The Expected Bounce was on Queue. Tomorrow We Drop.Traders,
We have been batting 1000 lately when it comes to the SPY. Might as well make another bold prediction. It would seem that the greatest probability of price action is outlined in the chart. An inverse H&S is forming and the right shoulder has yet to start.
I predicted the target down from the last H&S pattern to be 410. That was hit, almost to the dollar. I then predicted a huge bounce. We have that now. In fact, 7 days of green candles! Amazing. I even predicted the timing of the bounce. The charts gave me all of this data. I just had to read it correctly.
Now, the chart is telling me that it's time for a bit of a pause. If correct, we should see the right shoulder from that inverse H&S drawn now begin to form. If we're lucky we stay in my outlined green channel by using that 200 day ma near the bottom of the channel as support.
Blowoff top underway!
LFG!
Stew
Stocktrading
COMCAST Pullback ain't over yet. See where to buy.Despite the impressive six day rally after its Earnings gap down, Comcast has been rejected on the LH trendline without managing to cross over the 1D MA50. With the 1D MACD on a Bullish Cross though and the 1D technical outlook slightly bearish (RSI = 44.968, MACD = -0.620, ADX = 24.974), we expect a 0.618 Fibonacci pullback in a similar manner as November 3rd 2022 and March 24th 2023. Our medium term target is R1 (TP = 47.35).
See how well our prior idea has worked:
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RIVIAN: Buy signal emerged.Rivian has found support inside April's HL Zone while the 1D RSI flattened. The 1D technical outlook is only slightly bearish (RSI = 42.485, MACD = -1.120, ADX = 38.728) despite being inside a Channel Down since July 27th. Technically it is replicating the January-April correction, which eventually bottomed when the 1D RSI flattened.
We use the 1D MA200 rejection as a short term buy signal, aiming at the 1D MA50 (TP = 20.00).
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CAT : Unlocking Upside Potential with a $290 TargetCaterpillar Inc (CAT) has recently demonstrated significant upside potential according to the latest technical analysis. Let's delve into key points supporting this positive outlook:
Recent Developments:
On October 31, 2023, CAT's stock price touched a critical support area at $228.37, marking its lowest level since June 2023. The significance of this level is reinforced by the presence of a long-term upward trendline dating back to March 2021. This underscores strong demand at this level, signaling the continuation of the upward trend.
Positive Reversal:
Following the support touch, CAT shares experienced a positive reversal by successfully breaking through the previous resistance level at $244.24 on November 3, 2023. This indicates an increased buying pressure, suggesting that CAT has the potential to continue its ascent to higher levels.
Target Price Set:
The proposed target price is around $290, reflecting the highest level reached in August 2023. This target selection is based on psychological aspects and the Highest level of all time
Momentum Indicator Support:
Two key momentum indicators, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and RSI (Relative Strength Index), provide positive signals:
MACD is above its signal line and the zero level, indicating that upward momentum is increasing, supporting the continuity of the uptrend.
RSI has moved above the 50 level and is approaching 70, suggesting that CAT may be in an overbought condition. This indicates a higher number of buyers than sellers, supporting the prediction of price increases.
Conclusion:
Based on this in-depth technical analysis, Caterpillar Inc (CAT) shows robust potential for upside movement. However, as with any investment decision, it is advisable to conduct further research and consider risk factors before making decisions. Stay informed about the latest news that may impact the overall stock market.
Financial Planning: An IdeaHello Trader
Today we have to talk about financial knowledge, how important is it to have financial knowledge and whether can it make us financially free.
Let's begin,
Everyone needs money to survive. Financial planning is the process of managing your money wisely to achieve your financial goals. It involves planning your future finances keeping in mind your current situation.
In simple terms, financial planning helps you answer questions like:
How can I save more money?
When can I comfortably retire?
How can I pay my debts?
