Get started

Stocktrading

Unleashing Potential: Strategic Growth And Innovation Of CelsiusCelsius® is a company that was founded in April 2004. It has benefited from the high demand for healthy products without artificial ingredients. It constantly innovates as it expands its portfolio with its scientifically proven beverage lines, and its presence consolidates in the US and reaches international levels. The price performance results in significant progress in market capitalization, leading to its exit from the Russell 2000 index.  Performance against the S&P 500: Next, I present my investment thesis based on what you believe about a company. The Seeking Alpha portal data was essential for me to have felt the growth trajectory of it. The analysis focused on specific aspects that indicate the expansive potential of the organization. CELH is adding to a considerably higher financial challenge compared to an industry median across multiple metrics: Source: Seeking Alpha The table showed a detailed view of CELH's financial and operational indicators, which stand out both in relation to the sector average and the company's historical design in recent years. Including aspects such as profit margins, profitability of capital and assets, CAPEX allocation, efficiency and liquidity. It is superior in several areas, mainly in Revenue Growth where it stood out with 227%. Considering this information, profit margins also stand out, as shown by the sector's median indicator, in relation to the CELH percentage, good indexes, etc., exceeding industry expectations and highlighting the effectiveness of management in producing value. The increase in profits is also highlighted in the free cash flow per share, added to the share price performance in 2023, along with the growth in ROE and the operating cash flow growth indicator, showing a remarkable growth outlook. CAPEX is what catches my attention the most, because there was a reduction in business expenses of US$ 17.43 million from the US$ 8.26 million reached a year ago, looking at the performance of other years. Qualitative analysis: Deepening the qualitative analysis of the company, I will list points that interpret directly from the 2023 annual report. The organization relies on the experience and commitment of John Fieldly, who, as president and CEO, sets the direction and improves the efficiency of the Celsius holding. The team is made up of: Jarrod Langhans, as CFO, manages finances and supports growth. Tony Guilfoyle, commercial director. Kyle Watson, marketing director. Toby David, team leader. Paul Storey oversees the supply chain. Rich Mattessich looks after legal and compliance. Robin Lybeck and Ronnie Char manage operations in Europe and Asia. Danielle Babich focuses on human capital development. And finally Brant P. Burchfield on sustainable growth. It has also become more solid in the drinks market by creating alliances with important figures in the sector such as AB InBev, Keurig Dr Pepper and Molson Coors. But the main one is PepsiCo (PEP), resulting in an investment of $550 million. Source: Yahoo Finance, Annual Reports Risks: It is important to highlight that the company, as interesting as it is, has considerable risks and this ends up having an impact in the long term. We will analyze the risks and opportunities below based on the 2023 annual report: Celsius runs the risk of damaging its brand reputation and losing consumer confidence due to product quality problems, negative publicity or changes in consumer preferences. The drinks sector has been very fierce and the possible emergence of other competitors could be a risk, negatively affecting its market share and possibly the company's profits. In addition, the company has faced difficulties in expanding into new markets, including the fact that other countries are bound by trade barriers and bureaucratic regulations. There is concern about a company's cybersecurity. With the increase in attacks and the dependence on information technology to carry out their operations, as well as data breaches and exposure that cause reputational damage; as well as loss of intellectual property and sanctions and fines for not following compliance. Also mentioned in the annual report, another concern is recalls, which pose risks to brands and regulations. Source: Annual Reports Based on my qualitative analysis of the annual report and what I consider to be the company's direction, it seems that it is investing in seizing opportunities in the energy drinks market, especially through strategies with partner companies, such as the partnership with Pepsi, which operates in a very divided environment.However, unnecessary dependence on the partnership represents a significant risk, as any change of mood between them could cause significant financial damage. In addition, the company must continue to modernize its product range to satisfy the growing needs of consumers and not just limit itself to the local market, which in this case is the United States, but also expand its product range to other countries. Fundamental analysis: The data shows good progress in its financial health, as evidenced by the consistent growth in its assets from 2020 to 2023. This increase shows continued advancement and planned investments in resources and business opportunities. Net equity also increased, reflecting the company's ability to generate profits and attract investment, strengthening its financial base and market position. The company's total capitalization indicates balanced financing management, combining debt and equity. However, it is important to maintain debt management at viable levels to maintain financial stability. Increased working capital shows good management of financial resources, increasing the company's ability to meet short-term obligations and finance daily operations. Total debt stability is positive as long as the company maintains a good balance between debt and equity. Market Opinion Technical Analysis: I will now complement our study with technical analyses. This method is based on the market's trading volume, and to facilitate understanding. I will present a legend that simplifies the analysis, making it clear and concise. Our focus will be on aspects that are aligned with the