL) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Seadrill provides offshore contract drilling services for the oil and natural gas industry. The company achieved a record day rate of $545,000 for a one-well contract in Q1 2024, the highest in the current cycle, significantly boosting its Q2 earnings outlook.
Key Highlights:
CEO Simon Johnson: Emphasized a strong start to the year with safe, efficient operations, high day rates, and capital returns to shareholders.
Competitive Fleet: Seadrill's fleet and strong balance sheet are expected to sustain durable earnings and capital returns as the cycle progresses.
Order Backlog: Approximately $2.8 billion, including $108 million in new contracts since February.
New Contracts: $32 million contract in South Korea for the drillship West Capella and an $86 million six-month extension in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico for the drillship West Neptune.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:SDRL above the $47.00-$48.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $78.00-$80.00, investors should consider Seadrill's strong performance, high day rates, and substantial order backlog as key drivers for potential stock appreciation.
📈🌊 Monitor Seadrill for promising investment opportunities! #SDRL #OffshoreDrilling 🛢️🚀
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector
In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances.
MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand.
MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services
Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization.
MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away.
MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year).
The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well.
Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites.
MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings.
Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
Khaitan Chemicals & Fertilizers Short-Term Trading IdeaStock trade above all the ema and form a rounding bottom pattern after breakdown on 13 July 2022 stock try to breach the levels of 91 two time but failed, today stock breach the level of 91 with significant trading volume after 2 years with crossover on 24 june 2024. now we can wait for its retracement levels for better and stable upside move which I have already shown on the above chart for your reference you can read the chart.
This stock is not for safe players this is risky stock do your complete research
Technical Analysis & indicators 🔍
Daily Chart
Head & Shoulder
Rounding Bottom
Educational content
This stock analysis is designed for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Please carry out your own research or consult with a financial advisor before investing.
Microsoft - We still have to be patient...NASDAQ:MSFT dropped after reporting earnings and can now create a short term correction!
Simplicity is key, also when it comes to trading the higher timeframes on stocks. All you need are three lines in order to fully understand the trading history and also future of Microsoft. If we get a retest of the triangle breakout level, which is perfectly lining up with the rising trendline, a bullish continuation will be quite expected. Just wait for confirmation first though!
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
SPX 500's Technical Retreat: Support at 5,290?US SPX 500 – technical overview
Longer-term technical studies are in the process of unwinding from overbought levels. There is now room for a pullback towards previous resistance turned support in the form of the previous record high from April around 5,290 before the market considers a run to another record high.
R2 5679 – 16 July/Record high – Strong
R1 5593 – 23 July high – Medium
S1 5398 – 25 July low – Medium
S2 5352 – 23 May high – Strong
US SPX 500 – fundamental overview
Though we have seen a healthy adjustment of investor expectations towards the amount of rate cuts in 2024, the market still hopes policy will end up erring more towards the investor friendly, accommodative side of things. This bet has kept stocks well bid into dips and consistently pushing record highs. Still, if there is a sense the Fed will need to be more sensitive towards erring on the side of higher rates, it could invite a much bigger disruption to stocks.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
MAS potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Falling wedge pattern
- Price is at support zone
- Overall a bullish trend on weekly
- Bullish divergence
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(Buy Stop): 70.92
Stop Loss Level: 63.24
Take Profit Level 1: 77.79
Take Profit Level 2: Open
Note: If the price gave an ATH breakout, it would also be the bull flag pole breakout.
Cellebrite (CLBT) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Cellebrite develops digital intelligence solutions for government investigative branches globally. Recently, the company launched its Endpoint Inspector SaaS on AWS Marketplace, which expands its market reach and enhances its role in the Amazon Partner Network. This strategic move is expected to improve net margins by reducing customer system maintenance costs.
Institutional Interest:
Institutional investors are bullish on NASDAQ:CLBT , with SG Americas Securities LLC increasing its stake by 34.8% in Q1.
Analyst Ratings:
Major investment banks are also optimistic about Cellebrite's prospects:
Bank of America: Raised its price target to $13.00.
JP Morgan Chase: Increased its price target to $14.00, both giving an "overweight" rating.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on CLBT above the $11.50-$12.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $20.00-$21.00, investors should consider Cellebrite's strategic expansions and strong institutional support as key drivers for potential stock appreciation.
📈🔍 Monitor Cellebrite for promising investment opportunities! #CLBT #DigitalSolutions 💼💻
Rocket Companies (RKT) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Rocket Companies, a fintech mortgage loan originator, entered 2024 with strong momentum. CEO Varun Krishna highlighted top-line growth acceleration for the third straight quarter and the highest profitability in two years, along with expanded market share in both purchase and refinance sectors. The company is leveraging its proprietary AI tech stack for future growth, aiming to modernize the fragmented homeownership space.
Institutional Interest:
Investor confidence is evident, with the Swiss National Bank increasing its stake by 4.1% in Q1, now holding 237,000 shares.
Financial Performance:
Rocket Companies reported an adjusted revenue of $1.2 billion in its latest quarterly report, exceeding guidance and marking year-over-year growth acceleration for the third consecutive quarter.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NYSE:RKT above the $13.00-$14.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $20.00-$21.00, investors should consider Rocket Companies' impressive financial performance and strong institutional interest as key drivers for future stock appreciation.
📊🏡 Monitor Rocket Companies for promising investment opportunities! #RKT #FintechStocks 📈🔍
Micron Technology - Patience and price action!NASDAQ:MU is literally creating so clear and repetitive market structure, this is textbook.
Bullish break and retest, cycle and correction. Micron Technology has been repeating this price action for over a decade and is about to enter another correction phase. If you don't want to trade this anticipated correction, you can instead wait for another retest of previous resistance, bullish confirmation and a rejection. Following the cycles, a bullish move there is quite likely.
Levels to watch: $140, $95
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Nat West breakoutClear breakout from 327, which was established resistance since 2016. Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern completed.
Volumes have been ramping up since Feb this year and the shares are not oversold on the weekly RSI yet.
Market likes their results today too.
In my opinion, heading for 400p.
Do your own research and this is NOT a solicitation to hold, buy or sell.
Small inverse H&S in many stocksThis is just for St James's Place, but you'll find inverse head and shoulder patterns in a lot of stocks on the FTSE 100. For me, that means a reversal on the pullback, and this week for example, STJ is confirming the reversal with a break about the neckline and 200 EMA acting as support.
BCL INDUSTRIES BUY NOW BCL INDUSTRIES - UPTREND
Trade Reason :
1) Fundamental Very Strong Stock
2) Monthly Uptrend and Correction completed for 61.8 % Golden ration level Respected .
3) Day - Trend Reversed and Trend line Breakout .
Entry - Current Price 62 - 63 Rs or Retest Level
Target - 76 Rs
Stoploss - 45 Rs
Happy Trading ...
Tata Investments on make or break level nowHello Everyone,
Chart Pattern known as Symmetrical Triangle Pattern in which we can say that it is a chart pattern that signals a period of consolidation before the price breaks out, which can happen in either direction—upwards or downwards.
Condition #1 Breakdown
Target 1 - Rs 5900
Target 2 - Rs 5400
Condition #2 Reversal
Target 1 - Rs 6700
Target 2 - Rs 7500
Conclusion
The symmetrical triangle pattern in our chart indicates a phase of consolidation, suggesting that a significant price movement may be on the horizon. Keep an eye on the breakout direction to understand the next trend for the asset.
NOTE : Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade as per my post.