All these questions are very important if you want to be financially free
* Financial planning helps you identify your long-term and short-term goals, whether it's buying a house, children's education, or retirement so that you don't have to worry about anything.
* An important aspect of financial planning is insurance. It helps protect you and your loved ones from unexpected events like accidents, illnesses, or the loss of a loved one. By getting the right insurance coverage, you can minimize the financial disaster of such situations.
* Investments are also a part of financial planning. It involves putting your money into different types of assets, such as stocks, bonds, or real estate, to grow your wealth over time. Financial planning also involves knowing where to allocate your investments accurately.
Finally, financial planning includes preparing for retirement. It involves estimating how much money you will need in retirement and determining how much you should save each month to reach that goal. Retirement planning ensures that you can enjoy a comfortable and financially secure life after you stop working.
Types of financial planning
1) Tax Planning
Tax planning is the process of arranging your finances in a smart way to pay the least amount of taxes while staying within the rules set by the government. It involves making decisions about when to receive income, how to spend money, and which deductions or credits to take advantage of. The goal is to legally reduce the amount of taxes you have to pay, so you can keep more of your hard-earned money.
Types of Tax planning
Tax planning is a way to reduce the amount of tax you have to pay. But it's not just about that - it also tells you how to make smart decisions with your money to reach your financial goals. By investing in the right things at the right time, you can increase not only the tax but also your wealth. So tax planning is not just about minimizing taxes, it's about making your money work for you.
Following are the various methods of tax planning
(A) Short-term tax planning
In short-term tax planning, individuals or businesses focus on finding legal ways to reduce their tax liability as the end of the fiscal year approaches. It does not require long-term commitments but can still result in significant tax savings.
(B) Long-term tax planning
With long-term tax planning, individuals or businesses create a tax plan at the beginning of the fiscal year and follow it throughout the year. While immediate tax benefits may not be available, this approach can be beneficial in the long run.
(C) Permissive tax planning
Permissive tax planning involves utilizing various provisions within the tax laws of a country, such as deductions, exemptions, contributions, and incentives. For example, in India, there are provisions like Section 80C of the Income Tax Act, 1961, which offer deductions on specific tax-saving investments.
(D) Purposive tax planning
Purposive tax planning involves using tax-saving instruments with a specific purpose in mind. This strategy ensures that you maximize the benefits of your investments. It includes carefully selecting suitable investments, having a plan for replacing assets if necessary, and diversifying business and income assets based on your residency status.
2) insurance planning
If you don't plan properly for insurance, unexpected events in life can leave you financially vulnerable. By insurance planning, you can identify the risks that may affect your life and choose the right insurance policy to protect against those risks. So that you can protect yourself and your family financially in the future.
Let's talk about the benefits of insurance planning
(A) Protection from Unexpected Events
Having a good insurance policy helps you reduce the financial risks associated with things like illness, accidents, or even death. It ensures that you and your family are prepared to face these unexpected challenges without having to give up your quality of life.
(B) Different Types of Insurance Coverage
* There are different types of insurance policies that cover various risks. For example, health insurance plans cover medical emergencies, hospital expenses, medications, and doctor visits.
* Life insurance or personal accident insurance provides coverage in case of premature death.
* Motor insurance protects your vehicles against theft, accidents, and liabilities to third parties.
* Travel insurance policies offer coverage for unexpected events during your trips. By choosing the right combination of policies, you can create a complete financial protection plan for yourself and your family.
(C) Financial Protection
Insurance planning provides financial security by compensating for losses incurred during covered emergencies. It helps you recover financially from unexpected situations and protects your savings.
(D) Tax Benefits
Certain insurance plans also provide tax savings. For example, the premiums you pay for health insurance are eligible for tax deductions under the Income Tax Act. This means you can lower your taxable income by purchasing specific insurance policies.
(E) Peace of Mind
Having a well-planned insurance portfolio gives you peace of mind. You don't have to worry about losing your savings due to unforeseen events. You can also plan for the financial well-being of your family even after your death by using term and life insurance plans.