company's fundamentals, avoiding numbers or patterns that do not add value to the analysis. Investment decisions are made after an in-depth analysis of assets, where investors look for advantages or discrepancies in fundamentals, or data that does not correspond to the company's reality. Hot and cold candlesticks act as a thermometer to assess the buying and selling transactions that occurred during the trading week. The volume indicator includes the delta variation between buyers and sellers, representing the active flow of assets. e observe an ascending channel with rising tops and bottoms, indicating that the market retreated with a lower seller flow than the last buyer, thus forming an accumulation band. There is also a notable buyer dominance over the years. Sales volumes appear to be related to profit making or batches that were not continued. With the recent rise, along with the Nasdaq index, we anticipate that the market may pull back before resuming the upward trend. look at the caption: Take a look at the image below: Analyzing some articles that talk about Celsius, both are very recent. which discusses the company's rise in relation to Monster and Redbull, and the text emphasizes that even after Celsius' growth, it may suffer a slight slowdown, despite showing a good valuation, and also expresses concern about the company's premium valuation and its ability to sustain growth to justify it. Furthermore, the author projects growth for the company, but is quite cautious about this. I agree with both opinions and, in fact, the technical analysis they perform complements the pullback view, although they complement each other. What we have to observe is that combining performance and profit, cutting expenses, combined with the boom in the NASDAQ index, we can see a good opportunity to continue buying a company. However, for those who are buying now, they need to be very careful because it is at the top and a correction in the channel's VWAP could occur. Market concerns about Celsius being overbought could drag it to the $42 region before the market resumes its upward trend. I believe that this corrective wave in the market can occur even if the company delivers good numbers, which is normal for any stock.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by Victoredbr
2
Discovering profitable stocks for intraday trading █ Discovering profitable stocks for intraday trading: Simplifying the BeSt System Intraday trading style capitalizes on the market's daily fluctuations to generate profits, appealing to traders seeking quick returns. However, the rapid pace and high associated volatility require precise decision-making and a deep understanding of market dynamics. For intraday traders, the key to success lies in predicting market movements and identifying stocks that offer the best potential for profit within a limited timeframe. The BeSt system , short for Best Stock Finder, is a pioneering approach that uses data analysis to pinpoint promising stocks for daily trades. This article explores how this system works and what it means for the everyday trader. The primary goal of this research is to unearth effective strategies for selecting stocks that are most likely profitable for intraday trading. The relevance of this study is particularly pronounced in the current market environment, characterized by heightened volatility and increased trading volumes. These conditions heighten the risks associated with intraday trading and open up new opportunities for savvy traders. █  Understanding the BeSt System At its core, the best system employs a sophisticated blend of regression and sequence mining techniques to analyze historical stock data. By examining patterns in stock price movements and predicting future trends, the system identifies stocks most likely to experience significant price changes within the same trading day. ⚪ How Does the BeSt System Work? Regression Techniques: These algorithms predict future price variations by analyzing historical price data. The stocks showing the highest potential for price fluctuations are highlighted as prime candidates for trading. Sequence Mining: This method goes beyond simple price predictions by looking for recurring sequences in stock performance. It identifies patterns indicating which stocks are likely to perform well, based on their historical sequence of returns. Weighted Sequences: By assigning different weights to stock occurrences based on their profitability, the system prioritizes stocks that have consistently shown higher returns following specific patterns. ⚪ Simplifying How the BeSt System Works Predicting Price Changes: At its heart, the system uses past stock price movements to forecast future activity. Imagine being able to predict a stock’s price rise before it happens—that’s what this system aims to do. Finding Patterns: Beyond predictions, the BeSt system looks for patterns in how stocks have performed over time, identifying which stocks are likely to do well together or in sequence. This helps in anticipating market movements. Prioritizing Profitable Stocks: Not all stocks are treated equally; the system prioritizes those that have historically provided better returns following certain patterns. █  Conclusion: For intraday traders, the BeSt system offers a promising tool that enhances profitability and provides a deeper understanding of market dynamics. Turning complex data into actionable trading insights represents a significant step forward in the quest for optimal trading strategies. As technology and data science continue to advance, the BeSt system is well-positioned to become an indispensable part of every trader's toolkit. █   Methodology ⚪ Regression Techniques These algorithms predict the value of continuous variables based on the analysis of historical data.The goal is to predict the daily percentage variation in the price of a stock on the next trading day by analyzing the historical prices of market stocks on the preceding days. Stocks with the maximal predicted variation are recommended as the most tradeable on the subsequent trading day. Data Preparation: The historical price data of various stocks are collected, focusing primarily on daily percentage variations in stock prices. Model Training: Regression algorithms are used to create predictive models. These models analyze the historical prices and try to forecast the price movements of the stocks for the next trading day. Stock Selection: Stocks predicted to have the highest percentage variation in their prices the next day are flagged as potential candidates for trading. This prediction is based on the regression model’s output, which calculates the expected price change from one day to the next. ⚪ Sequence Mining This involves the use of unsupervised data mining techniques to discover recurrent sequences of items in large datasets. In this context, items are stocks, and the time stamps correspond to the closures of consecutive trading days. A sequence is an ordered list of itemsets, where an itemset is a set of items occurring at a given time stamp. Given the best-performing stocks on past and current trading days, a sequence indicates that if an arbitrary set of stocks is in the top list on preceding days, a given stock is likely to occur in the top list on the next day. Weighted sequences, rather than traditional ones, are used to weigh differently the occurrences of different stocks on the same trading day according to their daily profits. Data Handling: The process starts with collecting historical stock data, particularly focusing on the closing prices across consecutive trading days. This data is then prepared into a sequence format where each sequence represents the ordered list of stock performances over multiple days. Mining Process: Using sequence mining algorithms, the system searches for common patterns or sequences in the stock data. These patterns reveal which stocks frequently perform well in sequence—meaning if certain stocks are performing well today, which stocks are likely to perform well tomorrow based on historical patterns. Weighted Sequences: To refine the selection, the concept of weighted sequences is applied. This approach gives different weights to the occurrences of stocks based on their profit performances on particular days. For example, if a stock consistently shows higher gains than others on specific days following certain trends, it will be weighted more heavily in the predictive model. Stock Recommendations: The system identifies sequences with the highest recurrence and profitability. Stocks appearing in these sequences are recommended for trading. These stocks are expected to perform well in the short term, aligning with intraday trading goals. █   Data Set Used The data set used for this study consisted of a broad range of stocks across various sectors, including technology, finance, and consumer goods. To ensure the reliability of the data, the study focused on stocks listed on major exchanges like the NYSE and NASDAQ. █   Key Findings High Profitability: The BeSt system outperforms traditional stock selection methods like Support Vector Machines, Linear Regression, and random selection strategies. The sequence-based strategies used by BeSt, in particular, have proven to yield higher profits, demonstrating the system's ability to effectively identify the most promising stocks for intraday trading. Effective Trend Capture: The system is highly adept at identifying underlying trends in stock price movements. This capability allows traders to make informed decisions based on a solid analysis of historical data, ensuring that trades align with the most likely future movements of the market. [* ]Scalability: The BeSt system can handle large datasets efficiently, making it suitable for analyzing the numerous stocks listed on major stock exchanges. This scalability is crucial for intraday traders who need to quickly sift through vast amounts of data to identify trading opportunities. Interpretability of Results: Unlike many other data-driven trading systems, the BeSt system provides interpretable results. This feature is particularly beneficial for traders who prefer to understand the logic behind the recommended trades. The system's transparency helps build trust and allows users to learn from the system's insights. █   Practical Applications Even if you don’t have access to the BeSt system itself, understanding its principles can improve how you approach trading: ⚪ Look for Patterns: Start tracking how certain stocks perform in relation to each other and over various days. You might begin to notice patterns that can guide your trading decisions. ⚪ Use Available Tools: Many trading platforms offer basic tools for analyzing stock trends and predicting movements. Use these to start making more informed decisions. █   Limitations While the findings of this study are valuable, they come with limitations that traders should consider. The study focused on large-cap stocks listed on major exchanges, which may not apply to smaller-cap stocks or those on less liquid markets. Additionally, the historical data may not fully account for the market's future conditions as market dynamics continually evolve. █  Reference Baralis, E., Cagliero, L., Cerquitelli, T., Garza, P., & Pulvirenti, F. (2017). Discovering profitable stocks for intraday trading. Information Sciences, 405, 91-106. ----------------- Disclaimer This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only. The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs. My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
NASDAQ:GOOGLEducation
by Zeiierman
5
🔍💼 AMD Stock Analysis 💡📈Sentiment Overview: Cautiously optimistic sentiment surrounds NASDAQ:AMD , despite near-term challenges such as supply constraints impacting data center results. Analysts' price targets vary, indicating potential upside ranging from modest gains to substantial increases. Critical Point: The stock is at a critical juncture, with technical indicators suggesting a possible bullish reversal if it rebounds from current support levels. However, a move to new lows could signal further downside. Price Targets: Market response will determine if AMD can reach targets like $160 or even $180, indicating a potential complete reversal in sentiment. Fundamental Strengths: Despite near-term uncertainty, AMD's underlying fundamentals, including AI ramp and potential for improved data center results, warrant a moderate buy sentiment among analysts. 📊🚀 Investor Action: Monitor market dynamics and technical indicators closely for insights into AMD's future trajectory. #AMDStock #MarketAnalysis 📉💼