Insurance planning can be easier if these points are kept in mind
3) Investment planning
* Investment planning is a process that helps you make smart decisions about your money.
* It involves thinking about your goals and figuring out the best ways to use your money to achieve those goals.
* There are various options for investment, such as putting your money in stocks, bonds, or property and earning good profits.
* This planning helps you build a strong financial foundation and make adjustments as needed.
Here I will tell about 7 benefits of investment planning
(A) Building Wealth
Investment plans with life insurance are a reliable way to grow your wealth over time. As an investor, you can choose the plan that best suits your needs based on risk, returns, and the amount you can invest. These plans can provide financial assistance for future expenses like your child's education, their wedding, your retirement, or a pension.
(B) Financial Security
Life insurance policies offer both life coverage and investment options. They take care of your family financially by providing both survival benefits and death benefits. When the policy matures, you receive returns with profits. This ensures long-term financial security for your family. In the unfortunate event of your demise before the maturity period, the insurance company pays the sum assured to your nominee, providing financial protection to your family.
(C) Coverage for Death Risk
Not all investment options offer coverage for the risk of death, but investment plans with life insurance do. These plans include death risk coverage, ensuring that your family's financial needs are taken care of even in your absence. The sum assured is paid to the nominee in the event of your death.
(D)Retirement Savings
You can purchase these investment plans at any stage of life, allowing you to create a retirement corpus. By investing in these plans, you can become financially independent even after retirement.
(E) Flexibility
These investment plans offer flexibility in terms of the amount you can invest and the duration. You can choose what suits your needs and financial planning.
(E) Tax Savings
Investment plans not only provide risk cover and help accumulate wealth, but they also offer tax savings. The premiums and payouts are exempted from tax under sections 80C and 10(10D) of the Indian Tax Act. These plans offer a perfect combination of savings, wealth creation, financial protection, and tax benefits.
(F) Loan Facility
Life insurance investment plans can also act as loan facilitators, depending on the coverage you have, the premiums paid, and your eligibility for the loan amount.
4) Retirement planning
* Retirement planning is the process of preparing for life after you stop working.
* It involves thinking about how much money you will need to live comfortably when you are not earning a regular income.
* Retirement planning tells you how to save and invest your money wisely to have enough funds to support yourself during your retirement years.
* Retirement planning is essential so that you can enjoy a comfortable and worry-free life when you decide to stop working.
Understanding retirement planning
* Retirement planning is the act of preparing for life after employment, which includes not only financial aspects but all areas of one's life.
* Beyond financial considerations, retirement planning includes lifestyle choices, such as how to spend time, where to live, and when to stop working altogether.
* Retirement planning focuses on different stages of life.
* In the early stages of a career, the emphasis is on setting aside sufficient funds for retirement.
* As one approaches mid-career, it may also include establishing specific income or wealth goals and taking the necessary steps to achieve them.
* Thus, retirement planning is necessary for you to lead a comfortable life at the time of retirement.
5) Estate planning
* Estate planning is when you make important decisions about what happens to your money, assets, and liabilities after you pass away or if you become unable to make decisions for yourself.
* This includes things like choosing who will receive your assets, making sure debts and taxes are taken care of, and even deciding who will take care of your children or pets.
* People usually work with an attorney who knows estate law to help them plan.
* Some common steps in estate planning include making an inventory of what you own and owe and checking your bank account.
Process of Estate Planning
* Estate planning is the process of deciding what will happen to a person's assets after they pass away and how their financial affairs will be managed if they become unable to do so themselves. It's important to know that estate planning is not only for wealthy individuals; anyone can and should consider it.
* An estate includes things like houses, cars, investments, artwork, life insurance, pensions, and debts. People have different reasons for estate planning, such as preserving family wealth, providing for their spouse and children, funding education for future generations, or leaving a charitable legacy.
* The first step in estate planning is usually creating a will.
Other important tasks include
* Setting up trust accounts to reduce estate taxes and benefit specific beneficiaries.
* Designating a guardian for dependents who are still alive.
* Choosing an executor to oversee the will's instructions.
* Updating beneficiaries on life insurance policies, IRAs, and 401(k) accounts.
* Making funeral arrangements in advance.
* Making annual gifts to charities or nonprofits to lower the taxable estate.
* Creating a durable power of attorney to handle other assets and investments.
By taking these steps, individuals can ensure that their wishes are followed, their loved ones are provided for, and their assets are distributed as intended.
6) Cash flow planning
* Cash flow planning is all about managing and predicting how money comes into and goes out of someone's or a business's finances. It means keeping track of how much money is earned (income) and how much is spent (expenses) during a specific time, usually every month or year.
* The main goal of cash flow planning is to make sure there's enough money to cover important expenses, meet financial commitments, and achieve money-related objectives. It helps individuals and businesses make smart choices when it comes to spending, saving, and investing their money.
* Basically, cash flow planning involves creating a budget or financial plan that outlines the expected sources of income and estimates of expenses. By analyzing and keeping an eye on cash flow, it becomes possible to spot potential shortages or surpluses and adjust accordingly. This way, people can manage their money better and make informed decisions on how to use their resources effectively.
* When there's a clear understanding of cash flow, individuals and businesses can take proactive steps to ensure they have enough money to cover their needs, save for the future, and handle any unexpected financial challenges that might come up.
* Thus by doing financial planning in this way and by doing this 6-step planning you can become financially free.
Note: The next article is on the life cycle and wealth cycle in which I will tell you what percentage should be invested according to age and income.
I apologize for the grammatical errors.
Thank You!
Money_Dictators
By @Money_Dictators on @TradingView Platform
COINBASE ready for a new rally.Coinbase turned bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.427, MACD - 1.240, ADX = 25.992) as it is on the 5th straight green day since the 1D MA200 rebound. This was also near the bottom of the year long Channel Up, so the probabilities for a new rally/ buying wave like January and Jun/ July are increased. The key here is to hold the 1D MA50. If the stock doesn't break it, we will stay bullish and target the -0.236 Fibonacci extension (TP = 140.00) similar to where the July 14th top was priced.
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ABBVIE Short term buy signal.ABBV is on a bearish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 39.987, MACD = -1.990, ADX = 42.078) but is quite possibly forming a short term bottom as the 1D RSI rebounded from an oversold level (under 30.00), while the MACD is close to forming a Bullish Cross. Every time those two conditions were fulfilled simultaneously inside the 1 year Channel Down, the price was a buy. Go long and target a similar LH trendline to early 2023 (TP = 153.00).
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AMD: Not long term bullish yet.Advanced Micro Devices has had an enormously bullish day as a natural result of yesterday's better than expected earnings and this rise closed the session almost at the top of the Channel Down pattern. This was enough to turn the 1D timeframe bullish (RSI = 59.297, MACD = -1.230, ADX = 33.876).
This however isn't yet a long term buy signal buy for the first time since June, it is an encouraging one as it is being executed after a 1D MACD Bullish Divergence, on a Bullish Cross too. However we will only buy for the long term after the price crosses over the R1 level and then retests it as Support. If fulfilled, our target will be the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 124.00).
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Hochschild Mining breaking out?On the weekly chart, Hochschild Mining looks to have broken out from 95.75 resistance. This bottom started to form in July 2022, so it's taken a year and 5 months to complete. As Gold is pushing higher this could mean more to come from this miner?
WARNING: This not a recommendation to trade. Do your own research and decide on your own trades.
NVDA Possible short opportunityNvidia stock, though being of the leaders in the chip and AI markets, is making a strong possible short opportunity.
When we look at the Weekly chart, we see a nice Head and Shoulders formation in the making. Points to consider if taking this opportunity:
1. I will be waiting for NVDA to drop below $400 mark, to be more precise, $398. I need this down pump for the entry to be valid.