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Richtv_official
AAPL:A Bearish Reversal Looms with Potential Downside of -9.22%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:AAPL ! On the Daily timeframe, we've spotted a significant double-top pattern , suggesting a potential bearish reversal if the neckline is breached. Also, the price has fallen below the EMA200 line, indicating ongoing selling pressure. Despite two attempts, it hasn't managed to break above the EMA200 line, indicating strong resistance. This resistance could lead to a potential downturn in Apple's stock. Recently, there was a breakout below the neckline, confirming the bearish trend. Furthermore, MACD is showing bearish divergence in the negative zone, supporting the idea of a downward movement towards our target at 149.55." It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on AAPL." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by financialfreedomgoals101
5
U.S. Stock indices higher on Bad economic data? 🤔Risk-On Sentiment has taken over the markets today despite bad manufacturing and services data.. and it began yesterday on Nasdaq with the Daily candle closing back above the Daily Level 17,164. Other confluences for the increase on Nasdaq include 1) Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on April 16th. 2) Dollar Index 5 minutes chart : Here we can observe the Risk on sentiment with the data this morning. The dollar Index represents the U.S. dollar of course and puts it againsgt a basket of currecies(4) . Since the USD is a safe haven.. and the dollar index is going down.. this represents money flowing into other asset classes as ivestors see better retruns elsewhere such as Nasdaq (Risk-On U.S. stock index). This is what we would expect to see with bad USD data 3)The Fakeout price action on Monday suggesting Buys today 4) Volatility Index (Vix) 5 minutes chart : We can observe that price decreased during london session and through the not so great USD data release. This means that more investors are buying call options in the S&P500 companies anticpating that the stock indexes will rebound to the upside. This could have been correlated with buying the stock indexes like Nasdaq after it jumped up with the data release this morning. Let me know what your thoughts are on the Nasdaq! These publications are for general and educational purposes only. Not trading or financial advice.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by ShrewdCatfx
Forecasted to Reach New All-Time High with +14% Upside PotentialHi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:GOOG Google has rebounded three times on the EMA200 Line with upward impulsive movement, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend. Additionally, it has formed a bullish chart pattern known as a falling wedge pattern. In March 2024, it broke out of the falling wedge pattern with a bullish full-body candlestick and higher-than-average 7-day trading volume . This higher-than-average trading volume is significant as it suggests increased market participation and conviction behind the price movement, reinforcing the validity of the breakout. Moreover, the MACD has made a bullish crossover, signifying a shift towards upward momentum. A bullish crossover in the MACD is a crucial signal in technical analysis, indicating a potential reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment. This occurrence is significant as it suggests strengthening buying pressure, often foreshadowing further upward movement in the price. Analyzing these technical factors, we forecast a potential upward movement to our designated target. It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GOOG." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
2
C3.ai: Channel Down bottom buy.C3.ai (AI) is bearish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.727, MACD = -1.800, ADX = 49.528) but has staged a solid recovery at the bottom of the 1 year Channel Down. This sequence is very much like the October 2023 bottom, which targeted the 0.786 Fib as a LH. Having completed a MACD Bullish Cross, we go long aiming at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 32.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:AILong
by InvestingScope
Indices higher with the Vix as Support 🧐Hello traders.. kicking off the week here the stock indices are up alongside the USD strength. We have the vix which sold off dring the london session and this tells us that sentiment is leaning towards risk on as call options are being bought. The Nasdaq is moving up here and we could mirror some of the candles to the left handside that we observed during Friday of last week. We could move up to 17,303 or at least towards there since we have clean traffic on the 1hr chart and 4hr. Oil has continued to selloff as I anticpated and gold has sold off even more denoting some risk-off sentiment from commodities. Bond yields are up slightly denoting some risk on sentiment to begin the week here. The overall trend for yields has been up the last few weeks. It will be important to observe how candles close around 17,164 daily level as this will tell us of impending strength or weakness in Nasdaq. We may retreat towards 17,070 if price cannot sustain around 17,164 daily level.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by ShrewdCatfx
ESM2024 (S&P500) neutral atm, no further shorts allowed for nowWe are neutral on S&P futures after the recent drop. It is too early in the week to determine a high probability bias. We have taken out fridays high today (5058), and we might see further retracment to the upside. We are not considering a short bias on the daily chart, unless ESM2024 daily candle body closes below 4984. Until we get more insight troughout the week, we will stick to intraday scalping only. There is potential buyside liquidity remaining at 5095 and sellside liquidity at 5006. We will see if tomorrow gives us a setup to engage either one. As of now, I think 5006 sellside is the more likely one. This is no financial advise! Do not risk real money on any idea published by us⁠.
CME_MINI:ESM2024
by MintMarkets_Fx
3