2. When the play starts, I will set my SL close to $411 level. Why there you may ask? If the drop in price happens, $411 will be the level where 10EMA will be on the Daily time frame, and since this will be a short sell, I don't want to give the market the opportunity to test the higher part of the Neckline. The Neckline of the Head and Shoulders will be my exit point, if the price breaks above the neckline, I will most likely be closing the trade manually.
3. For the TP level , I am looking at couple of possibilities. First one, is the entire length from the Head to the Neckline which is in range of some $100 price movement. The second possibility, the more conservative one, will be the previous Higher High of the movement, sitting around $346.61 price level which is also where the 200EMA is currently at. The third one, is of course the 200EMA itself. As the price keeps moving, it will move as well, and if there is no strong market movement and price makes the second guess on whether or not it will go down, the 200EMA will be my "get out quick" point.
Of course, as always, this is no financial advice. This is just my humble opinion.
TESLA Should the battery production drop scare you?Tesla dropped more than -5% intraday as Panasonic, a crucial supplier, revealed a reduction in automotive battery production during the September quarter. The announcement comes amidst growing concerns over a worldwide deceleration in EV sales.
The fundamentals are obviously the opposite of ideal but the stock finds itself in a peculiar technical position that contradicts this fear across the market. The technical outlook on the 1D timeframe is oversold (RSI = 25.208, MACD = -13.090, ADX = 45.344) while the price came only $4 away from the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. The oversold 1D RSI makes these low levels an even stronger buy opportunity as the other two times it reaches such low levels this year, it rebounded immediately.
Consequently, we believe that the negative fundamentals are already priced in on October's fall and the Channel bottom buy opportunity is too good to ignore. Buy and target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 250.00).
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EXXON MOBIL: Another choppy month. Rally near Christmas.Exxon Mobil got rejected last Friday on the 1D MA200 and after the 1D MA50 rejection the week before, enters a dangerous territory of LL until it forms the bottom. The long term pattern is a Channel Up, who's rebounds and rejections are accuretelly depicted by the Fibonacci levels. Naturall the 1D timeframe is bearish (RSI = 36.689, MACD = 2.316, ADX = 38.647) and until we see HLows on the 1D RSI, we are not willing to turn bullish long term. We expect the rally to start close to Christmas, aiming at the top of the Channel (TP = 122.00).
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SP500 Sets to trend lowerGreetings, traders!
Analyzing the Consolidation Phase of SP500's:
The SP500 has been locked in a substantial consolidation period spanning the last 24 months. This extended consolidation often signifies a period of market indecision, with buyers and sellers in a tight tug-of-war. Such phases are crucial for traders as they often precede significant price movements.
Bearish Harmonic Pattern:
During this consolidation, a bearish harmonic pattern has emerged, casting shadows on the index’s future. Harmonic patterns, with their unique geometry, are potent indicators of potential trend reversals. Traders keen on technical analysis often scrutinize these patterns for hints on market direction.
August - September - October Decline: A Sign of Bearish Momentum?
A notable decline in August, followed by further lowering lows in September and October, underpins a growing bearish sentiment. These descending movements suggest a potential downward trend, capturing the attention of traders seeking short positions.
Key Levels: 4200, 4000, and 3880 - The Battle Ahead:
As the index hovers below the critical 4200 mark, traders are bracing for a challenging journey ahead. The next formidable support levels lie at 4000 and 3880. These levels, once breached, could trigger substantial market shifts, offering both peril and opportunity to astute traders.
RSI: A Guiding Star in the Storm:
Accompanying this price action, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) traces the market's movements. Notably, the RSI has carved a downward resistance line mirroring the index's descent. Savvy traders recognize this RSI trendline as a potential breakout signal, offering a glimmer of hope amidst the bearish landscape.
The SP500's current position demands a nuanced approach, with meticulous attention to patterns, support levels, and RSI signals. Arm yourself with knowledge and strategic insight to navigate these uncertain waters successfully.
As always, happy trading, and may your strategies be as resilient as the market itself!
Palantir | Long | Saruman wants it backThis is a follow up of my previous Palantir analysis. (See related ideas). Read it if you want to know where i placed my buy orders.
The original swing created a range in which price kept moving around (mostly above the 50%) - which indicates to me in general upwards strength.
With the range high taken out, price constantly moved between the upper resistance level and the 50% before breaking down.
As the range low was now taken out i see a retest of the 50% and or even break above it.
A small obstacle to overcome is the lower resistance level - which i think will hold price for a short period of time down. A very conservative target to close the position atleast parts of the position would be the lower resistance level
Additional:
The orange markins are engulfs of range high or support / resistance levels
Good luck
Disclaimer:
- This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor.
- You trade entirely at your own risk
- Make your own research
- Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)
Good-Buy STOCKS: HOODHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
After losing nearly 90% of it's high, NASDAQ:HOOD is currently trading close to all-time lows. This could make for a great buy and hold opportunity, whilst some patience may be needed to wait for ideal target zones.
Higher lows are observed after bottoming out at $6, indicating that the bottom is most likely in for HOOD. In other words a spot entry here has a really low risk and high reward setup.
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NASDAQ:HOOD
NVDIA: An unpopular opinion that won't win us any friends.NVIDIA has been perhaps the tech sector's best poster child for 2023 but (along with the rest of the market) has found itself on a two month pullback. Despite that, the technical outlook on the 1M timeframe remains heavily bullish (RSI = 63.906, MACD = 76.990, ADX = 41.089) due to the enormous logarithmic Channel Up it has been trading in over the years, with the 1M MA50 supporting through the Inflation correction, as well as COVID, Trade wars etc.
As the title says, this is an unpopular idea that won't win any friends here but we may see this correction extend to at least near the 0.382 Fibonacci level (rounded estimate $300.00) as the 1M RSI got rejected near the seven year LH trend-line, which makes a giant bearish divergence. In any case, this chart is for the long term investor who is looking for year on year opportunities like this to enter on low risk.
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Metal Sector and its component Daily Timeframe analysisMetal Sector and its component are in correction phase
NSE:CNXMETAL sectors NSE:HINDALCO NSE:JSWSTEEL NSE:NATIONALUM have created same structure as NIFTY50.
NSE:HINDALCO NSE:JSWSTEEL NSE:NATIONALUM daily candle close below entry level.
We can see all targets along with NIFTY50.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
SPY $400-$410 Support LevelNo need to overthink this one. Pretty clear trend line on a linear chart. Why linear? Cause we aren't looking at multiples in price change, logarithmic wouldn't be best used here, and I have seen many charts showing false trend lines with a log chart.
Logarithmic scales are useful when the data you are displaying is much less or much more than the rest of the data or when the percentage differences between values are important. This is not the case, we are only looking at price change from 2020-2023.
$400-$410 is a strong support level which I expect to hold, or at least bounce off of. However, this does not mean I expect the SP500 to break to new highs. Ultimately, I cannot predict whether we crash or break to new highs, but I would lean to lower lows. So be cautious here.
I plan to open some cheap $420-$430 November calls under $410.
GME | Buy scenario | Wars and suchTLI 1 is based on a recent Swinghigh that served as a strong resistance level aswell as support in the past.
In related ideas i linked to my last GME idea - sadly price didnt fullfill the requirements mentioned to take trade. So lets see if i get this time a trade.
Requirements:
- Price breaks above TLI 1
- Open and close of a candle above S/R Level 1
- Buy on retest of TL 1
Stop- Loss: None (Longterm play)
Target: Next big resistance level
Good luck
Disclaimer:
- This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor.
- You trade entirely at your own risk
- Make your own research
- Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)